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by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 2:35 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Here, the Top 8 posters

Golden 53
Marco 43
Sloonei 41
Frog 34
Dyslexicon 27
Silverwolf 25
sig 20
Zexy 20

will just evenly distribute their votes, so they're all free of VCA. It doesn't matter who each of them votes for because if we follow your plan, all their votes will just be evenly split. We will have no insight into their voting history.

Also, making an automatic distinction based on the number of posts is too easy to game. It's not a foolproof plan.

And what do you think of the alternative suggestion?
Marco wrote:Besides our town-reads and scum-reads, we also point out 3-4 people who should be posting more (not just quantity, but content) than they actually are. Yeah, I guess if it's a strong enough read, you can just include them in your scum-reads, but in my experience, I don't get convincing reads on people if they're not posting enough. So this last category can be included to count people who you think are scum but they haven't posted enough posts or thoughts to actually have a solid case against them.

If a bunch of us agree on the "luker" list, I think they will be good candidates for voting on. This tactic will be more useful going into Day 2 or 3, by the way.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 2:31 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Long Con wrote:I guess it's not, roleclaiming and info dumping are legal, just seems like a way to try and bypass letting people play the roles themselves, instead automating the info directly to the thread.
I'm still not getting what you mean. What do you mean "bypass letting people play the roles themselves instead of automating the info directly to the thread"?
Frog wrote:
Marco wrote:There's nothing wrong with pushing lurkers but your plan involves making the Top 8 posters vote indiscriminately among the lowest 4 posters. That basically eliminates any way we can read their intentions since they're being "forced" to vote in a way that equalizes the votes among the lowest 4 posters.
This just isn't true though.

Assuming there is one wolf in the town group of 8 top posters.

That one wolf would naturally vote for the non-wolf in the bottom 4 slankers.
Why? If we're asking everyone to distribute their votes evenly among the lowest 4 posters, he can vote for anyone he wants because he knows we're going to distribute the votes evenly.
That is an extreme example, but you're missing the point entirely with VCA.

If we have a group of 4 players, at least one of them is a wolf.
If we choose town and wolves to vote amongst the 4, then the VCA comes from the wolves purposefully saving their own wolf bro! There is the VCA! They aren't forced to vote for their wolf bro, in fact they can SAVE their wolf bro. How is this lost on you?

VCA comes from voting amongst choices. Usually it's difficult because you can usually deduce when you were voting amongst TvT, but then you must decide if you were voting amongst w/w, or v/w, or any comibnation.

This makes it easier. This creates a w/?/?/?
AT LEAST one wolf will be in this group.
We can analyze the voting patterns of WHO is being saved.
Wolves don't HAVE to save anyone though. Not when we're asking people to equally distribute their votes.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 2:06 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Long Con wrote:Oh, I understand the concept just fine, and I have from the moment he put it out there. Just chalk it up to a different style of play we're used to.
Then why do you think hypo-claiming is taking advantage of loopholes?
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 2:04 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:Just checking in quickly - from what I understand we have until Sunday night (great because I've been busy all day)

I don't see people jumping for joy at my plan - I hope at least someone explained this much:

I'm not saying EVERY slanker is a mafia - I'm saying within a mafia team there is usually at LEAST one slanker.

Therefore if we round up the slankers, we can assume at least 1 of the slankers IS mafia.

As for VCA (vote count analysis) - we KNOW (basically) that we are voting amongst town and wolves. THAT is our VCA. Whoever pushes hard against this plan so far is either clearly mafia, derping, or just a different state of mind that is denial.

Hottakes! Who has been pushing hardest against me and my plan since I've left?
Clearly someone has since I don't see a bunch of vovtes on the slankers.

I am much disappointed, but now I'm more certain I've struck gold.
There's nothing wrong with pushing lurkers but your plan involves making the Top 8 posters vote indiscriminately among the lowest 4 posters. That basically eliminates any way we can read their intentions since they're being "forced" to vote in a way that equalizes the votes among the lowest 4 posters.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 1:14 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

MovingPictures07 wrote:
Spoiler: show
Marco wrote:
a2thezebra wrote:Okay, now I have a total of 11 posts. I am no longer in the bottom four.

...And yet I am just as likely to be bad as I was before I started posting.

Frog can deny it all he wants, but the methods he's using to base his vote are absolutely advocating a policy lynch.
a2thezebra wrote:If you're fine with a policy lynch, okay, whatever, but advocating a policy lynch while denying that it's a policy lynch is highly suspicious to me. Especially when that policy lynch is based on going after the lurkers. I have seen baddies use lurker policy lynches time and time again to pick off the civilian lower posters while cruising their way to endgame by being very opinionated and very vocal, and almost every time I've seen that they have always advocated lynching lurkers while shying away from the term "policy lynch" as much as possible.

I appreciate the effort and analysis Frog, but my personal opinion on that tactic - if it is genuine - is fuck that noise.
a2thezebra wrote:Not to mention that I've gone after lower posters as a baddie while being extremely loud and obnoxious myself. I've totally used the myth that lower posters are more likely to be baddies than higher posters to my advantage, almost every single time I've been bad in this game. Even after people got used to that being my meta both here and on RYM, it would still work.

"Zebra can't be a baddie even though she did this suspicious thing and that suspicious thing...she's posting so much! I say we lynch one of the lurkers!"

-A few hours later-

"Ah shit, RIP So-and-so. I was so convinced, too. Well, what other lurker could we lynch tomorrow?"

The lesson is never learned.
I would like some input on a2thezebra's post and "performance". Is she generally a principled player who likes doing show-and-tell to make her points? Someone who shows their disapproval of an idea by demonstrating how it fails? Is she someone who has a history of being vehemently against policy lynching low-posters?

This is basically in reponse to a2thezebra's opposition to Frog's plan. I think the case she makes is correct, that we can't automatically assume low posters are scum. It's true. But instead of just pointing that out in a single post with a couple examples, she performs this whole song and dance of making filler posts to rack up her post count, to "demonstrate" the flaw in Frog's plan. That anyone could easily make posts for the numbers. But she's missing out the point.

Scum that lurk and don't post a lot don't just do it to not attract attention. That's counter-intuitive since they know that being on the bottom of the Activity list is bound to draw attention to them. Similarly, just posting for the heck of it (spam posts, etc) to rack up your post count is also not going to help as people are going to find you suspicious if you just fluff-post. So, it's not as simple as low-posting scum coming in and posting a bunch of garbage and they'll be fine. Barring RL reasons, scum who are on the bottom of the activity list are usually there as they don't know how to act town. Primarily because they're not actually motivated to "solve" the game an/or they're uncomfortable with acting in that manner.

To better explain my train of thought, I'll describe a scenario that I have come across myself. You see that you flipped scum, you talk a bit with your scumbuddies but don't post in game thread since you feel a bit awkward just posting on the first page or so when nothing has gone down. You come online much later to find 500+ posts already made. Now, you have to catch up on all this and post your thoughts, but as scum, you already know the motivations behind everyone's posts and it can get both, boring and awkward, to frame responses. So, you just respond to 3-4 posts, maybe make a post or two about your reads, etc, and then hop back to your QT to watch town towning each other. This is the general pattern I see in low posting scum who are at least trying to look like they're making an effort.

Anyway, getting back to my point about a2thezebra, I feel like she is misrepresenting the "low posters are scum" or "policy lynch lurkers" philosophy, whether intentionally or unintentionally. I don't disagree with her that just because someone has low activity/lurking doesn't automatically mean they're scum any more than the people who have high activity. In my experience (and I believe, most everyone else), in practice, it's actually true that each game will have a couple scum at the bottom of the activity list. It's not 100% of course, but the motivation behind pushing low posters / lurkers is understandable and one that I support.

While all 4 lowest activity posters are unlikely to be scum, it's likely that at least one or two among them are scum. This isn't a true "scientific" fact, i.e. logically speaking it can be easily refuted, and I know I've played in games where none of the scum were low posters. And I feel that a2thezebra is using this knowledge (that low posts = scum isn't necessarily true) to discredit Frog's entire stand. Because, even if none of the low posters are scum, pushing them and forcing them to post more is only a good thing for us.

Now, the question I pose is that "Is a2thezebra discrediting Frog's plan to "policy lynch" lurkers because she is completely against this school of thought (Low posters = scum) and can't see the merit of pushing these people to post more? Or is she so convinced that Frog is scum for pushing the "policy lynch" angle that she can't see the merit in going after low posters? Or is she discrediting Frog's plan in an attempt to soft-defend her fellow low posters?"

