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by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:40 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

Voting Sprit for now. Vote data is a simplistic case but it’s a strong suggestion especially given how close the lynches were. Additionally while his posts haven’t particularly pinged me in the wrong way, they’ve given off the substance feel that scum would want without containing much content that could be incriminating.

Sprityo, convince me that someone else is maf.
You almost definitely won’t be able to do so on Jack.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 11:08 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

He was for about an hour before moving it to Colin which I criticized then too. It’s completely random to vote for someone you townread and then not vote for them and then vote for them again at the end of the day.

Now it resulted in us lynching scum but it also suggests some knowledge that a townie wouldn’t have.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 11:03 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

sprityo wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2019 10:54 am Wasn’t he already voting Sabie though most of the day before that?

@TSP
I don’t think so? Let me check. In any case he wasn’t close to EOD and there’s no reason why he would given Sabie’s position on his own rainbow list.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 10:33 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:11 pm
So an updated rainbow:
TonyStarkPrime
Macdougall

Glorfindel
Long Con

sabie
birdwithteeth
Jackofhearts

Dragomir
sprityo
Colin
Creature

Sloonei, you’ve probably answered this, but given this as your rainbow list just before EOD yesterday what compelled you to vote for Sabie over Creature?
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 10:28 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

MacDougall wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:42 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:21 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:17 pm That scene in the newest Halloween movie where Myers is in the house and you hear the baby cry and then he goes through the house and idr if he stops and looks at the baby or not but then he just leaves.

Fucking stupid.

If Myers is supposed to be evil personified, he would have no problem killing a baby. If you don’t want him to kill a baby in your movie, don’t put him in the same house as a baby.

Felt like the scene was written to make the audience go “oh no” and then to make everyone breathe a sigh of relief with no regard to plot or characterization. Basically a jump scare only less prevalent.

Rest of the movie was good though.
Technically I don’t examine ot content on principle but this is where I decided that Jack was town.
Wtf why?
:shrug: he just is
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 10:27 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

I fell asleep before posting this.

That wasn’t that much new stuff which is concerning. I’m gonna ISO sprityo again, but I think that’s the best place to start today. Sprityo maintained a safe but not too dramatic distance from sabie and hasn’t seemed up for much town discussion outside of a few pokes in the right direction. Colin is also a suspect in my mind because I think his votes have seemed opportunistic but he had good town indicative interactions with Sabie so that’s a step in the positive direction.

As far as the recruit candidate goes I’d be looking at Jack, Mac, Sloonei, and Creature mainly with potential in theory for other options (Glorf seems like it’d be a cruel joke but maybe ). Jack and Mac both posted very little in phase 0 so they seem like unlikely choices for the recruit. Sloonei and Creature were both town read in phase 0 with top post counts but apparently Creature hasn’t played much around here? And I townread sloonei. I think best bet is to keep looking for the master and hope the recruit becomes more obvious over time.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:26 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

Glorfindel wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 10:57 pm
birdwithteeth11 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 10:32 pm
MacDougall wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 8:08 pm Creature is talking like someone who was recruited imo.
And there it is.

Between you and Creature, I feel like I've seen a bigger change with Creature's behavior. So I would be more inclined to think he is the potential recruit over you.
Creature would (I think) be an odd choice as a recruit although the Mafia team wouldn’t have had anything to go on in terms of his play when they had to make their choice. Still, I think it’s unlikely. And I agree with you, I think you’ve been anything but useless since you’ve returned to us. I thought you’ve been most constructive in your comments and observations.
Has Creature not played much around here?
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:21 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:17 pm That scene in the newest Halloween movie where Myers is in the house and you hear the baby cry and then he goes through the house and idr if he stops and looks at the baby or not but then he just leaves.

Fucking stupid.

If Myers is supposed to be evil personified, he would have no problem killing a baby. If you don’t want him to kill a baby in your movie, don’t put him in the same house as a baby.

Felt like the scene was written to make the audience go “oh no” and then to make everyone breathe a sigh of relief with no regard to plot or characterization. Basically a jump scare only less prevalent.

