The Syndicate

Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:34 pm sorry i can't do my dramatic reveal yet i'm watching a movie

oooooooo exciting!!!!

Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:47 pm @Made hurry up and tell us about your immortality so you can return the favor and ask me about my latest vague statement of powerfulness

check the bottom of last page <3

Syn wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:48 pm one role: place a prediction for the slim chance of not being NK'd on a single night

another role: literally unkillable

ok

figuratively, think like a combination lock. things need to happen before I can die. It's like a combination of Falcon and the prediction role with a slice of tetris. Nights have been very fun in Casa de Made

Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:51 pm I'm out of here, I don't understand most of you right now.

<3 dw, I probably won't bring it up again unless someone tries to kill me

Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:52 pm i had a series of tasks to complete in order to unlock an ability, but i wasn't going to be told until i completed all of them, right?

Timsup2nothin wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:53 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:52 pm
Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 7:51 pm I'm out of here, I don't understand most of you right now.
<3 dw, I probably won't bring it up again unless someone tries to kill me
Good thing I only had the one shot, because I would be overcome by curiosity and gun you down for this.

I mean the "me bring it up again" would just me dabing or something equally as obnoxious

that really sucks for 112 tho, all she needed to do is get like 5 people to go onto an alt wagon and she could of saved herself

Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:02 pm i'm overexplaining, none of this matters lol.

basically i unlocked my shit, and that means mathematically one of my 4 targets is mafia. most likely my target from last night.

still deciding whether to share that now or watch and wait and see how they behave first

I mean tbh, grill time is probably more useful than watch time imo. I see it both ways tho, ur call

Timsup2nothin wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:19 pm Does anyone else find it interesting that of all the stuff going on in the thread the thing that seems most important to put down to JPIC, Tutuu, TSP and Radishes is the guy that is saying "change course folks, you haven't hit a wolf in two days"...which is nothing but the bald truth?

I mean I think we're coasting right now. Kyle apparently as a 1/4 mafia. Someone probably blocked or jailed mafia, so there might be two seperate mafia caught today. That's looking pretty good to me.

assuming mafia didn't just forget to submit a kill which based on thread is possible

Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:23 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:22 pm
Timsup2nothin wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:19 pm Does anyone else find it interesting that of all the stuff going on in the thread the thing that seems most important to put down to JPIC, Tutuu, TSP and Radishes is the guy that is saying "change course folks, you haven't hit a wolf in two days"...which is nothing but the bald truth?
I mean I think we're coasting right now. Kyle apparently as a 1/4 mafia. Someone probably blocked or jailed mafia, so there might be two seperate mafia caught today. That's looking pretty good to me.

assuming mafia didn't just forget to submit a kill which based on thread is possible
1/4 Mafia?

1 in 4 pool of potential mafia players (assuming they're all alive still)

also, Michelle is sus or it like a mech thing or PoE? I just realized she has me ultra pocked if she is scum

theory: Soup kills is a one time thing mafia can use to kill a shit ton of people all at once

Long Con wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:37 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:36 pm theory: Soup kills is a one time thing mafia can use to kill a shit ton of people all at once
There's no soup kill.

okay lol

Syn wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:38 pm people traumatized by spider-verse rn

so much soup

Michelle wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:38 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:35 pm also, Michelle is sus or it like a mech thing or PoE? I just realized she has me ultra pocked if she is scum
Think for yourself if i am scum or not, check tutuu's progression on me btw and check how was i top town for her for zero reasons.

tbf, you were my top town for zero tangible reason other than vibes.

I'm starting realize i'm both excessively paranoid and extremely easy to pocket

Michelle wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:47 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:46 pm
Michelle wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:38 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 8:35 pm also, Michelle is sus or it like a mech thing or PoE? I just realized she has me ultra pocked if she is scum
Think for yourself if i am scum or not, check tutuu's progression on me btw and check how was i top town for her for zero reasons.
tbf, you were my top town for zero tangible reason other than vibes.

