Re: Anniversary Game 3 - Cindy Kate Meet Up [Day 2]
Posted: Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:50 pm
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
I would be voting on Porscha for a couple of reasons all that revolve around the thought that they are the most likely to flip wolf.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:39 pmWhere would your vote be if it was EoD and your vote was the only one that counted, and why aren't you voting there now?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:32 pm@EnderWiggin Seanzie is to Mac what Mac is to Ender.
Seanzie I understand. Do what you need to do. It will probably help if you were to ask me to explain things that you're curious about though. And if you have no curiosity but just a bad feeling that's ok.
MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 6:45 pmPpl who played the last game Alison was mafia in should know this is outing.MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 6:44 pmAlison wrote: ↑Sun Nov 06, 2022 7:19 pm Eh fuck it. I'll respect Mac's read that it could be Aro W and Wisp V.
As well as the fact that all of dyachei + Ender + Alison + Mac + SPF thinks that Aro is howling which means this is as close to an actual red check as it is possible to be.
[VOTE: Arogame] aubergine
Allison wolf!!!EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 8:02 pm What's your reads right now Chamo?
And yes I don't care that you probably are putting my name in the scumleans.
I was in a different place mentally when I said this, but the reasoning for suspecting Alison is:
this early into the day phase, you think that's a problemMacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:51 pm I haven't exactly thought about it until now but I don't want Porscha to become a runaway wagon. If Porscha is town me voting them early really telegraphs today's miselim to the mafia and will decrease the net productivity of the day's play tbh.
that was definitely not something I expected from AlisonMacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:53 pmI was in a different place mentally when I said this, but the reasoning for suspecting Alison is:
1. They deviated off of their Mafia principles to vote for Aro over Millium.
2. I would think that of all the players here they would be the most against eliminating someone as strong as Aro on day 1.
3. Nanook has a good recent history of scumreading Alison.
4. They have misrepresented Arogame's legacy a little bit.
No I don't think it's a major problem, it's just a thing. If I vote on town Porscha the wolves would most definitely immediately feel like "well Porscha is today's miselim."Millium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:54 pmthis early into the day phase, you think that's a problemMacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:51 pm I haven't exactly thought about it until now but I don't want Porscha to become a runaway wagon. If Porscha is town me voting them early really telegraphs today's miselim to the mafia and will decrease the net productivity of the day's play tbh.
might just be a #skillissue honestly
but no one has really said what I should be looking for from them
cause they didn't do much day 1, and just got angry today which seems like an overexaggeration, coupled with their aloofness in their first post
I've never really liked "wtf happened" feels fake
Cry about itMillium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:45 pm is Nanook making bad posts with an agenda, not really
if there attention was to pick a target as a wolf, was to sus at least someone, and not get bounce back, I doubt they pick Alison
Alison IMO really twisted Aro's words last night, playing in this I am obvious town world, and Aro was bad for not knowing that. Thats how I read their play around EoD
to be fair though, I really thought Aro was bullshitting with that tied vote claim
then they immediately shift to, time to trust their reads
there is nothing wrong with listening to dead townies, but you usually focus on the dead townies who were night killed, over the ones that were mislynched
that's my opinion, so I find it a bit weird, especially when im used to Alison just shitting on play even after they are dead
Do you think the shift from Millium to Aro yesterday was bad, or no?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:51 pmI would be voting on Porscha for a couple of reasons all that revolve around the thought that they are the most likely to flip wolf.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:39 pmWhere would your vote be if it was EoD and your vote was the only one that counted, and why aren't you voting there now?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:32 pm@EnderWiggin Seanzie is to Mac what Mac is to Ender.
Seanzie I understand. Do what you need to do. It will probably help if you were to ask me to explain things that you're curious about though. And if you have no curiosity but just a bad feeling that's ok.
