Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Game Over

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Where's Wally?

Poll ended at Wed Sep 07, 2022 9:00 am

DrWilgy
2
29%
JaggedJimmyJay
0
No votes
Sabiplz
1
14%
RondoDimBuckle Lel (lel)
4
57%
 
Total votes: 7
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#951

Post by Sabiplz »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:01 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:58 pm I'm kinda drunk and sun burnt.

Ama while I try to muster energy for going out.
how's Orlando
I'm in Miami rn with some college friends.

Orlando was fine. Good to see everyone.

I need to go back to Chicago this week lol
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#952

Post by robyn »

Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:02 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:01 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:58 pm I'm kinda drunk and sun burnt.

Ama while I try to muster energy for going out.
how's Orlando
I'm in Miami rn with some college friends.

Orlando was fine. Good to see everyone.

I need to go back to Chicago this week lol
have you done lsd or coke before
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#953

Post by Sabiplz »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:03 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:02 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:01 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:58 pm I'm kinda drunk and sun burnt.

Ama while I try to muster energy for going out.
how's Orlando
I'm in Miami rn with some college friends.

Orlando was fine. Good to see everyone.

I need to go back to Chicago this week lol
have you done lsd or coke before
Yes.

Can you give me a vibe check on all the players?

Thots on Esooa and Alison and Nook and Marmot
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#954

Post by falcon45ca »

Esooa wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:01 pm Alison's posts after EoD are weird, removing her from my town

Wilgy/Falcon/JJJ/Sabi/Marmot town
What are your thoughts on lucy and the "Alison and JJJ are town, best players here, and Maf aren't worried about them" read of hers?



There are some very strong players here...yourself, Nook, Marmot, Wilgy...there's no lightweights. It's a strange take IMO
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
Spoiler: show
Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image ImageImageImageImageImageImage Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image ImageImage ImageImageImage
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#955

Post by falcon45ca »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:03 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:02 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:01 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:58 pm I'm kinda drunk and sun burnt.

Ama while I try to muster energy for going out.
how's Orlando
I'm in Miami rn with some college friends.

Orlando was fine. Good to see everyone.

I need to go back to Chicago this week lol
have you done lsd or coke before
WTF does this have to do with the price of eggs in China?


Is the thread state you need in order to hunt wolves?
we can't stop here...this is bat country!
Spoiler: show
Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image ImageImageImageImageImageImage Image Image Image Image Image Image Image Image ImageImage ImageImageImage
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#956

Post by Esooa »

falcon45ca wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:08 pm
Esooa wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:01 pm Alison's posts after EoD are weird, removing her from my town

Wilgy/Falcon/JJJ/Sabi/Marmot town
What are your thoughts on lucy and the "Alison and JJJ are town, best players here, and Maf aren't worried about them" read of hers?



There are some very strong players here...yourself, Nook, Marmot, Wilgy...there's no lightweights. It's a strange take IMO
Don't think much of it, she doesn't know most people I'm p sure
Spoiler: show
I’ll come clean team. I have failed you.
I never expected to survive the night. I was very confused about the char flip and I was on my way to a very hot date. We stayed overnight to celebrate my girl bday and vday weekend. Last thing in my mind was the game... I never submitted an action last night. :doh:
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#957

Post by Esooa »

Maybe she does I guess though, but idc much to think about it, regardless she's PoE
Spoiler: show
I’ll come clean team. I have failed you.
I never expected to survive the night. I was very confused about the char flip and I was on my way to a very hot date. We stayed overnight to celebrate my girl bday and vday weekend. Last thing in my mind was the game... I never submitted an action last night. :doh:
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#958

Post by robyn »

falcon45ca wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:08 pm
Esooa wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:01 pm Alison's posts after EoD are weird, removing her from my town

Wilgy/Falcon/JJJ/Sabi/Marmot town
What are your thoughts on lucy and the "Alison and JJJ are town, best players here, and Maf aren't worried about them" read of hers?



