Game of Champions- Merged Thread [GAME OVER- SERIAL KILLER WINS]

[WindwardAway]

Delta, why didn't you vote Day 7?

I froze up because I wasnt sure if voting Davos was the right move but thought Windward towntold near EOD so I was stuck kinda. decision paralysis I guess

& it's silly, I shouldnt have, but it caught me because i thought their final posts EOD were townie

Pretty sure you didn't vote in a couple of days before that

Wait, actually. How many days has Delta not voted?

[Delta]

Delta, why didn't you vote Day 7?

I froze up because I wasnt sure if voting Davos was the right move but thought Windward towntold near EOD so I was stuck kinda. decision paralysis I guess

& it's silly, I shouldnt have, but it caught me because i thought their final posts EOD were townie

Pretty sure you didn't vote in a couple of days before that

I think only other day was 6? And that was because I got caught up talking ab mech & time caught up to me ;_;

[leetic]

Delta, why didn't you vote Day 7?

I froze up because I wasnt sure if voting Davos was the right move but thought Windward towntold near EOD so I was stuck kinda. decision paralysis I guess

& it's silly, I shouldnt have, but it caught me because i thought their final posts EOD were townie

Pretty sure you didn't vote in a couple of days before that

I think only other day was 6? And that was because I got caught up talking ab mech & time caught up to me ;_;

Unless I'm missing something, you didn't vote D5 either

[Delta]

Delta, why didn't you vote Day 7?

I froze up because I wasnt sure if voting Davos was the right move but thought Windward towntold near EOD so I was stuck kinda. decision paralysis I guess

& it's silly, I shouldnt have, but it caught me because i thought their final posts EOD were townie

Pretty sure you didn't vote in a couple of days before that

I think only other day was 6? And that was because I got caught up talking ab mech & time caught up to me ;_;

Unless I'm missing something, you didn't vote D5 either

??

thought I had ;_;

I.. honestly dont know then

[WindwardAway]

Delta, why didn't you vote Day 7?

I froze up because I wasnt sure if voting Davos was the right move but thought Windward towntold near EOD so I was stuck kinda. decision paralysis I guess

& it's silly, I shouldnt have, but it caught me because i thought their final posts EOD were townie

Pretty sure you didn't vote in a couple of days before that

I think only other day was 6? And that was because I got caught up talking ab mech & time caught up to me ;_;

So that would mean, if you don't vote today, you'll be roleblocked tonight.
Which could potentially clear (or condemn) you from being a wolf, assuming Wilgy flips wolf.

[WindwardAway]

Delta, why didn't you vote Day 7?

I froze up because I wasnt sure if voting Davos was the right move but thought Windward towntold near EOD so I was stuck kinda. decision paralysis I guess

& it's silly, I shouldnt have, but it caught me because i thought their final posts EOD were townie

Pretty sure you didn't vote in a couple of days before that

I think only other day was 6? And that was because I got caught up talking ab mech & time caught up to me ;_;

Unless I'm missing something, you didn't vote D5 either

Oh
Well then Delta is cleared of doing anything last night, they didn't kill sig

[Delta]

fuck me that feels like such an awful way to disprove something

I didnt even realise that was a rule, sorry ;_;

[WindwardAway]

fuck me that feels like such an awful way to disprove something

I didnt even realise that was a rule, sorry ;_;

It's a bit weird but tbh I'll take any hard evidence that presents itself

[DrWilgy]

@WindwardAway what is the plan when I flip town?

Honestly, I think we just lose if you flip town
I've put all my eggs in one basket, there is still a wolf in the West but I have much higher certainty on you
If you flip town I'm already way off-base anyway, I haven't reconsidered leetic since yesterday and I haven't reconsidered Epi since days ago. I think it's very simply just Delta and you, but I'm less sure on Delta.
If it's Epi, I probably lose to him in all scenarios, so maybe I should actually give it some thought. I believe he's the towniest currently, though.
Leetic I would reconsider if you flip town, because of their switch from pushing me to pushing you yesterday. It's not really that their push means much, since the wolves aren't partnered, but moreso that I have to widen my PoE if you aren't a wolf.
I plan on reading through Delta's ISO again, too, because I have mixed feelings on them.

If true we kinda are at the same spot then, but I think I'd swap Delta and Epi at this point.

