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by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:44 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

I want to ensure everyone is aware and conscious of the importance of two things moving forward:

1) Civilians need to try to vote together as much as possible. Close votes give the mafia potential angles to rescue themselves. We need to make collective decisions and live or die with them. It's not an emergency at 6 vs. 2, but it's still a tight situation.

2) Civilian presence in the thread near or at EOD significantly increases the likelihood of a successful lynch. Full civilian control of end-phase vote mobility is how we work as a team to overrule their cooperative voting power no matter who gets lynched.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:28 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

That effort may be enough to change my 3-player POE to this:

Frank Costanza
George Costanza
Tim Whatley

Peterman and Leo don't fit into as many teams, and that's good enough for me to at least match the credit-value of Frank's civilian cop ID.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:27 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Image

Note: suggestive relationships are by default also compatible.

Dynamics:

~ Frank has 1 suggestive relationship and 3 compatible relationships.

~ George has 2 suggestive relationships and 3 compatible relationships.

~ Peterman has 2 compatible relationships.

~ Whatley has 1 suggestive relationship and 2 compatible relationships.

~ Leo has 2 compatible relationships.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:22 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Kenny Bania, Tim Whatley, and Uncle Leo?

Image

Whatley's comments

Spoiler: show
Tim Whatley wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:43 pm @Uncle Leo, why did you vote Stein day one? Your vote on Puddy, was that you crying "No you?"
Uncle Leo wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 10:07 pmpeterman
-why: hasn't said much of anything substantial. voted for Puddy
Arent you in the same boat?

Same thing I mentioned in the previous assessment. I'm not entirely sure a mafioso poops on his teammates head like this.

He asked me about Leo's vote for me.

It's not much of a thing, but he did specifically seek to have my loud ass talk about Leo.

=================

Leo's comments

Muses about his Jerry tinfoil, qualifying that he is usually wrong when he feels that way, in response to Whatley's entry concerns about me.

Spoiler: show
Uncle Leo wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 1:05 am
Tim Whatley wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:43 pm @Uncle Leo, why did you vote Stein day one? Your vote on Puddy, was that you crying "No you?"
Uncle Leo wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 10:07 pmpeterman
-why: hasn't said much of anything substantial. voted for Puddy
Arent you in the same boat?
Am I in the same boat? No. Why would you think i am? I’m pretty sure you know that I don’t believe I am in the same boat. Did you mean to say “you’re in the same boat.” ?

I believe I explained my vote for Stein earlier in the thread. If not, it’s because it was Day 1 and what did I have to go by? Not much. So his quickness to suspect me aroused suspicion in me.

This one is kind of tasty. I like the indignance of Leo's response here, particularly in the highlighted portion, with regard to teammate [non-]compatibility. For some reason this thing is really trying to make me tag Leo here and it's pissing me off, so hopefully this long-ass sentence will get that out of my face.

=================

It worked!

Anyway, that last point speaks to me a bit. I don't suppose these two make great teammates.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:09 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with J Peterman and Uncle Leo?

Image

Peterman's comments

Leo is included in Peterman's player salad.

====================

Leo's comments

Leo thinks three others are civilians because they voted for Peterman, and he thinks Peterman is "definitely mafia" because he "hadn't said much of anything substantial.

I don't entirely follow Leo's mindset here. This came in the immediate aftermath of the Puddy lynch. I don't know if it was necessary for Leo to yell and scream about his teammate here; it was still the night phase and nobody was about to be lynched. I'll still acknowledge the bizarre degree of confidence Leo must have that Peterman is mafia here for these reads to make sense though.

====================

Conclusion

I think it's technically compatible, but gun to my head I say no.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:03 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with J Peterman, Kenny Bania, and Tim Whatley?

Image

Peterman's comments

Bania is included in Peterman's player salad.

Another Bania prod

==================

Whatley's comments

Spoiler: show
Tim Whatley wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:43 pm @Uncle Leo, why did you vote Stein day one? Your vote on Puddy, was that you crying "No you?"
Uncle Leo wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 10:07 pmpeterman
-why: hasn't said much of anything substantial. voted for Puddy
Arent you in the same boat?

Whatley discredits a suspicion Leo states of Peterman by asserting hypocrisy. Not my favorite thing.

Spoiler: show
Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:24 pm
Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 11:24 am I also keep forgetting Tim Whatley exists. That's not ideal.
Why do you think this is this the case? I feel like I've voiced my thoughts consistently?

I'll be voting Peterman. I don't feel bad about it, but there are a handful I can say that about. Let's see where this goes.

Stein, if time allows, I'll review those you asked about.

Despite that, he still voted Peterman despite having made no direct mention of him prior. I think at this point Peterman may have already had a tally lead (it was before Elaine's tracker reveal).

It's possible for this to be mafia-mafia, but my immediate inclination is to think that if there's a mafia here, it's Whatley, and Peterman is his easy vote.

Spoiler: show
Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 8:26 pm
Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 8:21 pm It's not LyLo, so all this move gets the mafia team (if Elaine is lying) is a push to LyLo with a confirmed mafia in place. That's not terrible for them, but she'd have no need -- unless Peterman is also mafia.
If it's a claim for teammate save I'd be somewhat shocked, it feels too early for that.