Rest of the movie was good though.
Technically I don’t examine ot content on principle but this is where I decided that Jack was town.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:19 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

Spoiler: show
Sloonei wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:14 pm A more in-depth interactive sabie ISO
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 7:44 am So mac has given up on defending himself or making cases on people he accuses? Or does that not even need to happen anymore because in games I've played lately it seems like people don't have to bother to give reasons anymore. Every time I think mac is bad because he's given up and doesn't care I end up being wrong so I dont know.

As of right now I don't know for sure. I have such a hard time making reads day 1. The exchange between creature and epi was interesting but I thought that about creature and another player before and everyone was like oh that's not weird and they weren't bad so I don't know. Could they be teammates? Maybe but I feel like they wouldn't be that obvious about it.

I feel like Jack and spirityo are usually more quick to go around making accusations and getting people to talk but have been more cautious this day 1. BWT also was quick to say vote epi but didnt and hasnt said much other than that they didnt know if they checked in.

We have yet to hear from oreki colin and dragomir

I dont think I've ever played with TSP before so I dont have anything to go on. Sloonei and LC seem like they're usual selves at this point.
Glorfindel seems to be making an effort to follow Jimmy's guide and be like a super civ. Could be an effort to make sure they seem as civ as possible when maybe they aren't.
I've already talked about this post a handful of times, but it's important. LC and I are her only positive reads. Jack, sprit, and glorfindel have varying degrees of negativity around them, and Mac has the tiniest bit of shade. Everyone else just gets neutral mentions.
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 2:30 pm
ColinIsCool wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 2:06 pm Sabie, I see you. Give us your brain thoughts!
My thoughts are really not positive at the moment. Realizing how much I get killed off so quickly really makes me frustrated and upset and this game isnt supposed to make you feel that way. I am terrible at reading people day 1 and whenever I try people think I'm bad even though I'm not which has been just insanely frustrating for me.
Colin asks her for reads and she doesn't really supply them. Noted.
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 2:58 pm I guess for me my suspicion is towards Jack and spirityo as when civ they usually are more aggressive in scum hunting and posting and this game they seem less so.

I'm sorry I'm not super familiar with glorfindel didnt mean any offense in the accusation just speculating on things. TSP is putting in effort to be involved and producing reads. I'm not suspecting either of them at this time. I dont remember playing with either of them before so by saying I dont have a lot to go on I just meant I dont know their playstyle. They're probably doing better than I am at this point.

Mac has gotten me mislynched day 1 before but he was civ just had the wrong idea about me.
Reiterates the Jack and sprit suspicions. One or neither of them are bad. Idk. Jack is pushing for sprit right now, but that's exactly what he'd be doing if he was bad.

This is where she walks back the Glorfindel suspicion. Mr Stark is also given sabie's stamp of approval here. She besmirches Mac a little without really implicating him. Mac and Tony shared my top tier of town reads before we knew sabie was bad, and her flip only strengthened each of those reads.
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 3:45 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 3:06 pm
If only one of Jack and spirtyo is maf which is it
Make a case
Convince me
What I've found is that when Jack is a civ he goes after people asks questions gets discussion going gets really into it and posts a lot. As a baddie he wasn't like that he was a lot more chill. This game I haven't seen the usual civ Jack so far.


I guess the same could be said of bwt who you have voted for. As he also has not been as active as he was in the previous game where he was civ and has not provided much depth to suspicions and reads thus far this game.
When pressed to choose one or the other between her two suspects, she chooses Jack and then also pivots onto bwt out of nowhere. That part looks particularly opportunistic. I don't know if she's looking for an alternative to her teammate, Jack, or if she's just looking to broaden her horizons now that birdwithteeth is on the menu. Her vote ended up on Jack this day, which goes against the "jack is her teammate" argument.
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 5:10 pm Well out of the options currently being voted for Im more inclined to go with bwt as they have been voting with no explanation and haven't put forth as much effort as they normally do.
Epi could be bad with his hiding behind the video game speak but I always find him so hard to read.