I think I was a far too wordy above, so I'll lay down my points again in a concise manner. But I suggest people to read the above for better context:

1. While Frog's plan isn't perfect (IMO as I've already pointed out in another post), I think the intent and basic motivation behind the plan is sound. i.e. we pressure the lurkers and not give anyone (even town) an opportunity to post less than they should.
2. a2thezebra is against Frog's plan to "policy lynch" lurkers, which I agree with, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't even pressure them.
3. And while a2thezebra isn't actually saying we shouldn't pressure them, the way she went about discrediting Frog's plan seems far too "passionate" and "theatrical" (I don't mean to say fake, just with a flair) to just be an observation. Looks to me like she's either very passionate against policy lynches on low posters or she's trying to soft-defend low posters by discouraging a push on them.
Marco, regarding this post on zebra and lurkers, I have the following (succinct) thoughts:

Regarding your first paragraph and the questions contained within: Yes, yes, and yes.

zebra's MO is "passionate" and "theatrical", so I think that's what you're picking up. You even note that zebra isn't against pressuring them, just policy lynches, something I've seen her say multiple times, but something I'm in agreement with, at least at this stage in the game.

If you want to engage more with respect to this conversation, let me know, but I don't feel like I had anything more to say between this post and the others I've made on the topic today.
That's pretty much all I needed to know. I guess I did read a bit too much into it. I like her responses and others are backing up as it being characteristic of her, so at the very least, I got another town-read.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 12:37 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

MovingPictures07 wrote:Dammit, I screwed up, and on my most key point too. EBWOP: ika said town try to move their votes as much as possible. Not little (that would be mafia). But what you criticized me for was a propensity to not keep my vote where it was (i.e., move it around).
ika is in a weird spot for me and dont't take this as a defense, but IIRC he said that "mafia tries to move their votes as less as possible" and not "town tries to move their votes as much as possible". While they both sound similar, they are quite different things.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 12:15 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

MovingPictures07 wrote:
a2thezebra wrote:
Marco wrote:Looks to me like she's either very passionate against policy lynches on low posters or she's trying to soft-defend low posters by discouraging a push on them.
It's both. I take no shame in soft(?) defending the lower posters, if for no other reason that I feel like they get taken advantage of by manipulative baddies almost every game. I'm not ruling out the possibility that any of them are bad, but I am ruling out the possibility that they are bad simply for not posting a lot of content.
For those that care about meta, I want to say that this is 100% within zebra's typical meta. NIA for me.
I'm leaning on town with her responses too. But is it really typical of zebra to even discourage pushes on low posters, not actual lynches? Maybe I'm reading into it a bit much and she doesn't care about the push and if that's the case, I understand.
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Marco wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:
Marco wrote:Quick semi-OT:
1. Can someone explain the color tagging here to me?
2. Is there any way to have the quoted post be linked in the quote box? The board I come from lets us attach the post number after the player's name - quote=ProfessorX;2837489. Convenient, especially when you want to cut out superfluous text but don't want to make tough for people to find out the context.
Did anyone ever answer this question of Marco's, does anyone know? Sorry if it has been answered, but I saw it asked a little while ago on page 5 and I haven't seen a response yet. If not, I can respond.
Yes, I asked this a couple times already and no one responded. :shrug:
I got this.

1. I'm not sure whether you mean how to do it or what they're for, so I'll assume you meant both.
The off-topic (OT) tag is for when in-game players want to comment on something strictly not game related. Such as if I talk about what my favorite album is, what movie I just watched, or whether ika was visiting Silverwolf. It can be generated by [ OT ] and [ / OT ] without the spaces.
The dead tag is for players who are dead and talk strictly off-topic, so it's basically the OT tag but for players who are no longer in the game. It can be generated by [ dead ] and [ / dead ] without the spaces.
The np tag is for non-players who talk strictly off-topic, such as the Moderator on Duty (in this game, Dom). It can be generated by [ np ] and [ / np ] without the spaces.
The sarc tag is for players when posting something sarcastic and want to make it apparent so that another player doesn't miss that point or get pissed off, since tone can be difficult to convey via text only. For example, if I wanted to say "What a great point!" when I really think it was absolutely absurd and want to use sarcasm to emphasize the absurdity of that person's point, I'd put it in orange. It can be generated by [ sarc ] and [ / sarc ] without the spaces.
Lastly, the ped tag is for pedantic statements, and it was created recently by Golden. Pedantic pink is for when you're feeling pedantic. :srsnod: It can be generated by [ ped ] and [ / ped ] without the spaces.

These are all customs that developed organically in Lostpedia-based mafia communities way back when and have become a normal part of The Syndicate culture for that reason, since many of the site's original (and current) members originally came from one or multiple of the various LP-based mafia communities (all now long defunct).

2. Unfortunately, we don't have this mod currently added to the site (consider this on the to-do list though, since I want it). You can always copy the URL of a specific post by clicking the "Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage" at the top of the post, so that URL will lead directly to that post. That's what I do when I want to reference a post specifically, since you can use [ url ] and [ / url ] tags to make text linkable. Like this.

Hope that sufficiently answers your questions.
1. This is perfect. Exactly the information I was looking for. I'd noticed it in the Sign-up Topic too but I forgot the actual tags and which stands for what. Very helpful and I'll definitely try to migrate this to my home board.

2. I don't mind doing the URL bit either. Was just wondering if I was just missing out on the direct link to the quote.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 11:42 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

I don't generally make rainbow lists but I like when others do as it helps a lot in reading them, so let's see these rainbow lists. And in the interest of others getting the same insight of me, I'll post my rainbow list too, but as of now, it's pretty gray along the middle.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 11:39 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

MovingPictures07 wrote:I'd sooner follow this than Frog's plan, but I'd much rather Day 1 not turn into "let's decide which lurker to lynch". I think it's in our best interest to avoid this as much as possible.

With that said, if multiple players do not post much game-related content by the end of Day 1, then I'm not averse to analyzing what semblance of game-related content is there and judging based on that, if any of that content is particularly suspicious. I just don't want to judge it based on post count alone, and I think we have a lot to base our votes on already, let alone after more discussion.
I agree. Day 1 is too early to follow this tactic. I think this revised version I suggest is better.
Marco wrote:Besides our town-reads and scum-reads, we also point out 3-4 people who should be posting more (not just quantity, but content) than they actually are. Yeah, I guess if it's a strong enough read, you can just include them in your scum-reads, but in my experience, I don't get convincing reads on people if they're not posting enough. So this last category can be included to count people who you think are scum but they haven't posted enough posts or thoughts to actually have a solid case against them.

If a bunch of us agree on the "luker" list, I think they will be good candidates for voting on. This tactic will be more useful going into Day 2 or 3, by the way.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 11:35 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

a2thezebra wrote:
Marco wrote:Looks to me like she's either very passionate against policy lynches on low posters or she's trying to soft-defend low posters by discouraging a push on them.
It's both. I take no shame in soft(?) defending the lower posters, if for no other reason that I feel like they get taken advantage of by manipulative baddies almost every game. I'm not ruling out the possibility that any of them are bad, but I am ruling out the possibility that they are bad simply for not posting a lot of content.
I like that. I too am prone to chastising people for focusing on low posters, especially this early in a game, but I see the merit in going after the lurkers once you're in midgame. It's no good to go into the final stages of the game with people you have not interacted with in a meaningful manner. Which is why I find that that barring an actual wagon, I don't mind letting people put pressure on lurkers. I mind it if pushing lurkers is all you do.

This is why I found your whole "A, B, C... etc" theatrics and then completely pouncing on Frog strange.
a2thezebra wrote:And to answer your concern Marco, I'm not entirely sold on a baddie read of Frog yet, because this approach could just be his style and therefore I could be suspecting him for something irrelevant to his alignment. I do however think that in general going after lurkers is a common baddie tactic, and I also think that the way he's gone about it by denying that it's a policy lynch is very alarming.
Understandable. What do you think about this alternative tactic?

Besides our town-reads and scum-reads, we also point out 3-4 people who should be posting more (not just quantity, but content) than they actually are. Yeah, I guess if it's a strong enough read, you can just include them in your scum-reads, but in my experience, I don't get convincing reads on people if they're not posting enough. So this last category can be included to count people who you think are scum but they haven't posted enough posts or thoughts to actually have a solid case against them.