Whatley turned away my hypothetical scenario featuring a mafia Elaine fake-tracking to rescue a mafia Peterman from a lynch. Again, if Whatley is mafia then this looks like TMI that Peterman is a civilian.

==================

Conclusion

It's not rock solid, but my intuitions are telling me these two aren't teamed together.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:52 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with George Costanza and Uncle Leo?

Image

George's comments

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 10, 2017 5:46 pm I'm feeling good about you people
Kramer
George Steinbrenner
Uncle Leo
Jerry
Jackie

I got bad feelings about you people
Elaine
The Soup Nazi
Estelle
Dad

I got no feelings about the rest of ya.

Feeling good about Leo on N1.

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 2:38 pm
Uncle Leo wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 2:29 pm
The Soup Nazi wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 1:19 pm
<snip>

Leo

Why pick on Seinfeld of all the Newman lynchers. Picks up on Yankees mogul's phony slander of him, but doesn't act omgusy about it. Ludicrous notion of me and evil hex putting up a fight to distract the crowd. Up your dosage, old geezer!
Why Jerry? because he is the one that sealed Newman's fate by changing his vote (assuming no further actions were taken). If anything, that initial comment was more about me working in Jerry's incredible cousin Jeffrey, you know, at the Parks department.
I agree with what you're saying to some extent, especially earlier, like right after the lynch. The fact that Jerry downplayed it too, and made it seem like he didn't have any other options (which he did have), also made me feel weary. However, it's those balls of steel on a day 1 that make me place Jerry on my safe list now. He wouldn't have drawn that much attention to himself, he made a decision that killed Newman, he stuck by it. It was a deciding vote to lynch a townie on Day 1, not something mafia would have done to blend in. There's like a 2% chance he's not who he says he is. For now, he's on my safe list.

Similarly, Elaine is on my safe list for her frustration post and revealing/not revealing her PR.

George responds to Leo's concerns about me with a weird combination of waffling, tinfoiling, and trust (in me).

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 4:17 pm Out of everyone else atm, I'd say Uncle Leo is playing with his cards close to his chest and I really don't like him voting for Puddy alongside two of his suspects but going ahead with it anyway. Reeks to me.
George Costanza wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 4:27 pm Jerry, why are you trusting Uncle Leo?
On Day 2 George was clearly less impressed with Leo, after initially having read him as a civilian. The change of heart here actually kind of speaks to me, because if they're teammates I don't see a good reason for that to happen. George had already picked a side on Leo and didn't need to reverse it -- I don't believe Leo was really a top-tier lynch prospect at this point.

George answers Leo's question about his Peterman read.

George explains his D2 read on Leo to Whatley.

George reiterates and reinforces his suspicion of Leo on D4. / Pledges likely Leo vote

Ended up voting Frank instead given Leo's recent absence.

This progression makes me feel the same way. George's read on Leo is malleable throughout the game, and in a way that I don't think looks ordinary for mafia teammate distancing.

=================

Leo's comments

Nothing not already covered.

=================

Conclusion

To me this interaction looks unlikely to represent a teammate relationship.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:41 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with George Costanza, Kenny Bania, and Tim Whatley?

Image

George's comments

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 10, 2017 5:41 pm Hey Kenny Bania. What's your story?

Standard prod.

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 2:37 pm
Tim Whatley wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:17 pm
George Steinbrenner wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:12 pm Do you think it would be unwise for power roles to claim at this point in the game?
Depends really. There are too many variables in play still.

@George Costanza Where are you and where is your head at? Why did you vote the Soup Nazi day 1 but not day 2? You did say you had a bad feeling about him.
Day 1 votes generally aren't really substantial or based on actual specific clues or content. I didn't feel good about the Newman bandwagon. I didn't vote for Newman.

I'm someone who goes by gut instincts a lot, and I felt Uncle Leo was wishy washy in his stances, as long as he didn't draw attention to himself or garner too much opposition and preferred following the bunch; insincere; not as vocal or skeptical as people should be on Day 2.

My opinion on him hasn't changed yet.

George answers to a Whatley prod. I have more to say about the prod and will get to it later.

George praises Whatley on Day 4

If nothing else I disagree with the reasoning George provided here. He likes Whatley because he is "balanced, calm, and not impulsive", which to me basically describes a prototypical mafioso.

====================

Bania's comments

Haha just kidding.

Whatley's comments

Spoiler: show
Tim Whatley wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:17 pm
George Steinbrenner wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 1:12 pm Do you think it would be unwise for power roles to claim at this point in the game?
Depends really. There are too many variables in play still.

@George Costanza Where are you and where is your head at? Why did you vote the Soup Nazi day 1 but not day 2? You did say you had a bad feeling about him.

Returning to that prod. This pings me a bit. The prod upon George specifically kind of emerges from nothingness and in that regard it looks a bit forced.

Spoiler: show
Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 6:32 pm I'm noticing a trend of people who just didn't give a damn about their day one vote. How is this acceptable?

This was a general comment made in response to a George post about his Day 1 vote being less substantial. Tim's comment is accusatory, but only indirectly (and he didn't address George himself here). I can see this exchange working between teammates.

====================

Conclusion

I think they're compatible teammates and I'd call the interaction suggestive too.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:29 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with George Costanza and J Peterman?

