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by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 3:19 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

[mention]Kylemii[/mention] I need you to use your elfire on someone other than me and Epi for now

We’ll be fine and won’t need any switching, that could also cause us to die probs
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 3:15 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

Speed as a whole has not piqued my interests or suspicions at since replacing in. I usually have a good eye at sniffing him out. I can tell you 100% I do not care about anything dunya said. (I mean I only cared like 40% while she was still here but still)
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:26 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

why was my vote on kites. i thought i voted sig
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 1:25 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

oh cool, well epi youre confirmed civilian *clap clap*
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:53 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

im not entirely seeing what kyle is saying about my target being town either. my only power is to heal and kyle cant reverse a heal to a kill. mages can.

either that or he healed me, but thatd have been a waste cause epi can doctor me right back and we have an infinite doctor loop
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:50 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

gwilikers6 wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:08 am I’m more curious why kyle thinks your target is confirmed town. Also, wasn’t there another set of pseudo-masons in this game, or am i misremembering? Who were they?
Kyle and Kenway are masons but kyle has said kenway has virtually not used it at all

Mac was in btsc with epi and I before his untimely demise at the hands of Quin
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 11:04 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

In other words, epi is a town pick for me anyways and we’re working well together

At the bare minimum me and Epi can make it all the way to the end at which point we know who the mafia is
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 10:48 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

gwilikers6 wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:33 am
sprityo wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:07 am
Kylemii wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:56 am @sprityo barring shenanigans, whoever you targeted last night was a civ, assuming you used mend or a mend facsimile and neither of you nor i were misdirected.

this doesn't actually feel like a super mind-blowing revelation but at least it's something
I’ve targetted Epi every single night of the game if that tells you anything
I’m not following the logic here by either of you. Why would spirit’s target be town for sure? And Spirit, is epi a town read for you simply based on the role, or because of how he’s interacted in your BTSC chat?
I’m not saying he’s the one town, I’m simply protecting him because we have a btsc chat and can discuss things in there, it’s a nice way to quickly figure out ideas and discuss topics that (normally myself) are confused about

Kyle is saying whomever I targetted is town, but I’ve said it like 20 times that I’ve only ever protected Epi this game
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:07 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

Kylemii wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:56 am @sprityo barring shenanigans, whoever you targeted last night was a civ, assuming you used mend or a mend facsimile and neither of you nor i were misdirected.

this doesn't actually feel like a super mind-blowing revelation but at least it's something
I’ve targetted Epi every single night of the game if that tells you anything
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:50 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

Kites wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:48 am @sprityo and anyone suspecting me

gwilly cleared me on night 3
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:55 am
gwilikers6 wrote: Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:50 am This was my exact result btw: “**f*** *m ** - s*g”

I was drunk last night and working now so I haven’t put the slightest effort into decoding it. Have at it.
Soften 'em up. It corroborates I think Kites (?) who said they boosted sig's kill chance. I obviously didn't do that, so you were misdirected or something.
soften em up is an archer power so I hadn’t been promoted yet
explain further please?
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:29 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

rundontwalk wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:25 am Shouldn't we try and get rid of ID sooner rather than later if we can't get rid of him first time?
the more mafia we can take out earlier the better imo. cause then we are losing our town players

as you can see mafia has been consistently killing our high town players since the Mac/LC double night kill
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:16 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

[mention]rundontwalk[/mention] My associate has convinced me to back off of you for now

My list of people i want to lynch goes in order of:

Sig
Kenway
Kites
I_D

the only reason I_D is so low is because of his knight role

Linki: assuming the cop isnt already aligned with you like the other cop was
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:12 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:09 am
sprityo wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:08 am
speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:07 am
rundontwalk wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:33 pm @speedchuck did you ID anyone?
I only cop every other night.

Thanks for the protection, though! :) I'll be able to cop tonight, especially if I get protected again
who has had their vote stolen?
Does it do any good to know that? Honest question.
to be fair all your targets are dead now :ponder:
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:11 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:09 am
sprityo wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:08 am
speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:07 am
rundontwalk wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:33 pm @speedchuck did you ID anyone?
I only cop every other night.

