The Syndicate

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:15 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:14 pm I don’t have strong reads on Dr White and Iron Dwarf so I’m gonna iso them, but first: a thought.

1. Kites is bad
Just for this pledge, I'll try to ISO Kites. Unfortunately I can't tonight, but time may be kinder tomorrow.

please do, it’s about time yall acknowledged my presence

Kites wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2018 1:12 am
sig wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 8:56 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:01 am btw do those with a power to kill, @sig for instance, plan to use it every night? your role is powerful and scary in wrong hands i think we should know what you’re doing with it
Don't like this post it's fear mongering, also if I talked about my role mafia could just block/protect whoever I targeted. I will use it when I see fit, people in here can suggest to me targets within the first say 10 hours of the night or the previous day phase and I'll decide if I want to target those people or not.
i just wanted to know if you targeted anyone last night, dunya asking the same and no i don’t think we should know who you are targeting before the night comes

and fearmongering? a little fear does good for everyone, it’s not like i’m tryna get you lynched for having the power. i will promote to sniper if i live long enough, potentially gaining a power to kill too, how do you feel about that, fear? i damn well hope so

JJJ and nutella I’ll answer you both later, I’m on mobile and in school at the moment

anyways
VOTE COLONIALBOB

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2018 3:25 amHe isn't afraid to go against the grain with his rainbow list[/url], at least with some players (Epignosis and colonialbob stand out on the bottom end. Dr. White stands out on the top. Tell me about that read please, Kites, before my twitching eyeball twitches itself out of its socket.

nutella wrote: ↑Fri Feb 16, 2018 3:33 amOk I just did for fun and you look fairly neutral/leaning civ. I especially like your thoughts on colonialbob. However I do have some questions regarding your stance on Dr. White. You (a) drafted his role, (b) listed him as one of your don picks, as one of two "random" non-rymers, and (c) placed him as a top town read in your rainbow. I don't think I saw any reason given for that town read. Can you elaborate on this and what do you think of the cases that have been raised against Dr. White?

a) I gave Dr.White a role because he was at the time online in the thread asking for a role, he wanted to be a nomad, and so I gave him that
——————
in the beginning I had difficulties differentiating between lotsa unfamiliar people, so it was a real chore for me trying to remember who said what, and contributing was hard which is why i said i had been playing a bad game. so to
b) don picks
i wanted to pick two random people, and i was still learning names, but I remembered Dr.White cos I gave him a role. Marmot was also sorta memorable character and I liked him, being a furry animal and all so I chose him. Well yeah you could tinfoil I remember them from being in my mafia team but that ain’t the case lol

c) town read on Dr.White
first of all I have to say the guy hasn’t posted in several daysnow , which would drop him down on my list from green to yellow-orange
anyways when I made the list, he had been active and given reads + thoughts on several people so I decided to not focus on him and it felt okay to give him a civ read

cases against drwhite? the iron_dwarf role draft is the only one I can remember right now.

Spoiler: show

he needs to come back right away, but i’m low-neutral towards him now, not in my top suspects anyways

[mention]dunya[/mention]

wow i’m going thru the stuff posted while i was sleepng and it’s fucking nuts

yea skip the small talk man. but no I’m not sorry to dissappoint you

nutella wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 4:55 pm @colonialbob any idea what happened/how you survived?

probs cos of some passive powers or sth that affect lynch votes because jack wanted to count the votes again by himself

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 5:04 pm Day 2

CBob - Kites, Tony, Marmot, Iron, Mac
Lap - Quin, Nutella, LC, Jimmy, CBob
Dr White (lynched, town) - Colin, Speed, RDW
LC - DDL, Kyle
Marmot - Sig
Speed - Wilgy
Iron - GWilly
Sig - Sprityo
Nutella - Dr White
Jimmy - Epi

