Ohhhhh ok. So not alignment indicative - if Sloonei is town, his ISO started with the premise that I was bad and found reasons to believe so (confirmation bias). If he's mafia, his ISO started with the premise that I was bad and found reasons to believe so (because he's mafia and wants me to look bad). It's basically impossible to tell the difference because it's all in the motivation, the end behaviors look the same, and are thus not alignment-indicative.Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:50 pmThat's not my concern. The concern is, as Jay pointed out, that the premise which you labeled as "not alignment-indicative" would, in reality, have to be indicative of a town-aligned player. If I was giving into confirmation bias while ISOing you, that means I'm town, does it not?colonialbob wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:44 pmAsk Jack about Nightblue and why I'm skittish about going into ISOs with preconceived notions. (Tl;dr I recently got mislynched because of it and I'm still a little salty about it)Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:35 pmThis point reignited my bob suspicion a little bit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 8:48 pm If bob is a mafioso and Sloonei is a civilian, he was met with a challenging scenario after the Day 2 no lynch. Sloonei's general credit in the thread improved in that period, and then he made a big ISO for Bob himself. In this scenario, mafia Bob saw his attempted lynch target gain a strong foothold and then turn the sword against him in quick succession. I draw this image to facilitate a perspective of the post above wherein Bob assesses Sloonei's case against him -- that it started from a point of bias and wasn't alignment indicative. It strikes me as a necessary condition that for Sloonei to be susceptible to this bias, he must first be a civilian. A mafia Sloonei operates with a deliberate slant, not an pre-biased mindset. I don't care for this response. I described the challenge a mafia Bob would have faced handling Sloonei's ISO, and this response does bear an appearance of "I don't know what to do about this."
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Return to “Mountain Mafia [END]”
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:07 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:07 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
I modded that game and it was amazing (Sloonei was awesome too)Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:05 amJay once replaced into an HCRealms game and doubled the town's post count and found the whole mafia in one day phase. It was embarrassing.
(This story is actually true. L)
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:23 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
Intrigued. How so? Are you saying you don't see yourself moving off JJJ today?
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:23 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
speedchuck
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:24 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
Yes I feel quite good about you being town. Jack is still in my bottom half, want to ISO his stuff today/yesterday though as I got a generally better feeling and I want to see if there's real behind that or just gut.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:09 amDo you currently think I'm town? what about jack?colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:07 amOhhhhh ok. So not alignment indicative - if Sloonei is town, his ISO started with the premise that I was bad and found reasons to believe so (confirmation bias). If he's mafia, his ISO started with the premise that I was bad and found reasons to believe so (because he's mafia and wants me to look bad). It's basically impossible to tell the difference because it's all in the motivation, the end behaviors look the same, and are thus not alignment-indicative.Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:50 pmThat's not my concern. The concern is, as Jay pointed out, that the premise which you labeled as "not alignment-indicative" would, in reality, have to be indicative of a town-aligned player. If I was giving into confirmation bias while ISOing you, that means I'm town, does it not?colonialbob wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:44 pmAsk Jack about Nightblue and why I'm skittish about going into ISOs with preconceived notions. (Tl;dr I recently got mislynched because of it and I'm still a little salty about it)Sloonei wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 11:35 pmThis point reignited my bob suspicion a little bit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 8:48 pm If bob is a mafioso and Sloonei is a civilian, he was met with a challenging scenario after the Day 2 no lynch. Sloonei's general credit in the thread improved in that period, and then he made a big ISO for Bob himself. In this scenario, mafia Bob saw his attempted lynch target gain a strong foothold and then turn the sword against him in quick succession. I draw this image to facilitate a perspective of the post above wherein Bob assesses Sloonei's case against him -- that it started from a point of bias and wasn't alignment indicative. It strikes me as a necessary condition that for Sloonei to be susceptible to this bias, he must first be a civilian. A mafia Sloonei operates with a deliberate slant, not an pre-biased mindset. I don't care for this response. I described the challenge a mafia Bob would have faced handling Sloonei's ISO, and this response does bear an appearance of "I don't know what to do about this."
