A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [END GAME]

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Who needs to practice their stabbing?

Poll ended at Tue Jan 10, 2017 12:12 am

Daisy
0
No votes
DDL
0
No votes
Dom
0
No votes
Golden
0
No votes
Jack
0
No votes
MP
0
No votes
Quin
0
No votes
Sig
0
No votes
Sorsha
4
33%
Roberto (host/dead/non)
8
67%
 
Total votes: 12
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2801

Post by Tangrowth »

Golden wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:I'll do a rainbow list later once I've had time to dig into some ISOs. For now, a GTH reads list:

Daisy - Town
DDL - Town
Dom - Mafia
Epi - Town
JoH - Town
LC - Town
Quin - Mafia
sig - Town
Sorsha - Mafia
Oh, and

Golden - Town

Not sure how I forgot him. :p
I'm not very memorable
We both know that's not true. :p

:beer:
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2802

Post by Golden »

OK, a rainbow.

Jack
DDL

sig
Epi
LC

Dom
MP

Daisy
Sorsha

Quin

I've leaned town on Daisy and Sorsha all game but I'm beginning to run out of options. This seems like a very townie group to me. I wonder if we've been lucky and there aren't many left.
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Canucklehead wrote:Civ Golden is a hurricane of self-assurance.
G-Man wrote: Coward
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2803

Post by Tangrowth »

Golden wrote:OK, a rainbow.

Jack
DDL

sig
Epi
LC

Dom
MP

Daisy
Sorsha

Quin

I've leaned town on Daisy and Sorsha all game but I'm beginning to run out of options. This seems like a very townie group to me. I wonder if we've been lucky and there aren't many left.
It's entirely mathematically possible there's only 1 baddie left, isn't it?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2804

Post by Golden »

I think it is, yes.
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Canucklehead wrote:Civ Golden is a hurricane of self-assurance.
G-Man wrote: Coward
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2805

Post by Golden »

I still reckon Soneji was probably one, on one of the teams :p here are players who are dead without a role reveal:

Scotty
LoRab
soup
INH
Wilgy
soneji
nacho
MM
zebra

Of those, wilgy, scotty and zebra were killed by olaf so we can rule them out. I tend to think MM was a guardian. That still leaves enough options.
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G-Man wrote: Coward
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2806

Post by sig »

I think Ishmael is dead, since he was alive I'd have been recruited by now. :p


Daisy - mafia lean: I need to look into Daisy more, but I'm just gut reading her as off, plus she has fooled me as scum in the past.
DDL - I think DDL is a civ, espacilly considering the pressure he was under early game and the fact he was almost a counterwagon to the mafia
Dom - gut reading newDom as a civ, but we will see. I'd rather not lynch him right now.
Epi - I think Epi is a civ, unless he bussed Sprityo 2.0 which I doubt. So I don't want to lynch him. However my paranoia makes me think he could be mafia, if he is I'm betting Olaf, however I wouldn't support a lynch on epi right now.
JoH - Following Sprityo's vote and LC no lynch thing, jack isn't mafia, unless LC was lying about what he got/how it worked. Which would only be the case if LC is mafia.
Golden - He has been a low key civ lean most of the game, even though he voted for epi this phase, we know that he is a Guardian. So I'm civ reading him.
LC - Occum's razor and all that jazz says LC isn't mafia. HOWEVER, I still can't help, but think he is mafia. S o I'm going to ISO him. His day 2 behavior was off, so let me look over that. Right now he is my tinfoil mafia read.
MP - He is being weird, didn't post much, is now in the thread guns a blazing. I remember not liking his early voting record. So let me check that out. Civ lean I wouldn't lynch him.
Quin - Slight mafia lean, no real good reason for that read right now.
Sorsha - I guess I'd have to GTH her as bad, but I don't think I'd support a Sorsha lynch at this time.

