RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 7:30 pm
lucy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:33 am
Le petit poussin wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:32 am
omg yes Ender is playing. I will tunnel him. @hollowkatt join, it will be fun
rondo will join u
Negative, Ender has put himself in an interesting position. I want to see it play out
falcon45ca wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:35 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 1:32 am
@hollowkatt @falcon45ca which one of your is a wolf if any? What are your opinions on each other?
I'm town, it's clearly laid out in my first post.
HK...is he town? Is he maf? I dunno, haven't thought about it too much as of yet. His reaction to Guillo's early tunnel is more towny than not, but it's not a lot to go off.
I am trying to decide if Falcon being willing to actually engage with me is indicative of him being a wolf because he doesnt want to get in a doom spiral or if he has learned from his past games with me. :think:
lucy wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:44 am
LOL
[VOTE:
Dennis ] aubergine
Also, light mode? eww
Le petit poussin wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:46 am
Guillotine wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:41 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 5:46 am
So who is going to get shot? Someone is getting a gun. Should we discuss best shot?
No. Whoever gets the gun should shoot their scum read. Simple!
Don't listen to Guillo, chat is good.
Guillo totally in wolf meta fwiw
Yet I dont see you pointing out anyone to kill or gathering everyone to discuss it. Easy callout, no action behind it
Neon wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:47 am
Le petit poussin wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:46 am
Guillotine wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:41 am
RondoDimBuckle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 5:46 am
So who is going to get shot? Someone is getting a gun. Should we discuss best shot?
No. Whoever gets the gun should shoot their scum read. Simple!
Don't listen to Guillo, chat is good.
Guillo totally in wolf meta fwiw
I will probably ignore everyone and shoot whoever I want
Hope I don't win
Good good, let the chaos flow through you
Le petit poussin wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:49 am
Sabi immediatly jumping on Michelle is rand>scum. #neverrescind
explain further
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:02 am
Voters: Party Crasher, Neon, Creature, falcon45ca
Also at least one wolf in here
yet you fail to say which one you think it is? Perhaps its you?
ilario wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:11 am
ebwop
Sloonei wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:45 pm
ebwop:
Guillotine wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:37 pm
Sloonei wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 9:35 pm
I dig it. Micro interactions like this feel very spontaneously and can be harder to pull off when you're hyper-conscious of your perceived association with the other person.
I dont get it.
The theory is basically that mafia partners are more conscious of how they look in relation to one another. As such, they might be more hesitant to engage in casual chatter like this early in a game. Their interactions might instead tend to feel more choreographed, prepared, or calculated. They'll pick their spots.
So when two players freely and spontaneously engage in a silly little side conversation, it can be taken as an indication that they do not have those concerns about perception against them.
This is not a rock solid tell, nor am I saying that I agree or disagree with pyxxy's read of sig and sabiplz. But I can see where the thought comes from, and it is a read I am willing to acknowledge at this stage of the game (even if I'm projecting my own interpretation onto it).
reasonable tell. my plan was to just wait out until numbers dwindle. most likely will sheep alison/mac if i think theyre town since this is their home arena and they'll probs get nkd early if theyre town. once the numbers die down we should work together if we're both still around.
If sloonie is wolf this is +EV of ilario being wolf imho. Ender will know if this is worth reading into better
Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:16 am
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:08 am
Voters: Alison, lucy, MacDougall
One wolf here @MacDougall
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:02 am
Voters: Party Crasher, Neon, Creature, falcon45ca
Also at least one wolf in here
Creature only has two posts in the couple hours, and they're both saying that there's a wolf on the leading wagons.
@Creature is there a reason you feel confident there is a wolf on these wagons?
Also creature, same problem again. Which one of Lucy / Alison / Mac is the wolf? Perhaps its none and you are trying to sow division?
Explain your working
Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:30 am
Michelle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:33 am
Lilypetal wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 9:30 am
Michelle wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 8:21 am
So not voting toDay
Dennis
Kate
Golden
Zeus
Lucy
Ender
Not a fan of
Lily
Alison
Rondo
what i do
You seem to care enough to make an explanatory wall.
I haven't seen that from town!you before
Why do people scumread Michelle? I mean, I understand the reasoning, that she is a little stiff, but I sort of expect that in some capacity from her. I don't think of it as AI.
Also I found this particular read nuanced enough, I think it's rand!v for now.
In your estimation can Michelle fake it as wolf? If so then its rand!null
Are you partnered with Michelle?
Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:35 am
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:28 am
Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:16 am
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 10:08 am
Voters: Alison, lucy, MacDougall
One wolf here @MacDougall
Creature wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:02 am
Voters: Party Crasher, Neon, Creature, falcon45ca
Also at least one wolf in here
Creature only has two posts in the couple hours, and they're both saying that there's a wolf on the leading wagons.
@Creature is there a reason you feel confident there is a wolf on these wagons?
It's mostly a saying that any wagon with at least three voters is likely to contain at least one wolf in it regardless of the wagonee's alignment.
That is possibly true
(Quick math suggests in a standard 12v3 game, if there are three players on a wagon Day 1, there is a 48% chance they are all town, and thus a 52% chance that at least one of them is a wolf).
My qualm is that you didn't really explore any of the names, just listed them. Your name is even on one of those lists
ok marmot can be town but if creature flips town or 3p then I will have to re-eval
Marmot wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 11:41 am
Neon's my strongest townread atm. She's the top poster, and a large amount of it is fluff yes, but she does seem to be naturally responding with game takes amidst her shitposting, and I think that combination of content is pretty townie.