If a bunch of us agree on the "luker" list, I think they will be good candidates for voting on. This tactic will be more useful going into Day 2 or 3, by the way.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 11:21 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

MovingPictures07 wrote:
Marco wrote:Quick semi-OT:
1. Can someone explain the color tagging here to me?
2. Is there any way to have the quoted post be linked in the quote box? The board I come from lets us attach the post number after the player's name - quote=ProfessorX;2837489. Convenient, especially when you want to cut out superfluous text but don't want to make tough for people to find out the context.
Did anyone ever answer this question of Marco's, does anyone know? Sorry if it has been answered, but I saw it asked a little while ago on page 5 and I haven't seen a response yet. If not, I can respond.
Yes, I asked this a couple times already and no one responded. :shrug:
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 11:19 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Spoiler: show
Dyslexicon wrote:I'm thoroughly over Ika defending Silver at any given chance. Can someone just clarify what their relationship normally is in games? It's bizarre as hell.

Ika should contribute something else.

Between the whole Silver/Golden discussion my thoughts are roughly this: First of all I didn't really see anything wrong with the MP vote. Second, none of Golden's questions were unreasonable or misrepping or whatever else Silver called it, it was just normal questioning. Reacting in this way seems to be normal for Silver though as I read it. All in all Silver reads townish to me, even if I don't agree with how she takes Golden's questioning. She seems to be putting herself in a position of being above questioning. Which she is not. Still reads more town to me. Golden however is if he is scum given a golden opportunity (see what I did there? :3) to defend himself in a way that makes logical sense all the way and he could objectively defend his position.
However my question is: Golden, do you still suspect Silver?
I also note that Golden is slightly apologetic in this interaction for "ticking Silver off" (which I don't think he needs to be cause he did nothing wrong). He may just be a polite young gentleman, but it reads a bit guilty mindset.
Like, I find it really hard to trust Golden, and I don't know whether I'm paranoid or not.

I don't know if this thought process will make sense to anyone. :omg:
I really like this post and Dyslexicon is starting to be one of my strongest town reads this game.
Dyslexicon wrote:
MovingPictures07 wrote:What is a TMI post?
Too much information. Like "But mafia could just block them with their roleblocker!"
The example Frog gave doesn't necessarily read TMI to me. I think I tend to talk to people like they are town in most instances naturally. Cause I'm just that much of a trusting, warm and kind individual.

:cloud9:
I want to clarify what I meant in that post since I seem to have caused some misunderstanding.
Spoiler: show
This is the post he was referring to when he said I had "too much information".
Marco wrote:@Frog, you came in encouraging a strategy involving hypo-claiming. How did you think about going about it accurately if you don't know what setup we're playing?
What I'm saying here is that, "If Frog is town, he doesn't know what setup we're playing. Then why is he advising a hypo-claim strategy?" This is because I thought Frog was asking us to hypo-claim just one role each.

Here's what I said right before the above quoted post:
Marco wrote:Assuming I'm Vanilla Townie, I have no way to know which setup we're playing until we see some PR (town and/or mafia) deaths. I could see the potential for PR cover after we have better idea of what setup we're in but mafia is going to probably have that knowledge alone for a while and hypo-claiming requires the contribution of quite a number of well-informed townies.
Link: http://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/viewto ... 48#p263448

Here's more clarification I provided on this "TMI" point.
Marco wrote:
Frog wrote:My friend Marco, if you want to be taken seriously, at least make an argument. You've read my analysis from various perspectives that involve claims, warrants, and basis. Your response is: I disagree because reasons. But you don't list reasons. LOL. You haven't even engaged which parts you disagree with with respect to my analysis. It really just seems like you're randomly defending Marco, but cautiously backing off in case you get linked. I think you know I'm onto something, I've just posted TWO of Marcos slips.

1) TMI - he KNOWS that I don't have knowledge of the entire setup - aka, he's presuming me a Town, and yet he's voting me, lol.
2) Defending you after you make THESE trolls posts that I've ALREADY brought to your attention, and told you to please refrain from self-lynch baiting. I even explain WHY self-lynch baiting is horrible for Town. If you choose not to interact with me in actual content based discussion I can only concluded the worst for you.
1. That was my point. I was calling out that if you're town, you don't know which setup we're playing. Then how could you be suggesting a hypo-claim strategy. As I admitted, I hadn't understood your strategy clearly. I didn't get that you meant we claim all the possible roles. It appeared to me that you knew the setup we're in and forgot that the rest of us don't have that information.
2. I wasn't defending Sloonei. I was pointing out that Sig was answering the wrong question.
Silverwolf wrote:What do you think about the possibility this will harm VCA (vote count analysis for those who are not familiar with the terminology) later in the game?
This is my biggest problem with Frog's plan. I find vote histories to be very informative. Here's my post that you may have missed.
Marco wrote:
Frog wrote:Quick Plan:

These players
Spoiler: show
Golden 53
Marco 43
Sloonei 41
Frog 34
Dyslexicon 27
Silverwolf 25
sig 20
Zexy 20
Will Split up into groups of 2 and vote these players, putting each of them at 2 votes:
Spoiler: show
DrWilgy 4
Metalmarsh89 4
a2thezebra 3
Psittaciform 2
These guys will have to make a cases for each of the slankers, and finish up the votes:
Spoiler: show
MovingPictures07 13
ika 11
Long Con 11
Inawordyes 10
Spoiler: show
If this splits evenly, all 4 slankers should be put at 3 votes each.

For reference, with a hammer, the vote required to hammer is currently 9 votes.
Since there are 4 wolves, it would require 5 town to pile onto the incorrect pick, and all 4 wolves to snipe the incorrect pick, thereby explicitly revealing their team. What I'm saying is, if we choose these 4 players as wagons now, we are certainly safe within the realms of variation putting each of the 4 lurkers to 3+/- 2 votes (1-5 votes on each).

I think this is an optimal strategy since, as I've pointed, I believe wolves are least likely to be engaged in the game because it is not in their wincon, and wolves are lazy AF in games unfortunately. I believe at least one wolf must exist in that group of 4, although I believe more exist in that group of 4 personally. If we force wolves to vote amongst wolves and nonwolves, we put them in a situation that makes them mechanically vulnerable! This is optimal IMO.
I hope you all join me in my plan to make wagons on these 4 players and collect everyone's reads on these 4 players.
I like that you want to focus on the lurkers but I don't think performing vote gymnastics to build competing wagons is a good idea. This works best if you can believe the Top 8 posters are all town (which I think is very improbable). Following this plan basically means their votes are going to be "random". In the sense that we can't use the vote history later for any information. They will just be splitting their votes among the 4 lowest posters regardless of their own suspicions and we'd be at a loss for vote patterns today. Only people we'll really get information on are the MIDposters for stating their cases for or against the LOWposters. Also, we're not yet past half of Day 1 either, I wouldn't say it's fair to say that the low posters are low posters, just yet. There's plenty of time to post and contribute.

I support the spirit of your plan but not the execution. I have an alternative. We each make a list of 4-5 low posters/lurkers/etc. A list of people we think are trying to skirt by with no effort or just people we want to see more participation for. And then we place our votes accordingly.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 11:03 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Zexy wrote:Marco 43 – Too many one-liners, kinda “fake” activity if you ask me. Not feeling too good about him yet.
What do people think about this? I ISO'd myself and I can sort of see some one-liners, but I can't really see how Zexy is calling my activity fake. She feels disingenuous IMO. I have had other reasons to suspect Zexy, too, but it could be that it's OMGUS-motivated, so I request others to ISO me and tell me what they think about Zexy's read on me.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 10:56 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Zexy wrote:
Marco wrote:I feel like Silverwolf's posts have a very "drifter" quality to them. Just moving along, picking random posts and responding to them. There seems to be no desire to interact beyond the occasional observation or to engage anyone. The participation seems superficial. What do others think?

VOTE SILVERWOLF
While I don’t disagree, I think this is the kind of wagon scum could easily lead on a townie and look just fine.

Do your post just tend to be one-liners? It feels like there is not much thought and a scum motivation behind them…
First, I feel you're leading me in your questions. They don't look like questions you actually want answers to. You're just saying those things under the guise of actually asking me those questions.