Now for a Rainbow list version!

sig
JoH
DDL
Golden

Dom
Epi

LC
MP
Sorsha
Quin
Daisy
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2807

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

Rainbow

JoH
DDL
Golden
LC
Sig
Quin
Daisy
Dom
MP
Sorsha
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2808

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Rainbow

JoH
DDL
Golden
LC
Sig
Quin
Epi
Daisy
Dom
MP
Sorsha
EBWOP

I'm pretty damn willing to lynch the bottom two.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2809

Post by Tangrowth »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Rainbow

JoH
DDL
Golden
LC
Sig
Quin
Epi
Daisy
Dom
MP
Sorsha
EBWOP

I'm pretty damn willing to lynch the bottom two.
Why Quin higher than the rest?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2810

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

MovingPictures07 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Rainbow

JoH
DDL
Golden
LC
Sig
Quin
Epi
Daisy
Dom
MP
Sorsha
EBWOP

I'm pretty damn willing to lynch the bottom two.
Why Quin higher than the rest?
Whaddo I look like?

An explanation tree?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2811

Post by Long Con »

LC
Epi
DDL
Golden
JoH
Quin

Sig
Daisy

Dom
Sorsha
MP


We should absolutely vote for one of the bottom three.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2812

Post by sig »

Doing a quick voter analysis, I'm more or less ignoring the Guardian votes, since they're gone.

MP Votes:
D1 MP (null vote since it was for himself) No mafia member was up for a lynch day 1 imo, so this is meaningless.
D2 Soup Killed by Esme and Sunny. I'm thinking Soup is a civ. This vote says nothing minus the fact MP wanted to stay out of the fray by avoiding all wagons.
D3: Dom Fifth vote
D4: SnowDog seventh vote
D5: No vote

Not the best voting record, but not the worst. He avoided the day 2 wagons altogether. I do recall him disliking sprityo 2.0, however he didn't vote there. More on this when I do my ISO's though.

SpaceDaisy:
D1: MM
D2: MM
D3: No Vote
D4: No vote
D5: No vote

This isn't bad, but it isn't good. I do have a potential scum slip for MP/Daisy to bring up but that will be in a bit.

Sorsha
D1: DDL (this lynch was civ vs civ)
D2: No vote
D3: Dom
D4: Eloh
D5:Eloh

Nothing much to see here, without an ISO.

Quin:
D1: DDL
D2: DDL
D3: DDL
D4: No vote
D5:Elo

I dislike how he voted for DDL three days in a row, including day 2. This is slightly scummy to me.


LC:
D1: Sprtiyo
D2: DDL
D3: Dom
D4: No Vote
D5: Epi

I don't like how LC looks coming out of this, he defended Glorf/Sprityo and then voted for DDL, I need to check the time stamps, but my thought is LC and Sprityo were on the same team and they were trying to get another vote on DDL, which would have allowed Sprityo to vote their creating a two/three way tie, which wouldn't really be a tie since they had a double voter.


From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst. Followed by MP, then Sorsha/Daisy.


linki: Is LC in anyway serious? Only one green and me as an orange? Please explain my placement as well as the other Reds/Oranges.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2813

Post by Snow Dog »

Metalmarsh89 wrote:
Snow Dog wrote:
Metalmarsh89 wrote:Mr. Poe is on fire. :eek:
Quick, put him out! :help:
:beer:

Beer puts fires out right?
Puts mine out. :burp:
NOT a winner of...
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2814

Post by Long Con »

sig wrote:linki: Is LC in anyway serious? Only one green and me as an orange? Please explain my placement as well as the other Reds/Oranges.
I don't want to vote you. I just don't know about you. :shrug: The rating system is relative... and I prefer to not have too much green in there, because I don't want to put targets on my fave Civs. How about this reboot, with the colouring more suited to your tastes?