I've said in multiple games that Jack has a different way of posting when good and bad. Other people also have utilized this knowledge of how people act in games to gauge what alignment people might be. Why does that make me bad? I sometimes feel like I must be speaking a different language because I think what I'm saying makes sense and everyone is always like whaaaaaaaa?? Whenever I post.
Yeah this doesn't look like a bus job. She wants Jack to get got. The vote.
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 6:49 pm I'm sorry BWT RIP! I agree this lynch was difficult because I felt I had some town reads but I was unsure about some of the less active players. I felt like it was out of character of Jack and spirityo to not be as involved as they usually are hopefully they'll come in and participate more. I'm still iffy on them. I think the shorter than usual day phase may have also caught some people off guard.
And to answer epis question mac has definitely been wrong about me before.
She kind of abandoned sprit for a while, but now that the lynch has passed he's back on the menu. Maybe I do want to lynch him. :ponder:
sabie12 wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:25 am I am trying to keep up. I really didnt want to go into my personal real life problems on here because who wants to hear me complain about my life and ruin this game no one. Basic is the boyfriend is very sick and I now work over 10 hour days at a high stress job.

I am trying to keep up. I don't even understand the suspicion on me or where it comes from. I keep trying to make an effort. It's like lately people just decide they want to suspect me and go for it.

Spirityo continues to not provide much of anything on the way of reads. Even after hes been under some suspicion haven't seen him be his usual aggressive self. I was also saying that about Jack but he did at least come back into it. Oreki and dragomir I assume are probably not planning on coming back at this point.

Creature is a hard one to read he came in on end of day and was all over the place with the votes and posting. I'll have to look more at that.

I will be at work for like forever but I'll try to check in. I didn't want to bail on the game. I'm glad for the extra time today. Putting my vote on no vote currently but will check in periodically.
Day 2 and sprit has seeminly leapfrogged Jack as her top suspect. Jack started getting more involved, which took away sabie's argument against him. She throws oreki and dragomir into the paragraph about sprit, and then follows it up with her first mention of Creature. Preliminary good look for Creature; this looks opportunistic.
sabie12 wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2019 8:59 pm Today was fun worked forever went to urgent care went to pharmacy finally home.
I get the creature suspicion. When looking at his ISO it's all just like maybe one sentence of random thoughts and changing suspicions. He was saying this game is too boring and people are uncreative with their votes and suspicions without really doing much delving into anything either. His end of day posting was just all over the place amd changing votes without trying to solve anything. He could have broken the tie but also did not.

Spirityo eh I'm still iffy on him. He maybe had some motive to kill epi as epi was kind of calling him out.
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:35 pm
MacDougall wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:30 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Mon Jun 24, 2019 7:26 pm The number of people here that wouldn’t lynch Glor if he said “I am town” but who are voting Creature is interesting.
That number appears to be two.
Lol and one is Glor. Awesome.
Unsure what that's all about exactly.
Still think Jack is acting weird but at least he kinda came back in.

I really have to do real life stuff I'm really trying to be here as much as I can.
She quietly jumps on board with the Creature wagon. Opportunism 101. Her line on sprit the whole time has been "he's iffy" and that read hasn't really progressed. I could see them as teammates, but that does not need to be the case.
Part of me wants to read that bottom portion as a soft, indirect defense of Glorfindel.

And that's where we're at. Creature and Mac look pretty good here, as does Jack. sprit is iffy. There are juicy bits involving Glorfindel, but I'm not completely sure which way to lean on those. I'd favor town for now, but those are open to interpretation.


I ran similar analysis and came up with different results but the general agreement is sprit looks bad. 2 mafia on the day 1 trains could explain why that was weird. Esp. with sprit gone at EOD. Sabie still would’ve wanted to vote BWT though.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:13 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

sprityo wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 12:29 pm Time for everyone’s favorite game where I get mislynched again

Should I roll over and die. Save my breath-

Or rebuke these false pretense messages that the above people say means something?
Hmm.
NAI?
I’d normally say maf but also 1) that’s meta dependent and 2) spirtyo posted this very early
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:11 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

birdwithteeth11 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 10:33 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 2:17 pm
birdwithteeth11 wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 2:15 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 8:01 pm
Creature wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 7:43 pm This became boring too soon.
Day 1 creature: I don’t like this too boring
Day 2 creature: I don’t like this it got boring
The night 1 kill reads to me as a very active candidate that the mafia team is trying to eliminate. So the stifling worthwhile discussion route might be in play here?
Interesting idea. Can you elaborate?
I mean, it wouldn't be the first time I've seen a mafia team try to quash discussion as much as possible by killing off the people who are talking/contributing the most. It lets them lead the civvies like lemmings if the civ team isn't super active/engaged through the whole game to an easy baddie victory.

