Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]

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Who must be stopped?

Poll ended at Thu Mar 22, 2018 5:26 pm

Speedchuck (Dunya)
2
11%
Nutella
0
No votes
Colonialbob
3
17%
Sig
0
No votes
Kites
0
No votes
The suspense is killing me (host/dead/non)
13
72%
 
Total votes: 18
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Iron_Dwarf
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 5]

#6101

Post by Iron_Dwarf »

Epignosis wrote: Wed Feb 28, 2018 9:32 pm
Iron_Dwarf wrote: Wed Feb 28, 2018 4:39 am [VOTE: Marmot] aubergine

There is just hardly a contribution. Seems like under the radar scum behavior.
Iron_Dwarf wrote: Wed Feb 28, 2018 4:40 am
lapluie wrote: Tue Feb 27, 2018 11:24 pm My vote still stands for nutella

[VOTE: NUTELLA ] aubergine
I might buy a ticket for this train though.
Do you have any convictions?
Actually, I do. If you look at my iso I'm not changing opinions that easily.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6102

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

I haven’t checked all the pm time stamps (this mechanic also put in place because I hate myself) to see who can promote yet if you got your actions in by the 12 hour mark and voted every day and have no modifiers based on your background, you should be able to promote. Send me your promotion choice and I’ll send you your new role.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6103

Post by sprityo »

Iron_Dwarf wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:54 am
sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:38 am Also Nutella is highly likely to be town now
For going where the majority went?
Unless quin has been trying to distance from Lapluie and Nutella all game, Nutella was the most resistant against quin
Epignosis wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 11:46 pm You all are terrible at this.
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:How does it feel to be the Best Civilian Player on the Syndicate?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6104

Post by speedchuck »

sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:58 am
Iron_Dwarf wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:54 am
sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:38 am Also Nutella is highly likely to be town now
For going where the majority went?
Unless quin has been trying to distance from Lapluie and Nutella all game, Nutella was the most resistant against quin
I agree with this. Voting Nutella in the poll.
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Speedchuck wins the "Jack Torrance Has Always Been The Caretaker" award.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6105

Post by Kites »

yay :D

Btw jack gwilly is already green so he shouldn’t be in the poll
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6106

Post by nutella »

W00oooOOOo00t
to the spoiler go the victories:
Spoiler: show
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6107

Post by nutella »

this could've been day 1 yall
to the spoiler go the victories:
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6108

Post by sprityo »

nutella wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:08 pm this could've been day 1 yall
I mean yes, however Epi really wanted the BTSC chat so we got a no lynch
Epignosis wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 11:46 pm You all are terrible at this.
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:How does it feel to be the Best Civilian Player on the Syndicate?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6109

Post by nutella »

ah true you got that perk. also I didn't die. :p
to the spoiler go the victories:
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 5]

#6110

Post by Kites »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:19 am [7] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii
[4] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin, Epignosis
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway, Kites
hey I voted :nicenod:
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 26#p416026
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6111

Post by speedchuck »

Reminder of the playerlist, near-townfirms, and my more confident reads.

Town:
rabbit8
Dr White
ColinIsCool
TonyStarkPrime
JaggedJimmyJay
MacDougall
Long Con
DrWilgy


Mafia:
Quin


Remaining:

Speedchuck
DDL
Marmot
Epi
Sprit

nutella
RDW
Kenway

Kylemii
gwil
lapluie
cbob
Kites
sig
Iron_dwarf
SIGNATURE:
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Speedchuck wins the "Jack Torrance Has Always Been The Caretaker" award.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6112

Post by colonialbob »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:58 am I haven’t checked all the pm time stamps (this mechanic also put in place because I hate myself) to see who can promote yet if you got your actions in by the 12 hour mark and voted every day and have no modifiers based on your background, you should be able to promote. Send me your promotion choice and I’ll send you your new role.
Just post them in the thread, way easier. :mafia:
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6113

Post by gwilikers6 »

Kites wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:05 pm yay :D

Btw jack gwilly is already green so he shouldn’t be in the poll
What does this mean?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6114