LC
Epi
DDL
Golden
JoH
Quin

Sig
Daisy

Dom
Sorsha
MP
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2815

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

I'm sorry, LC. The line was

:mafia:

"Deadly serious."
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2816

Post by Long Con »

sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 1]

#2817

Post by sig »

Here we go an ISO of Sorsha, she has 60 posts in total, so she is well within the realm of a lurker. However, when she posts she contributes.
Sorsha wrote:I'm leaning DDL with my vote. The call for a policy lynch/vig kill on snow dog for starters. Then after that the arguing game theory just stands out more to me than anything else anyone else has done. :shrug:
Reason for her day 1 vote, this isn't bad reasoning for a vote this early espacilly since Snow Dog ended up flipping civ.
Sorsha wrote:
sig wrote:
Sorsha wrote:I'm leaning DDL with my vote. The call for a policy lynch/vig kill on snow dog for starters. Then after that the arguing game theory just stands out more to me than anything else anyone else has done. :shrug:
This is a main post by Sorsha, most of her stuff have been kinda fluffy. However, I'll forgive it since we're only on day 1. My main concern with a DDL lynch is that it could be easy for mafia to job on, however we haven't had much movement at all this phase and not many votes. I think therefore the likely hood of at least a few mafia members being inactive is high. So it might be in our best interest to go the inactive route for day 1.

I'll either be voting for a more inactive player or DDL. I need to think about it for a few more minutes and review a few things.
What does a main post mean?

I always have troubles with day one.
This post is more interesting I poked her vote and said it could be an easy mafia wagon, which is ironic since I voted on it, however her defense of having trouble day 1 does ping me a bit. It seems like a good way for mafia to get out of a bad flip/vote.

Sorsha wrote:Sig- Reading your case makes a Dom vote seem sensible.... But just reading his posts without your interpretation doesn't make me want to vote him so I'm kinda meh :shrug2: right now.
Some minor defense of a civ Dom, this post seems natural and real to me, I like it.

Sorsha wrote:
sig wrote:DDL is actually a moderate civ read of mine at this point.

@Sorsha why would you think LC would know that?
I'll tell you after he gives me an answer
I never did get an answer on this. @Sorsha what was your logic behind this question and train of thought?

Sorsha wrote:I don't think Epi is on Elohs team anymore... at least the chance of it is sooo slim I'm willing to drop it for now.
This actually makes Sorsha look really good, at this point Eloh's team was still around and with the amount of suspicion on Epi it would make sense for the mafia to try and wagon him. So this is a town boost.


So overall there aren't many posts from Sorsha, but none of her posts stand out to me as being bad or fake. I'm also not gut reading her as bad. I would like her earlier thoughts on LC and the Nero thing, but she would my last resort for a lynch today.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2818

Post by Long Con »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote:I'm sorry, LC. The line was

:mafia:

"Deadly serious."
:srsnod: :srsnod:
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2819

Post by sig »

Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
How? Also I'd still like your thoughts on why MP, Sorsha, Dom, Daisy, and Quin are placed where you placed them.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2820

Post by Long Con »

sig wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
How? Also I'd still like your thoughts on why MP, Sorsha, Dom, Daisy, and Quin are placed where you placed them.
Ok, MP is claiming Indy and I don't believe him, I think he's bad.

Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".

Daisy seems pretty good, I have a role in mind for her.

Sorsha is probably not that role. I don't know that she's bad, she's just the most likely according to my spreadsheet.

Quin, I am almost sure I know his role, and the one I have in mind is not on a baddie team.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2821

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

I could bump Sorsha up two slots on my rainbow.

MP, then Dom2. I could see the last or two last scummers in there.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 4]

#2822

Post by sig »

Spacedaisy wrote:Going to go on to DDL now... see you guys sometime tomorrow, I'm sure he has posted a lot as per his usual.

Nacho: That was no my point. My point was I think Elo knows that and is trying to buddy him by seeking out and sheeping his opinions. I actually am civ reading Epi and have been since the start.
DDL pointed out why this post was odd earlier on.
Spacedaisy wrote:
LoRab wrote::(

:lorab:
:hugs:

I would like to point out that I would bet that the Lotab kill probably had someone involved in the decision who knew she was in Israel. Most likely a friend of hers, letting her enjoy her trip without worrying about mafia. Why else would a mafia team kill her when she is busy and fairly disengaged from the game?
:ponder:

This is odd to, would a mafia Daisy say things like this to make her seem like a spacey (get what I did there? ;) ) civ?

Spacedaisy wrote::hugs: @Golden

Just so you know, I read your responses as very similar to the game in which you were civ and called for a kill on Epi. You seem genuinely aggravated by him, which is a very civ look on you. Just my two cents. I was undecided on you until this exchange.
This post gives me a good feeling.