Image

George's comments

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 1:43 pm
Uncle Leo wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2017 4:02 am
George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 10, 2017 5:46 pm I'm feeling good about you people
Kramer
George Steinbrenner
Uncle Leo
Jerry
Jackie

I got bad feelings about you people
Elaine
The Soup Nazi
Estelle
Dad

I got no feelings about the rest of ya.
George Costanza wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 4:35 pm <snip>
I'll have to look into Peterman a little more now that you shed light on his inconsistencies.
<...>
He was off your initial list - why? Have you looked into Peterman further as you say in this second quoted post? If so, what is your conclusion?
He was off my initial list along with a few others who had left no impression on me at the time of my post. I am reading each person's posts individually now and will have a better read on Peterman and others in a few hours.

George initially pledged to look into Peterman after my airing of grievances. He didn't quite follow up. Leo asked him about it, and he pledged to do it. He didn't quite follow up.

==================

Peterman's comments

Nothing.

==================

Conclusion

George's failure to discuss Peterman doesn't exactly make this look great. I also find myself wondering how hard it would have been to say something about his teammate though given the obvious need to do so. That he never followed through has me playing WIFOM in his favor.

I'll call them compatible, but again it's not moving me.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:23 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Frank Costanza and Uncle Leo?

Image

Frank's comments

The only comment is tangential.

==================

Leo's comments

Spoiler: show
Uncle Leo wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 10:07 pm I was very legitimately unable to be present until right this moment. If I had been back before now, I would have changed my vote. That means absolutely nothing though, so you all can ignore it.

I would like to proclaim, again, that I am 100% completely innocent and the perception that I am playing my hand close to my chest is simply due to me NOT being mafia and therefore not having to engage in a verbal circus of misdirection and persuasion.

current working theory:

good:
me, uncle leo
-why? because I am, despite my senior moment with the puddy vote

jerry
-why? Voted for Peterman

steinbrenner
-Why? voted for Peterman after deliberating between Puddy & peterman

frank
-Why? Out of 8 posts, has only (loosely) defended Steinbrenner & Soup Nazi, both of whom voted for Peterman. Vote for puddy is an unexplainable mark against him.


soup nazi
why? voted for peterman


definitely mafia:
peterman
-why: hasn't said much of anything substantial. voted for Puddy

Tear it apart you animals!

And Jerry, a fall from grace, really? That's rough, haven't I always been a good uncle? Who always told you that you print well?

Frank is a bit of a standout in this read. The other three non-self civilian reads Leo had offered were all justified by votes for Peterman. Frank had voted for Puddy, the wagon we Peterman voters were trying to supplant. This civilian read requires mental gymnastics to work out, and is much more complex than the others here. This would be a rather bizarre teammate connection, but I can't award points for such a convoluted civilian read in this interactive-read context.

==================

Conclusion

I'd call them compatible, but it isn't a connection that moves me much.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:14 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Frank Costanza, Kenny Bania, and Tim Whatley?

Image

Frank's comments

Nothing.

=====================

Bania's comments

Nothing.

=====================

Whatley's comments

Nothing.

=====================

Conclusion

Uh. I didn't expect that. I don't think it's typical of mafia teammates to completely ignore each other through Day 4. I don't think I can justify eliminating the possibility either. It's compatible, but not indicative.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 9:02 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Frank Costanza and J Peterman?

Image

Frank's comments
Spoiler: show
Frank Costanza wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 7:49 pm If Elaine is telling the truth, we have a cut and dried case. If she's not, we at least get more intelligence from a Jackie flip than a Peterman flip. *votes Jackie*

Frank chose Jackie over Peterman. I think this was an easy decision regardless of either Frank's or Peterman's alignments in this scenario.

======================

Peterman agreed with Frank's mud on Puddy

I felt at the time that this was cozy piggy-backing by Peterman (on Frank's suspicion) to justify his participation in the crappy Puddy wagon. That's still plausible, though I am less confident that this is the behavior of mafia teammates. They'd have wagoned Puddy right in our faces in that case, which is pretty brazen behavior for two people who have so few posts (meaning their general play has not been brazen).

======================

Conclusion

The one meaningful point I had to make has me feeling a non-teammate relationship here. It's hard to make a conclusive statement without more content, but that's life when there are so few posts.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 8:52 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with George and Frank Costanza?

Image

George's comments

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 2:04 pm
Frank Costanza wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2017 10:28 pm Now that I've gained a little bit of perspective back, I realize the Soup Nazi's been knocked down a few rungs on the suspect list, especially by Jerry and Uncle Leo.

Of those remaining, I hate to say it, but my gut says my son. It's just the kind of sick, twisted thing he'd do after putting her on his baddie list, especially after providing no reason. She was a suspect he couldn't defend if he got asked, so he knocked her off to avoid being asked about her. And he was even the last one seen at her bedside!
For the first part, I'd like to know why Jerry feels good about the Soup Nazi now.

For the second part, that's untrue. I explained I found her post regarding Jerry not being killed N1 because he's outspoken makes him suspicious actually made her seem suspicious. I didn't need to defend it.......since I explained it. Someone's not paying much attention to his son.

As for going with narrative to accuse me... *yawn*
How many games have you been in with the narrator telling you who's scum...? Yeah.

George responds to some prodding from Frank on Day 3. This was the first time George acknowledged his father in this game as far as I can see. The middle portion is of some interest, as George contested the truth of his father's assessment of him but didn't seem to find it concerning in the realm of becoming suspicious.