But it was just a hunch and I would need more evidence than just one nightkill to confirm this idea.
What’s your continued thoughts on this with the LC kill? Who do you think would kill Epi and LC?
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 1:10 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Glorfindel wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:42 am
ColinIsCool wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 9:16 am Wild Wasteland tinfoil mode engaged. You are invited to come along
I’m not saying that your theory is beyond the realm of possibility but that’s one train I think I’ll refrain from jumping aboard for now, Colin. Realistically, it’s rather likely it will be a decision that will be taken out of my hands before very long.
I’m with Glorf on this. Possible? Yes. Probable? No.
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:52 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

Wait is today 48 hours? At the beginning it was 24
by TonyStarkPrime
Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:50 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 3)

Okay time for the nightly analysis.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 7:17 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Sloonei wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:52 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:42 pm Sloonei could you stop highlighting stuff in lime green? It doesn’t show well at all in my screen settings.
sorry. will make a note of it. i forget that not everyone's on the black background.
Thanks it’s no big deal just a very minor quality of life thing for all of us (I’m sure others exist somewhere) who use light background on phone
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 7:15 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Sloonei wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:52 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:42 pm Sloonei could you stop highlighting stuff in lime green? It doesn’t show well at all in my screen settings.
sorry. will make a note of it. i forget that not everyone's on the black background.
John 3:19
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:42 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Sloonei could you stop highlighting stuff in lime green? It doesn’t show well at all in my screen settings.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 6:27 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:32 pm Alternatively: Who is Sabie’s favorite player? :haha:
I think it’s you.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 5:53 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Oh apparently my Apple emojis don’t transfer well
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 5:53 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

birdwithteeth11 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:54 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:47 pm Sabie was around at EOD and “suspected” BWT and Sprityo, who ended the day tied with her at 2 votes each. She voted me to make it a 4 way tie instead of picking who dies between 2 players she suspected. 🤔

Jack is town and a prize mislynch but why didn’t she vote BWT or Sprityo? BWT was town.
Maybe she was planning to set me/BWT 1.0 up later on. It's the only conclusion that makes any sense to me there.
Maybe she knew she wasn’t actually in lynch contention? Not sure how but like maybe 🤷‍♂️
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 5:44 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

birdwithteeth11 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:58 pm
Sloonei wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:24 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:19 pm
Sloonei wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:15 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:11 pm
Sloonei wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:52 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:50 pm @Sloonei

Tell me I’m right about Creature’s meta.
:shrug: I've played one game with Creature. He was mafia. He didn't look too dissimilar to this, but I have been reading him as town since approximately 45 seconds before yesterday's deadline.
He’s posted like twice as much. You may not mislynch him, you fuzzy wuzzy wolf you.
Thanks for ignoring the part where I told you I'm town reading him.
Image
I do not feel like you are even trying to read me.
I don't feel like Jack is taking this game that seriously. Can anyone who's played with him before confirm or deny this?
He’s taking it seriously.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:24 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Also a very good look on Epi (who doesn’t need that because he’s dead) which might shed light on why mafia would want to make that kill.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:23 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Not quoting anything for first half of day two and I’ll leave EOD to more specific review when I’m a little more awake, but I’ll note that LC townreads Sabie in a few posts with a fair amount of explanation. Good look because it was looking like a sabie lynch was in the cards for most of the day and maf would want to distance to some extent. More telling would be people putting Sabie on middle places on rainbow lists and then not talking about the case for most of the day. That’s also half of everyone left. There aren’t any that really throw me off in that bunch.


Overall I’d say it’s the worst look for sprityo and Creature with a meh look for LC and Glorf and a good look for Colin and Mac with a nearly null look (surprisingly) on Sloonei.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:07 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 1)

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Jun 23, 2019 1:19 am Okay time to analyze EOD. This looks like it's going to be a nightmare.

