I think DFaraday might be bad, and here's a few reasons why.
DFaraday wrote:Finally caught up.
I don't necessarily find Quin's statements/actions suspicious, since I get what he was trying to say. It can be beneficial to the town to do things besides directly lynching baddies. In this particular case I don't think Quin's fixation on Pam is particularly helpful, but I don't find him overtly suspicious because of it.
I will be *voting Wilgy* because his voting logic was weak and the follow-up with INH has left me feeling that INH was more genuine. Also, it's been brought up that this is apparently reminiscent of baddie Wilgy in earlier games.
Voting for someone because their voting logic is weak isn't really a reason to vote for someone because weak logic isn't a baddie trait. DF's last sentence here is just groupthink. "People said something about Wilgy, it must be true." I can't be arsed to find links from other games, but I feel like civvie-DF is against this type of metagaming, especially when he's just parroting other people's conclusions about it and not explicitly agreeing with those findings, simply bringing it up as part of his vote.
DFaraday wrote:Both the Epi voters and the leetic voters are pinging me a bit, as I haven't seen any reason to suspect either of them. Although it's possible that Bea and Splints could be forced by Meredith.
What's more noticeable to me is the shift in attitude of the Day 1 Quin voters:
S~V~S wrote:
I was out all weekend and had to read Quin in ISO; would it surprise you to hear that his output during the night period made me feel much better about him? Would it surprise you to hear that his vote made me feel even better?
DrumBeats wrote:
Also would not surprise me to hear that the night made you feel better about Quin, I feel a bit better about him myself. The vote making you feel better surprises me a bit, but whatever floats your boat
birdwithteeth11 wrote:
I know I definitely am not. We're less than 24 hours away from Day 2 ending, Quin's posts since after the Day 1 lynch have started to make me feel better about him, and I'm currently catching up and have zero suspicions on anyone. Although part of that may be because this is a very large game and most large games take me a bit longer to start to sink in and get more concrete ideas.
3 of the 4 Quin voters now feel good about him (DB even listed Quin as civ) with basically no reasoning for this shift beyond, "His posts made me feel better about him." BWT's especially strikes me as an easy way to springboard off of what the others said without offering any new thoughts on Quin. I'll be looking at these three for the remainder of the phase to see if anything else stands out to me.
Why is "His posts made me feel better about him" not enough reason for DF? He seems oddly attentive to this issue, as if he was paying attention to who suspected Quin and now he's bummed that they've changed their minds. What exactly did DF think was at play here when he made this point? Did he think Quin's accusers were his teammates? Not likely, because DF had defended Quin himself until this point. This is a contrived reason to look at these three players, IMO.
DFaraday wrote:I agree with DB that this scenario presents a huge benefit for the Mafia. Since the day phase was so short, we're essentially in three straight night phases, where the baddies can keep killing unchecked. Add in Quin's death, and the Mafia basically get 4 kills in a row while we're sitting ducks. Not to mention, by the time this long night is over, we'll probably have a very divisive argument over whether SVS should be lynched, potentially stalling things in the baddies' favor even longer. It absolutely seems worth it for a Mafia member to risk themselves for what amounts to an extended period of thread domination and kills free of reprisal.
Besides, the reasons for SVS being civ are all more convoluted than her being bad. The whole "No baddie would risk themselves like that!" angle is pure WIFOM, and the scenario in which SVS just happened to vote super early, and the baddies just happened to know she would vote super early, and just happened to be around to send in a PM fast enough that no other players had even left a placeholder vote all strains credulity more than the notion that SVS is complicit.
Here's the biggest piece of evidence for me. It's clear that in this post, DF's premise is that SVS is bad and took out Quin to get the neverending night. But I want to call attention to one sentence in particular:
DFaraday wrote:Not to mention, by the time this long night is over, we'll probably have a very divisive argument over whether SVS should be lynched, potentially stalling things in the baddies' favor even longer.
If SVS is bad as DF presumes, then "a divisive argument over whether she should be lynched" does not "stall things in the baddies' favor"; on the contrary, it keeps the spotlight focused on one of their own and forces the rest of the team to take a stance on her. That doesn't work in the baddies' favor. DF's argument in this sentence doesn't fit the premise of the rest of his post, which makes me think he's just bullshitting to justify a contrived opinion. Read this sentence over again. I argue that what he says here makes no sense and shows that DF doesn't actually believe SVS is bad.
DFaraday wrote:Enrique wrote:What do you think, DF? Was she bad, was she good? Who killed her?
I was inclined to think bad before the NK, and I'm rather unsure at this point. I'm not ruling out that she was killed by her team, since that's more plausible than you seem to think.
Earlier DF took a hard stance on SVS, saying the case for her being civ was more convoluted than the case for her to be bad, and now that she's dead, he's not ruling out that her own team killed her. Again this doesn't fit the premise of DF's earlier post about the benefits of SVS's move if she's bad, so it feels like more bullsuit.
DFaraday wrote:I think DB makes a good point about Matt wanting to know about the Night phases, and as Matt doesn't seem interested in defending himself, I'll go ahead and *vote Matt*
Matt's lack of defense is not a reason to vote for him, it's an
excuse to vote for him. His only other mention of Matt before this vote on Day 4 was back on Day 0, where he hedged his bets:
DFaraday wrote:The only one who looks at all shady here is Matt, but every game I think Matt is suspicious for his weird gameplay, so I don't want to read too much into that just yet.
That was on Day 0 and it's hardly damning, and there's no mention of Matt again until he votes for him on Day 4. DF was looking for an easy vote here and he found it.
DFaraday wrote:I actually agree with INH. I don't see much value in GTH, and I certainly wouldn't base suspicion off of what anyone put in their GTH.
I just thought this was funny because 20% of DF's posts are participating in the GTH exercise
These are just the highlights, but DF's ISO is a breezy 26-post read. I suggest everyone take a look at his full posts to grasp the overall context of DF's contributions to the game, and let me know if you're seeing what I'm seeing. In general, I find his reasoning for his votes to be somewhat contrived and some of his opinions to be likewise contrived.
I'm placing my vote on DF for now.