OMGUS accusation thrown back at Frank

Suspicion is implied here, but not stated. Ehh.

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:47 pmFrank. Cos it sure as hell isn't me, all my contributions have either been defending suspicion of myself in my limited time or trying to make gut reads as good as possible.

Let's lynch Frank.

This was in response to my musing over the possibility that Jackie left a teammate in his parting suspects list (featuring George, Frank, and Elaine). I'm struck by George's willingness to adopt this notion despite the real possibility that [theoretically from the perspective of civilian George] there may not have been any teammates in that little list of three. There's only one possibility in that mind frame if any and we're straight to "let's lynch Frank". It feels overeager.

Continuation of his Day 4 suspicion of Frank

Spoiler: show
George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 4:21 pm Probably an unpopular choice for today, but if we were going to gleam anything from Jackie's scumspect list there (me, Frank and Elaine) -- there's at least a 25% chance that Frank Costanza is the one scum he did name (and the Godfather) if he did name any. And I do think he would name one. Naming 3 townies would mean he's thrown the scumspect pool a lot smaller for the last 2. I already had bad feelings about my dad (I've mentioned specific things here and there but will try to make a specific and full case later tonight or tomorrow morning). The only reason I didn't vote for Uncle Leo right now is because he hasn't shown up in 2 days. Soup Nazi was killed yesterday night. I feel like Scum Leo would have been slightly more interested in seeing what's going on and give his 5 cents at this stage of the game. Not eliminating his scumminess, but going with the person I think is more likely at this stage.

He expands some here on his willingness to assume Jackie left a teammate in that list. I don't follow the math that I just highlighted, George please tell me what that means.

=========================

Frank's comments

Spoiler: show
Frank Costanza wrote: Mon Oct 09, 2017 5:44 pm
George Costanza wrote: Mon Oct 09, 2017 2:19 pm Hi, I'm George. I'm unemployed and I live with my parents.
As if we needed any more proof you're a good-for-nothing bum! Didn't bother showing up at all to the Mafia for the first day of it.
Frank Costanza wrote: Wed Oct 11, 2017 5:18 pmGeorge, I'm disappointed you. Why don't you stop crying and fight your father face to face, like aman? Listing Kramer as good on Night 1, then knocking him out, would be an excellent way to establish some civilian cred. Especially when you're also buddying up to that goody-two-shoes Jerry Seinfeld.

Frank has never been kind to George in this game, and to me it has often looked cooked. I even suggested earlier in the game that it looks like forced distancing. The highlighted portion is about to become a little trend:

Spoiler: show
Frank Costanza wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2017 9:07 pm ESTELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE?!?!?!?!?!?!?

No! It can't be! My wife is dead because of you animals! She would drive me up a wall, but she was being quiet around you people, and now someone thought it was worth shutting her up even more.

Only people she mentioned before she passed that might get up to such a thing were Jerry, David Puddy (who I agreed with), the lawyer, and George. She even put in a good word for the Soup Man! The Soup Nazi, who people think is as bad as the actual Nazis!

SERENITY NOW!

I gotta take a breather. Right now, my gut says there's something in looking at those mentions, but I don't know what yet.

Refer again to the highlighted portion. These last two examples show Frank using convoluted, far-fetched reasoning to pin both of the first night kills on George (among a few others in the latter case). I have my doubts that a civilian thinks about the game this way, and it may also be significant that he focused on his son both times.

Spoiler: show
Frank Costanza wrote: Sat Oct 14, 2017 7:13 pm My son hasn't said a thing today. Maybe he needs to get wrestled?! *votes George Costanza*
Frank Costanza wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 5:16 pmAnd as far as I can tell, George still hasn't given a good reason for that baddie listing. Too buys moving on to the next victim, probably.

His George-centric suspicion continues through Day 3.

Frank immediately goes after George after the Jackie lynch for their interactions

This features by far Frank's most conclusive, substantive accusation against George. The point he makes is at least an interesting one. I'll have to look into it myself.


=========================

Conclusion

I still think these two are compatible teammates, and they're both compatible with Jackie. The suspicion from Frank's side especially may even be suggestive of that relationship.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 3:04 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 3:02 pm Ok Jerry, so why had you already voted for me on Day 1 before I had even posted itt?
You have the most role play-friendly role in the game and you were taking entirely too long to get started (so I supposed you might be hesitating due to alignment nerves). So I threw poop at you. Was it substantive or damning stuff? Naw. Was it a real accusation? Sure.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:59 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

One point I want to make immediately, because it irks me, is this:

George Costanza, I never said at any juncture that the host revealed or hinted at you being a mafioso in the game introduction. Of course that didn't happen. I said you called two votes upon you "throw-away" votes, one of which was my vote, and I didn't say anything about the host's content. It wasn't a fair representation of my own vote for you.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:54 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

I'm going to move to unvote for the moment. Breathe, George, and keep at it. I can't review that thoroughly at present, but I will soon. Show me the baddies.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:37 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:27 pm Another angle which can be immensely helpful for Day 4 that we really ought to work with: living-teammate analysis. We have a relatively small suspect pool, and two names to isolate.