Spacedaisy wrote:Oh! Dr Montgomery. Well crap.
I don't like this post it seems like a fake reaction post from someone who pushed and voted on the Snow wagon to make themselves look better.


Overall, minus the post above me nothing sticks out about Daisy. She came in really strong posted a fair amount day 1 and day 2, but stuck to her MM vote avoiding the wagons. It seems like after she got some civ credit she cooled down and stopped posting as much, which is pingy. I'd need other people's opinions on Daisy, but nothing really stands out.

@Daisy if you could pick one player to be lynched today who would it be and why? Also are you gut reading anyone else as bad? Like you did with MM.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2823

Post by Tangrowth »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Rainbow

JoH
DDL
Golden
LC
Sig
Quin
Epi
Daisy
Dom
MP
Sorsha
EBWOP

I'm pretty damn willing to lynch the bottom two.
Why Quin higher than the rest?
Whaddo I look like?

An explanation tree?
You can't explain your own reads?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2824

Post by Long Con »

MovingPictures07 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:
Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Rainbow

JoH
DDL
Golden
LC
Sig
Quin
Epi
Daisy
Dom
MP
Sorsha
EBWOP

I'm pretty damn willing to lynch the bottom two.
Why Quin higher than the rest?
Whaddo I look like?

An explanation tree?
You can't explain your own reads?
If you HAD to vote for Dom or Sorsha, who would it be?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2825

Post by Tangrowth »

Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
How? Also I'd still like your thoughts on why MP, Sorsha, Dom, Daisy, and Quin are placed where you placed them.
Ok, MP is claiming Indy and I don't believe him, I think he's bad.

Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".

Daisy seems pretty good, I have a role in mind for her.

Sorsha is probably not that role. I don't know that she's bad, she's just the most likely according to my spreadsheet.

Quin, I am almost sure I know his role, and the one I have in mind is not on a baddie team.
Where did I claim indy? And why don't you believe that claim?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2826

Post by Tangrowth »

Long Con wrote:If you HAD to vote for Dom or Sorsha, who would it be?
Me? Doesn't matter to me. I'm fine either way. :mafia:
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 4]

#2827

Post by Tangrowth »

Spoiler: show
sig wrote:
Spacedaisy wrote:Going to go on to DDL now... see you guys sometime tomorrow, I'm sure he has posted a lot as per his usual.

Nacho: That was no my point. My point was I think Elo knows that and is trying to buddy him by seeking out and sheeping his opinions. I actually am civ reading Epi and have been since the start.
DDL pointed out why this post was odd earlier on.
Spacedaisy wrote:
LoRab wrote::(

:lorab:
:hugs:

I would like to point out that I would bet that the Lotab kill probably had someone involved in the decision who knew she was in Israel. Most likely a friend of hers, letting her enjoy her trip without worrying about mafia. Why else would a mafia team kill her when she is busy and fairly disengaged from the game?
:ponder:

This is odd to, would a mafia Daisy say things like this to make her seem like a spacey (get what I did there? ;) ) civ?

Spacedaisy wrote::hugs: @Golden

Just so you know, I read your responses as very similar to the game in which you were civ and called for a kill on Epi. You seem genuinely aggravated by him, which is a very civ look on you. Just my two cents. I was undecided on you until this exchange.
This post gives me a good feeling.

Spacedaisy wrote:Oh! Dr Montgomery. Well crap.
I don't like this post it seems like a fake reaction post from someone who pushed and voted on the Snow wagon to make themselves look better.


Overall, minus the post above me nothing sticks out about Daisy. She came in really strong posted a fair amount day 1 and day 2, but stuck to her MM vote avoiding the wagons. It seems like after she got some civ credit she cooled down and stopped posting as much, which is pingy. I'd need other people's opinions on Daisy, but nothing really stands out.

@Daisy if you could pick one player to be lynched today who would it be and why? Also are you gut reading anyone else as bad? Like you did with MM.
FWIW Daisy has worked the last 10 days straight and her sister has been in town the entire time, so I think that's a big contributor to her decline in activity. Her sister being in town is a large part also as to why I've been busy.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2828

Post by Long Con »

MovingPictures07 wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
How? Also I'd still like your thoughts on why MP, Sorsha, Dom, Daisy, and Quin are placed where you placed them.
Ok, MP is claiming Indy and I don't believe him, I think he's bad.

Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".

Daisy seems pretty good, I have a role in mind for her.

Sorsha is probably not that role. I don't know that she's bad, she's just the most likely according to my spreadsheet.

Quin, I am almost sure I know his role, and the one I have in mind is not on a baddie team.
Where did I claim indy? And why don't you believe that claim?
Between the lines... and it occurred to me that the Troupe has the dead role checker, and how the purpose of that role is to give the team something to hint at being to seem less suspicious.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2829

Post by Tangrowth »

Long Con wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
How? Also I'd still like your thoughts on why MP, Sorsha, Dom, Daisy, and Quin are placed where you placed them.
Ok, MP is claiming Indy and I don't believe him, I think he's bad.

Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".

Daisy seems pretty good, I have a role in mind for her.

Sorsha is probably not that role. I don't know that she's bad, she's just the most likely according to my spreadsheet.

Quin, I am almost sure I know his role, and the one I have in mind is not on a baddie team.
Where did I claim indy? And why don't you believe that claim?
Between the lines... and it occurred to me that the Troupe has the dead role checker, and how the purpose of that role is to give the team something to hint at being to seem less suspicious.
It would be a great strategy, but it's not mine.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 4]

#2830

Post by Long Con »

MovingPictures07 wrote:FWIW Daisy has worked the last 10 days straight and her sister has been in town the entire time, so I think that's a big contributor to her decline in activity. Her sister being in town is a large part also as to why I've been busy.
If only her sister were on the poll.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 4]

#2831

Post by Tangrowth »

Long Con wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:FWIW Daisy has worked the last 10 days straight and her sister has been in town the entire time, so I think that's a big contributor to her decline in activity. Her sister being in town is a large part also as to why I've been busy.
If only her sister were on the poll.
That would be an intriguing twist.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2832

Post by Tangrowth »

Why should I believe you to be town, LC?
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2833

Post by Golden »

sig wrote:SpaceDaisy:
D1: MM
D2: MM
D3: No Vote
D4: No vote
D5: No vote

This isn't bad, but it isn't good. I do have a potential scum slip for MP/Daisy to bring up but that will be in a bit.
Pretty sure Daisy voted Snow Dog day 4.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2834

Post by Long Con »

MovingPictures07 wrote:Why should I believe you to be town, LC?
Because I will take the Civvies to the win.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2835

Post by Tangrowth »

Long Con wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:Why should I believe you to be town, LC?
Because I will take the Civvies to the win.
:ponder:
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2836

Post by Golden »

Gah! Sig's isos remind me of why I gut read sorsha and daisy both as town. They are both so town-seeming.

But I'm running out of options. Others seem more like logical clears than gut clears.

I'm going to have to start thinking about why I'm clearing people. Today is going to be a very difficult choice.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2837

Post by Golden »

MovingPictures07 wrote:Where did I claim indy? And why don't you believe that claim?
:haha: - just at the way these two sentences are put together. Hilarious.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 4]

#2838

Post by Golden »

MovingPictures07 wrote:FWIW Daisy has worked the last 10 days straight and her sister has been in town the entire time, so I think that's a big contributor to her decline in activity. Her sister being in town is a large part also as to why I've been busy.
And what is your gut read on daisy, hat-eater? :p
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2839

Post by Dom »

Long Con wrote:
Dom wrote:
Long Con wrote:Ha.

My concern is that the Troupe has that dead role checker, and that they will begin to try and hint at being roles that they know are dead and gone. It might have already happened.
Are you gonna answer the question?
My answer was a single syllable of derisive laughter. Translation: "No, I'm not a baddie. I don't think anyone really thinks I'm a baddie. Not only do the vote records really look good on me, so does my gameplay, and reasons beyond."

I'm here to help end this game as efficiently as possible for the Civvies, and I intend to do just that.
citation needed
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Dom wrote:
Long Con wrote:Ha.