Cbob and lapluie had 5
DrWhite 3

Kylemii wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 12:40 am I dont believe that epi is mafia. I think his character is a reference to l'arachel the princess troubador and i don't think a lynch stop would be a wildly out of place ability for her. It's possible epi is a mafia with a thematically appropriate ability by coincidence but I think it's unlikely

uhhh role/character isn’t related to alignment cos they were drafted. so that doesn’t make him look any less or more mafia

most likely either
a) mafia saved cbob’s ass cos he is scum
b) someone, civ maybe, wanted drwhite dead instead

anyways someone might have a power like lynch redirector? it would probably require voting for the target so colin, dunya/speedchuck or rdw maybe for voting drwhite

this is just speculation btw

Kylemii wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 6:21 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 5:48 pm
Kylemii wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 12:40 am I dont believe that epi is mafia. I think his character is a reference to l'arachel the princess troubador and i don't think a lynch stop would be a wildly out of place ability for her. It's possible epi is a mafia with a thematically appropriate ability by coincidence but I think it's unlikely
uhhh role/character isn’t related to alignment cos they were drafted. so that doesn’t make him look any less or more mafia
you're misunderstanding. what you said is true, but if mafia replace their background powers with what their mafia background powers are. L'Arachel having a Lynch stop makes sense thematically based on her character. Epi having L'Arachel as his cover backstory and also happening to be a mafia role that has a lynch stop and being willing to spend it in the way he did, as well as having a team that wouldn't be pissed off about him using it in that way, makes much less sense.

oh well I can’t really comment on this because I’m not familiar with fire emblem at all

It would be stupid of sig to lie cos the post clearly says colin was killed by wyvern so he was obviously misdirected, who knows it might have been me

I targeted sig last night, giving him a +15% chance to kill the target, so he had a 90% chance to succeed. Anyways there’s a passive effect on my powers that will cause the person I targeted to be misdirected. But the only way that could have happened is if Colin was my long lost brother and Wilgy targeted him with a harmful action, but the chances it really happened are small. I believe others other players have effects on their actions under certain conditions, like kylemii apparently does so I wouldn’t lynch sig based on this thing

MacDougall wrote: ↑Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:43 pm Kenway
Dragon D. Luffy
DrWilgy
nutella
sig
gwilikers6
Iron_Dwarf
Kylemii
sprityo
lapluie
colonialbob
Marmot
Quin
Epignosis
Long Con
JaggedJimmyJay
rundontwalk
Kites

could you tell me why my name is on the bottom

anyways mac i’m deeply touched, that you are lynching jjj and asking rdw to be killed before going after me

yes that’s my night action lol

Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:05 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:02 pm It's an archer role ability.
I don't see anything about softness in that role ability.

Also, this damns sig's lie even more since "Fliers can't target your target." Sig couldn't even have been misdirected by a flier.

I didn’t use ”Got Your Back” as you can see from the result given by gwil

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 12:36 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:58 pm Y'all tell me who you want me to kill next night phase, and then tell me if you think it's worth using that kill if it roleblocks and level-blocks every other civilian.

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 07, 2018 11:28 am A Tragic Loyalist - If you are lynched, all townies will be roleblocked the following night.
*secrets*

”If you are lynched...”

Quin wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:15 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:55 am
gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:50 am This was my exact result btw: “**f*** *m ** - s*g”

I was drunk last night and working now so I haven’t put the slightest effort into decoding it. Have at it.
Soften 'em up. It corroborates I think Kites (?) who said they boosted sig's kill chance. I obviously didn't do that, so you were misdirected or something.
yeah but why is kites giving his scum reads an extra chance to kill?

Kites wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:35 am feels at the moment:
I’m comfortable around:
ColinIsCool
Dr. White
dunya
JJJ
Long Con
MacDougall
Marmot
Neutral:
DDL
gwilikers6
Kylemii
rdw
sprityo
Hmmmm... :
Iron_Dwarf
Kenway
nutella
rabbit8: the longer he’s gone the more I think he’s just not interested in this game
sig
TonyStarkPrime
Confused:
Epignosis - pls start giving reads on people, I’ll leave you alone for now tho
lapluie - post more
Quin - you gotta do more to redeem yourself
Bad feeling:
colonialbob - changed his votes frequently, almost exclusively between inactive people to invite them to talk - afraid to be responsible for false lynch?
DrWilgy - no useful content, weird dunya vote and no explanation

I hope I did the colors right
@Kites do you no longer suspect sig? why?

the orange color was like lower end neutral, sligthly suspicious, mainly cos he was just being jokey and i couldn’t read him. his day 2 and onwards posts changed my mind and i’d give him a green light now

Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:37 am Okay. I scrapped my original idea.