Thanks for the protection, though! :) I'll be able to cop tonight, especially if I get protected again
who has had their vote stolen?
Does it do any good to know that? Honest question.
hm. youre right. i assume its not someone who is considered town
by sprityo
Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:08 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

speedchuck wrote: Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:07 am
rundontwalk wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:33 pm @speedchuck did you ID anyone?
I only cop every other night.

Thanks for the protection, though! :) I'll be able to cop tonight, especially if I get protected again
who has had their vote stolen?
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:58 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:57 pm Hammer lynches gave me ptsd
*train noises across wastelands in the distance*
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:55 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

im not starting a wagon, im merely putting my vote where i want it

i guess we'll look out for pile on wagons then yeah? its a good thing we dot have hammer lynches
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:51 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

rundontwalk wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:40 pm
sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:09 pm [VOTE: Sig] aubergine this shouldve happened days ago
Personally not interested in a runaway sig wagon
youre right, i should vote you today instead
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:15 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

gwilikers6 wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:13 pm
sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:12 pm
gwilikers6 wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:10 pm Spirit, what did you upgrade to?
i didnt pick yet but ill probably pick valkyrie since i get to keep my protect in addition to a new power
So you used your cleric role last night instead of upgrading? Who did you protect?
who do you think? :rolleyes:
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:12 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

gwilikers6 wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:10 pm Spirit, what did you upgrade to?
i didnt pick yet but ill probably pick valkyrie since i get to keep my protect in addition to a new power
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:09 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 7]

[VOTE: Sig] aubergine this shouldve happened days ago
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:13 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:55 am
sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:36 am Day 1

[6] nutella - MacDougall, gwilikers6, dunya, ColinIsCool, rundontwalk, JaggedJimmyJay
[2] Epignosis - Kites, Iron_Dwarf
[6] Quin - Dragon D. Luffy, nutella, , colonialbob, Marmot, Kylemii, Long Con
[1] rabbit8 - sig
[1] ColinIsCool - Epignosis
[1] Kylemii - TonyStarkPrime
[1] TonyStarkPrime - Kenway
[1] dunya - DrWilgy

No vote: Dr. White, lapluie, Quin, rabbit8, sprityo

-------------------------------------------
Day 2

CBob - Kites, Tony, Marmot, Iron, Mac
Lap - Quin, Nutella, LC, Jimmy, CBob
Dr White - Colin, Speed, RDW
LC - DDL, Kyle
Marmot - Sig
Speed - Wilgy
Iron - GWilly
Sig - Sprityo
Nutella - Dr White
Jimmy - Epi
--------------------------------------

Day 3

[6] JaggedJimmyJay - Dragon D. Luffy, McDougall, Epignosis, sprityo, Marmot, DrWilgy
[6] Iron_Dwarf - colonialbob, speedchuck, nutella, gwilikers6, JaggedJimmyJay, Kylemii
[1] sig - Kenway
[1] DrWilgy - Long Con
[3] nutella - Iron_Dwarf, Quin, lapluie
[1] rundontwalk - Kites
[1] gwilikers6 - rundontwalk

No vote: sig (but a good effort)

------------------------

Day 4

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck
[6] Quin - lapluie, sprityo, nutella, Kylemii, colonialbob, Epignosis

--------------------------------------

[8] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii, Kites
[4] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin, Epignosis
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway


---------------------------

[6] lapluie - sprityo, nutella, rundontwalk, gwilkkers6, Epignosis, Kylemii
[4] rundontwalk - colonialbob, Kites, sig, Dragon D. Luffy
[2] nutella - Iron_Dwarf, Speedchuck

Not voting: Kenway, lapluie

---------------------------

We need sloon to replace kenway btw. or someone to repace him


blue is dead
red is mafia
green is people i feel fairly confident are town
i wanna see what happens when i knock RDW, Cbob, Kyle, and nutella off the lists of possibilities, represented in yellow are 'not likely mafia'
[mention]Dragon D. Luffy[/mention] what do you make of this by the way? what would you change
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:12 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:05 pm The problem about having a gut read that Sig is bad is that this is as natural as breathing.
i mean he got lynched day 1 of phenon when he had the ONE ROLE in the entire setup that helps you from getting bandwagoned and lynched

but that's none of my business
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:57 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