I am not voting there now because I simply have not been compelled to cast a vote yet. I don't think it matters as I have pressured Porscha in more ways than a vote would do. I haven't exactly thought about it until now but I don't want Porscha to become a runaway wagon. If Porscha is town me voting them early really telegraphs today's miselim to the mafia and will decrease the net productivity of the day's play tbh.
I dont think of arogame as a mafia god so I'm not sure why I would assume mafia would go all out to elim aro. like I don't think of them as a super strong player. so the premise is off?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:56 pm @dyachei assuming that you are town that pushed Arogame. How would you expect the wolves to handle the opportunity that was presented to eliminate Arogame on day 1 generally? Do you think that they are more likely to exhibit TMI and ensure they are on the right side of the miselim by voting elsewhere and opposing the chop, or do you think that it is more likely that they would capitalise on our willingness to kill someone that strong on day 1 and be part of the wagon?
If the answer is player dependent, can you take a look at the wagon and tell me who on it is of the wolf mindset to take advantage in that way?
1) I didn't, it wasn't close enough to EODMacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:53 pmI was in a different place mentally when I said this, but the reasoning for suspecting Alison is:
1. They deviated off of their Mafia principles to vote for Aro over Millium.
2. I would think that of all the players here they would be the most against eliminating someone as strong as Aro on day 1.
3. Nanook has a good recent history of scumreading Alison.
4. They have misrepresented Arogame's legacy a little bit.
its mafia, im always crying on the insideAlison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:59 pmCry about itMillium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:45 pm is Nanook making bad posts with an agenda, not really
if there attention was to pick a target as a wolf, was to sus at least someone, and not get bounce back, I doubt they pick Alison
Alison IMO really twisted Aro's words last night, playing in this I am obvious town world, and Aro was bad for not knowing that. Thats how I read their play around EoD
to be fair though, I really thought Aro was bullshitting with that tied vote claim
then they immediately shift to, time to trust their reads
there is nothing wrong with listening to dead townies, but you usually focus on the dead townies who were night killed, over the ones that were mislynched
that's my opinion, so I find it a bit weird, especially when im used to Alison just shitting on play even after they are dead
It resulted in the loss of a strong town player with a strong role so I think it is obviously bad.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:59 pmDo you think the shift from Millium to Aro yesterday was bad, or no?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:51 pmI would be voting on Porscha for a couple of reasons all that revolve around the thought that they are the most likely to flip wolf.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:39 pmWhere would your vote be if it was EoD and your vote was the only one that counted, and why aren't you voting there now?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:32 pm@EnderWiggin Seanzie is to Mac what Mac is to Ender.
Seanzie I understand. Do what you need to do. It will probably help if you were to ask me to explain things that you're curious about though. And if you have no curiosity but just a bad feeling that's ok.
I am not voting there now because I simply have not been compelled to cast a vote yet. I don't think it matters as I have pressured Porscha in more ways than a vote would do. I haven't exactly thought about it until now but I don't want Porscha to become a runaway wagon. If Porscha is town me voting them early really telegraphs today's miselim to the mafia and will decrease the net productivity of the day's play tbh.
Here's a relevant response to your post:Millium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:02 pmits mafia, im always crying on the insideAlison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:59 pmCry about itMillium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:45 pm is Nanook making bad posts with an agenda, not really
if there attention was to pick a target as a wolf, was to sus at least someone, and not get bounce back, I doubt they pick Alison
Alison IMO really twisted Aro's words last night, playing in this I am obvious town world, and Aro was bad for not knowing that. Thats how I read their play around EoD
to be fair though, I really thought Aro was bullshitting with that tied vote claim
then they immediately shift to, time to trust their reads
there is nothing wrong with listening to dead townies, but you usually focus on the dead townies who were night killed, over the ones that were mislynched
that's my opinion, so I find it a bit weird, especially when im used to Alison just shitting on play even after they are dead
but still not a relevant response to my post
You should rectify your ignorance. It is Aro's strength as a player and his legacy that will lead us to one piece victory.dyachei wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:00 pmI dont think of arogame as a mafia god so I'm not sure why I would assume mafia would go all out to elim aro. like I don't think of them as a super strong player. so the premise is off?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:56 pm @dyachei assuming that you are town that pushed Arogame. How would you expect the wolves to handle the opportunity that was presented to eliminate Arogame on day 1 generally? Do you think that they are more likely to exhibit TMI and ensure they are on the right side of the miselim by voting elsewhere and opposing the chop, or do you think that it is more likely that they would capitalise on our willingness to kill someone that strong on day 1 and be part of the wagon?