Anyway, no, my posts don't tend to be one-liners. I admit every post of mine isn't a bunch of thoughts requiring a lot of exposition but I think I have posted more substance-full posts (I mean quantity, the actual number of non-superficial posts, not that any post of mine has more substance or value than anyone else's) than the majority, in this game. But I do believe not every post has to be a bunch of lines. Sometimes a one-liner is more than appropriate.

I think I put a fair lot of thought behind most of my posts. Some have been on a whim but if I'm making a read, suggestion, etc, I generally think about it more than once before posting. I definitely don't think any of my posts have a scum motivation behind them. Why do you think my posts don't have thought behind them? Or that they're scum-motivated?

Particularly, in the post you quoted, what is so "thoughtless" or "scum-motivated" about it? You say it is a wagon that scum can easily lead on a townie and look fine. Why do you find my post "thoughtless" when multiple others (Golden, MovingPictures) have acknowledged that my observation is legit? And does your read change knowing that I actually rescinded my vote on Silver soon after that vote?
Zexy wrote:Do we have any ideas on Marco meta? Latest posts look townier than before, even Frog acknowledged it.
Lastly, can you tell me what started making my posts look like "thoughtless one-liners" with "scum motivation" behind them when just some time ago you thought I was looking townier, and that others acknowledged it, even the person who was convinced I was scum?
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 10:41 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Spoiler: show
a2thezebra wrote:Okay, now I have a total of 11 posts. I am no longer in the bottom four.

...And yet I am just as likely to be bad as I was before I started posting.

Frog can deny it all he wants, but the methods he's using to base his vote are absolutely advocating a policy lynch.
a2thezebra wrote:If you're fine with a policy lynch, okay, whatever, but advocating a policy lynch while denying that it's a policy lynch is highly suspicious to me. Especially when that policy lynch is based on going after the lurkers. I have seen baddies use lurker policy lynches time and time again to pick off the civilian lower posters while cruising their way to endgame by being very opinionated and very vocal, and almost every time I've seen that they have always advocated lynching lurkers while shying away from the term "policy lynch" as much as possible.

I appreciate the effort and analysis Frog, but my personal opinion on that tactic - if it is genuine - is fuck that noise.
a2thezebra wrote:Not to mention that I've gone after lower posters as a baddie while being extremely loud and obnoxious myself. I've totally used the myth that lower posters are more likely to be baddies than higher posters to my advantage, almost every single time I've been bad in this game. Even after people got used to that being my meta both here and on RYM, it would still work.

"Zebra can't be a baddie even though she did this suspicious thing and that suspicious thing...she's posting so much! I say we lynch one of the lurkers!"

-A few hours later-

"Ah shit, RIP So-and-so. I was so convinced, too. Well, what other lurker could we lynch tomorrow?"

The lesson is never learned.
I would like some input on a2thezebra's post and "performance". Is she generally a principled player who likes doing show-and-tell to make her points? Someone who shows their disapproval of an idea by demonstrating how it fails? Is she someone who has a history of being vehemently against policy lynching low-posters?

This is basically in reponse to a2thezebra's opposition to Frog's plan. I think the case she makes is correct, that we can't automatically assume low posters are scum. It's true. But instead of just pointing that out in a single post with a couple examples, she performs this whole song and dance of making filler posts to rack up her post count, to "demonstrate" the flaw in Frog's plan. That anyone could easily make posts for the numbers. But she's missing out the point.

Scum that lurk and don't post a lot don't just do it to not attract attention. That's counter-intuitive since they know that being on the bottom of the Activity list is bound to draw attention to them. Similarly, just posting for the heck of it (spam posts, etc) to rack up your post count is also not going to help as people are going to find you suspicious if you just fluff-post. So, it's not as simple as low-posting scum coming in and posting a bunch of garbage and they'll be fine. Barring RL reasons, scum who are on the bottom of the activity list are usually there as they don't know how to act town. Primarily because they're not actually motivated to "solve" the game an/or they're uncomfortable with acting in that manner.

To better explain my train of thought, I'll describe a scenario that I have come across myself. You see that you flipped scum, you talk a bit with your scumbuddies but don't post in game thread since you feel a bit awkward just posting on the first page or so when nothing has gone down. You come online much later to find 500+ posts already made. Now, you have to catch up on all this and post your thoughts, but as scum, you already know the motivations behind everyone's posts and it can get both, boring and awkward, to frame responses. So, you just respond to 3-4 posts, maybe make a post or two about your reads, etc, and then hop back to your QT to watch town towning each other. This is the general pattern I see in low posting scum who are at least trying to look like they're making an effort.

Anyway, getting back to my point about a2thezebra, I feel like she is misrepresenting the "low posters are scum" or "policy lynch lurkers" philosophy, whether intentionally or unintentionally. I don't disagree with her that just because someone has low activity/lurking doesn't automatically mean they're scum any more than the people who have high activity. In my experience (and I believe, most everyone else), in practice, it's actually true that each game will have a couple scum at the bottom of the activity list. It's not 100% of course, but the motivation behind pushing low posters / lurkers is understandable and one that I support.

While all 4 lowest activity posters are unlikely to be scum, it's likely that at least one or two among them are scum. This isn't a true "scientific" fact, i.e. logically speaking it can be easily refuted, and I know I've played in games where none of the scum were low posters. And I feel that a2thezebra is using this knowledge (that low posts = scum isn't necessarily true) to discredit Frog's entire stand. Because, even if none of the low posters are scum, pushing them and forcing them to post more is only a good thing for us.

Now, the question I pose is that "Is a2thezebra discrediting Frog's plan to "policy lynch" lurkers because she is completely against this school of thought (Low posters = scum) and can't see the merit of pushing these people to post more? Or is she so convinced that Frog is scum for pushing the "policy lynch" angle that she can't see the merit in going after low posters? Or is she discrediting Frog's plan in an attempt to soft-defend her fellow low posters?"

I think I was a far too wordy above, so I'll lay down my points again in a concise manner. But I suggest people to read the above for better context:

1. While Frog's plan isn't perfect (IMO as I've already pointed out in another post), I think the intent and basic motivation behind the plan is sound. i.e. we pressure the lurkers and not give anyone (even town) an opportunity to post less than they should.
2. a2thezebra is against Frog's plan to "policy lynch" lurkers, which I agree with, but that doesn't mean we shouldn't even pressure them.
3. And while a2thezebra isn't actually saying we shouldn't pressure them, the way she went about discrediting Frog's plan seems far too "passionate" and "theatrical" (I don't mean to say fake, just with a flair) to just be an observation. Looks to me like she's either very passionate against policy lynches on low posters or she's trying to soft-defend low posters by discouraging a push on them.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 9:54 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

@silverwolf, I posted already that my no. 1 problem with frog's plan is that it makes it harder to look at vote histories later.

I was posting a semi long post about a2thezebra but I had a power cut just near the end of it. Posting this from my phone, so give me an hour or so for my power to be back and I can get back to you more properly. I also have to respond to zexy.
by Marco
Sat Apr 16, 2016 9:16 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Sloonei wrote:Hi Marco, are you town?
Yes, I am town.
Frog wrote:Quick Plan:

These players
Spoiler: show
Golden 53
Marco 43
Sloonei 41
Frog 34
Dyslexicon 27
Silverwolf 25
sig 20
Zexy 20
Will Split up into groups of 2 and vote these players, putting each of them at 2 votes:
Spoiler: show
DrWilgy 4
Metalmarsh89 4
a2thezebra 3
Psittaciform 2
These guys will have to make a cases for each of the slankers, and finish up the votes:
Spoiler: show
MovingPictures07 13
ika 11
Long Con 11
Inawordyes 10
If this splits evenly, all 4 slankers should be put at 3 votes each.

For reference, with a hammer, the vote required to hammer is currently 9 votes.
Since there are 4 wolves, it would require 5 town to pile onto the incorrect pick, and all 4 wolves to snipe the incorrect pick, thereby explicitly revealing their team. What I'm saying is, if we choose these 4 players as wagons now, we are certainly safe within the realms of variation putting each of the 4 lurkers to 3+/- 2 votes (1-5 votes on each).

I think this is an optimal strategy since, as I've pointed, I believe wolves are least likely to be engaged in the game because it is not in their wincon, and wolves are lazy AF in games unfortunately. I believe at least one wolf must exist in that group of 4, although I believe more exist in that group of 4 personally. If we force wolves to vote amongst wolves and nonwolves, we put them in a situation that makes them mechanically vulnerable! This is optimal IMO.

