Search found 15401 matches

by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:34 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

But lets be real if Jay is town and wolves had the opportunity to get that flip and passed it up, either they’re silly or they had info or they just weren’t around

Which like also clears me along with all the other things that clear me
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:33 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

I don’t think Moto can be a wolf now. I think we shouldn’t kill anyone in the “should be a wolf kill” pool (though if Abigail was actually Kage I’ll hope for a smart bus). I’ll clear Epi/LC/hesitantly Jay for now. Three, maybe four reasonable candidates left, pool of two for the day.
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:31 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:30 pm I hereby acknowledge Tony's post and continue voting Not Tony.
Yeah that’s really all the talking that needs to be done about it but I’d like it selfishly if we could make sure wolves saw it so they didn’t kill me
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:31 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

And I’ll prove I’m genuinely invested in a town victory by continuing to play the game despite the fact that a 3p survivor claim at this stage in this game should just float
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:28 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

I’m getting this out now since I don’t think it matters but probably adds to my win percentage. I’m a 3p survivor. I can only win with town. I don’t add to parity, so wolves — don’t kill me. If you (town) think I’m lying and waste time trying to kill me you will almost certainly lose the game to mec...
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:26 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

falconRab is buyable
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:26 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

ok super late
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:25 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:16 pm Could be, I dunno. The Wilgy kill suggests that at the very least, they don't have a grip on how to achieve that bonus.

If Tony is a civilian he is going to hate this conversation.
shut up mr teddy bear
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:25 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

I’m considering it
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:23 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

I should be cleared by wilgy kill lol
by TonyStarkPrime
Tue Mar 26, 2024 11:23 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D3)

RIP Wilgy. I thought the thief WAS Kagemusha, from the opening description. The thief is identical to the daimyō, but is Shingen the daimyō? And Kagemusha replaces Shingen, so I thought they would be identical. But now I don't know, because AS didn't flip Kagemusha, so the thief is someone differen...
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:00 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

oh shit
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:00 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

when does day end
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:00 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

also could be a pr flip
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:58 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

i kinda started it didn't i
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:58 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

this isn't a wolf flip
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 9:56 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

smh really wanna vote jay
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 4:42 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

Vote Abi 2
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 10:05 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

He's not Glorfindel . Jesus. @Simon Why did your team kill Scotty? https://th.bing.com/th/id/R.5e145bed79265c80eb66fe12a828c6eb?rik=wotCc%2fRk47ncOg&riu=http%3a%2f%2fwww.reactiongifs.com%2fr%2f2013%2f06%2freference.gif&ehk=2rq4%2btQz3RQn%2fKk5A9La1um3oxxQXu7n%2b3SNq1QnX5Y%3d&risl=&p...
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 1:46 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

I’m trusting your town read of Wilgy which is running headstrong into Epi’s read and I’m gonna think about what that means maybe tomorrow
by TonyStarkPrime
Mon Mar 25, 2024 1:45 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

no update on either because neither has done anything today (sorry)
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 9:50 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

you need a meta claim to support your disbelief or Ill accuse you of INCORRIGIBILITY
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 9:49 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

but don't think it's logically conclusive and I think the implied premise is false Why aren't you calling your votes in the thread? What is this tactic? i don't tend to call my votes in thread unless it's required by law (which tbf it might be here) bevcause I don't know how the vote tags work http...
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 8:01 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

but don't think it's logically conclusive and I think the implied premise is false Why aren't you calling your votes in the thread? What is this tactic? i don't tend to call my votes in thread unless it's required by law (which tbf it might be here) bevcause I don't know how the vote tags work
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:43 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

epi get your kids to play some mafia
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:42 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

all I can say is we better hope there are two wolves
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:42 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

every so often I have the thought of "ah I'm second-posting people are gonna think I'm a wolf" and then I remember it's because no one else is here.
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:37 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

but don't think it's logically conclusive and I think the implied premise is false
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:36 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sun Mar 24, 2024 5:17 pm If nothing else, civilian Long Con rarely responds to suspicion in this way.
don't entirely disagree.
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 1:36 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:52 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:49 pm I don't quite think that Long Con has demonstrated the earnest concern about his status that w!LC tends to betray but I'm not really sold on that being a reason not to vote for him
What's your impression of Epignosis?
who knows
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 1:03 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

the question is at what point do the wolves decide that it's in their best interest to start targeting the low-posters in order to reveal the gerat hope that they might find themselves, and quickly, with a decisive advantage
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 1:01 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

