Lag wrote: ↑Sat Apr 16, 2022 12:57 pm
we should vote earlier in the day rather than panic voting at the end. I have been recently convinced that flash wagoning is bad.
Dizzy's last minute legacy posting struck me as townie in the moment. But it's also something that's very easy for a wolf to fake.
Just because something is easy for a wolf to fake doesn't mean they always remember to actually fake it - but if they do remember, it's an easy thing to do.
I think that's slightly town indicative, but also Dizzy is probably good enough at wolfing to know to do that during a flash wagon to get a favorable result at the last second.
I think Jack's wagon on Porscha is actually >rand town indicative. It strikes me less as an "I might die today and need an opportunistic out that won't get me much backlash for mis-chopping" and more as a "this slot is never going to do anything AI, and we have no good reads today, so might as well"
Mac is trending down for me, he was pushing hard for me + Jack who are both players that are likely to be do AI things once we're invested in the game. That alone might be a pro-town move in order to get us to actually engage, but him living another night combined with the potential for feeling out a mischop on a player he knows would thunderdome him when it comes to LYLO because Mac shouldn't still be alive in LYLO - just trending down. Mac's still a town read, but if both me and Mac are still alive the day before LYLO, I will be thunderdoming him. But that won't be until Day 5 at the soonest.
Mizery is still being inexplicably townread. I intend to figure out Mizery today, I have a very good record of accurately reading her.
I have a gut-townread on Arcbell. Not sure why exactly, but it's there.
HK is also being inexplicably townread by people. I think HK has pretty decent wolf equity.