I'm starting realize i'm both excessively paranoid and extremely easy to pocket
As expected from my mafia brother

ur not helping

[VOTE: Ted] aubergine

I mean the cool thing is with ted i don't think we need to go too deep on it. IMO on thread actions alone, ted is far scummier than Tutuu and Lc, I'm cool with the Ted vote.

tedxtr wrote: ↑Fri Feb 12, 2021 7:49 am
Michelle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 12, 2021 7:41 am
tedxtr wrote: ↑Fri Feb 12, 2021 7:07 am roger that

i have no clue who cat is but i'll take a look later
Lisa in Simpsons game
oh

seems more engaged in here (in solving / faking it) while not saying a lot and i didn't particularly like one post

cat wrote: ↑Tue Feb 09, 2021 7:25 am
Syn wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 11:50 pmnutella is wolfin'
Do you have an explanation for this? Why is this your only read and who did you steal it from?
If you had no reads at all it would be very towny but this sticks out as a sore thumb.
red = awkward af, unlikely to be a real thought

i think pretty stark difference in toan too

also got to some mac post that was describing it more accurately, looks good

went to read ted and this was like the first post on D0. Reads like a TMI baddie read you make when you know your teammate is making something up. I'm satisfied with that tbh, but i'll keep reading

someone who understands what kyle is saying: is there exactly one mafia between Ted, Tutuu, and LC?

tutuu wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:19 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:15 pm someone who understands what kyle is saying: is there exactly one mafia between Ted, Tutuu, and LC?
he spelled it out come on

n1 falcon n2 lc n3 tutuu n4 ted

he gets a "ding ding ding" bell the moment he successfully visits at least 1 town and at least 1 mafia

he got a ding ding ding bell on n4, and did not got it earlier

getting roleblocked and targetting 3p make his target nullified for the purpose of ding ding ding bell

so make the conclusion

tutuu is mafia!!!

vote count!

Spoiler: show

@Long Con sorry if you already answer this, but do you know why you're not on the poll?

tutuu wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:34 pm ted > sloonei > lc > dizzy > hyena

why not wilgy?

tutuu wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:38 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:37 pm
tutuu wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:34 pm ted > sloonei > lc > dizzy > hyena
why not wilgy?
ted tried really hard to kill wilgy fmpov

oh. cool!
sheeping this till bad things happen. Gonna go play Minecraft

Wait. Okay hold on. there's three ways to confirm mafia today: the 1 in 4 via kyle, Jack's simpson's thing, and the kill block/jailkeep whatever. Who did we block/jail or whatever?

tutuu wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:46 pm
Made wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 9:45 pm Wait. Okay hold on. there's three ways to confirm mafia today: the 1 in 4 via kyle, Jack's simpson's thing, and the kill block/jailkeep whatever. Who did we block/jail or whatever?
ted

lit. this game is going swimmingly

fuck, what if there's more threat to town 3ps

((((

Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 25, 2021 10:00 pmtie-meta

ties are mech controlled

[VOTE: Sloonei] aubergine

weeeeeeeee

hi friends! what's the tea?

Kylemii wrote: ↑Sat Feb 27, 2021 5:47 pm @Made who should I steal from

michelle

wait. if ted was the one who was blocked or jailkept or w/e, then doesn't he have to be bad? like on top of kyle's mechs

@alison I can't die anymore

Made wrote: ↑Sat Feb 27, 2021 5:59 pm @alison I can't die anymore

@Alison

ight, night y'all <33

@Jackofhearts2005 i swear if you didn't submit an action

oh, Alison picked me bdub

I accepted

Kylemii wrote: ↑Sun Feb 28, 2021 10:17 pm either the same alignment or different alignments, for sure.

iunno man, I'm not sure there's enough information to make that kinda determination

I mean, the person who should be making an argument for keeping ted would be ted, so...@tedxtr should we kill you today?

Any way Ted is the lat baddie?

Made wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 12:01 am Any way Ted is the last baddie?

Alison is also off the poll

Oh, uh what kinda power roles even still exist out there for baddies to have. This game might be solved if we have enough confirmed town or ways to confirm town to last till lylo

I'm doing a bit of maths. is HK confirmed town?? I feel like i read that somewhere

ight,
Here's my solve:
There's 17 players remaining. Right now we have 8 pseudo-confirmed town (including today's cop check). If we mischop everyday until day 12 (and no players die from anything other than chop/NK) , our final group would be 1 confirmed town (likely my cute invulnerable) , 3 unconfirmed players, and Alison.

If we can confirm one more player, outside of who Jack will confirm today, Day 12 is 2 confirmed town, 2 unconfirmed town and Alison can force a town win.
If we can confirm two more players, it's an automatic town win. Lylo would always have a confirmed town majority.