Post by gwilikers6 »

Oh wow, did I win the poll yesterday?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 5]

#6115

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

Kites wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:15 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:19 am [7] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii
[4] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin, Epignosis
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway, Kites
hey I voted :nicenod:
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 26#p416026
It’s always complain complain with you players. “Jack didn’t count my vote” “Jack didn’t send me my night results.” “Jack locked the thread and now we can’t play.” When I was your age, we didn’t even have mafia. We had to play murder in the dark. Just be happy you aren’t shaking hands with an overly sweaty Rico.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6116

Post by colonialbob »

Feel like D4 should be our starting point, no?

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck

Speedunya is still likely town, and for now let's eliminate DDL and Marmot as his townclears. That gives us:

sig, Kites, I_D, gwil, and RDW

(I don't think all 5 mafia were on Wilgy, in fact I'd guess at least one was on Quin, but let's PoE the safer option first before we worry about that.)
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Re: kFire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6117

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

“Jack put me in the poll even though I got recruited yesterday.” Some of us have real problems, you know. I don’t. But some people do.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6118

Post by Kites »

ok im sorry jack :cry:
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6119

Post by gwilikers6 »

Recruiting apparently does absolutely nothing cuz I had no idea.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6120

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

Kites wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:46 pm ok im sorry jack :cry:
Ten points to Gryfindor for a heartfelt apology.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6121

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

colonialbob wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:38 pm Feel like D4 should be our starting point, no?

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck

Speedunya is still likely town, and for now let's eliminate DDL and Marmot as his townclears. That gives us:

sig, Kites, I_D, gwil, and RDW

(I don't think all 5 mafia were on Wilgy, in fact I'd guess at least one was on Quin, but let's PoE the safer option first before we worry about that.)
I'm making a Day 1 Megapost that is about to blow your socks off.

Give me a few minutes.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6122

Post by Kites »

colonialbob wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:38 pm Feel like D4 should be our starting point, no?

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck

Speedunya is still likely town, and for now let's eliminate DDL and Marmot as his townclears. That gives us:

sig, Kites, I_D, gwil, and RDW

(I don't think all 5 mafia were on Wilgy, in fact I'd guess at least one was on Quin, but let's PoE the safer option first before we worry about that.)
wilgy lynch was done basically in memory of JJJ lol. well this is what started it
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Feb 20, 2018 10:49 pm~ My top suspect is DrWilgy. Beyond the fake dunya crap, I also think he's by nature a high-chance don selection. Everybody loves Wilgy and would be pleased to have his unpredictable nonsense on their team with them.
and townclearing people cos they aren’t suspects of a person who isn’t your suspect is ridiculous
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6123

Post by speedchuck »

Poll Resetti'd.

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Voted for Nutella again.
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Speedchuck wins the "Jack Torrance Has Always Been The Caretaker" award.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6124

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

DDL presents
G-Man's Technicolor Vote Analysis
DAY 1

First, let's list all the votes that were cast in Day 1. Credits to my Enter key for enduring the abuse that was necessary to search for the word "vote" hundreds of times, since aubergines didn't exist yet.

Spoiler: show
DDL - Kylemii
Jay - Mac
Marmot - Epignosis
Marmot - Wilgy
Nutella - Mac
Mac - Bob
Jay - Sprityo
Mac - Bob
DDL - Mac
Jay - lapluie
Dunya - Epi
LC - TSP
Bob - rabbit8
Nutella - TSP
DDL - Sprityo
Dunya - Quin
TSP - Kylemii
Kites - Epi
LC - Marmot
Marmot - Epi
RDW - Marmot
Jay - Dr. White
Marmot - Epi
Epi - Colin
mac - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Gwilkers - Nutella
Bob - Colin
mac - Nutella
ID - DDL
Sig - Rabbit8
Dunya - Nutella
Bob - Rabbit8
Colin - Nutella
Kenway - TSP
ID - Epi
Bob - lapluie
DDL - Kenway
Bob - Rabbit8
RDW - Epi
DDL - Rabbit8
DDL - Kenway
Wilgy - Dunya
Nutella - Quin
DDL - Quin
Jay - Quin
Bob - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Marmot - Quin
Kylemii - Quin
LC - Quin
Jay - Nutella

Now let's give a treatment to this data. I will list every single one of those votes in order, but instead of naming vote the voter and the votee, I will just name the former, and use a color to represent the later.

