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Not really. I'm not 100% comfortable clearing you yet, though G-man thought that you should be cleared if I think Luna is bad, but I am still sorting that out. SVS and Sabie seem more likely.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:19 pm 40 minutes left. Do I drop on DDL and solidify that or help a counter wagon?
Hm.
[VOTE: DDL] aubergine
Between DDL and Reywas, DDL comes off more structured and careful. Reywas is the more likely mislynch.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:21 pmShould I though?
Yeah actually this is gross. [VOTE: speedchuck] auberginespeedchuck wrote: ↑Wed Feb 06, 2019 8:26 pm [VOTE: reywas] aubergine
I may not be coming back this evening. Stuff to do. Good luck, whoever's here
It would be, but nope.
sabie posted that before seeing that Luna had said "never mind about sabie"Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:58 pmLunalee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:54 pm Based on my previous post, I think it can be narrowed down to SVS, Sloonei, or Speed.
Given Speed helped lynch DDL, I don't think he's bad.
SVS voted for me instead of DDL. She also "civ claimed"
Sloonei voted for me instead of DDL. He made a bunch of posts analyzing DDL's interactions with other players.
yeah, SVS is the worst looking of the bunch. Sorry for my earlier opinion.Something doesn't add up between these two posts.sabie12 wrote: ↑Sun Feb 10, 2019 8:53 pm I can see svs being bad and I could see her and Luna being teammates. I know that was a suspicion earlier and is still a possibility. At this point if we are moving towards an svs lynch I'll go along with it. If that's the only option. We don't have a lot of time left and I'm about to go to the store.
Luna still trying to make me look bad to take suspicion off of herself. I've explained why I thought speed was bad and then I didnt get an opportunity to come back and change votes. Sorry I wasnt around to participate in the Luna vs ddl debate. Maybe there isn't really a debate because they're both bad? I don't know
I had some growing skepticism of the svs wagon because nobody was arguing against it. Felt too easy. And luna kept skeeving me out, so she was my alternative. It ended up being pretty much just symbolic though since I knew nobody was realistically moving off the svs vote, and that worked out in the end. But nobody is cleared for complacence with that lynch.
Lunalee wrote: ↑Sun Feb 10, 2019 10:16 pmThat is indeed a very strange progression. I had completely forgotten that I thought SVS could be bad yesterday. It's been a long day away from mafia, guys.Sloonei wrote: ↑Sun Feb 10, 2019 10:08 pmSpoiler: show
She explains the read here, but it's a little concerning that luna started to resist the SVS wagon a bit as it was gaining momentum. I don't think this outweighs the earlier interactions, but it's enough that I'm not calling luna a slam dunk town. Civilians can have second thoughts and I don't hold that against her, I just need to keep an open mind here.
Her change of heart came late, here and here. I don't think this looks like an unnatural progression, but it's possible luna is just a stellar actress. I find it more likely she just went through all the stages of civilian paranoia that come with a high pressure lynch scenario.
Town lean on luna.
At the time he left the thread I was looking like the most likely counterwagon he could hope for. He'd been going after me all game anyway so was hoping for that mislynch to gain traction over his wagon.Lunalee wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 5:09 pmAlso there's this. Not a good look for nutella at all.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:18 pm I won't be here at EoD. [VOTE: nutella] aubergine
It's really the only decent case I've made in this game, I don't suspect anyone else. Sorry for my lousy effort, guys.
Because I didn't end up actually gaining traction as a viable candidate, but DDL wasn't online again to vote on the actual counterwagon which was youLunalee wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 5:37 pmI just find it really hard to believe that there was only one scum on DDL's counter-wagon at MYLOnutella wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 5:34 pmAt the time he left the thread I was looking like the most likely counterwagon he could hope for. He'd been going after me all game anyway so was hoping for that mislynch to gain traction over his wagon.Lunalee wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 5:09 pmAlso there's this. Not a good look for nutella at all.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 08, 2019 5:18 pm I won't be here at EoD. [VOTE: nutella] aubergine
It's really the only decent case I've made in this game, I don't suspect anyone else. Sorry for my lousy effort, guys.
I'm not bad and you are reading into things in a way that doesn't really make sense. I can see the theory for sloonei though, but I'm not convinced he's more likely than sabie.. yet. Still time to think about that though.
You ascribed weird motives to my exchange with sloonei. I wasn't trying to push it toward you. I asked if he thought DDL was town because I could not understand why he would have thought so at that point.
We don't think you're dumb. Just taking advantage of a WIFOM excuse. It's actually a smart move but if you show your hand with an unprompted line it's not the most effective.
I agree, but to answer your question in the following post, it also occurred to me that you could have done it in order to make the comment that you did to set up sabie.Sloonei wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:51 pmI think it’s worth talking about.
My answer was going to be “yes”, and my reasoning was going to be basically what she just laid out in her post above. If sabie is bad, she sees the writing on the wall. She needs to shake it up. An easy way to do that would be to kill off the person she’s been pushing suspicion against and see if she can shift some blame onto somebody else.
That’s exactly what she’s going for, in her own words.
Well no he wouldn't necessarily be counting on her to say anything, he'd just say something like "would sabie do that to throw us off" or something. But don't worry about it too much I don't really think it's the case lol.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 12, 2019 11:10 amnutella wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 10:15 pmI agree, but to answer your question in the following post, it also occurred to me that you could have done it in order to make the comment that you did to set up sabie.Sloonei wrote: ↑Mon Feb 11, 2019 9:51 pmI think it’s worth talking about.
My answer was going to be “yes”, and my reasoning was going to be basically what she just laid out in her post above. If sabie is bad, she sees the writing on the wall. She needs to shake it up. An easy way to do that would be to kill off the person she’s been pushing suspicion against and see if she can shift some blame onto somebody else.
That’s exactly what she’s going for, in her own words.I think that's too many levels of WIFOM. You think Sloonei is scum because he's prompting a reason to townread Sabie in order for her to overexplain it... so that Sloonei can double down and catch her in her own fake WIFOM?
I think?
Unless I'm missing your point. I think Sloonei's post is a good look on him.
Agreed. Occam's razor and all that. I think this game really is that simple especially because as you said they'd been coasting for a while.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 12, 2019 12:11 pm
My gut and everything else tells me to go with sabie. I think this game was dead for the first 4 days and scum were just coasting by as we all lynched each other helplessly. I don’t think they felt the need to do anything extraordinary. Them we caught one, then another, and now there’s one exposed baddie left.
Yeaaaaah maybe I should be giving this possibility more consideration.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 12, 2019 2:55 pm My tinfoil against speedchuck has to do with his behavior today: he enters the day least likely of all to be lynched. He killed Luna because she’s the most likely to see through his suit of bull. He acts all concerned by peppering us with questions today just to pad his image while we continue to convince ourselves thay sabie is the best lynch.