There are some very strong players here...yourself, Nook, Marmot, Wilgy...there's no lightweights. It's a strange take IMO
killed outside of this completely nonetheless, methinks my point stands
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#959

Post by robyn »

[VOTE: Esooa] aubergine
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#960

Post by Sabiplz »

Lucy stop ignoring my questions
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#961

Post by robyn »

Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:22 pm Lucy stop ignoring my questions
gatekeep gaslight girlboss
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#962

Post by Sabiplz »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:30 pm
Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:22 pm Lucy stop ignoring my questions
gatekeep gaslight girlboss
I hate teenagers and gen z
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#963

Post by Sabiplz »

I did have a train ride nap dream that Wilgz was wolf with sparkles.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#964

Post by Alison »

Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#965

Post by Alison »

I guess I could see Nanook as mafia but only if I stretch.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#966

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#967

Post by Alison »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
How does killing a spewed town benefit a wolf? Hmm, gee, I dunno.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#968

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
How does killing a spewed town benefit a wolf? Hmm, gee, I dunno.
shit argument, how do I vote someone for wagonomics, then kill that person clearing them as town 100%, that NK directly gets me killed, you do understand the optics there, right?
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#969

Post by Alison »

Here is the brief summary of why everyone else is town. Ping me if you need specific explanation on each case.

Sabiplz - Out of their wolf range, gains nothing by pushing me yesterday. Tried to veto one of the only other alternative exes to Sparkles. Sparkles blatantly tried to pocket and manipulate them.

DrWilgy - Broke out of their slanker meta, unlikely for them to do so as wolf. Signal boosted my scumread on Sparkles. No reason at all for them to do a complete 180 on their read on me (from wolfreading me to townreading me) when Sparkles was in danger and I was scumreading her.

Esooa - Had the exact same reads as me all game, shielded me when people were distrustful, tunnelled lucy all day but switched to Sparkles on a dime. My personal sense is that she'd powerwolf in this scenario too.

falcon45a - Absurdly townie, voted a mafia. Both me and Esooa godread him town.

Marmot - Sparkles was practically on her knees begging him to switch his vote from her (mafia) to me (town)... and he responded by saying "that's manipulative, ima vote you". Obvious town.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#970

Post by Alison »

The case for Nanook being town relies on the fact that he leashed his vote to Wilgy's. In a Nanook mafia world, he would be essentially committing to sheeping a strong and loud townie, which is a pretty anti-wolf thing to do. He also took the time to dig up lucy meta that confirms her claims (thus making her look better) and showing it to me at a point in time that lucy was the only real alternative to Sparkles. I think if he was mafia with Sparkles he'd be happy to let me run lucy down.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#971

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:42 pm Here is the brief summary of why everyone else is town. Ping me if you need specific explanation on each case.

Sabiplz - Out of their wolf range, gains nothing by pushing me yesterday. Tried to veto one of the only other alternative exes to Sparkles. Sparkles blatantly tried to pocket and manipulate them.

DrWilgy - Broke out of their slanker meta, unlikely for them to do so as wolf. Signal boosted my scumread on Sparkles. No reason at all for them to do a complete 180 on their read on me (from wolfreading me to townreading me) when Sparkles was in danger and I was scumreading her.

Esooa - Had the exact same reads as me all game, shielded me when people were distrustful, tunnelled lucy all day but switched to Sparkles on a dime. My personal sense is that she'd powerwolf in this scenario too.

falcon45a - Absurdly townie, voted a mafia. Both me and Esooa godread him town.

Marmot - Sparkles was practically on her knees begging him to switch his vote from her (mafia) to me (town)... and he responded by saying "that's manipulative, ima vote you". Obvious town.
Esooa isn't clear bucko, wigly less clear, rest yeah
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#972

Post by Alison »

That leaves JJJ and lucy. Jay hasn't been overtly scummy and his progression on Sparkles looks okay. He never really lead the charge against Sparkles at any time so it could just be him resigning himself to bussing. I'm surprised he hasn't dug into the Sparkle associatives since I think they immediately solve the game. Nevertheless, he is mostly in the POE because I cannot find any association that clears him.

Which leaves lucy. The person who has been playing in an extremely anti town way all of D1. If she is Sparkles' teammate, it would explain why the Sparkles wagon had hardly any resistance. She took time off her "not making any votes/reads" gimmick to slap a vote on the town counterwagon to mafia, without calling the vote. I would consider that pretty outing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#973

Post by Alison »

[v]lucy[/v]
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#974

Post by Alison »

[VOTE: lucy] aubergine
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#975

Post by Alison »

falcon45ca wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 8:08 pm
Esooa wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 7:01 pm Alison's posts after EoD are weird, removing her from my town

Wilgy/Falcon/JJJ/Sabi/Marmot town
What are your thoughts on lucy and the "Alison and JJJ are town, best players here, and Maf aren't worried about them" read of hers?