If the answer is player dependent, can you take a look at the wagon and tell me who on it is of the wolf mindset to take advantage in that way?
One of the biggest reasons to give someone a Day 1 pass is if they're going to die N1 half the time anyway. Aro does not fall into that category. Nor is he the kind of person that will consistently get a pelt or two by D3 and self resolve.
Arogame's reputation in this playerlist is of a strong player with good reads. He had very recently subbed in to a game on MU that a lot of people here were playing in, and near single handedly recovered an unrecoverable game, and his town performances on Syndicate have been largely revered. So humour the idea that the wolves would feel like killing Arogame was a very large win for me.dyachei wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:00 pmI dont think of arogame as a mafia god so I'm not sure why I would assume mafia would go all out to elim aro. like I don't think of them as a super strong player. so the premise is off?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:56 pm @dyachei assuming that you are town that pushed Arogame. How would you expect the wolves to handle the opportunity that was presented to eliminate Arogame on day 1 generally? Do you think that they are more likely to exhibit TMI and ensure they are on the right side of the miselim by voting elsewhere and opposing the chop, or do you think that it is more likely that they would capitalise on our willingness to kill someone that strong on day 1 and be part of the wagon?
If the answer is player dependent, can you take a look at the wagon and tell me who on it is of the wolf mindset to take advantage in that way?
His legacy is that you are mafia and I should be permitted to clear myself at night.Chamomile wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:03 pmYou should rectify your ignorance. It is Aro's strength as a player and his legacy that will lead us to one piece victory.dyachei wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:00 pmI dont think of arogame as a mafia god so I'm not sure why I would assume mafia would go all out to elim aro. like I don't think of them as a super strong player. so the premise is off?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:56 pm @dyachei assuming that you are town that pushed Arogame. How would you expect the wolves to handle the opportunity that was presented to eliminate Arogame on day 1 generally? Do you think that they are more likely to exhibit TMI and ensure they are on the right side of the miselim by voting elsewhere and opposing the chop, or do you think that it is more likely that they would capitalise on our willingness to kill someone that strong on day 1 and be part of the wagon?
If the answer is player dependent, can you take a look at the wagon and tell me who on it is of the wolf mindset to take advantage in that way?
well he spent the entire early game advocating for an aro tell in which if aro is getting piled on by the lobby hes more likely town (which is probs a correct tell), he also wanted to keep aro because aro makes good content.
outting means very little coming from your mouthAlison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:03 pmHere's a relevant response to your post:Millium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:02 pmits mafia, im always crying on the insideAlison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:59 pmCry about itMillium wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:45 pm is Nanook making bad posts with an agenda, not really
if there attention was to pick a target as a wolf, was to sus at least someone, and not get bounce back, I doubt they pick Alison
Alison IMO really twisted Aro's words last night, playing in this I am obvious town world, and Aro was bad for not knowing that. Thats how I read their play around EoD
to be fair though, I really thought Aro was bullshitting with that tied vote claim
then they immediately shift to, time to trust their reads
there is nothing wrong with listening to dead townies, but you usually focus on the dead townies who were night killed, over the ones that were mislynched
that's my opinion, so I find it a bit weird, especially when im used to Alison just shitting on play even after they are dead
but still not a relevant response to my post
Everything you have just said is wrong.
Your characterization of my EOD play is wrong.
Your characterization on whether or not to listen to dead townies is wrong.
Your characterization on how often I shit on the play of good players is wrong.