We already have an idea who we trust. If we can manage a suspect pool of four or five, then we can check every single possible two-man team within that pool to see whether there's reason to cut them out as potential teammates. That allows us to further reduce the possible game scenarios to as few as we can, and that often ends up revealing one of them anyway (i.e. if one player is included in all theorized teams, that player is mafia).

I can't do this now, but I will attempt it later. I could use some help.
This is the pool I intend to work with, including the 5 suspects I deem worthy of investigation and all possible combinations therein (not including repeats):

Image
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:27 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Another angle which can be immensely helpful for Day 4 that we really ought to work with: living-teammate analysis. We have a relatively small suspect pool, and two names to isolate.

We already have an idea who we trust. If we can manage a suspect pool of four or five, then we can check every single possible two-man team within that pool to see whether there's reason to cut them out as potential teammates. That allows us to further reduce the possible game scenarios to as few as we can, and that often ends up revealing one of them anyway (i.e. if one player is included in all theorized teams, that player is mafia).

I can't do this now, but I will attempt it later. I could use some help.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:24 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

George Steinbrenner wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:19 pm
Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:12 pm I forgot about Peterman. Meh. I really would like to think a mafioso under constant pressure would naturally end up with more than 9 posts.
Leo's post history has me considering that Peterman is town more than anything else I've seen in this game. It looks like scum bandwagoning 101.
I can see what you mean. My intuition isn't in disagreement with that assertion.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:12 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

I forgot about Peterman. Meh. I really would like to think a mafioso under constant pressure would naturally end up with more than 9 posts.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:09 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Right now, my three-man POE looks like this:

George Costanza
Tim Whatley
Uncle Leo (backup)

The wild card would thus be Frank.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 2:07 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 2] Seinfeld Mafia

George Steinbrenner wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:43 pm
Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:24 pm
Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 11:24 am I also keep forgetting Tim Whatley exists. That's not ideal.
Why do you think this is this the case? I feel like I've voiced my thoughts consistently?

I'll be voting Peterman. I don't feel bad about it, but there are a handful I can say that about. Let's see where this goes.

Stein, if time allows, I'll review those you asked about.
Looks to strike up a conversation with Jerry, a good look.
Votes for Peterman for what amounts to very little reason and 0 mentions of him prior to this, bad look.
Promises to maybe review a few players, we'll see.
I don't think this was a good look. I might generously call it a null look. Whatley had previously voiced suspicion and even fear of me, and it's a little difficult for me to reconcile his comment here with that in mind. If he felt that my forgetting about him was unjustified given his rate of contribution, having already viewed me as troublesome, I'd expect to see a harsher response here. His question and protestation are very timid, in a way that looks unnatural to me.
George Steinbrenner wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:43 pm
Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 6:32 pm I'm noticing a trend of people who just didn't give a damn about their day one vote. How is this acceptable?
I don't like the top half of this post. Denies responsibility for giving a reason behind his Peterman vote, and rejects Jerry's observation about him. I do like the bottom half though, at least at face value. I sense some real frustration from Whatley on how Day 1 played out without him. But this is a very easy stance for scum to fake.

I don't care for either half of this post. In most Mafia games, a decent or larger portion of the player population tends to care little about their Day 1 votes (because people erroneously believe it to be a crapshoot). This isn't atypical, and I don't know why Whatley is so perturbed. Moreover, he didn't qualify this accusation, because it's definitely accusatory, with any names beyond the individual he was addressing (George). This doesn't look authentic to me.
Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 8:10 pm I'm also speculative of Elaine' s claim. Ever hear the tale of the boy who cried wolf?

Linki - I guess we'll see.
This bugs me too. I can understand a little initial doubt about the honesty of a role claim in this Syndicate environment, but I kind of hate the way it is presented here. It's in the third person, not directly addressed to Elaine herself, as commentary. No thanks. This doesn't promote deeper examination of the claim, it promotes public doubt of the claim.

We can credit Tim for ending the day with his vote in the right place, but my willingness to hand out credit for that is very limited. As we saw, Jackie still had his own vote open to place himself in a coin-flip tie. If Whatley is his teammate, the danger of losing a teammate in this scenario was still only 50-50, and the danger of looking terrible if it didn't work out was 100-0.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:54 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Having reviewed your look at Tim, employee-of-Steinbrenner, I find my read on him moving south. There were a number of posts you highlighted that you interpreted negatively, and I agreed. There were a couple posts you interpreted positively, and I disagreed. I'll try to peel them out of the analysis and talk about that.

Let's remember, gang: if we can correctly isolate our POE pool to three suspects, then the civilians win. We get one more mislynch.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:52 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 2] Seinfeld Mafia

Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2017 6:13 pm
Tim Whatley wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2017 5:42 pm Don't be so upset Jerry, discussion will come.

Your theories regarding Steinbrenner, that's a lie isn't it? At least in regards to having deeper thought on him.
I'm not sure what you mean. I'm lying about welcoming opposing reads on him?
[mention]Tim Whatley[/mention], I'd like an answer to this question please.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:35 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

I'm going to engage in a little dangerous night kill analysis for Soup Nazi. I just stated that his being killed over me is something I've considered, and there is also at least one discernible motive I can conceive of to kill him over the two role claimers -- their reads. If the mafia team decides that none of the three (Elaine, Steinbrenner, and Soup Nazi) is going to be lynched, then they have less obvious interest in killing a role claimer given that both are claimed to be expended. Their choice can then be otherwise motivated. I want to see what Soup Nazi's reads looked like in his final day.

