Search found 752 matches

by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:05 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:59 pm
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:57 pm speedchuck
ts account

Long Con
TonyStarkPrime
Funnygurl
How has your view of ts account changed since nutella and I arrived?
It is partially motivated by POE. funnygurl's claim buried Epi and looks authentic in light of the host corrections from this morning. Tony has been my next strongest town read in the thread today, in part because he looks a bit out of place going around begging for character claims. It's a bizarre thing to be doing if he's bad. Long Con's self vote is the single weirdest event in a game which featured two demi-gods descending upon us from the heavens, but the fact that TH sat calmly by while LC was in danger of being lynched on Day 1 seems like an indication that he's town. The exception to that is the possibility of vote shenanigans, but there is no direct evidence pointing there.
ts account has been very By The Numbers. Not just today, but all game long. He has cited the fabled Book of Mafia multiple times, and it also feels like he's reading directly from it whenever he expresses a read on anything. He's eager to hammer Epi, but hammering Epi is the easy thing to do today and there's no incentive not to bus him. I had an early game beef with him that dissolved because he kept up a suspicion of me that looked too stubborn to be real, but I care less about that now that we're in our current position.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:57 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:55 pm I'd like for everyone to please rank every other living player in order of least-to-most suspicious purely based on your gut feelings about them. Don't worry about "evidence" or whatever. Just ask your instincts.
speedchuck
ts account

Long Con
TonyStarkPrime
Funnygurl
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:55 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Tinfoil: Epi doesn't like bussing. But Epi just played a game a couple weeks ago as mafia, and now all three of his teammates from that game are civilians in this one. Epi might feel a rare incentive to bus, or at least distance more aggressively than he normally would.

This mostly pertains to ts account, who I feel looks the worst in the thread today, but Epi's aggression towards him early in the game is a sticking point.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:35 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Epignosis wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:32 pm Remember folks that all you have to do to fool JaggedJimmyJay is

1) post as much as you can

2) act believably mean to your teammates

That's it. That is all you have to do to beat JaggedJimmyJay.
This post is mean. Epi and Jay are teammates.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:30 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:29 pm
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:22 pm i stopped for dinner. the prospect of analyzing the combo of ts account + funnygurl is daunting. Do I want to do it?
I avoided Funnygurl after the roller coaster last time. :scared:
I think this is nutella's responsibility, tbh
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:29 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:26 pm
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:22 pm i stopped for dinner. the prospect of analyzing the combo of ts account + funnygurl is daunting. Do I want to do it?
I scum read her day 1, therefore we are not partners. Saved you the look.
:phew:
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:22 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

i stopped for dinner. the prospect of analyzing the combo of ts account + funnygurl is daunting. Do I want to do it?
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:10 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Epignosis wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 9:07 pm Light green.

Like the color of plants that should be plucked from the earth and thrown halfway into the desert.
Yes, precisely
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:48 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D1)

ts account and tonystarkprime

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Mon Mar 30, 2020 11:38 pm I have a soft mindmeld with leetic re: sloonei. However, I'm more suspicious of it because I do not think speculation of sloonei's nature is pro-town in any way. Since it is early enough in the game, this read is more of a town read on leetic than a condemnation of sloonei. I also want to point out TonyStarkPrime's callout of LongCon (and sloonei's somewhat, but Tony was not involved before this) which I think is not justified.

I can't make any more judgements until RVS is over, which is hopefully soon.

PS The submit and preview buttons are backwards.
Tony called out Long Con and it was Not Justified. Okay.

ts account wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 4:10 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 12:34 pm I like this post.
Why?
This is so generic it's hilarious. I don't want to put it behind a spoiler because I want this to shine through on the page. Look how nondescript this is. It's so beautiful. I love it.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 4:16 pm Dragomir- scum lean
Epignosis- null
Funnygurl555- scum lean
leetic- town
Long Con- light town
MacDougall- null
Master Radishes- null
Sloonei- scum lean
speedchuck- null
tedxtr- light town
ts account- town
TonyStarkPrime- null
Turnip Head- null

There are a few players who are likely town who simply have not posted enough for me to get a reasonable read on them- speedchuck and epignosis I would GTH town.
Ted is a problem because their reads don't make sense. Radishes sounds towny in a vacuum but this weird concept of me backtracking must have come from somewhere and I am leery of that. I am probably wrong on sloonei but I will take to task the dismantling of his case anyway. Overall I see a lot of "probably town" simply doing scummy things.
N.U.L.L. NULL 2.0
Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:00 pm
leetic wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 3:53 pm
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 3:37 pm Dragomir- scum
Epignosis- null
Funnygurl555- null
leetic- town
Long Con- null
MacDougall- town
Master Radishes- town lean
Sloonei- scum lean
speedchuck- null
tedxtr- town lean
ts account- town
TonyStarkPrime- null
Turnip Head- town lean
Who do you think would be the most likely third scum in a team with Dragomir and Sloonei?
Long Con is a possibility for a few reasons but I do not think they are worth saying. I think it is unlikely to be speedchuck or tsp. If somehow I am right on both Dragomir and Sloonei then it is possible that one of my town reads is wrong, and it could be perhaps radishes? I am not too concerned with building 3 man teams on day one, so take this with a grain of salt. I did not think too hard about it.
Tony is "unlikely." I once again do not know why.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:32 pm
Dragomir wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:14 pm
ts account wrote: Mon Mar 30, 2020 11:38 pm I have a soft mindmeld with leetic re: sloonei. However, I'm more suspicious of it because I do not think speculation of sloonei's nature is pro-town in any way. Since it is early enough in the game, this read is more of a town read on leetic than a condemnation of sloonei. I also want to point out TonyStarkPrime's callout of LongCon (and sloonei's somewhat, but Tony was not involved before this) which I think is not justified.

I can't make any more judgements until RVS is over, which is hopefully soon.