[mention]Dragon D. Luffy[/mention]

DO YOU UNDERSTAND MY GUT NOW?
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:21 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

Epignosis wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 10:48 am
Kylemii wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:17 am myrmeridon crime boy quin was dead at the time of speed targeting lapluie, of the things we know about myrmrmodon ddl or mercenary cbob could be responsible for a wrong result, though it seems like if speed had his target changed then he'd still know who his end target result was from, based on what he's said about his result PMs.

the other possibilities are that the mafia has some sort of info-fuck ability like a seemer or w/e. Maybe rising star pointer looks like a civ when checked or something? Or maybe a different one of their background roles can fuck with info-gets.
Or maybe...I don't know...speedchuck lied? :faint:
Or.... I’m pretty sure host nation alignments don’t reflect alignment 100% of the time
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:03 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

Kylemii wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 5:25 am
sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:55 amI wanna see what happens when i knock RDW, Cbob, Kyle, and nutella off the lists of possibilities, represented in yellow are 'not likely mafia'
what are the reasons behind the yellow names on this list? most specifically cobbo
An exercise to see what it would look like if everyone voting on big wagons day 1, 3, and 6 are town
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:03 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

I could also take RDW off of the yellow and it still looks plausible
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:56 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

in theory this could totally make sense, the mafia is keeping off the large wagons unless they need to

the only odd days being Day 2 and Day 5
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:55 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:36 am Day 1

[6] nutella - MacDougall, gwilikers6, dunya, ColinIsCool, rundontwalk, JaggedJimmyJay
[2] Epignosis - Kites, Iron_Dwarf
[6] Quin - Dragon D. Luffy, nutella, , colonialbob, Marmot, Kylemii, Long Con
[1] rabbit8 - sig
[1] ColinIsCool - Epignosis
[1] Kylemii - TonyStarkPrime
[1] TonyStarkPrime - Kenway
[1] dunya - DrWilgy

No vote: Dr. White, lapluie, Quin, rabbit8, sprityo

-------------------------------------------
Day 2

CBob - Kites, Tony, Marmot, Iron, Mac
Lap - Quin, Nutella, LC, Jimmy, CBob
Dr White - Colin, Speed, RDW
LC - DDL, Kyle
Marmot - Sig
Speed - Wilgy
Iron - GWilly
Sig - Sprityo
Nutella - Dr White
Jimmy - Epi
--------------------------------------

Day 3

[6] JaggedJimmyJay - Dragon D. Luffy, McDougall, Epignosis, sprityo, Marmot, DrWilgy
[6] Iron_Dwarf - colonialbob, speedchuck, nutella, gwilikers6, JaggedJimmyJay, Kylemii
[1] sig - Kenway
[1] DrWilgy - Long Con
[3] nutella - Iron_Dwarf, Quin, lapluie
[1] rundontwalk - Kites
[1] gwilikers6 - rundontwalk

No vote: sig (but a good effort)

------------------------

Day 4

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck
[6] Quin - lapluie, sprityo, nutella, Kylemii, colonialbob, Epignosis

--------------------------------------

[8] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii, Kites
[4] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin, Epignosis
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway


---------------------------

[6] lapluie - sprityo, nutella, rundontwalk, gwilkkers6, Epignosis, Kylemii
[4] rundontwalk - colonialbob, Kites, sig, Dragon D. Luffy
[2] nutella - Iron_Dwarf, Speedchuck

Not voting: Kenway, lapluie

---------------------------

We need sloon to replace kenway btw. or someone to repace him


blue is dead
red is mafia
green is people i feel fairly confident are town
i wanna see what happens when i knock RDW, Cbob, Kyle, and nutella off the lists of possibilities, represented in yellow are 'not likely mafia'
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:46 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 5]

Spoiler: show
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:54 pm I will skip Day 2 and Day 3 because of no votes on confirmed baddies. I may return to those later on. G-Man would have done it anyway, but I'm more lazy.