[DrWilgy]

Bleh, I feel like I'm losing us the game, but the only person who's voted me and interacted with me or anything I've had to say is the person I'm voting lol.

I guess that means I shouldn't feel too bad.

Good luck if there's a f3. If we get there, please town side Delta lol.

[WindwardAway]

@WindwardAway what is the plan when I flip town?

Honestly, I think we just lose if you flip town
I've put all my eggs in one basket, there is still a wolf in the West but I have much higher certainty on you
If you flip town I'm already way off-base anyway, I haven't reconsidered leetic since yesterday and I haven't reconsidered Epi since days ago. I think it's very simply just Delta and you, but I'm less sure on Delta.
If it's Epi, I probably lose to him in all scenarios, so maybe I should actually give it some thought. I believe he's the towniest currently, though.
Leetic I would reconsider if you flip town, because of their switch from pushing me to pushing you yesterday. It's not really that their push means much, since the wolves aren't partnered, but moreso that I have to widen my PoE if you aren't a wolf.
I plan on reading through Delta's ISO again, too, because I have mixed feelings on them.

If true we kinda are at the same spot then, but I think I'd swap Delta and Epi at this point.

Well I've now concluded that Delta is half clear and probably on their way to being fully cleared tbh
So yeah, that changes my readlist a bit

[Delta]

[VOTE: DRWILGY] aubergine

just to get a vote down, v sorry about that :,)

[DrWilgy]

@WindwardAway what is the plan when I flip town?

Honestly, I think we just lose if you flip town
I've put all my eggs in one basket, there is still a wolf in the West but I have much higher certainty on you
If you flip town I'm already way off-base anyway, I haven't reconsidered leetic since yesterday and I haven't reconsidered Epi since days ago. I think it's very simply just Delta and you, but I'm less sure on Delta.
If it's Epi, I probably lose to him in all scenarios, so maybe I should actually give it some thought. I believe he's the towniest currently, though.
Leetic I would reconsider if you flip town, because of their switch from pushing me to pushing you yesterday. It's not really that their push means much, since the wolves aren't partnered, but moreso that I have to widen my PoE if you aren't a wolf.
I plan on reading through Delta's ISO again, too, because I have mixed feelings on them.

If true we kinda are at the same spot then, but I think I'd swap Delta and Epi at this point.

Well I've now concluded that Delta is half clear and probably on their way to being fully cleared tbh
So yeah, that changes my readlist a bit

Just as easy as making an argument against your fake worldview using incorrect game rules lol

[DrWilgy]

Lol, alright, well this doesn't math if everyone is cool with it.

Guess it's game over.

[Delta]

Lol, alright, well this doesn't math if everyone is cool with it.

Guess it's game over.

I dont know

My vote isnt firm, I just need to get one down to begin with

[Delta]

You were asking WWA their plan for when you flip, why is it now game over? ?_?

[DrWilgy]

Lol, alright, well this doesn't math if everyone is cool with it.

Guess it's game over.

I dont know

My vote isnt firm, I just need to get one down to begin with

He says 5 min before EoD.

Cheeky goober.

[WindwardAway]

Bleh, I feel like I'm losing us the game, but the only person who's voted me and interacted with me or anything I've had to say is the person I'm voting lol.

I guess that means I shouldn't feel too bad.

Good luck if there's a f3. If we get there, please town side Delta lol.

This is the one thing I really take issue with when voting you, and it's that it feels like every time a wagon forms on you, very little is said about it
Regardless of your flip I think I'll need to sift through the lead-up to today's votes on you, and I'm gonna be very short on time tomorrow assuming I'm alive, because it's my last week at my workplace and I have a full schedule during the last half of D9 straight up until eod. Which is not ideal, but can't do much about it besides do all the solving in the first half of the day.

[DrWilgy]

You were asking WWA their plan for when you flip, why is it now game over? ?_?

Because I don't think we've delt with either team.

When I flip, there's a high chance it'll be T/A/L next cycle.

[WindwardAway]

[VOTE: DRWILGY] aubergine

just to get a vote down, v sorry about that :,)

Interesting

[Delta]

Lol, alright, well this doesn't math if everyone is cool with it.

Guess it's game over.

I dont know

My vote isnt firm, I just need to get one down to begin with

He says 5 min before EoD.

