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Return to “Will Quin beat me to 10,000 posts”
- Tue Nov 20, 2018 10:58 am
- Forum: The Speakeasy
- Topic: Will Quin beat me to 10,000 posts
- Replies: 29
- Views: 1642
Re: Will Quin beat me to 10,000 posts
It looks like I’m due for 20,000 in about 48 days.
- Mon Nov 19, 2018 4:18 pm
- Forum: The Speakeasy
- Topic: Will Quin beat me to 10,000 posts
- Replies: 29
- Views: 1642
- Mon Nov 19, 2018 12:49 pm
- Forum: The Speakeasy
- Topic: Will Quin beat me to 10,000 posts
- Replies: 29
- Views: 1642
Re: Will Quin beat me to 10,000 posts
If your all-time posts-per day statistics hold through 10,000, then Mac will reach the mark in 54.8 days. Quin will reach it in 72.9 days.
Mac is presently active in a game, which inflates posting rate. Quin is not. This provides Mac an additional advantage.
However, neither is likely to hit 10,000 during the current slate of games. The milestone will be attainable perhaps during A World Asunder, for which Mac is signed up and Quin is a "maybe". Present advantage Mac.
I am setting the spread then at -10 days in favor of Mac (so Quin is a +10 days underdog). I think that based on present information, Mac wins and covers the spread. The existence of this thread might motivate a change in the dynamic however.
Mac is presently active in a game, which inflates posting rate. Quin is not. This provides Mac an additional advantage.
However, neither is likely to hit 10,000 during the current slate of games. The milestone will be attainable perhaps during A World Asunder, for which Mac is signed up and Quin is a "maybe". Present advantage Mac.
I am setting the spread then at -10 days in favor of Mac (so Quin is a +10 days underdog). I think that based on present information, Mac wins and covers the spread. The existence of this thread might motivate a change in the dynamic however.