PS The submit and preview buttons are backwards.
I don't recall you ever following up on this tsp thought. Did something change for you on him?
I do not remember, honestly. At the time I saw players voting LongCon for something that I did not see as too out of the ordinary, and I did not feel that TSP should vote there, for some reason. In hindsight I disagree with myself quite a bit, and more agree with the version of me who questioned the mention of JJJ.
"In hindsight I disagree with myself quite a bit" RE: calling out Tony earlier. Cool.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:28 pm Dragomir- scum
Epignosis- null
Funnygurl555- town lean
leetic- town
Long Con- scum
MacDougall- town
Master Radishes- town
Sloonei- scum lean
speedchuck- null
tedxtr- town lean
ts account- town
TonyStarkPrime- null
Turnip Head- town lean

I am feeling a lot better about my reads today. I have plenty of town to work with, that I am confident in. I still do not commit to the hard ted town read, even though it is probably my strongest town lean of the three I have. But ted is an extraordinarily good player if they are able to fake the mindset they have been showing while solving. Epignosis plays similarly to Mantichora, in my opinion, but possibly without the pedigree of the latter? Speedchuck is a curious case, because I remember liking both their tone and them as a person, yet I do not feel so emotionally attached to them here.
I would like to see more from Tony as I believe the null read there is due to their content not really impressing upon me. I find that they have made a few good points but lack any sort of followup or worldbuilding.
Tony continues to be null, but this time he gets a blurb. "I'd like to see more." Okay.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:54 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:50 pm By TH interactions, I have cleared Long Con, Sloonei, and TonyStarkPrime. There is only room for one more.
Well, I am town, so you will have to go back to the drawing board.
For the sake of simplicity I will assume you and nutella are town, because not being able to vote a wolf would be unbelievably stupid.
Out of those three, Sloonei is likely clear for saving us from parity, and I agree that Long Con is likely town now that three of the wolves seem to be off wagon. I would lean towards TSP in that group.
He singles out tony from Jay's POE pool. My interpretation of this depends on how likely I think a scum ts account is to be bussing today. It's lylo, so they'd just need a single mislynch, and there's no need to go forward like this if Tony is his partner. Factor in also that other communities don't seem as bus-happy as the Syndicate and I'd say this is probably not a teammate interaction.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:03 pm As for a case on TSP: I do not have one, but I believe me, sloonei, and funnygurl are lock town, with long con close behind. I would shotgun Epi and speedchuck here, as epignosis is outed and speedchuck does not look good with turnip head scum flip, then re-evaluate on interactions afterwards.
Tony is strictly bad because of POE. Not unfair.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:14 pm I do not know for sure who the last mafia between TSP and Long Con is. I may be focusing too hard on the self vote, and not hard enough on the interactions between speedchuck/long con/turnip head. I do not believe I need to make a case on TSP, either. I would rather focus on the mechanical dichotomy first, as we are meant to do.

JJJ: It occurs to me that you have me on the scum team solely due to interactions with Turnip Head. I do not believe I fit on your proposed team due to interactions with the other proposed wolves. Perhaps you should re-evaluate me, and not simply focus on the solitary interaction.
"I do not believe I need to make a case on TSP" might be one of my least favorite sentences I've ever read in a mafia game.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:15 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:00 pm I maintain that speedchuck is the right lynch today, if our interlopers are to be trusted.

I seriously need some character claims from some people. @speedchuck @Epignosis Here’s the defense: it’s role madness and I know nothing about Assassin’s Creed so you’re not losing much.
This is the wolf case.

Funnygurl can back me up on this. We're in the middle of a mechanical dichotomy, and someone wants us to lynch outside the mechanical dichotomy. Somehow, that makes you a wolf.
I don't love this post. But they are not teammates.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:38 pm
Funnygurl555 wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:33 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:22 pm Master Radishes [4]: Funnygurl, Epi, Long Con, Turnip Head
Turnip Head [4]: MacDougall, Master Radishes, Sloonei, speedchuck
speedchuck [3]: tedxtr, ts account, TonyStarkPrime
speed's town now right? he was that last vote for turnip 8 min before eod
If we take wagonomics to gospel, then the final three wolves need to be in funnygurl/epi/long con/tsp from my pov.
I do not consider you and epignosis to be compatible partners. I believe you over epignosis currently, which leads me to epignosis/long con/tonystarkprime. Is that a viable wolf team? I do not know, and if you throw turnip head into the mix it becomes even more confusing.

This is still discussion of the future. A majority of our discussion should be focused on who to lynch between Funnygurl and Epignosis and why it is epignosis
tony's name comes up in the POE. Okay.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:48 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:47 pm
You’re wrong
Do you not agree that there is mechanically a wolf in Epignosis and Funnygurl?
Not teammates.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:55 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:55 pm Mac’s own discussion of why he wasn’t killed night 1 comes into play
Link to this.
Okay

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:04 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:59 pm Some stuff that hits slightly different if he sometimes has immunity. Can’t decipher if he expected to be immune night one or night two.
I'm sorry, but I do not get the same analysis here as you do. It looks to me like he is just including himself in the PoE. I would also expected MacDougall to have claimed the shot.
mikey disagrees with... something. I'm not sure what. This kind of looks like two people commenting on different things.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:06 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:04 am
okay I’ve had enough
Vote FG

it’s Epi FG Speed lock it in
If you believe it to be both, will you commit to lynching Epignosis today?
Generic question.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:06 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:05 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:04 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:59 pm Some stuff that hits slightly different if he sometimes has immunity. Can’t decipher if he expected to be immune night one or night two.
I'm sorry, but I do not get the same analysis here as you do. It looks to me like he is just including himself in the PoE. I would also expected MacDougall to have claimed the shot.
If he had shot night 1?
Specifically, if he had shot Dragomir.
:shrug:

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:45 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:43 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:38 am I am only barely here at present. Regarding a "mass claim" -- I don't see a problem with it off-hand assuming all rules are respected. The game hangs in the balance after all, and if some key information is withheld too carefully that would otherwise influence reads, then that's not ideal.