Cheeky goober.

FUCK

[Delta]

[VOTE: DRWILGY] aubergine

just to get a vote down, v sorry about that :,)

Interesting

I'm not abusing that rule, that's not fair to do

[WindwardAway]

@WindwardAway what is the plan when I flip town?

Honestly, I think we just lose if you flip town
I've put all my eggs in one basket, there is still a wolf in the West but I have much higher certainty on you
If you flip town I'm already way off-base anyway, I haven't reconsidered leetic since yesterday and I haven't reconsidered Epi since days ago. I think it's very simply just Delta and you, but I'm less sure on Delta.
If it's Epi, I probably lose to him in all scenarios, so maybe I should actually give it some thought. I believe he's the towniest currently, though.
Leetic I would reconsider if you flip town, because of their switch from pushing me to pushing you yesterday. It's not really that their push means much, since the wolves aren't partnered, but moreso that I have to widen my PoE if you aren't a wolf.
I plan on reading through Delta's ISO again, too, because I have mixed feelings on them.

If true we kinda are at the same spot then, but I think I'd swap Delta and Epi at this point.

Well I've now concluded that Delta is half clear and probably on their way to being fully cleared tbh
So yeah, that changes my readlist a bit

Just as easy as making an argument against your fake worldview using incorrect game rules lol

I legit do not believe I shouldve survived that tie without there being any kind of message about the flip being randed, but maybe it's because I don't play here that often
I'm used to seeing an explicit host message that the vote randed, either in the OP or in the flip post, if no other mechanics are at play

[DrWilgy]

@WindwardAway what is the plan when I flip town?

Honestly, I think we just lose if you flip town
I've put all my eggs in one basket, there is still a wolf in the West but I have much higher certainty on you
If you flip town I'm already way off-base anyway, I haven't reconsidered leetic since yesterday and I haven't reconsidered Epi since days ago. I think it's very simply just Delta and you, but I'm less sure on Delta.
If it's Epi, I probably lose to him in all scenarios, so maybe I should actually give it some thought. I believe he's the towniest currently, though.
Leetic I would reconsider if you flip town, because of their switch from pushing me to pushing you yesterday. It's not really that their push means much, since the wolves aren't partnered, but moreso that I have to widen my PoE if you aren't a wolf.
I plan on reading through Delta's ISO again, too, because I have mixed feelings on them.

If true we kinda are at the same spot then, but I think I'd swap Delta and Epi at this point.

Well I've now concluded that Delta is half clear and probably on their way to being fully cleared tbh
So yeah, that changes my readlist a bit

Just as easy as making an argument against your fake worldview using incorrect game rules lol

I legit do not believe I shouldve survived that tie without there being any kind of message about the flip being randed, but maybe it's because I don't play here that often
I'm used to seeing an explicit host message that the vote randed, either in the OP or in the flip post, if no other mechanics are at play

See that would be abnormal or at host discretion for me.

[WindwardAway]

You were asking WWA their plan for when you flip, why is it now game over? ?_?

Because I don't think we've delt with either team.

When I flip, there's a high chance it'll be T/A/L next cycle.

That's going to be an absolute nightmare, holy shit
Good thing I don't believe it will be the case, I guess
And if it is, well, fuck me.

[DrWilgy]

Lol, alright, well this doesn't math if everyone is cool with it.

Guess it's game over.

I dont know

My vote isnt firm, I just need to get one down to begin with

He says 5 min before EoD.

Cheeky goober.

FUCK

Lol wolf

[WindwardAway]

@WindwardAway what is the plan when I flip town?

Honestly, I think we just lose if you flip town
I've put all my eggs in one basket, there is still a wolf in the West but I have much higher certainty on you
If you flip town I'm already way off-base anyway, I haven't reconsidered leetic since yesterday and I haven't reconsidered Epi since days ago. I think it's very simply just Delta and you, but I'm less sure on Delta.
If it's Epi, I probably lose to him in all scenarios, so maybe I should actually give it some thought. I believe he's the towniest currently, though.
Leetic I would reconsider if you flip town, because of their switch from pushing me to pushing you yesterday. It's not really that their push means much, since the wolves aren't partnered, but moreso that I have to widen my PoE if you aren't a wolf.
I plan on reading through Delta's ISO again, too, because I have mixed feelings on them.