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:29 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:40 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
tbh just read d3 onward and you'll get most of the important stuff. Enough to be fine I think.malakim2099 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:34 am MULTIQUOTE POST FOR THE WIN! Or at least, for the summary.
I'm still working on it! Geez. I don't want to punt the the rest of it but I honestly don't know when I'll have TIME to read through everything.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:04 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
what even is this postKylemii wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:00 amcbob or speedchuck or maybe DDLJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:47 amThere are two hours remaining. Nearly anyone can viably be lynched today. Given the freedom and total control, who would you lynch right now?
you've got the most votes right now and I trust about half of your voters but I've felt sincerity in your posts and actions but Nutella is right that maybe that really actually your goal, did you respond to nutella's post about that?
Why do you lynch me or speedchuck or maybe ddl?
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:30 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
I know I was joking. Poorly, it seems.Spacedaisy wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:13 amBecause I was responding as a Tech mod, not as a former player and because it was OT.colonialbob wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 10:48 pmWhy is this not in redSpacedaisy wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 8:56 pmWhen ever you try to quote a post that has an @mention in it, you have to delete the @mention to avoid that problem. Otherwise it sees the original @mention and gets confused.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 7:55 pmYour link is broken. You accidentally mentioned yourself while typing it.dunya wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 7:49 pmI suggest you take a look at the street fighter game: http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... alakim2099
He was scum here.
Also the forum is trying to force me to mention you too. It has had this kind of bug for weeks now. Spacedaisy
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:33 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
CFD. For the fourth night in a row. No thanks I'll stick with speed.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:38 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
Wilgy is the CFD.speedchuck wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:36 amI am the CFD. Original was JJJ.colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:33 am CFD. For the fourth night in a row. No thanks I'll stick with speed.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 2:25 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
I like the people on JJJ much more, so I'm swtiching over. JJJ
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:33 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
When I switched over, I changed the lead from Speedchuck to JJJ. Jack, Mal, Kyle were still on speed.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 6:17 am So guys. I need the people who do not like to sleep to provide me some info:
How big were those speedchuck and wilgy wagons?
Did they ever surpass, or threaten, the Jay lynch?
Who was on them, besides the people appearing in the poll?
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:37 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
EBWOP oh mal is still there heh.
I also think Wilgy might've been somewhere else? I know Epi/nutella/speed were on him for sure, and I thought Sloonei was too but if you weren't around at EoD it had to have been you.
I also think Wilgy might've been somewhere else? I know Epi/nutella/speed were on him for sure, and I thought Sloonei was too but if you weren't around at EoD it had to have been you.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:40 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
[mention]Jackofhearts2005[/mention] I find it interesting you don't include LC or Eloh in your obviously bad list.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:48 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
What about the speedchuck train?Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:43 amWhy would I?colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:40 am Jackofhearts2005 I find it interesting you don't include LC or Eloh in your obviously bad list.
A vote for Wilgy is not the paragraph each of the others have.
I've never seen bad LC in this game and have heartread good Eloh for awhile.
Plus Eloh was Quin's attempted mislynch.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:50 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
From what I recall, Epi brought it back, I was the vote that put JJJ back in the lead. I don't remember if it got down to 2 or only 3 before it came back.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:44 am There was an attempt to save Jay last night. There are baddies among those. And there was a movement to bring the Jay lynch back to life that came near EoD. Those in it are civs. Once I'm back to town I'll try to piece it together. But if someone can do it for me I'll love you forever.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:56 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
He was also probably the second-biggest "JJJ is bad" voice behind Epi.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:50 amBullshit.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:41 am I voted for speedchuck to make reactions happen. I can't read him right now and wanted to talk about him.
I voted for Wilgy because I liked chuck's respinse. I still think Jay coukd have been putting distance between himself and teammate wilgy.
I voted for Jay because he was bad. Jack is tinfoiling hard against me.
You were waffley. "I don't know what's going on."
Wilgy is not w/w with all the other baddies. Why would they push Wilgy early and stay there if he was their teammate? Why not just bus Jimmy?