DAY 4

God bless eggplants.

Spoiler: show
DDL - Wilgy
Bob - Wilgy
Nutella - Wilgy
Sprityo - Quin
lapluie - Epi
Sig - Wilgy
ID - Nutella
Speed - Quin
lapluie - Quin
Speed - Wilgy
Epi - DDL
Kites - Wilgy
Sprityo - Quin
Sig - Wilgy
ID - Wilgy
Marmot - Wilgy
RDW - Quin
Nutella - Quin
RDW - Wilgy
Epi - ID
Gwilkers - Wilgy
Kylemii - Quin
DDL - Quin
Bob - Quin
Quin - Nutella
DDL - Wilgy
Quin - Wilgy
RDW - Quin
Speed - Quin
Epi - Quin
DDL - Quin
RDW - Wilgy
Speed - Wilgy
DDl - Wilgy

DDL
Bob

Nutella
Sprityo
lapluie
Sig
ID
Speed
lapluie
Speed
Epi
Kites
Sprityo
Sig
ID
Marmot

RDW
Nutella
RDW
Epi
Gwilkers
Kylemii
DDL
Bob
Quin
DDL
Quin

RDW
Speed
Epi
DDL

RDW
Speed
DDL


Key:

Quin - Red

Dr. Wilgy - Light Blue
Nutela - Green
Others - White

Different type of day phase here. Less options, but more flip-flopping.

The name of the game, for most of Day 4, was Dr. Wilgy. It was almost a consensus. Town collectively decided that enough was enough and that, if the first doctor was good, then second time was the charm, in part supported by Yours Truly. I pushed for Wilgy hard, and people followed me. Obviously, some of the ones who did were bad (good luck finding who though).

There was a shy attempt of lynching Quin for a while, mostly represented by Sprityo going hard on him for game mechanical reasons (I'm sorry for doubting you, man). Some help from lapluie.

The majot change comes when RDW shows up out of nowhere and votes for Quin. Nutella votes for Quin too. RDW immediately backs down and votes for Wilgy. He would back and forth between Wilgy and Quin for the rest of the day, ultimately landing on Wilgy.

Kylemii and me help push it, and then Bob. This is the second time I see Bob land the middle vote on the Quin wagon. Is this calculated? Then the Great Flip-Flopping of Day 4 happens and I start changing like crazy, along with Speed, Epi and RDW.

Again, RDW and Epi look like ass here, specially the former. Sprityo looks amazing. Nutella looks good, maybe Kyle too. It should be noted that at this point, bussing should be expected. So take any civ read produced from this analysis with multiple grains of salt. lapluie would be an easy busser, for example.

Some people voted early for Wilgy and did not come back to vote. Specifically: Sig, ID, Marmot, Gwilker and Kites. None of the five were posting around the EoD either. I'd like to believe some mafia voted for Wilgy and went AWOL, but it's hard to figure out who.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Thu Mar 01, 2018 1:08 pm DDL presents
G-Man's Technicolor Vote Analysis
DAY 1

First, let's list all the votes that were cast in Day 1. Credits to my Enter key for enduring the abuse that was necessary to search for the word "vote" hundreds of times, since aubergines didn't exist yet.

Spoiler: show
DDL - Kylemii
Jay - Mac
Marmot - Epignosis
Marmot - Wilgy
Nutella - Mac
Mac - Bob
Jay - Sprityo
Mac - Bob
DDL - Mac
Jay - lapluie
Dunya - Epi
LC - TSP
Bob - rabbit8
Nutella - TSP
DDL - Sprityo
Dunya - Quin
TSP - Kylemii
Kites - Epi
LC - Marmot
Marmot - Epi
RDW - Marmot
Jay - Dr. White
Marmot - Epi
Epi - Colin
mac - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Gwilkers - Nutella
Bob - Colin
mac - Nutella
ID - DDL
Sig - Rabbit8
Dunya - Nutella
Bob - Rabbit8
Colin - Nutella
Kenway - TSP
ID - Epi
Bob - lapluie
DDL - Kenway
Bob - Rabbit8
RDW - Epi
DDL - Rabbit8
DDL - Kenway
Wilgy - Dunya
Nutella - Quin
DDL - Quin
Jay - Quin
Bob - Quin
RDW - Nutella
Marmot - Quin
Kylemii - Quin
LC - Quin
Jay - Nutella

Now let's give a treatment to this data. I will list every single one of those votes in order, but instead of naming vote the voter and the votee, I will just name the former, and use a color to represent the later.