Early thoughts before reread: I'm not sure what sloonei is doing but I'm still leaning town there. Sloonei put the 2nd/3rd? vote down on BWT which means that it could have been a jump to save a mafia teammate but it had been placed earlier than almost any of the other EOD votes (Mac on sabie being the first placed) which means that it was a stable choice and not, as it has been portrayed, an odd last second decision.

Sabie is scum or I can't read Sabie but given no meta knowledge seems scummy to me.
Weird that she didn't self pres vote but considering none of them did I'm gonna chalk it up to errors around the board.

Creature is either w/w with sabieor is being a knowingly stubborn town member. I'll take whatever participation I'm given though and I'm not going to lynch a top poster with no evidence on principle in the early game.

Not sure where JOH is. Buddy?

Epi and Mac are town.

Everything else I'll catch on review.
This was my night one analysis of how the day went down.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 2:02 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 1)

sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 6:49 pm I'm sorry BWT RIP! I agree this lynch was difficult because I felt I had some town reads but I was unsure about some of the less active players. I felt like it was out of character of Jack and spirityo to not be as involved as they usually are hopefully they'll come in and participate more. I'm still iffy on them. I think the shorter than usual day phase may have also caught some people off guard.
And to answer epis question mac has definitely been wrong about me before.
The constant pairing of Jack and sprityo is ~~interesting~~. Instinct says it’s 1 of each. Sloonei talks about this with his analysis of the first main Sabie post and suggests it’s more likely Jack IIRC. I’m not so sure but I’ll review. There being two mafia trains first day with a mafia member missing EOD or not knowing they were mafia yet could explain the nightmare that was day 1.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:56 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

Creature wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 5:41 pm
sabie12 wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 7:44 am As of right now I don't know for sure. I have such a hard time making reads day 1. The exchange between creature and epi was interesting but I thought that about creature and another player before and everyone was like oh that's not weird and they weren't bad so I don't know. Could they be teammates? Maybe but I feel like they wouldn't be that obvious about it.
Ugh, not sure I like this.
Relevant post read as you will
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:52 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

Creature wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 5:23 pm Wow sabie is such a wise lynch
Creature takes this route. I’m not doing this analysis again but it’s important to note that Creature throwing a temper tantrum disagreeing with the play style of the town ends up probably saving Sabie on day 1 and probably killing her on day 2. I’ll call both in conjugation a wash. Worth noting that Creature was the other one in lynch contention on day 2 (not that anyone needed to be reminded).
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:49 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

Glorfindel wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 5:01 pm
Epignosis wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 4:44 pm Civilian.
Mafia Sabie says in the post that Epi quoted above that she has a lot of experience with JackofHearts and that in that game she thought that he was Town on the basis that he was posting “lots of random stuff” and that when he’s Mafia, he is more “calm and reserved”. I find it interesting that she is making the same reference this game but framing* JackofHearts in the context of the paucity of his posts this game.

*I’ve not used this word in a way that suggests any deliberate attempt to mislead.

sabie12: I’m sorry, I understand your position and I’d hate to mislynch you but please understand that there is no malice at all in my vote on you, I’m simply applying my best judgement to what I’ve read here. I’m open to being convinced otherwise and I would certainly be interested at this stage to hear more from you in respect of your suspicions of JackofHearts.
Here’s the follow up on the Glorf post which suggests intent with the original. I didn’t remember this when i read the first post. I’ll call it a wash between the two. Also Glorf was the one who put a vote on Sabie and then moved it off by EOD.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:44 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

Spoiler: show
Glorfindel wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 4:39 pm
Epignosis wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 11:20 am Epignosis Pip-Boy 2000:

[Holodisk retrieved]