If true we kinda are at the same spot then, but I think I'd swap Delta and Epi at this point.

Well I've now concluded that Delta is half clear and probably on their way to being fully cleared tbh
So yeah, that changes my readlist a bit

Just as easy as making an argument against your fake worldview using incorrect game rules lol

I legit do not believe I shouldve survived that tie without there being any kind of message about the flip being randed, but maybe it's because I don't play here that often
I'm used to seeing an explicit host message that the vote randed, either in the OP or in the flip post, if no other mechanics are at play

See that would be abnormal or at host discretion for me.

Ok maybe my expectations are just wrong then lol
But Davos's vote pattern was so weird.

[Delta]

Lol, alright, well this doesn't math if everyone is cool with it.

Guess it's game over.

I dont know

My vote isnt firm, I just need to get one down to begin with

He says 5 min before EoD.

Cheeky goober.

FUCK

Lol wolf

I'm so out of sync with the time

[S~V~S]

It's locked folks, please don't post!

[S~V~S]

Dr Wilgy was definitely a Doctor.

Well, maybe not anymore. Maybe it was just a courtesy title, like Godfather, or when you called your parents friends "Uncle" or "Aunt", but they weren't really related to you.

He was going back and forth alot these days, between his home base of Hallandren, and the harbor. Although the harbor trips were pointless it would seem, for all the good they did him. He never seemed able to catch his breath.

He had never seemed to be caught up, and when his associates had had unfortunate accidents, it didn't help.

He turned the corner, and the harbor came into sight. Maybe he could actually catch his friend aboard and get somewhere this time!

But nope, he never made it. The mob saw him, and chased him into a place so dark, even he couldn't see. He called out for his friend, but it was too late for that.

After they were done with him, the mob turned towards the harbor. He was looking a bit dingy and dim by the time they were done with him.

Dr Wilgy had died.


DrWilgy:

Spoiler: show

Lightsong the Bold (Cosmere Mafia- Warbreaker):

You are mafia and a member of the Landlords.
You win if you achieve parity with town and eliminate all threats to your faction.

You are a Returned revered as the God of Bravery by the people of Hallandren. You have many breaths that extend your life, whereas a normal person only has one.

The Landlords have been Eliminated

It's Night 8~ You have 23 hours to get those actions in! Thanks so Much

[S~V~S]

Epignosis was jealous.

Everyone else seemed to be having so much fun, and it just annoyed him. It made him feel even more curmudgeony than normal (and Epignosis was a famed curmudgeon). He had no reason to feel that way; he was talented, had a great family, and what could have been a fulfilling life. But it was never enough, THAT person seemed happier, THIS person had a newer car, That guys kids listened without him needing to threaten them with Castle Greyskull.

His idea of fun was running into a place dressed in a bizarre costume, making a cryptic remark, and running away.

It was all kinda strange.

On this day, he sat looking out his window, listening to some old 20 minute song recorded before he was born, wondering how he could wipe those happy looks from his neighbors faces. He was so engrossed in his envy, that he did not notice that the only neighbor who it seemed was even crankier than he was, had come into his house.

His neighbor cleared their throat.

Epignosis looked up, too surprised for once to look disgruntled. He threw some old used lingerie at them, but nothing happened.

Epignosis is dead.

Epignosis

Spoiler: show

Envy (Se7en):

You are town, and win when all threats to town have been eliminated.

You represent the feeling of intense jealousy over the blessings and circumstances of others.

It is Day 9! By popular demand, you have 48 hours to catch a bad person!

Votes aren't locked, no hammer. Carry on!

[leetic]

A song to celebrate our achievement:



Unfortunately, the arbiters have not been defeated yet. The good news is there can only be one remaining, as if there were two the game would be over already. Time to look over WWA and Delta one more time

[leetic]