Instead:

Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:48 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 7:38 amtargeted sig last night, giving him a +15% chance to kill the target, so he had a 90% chance to succeed. Anyways there’s a passive effect on my powers that will cause the person I targeted to be misdirected. But the only way that could have happened is if Colin was my long lost brother and Wilgy targeted him with a harmful action, but the chances it really happened are small.
if everything you're saying is true, and it would be weird if it wasn't since you alluded to this way back on day 0, wilgy probably really is your brother. I'm like 95% sure actually.

Who is the long-lost brother people?

yeah I meant colin, Kylemii misunderstood. If my action helped my brother in any way, like boosting sig’s kill when he is targeting a player (wilgy) who is harming my brother (colin) somehow, the kill would misdirected to colin. that’s what i think it means, it’s kind of hard to understand

[mention]Kylemii[/mention] what made you think wilgy would be my brother? cos I have no idea

Kylemii wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:41 am
Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:37 am Okay. I scrapped my original idea.

Instead:

Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:48 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 7:38 amtargeted sig last night, giving him a +15% chance to kill the target, so he had a 90% chance to succeed. Anyways there’s a passive effect on my powers that will cause the person I targeted to be misdirected. But the only way that could have happened is if Colin was my long lost brother and Wilgy targeted him with a harmful action, but the chances it really happened are small.
if everything you're saying is true, and it would be weird if it wasn't since you alluded to this way back on day 0, wilgy probably really is your brother. I'm like 95% sure actually.

Who is the long-lost brother people?
This probably isn't exactly what you're asking but... Kites' comment about a long long lost brother prompted me to google "archer, long lost brother" and it brought me to the wiki page for Rebecca, an archer from Blazing Blade. She leaves home to search for her long lost brother, the only pirate is Dart, a dude who suffered amnesia and joined up with some pirates because thats how life is sometimes. Dart is highly hinted at being Rebecca's lost brother.

So far every role has been from "sacred stones" or "the blazing blade", and kite's made a cryptic post about a lost brother much earlier in the game... Idk. It makes sense.

Whether or not this confirms Kite's as civ I guess depends on how much fire emblem knowledge he has, because this would take an impressive amount of forethought to setup if fake, and the fact that sig was apparently redirected from targeting Wilgy despite none of the known redirectors being responsible for it seems to confirm Kite's thing.

oh wow just noticed this, maybe he is then
but that means i had nothing to with the possible misdirection of sig

Kites wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 6:32 pm most likely either
a) mafia saved cbob’s ass cos he is scum
b) someone, civ maybe, wanted drwhite dead instead

anyways someone might have a power like lynch redirector? it would probably require voting for the target so colin, dunya/speedchuck or rdw maybe for voting drwhite

this is just speculation btw

I can’t stop thinking about this
since no one has come forward and claimed responsibility or given any explanation for drwhite’s death I’m gonna assume it was mafia’s doing. I believe it wasn’t a passive power, but an active, like epignosis’ lynch stop. And a power like that couldn’t be just aimed at any player of your choice or it would be too op, so you’d have to vote your target
so of those 3, colin is civ and dead, dunya/speedchuck seems good also
[VOTE: rundontwalk] aubergine
I still want Bob dead but I don’t see that happening today

Kylemii wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:44 am
Kites wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:36 amoh wow just noticed this, maybe he is then
but that means i had nothing to with the possible misdirection of sig
how is your power worded? because redirecting harmful actions towards your long lost brother doesn't make a lot of sense thematically. is it possible you have it backwards?

no that’s what it says. it doesn’t allow me to help him

these lynches

[mention]lapluie[/mention] just remembered you’re a thief too, got any results, someone’s nationality? Did you steal a vote too?

Kylemii wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:44 am
Kites wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:36 amoh wow just noticed this, maybe he is then
but that means i had nothing to with the possible misdirection of sig
how is your power worded? because redirecting harmful actions towards your long lost brother doesn't make a lot of sense thematically. is it possible you have it backwards?

Okay so Jack just corrected me :o If anyone tries to harm my brother, and my action could somehow prevent it, I will be misdirected to him.

So if Wilgy is my brother, I stopped sig and that means someone else killed Colin. However according to the rules you will be notified if your action fails but sig didn’t say so. So either Wilgy is not my brother and sig was misdirected or sig is lying about the kill.