I'd be more likely to believe you had a nervous tick that caused you to place bad votes than this.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:05 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Sloonei did you move back to JJJ before or after I did?
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:31 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Yeah I'm trying to figure out who was already there before me. I think you were 5th because I saw you, Epi, and nutella and liked that a lot more than jack, mal, kyle. Meaning it was DDL, speed, Epi, nutella, you on JJJ vs Eloh, Mal, LC, Jack, Kyle, myself on speed when I switched.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:06 amI don't know. I was the 5th or 6th vote on him.colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:05 am Sloonei did you move back to JJJ before or after I did?
Initially I was the first.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:19 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Thoughts before I'm out the rest of the day:
I'm almost positive one of the people who voted JJJ after me is mafia. Tinfoiling Jack real hard right now for this push on Sloonei.
Lean town on dunya. I think teammate JJJ is smart enough to not be the only vote on somebody with her.
One of Eloh/mal/LC is also likely mafia. Don't need to elaborate on the first two, Jack/LC feel slightly w/w but the D1 agreement is over the top if so.
I'm almost positive one of the people who voted JJJ after me is mafia. Tinfoiling Jack real hard right now for this push on Sloonei.
Lean town on dunya. I think teammate JJJ is smart enough to not be the only vote on somebody with her.
One of Eloh/mal/LC is also likely mafia. Don't need to elaborate on the first two, Jack/LC feel slightly w/w but the D1 agreement is over the top if so.
- Sat Dec 02, 2017 12:21 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Also feel pretty good about everybody on JJJ before me, although speed gets the least bump up because self-preservation. Still he's not atop my suspect list any longer.
You know what I'm doing with JJJ's ISOs? Totally ignoring them. Way too WIFOMy for me to get any real info.
You know what I'm doing with JJJ's ISOs? Totally ignoring them. Way too WIFOMy for me to get any real info.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:11 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
Wrong. I was the vote that put JJJ in the lead.nutella wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 4:27 pmcolonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:33 am CFD. For the fourth night in a row. No thanks I'll stick with speed.his vote is on speed for a while, then when it becomes clear that Jay is taking the lead again he hops on!colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 2:25 am I like the people on JJJ much more, so I'm swtiching over. JJJ
I'm sold sloonei let's do this
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:22 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:31 amYeah I'm trying to figure out who was already there before me. I think you were 5th because I saw you, Epi, and nutella and liked that a lot more than jack, mal, kyle. Meaning it was DDL, speed, Epi, nutella, you on JJJ vs Eloh, Mal, LC, Jack, Kyle, myself on speed when I switched.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:06 amI don't know. I was the 5th or 6th vote on him.colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 11:05 am Sloonei did you move back to JJJ before or after I did?
Initially I was the first.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:23 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
So she was factually incorrect. It was not clear JJJ was taking the lead, since my vote put him in the lead. if you think I'm bussing him, fine. You're wrong, but fine. But let's at least base the case on things that actually happened.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:15 amso?colonialbob wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:11 amWrong. I was the vote that put JJJ in the lead.nutella wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 4:27 pmcolonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 1:33 am CFD. For the fourth night in a row. No thanks I'll stick with speed.his vote is on speed for a while, then when it becomes clear that Jay is taking the lead again he hops on!colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 2:25 am I like the people on JJJ much more, so I'm swtiching over. JJJ
I'm sold sloonei let's do thiscolonialbob wrote: ↑Fri Dec 01, 2017 10:34 pm Jay seems a pretty obvious target for today - if he is bad he seems a better candidate for bussing than saving, especially considering his availability.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:31 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Again, that's fine. I obviously disagree with you, because I'm town, but that's fine. All I want is for the case to be made on facts, not falsehoods. That's all I was trying to correct nutella on.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:35 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Question for Sloonei: if you think JJJ told his teammates to bus him D3, doesn't every suspicion of JJJ expressed D3 instantly become worthless because it's potential bussing?
Second: if all his teammates were bussing him why were there so many Wilgy and Speed votes until very late in the phase?
Second: if all his teammates were bussing him why were there so many Wilgy and Speed votes until very late in the phase?