Quick ISOs. This list is alphabetical btw.
Delta - Cheerful and cutesy first impression. Posts have mostly neutral/even tone. Will put them at mid now and change later after I've seen everyone. Could be scum.
Epignosis - Couple of takes. Feels alright.
falcon45ca - Couple of takes. Too many spaces. Feels alright.
leetic - Strong focus on pyxxy wagon and what happened. Feels alright/mid.
Long Con - Likes some posts. Probably first slot I feel OK putting in towns.
☆Princess Abigail☆ - Fighting for wolf pelt means this is probs town Abigail? Can see a few takes from rest of posts. Might be being a bit too generous.
Ricochet - Now that I've seen these wallposts, I've realized how obnoxious mine was. Sorry. ISO feels alright/pretty good.
sig - Not much there. Feels alight/mid.
Sloonei - It's kind of alright. Although the bar is set pretty low at this point. A bit wordy.
TonyStarkPrime - I remember Dyslexicon calling Tony town at least twice (not relevant but thought I'd mention it). After ISOing, feels mid.
Scrappy Doo - Definitely better than whatever Davos is doing. Towny tone. Feels alright.

Ordered list:
Long Con
Ricochet
Princess Abigail

Epignosis
falcon
Sloonei
Scrappy Doo

leetic
Tony
sig

Delta

Something like this.
I skimmed a lot so take it with salt.

The post I keep returning to. Interestingly, the only living player from my side who can possibly be their partner is directly on the bottom. Granted, they put their other partners in high and middle and were insistent that they'd only vote someone from their own side, but they weren't confident enough to put Ricochet directly on top.

[leetic]

Going to try to finish up what I did yesterday but I'm not in the mood to go in as much detail for the explanations.

Cape - Generally vibed with reads. Feels like they have been reading my posts. Similar to town Cape I've seen in the past.
Sabi - Never really vibed with Sabi's reads. Didn't pay much attention to them either. Skimmed through ISO and think they could be wolf. I did think their post about thread being boring and hoping someone will stir the pot was kind of towny but it's not something solid I can lean on.
Master Radishes - Hmmm Radishes is actually OK. Next.
DrWilgy - Wilgy's ISO is not as bad as I thought it would be TBH. The frog noises tickled me. This is more of a tone read though.
DarlingMonroe - Not a lot of reads. Not feeling the tone either. Could be wolf.

Would probably order like so:
Cape
Master Radishes
Sabi
DrWilgy
Darling Monroe

If I added everyone else:
Cape
Windward
nutella

Dyslexicon
Master Radishes
DrWilgy

Nanook
Sabi
Darling Monroe

IDK how I feel about this but it is what it is.

The other side. They put WWA in the same position they put Ricochet, though if they were partnered it would indicate that they were very loathe to bus. Not entirely out of the realm of possibility given the arbiter's strong position going into D3, but even Ricochet knew which way the wind was blowing.

[leetic]

So for mechanical information, we know that Delta couldn't have killed sig. Makes sense, sig was likely a Wilgy kill. nutella was probably an arbiter kill, as it makes no sense for the landlords to believe that nutella was an arbiter when she killed Lemonfairy. Additionally, Seanzie was likely killed by falcon N2, while Abby had motivation to go after Caitlin N1. Thus, if kills are alternating, it makes sense for landlords to be on odd nights and arbiters to be on even nights.

[leetic]

There's also the weird assymetry. So far, we have flipped:
- 2 landlords, 2 arbiters, 1 ITP, 8 townies, 1 town by proxy (my side)
- 2 landlords, 1 landlord by proxy, 1 arbiter, 1 ITP, 10 townies (other side)

I thought that Davos would count as the second landlord, meaning any remaining wolves from that side are arbiters, but apparently there were three with Wilgy. WWA being town would create a weird asymmetry between threads and teams, leaving Lemonfairy as the only wolf without a partner D1, but the very existence of Davos means things are already weird and asymmetrical.

[leetic]

falcon never interacted with Ricochet or Lemonfairy D3. He also didn't interact with Delta, while having one brief interaction with WWA.

[leetic]

It is quiet in here. Then again, what do you expect from F3. I'll have to look at Delta's falcon and Ricochet interactions from the other thread. Fortunately, I do not have to go through Abby's ISO again.

[leetic]

Delta starts by townreading falcon due to an alleged slip, then says they would vote them to save a townread, then says they would vote them GTH, but never seems to get around to voting them.

[leetic]

Delta townread Ricochet. A lot of people did, so this on its own is not evidence to indict.