DDL
Jay
Marmot
Marmot
Nutella
Mac
Jay
Mac
DDL
Jay
Dunya
LC
Bob
Nutella
DDL
Dunya
TSP
Kites
LC
Marmot
RDW
Jay
Marmot
Epi
mac
RDW
Gwilkers
Bob
mac
ID
Sig
Dunya
Bob
Colin
Kenway
ID
Bob
DDL
Bob
RDW
DDL
DDL
Wilgy
Nutella
DDL
Jay
Bob

RDW
Marmot
Kylemii
LC

Jay

Key:

Quin - Red
Nutella - Green
Epignosis - Purple
Rabbit8 - Orange
TSP - Dark Blue
MacDougall - Light Blue
Others - White

Now, the point here is to see the bandwagons forming and growing. From this list, we see that for most of Day 1, the thread did not know what to do. We can see there was an initial attempt to bandwagon Mac, which people eventually gave up on. There were some tentative votes on Quin that got abandoned. Then we have the slow growth of the Epi vote, as people got annoyed by the "Exercise". That wagon was accompained, but never surpassed, by the Rabbit8 one.

Later on, the Nutella wagon begins, and it grows fast. Suddenly it beats every wagon and it's leading with 5 votes, from RDW, Gwilkers, Mac, dunya and Colin, 2 of which we know were civs.

The day seems like it will be a battle between Nutella and Epi, with rabbit8 running behind.

Suddenly, something happens. Nutella decides to act on her previously stated suspicions about Quin.

The bandwagon is formed, and it grows with a storm. I jump, then Jay, then Bob. Then Marmot, then Kyle and then LC. This was a legit CFD (damn you Jay), and it only didn't suceed because Epi stopped the lynch.

There are two points of interest that call most of my attention, though you people are free to dissect other things:

First, Nutella looks great. Granted, she was saving herself, but a CFD on a teammate that had no votes atm (previous votes on Quin were changed) doesn't strike me as a good plan.

Second, RDW is sticking out like a sore thumb. No, look at that. He votes for Nutella. Heck, he starts the Nutella wagon. Then after the wagon has grown, he abandons it and votes for Epi. He seems fine with lynching Epi until the Quin wagons grows. Then in the last minute, he changes his vote to Nutella again, and almost gets her lynched in place of Quin.

My understanding? RDW is bad, Nutella is a civ. The baddies were going with a Nutella lynch on day 1. When their teammate was threatened, RDW went with the save.

Epi doesn't look great here either. Not only he was the hand that ultimately saved Quin, but a seriously case for RDW bussing Epi can be made here. RDW, after creating the weapon that would destroy Nutella, washes his hands and votes for a teammate. Perfect day.

I urge all of you to look at RDW's posts. He looks the worst from Day 1 interactions with Quin. Also see if you can find any other things to conclude from this exercise other than this.
actually you only did the days i was asking for already :haha: i really need to stop being so lazy
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:45 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sun Mar 04, 2018 9:50 pm Jay must be rolling in his grave now. Pretty sure he made a big post explaining why lap was not bad and another for Quin.
It's a good thing an all town train lynched him to prevent him driving us off a cliff
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:40 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

[mention]Dragon D. Luffy[/mention] did you already do that "GMAN vote analysis" thing for Day 1 and Day 4 yet? i wanted to look at that in comparison to the vote alignment chart
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:36 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

Kites wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:23 am
sprityo wrote: Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:20 am @gwilikers6 what does Bishop do specifically, i have to choose between that and Valkyrie Knight for my promotion, albeit i might just not promote
he tells us and you promote to bishop, you can confirm if it’s true or not :)
epi also can promote to valkyrie so i can have an informed guess if he tells me
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:36 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

