bea wrote:
I'm not saying your wrong, I'm just saying it seems to me that the time to burn through people's lynch protects is at the beginning of the game. When is the right "later" time to go after someone you think is likely bad?
linki - juliets - I caught that - I woke up late - am used to subtracting 2 hours from all times I see - was under cafinated and rushing to hit the grocery store before the sun went down and the temperature dropped (20 degrees is a big deal when you are walking a couple blocks) - I figured it out. I totally nubbed my worry about the lynch time ending.
linki with hedgy -ok - yes. Fetus is someone I can see waiting on. That's a fair point as well - please to clear up nev.
Mongoose wrote:Nevinera wrote:Mongoose wrote:
* I'll believe Nev about voting Llama being a fruitless endeavor. For today.
You 'believe' me? It's pure logic, there is no hidden information or claims of personal recognition of subtle cues.
All there is, in my opinion, is: We lynched him, and he didn't die.
That piece of information limits his list of possible roles severely, and *not a single one* of those roles can be lynched
in less than three tries (since we know delbert got at least two lynch stops).
I feel like you've been a bit condescending.
I'm sorry if I'm coming across that way. I'm actually just getting insanely frustrated by peopleskimming my posts and pretending to have read them in full.
I've explained very *very* thoroughly and many times in the past day.
I'll link a few of my more detailed posts on that topic:
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 018#p55018
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 893#p54893
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 864#p54864
And then I'll explain my logic again.
Llama has survived a lynch. That means he's one of:
MacGuyver, Fetus, Cohen, Delbert, Jack.
Of those, Fetus is lynch immune until later in the game, macguyver is good (and lynch immune), cohen is absolutely zero threat,
Delbert doesn't have the kill, and Jack is much more likely vompatti.
I believe him to be cohen, because that role would cause a much more passive playstyle,
and would encourage llama to be mostly absent as he has been.
In any case, if we lynch him today, he will not die.
If we lynch him *again* tomorrow, he might or might not die.
In only one of those possibilities (the second least likely one), would our *three* lynches have provided any advantage to us.
On the other hand, if we wait until the other (better) suspects for baddie roles are revealed, then we remove night kills faster,
and we give meatboy a chance to make fetus vulnerable before we try again.