[leetic]

Ctrl+Fing "Delta" in falcon's ISO gives 45 results... Of which like 90% of them are from one of Epi's quoted posts. falcon asked Delta for reads D1, asked for the case on them D2, seemingly agrees with Epi's case that Delta was partnered with pyxxy, and pushed them once over it. At least you can't say that falcon never interacted with Delta

[leetic]

Ctrl+Fing "Delta" in falcon's ISO gives 45 results... Of which like 90% of them are from one of Epi's quoted posts. falcon asked Delta for reads D1, asked for the case on them D2, seemingly agrees with Epi's case that Delta was partnered with pyxxy, and pushed them once over it. At least you can't say that falcon never interacted with Delta

For comparison's sake, falcon had two Ricochet interactions: calling their reads "bland" and responding to Ricochet pointing out that falcon had no pyxxy interactions.

[leetic]

Ricochet put Delta in the "zone of concern" alongside falcon no less. (I was the only one below both) It's interesting that if Delta is arbiter, both Ricochet and Lemonfairy had little faith in them. Like falcon, Ricochet fully jumped on the "Delta is pyxxy's most likely partner" bandwagon.

[leetic]

If I had a nickel for every time one of the landlords made an ill-advised bus, I would have two nickels but isn't it strange that it happened twice? Still, it makes me wonder about the possibility of the arbiters trying something similar. Ricochet did bus falcon, but it appears to have been a very reluctant bus, given that they were relatively late on the wagon and tried throwing fire at every one of falcon's voters before the bus. Was Epi's influence just that unavoidable? Still, Ricochet ended on Porscha while falcon was on a vanity wagon on Seanzie, so this only means so much.

[leetic]

Also it's important to note that my phone's touchscreen isn't working properly. This will limit the amount of time that I'll be able to be reliably online, as I'll have to use my laptop.

[leetic]

All three living players voted falcon at EoD3. This means that there had to have been a second busser on the wagon besides Ricochet. A bit odd since if Ricochet and the remaining arbiter voted DM instead, falcon would have been saved. Granted, it would have meant all four arbiters piling on the same wagon.

[leetic]

I was first on the wagon I believe, WWA joined shortly afterward, and Delta was much later (to the point they weren't on the wagon when Ricochet was looking at the falcon voters).

[leetic]

I believe that the falcon wagon used to be even more dominant earlier in the day, for instance, MR was on the wagon before later switching to DM. So I guess I could see why bussing may have seemed a good idea at the time, even if in hindsight it wasn't. Delta was a late joiner, which inherently raises more eyebrows than WWA's vote (especially as two other late joiners, Abby and Ricochet, flipped wolf) but eh. I'm surprised Lemonfairy wasn't bussed at all, the arbiters must have thought they were more valuable or something.

[leetic]

Now I'll probably have to look at WWA, but a 525-post ISO isn't making that easy, plus I can't see Lemonfairy interactions from D1-2. I'll probably bring up my previous analyses

[leetic]

I am curious
to hear the case on Delta
that has been mentioned


Curious that sig
and falcon are both suspects;
had early good vibes

I suspected both sig and falcon in the N0 thread lol
maybe it's time I should do a little backreading but I'd like to hear the cases on them too

Suspects falcon from N0

"Opportunistic"
is such an overused word
never good reason

It's the cheapest and easiest go-to reason for a Wolf to use as (part of) a reason to cast a vote on someone.

Town probably use it sometimes as well, it's an understandable way to feel when you're feeling besieged.

But mostly wolfy.

[VOTE: falcon] aubergine I do not feel like this is opportunistic, since I've made a case on you in the past, and have you in the red zone of my rainbow list.

I use the word more when I'm town, but regardless, I'm happy to join the "opportunism" :P

[VOTE: falcon] aubergine

don't think falcon's doing himself any favors right now.

Surprisingly has like fifty posts after without mentioning falcon, but does vote them when their wagon is starting to pick up momentum. No stated reason beyond vague "don't think falcon's doing himself any favors" and presumed continuity with N0 read

all of the people who claim to be good at reading falcon, dead and alive, think falcon is town

didn't Abbi change her mind?

Finally, some significant Abby interactions! Speaks on Abby's behalf here while refuting part of a falcon defense

Has nobody stopped to consider that scum falcon killing players who SR him is about as subtle as a brick?







Fur reelz, I have way more panache than that

Ugh I hate that I town read this

Unvote

If it's multiball, then the kill may not have come from him.

To be fair, if it's multiball, then Caitlin dying early to nightkill doesn't clear you either.