There are some very strong players here...yourself, Nook, Marmot, Wilgy...there's no lightweights. It's a strange take IMO
lucy got recently snowed by an Alison/JJJ wolf team where the topic of "why didn't you just policy them when they were consensus townread but kept not dying at night" was repeatedly brought up. I'd wager this is just a reference to that and is not particularly AI either way.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#976

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:46 pm That leaves JJJ and lucy. Jay hasn't been overtly scummy and his progression on Sparkles looks okay. He never really lead the charge against Sparkles at any time so it could just be him resigning himself to bussing. I'm surprised he hasn't dug into the Sparkle associatives since I think they immediately solve the game. Nevertheless, he is mostly in the POE because I cannot find any association that clears him.

Which leaves lucy. The person who has been playing in an extremely anti town way all of D1. If she is Sparkles' teammate, it would explain why the Sparkles wagon had hardly any resistance. She took time off her "not making any votes/reads" gimmick to slap a vote on the town counterwagon to mafia, without calling the vote. I would consider that pretty outing.
I'm a much much better wolf, the real reason I'm not mafia is cause you'd never find me this scummy d2 as scum
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#977

Post by Alison »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:48 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:46 pm That leaves JJJ and lucy. Jay hasn't been overtly scummy and his progression on Sparkles looks okay. He never really lead the charge against Sparkles at any time so it could just be him resigning himself to bussing. I'm surprised he hasn't dug into the Sparkle associatives since I think they immediately solve the game. Nevertheless, he is mostly in the POE because I cannot find any association that clears him.

Which leaves lucy. The person who has been playing in an extremely anti town way all of D1. If she is Sparkles' teammate, it would explain why the Sparkles wagon had hardly any resistance. She took time off her "not making any votes/reads" gimmick to slap a vote on the town counterwagon to mafia, without calling the vote. I would consider that pretty outing.
I'm a much much better wolf, the real reason I'm not mafia is cause you'd never find me this scummy d2 as scum
This argument has been used seven quadrillion times since the first human stepped out of the first cave. In all that time, it has never convinced anyone.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#978

Post by robyn »

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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#979

Post by robyn »

you are wrong about esooa
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#980

Post by robyn »

you might be wrong about wigly/nook
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#981

Post by Alison »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:39 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
How does killing a spewed town benefit a wolf? Hmm, gee, I dunno.
shit argument, how do I vote someone for wagonomics, then kill that person clearing them as town 100%, that NK directly gets me killed, you do understand the optics there, right?
Why do you do that?

So you can make the argument you're making right now.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#982

Post by Alison »

I have provided my arguments about why I think Esooa, Wilgy and probably Nook are town.

If you disagree, feel free to provide reasoning to the contrary.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#983

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:52 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:39 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
How does killing a spewed town benefit a wolf? Hmm, gee, I dunno.
shit argument, how do I vote someone for wagonomics, then kill that person clearing them as town 100%, that NK directly gets me killed, you do understand the optics there, right?
Why do you do that?

So you can make the argument you're making right now.
yes, but you have to understand this is the weakest possible argument I'm left with, no?
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#984

Post by Sabiplz »

@Alison how do you feel about Esooa not tr-ing you anymore.

Your eid was terrible
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#985

Post by Sabiplz »

Eod**

Sorry I'm a hit drunk
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#986

Post by Alison »

Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:54 pm @Alison how do you feel about Esooa not tr-ing you anymore.

Your eid was terrible
I don't care what she thinks because I have her as confirmed town and my POE is extremely small. You might as well ask me how I feel about your godawful tunnel on me.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#987

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:53 pm I have provided my arguments about why I think Esooa, Wilgy and probably Nook are town.

If you disagree, feel free to provide reasoning to the contrary.
the reasoning is not sufficient in clearing them
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#988

Post by Sabiplz »

Alison tried to force lucy to be a cw to sparkles.

Alison weird comments in eod.

The math isn't matching.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#989

Post by Alison »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:53 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:52 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:39 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
How does killing a spewed town benefit a wolf? Hmm, gee, I dunno.
shit argument, how do I vote someone for wagonomics, then kill that person clearing them as town 100%, that NK directly gets me killed, you do understand the optics there, right?
Why do you do that?

So you can make the argument you're making right now.
yes, but you have to understand this is the weakest possible argument I'm left with, no?
I don't care?

Like, I'm not even convinced that you wouldn't take a gamble on bad optics as wolf to get town to engage in reverse psychology. How do you even win 1v8 other than trying for some sick mind game?