Such an action really depends upon the roles in question and how individuals feel they may be able to take advantage of them. I only advise that too much caution right now is of little benefit. LyLo.
Who are you? Role
It is probably better to start off the massclaims with the next wolfiest people. Since the mechanical dichotomy already claimed, it makes more sense to have you/speedchuck/long con/me claim first, and have sloonei/jjj/nutella claim afterwards.
strategic chatter.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:49 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:48 am I don’t care about powers. I care about characters. For a reason I’m not currently willing to specify
Then why would you ask for the role?
Unnecessary hostile question.
--------------------------------------
TonyStarkPrime and ts account
Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 7:49 pm
Dragomir wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 12:42 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 12:34 pm
ts account wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 3:15 am
Dragomir wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 3:09 am I could use the same logic against you. You have only played a fraction of the amount of mafia games that exist so you can't truly know that mechanical talk is widely considered a scumtell. It might have been from the games you've played but not the many others have.

So basically, trying to say that mechanical talk is a scumtell is bullshit. It's not a universal opinion. I want you to explain to me what really makes mechanical talk a bad thing.
There exists somewhere a big imaginary book of mafia. When players are good enough, they get a chance to write a chapter of the book. In some footnotes, you will find clear references to mechanical discussion being a scumtell. I do not know what to tell you beyond this. I am not the one who decides what are and aren't considered scumtells, though I do have a few scumtells of my own that I have not seen other players share.

Generally, scum (moreso bad scum than good scum) will struggle to generate content. This is the closest thing you can get to objective in mafia- sort by postcount will almost always win more games than any individual player's reads, it has been tested. As a result of this, scum (moreso bad scum than good scum) will latch onto low-hanging talking points. In mystery games especially, mechanical discussion is inevitable from any alignment, but scum (moreso bad scum than good scum) are happy to engage in this discourse, as it means they don't have to provide fake content.

Happy?
I like this post.
Why do you like it?
I’m on the side that continuing on this point is a good look for the one being called Mikey for one. Further, I think the reasoning is sound.
Tony likes Mikey.

Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:07 pm
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:20 am
Epignosis wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:19 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:16 am
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:19 pm All Role PMs have been sent! It is now D1, which will end at a majority vote or by April 2, 7pm EDT.
For somebody opposed to mechanics discussions, you're quick to point out mechanics to people like me.
This is the worst post I've read today.
I liked it
Trouble in paradise?

Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:10 pm
MacDougall wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 1:15 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 1:11 am
MacDougall wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 1:01 am Sloonei can you list all the people who have been notably assertive about town reading you vs. those who have been suspecting you?
LC and leetic voted for me very early on but I would not say that either of them have sustained any suspicion against me. ts account is the only one who I think has been actively suspicious of me as the day has progressed. Turnip Head briefly mentioned me once or twice but I was unclear where that ended up or how serious the suspicion was.

Just about everyone else has expressed some degree of a town read on me. I don't specifically remember speedchuck or tony having anything to say about little old me.

Drago and funnygurl would be the two most "notably assertive" town reads. Both of them stood up to defend me at various points early on. I've voiced my concerns about funnygurl's handling of me already: she defended me against specific accusations but never provided any independent thoughts on me.
I think that there has definitely been a general pro Sloonei vibe so I'm inclined to see people suspecting you as town. The mafia would be avoiding fabricating cases on you in this thread state and if you are one, well naturally they're probably not grilling you hard. I'd say that if you are Mafia, Funnygirl might be. But if you are town I'd be inclined to near townlock TS Account based on what you are saying.
Alternatively, he doesn’t want to back down. I’ve taken some crazy swings at cases against widely read townies before as scum. Easy points and no one seriously thinks you’re trying to lynch the person who’s never getting lynched.
I think this post is about ts account. Tony floats a tinfoil speculation. He doesn't seem invested in it, and is just looking to contribute to a conversation.

"Mikey Town. Sounds like a village run by the makers of Life cereal.

Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:11 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 3:10 am
Sloonei wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 2:38 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 2:34 am Teds at two votes from GoC teammates with one against
what is the strongest read you have on a player in this game right now, either town or mafia?
Mac is town.
This is my only hard and fast read, I’m tinfoiling a bit on TS and LC can be my pet town read.
"tinfoiling a bit on TS." Why?

Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 6:03 pm
Turnip Head wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 12:42 am Scum team could be Mikey, funny girl and tedextr as far as I'm concerned
It’s cliche, but rule of three
Tony observes the "rule of three" in a post by TH mentioning Mikey. Okay.

Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:06 pm
nutella wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:03 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:19 pm I readily grant that LC’s failed hammer vote rubbed me wrong.
Yeeeeaaaah actually that might make me think LC's scum and Epi's not?? :ponder: :ponder: :ponder:
LC FG TS
FG’s “whadda ya think about this Mikey” gimmick seems pretty not w/w
This post seems to imply that ts and funnygurl are teammates, but then dismisses that in the very next sentence. I do not follow. He emphasizes the latter in a follow-up.

Spoiler: show
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:47 pm
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:15 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:00 pm I maintain that speedchuck is the right lynch today, if our interlopers are to be trusted.

I seriously need some character claims from some people. @speedchuck @Epignosis Here’s the defense: it’s role madness and I know nothing about Assassin’s Creed so you’re not losing much.
This is the wolf case.

Funnygurl can back me up on this. We're in the middle of a mechanical dichotomy, and someone wants us to lynch outside the mechanical dichotomy. Somehow, that makes you a wolf.
You’re wrong
He's wrong.