I invite you to present a single shred of evidence that any of those three things is right. You haven't because the evidence doesn't exist. You suspecting me at this juncture is basically outing and only Aro's read on you keeps me from doming you.
What was more recent, cats vs. dogs or the game in which Nanook wanted you to die on day 1 but I saved you and then tried to policy chop you day 2 but you snowed me and survived anyway?Alison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:00 pm1) I didn't, it wasn't close enough to EODMacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:53 pmI was in a different place mentally when I said this, but the reasoning for suspecting Alison is:
1. They deviated off of their Mafia principles to vote for Aro over Millium.
2. I would think that of all the players here they would be the most against eliminating someone as strong as Aro on day 1.
3. Nanook has a good recent history of scumreading Alison.
4. They have misrepresented Arogame's legacy a little bit.
2) Aro isn't D1 pass material, and they were scummy enough that I would have voted even you if you were in that position
3) Nanook does not have a good recent history of scumreading Alison, see Cats vs Dogs
4) I misremembered and was corrected and changed my reads due to that. Sue me for having a bad memory.
I think it's bad for a much deeper reason. Aside from the actual consequences, what does it say about the gamestate?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:02 pmIt resulted in the loss of a strong town player with a strong role so I think it is obviously bad.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:59 pmDo you think the shift from Millium to Aro yesterday was bad, or no?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:51 pmI would be voting on Porscha for a couple of reasons all that revolve around the thought that they are the most likely to flip wolf.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:39 pmWhere would your vote be if it was EoD and your vote was the only one that counted, and why aren't you voting there now?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:32 pm@EnderWiggin Seanzie is to Mac what Mac is to Ender.
Seanzie I understand. Do what you need to do. It will probably help if you were to ask me to explain things that you're curious about though. And if you have no curiosity but just a bad feeling that's ok.
I am not voting there now because I simply have not been compelled to cast a vote yet. I don't think it matters as I have pressured Porscha in more ways than a vote would do. I haven't exactly thought about it until now but I don't want Porscha to become a runaway wagon. If Porscha is town me voting them early really telegraphs today's miselim to the mafia and will decrease the net productivity of the day's play tbh.
I do agree that you should be permitted to attempt to mech self resolve yourself and that you were disallowed that on day 1 was a misplay.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:04 pmHis legacy is that you are mafia and I should be permitted to clear myself at night.Chamomile wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:03 pmYou should rectify your ignorance. It is Aro's strength as a player and his legacy that will lead us to one piece victory.dyachei wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:00 pmI dont think of arogame as a mafia god so I'm not sure why I would assume mafia would go all out to elim aro. like I don't think of them as a super strong player. so the premise is off?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:56 pm @dyachei assuming that you are town that pushed Arogame. How would you expect the wolves to handle the opportunity that was presented to eliminate Arogame on day 1 generally? Do you think that they are more likely to exhibit TMI and ensure they are on the right side of the miselim by voting elsewhere and opposing the chop, or do you think that it is more likely that they would capitalise on our willingness to kill someone that strong on day 1 and be part of the wagon?
If the answer is player dependent, can you take a look at the wagon and tell me who on it is of the wolf mindset to take advantage in that way?
Does it matter which is more recent? Do you always sheep the opinions of everyone who has a correct read in the last game they played?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:06 pm What was more recent, cats vs. dogs or the game in which Nanook wanted you to die on day 1 but I saved you and then tried to policy chop you day 2 but you snowed me and survived anyway?