DDL
Jay
Marmot
Marmot
Nutella
Mac
Jay
Mac
DDL
Jay
Dunya
LC
Bob
Nutella
DDL
Dunya
TSP
Kites
LC
Marmot
RDW
Jay
Marmot
Epi
mac
RDW
Gwilkers
Bob
mac
ID
Sig
Dunya
Bob
Colin
Kenway
ID
Bob
DDL
Bob
RDW
DDL
DDL
Wilgy
Nutella
DDL
Jay
Bob

RDW
Marmot
Kylemii
LC

Jay

Key:

Quin - Red
Nutella - Green
Epignosis - Purple
Rabbit8 - Orange
TSP - Dark Blue
MacDougall - Light Blue
Others - White

Now, the point here is to see the bandwagons forming and growing. From this list, we see that for most of Day 1, the thread did not know what to do. We can see there was an initial attempt to bandwagon Mac, which people eventually gave up on. There were some tentative votes on Quin that got abandoned. Then we have the slow growth of the Epi vote, as people got annoyed by the "Exercise". That wagon was accompained, but never surpassed, by the Rabbit8 one.

Later on, the Nutella wagon begins, and it grows fast. Suddenly it beats every wagon and it's leading with 5 votes, from RDW, Gwilkers, Mac, dunya and Colin, 2 of which we know were civs.

The day seems like it will be a battle between Nutella and Epi, with rabbit8 running behind.

Suddenly, something happens. Nutella decides to act on her previously stated suspicions about Quin.

The bandwagon is formed, and it grows with a storm. I jump, then Jay, then Bob. Then Marmot, then Kyle and then LC. This was a legit CFD (damn you Jay), and it only didn't suceed because Epi stopped the lynch.

There are two points of interest that call most of my attention, though you people are free to dissect other things:

First, Nutella looks great. Granted, she was saving herself, but a CFD on a teammate that had no votes atm (previous votes on Quin were changed) doesn't strike me as a good plan.

Second, RDW is sticking out like a sore thumb. No, look at that. He votes for Nutella. Heck, he starts the Nutella wagon. Then after the wagon has grown, he abandons it and votes for Epi. He seems fine with lynching Epi until the Quin wagons grows. Then in the last minute, he changes his vote to Nutella again, and almost gets her lynched in place of Quin.

My understanding? RDW is bad, Nutella is a civ. The baddies were going with a Nutella lynch on day 1. When their teammate was threatened, RDW went with the save.

Epi doesn't look great here either. Not only he was the hand that ultimately saved Quin, but a seriously case for RDW bussing Epi can be made here. RDW, after creating the weapon that would destroy Nutella, washes his hands and votes for a teammate. Perfect day.

I urge all of you to look at RDW's posts. He looks the worst from Day 1 interactions with Quin. Also see if you can find any other things to conclude from this exercise other than this.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6125

Post by colonialbob »

*goes to retrieve socks*
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6126

Post by colonialbob »

Kites wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:01 pm
colonialbob wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:38 pm Feel like D4 should be our starting point, no?