Conclusion
I do not think these two are partners. More than that, I think I even see room to argue that Mikey is angling to set Tony up for the next lynch once it becomes viable to push somebody other than Epi. Mikey had little to say about Tony for the first two days, but has pushed him rather aggressively today. Tony maintained a light tinfoil on Mikey but never really elaborated and has not followed up on it today. I'd like to know what that's about. The scarcity of interactions prevents me from feeling too confident, but I don't think these two are partners.

Light green
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 8:13 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D1)

ts account and speedchuck
Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 4:10 pm
speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:36 am @ts account never voted Sloonei through all of this.

Why not?
I surprisingly think funnygurl is wolfier than sloonei at this juncture.
Generic banter. I wonder why the funnygurl read was surprising.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 4:16 pm Dragomir- scum lean
Epignosis- null
Funnygurl555- scum lean
leetic- town
Long Con- light town
MacDougall- null
Master Radishes- null
Sloonei- scum lean
speedchuck- null
tedxtr- light town
ts account- town
TonyStarkPrime- null
Turnip Head- null

There are a few players who are likely town who simply have not posted enough for me to get a reasonable read on them- speedchuck and epignosis I would GTH town.
Ted is a problem because their reads don't make sense. Radishes sounds towny in a vacuum but this weird concept of me backtracking must have come from somewhere and I am leery of that. I am probably wrong on sloonei but I will take to task the dismantling of his case anyway. Overall I see a lot of "probably town" simply doing scummy things.
The lord compels me to rage against the null read, but then ts counteracts that by giving a town GTH read on speed. So there's that.
Still null a little while later.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 4:00 pm
leetic wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 3:53 pm
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 3:37 pm Dragomir- scum
Epignosis- null
Funnygurl555- null
leetic- town
Long Con- null
MacDougall- town
Master Radishes- town lean
Sloonei- scum lean
speedchuck- null
tedxtr- town lean
ts account- town
TonyStarkPrime- null
Turnip Head- town lean
Who do you think would be the most likely third scum in a team with Dragomir and Sloonei?
Long Con is a possibility for a few reasons but I do not think they are worth saying. I think it is unlikely to be speedchuck or tsp. If somehow I am right on both Dragomir and Sloonei then it is possible that one of my town reads is wrong, and it could be perhaps radishes? I am not too concerned with building 3 man teams on day one, so take this with a grain of salt. I did not think too hard about it.
Speedchuck is "unlikely" for no given reason.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 3:28 pm Dragomir- scum
Epignosis- null
Funnygurl555- town lean
leetic- town
Long Con- scum
MacDougall- town
Master Radishes- town
Sloonei- scum lean
speedchuck- null
tedxtr- town lean
ts account- town
TonyStarkPrime- null
Turnip Head- town lean

I am feeling a lot better about my reads today. I have plenty of town to work with, that I am confident in. I still do not commit to the hard ted town read, even though it is probably my strongest town lean of the three I have. But ted is an extraordinarily good player if they are able to fake the mindset they have been showing while solving. Epignosis plays similarly to Mantichora, in my opinion, but possibly without the pedigree of the latter? Speedchuck is a curious case, because I remember liking both their tone and them as a person, yet I do not feel so emotionally attached to them here.
I would like to see more from Tony as I believe the null read there is due to their content not really impressing upon me. I find that they have made a few good points but lack any sort of followup or worldbuilding.
Continued null read, but this time he gets a shruggish blurb. "Curious case" "I remember liking them" "I do not feel emotionally attached." That's not very substantive, but it's a negative enough read that I think I'd lean toward it not being indicative of teammates.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Fri Apr 03, 2020 11:32 pm So, I still do not like Long Con's behavior last EOD. I also do not like the leetic wagon very much; however... I believe speedchuck is likely to be mafia just due to the tendency for a single mafia to stay off lead wagons. Epignosis or Turnip Head could both be mafia as well for this reason, but I have liked Epignosis' play much less.
Starts Day 2 off by naming speed as a suspect due to wagonomics. Good look.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 1:28 am
Dragomir wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 4:56 pm Its gonna be hard for me to participate in these remaining hours. I'm quite busy right now so EoD activity is a no go from my side.

My reads right now still have LC as scum but it's not as strong as before. Leetic has creeped up in my scum reads, but it's not very strong either. My reasons don't felt good enough to support a vote on him and I have had a couple mindmelds with him. His defense against my recent accusations were just as well.

Speedchuck is probably my strongest scum read atm doubt that's not saying much as it's still kinda weak, just barely above the other two. I don't think I'll be voting anybody for this phase.

My town reads, on the other hand, are quite strong. max, Sloonei, and FG are the highest; all three equal with each other. Turnip Head, TS, Ted, and Epi follow behind.

Radish and TSP are my remaining null reads.
Here is dragomir's last will. It is not much to go on, since they only had one real scum read that was shared by many other players to begin with. I will assume that Dragomir softed or slipped PR somewhere, as that would be a better reason to kill drago over another person with drago's scum reads.

Sloonei: Have you found that post wherein ted defends macdougall as a partner with a wallpost?
Not a direct mention of speed, but he does some post-mortem reflection on Drago which highlights a post in which Drago scumreads speed, so there's that. That moves the dial a fraction of a percentage point in favor of these two not being teammates, but I barely care.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 1:50 pm
speedchuck wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 8:56 am [VOTE: Long Con] aubergine

Today is super busy I'll catch up later.

But I maintain that self-votes are bad.
Why do you think they are bad?

...

Oh brother. Keep moving.

I think I am voting speedchuck today. We will see how they respond.