Civilian sabie:
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/search ... sf=msgonly
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 5:58 pm How did I not answer why I thought it was weird? Kyle is all over the place being like I'm not gonna read anything and then explaining what the rule is then accusing creature out of nowhere who had assumed they knew them from some other site. It's a strange interaction. What response are you looking for?
I think either one of them could be bad because they're both acting weird but I'm really not familiar with either of them or their play style. Mac has been uncharacteristically quiet this game.
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:06 pm
Creature wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:01 pm
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 5:58 pm I think either one of them could be bad
We're both town
See that's a weird thing to say unless you're townie teammates or something how would you know you're both town? Unless you're both bad and kyle is distancing from you.
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:24 pm
birdwithteeth11 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:18 pm
Creature wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:15 pm I hope sabie12 doesn't genuinely think I claimed info that Kyle is town.
I don't think she is. But her facepalm-inducing reaction came off as someone trying to make a whole lot out of nothing. Same with Sokoth tbh.
No I just thought it was a weird way of saying things. Saying we're both town. Idk maybe that's what people say to say I have a town read on someone while also defending yourself and I've just never seen that before.

I'm willing to vote creature or indiglo.
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:45 pm I'm willing to vote creature because I find him to be sketchy with his playstyle and fluffy opening posts. The weird wording of things and claiming to know kyle. Just thought the whole interaction was weird. I explained why I thought it was weird but apparently that wasnt good enough.
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:52 pm
juliets wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 6:44 pm
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 5:58 pm How did I not answer why I thought it was weird? Kyle is all over the place being like I'm not gonna read anything and then explaining what the rule is then accusing creature out of nowhere who had assumed they knew them from some other site. It's a strange interaction. What response are you looking for?
I think either one of them could be bad because they're both acting weird but I'm really not familiar with either of them or their play style. Mac has been uncharacteristically quiet this game.
sabie, you say you think either of them could be bad because they are both acting strange but then go on to say you're not familiar with either of them or their play style. I just don't understand that at all. Strange as compared to what? Also, I would think you would know by now but maybe you've missed it, Mac is from the other side of the world and is asleep during the day when we are all posting. He's always quiet during the day, it's not uncharacteristic.

linki

I wasn't accusing mac just saying he usually posts more in general that's all. I know hes in a different time zone.

I just meant I thought the interaction and wording of things was weird but I dont know if they're always like that. Like it seems weird to me but maybe that's just how they usually talk. Like how they don't know how I usually play and that I have a hard time coming up with a lot of reads initially.
Every time I try to I am judged very harshly saying I dont have good enough reasons or explanations when its day 1 and theres not a lot to go on.
sabie12 wrote: Sun May 19, 2019 7:04 pm Those of you that know me know how disheartening this is for me for this to happen to me again. I try so hard to participate and throw out ideas and get better and people just shut me down.
[Holodisk retrieved]

Mafia sabie:
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/search ... sf=msgonly
sabie12 wrote: Sat May 18, 2019 7:21 am I can see both sides of the argument on gth reads. I always end up not being around when they happen so I always miss it. This early I kinda struggle to have any good reads on anyone so it's hard to decide that quickly. At the same time I also get slooneis point that it gets a conversation going and moves things in a direction. From what I've seen slooneis usual goal is to try to post a lot and get people talking in the beginning of the game.
sabie12 wrote: Sat May 18, 2019 8:09 pm
Sloonei wrote: Sat May 18, 2019 1:34 pm
sabie12 wrote: Sat May 18, 2019 7:21 am I can see both sides of the argument on gth reads. I always end up not being around when they happen so I always miss it. This early I kinda struggle to have any good reads on anyone so it's hard to decide that quickly. At the same time I also get slooneis point that it gets a conversation going and moves things in a direction. From what I've seen slooneis usual goal is to try to post a lot and get people talking in the beginning of the game.
Hey sabie. Let's start with the players you know best: what do you think of Epi, nutella, juliets, and me so far?
Well you are doing what you normally do in making long posts getting people talking asking questions etc which has a lot of times been town sloon. I feel like you and nutella have had a back and forth thing in some games before. She's usually kinda back and forth on things so I find her hard to read. Juliets is always so nice so shes hard to read too. Epi appears to be his usual self at the moment.
You left out some other people I usually play with. jack who I feel like is doing his usual town jack stuff at the moment where he posts a lot of random stuff. That time he was bad he was way more calm and reserved it seemed.
I always tend to think mac and speed are bad which is probably unfair of me.
The newer people I think are just kinda trying to work out how we play on this site.
Still dont feel like I have solid reads for sure about people but I'm trying to keep up with everything. This day 0 has been crazy.
sabie12 wrote: Mon May 20, 2019 1:57 am Hey I was busy dying a horrible death in better off Ted mafia so now that that's over I'm back over here.
From the people who currently have votes wilgy is iffy because I remember leading an accidental mislynch on him on another game for acting how he is now. Drogomir idk them I'll have to read a bit more from them. Sloonei seems like normal town sloonei as of right now
Nutella is always kinda back and forth and I've seen her and sloonei go back and forth before like that but I dont think they were teammates.
Lux I can see where the suspicion came from there. The wording of their posts and that comment about the mafia teams was a little suspect.
Juliets I would have to read again as I don't recall what she's even said so far.
And now as I was typing sloonei changed the vote to ultra. Is that due to all that mechanics talk ik the beginning trying to get the cop role to out themselves?
sabie12 wrote: Mon May 20, 2019 3:23 pm Out of the people currently with votes I think my suspicions are more towards lux.
Nutella is iffy and difficult to read because she is often pretty wishy washy as people said but I think right now I feel worse about lux.
I dont think cooler has really said much of anything and ultra idk I just figured they're new and trying to figure out how we do things.
I will take a look at some of the other people mentioned as well and reread lux iso.