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:53 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
I votes for speedchuck because he was my biggest scum read. As the day went along, I bought into the JJJ case you and Epi laid out. So speedchuck and JJJ were my top scumreads. But then I looked at the trains and I was on a train with Kyle (somebody I didn't trust, see my first vote), Jack (somebody I didn't trust, see my history), Mal (somebody who was a pretty common scumread), and Eloh and LC (two players I wasn't suspicious of but also didn't have a solid town read on). Meanwhile JJJ had my three strongest town reads (nutella, you, epignosis). I decided I'd rather be with my town reads than my scumreads, considering that independent of other viewpoints he was second on my suspicion list.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:35 amwhy did you vote for speedchuck, or how did your read of Jay progress throughout the day?colonialbob wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 12:31 am Again, that's fine. I obviously disagree with you, because I'm town, but that's fine. All I want is for the case to be made on facts, not falsehoods. That's all I was trying to correct nutella on.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 1:19 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
I believe I talked about him, should've seen that in your ISO. Sorry for being a little snarky but I'm headed to bed and not in the mood to relitigate a case against somebody I no longer have strong suspicions about. And the frustrating thing is I'm pretty sure you're town so it's frustrating that you can't find me so we can go catch bad guys together. So we can revisit this tomorrow when I have more energy.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 10:22 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
"You're not Nightblue."Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 4:05 am That I've come up with colonialbob as my primary suspect on two different occasions and based upon two totally separate lines of investigation in this game is borderline overwhelming. At this point I'll be shocked if he's town and I'll owe him a tremendous apology.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 11:51 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Preaching to the choir, buddy.
The best way of summing up my voting yesterday is this:
I started off on Kyle because he had been pinging me and JJJ already had 4 votes while nobody else had more than 1. As several people have said, locking in a lynch suspect that early in the phase is generally not a great idea (obvious exceptions like revealed mafia not applying here). By the time I came back to the thread, nobody had followed my Kyle suspicion, so I went with my most consistent scumread, Speedchuck. Call it a gut read, whatever. Fact is I've been consistently reading him bad since roughly N2. Because that lasted fooooreeeeeeveeeeer the reasons aren't as fresh in my mind but the feeling of mafia was. If I have time this afternoon I'll sit down and ISO him and try to actually point out why I thought he was bad. But regardless, he was the player I most consistently read as mafia (after I felt you were basically cleared D2 and I got better feelings on Jack I think D3). Meanwhile a couple of players (mostly you) had laid out the JJJ case, which I mostly bought into, but which was also somewhat meta on a player that I've never played with (and I'm not a particularly meta-reliant player). So I stayed with my own read. Then Epi came and laid out a non-meta argument, which I also mostly bought into, and voted JJJ. That was the point I looked at the trains and noticed that my biggest townreads were on JJJ while several players who were neutral reads or worse were with me on speedchuck. That was enough to push me away from my top scumread to my second scumread.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 5:10 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
Spoiler: show
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 5:17 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Sloonei, here's the biggest thing about the bus case - I put JJJ in the lead. In my experience, mafia will almost never put their teammate in the lead unless they're an almost certain lynch, because mafia lives are super valuable. I could see a teammate voting him early and hoping the trains end up on different people so he could swap off, and I could definitely see a teammate jumping on to make sure their vote showed up once he flipped. But when I swapped my vote it was far from certain he was getting lynched - votes had been swapping for a while, his vote itself could've been thrown onto speed, Quin was voting for Epi or something silly like that. You swapped, I swapped, then several other people jumped on once he went ahead on the voting.