[VOTE: speedchuck] aubergine
Two mentions of speed bookend a longer chain post. ts votes mid-Day 2. Cool.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 6:20 pm
speedchuck wrote: Sat Apr 04, 2020 6:12 pm I'm not caught up but I'm kinda surprised I would need to quantify that self-voting is scummy. Especially in a close situation like this. Does self-voting accomplish anything other than gambling for town cred?
Are you being serious?
Somewhat mocking tone in response to speed's LC suspicion.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Sun Apr 05, 2020 3:40 pm Speedchuck's posts isolated to this page sound fairly genuine, so I am not sure what to think.
Takes a few steps back on the speed suspicion.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 5:10 pm I am feeling a little bit dizzy, but not physically. I know that does not make sense. I suppose I will try to share some in depth reads tomorrow, but I do not currently feel inclined to lynch either of the vegetables. However, yesterday we did not get roleclaims from either of the wagons. I suggest we change that today.
Right now I am looking at Epignosis or speedchuck to lynch.
Back on the chuck wagon. That momentary blip above becomes a good look in this context: if they're partners I see no reason for mikey to walk back his distancing ploy in the most insignificant way imaginable before immediately resuming it.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 6:52 pm [VOTE: speedchuck] aubergine
A vote

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:42 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 8:16 pm
ts account wrote: Fri Apr 03, 2020 11:32 pm So, I still do not like Long Con's behavior last EOD. I also do not like the leetic wagon very much; however... I believe speedchuck is likely to be mafia just due to the tendency for a single mafia to stay off lead wagons. Epignosis or Turnip Head could both be mafia as well for this reason, but I have liked Epignosis' play much less.
This post is a fun chug of wine if the team is TH/Mikey/Epi/speedchuck.
Now I understand why this is in your mind, haha. No, it looks like I really just spat out three scum names to me, when I meant to find one.
Okay

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:03 pm As for a case on TSP: I do not have one, but I believe me, sloonei, and funnygurl are lock town, with long con close behind. I would shotgun Epi and speedchuck here, as epignosis is outed and speedchuck does not look good with turnip head scum flip, then re-evaluate on interactions afterwards.
Speedchuck is public enemy #2 today behind Epi. Cool. More of the same.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:15 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 10:00 pm I maintain that speedchuck is the right lynch today, if our interlopers are to be trusted.

I seriously need some character claims from some people. @speedchuck @Epignosis Here’s the defense: it’s role madness and I know nothing about Assassin’s Creed so you’re not losing much.
This is the wolf case.

Funnygurl can back me up on this. We're in the middle of a mechanical dichotomy, and someone wants us to lynch outside the mechanical dichotomy. Somehow, that makes you a wolf.
Tony is suspicious for pushing speedchuck over Epi. speed is incidental here, the focus is on Tony.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:38 pm
Funnygurl555 wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:33 pm
Sloonei wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:22 pm Master Radishes [4]: Funnygurl, Epi, Long Con, Turnip Head
Turnip Head [4]: MacDougall, Master Radishes, Sloonei, speedchuck
speedchuck [3]: tedxtr, ts account, TonyStarkPrime
speed's town now right? he was that last vote for turnip 8 min before eod
If we take wagonomics to gospel, then the final three wolves need to be in funnygurl/epi/long con/tsp from my pov.
I do not consider you and epignosis to be compatible partners. I believe you over epignosis currently, which leads me to epignosis/long con/tonystarkprime. Is that a viable wolf team? I do not know, and if you throw turnip head into the mix it becomes even more confusing.

This is still discussion of the future. A majority of our discussion should be focused on who to lynch between Funnygurl and Epignosis and why it is epignosis
Funnygurl asks a question about speedchuck being "confirmed town" based on votes, and ts account gives an answer that doesn't mention speedchuck. He's done enough to push against speed that this isn't a major concern. There's no direct endorsement of the theory he's proposing here, so it's whatever.

Spoiler: show
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:37 pm I finished editing the image, but all it really is is a full row of red by my name, and some weird interactions between TSP/Long Con/Speedchuck.
Implies that speedchuck has "weird interactions" with tony and long con. Does not elaborate.

-----------------------------------------------------------------
speedchuck and ts account
Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:57 am
Dragomir wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:55 am I don't see ts as civ anymore.
What changed?
Generic question about mikey

Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 11:55 am
Dragomir wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 11:43 am
speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:57 am
Dragomir wrote: Tue Mar 31, 2020 10:55 am I don't see ts as civ anymore.
What changed?
I see nothing but bullshit coming from his side during our interaction. He is wolf. What do you think about LC?
His third post and initial vote for Sloonei are pretty bad. I agree with that.

Not much else to look at.
Speed wastes no time pouncing once the door is opened. Cool.

Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 11:30 am
tedxtr wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:51 am
Epignosis wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:19 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 12:16 am
NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: Mon Mar 30, 2020 5:19 pm All Role PMs have been sent! It is now D1, which will end at a majority vote or by April 2, 7pm EDT.
For somebody opposed to mechanics discussions, you're quick to point out mechanics to people like me.
This is a horrible post for Epi.
You're the second person to say this and I don't know whether either of you are serious.
I believe ts was the first of two people speed alludes to here. Goofy post. Probably not teammates.

Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 8:46 pm
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 7:20 pm
Dragomir wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 7:18 pm I need an explanation as to how I called out two townies and a scum bud. There has yet to be a single one and it's infuriating.
Would you like me to pull out the big imaginary book of mafia again?
:haha: :clap:
A post that exists.

Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:52 pm
Dragomir wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:49 pm
speedchuck wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:47 pm
leetic wrote: Wed Apr 01, 2020 9:46 pm I am about halfway through my post, but so much has changed in the last two pages that it's now all outdated lol
That's why you gotta just spew
Hey speed, do you have any reads? Ever since you came back online you made several posts lacking substance.
Mac, Ted, ts account town. TH scum. LC back around null. Those are the ones I've been gnawing on.

I want to believe funnygurl is town because she seems like she's having fun, but I don't know enough about her.
ts account is now town. Don't know why.

Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Mon Apr 06, 2020 12:26 pm Here's a fun one: A readlist based only on people's current votes:

Good votes - MacDougall, Sloonei, Funnygurl, ts account, Epignosis
Not Good Votes - Turnip Head, Master Radishes, Long Con, TSP, Ted
mikey's part of the "good vote" crew. Noted

Spoiler: show
speedchuck wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:23 pm
ts account wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 9:20 pm Oh, judging by vote count, if Epignosis is town, then Long Con and Sloonei both need to be mafia, otherwise mafia would just hammer and win. So Epignosis is definitely outed wolf.
This argument is hilarious but I kinda agree with it.
Goofy, lame post. I could see a universe where these two posts both belong to mafia members, but it's easier to see a universe where that's not the case.

Conclusion
ts account -> speed has some good evidence suggesting no partnership. Mikey went after speed in a pretty meaningful way and cast actual votes against him that didn't look false in any way. speedchuck has had next to nothing to say about ts account, going from one early "looks pretty bad" to a town read on Day 1, and then radio silence (despite receiving pressure from him). The way speed seems to have ignored that pressure is the only significant cause for concern I can pull out of this, but it does not need to be read as bad, especially in light of speed's overall level of activity here.

Light green
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:39 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

i gotchu
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:36 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 7:04 pm This is wearing me down now. I need help filling out the rest. I am starting to lose energy and it's impacting my ability to reason clearly.

Stop letting the thread take a crap when I make big posts. Talk.
what's the chart look like so far?
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 3:03 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 3:01 pm Image
red = bad, usually

got em
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:55 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

I’ll get out my crayons eventually. But today’s a grocery stockpiling day, and I neglected schoolwork yesterday. Priorities are elsewhere for the moment.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:16 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ebwop: “even with a successful lynch today”
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:15 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

While it’s lylo and we might assume that a massclaim automatically helps us, I also am considering that we still have a long way to go. Even with a successful claim today, we still need two more. That’s at least two more nights guaranteed. A mass claim could effectively nullify the remaining civilian roles those two nights.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:06 pm
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:05 pm
Funnygurl555 wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:03 pm d1 eod should show that me and mikey aren't linked with lc. at least I dont bus people that hard. dont think mikey does either. the one time I was wolf with him he defended me p hard and was why I didnt die (i was mia a lot due to irl things).
Darn tootin.
We are never partners from my day 1, that is for sure.
:wine:
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:56 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Funnygurl555 wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:54 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:39 am Alright gang, let's start filling 'er out. The game can be completely solved here:

Image

I failed to darken one line and that's really disappointing, but we forge onward.
I dont get what the graph means
it means nothing so far. We’re supposed to fill it in.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:53 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:49 am in my defense I’m pretty sure he didn’t have a ship yesterday

One thing this means is that Ted 100 percent had BTSC with Mac day 1
Yes, which is part of the reason that kill makes no sense.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:49 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

I still feel like mac targeting ted makes little sense, but all evidence seems to point there. Maybe there was a redirection, or maybe mac earnestly thought ted should be killed. I dunno, there’s not much to argue about now.

Let’s find epi’s teammates.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:28 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

This game has taught me that sexy vegetables and assassin fieri both exist.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:20 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Someone photoshop Guy Fieri in an assassin’s robe please.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 11:14 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Epi’s bad about 99 times out of 100 here, but I still don’t want to rush to a hammer.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 10:41 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Well that mostly nullifies the funnygurl theory.

Epi bad
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:46 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:43 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:42 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:40 am
Even if you successfully sell yourself as a civilian, it doesn’t lynch mafioso #3. Gotta start somewhere lad
GTH, Tony spent some time trying to lynch outside the dichotomy, which is a scum tactic, by the book.
I’ve considered doing that too. :eek:

Anyway, I’ll do my own research too assuming folks don’t hammer us back to heaven too fast.
Tony's wonky behavior today reminds me of his campaign to hunt outside of Mac/sig in the middle of the GoC. He's an unconventional hunter.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:45 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D1)

Sloonei wrote: Thu Apr 02, 2020 4:48 pm The Book of Mafia ought to be shredded.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:38 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:37 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:33 am If you’re the casing sort, Michelangelo, then a dedicated case against Tony and/or Long Con would go a long way. Your world at present is simply impossible if those two are what I generally read them to be. You may not have such a case right now, but it’d be a stupendous direction to head while the avatars are available to interpret and assess.
The problem is, I cannot make a decent wolf case on either of these players. Most of their play has been baseline at best, and I am perhaps a bit worried I would walk away with a town read on the slots, and become further confused. It would be much easier to towncase myself, but ted already did a much, much better job of that than I could ever do on day 1.
If you develop town reads on them and get confused, at least you can start working your way out of confusion.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:36 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Ignoring claim business:

funnygurl
tony
Long Con
ts account

speedchuck
epignosis
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:32 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:22 am In a closed setup I’m not sure temporary BTSC should imply the participants will be trustful of one another in the thread.
They trusted each other on Day 1. But I agree with this, and that's what I meant when I said that "mac -> ted" is more interesting than "ted -> mac". If a temporary BTSC was set up then I think it would be more worthwhile to study how the player receiving the BTSC responds to the player initiating it. ted has no reason to assume anything about his targets. His targets can at least assess whether they think ted's role is town.

Either way, I'm still not sure what exactly would qualify as "evidence", but it felt like a good idea to look anyway.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:19 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:13 am Regular > Cinnamon
I recently found a box of strawberry life and it was much better than I expected.

that was before the quarantine. i'm not gonna venture out in search of it again for a while.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:18 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

mikey reminds me of another wrinkle that's sure induce more headaches. funnygurl claims that ted was among the players targeting mac Night 1. Here is ted's role:
Misthios: You’re a hardened mercenary! This means that each night, you can either STRONGARM someone, which means they won’t be able to vote you the next day, or you can SELLSWORD, which will give you a neighborhood with someone the following day. You can use STRONGARM once per game (and not at MYLO or LYLO), and SELLSWORD twice per game.