Day 1

[6] nutella - MacDougall, gwilikers6, dunya, ColinIsCool, rundontwalk, JaggedJimmyJay
[2] Epignosis - Kites, Iron_Dwarf
[6] Quin - Dragon D. Luffy, nutella, , colonialbob, Marmot, Kylemii, Long Con
[1] rabbit8 - sig
[1] ColinIsCool - Epignosis
[1] Kylemii - TonyStarkPrime
[1] TonyStarkPrime - Kenway
[1] dunya - DrWilgy

No vote: Dr. White, lapluie, Quin, rabbit8, sprityo

-------------------------------------------
Day 2

CBob - Kites, Tony, Marmot, Iron, Mac
Lap - Quin, Nutella, LC, Jimmy, CBob
Dr White - Colin, Speed, RDW
LC - DDL, Kyle
Marmot - Sig
Speed - Wilgy
Iron - GWilly
Sig - Sprityo
Nutella - Dr White
Jimmy - Epi
--------------------------------------

Day 3

[6] JaggedJimmyJay - Dragon D. Luffy, McDougall, Epignosis, sprityo, Marmot, DrWilgy
[6] Iron_Dwarf - colonialbob, speedchuck, nutella, gwilikers6, JaggedJimmyJay, Kylemii
[1] sig - Kenway
[1] DrWilgy - Long Con
[3] nutella - Iron_Dwarf, Quin, lapluie
[1] rundontwalk - Kites
[1] gwilikers6 - rundontwalk

No vote: sig (but a good effort)

------------------------

Day 4

[9] DrWilgy - sig, Kites, Iron_Dwarf, Marmot, gwilikers6, Dragon D. Luffy, Quin, rundontwalk, Speedchuck
[6] Quin - lapluie, sprityo, nutella, Kylemii, colonialbob, Epignosis

--------------------------------------

[8] Quin - Marmot, Nutella, Dragon D. Luffy, Sig, speedchuck, gwilikers6, Kylemii, Kites
[4] Iron_Dwarf - rundontwalk, sprityo, quin, Epignosis
[1] Nutella - lapluie
[1] Marmot - Iron_Dwarf
[1] Kenway - colonialbob

No vote: Kenway


---------------------------

[6] lapluie - sprityo, nutella, rundontwalk, gwilkkers6, Epignosis, Kylemii
[4] rundontwalk - colonialbob, Kites, sig, Dragon D. Luffy
[2] nutella - Iron_Dwarf, Speedchuck

Not voting: Kenway, lapluie

---------------------------

We need sloon to replace kenway btw. or someone to repace him


blue is dead
red is mafia
green is people i feel fairly confident are town
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:20 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

[mention]gwilikers6[/mention] what does Bishop do specifically, i have to choose between that and Valkyrie Knight for my promotion, albeit i might just not promote
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:14 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Night 6]

tbh my gut is still telling me sig is bad

somewhere in I_D, RDW, and Kenway is bad im sure too.

nutella is an option im willing to entertain
by sprityo
Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:08 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Sun Mar 04, 2018 9:14 pm Fire Emblem Day 6

Lapulie smiled at Bob. “Imagining things am I?” She slid over to the scarred mercenary. “So your spunky little sky rider wouldn’t mind at all if I…” she reached for Bob’s belt.

He grabbed her wrist. “Don’t do that.”

Lapulie smiled wickedly. “I’m not above sharing if that’s what it takes to get ahead.”

“I’m serious. That isn’t happening.”

“In that case…” True to her nickname, Lapulie took Bob’s sword from its sheath and threw it across the room before he realized what was happening. She then unsheathed her own blade, twirled it and thrust it toward his chest. Bob caught Lapulie by that wrist too.

“That was very sneaky, Whirlwind. You’re fast as can be. Of course, speed isn’t everything.” He drew her close and headbutted her. And again. On the third headbutt, Bob let her fall to the floor. His boot fell heavily on her hand and the rogue finally dropped her knife.