My concern is that the Troupe has that dead role checker, and that they will begin to try and hint at being roles that they know are dead and gone. It might have already happened.
Are you gonna answer the question?
MovingPictures07 wrote:I'll do a rainbow list later once I've had time to dig into some ISOs. For now, a GTH reads list:

Daisy - Town
DDL - Town
Dom - Mafia
Epi - Town
JoH - Town
LC - Town
Quin - Mafia
sig - Town
Sorsha - Mafia
MP, having not played for days, lists me as bad. Sad !
Oh, I've been playing the game. :mafia:
that's exactly what i'm worried about.
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Dom wrote:so, alex, when did you get recruited?
I haven't been. What makes you think I have specifically, and why is that notable?
lol
Long Con wrote: Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".
I didn't but okay.

who was/is josephine?

Not you.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2840

Post by sig »

Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:
Long Con wrote:
sig wrote:From just looking over voting I'd say LC and Quin look the worst.
This is wrong.
How? Also I'd still like your thoughts on why MP, Sorsha, Dom, Daisy, and Quin are placed where you placed them.
Ok, MP is claiming Indy and I don't believe him, I think he's bad.

Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".

Daisy seems pretty good, I have a role in mind for her.

Sorsha is probably not that role. I don't know that she's bad, she's just the most likely according to my spreadsheet.

Quin, I am almost sure I know his role, and the one I have in mind is not on a baddie team.
Okay, I have to say I could agree on Daisy and Sorsha, neither have done anything that really stuck out to me. If MP is claiming Indy and he isn't really Indy lynching him wouldn't be the end all. Dom, I'm torn on, let me think on it.

How many Troupe members do we think are left? Since the way I see it four dead players could be Troupe.
1. Nacho
2. Soneji
3. INH
4. Soup

Nothing looks that scummy for Nacho or Soup, Soneji voted for Sprityo so I doubt it, and then we have INH who did vote for LC and did some defense for Glorf which looked bad, but not that scummy.


linki: Okay Mp I figured as much and oops thank Golden.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2841

Post by Golden »

Oh, I forgot - MP already gave his gut daisy read as town.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2842

Post by Golden »

I see no reason to disbelieve MPs strong indy hinting. I've seen him do exactly this before, and when your win con is "They will win by surviving to the end", being no threat to the mafia and blatant to the town is the best way to avoid it.

I'd stake money on him being Fowl.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2843

Post by Tangrowth »

Golden wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:Where did I claim indy? And why don't you believe that claim?
:haha: - just at the way these two sentences are put together. Hilarious.
:mafia:
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 4]

#2844

Post by Tangrowth »

Golden wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:FWIW Daisy has worked the last 10 days straight and her sister has been in town the entire time, so I think that's a big contributor to her decline in activity. Her sister being in town is a large part also as to why I've been busy.
And what is your gut read on daisy, hat-eater? :p
Town, though she fooled me pretty damn hard in Lost Again so I was hesitant for a while there. :p
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2845

Post by Tangrowth »

Spoiler: show
Dom wrote:
Long Con wrote:
Dom wrote:
Long Con wrote:Ha.

My concern is that the Troupe has that dead role checker, and that they will begin to try and hint at being roles that they know are dead and gone. It might have already happened.
Are you gonna answer the question?
My answer was a single syllable of derisive laughter. Translation: "No, I'm not a baddie. I don't think anyone really thinks I'm a baddie. Not only do the vote records really look good on me, so does my gameplay, and reasons beyond."

I'm here to help end this game as efficiently as possible for the Civvies, and I intend to do just that.
citation needed
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Dom wrote:
Long Con wrote:Ha.

My concern is that the Troupe has that dead role checker, and that they will begin to try and hint at being roles that they know are dead and gone. It might have already happened.
Are you gonna answer the question?
MovingPictures07 wrote:I'll do a rainbow list later once I've had time to dig into some ISOs. For now, a GTH reads list:

Daisy - Town
DDL - Town
Dom - Mafia
Epi - Town
JoH - Town
LC - Town
Quin - Mafia
sig - Town
Sorsha - Mafia
MP, having not played for days, lists me as bad. Sad !
Oh, I've been playing the game. :mafia:
that's exactly what i'm worried about.
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Dom wrote:so, alex, when did you get recruited?
I haven't been. What makes you think I have specifically, and why is that notable?
lol
Long Con wrote: Dom was subbed back in to a baddie role, I'm sorry, but it's so obvious. The Host wouldn't have gotten involved again if it wasn't to correct an unfairness like the baddie getting lynched for the "wrong reasons".
I didn't but okay.

who was/is josephine?

