TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Tue Jan 23, 2018 1:47 am
Okay. I’ll make a real Nutella case.
Day 1/ Night 1: Nutella has a fine day 1. Honestly, I think the metagame has a evolved to a point where bad day 1s are rare. Maybe the realms are actually ahead on the curve of discouraging day 1 lynched.
Day 2: This is where my spider sense starts tingling. She starts with some posts that establish her curse. Fine. It’s a less restrictive curse than some others, so I’d expect to see a little more from Nutella over the course of the day.
The argument is this and then a substantively similar post later changing the vote to Sig. Seems a little hollow.
nutella wrote: ↑Wed Jan 17, 2018 1:17 am
I really appreciate this luxurious item I've been given that is enfranchisement, and I'm really excited to try it out, but I'm not quite sure what to do with it yet. So far I've heard of people using this product on things such as DrWilgys and TonyStarkPrimes, and from my perspective those are both decent enough choices that I might consider. Not sure I'd waste such a lovely treat on the completely absent toothed bird, but I'd be open to seeing how it might work on a Dave.
I think for now I will test out my wonderful gift on Tony. I wasn't impressed with him on day 1, and although one could argue in his favor that he has been trying to participate more recently despite the... shall we say...
stark limitations of his own "gift" today, I have also noticed that one of my other suspects, speedchuck, is voting for the candidate who is currently one vote ahead of Tony. That's about as sufficient a reason as I feel I'm likely to come up with on this day of chaos. So, thanks again hosts for the beautiful shiny poll, that was really thoughtful of you and I think it'll look great on Iron Man.
...I'm not sure what your point is here? Explain what you find suspicious about this post and I'll answer. As for my sig vote, I legitimately thought dunya's case was a good one. And you say you expected more from me on the curse day but I think I contributed a good amount.
Night two opens with this:
nutella wrote: ↑Wed Jan 17, 2018 9:23 pm
welp so both sig and mac were civ. :\
that sure was a stressful day phase, lol. I had it easier than some other people but it was still hard to phrase my posts. Had fun with it though. My curse was to "act like I had received a gift" (a reference to the Holiday Goodie Exchange which I ran this year).
I can’t put my finger on exactly what’s wrong but I think it’s the apologetic tone. That’s something I’ve always considered to be a common mafia tell, could be a Nut thing. Her Day 3 starts strong with a few posts that give me a slight nudge each way.
The only one that sticks out is this one
nutella wrote: ↑Thu Jan 18, 2018 10:59 pm
Nothing rabbit says is worth taking seriously. Especially if he's unfamiliar with Jay as a player.
But I think / hope it’s a joke.
Sort of a joke, sort of serious. I thought that rabbit was being ridiculous insisting Jay was bad for very little reasoning when he's never played with Jay before and doesn't know his meta/reputation, and he hadn't caught up on the thread either iirc so I wasn't putting much stock in his reads in general.
Day three on a more macro level involves a few posts on Dunya and a lengthy post on Speedchuck. Seeing as how she couldn’t vote we don’t know where she’d actually go, but if those were the directions Maf wanted to push it seems a little sketchy. And then night three opens with this
nutella wrote: ↑Sun Jan 21, 2018 7:56 am
![Sigh :sigh:](./images/smilies/sigh.gif)
Had I not been so unjustly disenfranchised, I would have tried to save dunya and lynch Simon. I agreed with Jay that speedchuck was the better option, but since he didn't get enough votes and it came down to a near-tie I'd probably have gone Simon. I must admit I did have some doubts about dunya for a bit when the wagon was picking up, but her pleads when it came down to the wire sounded sincere.
I haven't done any in-depth analysis but off the top of my head Jack, Kyle, Lap, and Rabbit come out of this looking pretty good, and Eloh, Quin, LC, and Speed come out looking not-so-good. Jack and Rabbit especially (and Mac but he's dead) did some solid confident hunting work both before and after the result there, and I'm inclined to follow their intuitions. I can't decide how I feel about Jay but I suppose I could see the tinfoil that he's mafia with Simon and Speed. Geez being in two concurrent games with several of the same players is mentally exhausting, I'm trying not to conflate too much meta from Fiddler but I have so many confusing tinfoily wifomy thoughts about Jay in both games lol. It's been hard to keep track but I definitely have a more traditionally civ vibe from him in this game compared to that one, but compared to previous games where he was supatown it's been a bit on the weaker side.
Which is super super mafia. I mentioned apologetic tone earlier. That first paragraph is full of it and more. And it literally doesn’t make Town sense. I can see town giving a vote choice like this late in the day to stick the flag in the sand but there’s no reason for a townie to ever pontificate so much after. Day 4 has been pretty unsubstantial outside of the classic “No you” defense. So that’s where we are. I want to elaborate on the Dunya posts that would suggest she has something outside of the first one but I also need sleep to live.
"Apologetic tone" is not much of an argument. Pretty common to feel regret after a mislynch. I genuinely wished the EOD had gone differently and expressed as much.
Also where have I "no you"ed? I sometimes happen to suspect players who suspect me, but for real reasons. I don't do "no you."