A few vig shots in the pool of non-confirmed players also brings us closer to a forced town win. So yeah, let's turbo this!!! Who in the group of players that we haven't confirmed town yet has been spewed town by Nanook, Cat, Marmot, or Sloonei? If we can find two of them**, we win.

Here's my work (warning it might not make any sense)
Players remaining:17

Spoiler: show

DrWilgy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 1:39 am
Made wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 1:18 am ight,
Here's my solve:
There's 17 players remaining. Right now we have 8 pseudo-confirmed town (including today's cop check). If we mischop everyday until day 12 (and no players die from anything other than chop/NK) , our final group would be 1 confirmed town (likely my cute invulnerable) , 3 unconfirmed players, and Alison.

If we can confirm one more player, outside of who Jack will confirm today, Day 12 is 2 confirmed town, 2 unconfirmed town and Alison can force a town win.
If we can confirm two more players, it's an automatic town win. Lylo would always have a confirmed town majority.

A few vig shots in the pool of non-confirmed players also brings us closer to a forced town win. So yeah, let's turbo this!!! Who in the group of players that we haven't confirmed town yet has been spewed town by Nanook, Cat, Marmot, or Sloonei? If we can find two of them**, we win.

Here's my work (warning it might not make any sense)
Players remaining:17
Spoiler: show
before i go into my bullshit...

okay let's solve!

Players remaining: 17
Alison
Dr Wilgy
Dizzy
Hk
Hyena
Jack
Jpic
Kyle
LC
Made
Radishes
Michelle
syn
ted
tim
tony
tutuu

ok, so confirmed not scum in that group is:
Alison (basically)
Jack
Kyle (basically)
Made (or sub yourself if you're town)
Michelle (if we trust that Sloonei doesn't pitch to his teammate)
Syn
Tutuu
+whoever Jack confirms today

players left over:
Wilgy
Dizzy
HK
Hyena
Jpic
Tim
LC
Radishes
Ted
Tony
minus one, because of whoever Jack's confirming today.

And here's the solve:
key: Dx (mislynch/mafia kill) # of players remaining
D6 Ted/Jack 15
D7 Jpic/Syn 13
D8 Radishes/Tutuu 11
D9 Dizzy/Kyle 9
D10 HK/Michelle 7
D11 Hyena/Made 5

Going into day 12 with 5 players left, our final group would still have 1 confirmed town, 3 unconfirmed players, and Alison
** I don't know how to say this neatly, but we win the game assuming there is a town observer at this point. from the POV of a nonconfirmed player (ie me) the game is solved at 2 more confirmed players. If I some how get confirmed, then from a universal pov, we will still need 2 town more confirmed town to force a win

Another edge case to consider is if we find another 3p in our PoE. If they town side they can force a win similar to Alison in the 1 more confirmed player situation....if they're anti town we kill them as if they were still in PoE and the math doesn't really change i don't think.

Made is deepwolf

Michelle wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 2:18 am Morning, lazy me says Ted is the safest bet today and being monday i will come back in around 12 hours with more.

@Made i am not mechanically confirmed, idk what are you talking about.
The idea i am town is correct, the mech thingy is not and i don't get it

I forgot who said that me and Wilgy are aligned, we are only if he is also villager. Who knows him better and can read him? From my Pov he looks 85% like a villager.

My POV is 85% on Wilgy as well. And you’re “confirmed” by the baseball being throw. At you. It’s possible Sloonei was outed by that point and was doing anti spew, but I already town read you so, it’s good enough for me

@Timsup2nothin do you get any more shots?

Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 3:40 am
tedxtr wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 3:37 am
Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 3:35 am
tedxtr wrote: ↑Mon Mar 01, 2021 3:01 am I actually don’t know how big the mafia team is rn, assuming 1-2 then it’s probably in the pool of tutuu / wilgy / idk who
tutuu is spewed town
if kyle is legit then he either hit a mafia in the lc / me / tutuu pool or he got redirected.

and reading tutuu’s last posts on me (page before this one) it kinda reads like her vote on me is for no reason, since she thinks i’m a 3p and not a mafia given kyle’s check

so then why vote for me over a wolf?
dunno

But tutuu had the baseball thrown at her and as I said previously, mafia don’t try and kill mafia.

Tho, if we wanna tinfoil proof this, the earlier the throw the less likely scum threw at scum

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