S~V~S wrote:Prisoner 509378 wrote:Thank you, Quin, for responding to my quick analysis of your chatter with Fuzz. I like your answers for the most part. I do emerge with one question though: you said that Fuzz was "by no means a town read", but that you felt much more strongly about ika as the lynch. I'm not certain this bears out in your conduct during the CFD, when your focus seemed primarily on preventing a Fuzz lynch rather than ensuring an ika lynch. Can you show me posts you made which support your assertion that lynching ika was your intended focus?
Did you read the last hour of the Day Two lynch in its entirety? It is an illuminating read, and you seem a thorough guy.
I did this and here be my thoughts:
The CFD escalation seemed pretty homogenous, which puts Lady Silverwolf and Lady S~V~S in top town tier for going after RadicalFuzz's ika vote. I don't know Silverwolf from previous games, but I can't imagine the two of them, especially S~V~S, throwing potentially fatal tar on Fuzz as a teammate. Silverwolf is a softer town, though, because he still challenged the idea of a CFD.
At this precise phase, players like Turnip Head, Sloonei or Golden the Warden end up in a more murky evaluation zone. Turnip Head came with the CFD idea, but without a name in mind, simply by being apathetic to the main wagons. He wasn't even sure of RadicalFuzz. That makes four players he was kinda meh about, although his CFD solution was the one embraced after all. Then again, a scum Turnip Head would look pretty embarassing right now, if he facilitated his teammate's demise.
All of these players were then also quick to react to the CFD discussion or S~V~S's input. It could be a good sign for them, it could be apt synchronisation. I wouldn't go beyond suspecting Golden the Warden for trying to throw in CFD names that (at least at that point, as far as I can tell) were remote from the main talk: Matt and Wilgy. Sloonei also mentioned Matt as dark horse option. I need cues for Matt being read as possible lynch option, I will not revisit the entire Day 2. Sloonei was also the most flexible with his vote (first to actually vote RadicalFuzz, but last to permanently vote him, after some shifts).
Of course, players like Dragon D. Luffy, Enrique, Quin, Sig end up with the most egg on their face for opposing this wagon and lynch. Zebra a distant fifth. Of course, given Long Con's example, it should definitely not be inferred that all of RadicalFuzz's teammates were so gullible as to vocally try to prevent the CFD/lynch. I'd probably nominated Enrique as worst looking, due to his counter-vote on ika and his venom at the CFDers. Dragon D. Luffy is also interesting for his criticism, followed by a rather conceding vote for RadicalFuzz. Quin a softer third in this equation. Sig also made anti-CFD speech, only to, late on, be open to persuasion. Bit fishy, but I don't know if scum-who-would-mangle-his-hands-in-the-wishy-washy-machine-so-easily fishy.
Of course, this doesn't take in account players who "uhh what the hek is goin on"-d this entire affair or players I didn't pick to have had any involvement.
I would again ask for extra cues, from outside this hour of mayhem, that might be relevant. I might just try to make full reads on the suspects I named, but not right now, I have a date with a ladyfriend, to eliminate some of the year-long prison built tension, ifyouknowwhatImean.