The most generic team of three that comes to my head would be Long Con + falcon45ca + [low activity player of your choice]. Perhaps there's enough thread here for me to assess if these kinds of teams can be viably constructed (or refuted), but I'm not optimistic. generic team indeed. could prove ac...
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 12:36 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

gonna out more mech stuff I guess, everyone who gets put on the stand should at least strongly consider claiming kagemusha, depending on their relative game position. game theory works out that way. The PRs have to do it, the wolves then have to do it, at which point the town have to do it to provid...
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 12:24 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

i mean how tf can you role claim without character claiming with two of the roles being open
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 12:24 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

not even gonna wait to out game state knowledge that if jay leads a chop on a relatively high activity player and they flip town then jay will almost invariably be up the next day. The game mechanics strongly incentivizes choosing a suspect and pushing them with some combined force. Claims and count...
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 12:21 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

no solid read on falc
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 12:20 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

How about a baseline question to gauge our view of things: Are the mafia in this game active, inactive, or a reasonably even mix? The answer to this question ought to dictate our collective mindset, I think. If we just shrug and let things go as they go, the default future is likely to kill another...
by TonyStarkPrime
Sun Mar 24, 2024 12:17 am
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

SLiP ALERT SLIP ALERT SLIP ALERT (jk)
by TonyStarkPrime
Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:49 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

I don't quite think that Long Con has demonstrated the earnest concern about his status that w!LC tends to betray but I'm not really sold on that being a reason not to vote for him
by TonyStarkPrime
Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:47 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

someone ask me why I didn't vote PA and I'll give the same answer
by TonyStarkPrime
Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:47 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

My first thought is that it seems unlikely a mafia team with Simon in it views Scotty as the best Night 1 kill (Scotty was virtually alone in reading Simon as a civilian). Don't mind this as NKA but in the absence of a positive reason I can't find it convincing. What do you mean by a positive reaso...
by TonyStarkPrime
Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:41 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Mar 23, 2024 10:58 pm My first thought is that it seems unlikely a mafia team with Simon in it views Scotty as the best Night 1 kill (Scotty was virtually alone in reading Simon as a civilian).
Don't mind this as NKA but in the absence of a positive reason I can't find it convincing.
by TonyStarkPrime
Sat Mar 23, 2024 11:36 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D2)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Sat Mar 23, 2024 10:56 pm This is the first time in a long while that I have forgotten about a game during a night phase, but it seems I am not alone. I'll have to scrounge together some motivation.
I thought the day started at a different time than it did because of the time change
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:29 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

not like wholly an emoji read but mostly wholly an emoji read
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:29 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town I don't care. I have posted things like that so many times as town. I don't even know if it's true. It's narcissism. it's about the wording a bit more than the idea
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:29 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Long Con wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town
Why not? It's intended to shame-inspire the rest of us.
yeah maybe good point
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:26 pm If there are three mafia, a random vote would have a 23% chance of killing mafia.

My mental model of the game arbitrarily estimates a 35% chance of PA flipping mafia. Everyone else would be less. Poopy, but there you go.
yeah sounds about right
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:23 pm I wonder how many posts this thread would have right now if I was mafia. Or if I wasn't in it. :goofp:
god do I hate posts like this
by TonyStarkPrime
Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:12 pm
Forum: Previous Heists
Topic: Kagemusha (ENDGAME)
Replies: 1681
Views: 31427

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Not that that’s a good thing

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