The Syndicate

Sick ggs

Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sat Aug 19, 2023 11:20 am Also, yeah I'm awkward. If I had a nickel for the number of times I've been wrongly scumread for my early tone I'd be rich. Nutella's played enough with me to know that too.

I get that, but you also clean up a lot and your overall iso indicates a more calculated and planned approach while my "awkwardness" is naturally messy because I was uninformed. Once you settled into the thread you took on a very careful tone and have spun everything to your advantage while I've been kind of all over the place considering various angles

At least i now know it's not falcon and i got to the correct solve. Well played thunal

I also hate to invoke this kind of defense but I don't think I'd make it this far with this many townreads as wolf. Multiple players trusted me and i hope you take their reads into account too. Thunal is a much more capable wolf and has made herself appear solvy but it all fits her win con

Also I encourage looking back at the reasons scotty and i were confident thunal was going to be a hit in the midgame/on the day we had w/w wagons if it's her. I'm confident this is the solve

falcon45ca wrote: ↑Sat Aug 19, 2023 10:53 am

Thunal33 wrote: ↑Sun Aug 06, 2023 6:43 pm

Marmot wrote: ↑Sun Aug 06, 2023 6:23 pm I think it's rand townie that nutella has so many townleans right off the bat, but why are Rico and I not in that camp?

How can you as a math person say rand when you mean >rand?

Nutella and Scotty can have my first townleans.

So, going thru your ISO, this strikes me as your first 'solvey' post.



Your early stuff felt light & natural, getting to know you chit chat, and this feels like town who've got their eye out for sus

I disagree I thought her chit chat was quite awkward. And she's very adept at faking simple early reads

Thunal had tmi on me in the midgame and tried to pocket me by locking me more town than other people were. Now she is turning a case on me because she has to. Falcon, I recognize you've had some concerns about me but this is clearly my town game and i hope my perspectives come through to you

Thunal33 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 07, 2023 9:58 am I think Epi probably didn't know votes were locked. If Epi is mafia that faked not knowing votes were locked, what's his plan? To vote me, making his vote unavailable for anyone else later, and to risk it being seen as performative? I don't think it's a very good plan. I do have some paranoia after Belzy's snipe on me in Sesame Street, but I don't really think it's like that because he could easily have just voted me later.

Thunal33 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 07, 2023 10:08 am

nutella wrote: ↑Sun Aug 06, 2023 10:39 pm

Epignosis wrote: ↑Sun Aug 06, 2023 10:06 pm
Thunal is my partner.

I believe this

nutella wrote: ↑Sun Aug 06, 2023 10:40 pm Ah yes epi thunal falcon and marmot are the two mafia. Amazing what you can do in a fantasy setting

This pings me somewhat. Instead of trying to read around Epi's vote on me, Nutella brushes it off in a way that feels wolfy. Like she's keeping the option open to sus me and Epi but doesn't want to actually state a scumread on either of us.

Scotty is town. Accusing Epi of faking it is one of those things that's easier for a townie to think of.

I alludes to these quotes earlier and don't have as much time for iso diving but everything about thunals progression on me is just very convenient. And the scotty kill just fits most with her. There is actually no reason she has to be town here and I think much of the game makes a lot of sense with her being epi's partner. I also just think falcon has passed his bar of townieness plenty of times despite some rocky associations. @falcon45ca I hope it will be clear from my iso that i was never teamed with epi here and was onto both wolves at multiple times with my natural flipfloppy progressions. I leave it to you to find me and make the right choice.

[VOTE: thunal] aubergine

He'd had almost zero presence at that point

going to sleep on it and take one more look at isos tomorrow when i get a chance amidst travel stuff

expecting another ate wall or something

i think my early instinct that falcon is town has borne out again the last couple days while thunal if wolf has kinda skated on the luck of being semi cleared....and just from being cw to epi?? like yes shes been pretty good at making towny sounding posts but i know thats in her range and it kinda....makes the whole game make sense, as it were

agh both of your d1 entries are rouuugghhh

thunals is like a bunch of awkward fluff and then lightly defending epi's early vote and pushing me for pushing him

additionally she was one of the first players to near- lock me town later in the game and i had light fear of tmi/pocketing at the time

also it's likely relevant that scotty heavily pushed thunal earlier in the game and if i died and he was in f3 with her he'd be the most inclined to get there

Fff i actually have to consider thunal here tho

falcon45ca wrote: ↑Fri Aug 18, 2023 6:41 pm @nutella Where you at?

Im in quito actually suffering from altitude sickness but saw some pretty cool stuff today!! Off to the galapagos tomorrow

.....Wtf scotty not being in f3 is a huge load off lol

I'll have some paranoia of thunal sink in since i was expecting her to die but wow

[VOTE: ricochet] aubergine

@DrWilgy hammer

About to board my flight and want to hammer but also still fearing it's falcon looking at his early iso again ugh.

There are bits in ricos defense today that strike me as off perspective wise but i can really see it either way

In some ways Scotty makes more sense as a wolf actually playing to win here. Which worries me but i don't think we are getting there today if so. If this goes to f3 it's gonna suck but atp feels like we are sending it on rico

Yeah thunal prob actually dies over me anyway bc shes more likely to solve f3 correctly and not just flail around haphazardly like me smh

atp ive probably swapped my poe from falcon/you in some order to falcon/rico in some order so instead i lose if it's you, really good effort if it is bc you still make sense as a wolf from the first few days but your solving is convincing

i thought that myself not dying was a minor indicator for falcon (since he was pressuring me and not treating me as lock town) but it could also be rico wanting me to think that

Scotty wrote: ↑Wed Aug 16, 2023 2:47 pm

nutella wrote: ↑Tue Aug 15, 2023 5:20 pm i will be pretty unavailable starting thursday so it would be cool if we decided before then tbh

What happens if we miss today? Are you actually available for a potential f3?