Also I think I saw juliets you have been having a hard time I do hope you're okay!
I've had some stuff come up irl as well that has held me back from participating as much as I'd like to. My uncle unfortunately passed last week so I've had some family stuff going on.
Analysis: Mafia sabie is wordier in contrast to civilian sabie. Civilian sabie expresses firmer Day 1 opinions than Mafia sabie. Mafia sabie indulges in hedging language more frequently than civilian sabie.

Sample size: Small

Conclusion: 67% Fallout sabie is mafia sabie.

[End of Report]
@Epignosis In the second example you quoted above, Sabie made reference to JackofHearts. Can you please confirm his alignment in that game for me?
This post has been discussed a bit. It’s easy to see it as Glorf doing his research and trying to find well evaluated positions but I read it as scum trying to score cheap points for doing so. I feel like it’s a semi-random example from the list and it’s easy enough for Glorf to find the info he’s looking for by clicking on the arrow next to the post. Also very indirect contact with the case.
by TonyStarkPrime
Wed Jun 26, 2019 1:36 am
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

ColinIsCool wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 2:06 pm Sabie, I see you. Give us your brain thoughts!
Day 1 review:

Up to this point LC and Sprityo both discuss the Sabie case but don’t interact with sabie which is mildly suspicious but it’s not like there was much interacting to be done. Sloonei also discusses the case but at least links to the Sabie post. Colin on the other hand at least tries for discussion. Good look for Colin.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 7:02 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Okay some cursory vote analysis.

Mac was on Sabie for most of day 1 and all of day 2
Creature switched to Sabie at the end of day 2 (10 minutes left, I'm not sure if his vote switch was before or after mine)
Sloonei switched to Sabie at the endish of day 2 and then switched back to Sabie at the end of the end of day 2
Colin switched to Sabie with 3 hours left in day 2 (notably only other vote at this time was Mac)
LC voted for Sabie during day 1 but switched off after Epi's post and then didn't return to the case at all day 2
I think someone else voted for Sabie but switched off at some point? nothing serious

good luck for Mac my top town read, worst look overall for LC but I think he's town. That might need to be revisited.

Creature gets the most townie points for this in my opinion of the other 3 voters today but it could have been calculated distancing
Colin voted when Sabie wasn't in Lynch contention
Sloonei voted, then switched off, then came back when it looked like Sabie was very likely to get lynched. Props for making it a decisive vote though.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:26 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 1)

Creature wrote: Sat Jun 22, 2019 5:23 pm Wow sabie is such a wise lynch
Creature wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:21 pm [mention]MacDougall[/mention]

We got sabie lynched now
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:20 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:19 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:19 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:18 pm Well I knew that was gonna happen.
?
Self-deprecating sarcasm.
Oh well now I feel dumb.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:19 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Sloonei can now see the future
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:19 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (NIGHT 2)

Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:18 pm Well I knew that was gonna happen.
?
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:10 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Long Con wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:08 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:06 pm Is mafia ever that unaware of how their powers work? Maybe I guess but I wouldn’t bet on it.
Yes. When they're faking.
Fair.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:06 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Is mafia ever that unaware of how their powers work? Maybe I guess but I wouldn’t bet on it.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:03 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Long Con wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:02 pm
Creature wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:00 pm Oh right, didn't read it right

The new supermutant is probably aware they are scum by now
How had you read it?
Presumably that they just never know :spooky:
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 6:00 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

I’d rather Sabie than Creature if that’s what it’s gonna be. As much as I want to punch creature sometimes.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:26 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

This game needs ranked choice voting.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:20 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:18 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:15 pm
Also is this player salad someone explain why or why not before an angry crocodile attacks me
This is a list of reads. Lists of reads are A Nice Thing. Player Salad is when somebody is just meandering through a post and arbitrarily throws out some names like, "I could lynch X, Y, & Z. Maybe W." without clearly articulating a reason to lynch any of those people, usually just lumping them in under one blanket suspicion.
I’m not sure how that’s different from what I did but okay I’ll accept that people who I trust know how to use this for reading.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:18 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

I’m not correcting the numerous word errors in that it’s readable.

To clarify I’m most willing to lynch from top to bottom for those who are bad at comprehension.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 5:15 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

I’m not up for rainbows right now (phone) but I’ll make a people I think we should lynch in order up of willingness to lynch them:

Colin
Sprit
Sabie
gap
Sloonei
Creature
gap
Glorf
Jack
Dragomir

For a game that started off with so many town reads it’s weird that I’m down to two town reads and a guy who just joined two hours ago on my do not lynch list. I’ve iso’ed most of the top of this list recently and no one really sticks out to me as significantly more mafia than the others. I’ll follow this list in voting. If you don’t like this place on the list you have about a half an hour to convince me that it’s wrong.

Also is this player salad someone explain why or why not before an angry crocodile attacks me
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:25 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Creature wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:20 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:08 pm
Creature wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:07 pm Will Oreki ever be replaced?
he already has been.
Oh, then who replaced Dragomir?
As far as I can tell nobody
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:23 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

No I’m not saying it’s suspicious because you switched your vote if you wanted to involve Sabie more in the conversation that’s a fine reason but 1) that’s something mafia would do and 2) you gave a weird excuse about Creature complaining


Unrelated:
aubergine vote Colin
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:13 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:12 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:08 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:01 pm That said don’t feel comfortable with Sloonei switching to Sabie
why not?

my primary motive was to take Creature's rattle away. I don't consider my sabie vote to be anything like a final vote. But I do maintain a light, if somewhat unsubstantiated, suspicion against her. I'll be more confident one way or the other once I've ISO'd her.
Fair. It looked opportunistic to me, allowing for more options to protect against being lynched. But I’ll hold suspicion.
Also I don’t think Creature needs excuses to rattle.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:12 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

Sloonei wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:08 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:01 pm That said don’t feel comfortable with Sloonei switching to Sabie
why not?

my primary motive was to take Creature's rattle away. I don't consider my sabie vote to be anything like a final vote. But I do maintain a light, if somewhat unsubstantiated, suspicion against her. I'll be more confident one way or the other once I've ISO'd her.
Fair. It looked opportunistic to me, allowing for more options to protect against being lynched. But I’ll hold suspicion.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:10 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

sprityo wrote: Tue Jun 25, 2019 3:37 pm Me personally. I just don’t like what creature has posted thus far.

Sloon is giving me bad gut heeby jeebies

And like someone said before, jack is just coasting and hasn’t been involved to the standard I expect from him
Jack is coasting. I think that’s NAI? Both town and maf Jack would theoretically be more involved. And he’s done less to that extent today though he still hasn’t been giving as much energy as I’d expect. Typically from maf Jack I’d expect coasting later but he’s smart enough to know that he could get by with it in this game if he’s maf.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Jun 25, 2019 4:01 pm
Forum: Previous Side Missions
Topic: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)
Replies: 1372
Views: 33912

Re: Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (DAY 2)

That said don’t feel comfortable with Sloonei switching to Sabie

Return to “Fallout: A Post-Nuclear Mafia Game (END)”