I hope you all join me in my plan to make wagons on these 4 players and collect everyone's reads on these 4 players.
I like that you want to focus on the lurkers but I don't think performing vote gymnastics to build competing wagons is a good idea. This works best if you can believe the Top 8 posters are all town (which I think is very improbable). Following this plan basically means their votes are going to be "random". In the sense that we can't use the vote history later for any information. They will just be splitting their votes among the 4 lowest posters regardless of their own suspicions and we'd be at a loss for vote patterns today. Only people we'll really get information on are the MIDposters for stating their cases for or against the LOWposters. Also, we're not yet past half of Day 1 either, I wouldn't say it's fair to say that the low posters are low posters, just yet. There's plenty of time to post and contribute.

I support the spirit of your plan but not the execution. I have an alternative. We each make a list of 4-5 low posters/lurkers/etc. A list of people we think are trying to skirt by with no effort or just people we want to see more participation for. And then we place our votes accordingly.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:42 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

@ika, why do you only care about SilverWolf and what might tick her off?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:35 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Silverwolf wrote:
Marco wrote:@SilverWolf, what is your read of ika?
Null, He defends me regardless of alignment. It's NAI.
In that case, I feel as if he may be abusing this meta as scum, knowing you're town for sure. Something to think about.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:22 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

@SilverWolf, what is your read of ika?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:14 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:lol... oh god this again. :-P

You two (Ika + Silverwolf) got lucky you were mechanically cleared in that last hydra game. It seems like almost every game you two are in, this play style doesn't bode well. ** This is their (Ika + Silver) standard town meta. :-/

I'm calling it a night. Cheers.
Do ika and silverwolf have a blind trust meta or something?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 9:11 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

I'm going to go with ika's very strong town-read on Silver and unvote. My initial point against her is moot regardless.

UNVOTE
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 8:50 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

sig wrote:Marco is a little weird he seems to be focusing on the claiming thing a bit to much, espacilly since he went after Frog earlier for doing the same thing.
I already explained my reason for going after Frog earlier. What is weird for you?
I don't think Zexy is mafia.
How come?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:58 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Golden wrote:
Marco wrote:I can definitely see how Zexy is coming across as scummy. I don't mind switching my vote over to him either. @Golden, what are your thoughts on SilverWolf?
Don't see anything out of the ordinary from what I know of her yet. But I know very little of her.

In Turf Wars, she was the voice that kept saying we should be focussing on some other people to the people who were the main topic of conversation. She was ultimately right, and also town. It doesn't bother me if she focusses on places that are different to where others are for this reason.
It's not so much focus on other ends as it's just migrating from one topic to the next. Try ISOing her if you haven't. But if ika is right and Silver is catching up, that could explain it. Some people like to continuously post their thoughts as they are catching up. I don't encourage it because sometimes you'll post something and read up and realize someone had already made your post pointless. It's much better to catch up with the whole thread while making note of whatever piques your interest and then make a single (or couple, in succession) post about them.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:52 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

ika wrote:
Marco wrote:I feel like Silverwolf's posts have a very "drifter" quality to them. Just moving along, picking random posts and responding to them. There seems to be no desire to interact beyond the occasional observation or to engage anyone. The participation seems superficial. What do others think?

VOTE SILVERWOLF
How about you let her catch up first? You will just tick her off by doing that.

I am going to do the same thing. I have been slightly following but I don't like mobile talking.

marco
I didn't know she was still catching up, but there's no real harm. She can come defend herself.

Why are you voting me?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:48 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

I can definitely see how Zexy is coming across as scummy. I don't mind switching my vote over to him either. @Golden, what are your thoughts on SilverWolf?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:44 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Dyslexicon wrote:
Marco wrote:I didn't. Because he hasn't posted anything yet. That's characteristic of him. He enjoys the monotony of reading gazillion posts at once, picking out what interest him, and then make a post quoting a couple of people with his reads based on those posts.
Yeah, sorry, I thought you were talking about Sloonei. I will be looking forward to the Soneji catch up then.
Do you mean this?
Dyslexicon wrote:
Long Con wrote:Seems like an attempt to get through loopholes. I wouldn't allow it as a host.
You'd rather have the mafia NK pr before they have the chance to share useful information?Well that's a town mindset if I ever saw one!
+ It's totally fair play, but probably messy in this setup (which I'll get back to why I think)
I didn't quite understand what you're referring to when you say mindslip. And on that note, could you list the various color tags, like orange for sarcasm, I presume.
I mean having the mindset of a scum, so thinking like one. The post Long con replied to put Hypo claiming in a positive light (afair), something that helps town. He responded with that it seemed like trying to get through loopholes and he'd disallow it (presumably because it would be unfair to the mafia that town would get that advantage). So that is a scummy mindset, or taking scum's side if you will. Does that make sense?

These things can be stretch, maybe. But it is something I noticed. And nothing else Long con has said has made me think town on him.
Honestly, to me, it looked like he just didn't understand the concept. I can't quite see why he'd consider it an attempt to get through loopholes.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:37 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

I feel like Silverwolf's posts have a very "drifter" quality to them. Just moving along, picking random posts and responding to them. There seems to be no desire to interact beyond the occasional observation or to engage anyone. The participation seems superficial. What do others think?

VOTE SILVERWOLF
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:30 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:For now

Vote: Metalmarshmellow89
You have to make it ALL CAPS.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:30 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:Just for reference- we should all be interacting with each player ~5 posts for anything meaningful.
5x16 = 80
80x17 = 1360 posts D1 is a baseline

Kind of just want to make a slanker lynch pact, but we'll see how it shakes out tomorrow
I think it would be more like ~ 700.

80 + 75 + 70 + 65 + 60 + 55 + ........ + 5
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:26 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Dyslexicon wrote:
Marco wrote:I only know Soneji as we both come from the same board and have played dozens of games together. I think we both read each other pretty well, as we've also been on the same scum team 4-5 times (won each game too), but we're not infallible.

I don't consider the exact setup standard (semi-open nature with 1 out of possible 12 setups), but I've played some of the possible setups and am more than familiar with each role.
Thanks. Did you already state your read of Soneji (if you have one)? I don't recall.
I didn't. Because he hasn't posted anything yet. That's characteristic of him. He enjoys the monotony of reading gazillion posts at once, picking out what interest him, and then make a post quoting a couple of people with his reads based on those posts.
Dyslexicon wrote:Also, do you guys use countdown timers here, or do we have to memorize when day ends? (Cause I'm totes lazy like that).

Can we talk about Long con's possible mindslip that I pointed out in my catchup somewhere? Is it a thing, or not a thing? Is it the tooth fairy, perhaps?
Do you mean this?
Dyslexicon wrote:
Long Con wrote:Seems like an attempt to get through loopholes. I wouldn't allow it as a host.
You'd rather have the mafia NK pr before they have the chance to share useful information?Well that's a town mindset if I ever saw one!
+ It's totally fair play, but probably messy in this setup (which I'll get back to why I think)
I didn't quite understand what you're referring to when you say mindslip. And on that note, could you list the various color tags, like orange for sarcasm, I presume.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:11 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Dyslexicon wrote:I don't have an overview over who knows who, who's from here and how familiar this type of setup is to people, and I'd really like to have that.

So I'll just state that:
- I've played a couple of games with PSI.
- I'm not from here (but I really like the site *buddies everyone)
- I consider this setup pretty standard.

And if other would like to share that would be appreciated.
I only know Soneji as we both come from the same board and have played dozens of games together. I think we both read each other pretty well, as we've also been on the same scum team 4-5 times (won each game too), but we're not infallible.

I don't consider the exact setup standard (semi-open nature with 1 out of possible 12 setups), but I've played some of the possible setups and am more than familiar with each role.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:07 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Reposting because I did not know spoiler would murder the list like that.
Golden wrote:
Frog wrote: 2) the risks claiming every role and seperate actions for each? There's hardly a risk. E,g,
If I'm tracker I tracked player A to no where
If I'm cop I found inno result on player B

One of the above may be WRONG, which serves to protect that player even if they ARE a power role.
So you are proposing we would say what the result of each is as well?

I do understand the merit of this... eg, you protect the cop for a while at least, although the mafia rule out each person from being cop as they make an incorrect claim, which would happen 50% of the time.

