The Syndicate

Nothing like honoring the most profitable African African production in history by creating a "separate but equal" category for it to win.

lol, that new category is awful.... the worst idea they've ever had... and it doesn't kick in until next next Oscars.

Spreadsheet is updated, as always check for mistakes, omissions, etc.

[mention]Iron_Dwarf[/mention]...

insertnamehere wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 12:24 pm

timmer wrote: ↑Sat Aug 04, 2018 11:40 am This weekend, we may possibly have all missed a dark horse for some awards... though it seems destined to be overshadowed by its splashier gay-conversion-therapy sibling with its big name celebrities, The Miseducation of Cameron Post is earning serious raves for its star Chloe Moretz. Alas... too late.

Not too late for me.

Oh dang, nice call INH, I didn't even realize she had been picked! Odds are the film gets rewarded more from the Indy Spirit type groups, but you never know at this time of year when someone can break out...

This weekend, we may possibly have all missed a dark horse for some awards... though it seems destined to be overshadowed by its splashier gay-conversion-therapy sibling with its big name celebrities, The Miseducation of Cameron Post is earning serious raves for its star Chloe Moretz. Alas... too late.

I guess we do need a time zone... technically midnight shows etc would hit the east coast first so the dead line is midnight Wednesday night EST. At 1201am EST it becomes Thursday and the film locks.

Many movies have preview screenings very late on Thursday so they technically lock in Thursday, i.e. the day before their official open.

Spreadsheet is updated.

Sorry for the delay in spreadsheet updating I have to wait until I can get alone on a work computer...

A few more small changes... Mary, Queen of Scots has shifted off of Nov. 2nd and moved to the first week of December. Holmes & Watson has moved from late November to late December.

Please note I've added Hot Summer Nights to July 27th, as Timothee Chalamet is in it.

No obvious top contender yet... lots of "actor-y" films but no home run...

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Fixed, thx!

Spreadsheet updated, please as always check for mistakes!

The Lobster got a screenplay nod... I think voters increasingly know Lanthimos and like him and The Favourite looks a bit less odd so... OSCAH

Mary Poppins Returns is moving from Dec. 25 to Dec. 19... may not sound significant but it puts it directly in the way of Aquaman and shows increasing confidence in the film.

Spreadsheet updated!

Spreadsheet updated.

Spreadsheet will be updated tomorrow from work.

In other news Boy Erased is moving from sep. 28 to Nov. 2 while On the Basis of Sex moves from Nov. 9 to dec. 25.

Spreadsheet updated.

The job isn't to have lots of money. Its to be one step away from elimination because you have so many oscar films on your roster!

My laptop is dead so I will update the spreadsheet from work tomorrow!

Lol...

Thx, I missed the last Bernadette moves!

Spreadsheet updated.

JJJ still killin with Deadpool 2
Golden moves up to 2nd spot with Ocean's 8 still truckin and a chunk of Incredibles 2
INH rams right into 4th with Incredibles 2
Incredibles 2 acting propelled MP7 as well, knocking DH down to 6th

Iron Dwarf is in the hot seat with 3 films opening already and none grossing $10 million, but only 1 acting spot has been burned so far so the season is early...

Spreadsheet updated. The only change in the standings is Golden passing DH for 3rd place, thanks to the Ocean's 8 premiere.

This Friday will be a big one with Incredibles 2 opening, and to a much lesser extent, Tag.

Now that Cate Blanchett is locked for oceans 8 I can mention that where'd you go Bernadette has been pulled and moved to march 2019...

Guys, in terms of the rules... first, it was posted at the very start. Second, it was mentioned after that at least once. I can't be held responsible if some of you missed it. Third, it's a key rule! It's strategy. If someone has a stinker of a film opening early, and is expected to have an awards contender open late, you have to ask yourself... do I grab them early, and suck up the box office of the stinker film, knowing that if their late-opening awards hopeful film gets bumped to 2019, I'm screwed? Or do I let them sit there, available, and wait for the stinker film to open and disappear from contention? That way, I can grab them after the turd opens and now if their awards film gets bumped, I'm not out anything, but... if I wait too long to grab them, someone else may take them, and I lose out...