Not you.
Dom, there's really nothing substantial here. It'd be nice if you answered my questions instead of just putting "lol".
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2846

Post by Tangrowth »

I have to bolt again, but I'll see if I can dig quickly into some ISOs later to confirm or question my gut-based assessments, then I'll throw up a rainbow.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2847

Post by Jackofhearts2005 »

@Sig

INH can't have been Trope. Spi2 would have doubled his vote and Spi2 wouldn't have been lynched.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2848

Post by Golden »

Dammit, I'm beginning to think one person in particular has me fooled. :srsnod: LC, you're Olaf aren't you?

You can survive a lynch? Why? Hmm....

I bid a ton for that bowl, but I didn't get it. Why? Someone with a lynch save bid more.

Then the sprit lynch. No effort to save at all. We know for a fact there were no teamies on his chain. And why not? Could it be that sprit was less valuable than losing a lynch save?

I'm willing to bet today ends with a no lynch no matter what, because I'm pretty sure that LC has bid a lot of votes for that bowl.

I'm officially afraid of you now. I'm looking through all these interactions and no answer makes sense. That means someone is pulling the wool over my eyes. It isn't Jack or DDL, they are lock cleared. I'm certain it isn't sig, he's nailing baddies to the wall. MP is, as far as I'm concerned, clearly an indy. Sorsha and Daisy have less to clear them, but their games look so town.

That leaves you, epi, Quin and Dom.

I realised that INH can't be troupe either (he is lock cleared like Jack and DDL), so out of deadies I've narrowed it down to soneji, nacho, soup, lorab. Nacho and soup seem most unlikely to me. LoRab and soneji could be, although I'm not sure that LoRab actually is. Soneji seems like a strong candidate to be Troupe to me.

And if so, soneji bussed sprit despite LC being on the table...

This is all locking together in my mind. I cleared LC for his theory that Dom was on the Troupe, but this theory is almost cartoonesque by now. Despite the fact DF keeps saying there are no balance issues, LC keeps pressing Dom's substitution, something that (by the way) Eloh also did and something that I can only see bad reasons for doing. It's massively dangerous drawing assumptions from host actions, as I've said over and over. People try to draw conclusions from my actions as host all the time and I choose my actions very carefully (as a host) so as to dupe or wifom players who try it. It simply isn't worth it. But LC just won't drop it.

There are any number of reasons why balance is not an issue with Dom subbing in. He missed his PMs (LC says this does effect balance? How?). Or, he only LDed people who have already been lynched and had their roles revealed. It could be anything. It is not 'so obvious' that Dom subbed back in as bad, to me. Dom's behaviour looks pretty good since he subbed back in.

LC has also had a new level of confidence since.... oh, I dunno... about the time the bowl thing was announced? He seems to have gone into overdrive.

Troupe - possible team

sprit
soneji
LC
Quin

I think that's what we are looking at. It's my 'theory of the game', if you will. LC being Olaf.
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2849

Post by sig »

Jackofhearts2005 wrote:@Sig

INH can't have been Trope. Spi2 would have doubled his vote and Spi2 wouldn't have been lynched.
AH Right! I forgot thanks, but wait this made me realize something. Let me do some digging and I'll get back to you. I think I might have just cracked this game.

linki: Golden has to back up and stop stealing my ideas. :disappoint:
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Re: A Mafia of Unfortunate Events [DAY 6]

#2850

Post by Golden »

How am I supposed to know I'm stealing your ideas? lol. Still, I like how much of a wavelength we are on right now if you think Olaf is LC as well.

Nevertheless, even if I'm wrong about that, I bet I'm right that today ends in a no lynch.
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