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Return to “Traitors for Exile”
- by Marmot
- Sun Jun 13, 2021 12:07 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Gavial wrote: ↑Sun Jun 13, 2021 12:05 pm
Marmot wrote: ↑Sun Jun 13, 2021 11:48 am
For the record, I got green peeks on Sparkles and Creature, and then a red peek on myself by game's end
No you were green.
Oh alright. Being red was more fun

- by Marmot
- Sun Jun 13, 2021 11:48 am
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
For the record, I got green peeks on Sparkles and Creature, and then a red peek on myself by game's end
- by Marmot
- Sat Jun 12, 2021 9:49 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Oh hey we did it!!! Great job everyone.
Thanks for putting up with the fake red check KZA. I do think that gambit took the wind out of the traitor's sails a little bit.
- by Marmot
- Fri Jun 11, 2021 2:45 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
A Medium is kinda like a Psychic (IRL not as a mafia definition). They can see and sense things that other people cannot.
Not really what I was joking about here, but in Town of Salem (a Mafia spinoff game), a Medium can communicate with dead players at night.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:29 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:27 pm
green peaking poison day 2 means nothing
Good point.
It meant more when there were several traitors alive. Now that she's confirmed not a regular traitor, it means nothing.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:24 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
There are other players who look townie too, it's really just that I green peeked Poison Day 2 and KZA looked insanely good after faking a red peek on him.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:14 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I mean, all three wolves we've flipped were done based on reads (and some luck). Yes we had a redpeek on falcon, but he was probably getting yeeted Day 1 anyway.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:11 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Who even knows anymore. While I am confirmed town, I feel like my role is utterly useless and we should just rely on reads and instincts, not mech.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 10:09 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I've discovered a new answer to a question I just asked.
If the anti-cop hits the same player twice, they revert their alignment back.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 9:22 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Gira wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 8:01 pm
Marmot wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:46 pm
I mean if we plow through 7 POE candidates and none of them are hits, we're going to have to flip our reads regardless of which strategy we use. I just want to use the one that will never send a possible traitor to exile more than twice, everyone but me being a possible traitor. Yes it's cautious, but it's not hard.
that is exactly why not going for exile confirmation is dangerous, because people will get dumb and second-guess, because we're going to be trying to play whack-a-mole looking for a hidden traitor rather than looking for a clear
look at it this way
right now we have 9 villagers and 1 traitor. the probability of picking a villager to bet the game on is NINETY PERCENT. the odds are never going to be better. only a single correct townread wins the game
and like i can only be arguing this from a protown perspectuve because i'm not advocating for myself to the exile so even were i a traitor i'd be guaranteed to lose with this
We can do the exact same thing without taking the 10% chance risk though.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:46 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I mean if we plow through 7 POE candidates and none of them are hits, we're going to have to flip our reads regardless of which strategy we use. I just want to use the one that will never send a possible traitor to exile more than twice, everyone but me being a possible traitor. Yes it's cautious, but it's not hard.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:39 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I should add that since the anti-cop is the only traitor left, it is possible that it's KZA. The reason he was derp-cleared was because he responded well to my make redpeek, but if he was an anti-cop who self-targeted, he would have known my peek was fake.
I don't think he is, but I feel it's still worth pointing out if we start having trouble finding the last traitor.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:36 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Gira wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:13 pm
anyway i will reiterate: pick one person and bet the game on them being town, now is literally the best time do so ever because the odds are good. exile them 3 times and get mechanical confirmation. don't cry about losing via traitor exile, you want this person to be the last one standing with marmot anyway so there is NO POINT in playing it safe
Who would you pick?
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 7:36 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Meh. We're ahead, which means that we absolutely should play it safe, not make calls that have some amount of risk to them.
I know that the odds are in our favor, but there's still a little risk to picking someone (other than myself) to be our permanent exiled target.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:49 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Thu Jun 10, 2021 3:40 pm
is there an exile poll or are the polls broken or something
We should be in exile phase right now, I think the poll just isn't updated.
- by Marmot
- Thu Jun 10, 2021 12:56 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I'm still waiting on my most recent result, but I'm fine with continuing the plan of just exitling someone who hasn't been exiled. It seems the safest way for now.
- by Marmot
- Wed Jun 09, 2021 3:59 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I'm in the same boat as Wisdom. I was supposed to be on break now, but couldn't say no to Sparkles or Gavial (or Urist)

- by Marmot
- Tue Jun 08, 2021 12:03 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Yeah, at this point, anti-cop will almost certainly peek green, which leaves one vanilla traitor left. That likely means anyone who peeks red at this point is probably just a framed townie. I agree with that.
- by Marmot
- Tue Jun 08, 2021 12:01 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
MacDougall wrote: ↑Tue Jun 08, 2021 6:39 am
wouldn't the safe option here now be to just chop who we've exiled?
In a way it would, yeah, but saying that now would make things very easy for the anti-cop.
- by Marmot
- Mon Jun 07, 2021 5:09 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
I can tell when people are phone posting based on the occassional random emojis that appear at the beginning of their posts.

- by Marmot
- Mon Jun 07, 2021 5:06 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
Creature wrote: ↑Mon Jun 07, 2021 5:04 pm
Won't be bad if we quickhammer now because we're not really discussing anything and we have the exile phase to discuss anyway.
Agreed.
- by Marmot
- Mon Jun 07, 2021 5:05 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
MissSparkles wrote: ↑Mon Jun 07, 2021 5:01 pm
I can play, just not how I want too. I don’t want to pit the host in a position to scramble to find a rep
I get that, but the rest of us are still playing, and if you're town, yeeting you is detrimental to us, even if it helps you.
- by Marmot
- Mon Jun 07, 2021 4:52 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
[VOTE:
KGMurphy] aubergine
I don't think Sparkles is a hit, but I'm ready to hammer KG and speed this game up a little bit.
- by Marmot
- Sat Jun 05, 2021 9:23 pm
- Forum: Previous Heists
- Topic: Traitors for Exile
- Replies: 2280
- Views: 29131
EOD is at 6:30am my time so sometimes I can wake up and give an updated peek based on new content, but sometimes I'm still asleep