- Sun Dec 03, 2017 7:18 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Yeah, I decided after this post I'm done defending myself with regards to the vote trains, because we'd just end up going in circles and it doesn't really get us anywhere anyway.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 6:18 pmI don't agree with your self-analysis. Your vote might have put Jay ahead in the poll at the time, but like I've already said, the atmosphere in the thread at the time (and really for all of Day 4) was overwhelmingly anti-Jay. The flood of votes that came piling in afterward is a testament to that. And the fact that you've repeatedly turned to this in self-defense is not a great look for me, but I will grant you that my constant attacks have forced you to raise your shields. It's tough for me to be overly critical of that sort of thing when I'm the one causing it. That said, this sort of post isn't going to help you change the way I feel. I'm interested in understanding your thoughts, not a reflection on why I shouldn't treat your vote as suspicious.colonialbob wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2017 5:17 pm Sloonei, here's the biggest thing about the bus case - I put JJJ in the lead. In my experience, mafia will almost never put their teammate in the lead unless they're an almost certain lynch, because mafia lives are super valuable. I could see a teammate voting him early and hoping the trains end up on different people so he could swap off, and I could definitely see a teammate jumping on to make sure their vote showed up once he flipped. But when I swapped my vote it was far from certain he was getting lynched - votes had been swapping for a while, his vote itself could've been thrown onto speed, Quin was voting for Epi or something silly like that. You swapped, I swapped, then several other people jumped on once he went ahead on the voting.
I'm still interested in the development of your Jay read over time, as well as any updated reads you can share.
My JJJ read was basically driven by the cases of you and Epi. I dont have much original thought there, I'm afraid, just a case of "yeah those arguments make sense" combined with the other voters on each of them, like I talked about earlier. I'll work on updating other reads in light of the flip though.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 12:00 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Dear mafia, if you kill one of kyle/Epi i promise to try to get the other lynched so we don't have to read any more academic dick-measuring kthx
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 12:03 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
Oh good.Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 12:01 amChill. Epi and I are cool now.colonialbob wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 12:00 am Dear mafia, if you kill one of kyle/Epi i promise to try to get the other lynched so we don't have to read any more academic dick-measuring kthx
Mafia please don't kill anybody kthx
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 8:43 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 4]
Bob already mentioned that twice but apparently nobody actually reads what he saysDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 8:04 amThis doesn't look good for Bob.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 10:12 pmPost 3302.colonialbob wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 2:25 am I like the people on JJJ much more, so I'm swtiching over. JJJ
Post 3287.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 2:17 am also i put my vote back on jay. his ISOs don't sway me much. That's exactly what I'd expect him to do as scum. It's exactly what he always says players, town or scum, should do in the face of pressure. I don't feel like his mesk vote came from a place of sincerity and prior to today I got very little sense that he was trying to solve the game in any capacity.
My bad, guys. Sloonei voted Jimmy before Bob.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 8:27 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Sorry all, busy Monday. Will be catching up over the next couple of hours (although dinner is in there too).
You mean initially they were mean and grumpy and going to vote for me but then they realized the true meaning of Christmas and that I'm town and their heart grew three sizes and everybody loved them?
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 8:35 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
That was pretty surprising to me too. But I'm not in the habit of trying to analyze mafia kills, for one because WIFOM but mostly because I come from power madness setups so usually mafia is trying to leverage their info to take out town power roles.Sloonei wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 2:49 pm Another question for people who are good at analyzing this sort of thing: Why might Jack have been killed? He was still on a lot of people's radar and has been a controversial figure for much of the game.
He was after myself and Quin most recently, as well as malakim.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 8:41 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Yeah Sloonei tinfoiling is understandable (I don't get why he refuses to consider Mal at all either, Jack), but it's a waste of time. I'm firm town on him.nutella wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 3:47 pm Sloonei tinfoil is definitely interesting (especially considering his Mesk vote switch that saved jay), but I thought that pretty much all of the theories as to how he survived Day 2 involved him being town. Unless... wait, there is one possibility. Hold on, I'm rethinking everything I had in mind for Jack and Sloonei and recalculating.... hmm I'll have to think about this more, it's really confusing. Bottom line is I think the chances of Sloonei being bad are very, very, very slim.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 9:14 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 9:18 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Now *this* is circular logic. Quin is scummy for naming two suspected players who aren't on his team. How do you know Eloh is town? As speedchuck says why are the other four better? If he had said "Kyle and cbob" or "Eloh and speed" is this somehow now not scummy?Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 5:35 pmIt's scummy because a scum quin following a lynch of teammate jay, in a game where his teammates may already under fire, and so many players are difficult to accuse because of the general civvie-trust vibes of the thread, when being asked what his suspects are, might quickly respond with listing two suspected players who aren't on his team.