You are a Righteous Warrior and win when all the Heathenous Spies have been eliminated.
I highly doubt ted would strongarm Mac after Day 1. Ted was a suspect, but Mac was one of his most vocal advocates in the thread. ted could have been worried about votes on Day 2, but Mac would not have been someone he'd have to worry about. This point is made even stronger by the 1-shot limitation.

Therefore, barring redirection, it is much more likely that ted would be targeting Mac with a sellsword shot. I tried to look for evidence that they'd have had BTSC on Day 2, but results were hard to come by. There were a few contentious moments between them on Day 2 that might be an indication that there was no BTSC. If there was no BTSC, that can be explained by Mac's pirate ship. But then we're back to "if Mac was on his ship, funnygurl should not have a report on him."
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:08 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 2:00 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:58 am The yellow stuff in my post is in accord with the yellow stuff in mac’s role. If he was sailing the seven seas last night, so too was somebody on the mafia team.

If he used it on Night 1 then everything else is null: funnygurl’s claim is a lie.
I suppose what I'm not following is why it's more likely he used it on Night 1 than Night 2. There's a corpse on Night 2.
That’s what I’m hoping to piece together. I don’t know which is more likely. I asked the question to everyone who was here earlier, and funnygurl herself answered Night 1, which prompted me to vote for her and turn this into a Thing.

If we suppose he used it on Night 2 then:
He would have presumably attempted to kill somebody. I highly doubt he goes for ted. He may very well have targeted Turnip Head along with me, in which case, oh well. The possibility for a redirection also exists here. But the biggest variable of all is that the player carrying out the kill for the mafia team must also have been on a pirate ship.

There is no clear and obvious explanation as to why there would be no extra body if Mac was able to kill on Night 1. Possibilities are that he himself was prevented somehow (the player he was targeting would probably have to be protected/immune themselves, since he is unlikely to be roleblocked), or that Mac used the ability for protection but holstered the shot. I’m not sure I believe the latter would happen.

We can’t know either way. This is all just speculation and trying to figure out what’s most likely. If he used it on Night 1, funnygurl is lying. If he used it on Night 2, funnygurl’s claim can be believed and Epi is bad.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:58 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:55 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:45 am When Mac uses his pirate ship he can’t be targeted by anyone who is not also on a pirate ship that same night. He can also perform a kill (presumably on anyone regardless of their proximity to the sea) on those same nights. He can only use it every other night.

In speculating about which night is more likely to have been Mac’s choice to use it, Night 1 may make more sense. If Mac used his pirate ship Night 1, funnygurl could not have received a report on him.
If Mac used his pirate ship Night 2, the mafia team must have also been pirates.
Mac role:
Edward Kenway

Pirate Ship: You have a pirate ship! That’s awesome, dude. Using your pirate ship, you can make yourself untargetable to anyone that doesn’t also possess a ship. You can only use this ability every other night though, cause you have to restock your food and supplies. While on your ship, you can target someone to try and kill.

You are a Righteous Warrior and win when all the Heathenous Spies have been eliminated.

Is there a reason why the yellow stuff would not fit into the Night 2 activities? The role implies the existence of at least one other "ship", and it seems reasonable to presume the mafia have a ship.

If he used it on Night 1, shouldn't we be seeing another corpse out there that he shot? A hypothetical role block from Epignosis would have been rendered useless by the pirate ship.

What a sentence I just wrote.
The yellow stuff in my post is in accord with the yellow stuff in mac’s role. If he was sailing the seven seas last night, so too was somebody on the mafia team.

If he used it on Night 1 then everything else is null: funnygurl’s claim is a lie.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:45 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:41 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:40 am
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:37 am I suppose the next natural hunting course is to investigate the interrelations of my suspects to determine whether any glaring these two don't work together pairings may exist.

That frankly sounds like a lot after I just did that on the baseball diamond. JJJ so tired. I will need help. I can post my usual pretty chart to clarify precisely what investigations I view as necessary.
Do you have any comment on mac’s pirate ship?
I have paid no attention to that conversation. It looked dumb. What's up with Mac's pirate ship?
When Mac uses his pirate ship he can’t be targeted by anyone who is not also on a pirate ship that same night. He can also perform a kill (presumably on anyone regardless of their proximity to the sea) on those same nights. He can only use it every other night.

In speculating about which night is more likely to have been Mac’s choice to use it, Night 1 may make more sense. If Mac used his pirate ship Night 1, funnygurl could not have received a report on him.
If Mac used his pirate ship Night 2, the mafia team must have also been pirates.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:40 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:37 am I suppose the next natural hunting course is to investigate the interrelations of my suspects to determine whether any glaring these two don't work together pairings may exist.

That frankly sounds like a lot after I just did that on the baseball diamond. JJJ so tired. I will need help. I can post my usual pretty chart to clarify precisely what investigations I view as necessary.
Do you have any comment on mac’s pirate ship?
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:34 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:33 am This has been a pleasure. This game got started, and I realized that I would get to lord over the peons from on-high without having to do anything. So I paid my focus to the baseball heist, and whaddya know as soon as that one comes to an end it's time to descend upon this realm in my avatar form and bellow the wisdom of Celestia to all.