Kylemii wrote: ↑Wed Feb 21, 2018 6:32 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Wed Feb 21, 2018 6:22 pm
Kylemii wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:44 am
Kites wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:36 amoh wow just noticed this, maybe he is then
but that means i had nothing to with the possible misdirection of sig
how is your power worded? because redirecting harmful actions towards your long lost brother doesn't make a lot of sense thematically. is it possible you have it backwards?
Okay so Jack just corrected me :o If anyone tries to harm my brother, and my action could somehow prevent it, I will be misdirected to him.

So if Wilgy is my brother, I stopped sig and that means someone else killed Colin. However according to the rules you will be notified if your action fails but sig didn’t say so. So either Wilgy is not my brother and sig was misdirected or sig is lying about the kill.
misdirected to "him" misdirected to whom? :^?

my brother. if sig targeted my brother, my ”got your back” action can prevent the kill so i will be misdirected to my brother

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 3:16 pm Tried to misdirect Kites and it failed.

[VOTE: Dr. Wilgy] aubergine

Wasn’t my doing. I prevented fliers from targeting gwil

speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 4:44 pm
nutella wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 4:39 pm well the post really reads like you protected mac so probably redirected?
Doesn't read like that to me.

Reads like 3 people arguing over who deflected the kill.

I'm guessing the normal mafia kill didn't go through tonight, and that these are bonus kills. Probably a townie killed Kites. IDK which side killed Mac. Maybe an extra scumkill?

linki: agreed. I wouldn't put too much stock in flavortext.

what is this

Idk this might help later somehow if maintained after every death
Civ
Chosen by civ
Mafia
Chosen by mafia

Draft order
ColinIsCool - Fighter 2 (last remaining role)
dunya - Thief 1
Kenway - Mage
Kylemii - Sage
Quin - Myrmidon 1
lapluie - Thief 2
JaggedJimmyJay - Paladin
gwilikers6 - Monk
Dragon D. Luffy - Myrmidon 2
nutella - Pegasus Knight 1
TonyStarkPrime - Shaman
DrWilgy - Pirate
Epignosis - Troubadour
sig - Wyvern Rider
rundontwalk - Cavalier 1
MacDougall - Fighter 1
rabbit8 - Pegasus Knight 2
sprityo - Cleric (role chosen by sprityo due to rabbit8 taking too long)
colonialbob - Mercenary
Long Con - Pegasus Knight 3
Kites - Archer
Dr. White - Nomad
Marmot - Cavalier 2
Iron_Dwarf - Knight

dunya should be yellow uh

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:40 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:38 pm dunya should be yellow uh
Do you know something we don't?

Yellow cos her role was chosen by civ

speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:45 pm What does 'chosen by civ' mean?

Drafting. *role chosen by civ

speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:50 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:48 pm
speedchuck wrote: ↑Thu Feb 22, 2018 5:45 pm What does 'chosen by civ' mean?
Drafting. *role chosen by civ
So it has no bearing on alignment, then?

Sorry I wasn't here for drafting. People picked roles for others then. Okay.

The mafia team was picked by the don before drafting so the list might be useful later. Or not. People whose roles were chosen by mafia are interesting, too bad we haven’t caught any yet. anything that helps ppl to think is nice anyways so I made the list

Sry if it’s hard to understand me sometimes, English isn’t my first language and idc about grammar when postin

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 23, 2018 10:24 pm Epignosis
Quin
Wilgy
Kites
Colonialbob

How is that for a scum team.

replace me with rundontwalk and you p much have it

anyways I’m fine with Wilgy lynch, i had my suspicions earlier and hes just dead weight

[VOTE: drwilgy] aubergine
rip brother if it’s really you

oh no im so sorry brother

idk if I’m more scared of mafia or vigs now

Kylemii wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2018 3:30 am
Kites wrote: ↑Sun Feb 25, 2018 2:56 am oh no im so sorry brother
idk if I’m more scared of mafia or vigs now
why is that?

did you forget about last night?

oh yay jack ended the night finlly

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 27, 2018 11:48 amAlso Kites has been avoiding the thread's suspicion like a boss. I bet he is bad.

nah ive been red/orange on like almost every rainbow list, mac, rdw and tony called me bad but they didn’t bother voting me for some reason so thanks for the vote I’ve been begging for some attention few times

GTH scum reads !1
quin
epignosis
colonialbob
rundontwalk
sprityo

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:16 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Tue Feb 27, 2018 1:11 pm nah ive been red/orange on like almost every rainbow list
That is like mafia's wet dream. To be everyone's suspect and still not get votes.