Soup's analysis of Puddy voters

He summarized his analysis as follows:
The Soup Nazi wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 9:12 am Witch > Leo > Mowgli > Costanza
This translates from Soupian to Elaine is more suspicious than Leo is more suspicious than Peterman is more suspicious than Frank.

Omit Elaine and perhaps this draws a visible motive for Leo and/or Peterman.

Spoiler: show
The Soup Nazi wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 1:00 pm
George Costanza wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 12:41 pm
You know, I did think it was rather farfetched that all four main characters of the show (George, Seinfeld, Elaine and Kramer) would RANDOMLY be picked as town. Kramer was town, I'm town, pretty sure I have good feelings about Jerry...so Elaine, as someone who roleclaimed and wasn't night killed, what's your deal?
You must be hungry for some falafel, little man, yet this is just fallacious.

He took a swat at George for the fallacious main character argument.

Further criticism of George qualified as "iffiness".

Soup wasn't impressed by Whatley either, though he was less conclusively accusatory in his language.

====================

This actually doesn't differ from my own reads at the time that much. He was most critical of George, Leo, and Peterman on Day 3. He was less critical than I was of Frank.

[mention]George Steinbrenner[/mention]
[mention]Elaine Benes[/mention]

Do Soup's Day 3 reads differ significantly from your Day 3 reads in any way that you find striking?

NOTE:

I understand that any night kill analysis is inherently going to equate to a big helping of WIFOM. It's also possible the mafia team made this kill choice because they wanted the civilians to over-analyze and veer off-track. That doesn't mean I won't at least explore the possibilities though.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:21 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Something comes to mind: Elaine mentioned earlier that a lynch of the Godfather today, if not Frank, would confirm Frank as a civilian. This is true. Another truth is that a lynch of the remaining vanilla mafioso today would render Frank's chance of being mafia equivalent to all other candidates (his being checked by the cop would no longer have any mathematical importance).
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 1:16 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

One question worth asking: why am I not dead?

I am comfortable attributing the Kramer and Estelle kills to power role hunting. They were both laying low. The Night 3 kill is more striking, in that they killed anyone other than a role claimer (Elaine or Steinbrenner), and they chose Soup Nazi over me. Soup and I have both enjoyed pretty comfortable games so far on the suspicion front, and we'd both likely have been difficult lynches compared to the lower post count population.

Should I care that they killed Soup Nazi instead of me? Is there a discernible motive for that given some disparity in Soup's reads versus my reads? Is this just aimless WIFOM?
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:19 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

George Costanza wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:13 pm you're basing your entire votes on Jackie's interactions with me, jerry/elaine? that's really lazy scum hunting. Terrible in fact.
Literally no, but it's of little consequence. I hate this post. First of all, it's the opposite of "lazy" to make interactive judgments -- it's the product of a crap load of analytic work performed in this thread during the night phase. Second of all, I have very little understanding of what has motivated your votes in this game. Third of all, why the hell shouldn't you receive votes?

Show me what makes you a civilian. Show me who isn't a civilian.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 10:44 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Notice to low posters:

The mafia love to keep you alive because you're their ticket to a winner's banner. Don't let that happen.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:26 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 3] Seinfeld Mafia

George Steinbrenner wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:09 am
Frank Costanza wrote: Fri Oct 13, 2017 9:07 pm ESTELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEE?!?!?!?!?!?!?

No! It can't be! My wife is dead because of you animals! She would drive me up a wall, but she was being quiet around you people, and now someone thought it was worth shutting her up even more.

Only people she mentioned before she passed that might get up to such a thing were Jerry, David Puddy (who I agreed with), the lawyer, and George. She even put in a good word for the Soup Man! The Soup Nazi, who people think is as bad as the actual Nazis!

SERENITY NOW!

I gotta take a breather. Right now, my gut says there's something in looking at those mentions, but I don't know what yet.
If Frank is the godfather then he knew about Estelle's death beforehand and this reaction was likely pre-planned to some degree. Reading it, I could see that being the case, but it does not have to be so. There'd be a very clear intent to direct suspicion against the players listed here, but I don't recall Frank following through much on this at all.

It's complete player salad. I don't like that post.
by Julinook
Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:22 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

George Steinbrenner wrote: Tue Oct 17, 2017 12:03 am
Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 11:14 pm Sure I'll do a George vote.
You announced towards the end of Day 3 that you would not be voting for George. I assume that your interactive read between George and Jackie has a lot to do with your change of heart. What are the key points at the root of your George suspicion. Why is he your preferred lynch right now over everyone else?
I had a pile of people I was considering voting for, and George was the only one among them doing anything. He had a string of contributions in the latter half of the day, and I decided to narrow my focus. His interactions with Jackie look the worst aside maybe from Frank, and given your peek I'm willing to prioritize George first. It's POE as much as suspicion, especially when I found a reason to give Peterman some actual credit.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 11:14 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Sure I'll do a George vote.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:40 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 4] Seinfeld Mafia

Okay then. I'm going to hope that was an ill-advised attempt to cast suspicion upon Elaine and Steinbrenner, because it'd make me chuckle.