I don't really tend to write evidence
Who do you thin kmade that?ilario wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:05 pmwell he spent the entire early game advocating for an aro tell in which if aro is getting piled on by the lobby hes more likely town (which is probs a correct tell), he also wanted to keep aro because aro makes good content.
and then once everyone started to dogpile on aro he joined in harder than anyone despite his own logic earlier in the game should have been leading him to the different conclusion. i also think he was trying really hard to signal boost alisons reads near eod which would look bad in a world where both aro and wisp are both
@mac since u are obsessed with trying to catch out santy and aro for making tmi reads if ur town here u should probably look at d1 because porchas posts have been decent today but i defs got the feeling certain slots were tmi'ing her town on d1 when i read over
It can say a lot of things about the gamestate depending on the alignment of a few people such as Dyachei, Porscha, Millium, Alison and myself notably.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:06 pmI think it's bad for a much deeper reason. Aside from the actual consequences, what does it say about the gamestate?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:02 pmIt resulted in the loss of a strong town player with a strong role so I think it is obviously bad.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:59 pmDo you think the shift from Millium to Aro yesterday was bad, or no?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:51 pmI would be voting on Porscha for a couple of reasons all that revolve around the thought that they are the most likely to flip wolf.Seanzie wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:39 pmWhere would your vote be if it was EoD and your vote was the only one that counted, and why aren't you voting there now?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:32 pm@EnderWiggin Seanzie is to Mac what Mac is to Ender.
Seanzie I understand. Do what you need to do. It will probably help if you were to ask me to explain things that you're curious about though. And if you have no curiosity but just a bad feeling that's ok.
I am not voting there now because I simply have not been compelled to cast a vote yet. I don't think it matters as I have pressured Porscha in more ways than a vote would do. I haven't exactly thought about it until now but I don't want Porscha to become a runaway wagon. If Porscha is town me voting them early really telegraphs today's miselim to the mafia and will decrease the net productivity of the day's play tbh.
There's a random element to my role which means I only self resolve 80%ish of the time (plus minus some % in case there's role shenanigans at play) but 80% is a pretty big number so if you want to policy me if the 20% hits I don't mind. Since that would be a pretty unlucky scenario and I'd have to play as someone who failed to self resolve for the rest of the game... I don't mind a policy in that case.MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:07 pm I do agree that you should be permitted to attempt to mech self resolve yourself and that you were disallowed that on day 1 was a misplay.
My guess is that Nanook was thinking back to the time where people said shit like "what's the worst thing that could happen if we allow Alison to use her action" and then I killed the entire game and instantly won as 3P.
Can you please show me where they were trying to solve?
I have no friends, trust me.ilario wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:07 pm tilg not being here has thrown a wrench in my plans as i wanted to dedicate a good amount of time into tunneling that slot, oh well.
btw if tilg is mafia they might have perspective slipped seanzie as a partner, which is a little hard for me to swallow because i find seanzies posting to be towny so ill probably only go there after and if tilg flips wolf
Okay. It is true that I am viewing Nanook's read on you as persuasive because he was one of the few to find you in the last game you really outfoxed me.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:07 pmDoes it matter which is more recent? Do you always sheep the opinions of everyone who has a correct read in the last game they played?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:06 pm What was more recent, cats vs. dogs or the game in which Nanook wanted you to die on day 1 but I saved you and then tried to policy chop you day 2 but you snowed me and survived anyway?
When was the last game Nanook thought I was town? Maybe he just suspects me every game. I have felt that way because I have a very incompatible playstyle with him.
No, I am his legacy.Alison wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:04 pmHis legacy is that you are mafia and I should be permitted to clear myself at night.Chamomile wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:03 pmYou should rectify your ignorance. It is Aro's strength as a player and his legacy that will lead us to one piece victory.dyachei wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 10:00 pmI dont think of arogame as a mafia god so I'm not sure why I would assume mafia would go all out to elim aro. like I don't think of them as a super strong player. so the premise is off?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Nov 07, 2022 9:56 pm @dyachei assuming that you are town that pushed Arogame. How would you expect the wolves to handle the opportunity that was presented to eliminate Arogame on day 1 generally? Do you think that they are more likely to exhibit TMI and ensure they are on the right side of the miselim by voting elsewhere and opposing the chop, or do you think that it is more likely that they would capitalise on our willingness to kill someone that strong on day 1 and be part of the wagon?
If the answer is player dependent, can you take a look at the wagon and tell me who on it is of the wolf mindset to take advantage in that way?