I guess my concern here, and it may be because my brain simply can't process it all, is the number of TPRs where the mafia can critically analyse whether each statement is true or false, in respect of each track. I'm trying to solve how we deal with a particular situation as it arises.

Take jailkeeper or doctor as an example. If there is no nightkill on any particular night, and the mafia know a jailkeeper or doctor is a role in the set up, they might be able to pinpoint who the jailkeeper or doctor is by simply stating the mafia target correctly.

Alternatively, are there particular roles (like jailkeeper or doctor) that we wouldn't list at all? Would there be any benefit in town to it? Is this just about figuring out which roles we should all be doing this for, that assist town long term (eg cop) but don't have as bigger risk of immediately outing someone.
This is a concern shared by me too, and I was hoping to see some discussion on.

Possible Mafia Roles:
A: Mafia Roleblocker + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
B: Mafia Goon + 1-Shot Mafia Bulletproof
C: Mafia Role Cop + Mafia Jailkeeper
D: Mafia Ninja + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
E: 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante + Mafia Roleblocker
F: Mafia Jack of All Trades + Mafia Goon
1: Mafia Role Cop + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
2: Mafia Roleblocker + Mafia Ninja
3: Mafia Goon + Mafia Jack of All Trades
4: 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante + 1-Shot Mafia Bulletproof
5: Mafia Jailkeeper + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
6: Mafia Roleblocker + Mafia Goon

By knowing their own roles, mafia will know the setup we're playing at game start, barring two combinations. In A + E or 3 + F, mafia will know the setup 50/50. Just by knowing their setup, mafia can eliminate a large number of hypos in every player's claim as false.

eg: Mafia have rolled setup D. They will know town has Town Masons, Town Bodyguard, Town Tracker. So mafia will know to look for just the relevant hypos.
Spoiler: show
Town Jailkeeper N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Cop N0 ; N1; N2 ; N3
Town Doctor N1 ; N2 ; N3

Town Tracker N1 ; N2 : N3
Town Vigilante N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Bodyguard N1 ; N2 ; N3
2-Shot Town Jailkeeper N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Even Night Vig N2 ; N4
In such a case, a false track on scum would be a giveaway.

Here's a list of what roles that they'll know to look out for:
A: Town Jailkeeper
B: Town Cop
C: TOwn Doctor + Town Tracker + Town Vigilante
D: Town Bodyguard + Town Tracker
E: 2-Shot Town Jailkeeper + Town Cop
F: Town Even Night Vigilante + Town Jailkeeper
1: Town Jailkeeper + Town Even Night Vigilante
2: Town Cop + TOwn Doctor
3: Town Tracker
4: Town Vigilante + Town Bodyguard + 2-Shot Town Jailkeeper
5: Town Cop + Town Jailkeeper
6: Town Tracker

As you can clearly see, the effectiveness of hypo varies greatly depending on what setup we rolled. And we have no way of actually knowing it at least until we see PRs (town or mafia) die. So, I think our best bet is to hold off on hypo claiming until we have a better idea of our setup. Or at least, let's use the list above to single out roles that we can hypo without mafia getting an advantage.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 7:05 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Golden wrote:
Frog wrote: 2) the risks claiming every role and seperate actions for each? There's hardly a risk. E,g,
If I'm tracker I tracked player A to no where
If I'm cop I found inno result on player B

One of the above may be WRONG, which serves to protect that player even if they ARE a power role.
So you are proposing we would say what the result of each is as well?

I do understand the merit of this... eg, you protect the cop for a while at least, although the mafia rule out each person from being cop as they make an incorrect claim, which would happen 50% of the time.

I guess my concern here, and it may be because my brain simply can't process it all, is the number of TPRs where the mafia can critically analyse whether each statement is true or false, in respect of each track. I'm trying to solve how we deal with a particular situation as it arises.

Take jailkeeper or doctor as an example. If there is no nightkill on any particular night, and the mafia know a jailkeeper or doctor is a role in the set up, they might be able to pinpoint who the jailkeeper or doctor is by simply stating the mafia target correctly.

Alternatively, are there particular roles (like jailkeeper or doctor) that we wouldn't list at all? Would there be any benefit in town to it? Is this just about figuring out which roles we should all be doing this for, that assist town long term (eg cop) but don't have as bigger risk of immediately outing someone.
This is a concern shared by me too, and I was hoping to see some discussion on.

Possible Mafia Roles:
A: Mafia Roleblocker + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
B: Mafia Goon + 1-Shot Mafia Bulletproof
C: Mafia Role Cop + Mafia Jailkeeper
D: Mafia Ninja + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
E: 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante + Mafia Roleblocker
F: Mafia Jack of All Trades + Mafia Goon
1: Mafia Role Cop + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
2: Mafia Roleblocker + Mafia Ninja
3: Mafia Goon + Mafia Jack of All Trades
4: 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante + 1-Shot Mafia Bulletproof
5: Mafia Jailkeeper + 1-Shot Mafia Vigilante
6: Mafia Roleblocker + Mafia Goon

By knowing their own roles, mafia will know the setup we're playing at game start, barring two combinations. In A + E or 3 + F, mafia will know the setup 50/50. Just by knowing their setup, mafia can eliminate a large number of hypos in every player's claim as false.

eg: Mafia have rolled setup D. They will know town has Town Masons, Town Bodyguard, Town Tracker. So mafia will know to look for just the relevant hypos.
Spoiler: show
Town Jailkeeper N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Cop N0 ; N1; N2 ; N3
Town Doctor N1 ; N2 ; N3

Town Tracker N1 ; N2 : N3
Town Vigilante N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Bodyguard N1 ; N2 ; N3
2-Shot Town Jailkeeper N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Even Night Vig N2 ; N4
In such a case, a false track on scum would be a giveaway.

Here's a list of what roles that they'll know to look out for:
A: Town Jailkeeper
B: Town Cop
C: TOwn Doctor + Town Tracker + Town Vigilante
D: Town Bodyguard + Town Tracker
E: 2-Shot Town Jailkeeper + Town Cop
F: Town Even Night Vigilante + Town Jailkeeper
1: Town Jailkeeper + Town Even Night Vigilante
2: Town Cop + TOwn Doctor
3: Town Tracker
4: Town Vigilante + Town Bodyguard + 2-Shot Town Jailkeeper
5: Town Cop + Town Jailkeeper
6: Town Tracker

As you can clearly see, the effectiveness of hypo varies greatly depending on what setup we rolled. And we have no way of actually knowing it at least until we see PRs (town or mafia) die. So, I think our best bet is to hold off on hypo claiming until we have a better idea of our setup. Or at least, let's use the list above to single out roles that we can hypo without mafia getting an advantage.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 6:31 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Format for copy/pasting if and when people want to hypo.

Town Jailkeeper N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Cop N0 ; N1; N2 ; N3
Town Doctor N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Tracker N1 ; N2 : N3
Town Vigilante N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Bodyguard N1 ; N2 ; N3
2-Shot Town Jailkeeper N1 ; N2 ; N3
Town Even Night Vig N2 ; N4
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 6:17 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Golden wrote:
Frog wrote:A) no last wills
Do you mean, that you can't say who you targetted after a hammer or nk, or are you suggesting that you can't give a legacy post even if you simply suspect you may be up for death (rather than after death is certain)? Is this the MU champ rules?
Some boards allow you to make one final post after dying. There are some which let you set a "last will" post going into every phase which is revealed if you die that phase. I think he's referring to something like that.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 6:07 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Quick semi-OT:
1. Can someone explain the color tagging here to me?
2. Is there any way to have the quoted post be linked in the quote box? The board I come from lets us attach the post number after the player's name - quote=ProfessorX;2837489. Convenient, especially when you want to cut out superfluous text but don't want to make tough for people to find out the context.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 6:03 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Golden wrote:
Marco wrote:Yep. This also works best in a setup you actually know. Right now, majority of us will be clueless about the actual setup. So, hypo-claiming this game is probably going to be an advantage to mafia more so than town. They have the liberty of knowing the exact setup we're playing on Day 1 whereas most townies are clueless. So, I'm quite against trying Frog's strategy this game. And I wonder why he'd suggest this strategy without actually knowing what setup we're playing.
I really like this post Marco.