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck

Speedunya is still likely town, and for now let's eliminate DDL and Marmot as his townclears. That gives us:

sig, Kites, I_D, gwil, and RDW

(I don't think all 5 mafia were on Wilgy, in fact I'd guess at least one was on Quin, but let's PoE the safer option first before we worry about that.)
wilgy lynch was done basically in memory of JJJ lol. well this is what started it
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Feb 20, 2018 10:49 pm~ My top suspect is DrWilgy. Beyond the fake dunya crap, I also think he's by nature a high-chance don selection. Everybody loves Wilgy and would be pleased to have his unpredictable nonsense on their team with them.
and townclearing people cos they aren’t suspects of a person who isn’t your suspect is ridiculous
Thats not why I'm clearing Marmot or DDL.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6127

Post by Kylemii »

nice! we've cracked the egg
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6128

Post by Kites »

epignosis defended quin multiple times
+ saving him from lynch on day 1
he was the most vocal player wanting JJJ dead, cos he didn’t like JJJ’s case on Quin
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 59#p410559
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 76#p410576
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 14#p411314
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 29#p411329

—————

rundontwalk voting twice the option that would save quin from the lynch and being clnstantly shady with his reasoning
Day 1 nutella vs quin
Day 4 wilgy vs quin

these two were already suspicious but now they are my top 2 scum reads
kill or lynch them asap
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6129

Post by Kites »

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:08 pm
Spoiler: show
DDL presents
G-Man's Technicolor Vote Analysis
DAY 1

First, let's list all the votes that were cast in Day 1. Credits to my Enter key for enduring the abuse that was necessary to search for the word "vote" hundreds of times, since aubergines didn't exist yet.

Spoiler: show
DDL - Kylemii
Jay - Mac
Marmot - Epignosis
Marmot - Wilgy
Nutella - Mac
Mac - Bob
Jay - Sprityo
Mac - Bob
DDL - Mac
Jay - lapluie
Dunya - Epi
LC - TSP
Bob - rabbit8
Nutella - TSP
DDL - Sprityo
Dunya - Quin
TSP - Kylemii
Kites - Epi
LC - Marmot
Marmot - Epi
RDW - Marmot
Jay - Dr. White
Marmot - Epi
Epi - Colin
mac - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Gwilkers - Nutella
Bob - Colin
mac - Nutella
ID - DDL
Sig - Rabbit8
Dunya - Nutella
Bob - Rabbit8
Colin - Nutella
Kenway - TSP
ID - Epi
Bob - lapluie
DDL - Kenway
Bob - Rabbit8
RDW - Epi
DDL - Rabbit8
DDL - Kenway
Wilgy - Dunya
Nutella - Quin
DDL - Quin
Jay - Quin
Bob - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Marmot - Quin
Kylemii - Quin
LC - Quin
Jay - Nutella

Now let's give a treatment to this data. I will list every single one of those votes in order, but instead of naming vote the voter and the votee, I will just name the former, and use a color to represent the later.

DDL
Jay
Marmot
Marmot
Nutella
Mac
Jay
Mac
DDL
Jay
Dunya
LC
Bob
Nutella
DDL
Dunya
TSP
Kites
LC
Marmot
RDW
Jay
Marmot
Epi
mac
RDW
Gwilkers
Bob
mac
ID
Sig
Dunya
Bob
Colin
Kenway
ID
Bob
DDL
Bob
RDW
DDL
DDL
Wilgy
Nutella
DDL
Jay
Bob

RDW
Marmot
Kylemii
LC

Jay

Key:

Quin - Red
Nutella - Green
Epignosis - Purple
Rabbit8 - Orange
TSP - Dark Blue
MacDougall - Light Blue
Others - White

Now, the point here is to see the bandwagons forming and growing. From this list, we see that for most of Day 1, the thread did not know what to do. We can see there was an initial attempt to bandwagon Mac, which people eventually gave up on. There were some tentative votes on Quin that got abandoned. Then we have the slow growth of the Epi vote, as people got annoyed by the "Exercise". That wagon was accompained, but never surpassed, by the Rabbit8 one.

Later on, the Nutella wagon begins, and it grows fast. Suddenly it beats every wagon and it's leading with 5 votes, from RDW, Gwilkers, Mac, dunya and Colin, 2 of which we know were civs.

The day seems like it will be a battle between Nutella and Epi, with rabbit8 running behind.

Suddenly, something happens. Nutella decides to act on her previously stated suspicions about Quin.