i don’t really play by the civ book regardless of alignment so I understand i can become a policy lynch at some point, dunya said it well here lol

dunya wrote: ↑Sun Feb 11, 2018 4:31 pmKites is a great mafia player, very suspicious by nature when he's civ.

anyways i hunt scum mostly by logic and so far ive had to rely on meta/hunches cos we have no scum flips, i just suck at analysing this stuff

gwil confirmed my night action was innocent on night (2 or 3?) and my backstory was confirmed true when wilgy flipped town. You can’t say that about anyone else here, i havent lied about shit in this game

btw last night i targeted gwil again, preventing fliers from targeting him

[VOTE: Quin] aubergine

aubergine
[8] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, Kites, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii
[3] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Sig - Epignosis
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway

aubergine

it was missing my vote

none of my 5 scum reads is voting for quin hmm, well quin obviously doesn’t vote himself but you’d think like 1-2 of them would jump on the lynch train tryna get civ cred if he flips mafia

yay

Btw jack gwilly is already green so he shouldn’t be in the poll

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Thu Mar 01, 2018 11:19 am [7] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii
[4] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin, Epignosis
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway, Kites

hey I voted

http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 26#p416026

ok im sorry jack

colonialbob wrote: ↑Thu Mar 01, 2018 12:38 pm Feel like D4 should be our starting point, no?

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck

Speedunya is still likely town, and for now let's eliminate DDL and Marmot as his townclears. That gives us:

sig, Kites, I_D, gwil, and RDW

(I don't think all 5 mafia were on Wilgy, in fact I'd guess at least one was on Quin, but let's PoE the safer option first before we worry about that.)

wilgy lynch was done basically in memory of JJJ lol. well this is what started it

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 10:49 pm~ My top suspect is DrWilgy. Beyond the fake dunya crap, I also think he's by nature a high-chance don selection. Everybody loves Wilgy and would be pleased to have his unpredictable nonsense on their team with them.

and townclearing people cos they aren’t suspects of a person who isn’t your suspect is ridiculous

epignosis defended quin multiple times
+ saving him from lynch on day 1
he was the most vocal player wanting JJJ dead, cos he didn’t like JJJ’s case on Quin
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 59#p410559
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 76#p410576
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 14#p411314
http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 29#p411329

—————

rundontwalk voting twice the option that would save quin from the lynch and being clnstantly shady with his reasoning
Day 1 nutella vs quin
Day 4 wilgy vs quin

these two were already suspicious but now they are my top 2 scum reads
kill or lynch them asap

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:08 pm
Spoiler: show
DDL presents

G-Man's Technicolor Vote Analysis
DAY 1

First, let's list all the votes that were cast in Day 1. Credits to my Enter key for enduring the abuse that was necessary to search for the word "vote" hundreds of times, since aubergines didn't exist yet.

Spoiler: show
DDL - Kylemii
Jay - Mac
Marmot - Epignosis
Marmot - Wilgy
Nutella - Mac
Mac - Bob
Jay - Sprityo
Mac - Bob
DDL - Mac
Jay - lapluie
Dunya - Epi
LC - TSP
Bob - rabbit8
Nutella - TSP
DDL - Sprityo
Dunya - Quin
TSP - Kylemii
Kites - Epi
LC - Marmot
Marmot - Epi
RDW - Marmot
Jay - Dr. White
Marmot - Epi
Epi - Colin
mac - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Gwilkers - Nutella
Bob - Colin
mac - Nutella
ID - DDL
Sig - Rabbit8
Dunya - Nutella
Bob - Rabbit8
Colin - Nutella
Kenway - TSP
ID - Epi
Bob - lapluie
DDL - Kenway
Bob - Rabbit8
RDW - Epi
DDL - Rabbit8
DDL - Kenway
Wilgy - Dunya
Nutella - Quin
DDL - Quin
Jay - Quin
Bob - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Marmot - Quin
Kylemii - Quin
LC - Quin
Jay - Nutella

Now let's give a treatment to this data. I will list every single one of those votes in order, but instead of naming vote the voter and the votee, I will just name the former, and use a color to represent the later.