Why me and Eloh? Why not Cbob or speedchuck or sog or LC. Why specifically list those two players? You weren't specifically asked for 2 suspects.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 9:20 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Townies never look bad?Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 6:24 pmIf this were word-for-word true then you'd go through every mafia roll game suspecting no one at all.Quin wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 6:17 pm Let me tell you something about my meta, nutella.
Pretty much the only thing I know how to do in mafia is be genuine. I can only play by those standards. My suspicions are authentic or they are nothing. I don't say someone looks bad unless they look bad. When nobody looks bad, I say nobody looks bad. If you ever think I've made something up, reconsider. Because "making things up" is not something I care to do, and not something I'm confident I can do.
That is how I play mafia, both as a civilian and as scum.
(Lol look at me defending Quin who is probably one of my bigger scumreads before really digging into everybody)
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 9:23 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
He's often somewhat angry-ish, at least when presented with reasons like "you replaced into somebody we think is mafia" that (valid as it may be) is hard to defend against. At least from what I can recall. This is where I miss Jack, he's way better at meta than me.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 9:26 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Ok, caught up. Gonna clean the kitchen then do some ISOs / reread the end of Day 4.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 10:12 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [NIGHT 4]
[mention]Kylemii[/mention] I was literally just ISOing Quin so this sequence was fresh in my mind. Your accusation doesn't really fit the conversation.Quin wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 5:08 pmEloh and Kyle.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 5:06 pmGimme a short list of suspectsQuin wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 4:56 pmThis makes me want to cry. And also throw things at you. Begone, Satan.Jackofhearts2005 wrote: ↑Sat Dec 02, 2017 9:42 amQuin is bad for saving Jimmy yesterday, trying to save him today and continually arguing the cause against Jimmy is bad, is a misrepresentation and there was an actually case against Mesk because....nothing. Over and over he repeats these lies and cannot explain. Additionally, he repeated the "lets lynch lasagna" noncase while Domalakim and Jimmy were on the chopping block.
- Mon Dec 04, 2017 11:19 pm
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
vote Kyle
He hasn't made a case I remember agreeing with once.
He hasn't made a case I remember agreeing with once.
- Tue Dec 05, 2017 12:01 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
It's not really "I don't agree" it's "I have no idea why you think the case you're laying out makes X scum." And it hasn't just been you, it's been multiple things.Quin wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 11:37 pmFair enough. I am just very difficult to motivate.Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Dec 04, 2017 11:29 pmNo no, the point is that you've seemed less motivated lately, despite the fact that we're doing really good.
Maybe I made a mistake in pointing it out, you've been talking about this with me all day instead scum hunting and it's not you can argue with a psychology based theory.
I moved my vote off you to malakim. I disliked bobs reason for voting you. There are better cases out there than 'I don't agree with him'.
- Tue Dec 05, 2017 12:16 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Because it's stuff like misrepresenting the context of what Quin was responding too to make his Kyle/Eloh answer sound suspicious/bad, or saying Jack wouldn't answer his questions when they were a) dangerously close to asking him to break the rules and b) not alignment indicative. And from what I read of pirates, he was better at making cases than this. If he's been off for a while, I can absolutely see him struggling to make townie-sounding cases as mafia, and his response to your "I'm always sincere no matter my alignment" post points that direction as well.
Plus as I've said, I'd bet one of the voters after me on JJJ is a teammate, and Jack got NKed, so.
Plus as I've said, I'd bet one of the voters after me on JJJ is a teammate, and Jack got NKed, so.
- Tue Dec 05, 2017 12:43 am
- Forum: Previous Side Missions
- Topic: Mountain Mafia [END]
- Replies: 6258
- Views: 178405
Re: Mountain Mafia [DAY 5]
Why would it?
A) I'm not bad
B) if I'm mafia why am I trying to save a teammate who can't even be bothered to show up to defend himself