The bandwagon is formed, and it grows with a storm. I jump, then Jay, then Bob. Then Marmot, then Kyle and then LC. This was a legit CFD (damn you Jay), and it only didn't suceed because Epi stopped the lynch.

There are two points of interest that call most of my attention, though you people are free to dissect other things:

First, Nutella looks great. Granted, she was saving herself, but a CFD on a teammate that had no votes atm (previous votes on Quin were changed) doesn't strike me as a good plan.

Second, RDW is sticking out like a sore thumb. No, look at that. He votes for Nutella. Heck, he starts the Nutella wagon. Then after the wagon has grown, he abandons it and votes for Epi. He seems fine with lynching Epi until the Quin wagons grows. Then in the last minute, he changes his vote to Nutella again, and almost gets her lynched in place of Quin.

My understanding? RDW is bad, Nutella is a civ. The baddies were going with a Nutella lynch on day 1. When their teammate was threatened, RDW went with the save.

Epi doesn't look great here either. Not only he was the hand that ultimately saved Quin, but a seriously case for RDW bussing Epi can be made here. RDW, after creating the weapon that would destroy Nutella, washes his hands and votes for a teammate. Perfect day.

I urge all of you to look at RDW's posts. He looks the worst from Day 1 interactions with Quin. Also see if you can find any other things to conclude from this exercise other than this.
great post :srsnod:
we are finally getting somewhere
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6130

Post by speedchuck »

I want to know more about Epi's chat with sprit.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6131

Post by sprityo »

Kites wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:17 pm epignosis defended quin multiple times
+ saving him from lynch on day 1
he was the most vocal player wanting JJJ dead, cos he didn’t like JJJ’s case on Quin
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 59#p410559
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 76#p410576
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 14#p411314
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 29#p411329

—————

rundontwalk voting twice the option that would save quin from the lynch and being clnstantly shady with his reasoning
Day 1 nutella vs quin
Day 4 wilgy vs quin

these two were already suspicious but now they are my top 2 scum reads
kill or lynch them asap

Why would jack give a scum player the power to make a btsc with two civilians after stopping a lynch? And why would scum waste it day 1?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6132

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

I will skip Day 2 and Day 3 because of no votes on confirmed baddies. I may return to those later on. G-Man would have done it anyway, but I'm more lazy.

DAY 4

God bless eggplants.

Spoiler: show
DDL - Wilgy
Bob - Wilgy
Nutella - Wilgy
Sprityo - Quin
lapluie - Epi
Sig - Wilgy
ID - Nutella
Speed - Quin
lapluie - Quin
Speed - Wilgy
Epi - DDL
Kites - Wilgy
Sprityo - Quin
Sig - Wilgy
ID - Wilgy
Marmot - Wilgy
RDW - Quin
Nutella - Quin
RDW - Wilgy
Epi - ID
Gwilkers - Wilgy
Kylemii - Quin
DDL - Quin
Bob - Quin
Quin - Nutella
DDL - Wilgy
Quin - Wilgy
RDW - Quin
Speed - Quin
Epi - Quin
DDL - Quin
RDW - Wilgy
Speed - Wilgy
DDl - Wilgy

DDL
Bob

Nutella
Sprityo
lapluie
Sig
ID
Speed
lapluie
Speed
Epi
Kites
Sprityo
Sig
ID
Marmot

RDW
Nutella
RDW
Epi
Gwilkers
Kylemii
DDL
Bob
Quin
DDL
Quin

RDW
Speed
Epi
DDL

RDW
Speed
DDL


Key:

Quin - Red

Dr. Wilgy - Light Blue
Nutela - Green
Others - White

Different type of day phase here. Less options, but more flip-flopping.

The name of the game, for most of Day 4, was Dr. Wilgy. It was almost a consensus. Town collectively decided that enough was enough and that, if the first doctor was good, then second time was the charm, in part supported by Yours Truly. I pushed for Wilgy hard, and people followed me. Obviously, some of the ones who did were bad (good luck finding who though).

