The Syndicate

DharmaHelper wrote:

insertnamehere wrote:So, let me preface this by saying that I am by no means, an expert at coding. This was the first really big program that I've decided to make. It could work, it could not, I'm going to try and see.

I've created a program that goes into every poster's game history, specifically games where they were bad, and sees what their top phrases or words are. It then contrasts those with the top words or phrases from a persons post history when they were good. It then eliminates the words that were on both lists, leaving us with that person's tells. After that, it goes into this thread, and sees how many times someone uses words or phrases identified as tells. The higher that number is, the more likely chance you are to be bad. This was a bitch to make, and it's something I've worked on for a long time, a bit of a pet project if you will.

Now, of course, because of the limited sample size, the program is more likely to be incorrect these first few days, but, as more and more people post, I know more and more about their role.

To summarize, I'm the NSA now, bitches.

It took you 4 days to write 9 roles. Nice try.

juliets wrote:

thellama73 wrote:I just looked back at 2013's Game of Champions, and note that nobody voted for the game I hosted in the Day 0 poll, just as nobody has voted for any of the games I hosted in this Day 0 poll. Why are you people not giving good performances (your best performances!) in games I host?

I voted for your nomination for best host for side games, does that count?

Metalmarsh89 wrote:

thellama73 wrote:I just looked back at 2013's Game of Champions, and note that nobody voted for the game I hosted in the Day 0 poll, just as nobody has voted for any of the games I hosted in this Day 0 poll. Why are you people not giving good performances (your best performances!) in games I host?

I dropped out of Film Noir. I played shitty in Occultism. And though Oblique was one of favorites of 2014 and most fun to play, I do not believe it translates to being a crowning acheivement for me.

I notice that the more epic full games garner more votes than speed games. Their length does tend to make them more memorable, as it is definitely more difficult to play well and stay alive for 12+ days than for 6-7 days. I don't believe you hosted any full games this year, did you?

Snow Dog wrote:

S~V~S wrote:Apparently we are still waiting for people to check in?

No, that's the 727 game. We are all checked in and actually in flight.

MovingPictures07 wrote:

S~V~S wrote:Apparently we are still waiting for people to check in?

Yeah, there are definitely players I haven't seen yet.

Snow Dog wrote:

thellama73 wrote:

MovingPictures07 wrote:

S~V~S wrote:Apparently we are still waiting for people to check in?

Yeah, there are definitely players I haven't seen yet.

Not very champion-like if you ask me.

Kind off half assed if you want my opinion

Metalmarsh89 wrote:We could set a record for most modkills before Day1.

Dom wrote:yes!

S~V~S wrote:I did not know who Michael Buffer was, so I Googled him and he is a pretty interesting guy. I am sorry to see him go.

Dom wrote:

Boomslang wrote:Excellent, game on. The Day 0 poll really doesn't give us much to go on compared to previous games, but those who failed to check in are certainly the outliers here.

Does being an outlier make them bad?

DharmaHelper wrote:Humorous antics are an often effective way to deflect suspicion in the early days of mafia games.

Roxy wrote:I will be voting for the first person that votes for a low poster/non voter.

Spacedaisy wrote:Are votes changeable in this game? I hate that...

Roxy wrote:Now I want to vote llama for using the word idiom :/

Metalmarsh89 wrote:

Made wrote:

Metalmarsh89 wrote:

S~V~S wrote:I tend to ignore Llamas humor though ( ) and pay attention to his suspicions.

So we should pay attention. If you are NK'd it will probably be llama's doing?

Biggest ping so far. What are exactly are you trying to say here MM

llama is never lynched for being bad, only for being llama. So just like in Zelda, he might try to get SVS NK'd if he is bad, since she has good insight on his playing ability.

DharmaHelper wrote:Alright already, calm down. Its a slightly less common phrase than you thought. No need to make a federal case out of it.

DharmaHelper wrote:

thellama73 wrote:Timmer comes off the Apollo Doctrine list! That leaves:
Mongoose
Lorab
and Hedgebaddie.

Just so I'm clear, you are resolved to vote a low poster despite the discussion that has been going on?

Made wrote: Just a thought-- do players conform to their own play style benefit themselves further when they are mafia or just because of predisposition?
Not directed at you in particular Juliet, but also Llama and MP, 3 players who have very unique and recognizable play styles.