Later Soupochet.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:28 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Elaine Benes wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:14 pm In case I kick it, I don't suspect Frank at all. I have the merest eye-twich suspicion of Jerry. I don't suspect Stein. I mostly suspect Peterman (my suspicion of Jerry would increase if Peterman is bad, because this would mean Jerry loved Jackie and is now muting any suspicion of Peterman), and I mostly suspect George. The Soup Nazi is probably all right, even though he can blow it out his ass. Tim Whatley is yadda yadda yadda.
How d'you feel about Leo?
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:26 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [DAY 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Tim Whatley wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 8:10 pm I'm also speculative of Elaine' s claim. Ever hear the tale of the boy who cried wolf?

Linki - I guess we'll see.

Elaine raises a good point about Whatley's vote. He didn't seem entirely convinced in the moment by the claim, but still made the sound vote which ensured at least a tie (once Jackie voted in self-preservation). That's a nice thing. He'd given himself an excuse to vote elsewhere if he wanted to, but didn't.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 8:23 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Elaine Benes wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 7:40 pmHow do you know he wasn't present? Just because you post doesn't mean you aren't present.
I suppose he could have been. He hadn't posted for a while at EOD and I can't see names down there.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:39 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Elaine Benes wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:29 pm
Jerry Seinfeld wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:09 pm If it's unclear why I think better of Peterman now:

He placed his vote on me yesterday when he was leading the lynch clearly and I had no votes. I wasn't a likely lynch at all, and he didn't care. He stated his grievance with me and placed his vote accordingly. Moreover, he left his vote there all day long, probably expecting himself to be victimized or at least in grave danger. He didn't try to save himself at any juncture, and I think that's suggestive of a civilian low on time trying to promote the most genuine suspicion he had -- of Jerry Seinfeld, the guy who most vocally wanted him dead.

It's still a behavioral judgment and not concrete stuff, so I won't color him dark green for it. But it's a nice look I think and enough for me to prioritize other suspects well in front of him.
If he's bad, what were his options if he never talked about Jackie?
I don't think he'd have ever voted Jackie anyway because he wasn't present at the end of the day (and that wagon developed very late). I am referring to the earlier portion when the votes were pretty well spread. Peterman himself had 3 votes and then about 5 other people had one vote each. I wasn't one of them. He just stuck yet another solo vote on me (and I think I would have been a very difficult lynch to generate). He could have placed a second vote on any of those other players to improve his chance of survival, but prioritized his suspicion of me over that.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:37 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Elaine Benes wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:20 pmThere are nine left. Frank is unemployed, because he isn't a cop or a tracker. That leaves seven. One in seven is 14%. I forgot to exclude the vanilla mafia he can't be if he was checked, so that makes one in six, which is 17%

Is it possible I'm not as mathematically strong as I think I am?
I think you're right, if the roles are viewed a priori. I charted it out just to make sure there are no weird things happening in the math. I think it's like this, if we assume the power role claims are legitimate:

Image
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:09 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

If it's unclear why I think better of Peterman now:

He placed his vote on me yesterday when he was leading the lynch clearly and I had no votes. I wasn't a likely lynch at all, and he didn't care. He stated his grievance with me and placed his vote accordingly. Moreover, he left his vote there all day long, probably expecting himself to be victimized or at least in grave danger. He didn't try to save himself at any juncture, and I think that's suggestive of a civilian low on time trying to promote the most genuine suspicion he had -- of Jerry Seinfeld, the guy who most vocally wanted him dead.

It's still a behavioral judgment and not concrete stuff, so I won't color him dark green for it. But it's a nice look I think and enough for me to prioritize other suspects well in front of him.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 6:02 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

I've been in a rut lately. I have been single for an entire day! I mean, Sandy Robbins from the pilot set is acting like my girlfriend to get into her Elaine role, but that doesn't count. I've got my eyes on a new girl though, Amy. George, let me know what you think of her. Be sure to wear your glasses.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:56 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Those analyses weren't the fountain of insight I hoped they'd be, which is the product of low-content players yet alive. Summary:

Almost certainly not a teammate of Jackie
Elaine Benes

Doesn't look like a teammate of Jackie
The Soup Nazi

Looks like a less likely teammate of Jackie
George Steinbrenner

Shrug
J Peterman
Tim Whatley
Uncle Leo

Look like potential teammates of Jackie
George Costanza
Frank Costanza

That's all purely with regard to the Jackie interactions. Now, if I account for role claims, scenario contexts, and general behavior in the thread as well:

Elaine Benes
George Steinbrenner
The Soup Nazi
J Peterman
Frank Costanza
Tim Whatley
Uncle Leo

George Costanza
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:43 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Elaine Benes wrote: Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:42 pm Apparently, Jerry didn't have enough Pezzes. That should say 17%.
Could you show your work? I believe you, but I can't math right now. I just took a math test and my brain is melting. I just wanna make sure we're operating with the right numbers.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:37 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Jackie Chiles and Uncle Leo?

Image

Jackie's comments

Spoiler: show
Jackie Chiles wrote: Sat Oct 07, 2017 11:25 pm
George Steinbrenner wrote: Sat Oct 07, 2017 10:24 pm Uncle Leo? That's a mobster's name if I've ever heard one! Big Tony, there's another. But I don't see a Big Tony here, and I don't trust this Uncle Leo. What's he hiding? Big Stein's getting nervous!
I find your assertion egregious, unscrupulous, and atrocious! A clear case of prejudicial name-alignment-assignment.
This is technically a defense of Leo at the start of Day 1 even if in role play jokes. This is all he said about Leo.