It's a great risk/reward rule!

And of COURSE we have to be able to grab actors and films late in the year... it's free agency. It would not make any sense, if a film that right now NO ONE has on their radar, suddenly gets big at a festival... for us to say sorry, its sudden best actor hopeful is simply not a part of our league because 2 weeks ago, he was in some indie film...

So hopefully we can move on and continue the league as is. I'll just let Rico's team remain as a ghost.

Winning, no. Nominated? Almost guaranteed especially since he directed it and that will be a plus.

(Pretty sure I hit a home run with my man Bradley Cooper, on this one. Best Actor here we come!)

I'm honestly DYING in anticipation of Suspiria...

Spreadsheet updated... no change in the standings this week...

Big openers up next are Ocean's 8 and Hereditary...

Some items... imdb had the release date wrong for Isabella Rossellini's Silent Life, so that has been removed from the spreadsheet.

[mention]M Plus 7[/mention] you picked Paradox as a film. It had a listed release date of May 23rd, but it appears that it actually went to Netflix. I'm not sure of how to handle the rules for this, but as far as I'm concerned, no theatrical release means you don't need to hang onto the film, so it's your call, want to dump it and replace it? Or wait to see if it has a theatrical release in the future?

James Franco's Future World was supposed to open last weekend, but so far I can't find any box office, so stay tuned on that.

The Tale with Laura Dern had a TV premiere, not a theatrical premiere this week, so it has been removed from the spreadsheet, this concerns [mention]insertnamehere[/mention] who owns Laura Dern's contracts.

The only new film for us this weekend is Adrift.

Spreadsheet is updated...

I'll get that spreadsheet updated tonight

Biggest problem is budgetary. They had Solo about 75% done and then decided they hated it and fired the director. Ron Howard was brought in and the film was essentially started over... so when your budget ends up over $300 million and you made $100 In 4 days that's bad.

Compare that to Deadpool 2 with a $110 million budget and it made that back in 3 days.

Woof.

So this weekend brings Solo, of course, but also How To Talk To Girls At Parties, and a late addition, Elle Fanning will now also be represented this weekend by Mary Shelley, which I hadn't noticed earlier.

Spreadsheet updated.

Oh is brad pitt in deadpool 2?

No one will win this playing nice. It's fucking cut throat. But the rules are clear man I'm sorry.

Fwiw the single most profitable actor pick last year? Stan Lee.

Also keep in mind that dh had the option to pick any of at least 8 other actors with parts instead of crews so its not like crews represents a real exception. Dh used a spot to grab some deadpool money. Who he picked is a bit irrelevant.

The rules are there to be manipulated. Does it make sense to be able to play a first baseman in fantasy baseball as your second baseman because last season he played second base 5 times out of 162 games? No. But that's how the rules are written.

The rules for this league are very clear and public. Dh gets his payola.

Spike Lee won the second biggest prize at Cannes.

Week 2 updated: Golden takes the box office lead with a whopping $8.9 million total... neither Silent Life or Terminal registered any box office take, so they may or may not have even been released, stay tuned on that.

Friday brings the first major shift of the game with Deadpool 2

Just an FYI, BlacKkKlansman getting VERY solid reviews from the international press at Cannes today!

I think the game runs on the US metric because it culminates with the Oscars, which are American but yeah let's keep that thought until next season I think it could work

It would definitely add an interesting element to the game... once the contest is fully finished and discussions starts for a potential season 2, let's see where we are at at that time...

Just looking at the current numbers, there would be a crazy layer of scheming involved... a movie like Operation Red Sea has made only $1.5 million in the USA, but $579 million total worldwide...