It's also a drastic change from Holes Mafia, where she had trouble pushing other players in the game when she tried (namely me)
This is a quality post. If Marmot flips wolf then Neon is still town imho(Does that work? I think it does)
Le petit poussin wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:02 pm
The thing with Guillo being that he got outed in anni G2 by HK because he tryed too hard to chop me D1. Not sure how helpfull this is actually. something something.
What is this trying to say? Someone translate
nutella wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:03 pm
Guillotine wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:53 am
Wolves
Hollowkatt
Scotty
Sig
Kate
Golden
All of them individually.
Kate/Golden don't make sense as a pair but they both are individually wolfy.
Now I go to sleep
ok list minus kate, i was just considering going back to voting in scotty/golden
also want to see more from others on that low posting list like marmot, porscha
Porscha could be wolf and could be using low posting to make it to day 2 without giving anything away.
nutella wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:05 pm
MacDougall wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 3:53 am
@Porscha can you iso Lily and Neon for me and give me some thots?
the dangerous trio
What are your thoughts on them? + Mac
Cape90 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:07 pm
Reading me as town
I don't think so Mac
[VOTE:
Macdougall] aubergine
I think he expects me to go off at him for town reading me. But he is too low posting for me to care
Inawordyes wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:14 pm
Party Crasher wrote: ↑Thu Feb 16, 2023 10:33 pm
Hello everyone, as Party Crasher, I am here to share some information with you that I believe is crucial to our success as a town. I strongly suspect that Golden is Mafia, and I have evidence to support my claim.
Firstly, I want to establish my own credibility as a Town member. I have been actively participating in discussions and investigations throughout this game, and I have been advocating for the best interests of the Town. My voting record shows that I have consistently voted in favor of lynching suspected Mafia members, and I have been pushing for more investigations to uncover the truth.
Now, regarding Golden, I have observed some suspicious behavior from him. Golden has been relatively quiet in our discussions, and when he does speak, he tends to deflect attention away from himself and onto others. He has also been quick to jump on bandwagons and vote with the majority, which could indicate that he is trying to blend in and avoid suspicion.
Furthermore, I have noticed that Golden has been inconsistent in his statements. He has made some statements that don't quite add up, and when confronted with these discrepancies, he has been evasive and defensive.
Based on all of these factors, I strongly believe that Golden is Mafia. I urge the Town to take my suspicions seriously and to carefully consider the evidence that I have presented. We cannot afford to let a Mafia member slip through our grasp, and we need to work together to identify and eliminate the threat. Thank you for your attention.
This case is pretty weak/D1-standard and only looks bigger than it is because 90% of the post is big words fluff to give an appearance of grandiosity
Not that the case itself isn’t something to look into, but the method of communicating it has a certain level of pompousness in it that may push people away from the read, which I almost-wonder is intentional. The reason I say that is just imagine a PC/Golden W/W scenario (regardless of how likely such a pairing is), you make a case on your scumbuddy but then you write the case in such a way where people don’t pay attention, so if your scimbuddy ever gets chopped later you can point to that post and say that you were onto them and gain towncred, while providing an empty case that nobody will pick up, thus letting you have your cake and eat it too because your scumbuddy isn’t actually going to be pushed
Imagine taking a copy paste from chatgpt seriously. must be a wolf
nutella wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:27 pm
ok lol im pocketed by golden for real by now
please show your working
Cape90 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:29 pm
i'm being townread too much
Alison - I think you are town for your progression (
690) on le petit (
709). Alison claims KP. People have said Alison is wolfy, I don't get it.
Creature - I have no clue, somewhere between town and wolf meta.
Dennis - Seems like the type of person to get a heavy wagon on them. I'm neutral here.
DrWigly - I don't have a good reason to think Wigly is town here, but I feel like Wigly is town here off "seeming curious" I guess... somewhat.
Dyslexicon - 3rd party moment.
EnderWiggin - 3rd party moment.
falcon45ca - I have no clue, somewhere between town and wolf meta.
-Wow my write ups are really writing themselves arent they-
Golden - Never played with you, but I like your posts, they seem to be in obviously town territory. I'm lazy but ima just point to things
1200, (
826 (combined with townreading Alison)), also not citing specific things, but I like Golden's confidence on their Kate townread (I haven't read Kate yet).
Guillotine - Feels like town!Guillo this game, wasn't sure, but with their recent material, I am pretty sure about this. Solving also feels independent like it usually feels with them.
hollowkatt - I think ur kinda wolfy this game HK NGL.
Yeah I had a moment when Ender started pushing me that I thought he was 3p and thought I was 3p and he has to kill 1 wolf 1 town 1 3p. So it would make sense if he thought he caught me embracing and enjoying the 3p role I had been given (From his pov) he would push me hard to get me over then say "oops not a wolf, but at least a 3p" after he gets me, then hit a town and a wolf in either order hard part done.
You have also been reading up now and have no opinion on me?
Cape90 wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:41 pm
Le petit poussin wrote: ↑Fri Feb 17, 2023 12:36 pm
@Cape90 What's Alison's progression on my 0 post slot (at the time)?
oh you literally haven't spoken
never mind
I was ISOing in alphabetical order, sorry, but I will keep that in mind since it now is just kind of strange to say
@Alison why did you want to shoot le petit for 0 posting?
why ask Alison and not me? Wolf vibes. Alison could be paired with Cape90