There was a shy attempt of lynching Quin for a while, mostly represented by Sprityo going hard on him for game mechanical reasons (I'm sorry for doubting you, man). Some help from lapluie.

The majot change comes when RDW shows up out of nowhere and votes for Quin. Nutella votes for Quin too. RDW immediately backs down and votes for Wilgy. He would back and forth between Wilgy and Quin for the rest of the day, ultimately landing on Wilgy.

Kylemii and me help push it, and then Bob. This is the second time I see Bob land the middle vote on the Quin wagon. Is this calculated? Then the Great Flip-Flopping of Day 4 happens and I start changing like crazy, along with Speed, Epi and RDW.

Again, RDW and Epi look like ass here, specially the former. Sprityo looks amazing. Nutella looks good, maybe Kyle too. It should be noted that at this point, bussing should be expected. So take any civ read produced from this analysis with multiple grains of salt. lapluie would be an easy busser, for example.

Some people voted early for Wilgy and did not come back to vote. Specifically: Sig, ID, Marmot, Gwilker and Kites. None of the five were posting around the EoD either. I'd like to believe some mafia voted for Wilgy and went AWOL, but it's hard to figure out who.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6133

Post by sprityo »

speedchuck wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:27 pm I want to know more about Epi's chat with sprit.
Effectively Masons with a protect because Mac died

RIP [mention]MacDougall[/mention]
Epignosis wrote: Fri May 04, 2018 11:46 pm You all are terrible at this.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6134

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:54 pm
Kites wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:17 pm epignosis defended quin multiple times
+ saving him from lynch on day 1
he was the most vocal player wanting JJJ dead, cos he didn’t like JJJ’s case on Quin
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 59#p410559
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 76#p410576
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 14#p411314
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 29#p411329

—————

rundontwalk voting twice the option that would save quin from the lynch and being clnstantly shady with his reasoning
Day 1 nutella vs quin
Day 4 wilgy vs quin

these two were already suspicious but now they are my top 2 scum reads
kill or lynch them asap

Why would jack give a scum player the power to make a btsc with two civilians after stopping a lynch? And why would scum waste it day 1?
I wouldn't call it a waste. This lynch stop was the reason we caught our first scum on Day 5 instead of Day 1. I'd call it an amazing use of a power. If Epi is a civ he should reach the nearest keyboard and bash his head on it.

And what is the problem with the BTSC? It's a good way to create WIFOM.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6135

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:55 pm
speedchuck wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:27 pm I want to know more about Epi's chat with sprit.
Effectively Masons with a protect because Mac died

RIP MacDougall
Not masons.

Neighbors.

https://wiki.mafiascum.net/index.php?title=Neighbor
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6136

Post by Kites »

during drafting epi was suggested to give wyvern to rdw but he gave it to sig instead, scum mates tryna distance themselves from each other
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6137

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

Actually sorry, but my day 4 analysis has some confirmation bias. Epi doesn't really look like ass, as much as Speed and myself do. I let some of my Day 1 opinion ooze into it.

RDW looks terrible though.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6138

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

I mean, not more than speed and myself do*
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6139

Post by speedchuck »

sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:55 pm
speedchuck wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:27 pm I want to know more about Epi's chat with sprit.
Effectively Masons with a protect because Mac died

RIP MacDougall
Would you consider the possibility that Epi is scum? Why/Why not?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6140

Post by speedchuck »

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 2:04 pm I mean, not more than speed and myself do*
Not one of my finer moments. I've played like crap all week though.

I don't suspect you for it either. For nice and wonderful reasons.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6141

Post by sprityo »

speedchuck wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 2:04 pm
sprityo wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:55 pm
speedchuck wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:27 pm I want to know more about Epi's chat with sprit.
Effectively Masons with a protect because Mac died

RIP MacDougall
Would you consider the possibility that Epi is scum? Why/Why not?

I already did, and I dismissed it after the three of us got to talking about the game
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6142

Post by Marmot »

I love your post DDL. :clap:

Thanks for the effort.
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The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6143

Post by Marmot »

ID and Quin both voted nutella on Day 4, though not simultaneously. Just another side note.
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Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?