Minimally but yes.

I'm kinda panicking today bc i seriously think it could be rico and that means it isn't a locked solve like i originally thought and i'm like almost tempted to vote him now but my brain says falcon

nutella wrote: ↑Thu Aug 10, 2023 12:40 pm I think it's more likely for me to have misread my PM than for Syn to be a wolf here.

I mean clearly i can be convinced of anything smh

Bleh ok maybe it's rico but he didnt see me say this for f3 wifom something something

Meh, if it's rico honestly i take the L bc i do not think it's particularly cool that he was allowed to 1-2 post for two days and remain in the game regardless thats just scuffed shit.

i will be pretty unavailable starting thursday so it would be cool if we decided before then tbh

Ugh im not dead
leaning falcon

[VOTE: syn] aubergine

yeah after typing that my heart is telling me scotty is the answer again. blehhh im confident my poe of 3 is completely correct and contains the wolf but it still feels really bad to pick the wrong one lol

i still dont really love scotty being dropped out of contention for today but at the same time i've softened on him too. just want to reiterate that if we're wrong today he should absolutely still be on the table, i think yeeting the three of syn/falcon/scotty in some order always wins the game and we shouldn't stray from that set

honestly idk why i locked syn as town so quickly his early posts seem awkward now

nutella wrote: ↑Tue Aug 08, 2023 1:54 pm I don't see myself ever voting for Syn or Falcon. (I mean, obviously I can't vote anymore today, but in the foreseeable future of the game.) I'm at close to betting the game levels on all our Canadian fellas being town.

this aged so well

glanced in both falcon and syn d1 isos and can p easily confbias falcon as town again and syn as wolf from early stuff tbh now that i look through that lens


also agree with this ig

Thunal33 wrote: ↑Mon Aug 14, 2023 1:42 pm I feel like Syn has actually cared more about how the thread sees him than Falcon has. Falcon does spend time saying he's town but his actual reads are so far out there that if he's wolf they're not doing him any favors.

so im leaning syn again

aaaaaa

blah

Right now my intent is to vote falcon but I will wait til closer to eod. I've had moments of wanting to go for both syn and scotty but they both have had posts today that convinced me theyre coming from a genuine town perspective. Falcon has very much not.

Falcon's posts quite patently suck. Out of touch in a way similar to Epi actually. Maybe it's just that simple.

im ok with a falcon vote from these analyses yeah

sorry im not doing work with the rest of yall today I have a headache and stuff and feel like the poe is at least solid

Yeah ok maybe

I am probably going to vote for Scotty

@Thunal33 I think the seemingly too on the nose hard defense route is actually quite plausible for Epi to take.

On the other hand I also thought the "Syn - purple" was a bad look, not a good one.

It is between the two for sure. I think Scotty feels more like a wolf by play today (and find him overall easier to retrofit as wolf than syn). Plus there was the prior confidence I had on him d2 for... some other reason. And my prior confidence was right on Epi so might as well listen to it again.

Yeah nvm I'm actually pretty set on scotty rn lol

Oh yeah scotty hugely fits too

Syn wrote: ↑Sat Aug 12, 2023 5:20 pm offhand nutella and I (especially me) look bad from interactions, svs looks good, thunal looks... probably good?

i did not bother thinking about scotty, marmot (RIP), and falcon and decided I'd wait and see what happened SOD first

Sup

Why shouldn't I just snapvote you rn

alright gl

Also I'll probably feel less bad on an Epi town flip than on a Thunal town flip. I just....would prefer a mafia flip of either one

Vote epi because I've been wrong on everything except when I've been right and changed my mind.

I do actually think Epi/Syn makes sense though and if so I will repent in the desert for getting pocketed by Syn.

SVS why have you still not voted though like we all know you are voting for epi and nothing is changing that so just do it?

It's down to @Ricochet to decide it lmao

Epignosis wrote: ↑Thu Aug 10, 2023 11:39 pm Syn - Purple

Syn wrote: ↑Fri Aug 11, 2023 3:56 pm i for one won't be making her answer for anything uwu

okay epi/syn is possible lol fuck

Thunal33 wrote: ↑Fri Aug 11, 2023 4:38 pm Looking over I still feel like Syn's whole reaction of making a difference check between me/Scotty makes sense if he's a wolf and Scotty is town. I probably should have listened to my earlier tinfoil instead of dismissing it. His reasoning on wanting to flip me first is really flimsy and I also think it makes sense for wolf Syn to not really go after the harder target in Scotty even though he voices suspicion on him.

Maybe. If you flip town I will seriously reevaluate Syn. If he's fooled me he's really taken advantage of being on my side today

S~V~S wrote: ↑Fri Aug 11, 2023 4:37 pm blatantly defending a partner who is also known to be a good wolf would be poor play.

Like why though lol. It's obviously not? Bussing is soooooo two thousand and late

Epi is certainly dead weight if town and yes I will feel silly if it was him after all, and I still won't complain if he ends up going over. It just also feels like the easy option and while yes sometimes it is the easy option it has not felt to me today like it is and I had to follow the hunch that has been building up.