“Don’t,” Lapulie choked out. “I…I really do like you.”

Bob retrieved the knife from the ground. “Lady, you’re no kinda waifu.”



Lapulie has been lynched. She was Pointer, a rising star. (Mafia)
called it
by sprityo
Sun Mar 04, 2018 2:55 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

rundontwalk wrote: Sun Mar 04, 2018 1:47 pm I understand why scum (DDl, Bob) want me dead. But I'm offended town would let scum think for them
Your arguments are abhorently awful

I just hope you understand that
by sprityo
Sat Mar 03, 2018 10:42 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

[VOTE: Lapluie] aubergine it’s not hard to just say who you targetted at night. Takes no more than 5 minutes

No excuses
by sprityo
Sat Mar 03, 2018 9:22 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:29 pm Wouldn't be the first one. Quin was exposed on a similar thing.

You'd think being asked for results would have gotten her to give a more clear answer without us having to explain it were the previous nights.

And it would make me feel a little better about Bob.

[VOTE: lapluie] aubergine

Maybe Lap is ring and can’t use her powers? :shrug:
by sprityo
Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:27 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

sprityo wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:27 pm If Lapluie fails to provide her night results I feel inclined to lynch her. I don’t not think a single time this game she has posted them
Do not*
by sprityo
Sat Mar 03, 2018 8:27 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

If Lapluie fails to provide her night results I feel inclined to lynch her. I don’t not think a single time this game she has posted them
by sprityo
Sat Mar 03, 2018 2:31 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

lapluie wrote: Sat Mar 03, 2018 2:27 amBYE QUIN!
Please for the all that is holy

Tell us your night actions
by sprityo
Sat Mar 03, 2018 2:07 am
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

Epignosis wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 9:09 pm
rundontwalk wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 7:44 pm Dunya JJJ MacDougall all realized I'm town because this is what I do as town. Maybe that's why they killed Marmot so one less RYMer to speak up for me
They killed Marmot because (apparently?) he was cleared. I was never clear on that.
Speedchuck said he was from goodguyia which is a possibility of being town same for DDL and Lapuie
by sprityo
Fri Mar 02, 2018 6:12 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

:rolleyes:
gwilikers6 wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 6:05 pm You're confusing me with TonyStark. I had the one that reveals 1/4 of a players PM. I promoted to bishop because I figured it would be an upgraded version of that, but it is not.
What’s it do then?
by sprityo
Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:37 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

Dragon D. Luffy wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:20 pm Hey guys lapluie is not badguya anymore whats up with that
Interesting indeed
rundontwalk wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:18 pm [quote=sprityo post_id=416920 time=<a href="tel:1520021747">1520021747</a> user_id=458]
You are insistently refusing to make a case for yourself and are trying to reverse psychology the town into not lynching you. A poor last ditch effort imo
I don't need to explain myself I haven't done anything wrong,

and actually I protected you last night because while I think you have no idea what you're doing, I don't think you're scum
[/quote]

1. But this is Mafia a game made on interpretation and mystery, it requires explanation and cooperation. Refusal to contribute appears scummy and as such leads to being lynched

2. It was already explained to you that me and Epi already have BTSC and as such just protect eachother cause we’re both doctors
by sprityo
Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:15 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

You are insistently refusing to make a case for yourself and are trying to reverse psychology the town into not lynching you. A poor last ditch effort imo
by sprityo
Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:04 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:58 pm
Kylemii wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:51 pm is it possible my power just got like permanently cancelled? I can't imagine I'd be an actual viable target for blocking compared to actual effective information roles did I forget to pay my power bills or something?
You know, you use these books enough and they just disappear, right?
This isn’t awakening, it’s sacred stones or whatever
by sprityo
Fri Mar 02, 2018 4:03 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

rundontwalk wrote: Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:49 pm I'm assuming this was the scum plan to keep me alive to use me like this
You will not convince me to not vote you with posts like that
by sprityo
Fri Mar 02, 2018 3:46 pm
Forum: Previous Jobs
Topic: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Game Over]
Replies: 7907
Views: 532544

Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 6]

[VOTE: RDW] aubergine

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