The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6144

Post by Kylemii »

how does iron dwarf look after all this?
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6145

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

DAY 5

Spoiler: show
RDW - ID
Epi - ID
Speed - ID
Marmot - Bob
ID - RDW
DDL - ID
Speed - ID
DDL - Kites
DDl - Bob
Nutella - Quin
Marmot - Quin
Quin - Nutella
Sprityo - ID
DDL - Nutella
Epi - Sig
lapluie - Nutella
ID - Marmot
Bob - Kenway
DDL - Quin
Sig - Quin
Kites - Quin
Quin - ID
Speed - Quin
Gwilkers - Quin
Kyle - Quin
Epi - ID
Bob - Quin
lapluie - Quin

RDW
Epi
Speed
Marmot
ID
DDL
Speed
DDL
DDL
Nutella
Marmot
Quin
Sprityo
DDL
Epi
lapluie
ID
Bob
DDL
Sig
Kites
Quin
Speed
Gwilkers
Kyle
Epi
Bob
lapluie


Key:

Quin - Red
ID - Light Blue
Nutella - Green
Bob - Orange
Others - White

At last, the day where Quin finally met his end. Day 5.

The push in the beginning is for ID, led by RDW, Epi, Speed, and myself. Then Nutella brings back the Quin wagon, wanting to give it an end once and for all. Marmot follows.

Quin restarts his case on Nutella. I follow, together with lapluie.

The Quin lynch then gains traction, represented by me, Sig, Kites, Speed, Gwilkers and Kyle, in this order. If there is any civ cred to be warranted at this point, the first ones deserve it more than the last ones, but don't put too much stock on it. Quin does a self-defense vote on ID. Epi does a Quin-defense vote on ID too. Bob and lapluie change their votes to Quin after the deadline.

This is the 3rd time out of 3 that I see Bob make an opportunistic vote on Quin after other people started lynching him.

I don't want to lynch ID that much after this, and I'm now suspicious that baddies may have tried to push a lynch on him to make it easier to night kill him later. Heck, the civs themselves would have done it. Then again, bussing is a thing, and bussing on ID at this point is not hard.

RDW still bad.

Also guys, analyse this post:
Epignosis wrote: Wed Feb 28, 2018 10:45 pm I have no reason not to vote Quin, but I'm going back to the Wizard of ID.

[VOTE: Iron_Dwarf] aubergine
"I have no reason not to vote for Quin but I'm gonna save Quin"

Epignosis, would you like to provide a linguistic analysis of this? Because I think it looks like a baddie trying to justify a bad-looking vote.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6146

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

My scum team:

Quin
RDW
Epi
Bob
Someone who has been blending like a boss. My gut says either Gwilker or Sig. Let's say Gwilkers for my attempt of calling the whole team.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6147

Post by Marmot »

In light of your Day 1 analysis, I'm happy to revisit Epignosis. His Day 1 gambits were a big turnaway.

Linki: [VOTE: Epignosis] aubergine
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Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?

The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6148

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

So guys, I now have to announce that I will have my monthly MBA classes again this weekend, from Friday to Sunday, so I will likely miss the next day. Which is why I did all this effort now.

I'll probably be able to vote from my phone or something, but I don't expect to do much more.

Please don't limit yourselfs to my own posts. Read other people's. Look for their interactions with Quin. And other interactions. We have a golden chance of turning the game on our side now. Don't blow it.

Good luck.
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6149

Post by Dragon D. Luffy »

Marmot wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 2:33 pm In light of your Day 1 analysis, I'm happy to revisit Epignosis. His Day 1 gambits were a big turnaway.

Linki: [VOTE: Epignosis] aubergine
It's still night phase lol
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Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

#6150

Post by Marmot »

I know, just getting the train rolling. :smile:
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Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 7:33 pm Just how many days of "let's yeet them tomorrow" can a mafioso survive?

The answer: all of them, if you are a marmot.
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