=================

Leo comments

Nope.

=================

Conclusion

There's barely anything to talk about. He remains in the POE pool.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:25 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Jackie Chiles, Kenny Bania, and Tim Whatley?

Image

Jackie's comments

Spoiler: show
Jackie Chiles wrote: Wed Oct 11, 2017 9:41 pm Welcome, Mr Whatley! I seem to recognize you from an associate of mine, Saul Goodman... but maybe not. Face seems awfully familiar.

Kay.

===========================

Bania's comments

Nope.

===========================

Whatley's comments

Nope.

===========================

Conclusion

:shrug2:
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 5:21 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Image
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 2:35 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with me saying typing the wrong name in my title? What's the deal with ruining the aesthetic bliss of my analyses? :rolleyes:
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 2:33 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with J Peterman and The Soup Nazi?

Image

Jackie's comments

Spoiler: show
Jackie Chiles wrote: Wed Oct 11, 2017 9:41 pm
David Puddy wrote: Wed Oct 11, 2017 6:55 pm I was asked my thoughts on Mr. Soup's most suspicious post. I think they are all suspicious except this one...
The Soup Nazi wrote: Tue Oct 10, 2017 8:14 pm Look at these two goons distancing from each other. Deplorable.

They must be so irritated because they haven't had any soup today.

Ha-ha! Ha! Ha!
I found myself almost agreeing with you, until I realized you were telling us what you find unsuspicious! Personally, I took that as one of the Soup Nazi's more suspicious statements. Can you explain why you think this statement is so very unsuspicious?

Jackie implied he found a Soup Nazi post suspicious in a roundabout way when he was talking with Puddy. He didn't mention this suspicion of Soup Nazi prior. To me it looks entirely like a fake concoction to justify feeding the negative press on Puddy, making Soup Nazi an incident participant in this dialogue rather than a strategic participant.

=================

Soup Nazi's comments

Spoiler: show
The Soup Nazi wrote: Thu Oct 12, 2017 1:19 pmLawyer man

Dislikes baseless prodding, yet prods little man for lore. Hrmpf.
Decent pick on Costanza's baseless vote.
Vouches for Mrs. Costanza. Just like Steinbrenner!! What did I tell you?!
Dislikes Yankees mogul picking on nasty woman.
Decent rebuttal.

I disliked his early stuff, but don't have much on his recent bit. Worth a squint.

This analysis features both positive and negative commentary and ends with a soft negative stance. I don't think this works for or against Soup Nazi really.

Spoiler: show
The Soup Nazi wrote: Sun Oct 15, 2017 1:58 pm Lawyer Man

A lawyer who has not shown up for work. Disgraceful.

But, whatever, let's pick this back up, since he still have less posts than I have cousins.

Picking it up from
*snipped same post previously spoilered for brevity*
Now, that vouch for Mrs. Costanza does stick out, but heck, there are a few voices overall, included me, who didn't suspect her. Could a point in his favor that the mafia took this as a sign that Mrs. Costanza is a safe removal. (Buuuut *tinfoil activation*...)

Squirts rainbows on players' suspicion - trust ratio. Not a fan of this approach's reliability and I sense he went too hard on Benes' bitchin', when Costanza Sr. and Yankeeman had only a few more trusted marks. Agree with him on tinfoiling Costanza Jr's contribution.

Plot thickens, as someone points yet another vouching for a deceased citizen (Kramer). Could Lawman here be this much of a safe parking mobster?

Insists on Costanza Jr. looking worst for him.

I suspect this is a material for him to arrive today and plant a vote on Costanza Jr. and nothing else - if he'll arrive to vote at all! There's nothing else to draw upon other that the players he had good vibes on keep dying. I don't think I'll entertain the conspiracy around this too much today, though.

Soup Nazi was conscious of Jackie enough that he felt the need to reassess in double-over fashion here, and I think it looks fine. The conclusion isn't especially grounded and "I'll get to this later" isn't necessarily inspiring -- but the language in this thing still resonates well with me.


=================

Conclusion


The worst I could say here is that there's strikingly little to talk about considering Soup Nazi's position in the post count ranking. That doesn't move me though, and I am comfortable retaining my civilian read on him.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 2:19 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

What's the deal with Jackie Chiles and J Peterman?

Image

Jackie's comments

The one Officer Steinbrenner provided really is all there is to talk about. And I just talked about it. This doesn't make Peterman look terrible, but it doesn't help him either.

==================

Peterman's comments


They don't exist.

==================

Peterman must be read at face value essentially as before. He remains a valid enough suspect, though we can consider whether there's meaning to his having been a pseudo-counterwagon to Jackie's. It's probably more accurate to Jackie a counterwagon to Peterman than vice-versa.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 1:03 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

I might observe from that interaction that Jackie basically copy/pasted Peterman's comment and then rearranged the words a bit.
by Julinook
Mon Oct 16, 2017 12:44 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: [ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia
Replies: 1296
Views: 54043

Re: [NIGHT 3] Seinfeld Mafia

Actually I'm not sure I care. You're the confirmed cop until someone else contests that claim.

Return to “[ENDGAME] Seinfeld Mafia”