Metalmarsh89 wrote:

thellama73 wrote:Timmer comes off the Apollo Doctrine list! That leaves:
Mongoose
Lorab
and Hedgebaddie.

And Mongoose has posted in other places.

Roxy wrote:

thellama73 wrote:

Metalmarsh89 wrote:

thellama73 wrote:Timmer comes off the Apollo Doctrine list! That leaves:
Mongoose
Lorab
and Hedgebaddie.

And Mongoose has posted in other places.

She will probably get mad at me for saying this, but she told me she is avoiding logging onto the site because she doesn't want to be asked to do Socky Award related business.

LOL Non one is forcing her to do Socky Award related business. She doesn't have to do it if she does not want to. Please tell her she can unvolunteer anytime. I really wish she would have told me or splints I feel horrible about this. I do not want to upset Mongoose in any way.

Roxy wrote:No I wont lynch her - this is not funny or anything to make light of.

DharmaHelper wrote:Llama stirring up trouble and spreading lies? Are you sure we're talking about the same guy?

Snow Dog wrote:

thellama73 wrote:

Made wrote: Just a thought-- do players conform to their own play style benefit themselves further when they are mafia or just because of predisposition?
Not directed at you in particular Juliet, but also Llama and MP, 3 players who have very unique and recognizable play styles.

Speaking for myself, I think I conform to my own playstyle more when I civilian, whereas when I am bad I am more careful not to come across as suspicious. Having a team that I don't want to let down makes me a more conscientious, and therefore less freewheeling and prone to random antics, sort of player.

Is this true? And if it was would you freely admit it and endanger future games? Maybe you are just hiding the fact that you are bad now.

Boomslang wrote:

insertnamehere wrote:

Boomslang wrote:

Dom wrote:

Boomslang wrote:Excellent, game on. The Day 0 poll really doesn't give us much to go on compared to previous games, but those who failed to check in are certainly the outliers here.

Does being an outlier make them bad?

My reasoning is that, if the majority of players are civvies, then the majority/average action taken is most likely to be civvie. It's not perfect, but it's playing the odds.

So, the majority of players are civvies, right? And the majority of the people playing this game are men, right? So, therefore, all women are evil and we must lynch all of them.

But really, this is a pretty stupid thing to say. It makes me a little bit nervous about Boomslang, and sounds like a pre-emptive defense for when someone accuses him of being too "blendy" and not coming up with original ideas.

Another player who's caught my eye is DH. He's been fucking hilarious this game, and is almost a parody of how some people play mafia. I'm pretty sure this is intentional, but it reminds me a lot of my very special performance in the first Champions game. It's enough to get both an eye-brow raise and a salute from me.

*facepalm* Yes, INH, that's exactly what I'm saying. Justifying sexism from mathematical reasons... I'm disappointed you took my argument off the slippery slope right off the bat.

DharmaHelper wrote: No offense, but I didn't quite find you relevant enough to discuss. Comparatively speaking, I have bigger fish to fry.

Boomslang wrote:Metalmarsh, I'm not arguing about conformism. I'm arguing that, because there are more civs than mafia in the game, any given group of players is more likely to be composed of more civs than mafia. The largest, i.e., majority, group is thus most likely to contain the most civs.

DharmaHelper wrote:

zeek wrote:I'm probably going to vote for one of the more active players today. No other reason except I doubt all the mafiosa will just sit back in the big game. More inclined to give the benefit of the doubt to the quiet ones at this stage in the game.

Says one of the quiet ones.

Boomslang wrote: Well, if you look at what everyone else is doing, they're picking at outliers: too early of a vote, too talkative, too aggressive, not posting enough. So... just saying.

Long Con wrote:

thellama73 wrote:YOu know all about other players' comments messing with your game, don't you, LC?

Ha! Indeed I do. So do you trust me this time?

...

Don't answer that.

Snow Dog wrote:

DharmaHelper wrote:Picked my partner.

Also, RIP MM

Damn you, I wanted Llama!

Made wrote: Exactly what I was getting at, I think it's fair to say we now shouldn't assume anything if you or Llama were NK'ed

Made wrote: linki- well shit, rip MM. I still think DH is hellatown.