DDL
Jay
Marmot
Marmot
Nutella
Mac
Jay
Mac
DDL
Jay
Dunya
LC
Bob
Nutella
DDL
Dunya
TSP
Kites
LC
Marmot
RDW
Jay
Marmot
Epi
mac
RDW
Gwilkers
Bob
mac
ID
Sig
Dunya
Bob
Colin
Kenway
ID
Bob
DDL
Bob
RDW
DDL
DDL
Wilgy
Nutella
DDL
Jay
Bob
RDW
Marmot
Kylemii
LC
Jay

Key:

Quin - Red
Nutella - Green
Epignosis - Purple
Rabbit8 - Orange
TSP - Dark Blue
MacDougall - Light Blue
Others - White

Now, the point here is to see the bandwagons forming and growing. From this list, we see that for most of Day 1, the thread did not know what to do. We can see there was an initial attempt to bandwagon Mac, which people eventually gave up on. There were some tentative votes on Quin that got abandoned. Then we have the slow growth of the Epi vote, as people got annoyed by the "Exercise". That wagon was accompained, but never surpassed, by the Rabbit8 one.

Later on, the Nutella wagon begins, and it grows fast. Suddenly it beats every wagon and it's leading with 5 votes, from RDW, Gwilkers, Mac, dunya and Colin, 2 of which we know were civs.

The day seems like it will be a battle between Nutella and Epi, with rabbit8 running behind.

Suddenly, something happens. Nutella decides to act on her previously stated suspicions about Quin.

The bandwagon is formed, and it grows with a storm. I jump, then Jay, then Bob. Then Marmot, then Kyle and then LC. This was a legit CFD (damn you Jay), and it only didn't suceed because Epi stopped the lynch.

There are two points of interest that call most of my attention, though you people are free to dissect other things:

First, Nutella looks great. Granted, she was saving herself, but a CFD on a teammate that had no votes atm (previous votes on Quin were changed) doesn't strike me as a good plan.

Second, RDW is sticking out like a sore thumb. No, look at that. He votes for Nutella. Heck, he starts the Nutella wagon. Then after the wagon has grown, he abandons it and votes for Epi. He seems fine with lynching Epi until the Quin wagons grows. Then in the last minute, he changes his vote to Nutella again, and almost gets her lynched in place of Quin.

My understanding? RDW is bad, Nutella is a civ. The baddies were going with a Nutella lynch on day 1. When their teammate was threatened, RDW went with the save.

Epi doesn't look great here either. Not only he was the hand that ultimately saved Quin, but a seriously case for RDW bussing Epi can be made here. RDW, after creating the weapon that would destroy Nutella, washes his hands and votes for a teammate. Perfect day.

I urge all of you to look at RDW's posts. He looks the worst from Day 1 interactions with Quin. Also see if you can find any other things to conclude from this exercise other than this.

great post

we are finally getting somewhere

during drafting epi was suggested to give wyvern to rdw but he gave it to sig instead, scum mates tryna distance themselves from each other

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Thu Mar 01, 2018 2:33 pm My scum team:

Quin
RDW
Epi
Bob
Someone who has been blending like a boss. My gut says either Gwilker or Sig. Let's say Gwilkers for my attempt of calling the whole team.

how do i find myself agreeing with you so much now?

this list is identical to the reads I gave yesterday apart from the last choice. i chose sprityo just cos he has this thing with epi and I think he said he had been protecting him every night but yeah that doesn’t indicate really anything

anyways what do you think of this? note that it was on day 2 when cbob was about to get lynched but for some reason it didn’t happen

Kites wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 5:14 pm
Kites wrote: ↑Sat Feb 17, 2018 6:32 pm most likely either
a) mafia saved cbob’s ass cos he is scum
b) someone, civ maybe, wanted drwhite dead instead

anyways someone might have a power like lynch redirector? it would probably require voting for the target so colin, dunya/speedchuck or rdw maybe for voting drwhite

this is just speculation btw
I can’t stop thinking about this
since no one has come forward and claimed responsibility or given any explanation for drwhite’s death I’m gonna assume it was mafia’s doing. I believe it wasn’t a passive power, but an active, like epignosis’ lynch stop. And a power like that couldn’t be just aimed at any player of your choice or it would be too op, so you’d have to vote your target
so of those 3, colin is civ and dead, dunya/speedchuck seems good also
[VOTE: rundontwalk] aubergine
I still want Bob dead but I don’t see that happening today

no one ever gave me thoughts about this theory

[VOTE: rundontwalk] aubergine

we are gonna be eatin gazelle

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