:coffee:
Sounds like something an umpire would say. :eye:
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:32 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:30 am Can someone give me their best synopsis of the general reception Epignosis has had in this game before Day 3?
I’ve been generally suspicious of him for most of the game, but he “wasn’t a Day 2 lynch” yesterday because his name is Epignosis. Other people have voiced suspicion as well, it’s not just me. But he’s skated by.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:28 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:27 am
nutella wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:26 am I have 100 posts already? :eek:

I'm not sure these lowly folks deserve gods as majestic as we are, pal. :biggrin:
Imagine how annoying we can be in a 72 hour period. :bliss:
Catch me if you can.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:20 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

If there were no claims, I’d vote for Epi over funnygurl 9 times out of 10 here.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:13 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Thanks a lot nutella
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:05 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Funnygurl555 wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:03 am y'all are thinking too much

this is simpler than you're making it out to be. like i get why you have to do this, but still. idk what to do other than make faces at my laptop
Find epi’s teammates
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:02 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D2)

nutella wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:59 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:10 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:09 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:06 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:05 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:04 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Tue Apr 07, 2020 11:59 pm Some stuff that hits slightly different if he sometimes has immunity. Can’t decipher if he expected to be immune night one or night two.
I'm sorry, but I do not get the same analysis here as you do. It looks to me like he is just including himself in the PoE. I would also expected MacDougall to have claimed the shot.
If he had shot night 1?
Specifically, if he had shot Dragomir.
I agree with this as well.
Though if he took a shot and FG is telling the truth, it would have failed as Epi would have blocked it.
True true.


Wait.

I just realized something obvious.

FG also saw Ted and Drago target Mac N1, yes?

They don't have pirate ships.

So that further corroborates that Mac didn't use it N1.

That whole argument was stupid.

:haha:
The argument would be that funnygurl’s claim is fake.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 1:01 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:57 am
nutella wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:57 am I mean, it's sort of due to the fact that you backed up the silly flavor thing. That's just silly.
She has an eagle. It's already silly.
The sillyest of all, utter poppycock if you’ll pardon me, however, is this ludicrous suggestion, deprived of all empirical evidence, whereby a lone eagle could triumph over an entire seaward vessel! I will not have it.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:52 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

Then again, we only have nutella and jay’s word that they’re to be trusted.

I don’t doubt them, and they confirmed that they were responsible for me having a gun last night, but
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:51 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

I think Tony is my most trusted non-confirmed player at this point.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:49 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:41 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:38 am
ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:33 am They start off fine, but arriving at the conclusion that Funnygurl must be lying... because eagles... or something... doesn't feel like honest solving to me.
I never brought up eagles. That was all funnygurl. Which part of the progression do you dislike or not follow?

>Mac’s pirate ship makes him immune to abilities by players who are not also on pirate ships.
>funnygurl claims to have targeted Mac on Night 1.
>funnygurl says she thinks Mac used his pirate ship Night 1.
>funnygurl confirms she does not have a pirate ship, in which case she would not have been able to target Mac had he been on his ship Night 1.

Do you disagree that there is potential for her to be caught in a lie here? It is not confirmed and I do not intend to act like it is. But this absolutely should he explored before we make a decision. I don’t see how we could justify not talking about it.
Well, it kind of hinges on the assumption that none of the wolves had read the flips... Because then otherwise they would have claimed to have a pirate ship. It also means that wolves wanted to ensure Epignosis sunk here, which, why? He claimed to roleblock Sloonei Night 2. That's pretty close to being the lynch anyway. Wolves do not need to push it any further. Trying to push the pirate ship angle just does not do a lot for me.
In the world where funnygurl is lying, she simply got overeager with her claim. It could happen.
Ensuring the lynch of any player who’s not one of them secures a win. They wouldn’t need to single out Epi, but he was looking like the most viable candidate out of the gate. He probably still is.

As big a concern, or perhaps bigger, is funnygurl’s claim itself: Epi + 2 dead players targeted Mac, a dead player. There is no one else who can confirm or deny that claim.

To be clear, my mind is not made up on any of this. These are questions I have to ask myself, and so I am vocalizing them here. I want to explore as many possible angles as we can before we decide this lynch.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:44 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:42 am When I ask my intuition what I think of Funnygurl's claim, the following points spill from my gut:

1) While there's a clear motive for a fake cross-claim of this sort at LyLo, she made the claim quickly enough after Epi's that I have to wonder if she even had time to a) conceive of a threat in Epi's claim to her win condition, b) devise a counter-claim that would make him look bad, and c) execute that claim publicly.

2) At face value, I don't think she looks dishonest. I have never seen her lie; I dunno.

3) Epi claimed to be a roleblocker, and countering that to lynch him doesn't even seem necessary. It's a predominantly mafia-aligned role anyway.
These are all points on my mind as well, for the record.

At the end of the day we’ll never know what mac did.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:38 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:33 am They start off fine, but arriving at the conclusion that Funnygurl must be lying... because eagles... or something... doesn't feel like honest solving to me.
I never brought up eagles. That was all funnygurl. Which part of the progression do you dislike or not follow?

>Mac’s pirate ship makes him immune to abilities by players who are not also on pirate ships.
>funnygurl claims to have targeted Mac on Night 1.
>funnygurl says she thinks Mac used his pirate ship Night 1.
>funnygurl confirms she does not have a pirate ship, in which case she would not have been able to target Mac had he been on his ship Night 1.

Do you disagree that there is potential for her to be caught in a lie here? It is not confirmed and I do not intend to act like it is. But this absolutely should he explored before we make a decision. I don’t see how we could justify not talking about it.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:31 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

ts account wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:29 am A good example is your line of questioning on Funnygurl. If you were not mechanically town I would wolf read you for it.
Why? I have concerns and I’m going to see them through.
by Sloonei
Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:31 am
Forum: Previous Sit Downs
Topic: Assassin's Creed Mafia (OVER!)
Replies: 3856
Views: 108111

Re: Assassin's Creed Mafia (D3)

TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:29 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:26 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:25 am
Sloonei wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:24 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Wed Apr 08, 2020 12:22 am I misread Mac’s role.
What did you think it said?
Switch between untargetable and kill
Do you believe funnygurl's claim?
Makes it more likely that Mac was targetable night 1, I think, since he didn’t claim the kill and would have had no reason to. But would have required him to shoot Ted night 2. Best guess, failed kill night 1. Which means Epi is lying about the boat.

Unrelated, Sloonei, have you claimed a character?
A failed kill is a possibility on either night. We have no way of knowing for sure.

I have not claimed a character or a role for that matter. Just an item I received and a shot I took with it.

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