I've seen wolf!Abbi kill town!Caitlin on N1 in a game before so I'd never clear her off of that
I think Abbi's been ok so far, though, and judging by what I've heard from her progression in the West Facility, she's probably town

Says they would "never clear" Abby based off the nightkill, still I think Abby was more depending on the bus. Otherwise townreads Abby

So I'll work my way from the wagons to others, within my capability.

Wagons

Overall, I'd favor a falcon lynch over a Lemon or Monroe one. Grouping bias is a factor, cuz I've played and judged falcon down in West, whereas I know less on why the other two are wolfread or didn't catch all the details from others' cases.

Between Lemon and Monroe, I'd place Monroe within question marks, both in regards to why they've become a D3 wagon and what they've done in response.

So, falcon > Monroe > Lemon

falcon

West - pyxxy connection: none that could have been established, because they interacted with / mentioned each other a total of zero times
West D1-D2 judgement: ended D2 with a low opinion on him and down on my would-vote list; excluding pyxxy connections I considered (Porscha, Delta), he was the lowest ranked de facto. West gameplay resembled current gameplay: brief intervals of engagement, much of which was spent prodding others (with a degree of randomness, never focused) or reactive-toned defending when voted/wagoned
D3 judgement:
-- pretty much the same, tone and grasp of play have not improved.
-- noted him hitting back in rebuttal form at most of his wagoners (Sloonei's characterisations, calling MRadishes opportunistic, bark back at nutella), plus placing three others (leetic, sig, Abigail) within wolf pairings with no reasoning. so pretty much a kind of "you're all bad" howl.
-- parked defense into two main ideas: that the Western nightkills are a frame and that he is towning like mad and we fail to see it. Former boils down to wifom, as leetic also said; latter is not something I can agree with, based on what I've judged. I've read or remember no strong meta read from others on this gameplay, as it stands, being town!falcon indicative
-- meanwhile, withheld to offer townreads (apart from not wanting to vote LC and Epignosis).
-- of his votes, Abigail and Monroe were/are without discernible cause. Monroe isn't even the counterwagon to self-pres on, at the moment

Monroe
D3 judgement: only 3 posts, of which their essence is an aggro response and vote on Epignosis (for their vote / case on them); other reads (Delta ping, wouldn't wagon Lemon) all vague. It doesn't look great, of course, to drop and omgus upon the very first interaction with a player from the other group. But also not the deepest material to make a solid case out of. Hence the question mark status.

Lemon
D3 judgement: I'd structure 3 phases, thus far, of activity.
-- first phase (posts 1-3) in which she mentioned postponing activity and also a statement on the merger being a sensible disorienting moment. I think some wagoned her starting for as little as this and, without proper context if this would classify as a pattern from wolf!lemon (that I can remember), I felt it was undeserved.
-- second phase (pre legacy post), with a first wave of rebuttals (at nutella and Windward). something about wanting to sit more on it. at worst, could display nerviness in face of pressure.
-- third phase (the legacy post): quite a shift from small bites to extensive reads. rebuttal-wise, argues more than the cases on her are not solid or convincing, then also tiers the wagoners based on individual performance. if this alone (or more of this throughout D3), without suss pressure, would have been Lemon's activity, I'd probably read it well. given suss and wagon pressure, I am missing meta info on whether Lemon would as to go steroids, from feeble to opinionated, as wolf. also, a bit funny to have labeled it as "legacy", as if the lynch is a done deal.

tldr: falcon suss (with no prevailing meta info that he towns this way), Monroe who knows (startled by bad form, but tis all so far), lemon no real ping on her elaborate reply

Falcon hasn't shared any townreads?
@falcon45ca is this true?

And actually, the way Lemon said she expires D3/D4 made it sound more like she might die from a mechanical effect and not just because she might get lunched. I could be reading into it too much, though, and I know she can't confirm or deny it.

Asks falcon to respond to one of Ricochet's arguments. Otherwise, stays parked on falcon

falcon interactions, the Abby stuff is now irrelevant. It's surprisingly not as much of a push as you'd expect, then again the same criticism can be said of some people who flipped town like Epi's push on pyxxy. Bussing at that point would have been weird as it would have gone against the other teammates' apparent strategy, then again maybe the vote is why they were all so reluctant to bus?