This is such a bad argument. I have never accepted "the situation looks so bad for me that I cannot possibly be wolf" as an idea, and I never will, because it simply isn't true. Wolves make NKs that look terrible for them all the time.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#990

Post by Alison »

Sabiplz wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:55 pm Alison tried to force lucy to be a cw to sparkles.

Alison weird comments in eod.

The math isn't matching.
Apologies for forcing one mafia to be a CW to another mafia.
There's nothing that says a fake can't surpass the real thing.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#991

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:56 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:53 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:52 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:39 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:37 pm
Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:31 pm Everyone is cleared town except for lucy and Jay. Game is solved.
answer me this, how does an OW nightkill benefit me, give me one reason
How does killing a spewed town benefit a wolf? Hmm, gee, I dunno.
shit argument, how do I vote someone for wagonomics, then kill that person clearing them as town 100%, that NK directly gets me killed, you do understand the optics there, right?
Why do you do that?

So you can make the argument you're making right now.
yes, but you have to understand this is the weakest possible argument I'm left with, no?
I don't care?

Like, I'm not even convinced that you wouldn't take a gamble on bad optics as wolf to get town to engage in reverse psychology. How do you even win 1v8 other than trying for some sick mind game?

This is such a bad argument. I have never accepted "the situation looks so bad for me that I cannot possibly be wolf" as an idea, and I never will, because it simply isn't true. Wolves make NKs that look terrible for them all the time.
u won't change ur mind
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#992

Post by robyn »

conf bias me into oblivion and you're policied the day after, then jjj is killed the night you die
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#993

Post by Alison »

Also just so you know, Sparkles wouldn't even be a wagon without me. I was one of the first people to call her out and she practically begged Marmot to vote me instead of her. That you are even suspecting me right now means that you are tunnelled beyond human belief.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#994

Post by robyn »

you're wrong on me and you're walking into a pretty Lynch, already have decent sus on you
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#995

Post by Alison »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:58 pm conf bias me into oblivion and you're policied the day after, then jjj is killed the night you die
I'm down for that.

We have 4 kills before mafia wins. If it goes as you describe, and JJJ is killed, then they simply get rid of Nanook who is in my extremely tiny POE and who is also voting me. He almost always flips mafia in that situation, and if he doesn't then they have 1 more kill to find the deepwolf still.

I am more than happy to take that course of action if your prediction is correct.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#996

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:59 pm Also just so you know, Sparkles wouldn't even be a wagon without me. I was one of the first people to call her out and she practically begged Marmot to vote me instead of her. That you are even suspecting me right now means that you are tunnelled beyond human belief.
esooa, nanook, sabi suspect you
what do you think happens after I flip town Alison?
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#997

Post by Alison »

lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:59 pm you're wrong on me and you're walking into a pretty Lynch, already have decent sus on you
Town has 4 kills left before the game ends and I have a POE of 3. Why should I care if I'm the 4th? I know these people and I trust them. They aren't going to int the game after I'm gone. You making base appeals to self preservation shows how desperate you are.
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#998

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:00 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:58 pm conf bias me into oblivion and you're policied the day after, then jjj is killed the night you die
I'm down for that.

We have 4 kills before mafia wins. If it goes as you describe, and JJJ is killed, then they simply get rid of Nanook who is in my extremely tiny POE and who is also voting me. He almost always flips mafia in that situation, and if he doesn't then they have 1 more kill to find the deepwolf still.

I am more than happy to take that course of action if your prediction is correct.
me, you
next 2 lynches with NK's that are extremely clever
I wouldn't risk it
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#999

Post by robyn »

Alison wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 11:01 pm
lucy wrote: Sat Aug 27, 2022 10:59 pm you're wrong on me and you're walking into a pretty Lynch, already have decent sus on you
Town has 4 kills left before the game ends and I have a POE of 3. Why should I care if I'm the 4th? I know these people and I trust them. They aren't going to int the game after I'm gone. You making base appeals to self preservation shows how desperate you are.
that's cause immediately after I flip town you can no longer save yourself, then 2 lynches left with the last 2 people in your Poe with esooa still alive
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Re: Kid's Birthday Party Mafia Day 2

#1000

Post by Esooa »

I'm wolf
Spoiler: show
I’ll come clean team. I have failed you.
I never expected to survive the night. I was very confused about the char flip and I was on my way to a very hot date. We stayed overnight to celebrate my girl bday and vday weekend. Last thing in my mind was the game... I never submitted an action last night. :doh:
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