What do you think of the 'if I'm a pr, I did this N1, n2, n3' etc. Wouldn't that lead to much better info later for the town and minimising the possibility of it giving too much info to mafia?
I think Frog's suggestion works very well. Basically, we claim all the roles from all the possible setups.

If I'm Tracker, N1 X visited Y N2 Y visited Z, etc
If I'm Cop, N1 X inno N2 Y inno

As long as we're careful and think a bit before making our hypo claims, it shouldn't give mafia that much of a leg up on narrowing down our roles. Potentially, they could cross out 2-3 roles from your hypo claims because of information they know, but it should take a while before they narrow down people outright. And we get all the advantages of hypo-claiming.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 5:53 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:I'm on my phone atm, excuse the huge nested quotes and disorganized response:

Wrt fake claiming, it's decent enough to decoy. It also makes for decent claim battles. Hypo claiming is superior to fake claiming
Yes, I meant hypo-claiming. But how easy would it be for mafia to discern the fake-claims according to you?
Wrt you V reading Sloonei, and vice-versa - you both are defending each other and answering the others questions for the other. Why would you do that for a null or wolf read? You MuST town read each other, or be buddying each other for pockets, or power wolfing like a pack.
Again, I did not answer for Sloonei. Sloonei made a read of Sig. Sig responded to that read but misinterpreted it and pushed on Sloonie. I pointed out that Sig misread the post. That can pass as defending, I guess, since I'm discrediting Sig's push. But it's onl because Sig misinterpreted Sloonei's post. If I had been answering for Sloonei, I would've answered the questions Sig asked, not pointed out that the questions weren't entirely valid. Besides, I was interested in what Sig's response to Sloonei's actual read would be.

Here's the post in question where you're saying I'm defending Sloonei and answering for him.
Spoiler: show
Marco wrote:
sig wrote:
Dyslexicon wrote:Hi!
Hello. :beer:
Sloonei wrote:Sig came in and tried to drag as much content out of things as he could. I'd like that if it didn't feel like such an effort to distance oneself from the label of low participation or scumminess.
Let's VOTE SIG
You'd usually like it but, don't this time? That doesn't make much sense.Also it is weird seeing how this is the beginning of day 1 so how would I be labeled as low participation if I hadn't had made any posts after my first one? :shrug:

So why is it scummy that I'm posting and trying to get some content, since from where I sit it looks like your trying to stifle discussion. :eye:
He wasn't calling you out for low participation.
Frog wrote:Lol, nothing is scummy- I'm suggesting optimal strategy and pointing out things to keep eyes on. Literally none of my points have been refuted on a logical basis- all of my perspectives, warrants and basis for claims remain intact. Instead we see Sloonei and Marco discrediting my content based on fallacious logic, often times side stepping my points entirely.
I thought we had cleared this misunderstanding. As I told you, I discredit you because I had misinterpreted you. And then you corrected me so I rescinded my vote. It wasn't fallacious logic and I never side stepped your points. I just misread your strategy.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 5:26 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:
Sloonei wrote:
Marco wrote:As my suspicion of Frog was because of my own misinterpretation, UNVOTE
What did you misinterpret and how has he changed your mind?
I retread the thread and I see where your misunderstanding was. You assumed my hypo claiming strategy revolved around mafia's privileged knowledge with respect to the existing power roles on a specific vertical/horizontal - where the claims would revolve around the specific unknown set of actual power roles. I'm saying- every power role should be hypoclaimed precisely because the vertical/horizontal is unknown to everyone except for scum.
Yep, I got that the second time around. It first appeared to me that you were operating from a position of knowledge, or as you called it "TMI".
I'm assuming we're playing with most championship rules where:
A) no last wills
B) claiming (fake or otherwise) is allowed
C) I've never heard of a rule where players aren't allowed to answer for others

Comments wrt above:
A) because there are no last wills, we must divulge our information and actions with appropriate cover
B) I'd urge you, especially if you rand village in the championships, to hypoclaim. You can expect quite a lot of straight up fake claiming, especially from town for decoy purposes
C) my vote remains on you for a few reasons, most notably to inform players of the existing buddying and butting in between you two (Marco and Sloonei)
B) How do the numbers hold up in this case? Do you think fake-claims would be easy enough to discern for mafia? Doesn't look like it should be unless your fake-claims are really bad but what do you think?
C) How is it buddying Sloonei to tell Sig that he misinterpreted Sloonei because I'm interested in Sig's actual response?
Extra notes-
Sloonei- you're asking me WHY I'm bring up your introductory troll posts.
The answer is simple - clearly Marco hard town read you based on that prior to defending you going into the second page of posts.
So my question to you, Sloonei, is this:
Clearly you town read Marco based on amswering for him.
Clearly Marco town reads you based on answering questions for you.
Aren't you skeptical of HOW Marco could possibly V read you based on your intro troll posts?
To me, it doesn't add up AT ALL.
And I'm VERY skeptical of this reciprocal relationship.
I'd like everyone to look into this as well.

Caution-
Only half the players have checked in so far
We must be cautious of TvT (Town vs. Town) arguments
Scum has NO incentive to solve, be mindful of this
Did the following post of mine actually give you the impression that I hard town-read Sloonei? Because I definitely didn't town-read, let alone hard, Sloonei.
Marco wrote:
Spoiler: show
sig wrote:
Dyslexicon wrote:Hi!
Hello. :beer:
Sloonei wrote:Sig came in and tried to drag as much content out of things as he could. I'd like that if it didn't feel like such an effort to distance oneself from the label of low participation or scumminess.
Let's VOTE SIG
You'd usually like it but, don't this time? That doesn't make much sense.Also it is weird seeing how this is the beginning of day 1 so how would I be labeled as low participation if I hadn't had made any posts after my first one? :shrug:

So why is it scummy that I'm posting and trying to get some content, since from where I sit it looks like your trying to stifle discussion. :eye:
He wasn't calling you out for low participation.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 3:02 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:
Marco wrote:Ignore my last post.
Frog wrote:
Spoiler: show
Marco wrote:
sig wrote:
Dyslexicon wrote:Hi!
Hello. :beer:
Sloonei wrote:Sig came in and tried to drag as much content out of things as he could. I'd like that if it didn't feel like such an effort to distance oneself from the label of low participation or scumminess.
Let's VOTE SIG
You'd usually like it but, don't this time? That doesn't make much sense.Also it is weird seeing how this is the beginning of day 1 so how would I be labeled as low participation if I hadn't had made any posts after my first one? :shrug:

So why is it scummy that I'm posting and trying to get some content, since from where I sit it looks like your trying to stifle discussion. :eye:
He wasn't calling you out for low participation.
For reference, this is Marco randomly defending Sloonei from Sig.

Why would any player have incentive to defend another player, especially in the early stages where players are seeking reactions? Marco essentially forced Sig to not get the reactions from Marco, and shielded Marco from having to react.

From a Town perspective - It's possible Marco was shielding his town read, Sloonei, from abuse. Judging how Marco proceeded to vote me after I voted Sloonei, I would say assuming Marco!Town, Marco clearly has discovered a way to hard Town read Sloonei from a few troll RVS posts, a miracle to say the least.

From a Not Town Perspective - Marco!Town was acting not town by disallowing everyone in the game from seeing actual content argument between sig and marco, whereby we would be able to actively gauge v/w, v/v type of interactions. Instead Marco!Town was not town and cut these interactions shorts, and denied Marco's reaction

From a Scum Perspective - Marco!Scum comes from an informed perspective. Either he knows Sloonei is town and is trying to pocket him, or Marco is defending a wolf bro.

Of these scenarios, and because of Marco's previous TMI (Too Much Information) posts that suggest he's coming from an informed perspective, I'm much more inclined to deduce and FOS (Finger of Suspicion) Marco at this point OVER Sloonei.

There is a variation in which Sloonei is in fact Town - judging by Sloonei's aggressive behavior and general interactivity across the board, I'd like to bump Sloonei up from lean scum to cautious null.

I will also bump down Marco into a hard wolf read.

[flash=3]Vote: Marco[/flash]
It is not defending when I clarified Sig's obvious misinterpretation. And I corrected Sig because I was interested in the actual answer to the question Sloonei asked. This had nothing to do with Sloonei. How is it that you brought nothing of this up until after I voted for you and called you out?


As for the hypo-claiming clarification, that's my bad. I didn't understand your proposed strategy clearly.
I had already noticed fishy behavior between you and Sloonei in particular. I decided not to bring it up to see how you two would act and vote. Sure enough, like sharks you seem to be buddying Marco hardcore.

I'm going to disagree with you entirely in your defence of your actions. You have no engaged with me in the advantages and disadvantages of jumping into discussion that did not include YOU. I've gone over the benefits and setbacks depending on perspectives, and it is clearly anti-town.

By jumping into Sig and Sloonei's conversation, you have cut Sloonei out of the picture, thereby IMPLICITLY defending Sloonei, AND almost EXPLICITLY defending Sloonei by pressuring the player (Sig) who was pressuring Slooeni.

Again, it's very simple if you want to have a real honest discussion based on logic and actual content. I can't imagine why it's so hard for you to simply acknowledge my questions and answer my logical content. I have to deduce you are scum, which is really no fun since the game JUST started. Meh, I'll take the easy lynch if you're going to be no fun.
I know certain boards have soft-rules against not answering for other people, which is why I specifically didn't expand on what Sloonei actually meant. Just that Sig was misinterpreting him. I don't believe pointing out that Sig is misinterpreting Sloonei is cutting Sloonie out of the picture. And yes, I was pressuring Sig with my question, because his response to Sloonei was a deflection, whether intentional or not. But that does not mean Sig wasn't free to engage Sloonei with the correct response. Also, if Sloonei dropped the discussion just because of my simple intrusion, it would help me develop read on him, regardless.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:54 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Sloonei wrote:
Marco wrote:As my suspicion of Frog was because of my own misinterpretation, UNVOTE
What did you misinterpret and how has he changed your mind?
I didn't realize he meant we hypo-claim all the possible roles from the 12 setups. I have only ever come across hypo-claims in open setup games, not semi-open, so my immediate reaction was that "we can't hypo-claim", we have no idea what setup we're in.

To demonstrate: Generally the setups I've played with people hypoing involve just cop, doctor, RB, hypos as we know all three roles are present.

I was thinking along those lines and missed out that Frog meant we claim ever role. So, it appeared to me that Frog slipped and didn't realize that town doesn't know what setup we're playing.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:50 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

As my suspicion of Frog was because of my own misinterpretation, UNVOTE
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:48 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:My friend Marco, if you want to be taken seriously, at least make an argument. You've read my analysis from various perspectives that involve claims, warrants, and basis. Your response is: I disagree because reasons. But you don't list reasons. LOL. You haven't even engaged which parts you disagree with with respect to my analysis. It really just seems like you're randomly defending Marco, but cautiously backing off in case you get linked. I think you know I'm onto something, I've just posted TWO of Marcos slips.

1) TMI - he KNOWS that I don't have knowledge of the entire setup - aka, he's presuming me a Town, and yet he's voting me, lol.
2) Defending you after you make THESE trolls posts that I've ALREADY brought to your attention, and told you to please refrain from self-lynch baiting. I even explain WHY self-lynch baiting is horrible for Town. If you choose not to interact with me in actual content based discussion I can only concluded the worst for you.
1. That was my point. I was calling out that if you're town, you don't know which setup we're playing. Then how could you be suggesting a hypo-claim strategy. As I admitted, I hadn't understood your strategy clearly. I didn't get that you meant we claim all the possible roles. It appeared to me that you knew the setup we're in and forgot that the rest of us don't have that information.
2. I wasn't defending Sloonei. I was pointing out that Sig was answering the wrong question.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:46 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Ignore my last post.
Frog wrote:
Spoiler: show
Marco wrote:
sig wrote:
Dyslexicon wrote:Hi!
Hello. :beer:
Sloonei wrote:Sig came in and tried to drag as much content out of things as he could. I'd like that if it didn't feel like such an effort to distance oneself from the label of low participation or scumminess.
Let's VOTE SIG
You'd usually like it but, don't this time? That doesn't make much sense.Also it is weird seeing how this is the beginning of day 1 so how would I be labeled as low participation if I hadn't had made any posts after my first one? :shrug:

So why is it scummy that I'm posting and trying to get some content, since from where I sit it looks like your trying to stifle discussion. :eye:
He wasn't calling you out for low participation.
For reference, this is Marco randomly defending Sloonei from Sig.

Why would any player have incentive to defend another player, especially in the early stages where players are seeking reactions? Marco essentially forced Sig to not get the reactions from Marco, and shielded Marco from having to react.

From a Town perspective - It's possible Marco was shielding his town read, Sloonei, from abuse. Judging how Marco proceeded to vote me after I voted Sloonei, I would say assuming Marco!Town, Marco clearly has discovered a way to hard Town read Sloonei from a few troll RVS posts, a miracle to say the least.

From a Not Town Perspective - Marco!Town was acting not town by disallowing everyone in the game from seeing actual content argument between sig and marco, whereby we would be able to actively gauge v/w, v/v type of interactions. Instead Marco!Town was not town and cut these interactions shorts, and denied Marco's reaction

From a Scum Perspective - Marco!Scum comes from an informed perspective. Either he knows Sloonei is town and is trying to pocket him, or Marco is defending a wolf bro.

Of these scenarios, and because of Marco's previous TMI (Too Much Information) posts that suggest he's coming from an informed perspective, I'm much more inclined to deduce and FOS (Finger of Suspicion) Marco at this point OVER Sloonei.

There is a variation in which Sloonei is in fact Town - judging by Sloonei's aggressive behavior and general interactivity across the board, I'd like to bump Sloonei up from lean scum to cautious null.

I will also bump down Marco into a hard wolf read.

[flash=3]Vote: Marco[/flash]
It is not defending when I clarified Sig's obvious misinterpretation. And I corrected Sig because I was interested in the actual answer to the question Sloonei asked. This had nothing to do with Sloonei. How is it that you brought nothing of this up until after I voted for you and called you out?


As for the hypo-claiming clarification, that's my bad. I didn't understand your proposed strategy clearly.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:39 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Frog wrote:
Zexy wrote:So, sig: what is TS? What do you think of Sloonei’s push on you? You defended, but what does that mean in regards to his alignment?

I disagree on the fake claiming part because in MU there actually a power role cover system where everybody claims all the roles so that the real ones get to “naturally” throw their real results in without standing out too much. And others fakeclaim to draw NKs.
Zexy is towny as flip.

Zexy + Sig = Town

Marco + Sloonei = scum teamish - On page 2 Marco randomly defends Sloonei. Lol. Obv slip is obvious.
It would look better if you answered my question rather than deflecting at me. And what are you referring to when you say I randomly defended Sloonei?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:14 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

@Frog, you came in encouraging a strategy involving hypo-claiming. How did you think about going about it accurately if you don't know what setup we're playing?
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:09 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Assuming I'm Vanilla Townie, I have no way to know which setup we're playing until we see some PR (town and/or mafia) deaths. I could see the potential for PR cover after we have better idea of what setup we're in but mafia is going to probably have that knowledge alone for a while and hypo-claiming requires the contribution of quite a number of well-informed townies.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:08 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

You cannot start a hypo-claim fest this game as fake-claims will be easy to discover, especially for mafia as they know which setup we're playing.
by Marco
Fri Apr 15, 2016 2:04 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Mafia Championship Scrimmage [END]
Replies: 3675
Views: 73154

Re: Mafia Championship Scrimmage

Long Con wrote:
Frog wrote: I've JUST finished a C12 match on MU where many vanillagers were fake claiming TPRs, and fake counter claiming TPRs all over the place. Some of them worked, some of them didn't. Those that didn't work were because of a cognitive dissonance between players. With this in mind, if you are town reading a player, and they fake claim a power role, would you counter claim them?

Furthermore, with respect to claims, I'm planning on following this format every day:
If I'm X role, I did this N1, N2, N3, etc.
If I'm Y role, I did this N1, N2, N3, etc.
If I'm Z role, I did this N1, N2, N3, etc.
So, after a few days, if everyone does this, then we can get every town power role verified to each person they targeted.

Doesn't this cause games to devolve into a bunch of counter-claiming and informed defending?
Yep. This also works best in a setup you actually know. Right now, majority of us will be clueless about the actual setup. So, hypo-claiming this game is probably going to be an advantage to mafia more so than town. They have the liberty of knowing the exact setup we're playing on Day 1 whereas most townies are clueless. So, I'm quite against trying Frog's strategy this game. And I wonder why he'd suggest this strategy without actually knowing what setup we're playing.

VOTE FROG

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