The Syndicate

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am**

There’s probably one in aro/wisp

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am**

Millium wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:17 am if Person B is a good player, being wrong at one point, doesn't mean they will stay wrong, and being unlynchable assumes they are either confirmed or a strong player, if we are talking about a static hypothetical

I mean that's specifically why we killed Illario, they weren't playing the hottest, but they had the potential to turn the game around

So like how someone could get better with reads as the game progresses, do you think one could become “more myslyncable” I suppose?

Like essentially this question is asking the underlying thought of what do you value more? (Lynchable slots or more solve)

I agree with player B especially when you consider upside, but I’d also argue player A can be a threat if they are not getting killed and are able to push their solve through and persuade others.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am**

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?

I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am**

staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 amnya

chop all liars

[VOTE: spf] aubergine

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am There’s probably one in aro/wisp

Nice wolfy dichotomy

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am There’s probably one in aro/wisp

I think Wisp is suspicious but every time I think he is suspicious he is innocent.

So you guys figure him out. I'm sure you can do it.

I don't think aro is sus atm.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am**

Care to explain where that came from Illario?

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am**

The correct n1 kill is always dya

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

Who are you leaning town on?

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am There’s probably one in aro/wisp

I was thinking wisp alison

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am There’s probably one in aro/wisp
Nice wolfy dichotomy

Ok, maybe aro is mafia.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am**

the correct answer is that there is always 1 in rondo and seanzie

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

You’ve seen stacked player lists choke really hard though?

Doesn’t the inverse to your logic work as well? The good town players are also good wolves and if u only have light trs on them so far that doesn’t really mean much for the game difficulty?

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:27 am**

I would humbly ask that everytime someone reads me post dya they assume that im pronouncing jt to rhyme with nya

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:27 am**

Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.
Who are you leaning town on?

Spoiler: show

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

You’ve seen stacked player lists choke really hard though?

Doesn’t the inverse to your logic work as well? The good town players are also good wolves and if u only have light trs on them so far that doesn’t really mean much for the game difficulty?

Nah. I've seen good town players struggle as wolf because they can't replicate their sheer aura of townieness that they have as a villager. Or maybe they're just polarized and can only play one align.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am**

Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:22 am There’s probably one in aro/wisp
Nice wolfy dichotomy
Ok, maybe aro is mafia.

Yeah lol that was a wolfy response to me

Fwiw I don’t believe in the dichotomy so much as I think both of you have been pingy. There’s nothing stopping you from being both wolves so in that sense it isn’t a true dichotomy, I just think it would be too easy for that to be true hence why I said probs one in you two

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:27 am
Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.
Who are you leaning town on?

Spoiler: show
Mac, Illario, Wisp

You are leaning town on the person who made what you described as a wolfy dichotomy?

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am**

not to mention he made the original "feels good" comment before ilario even posted

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:29 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am Care to explain where that came from Illario?

vibes + pingy posts

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am**

Illario is literally just a god and tilted aro into both outing that he is mafia and outing that he is tilted that Illario called out both mafia. There for Wisp is also mafia. Nanook is spewed town for saying there's one in Wisp Alison because it would spotlight his partner for no reason. Rondo is the 4th mafia for reasons described above.

Game is solved. Let's go home.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am**

frankly i think the following are all town

aro
alison
nanook
ilario
milly
spf

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am**

MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am not to mention he made the original "feels good" comment before ilario even posted

He also said he had two townreads then listed three, seems an easy assumption that he added illario

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am**

Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am Illario is literally just a god and tilted aro into both outing that he is mafia and outing that he is tilted that Illario called out both mafia. There for Wisp is also mafia. Nanook is spewed town for saying there's one in Wisp Alison because it would spotlight his partner for no reason. Rondo is the 4th mafia for reasons described above.

Game is solved. Let's go home.

the problem with this solve is that aro is actually town

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:31 am**

Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:27 am
Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:25 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.
Who are you leaning town on?

Spoiler: show
Mac, Illario, Wisp

You are leaning town on the person who made what you described as a wolfy dichotomy?

Let me clarify, I mean the dichotomy is "wolf-siding" because I know I am town and I have a light tr on Wisp.

I have Illario lightly town for some of his earlier interjections with u and how he came into the game to start trying to understand your town reads. Demonstrates to me he is already focused on forming that "town core."

Making a "wolfy" dichotamy != player is scummy if that makes sense lol

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:31 am**

MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am frankly i think the following are all town

aro
alison
nanook
ilario
milly
spf

SPF?

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:31 am**

NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am
MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am not to mention he made the original "feels good" comment before ilario even posted
He also said he had two townreads then listed three, seems an easy assumption that he added illario

yeah but then why would he do that in the middle of sussing his ass (says the person making a case against aro while shielding him)

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:32 am**

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:33 am**

MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am frankly i think the following are all town

aro
alison
nanook
ilario
milly
spf

i agree on nook and alison, i forgot who milly is
spf i think u might be making up as a reaction test but i wouldnt be surprised if its right lol

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:33 am**

hello i didn't read anything

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:34 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:33 am
MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am frankly i think the following are all town

aro
alison
nanook
ilario
milly
spf
i agree on nook and alison, i forgot who milly is
spf i think u might be making up as a reaction test but i wouldnt be surprised if its right lol

i have a really really really really bad reason to townread spf but ya know things can serve more than one person

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:35 am**

purpose

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

You’ve seen stacked player lists choke really hard though?

Doesn’t the inverse to your logic work as well? The good town players are also good wolves and if u only have light trs on them so far that doesn’t really mean much for the game difficulty?

Well, I've seen stacked player lists choke, but that doesn't mean the win probability is already high up if that is the case. Thus having high hopes already.

And no actually, not all good town players are necessarily good mafia players. And my point is that with the light tr, it gives me a good feeling that if they are actually town, that this game will be going in the right direction.

I can have a good feeling about something and high hopes even if it ends up becoming a lose.

Let me put it in terms of a sport team. Your team has all-star players and you are projected to win a championship. You have high expections at the beginning of the season and you are feeling good. That's kind of the feeling I have rn.
Obviously, along the way there can be injuries and players are not what they were supposed to be. Like here, my reads could end up being wrong and/or town can end up tunneling each other.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am**

milly is wisp btw

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am**

fivehead read, if aro or ilario is mafia this is theatre

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:33 am
MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am frankly i think the following are all town

aro
alison
nanook
ilario
milly
spf
i agree on nook and alison, i forgot who milly is
spf i think u might be making up as a reaction test but i wouldnt be surprised if its right lol

bruh, milly is the person you are sr alongside with me...

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:38 am**

MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am fivehead read, if aro or ilario is mafia this is theatre

lol, if we were mafia and if you think this is theatre, then you have not experienced good dramas... let me tell you that

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:38 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:38 am
MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am fivehead read, if aro or ilario is mafia this is theatre
lol, if we were mafia and if you think this is theatre, then you have not experienced good dramas... let me tell you that

dumb cringe post u r locktown

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:41 am**

NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am
MacDougall wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:28 am not to mention he made the original "feels good" comment before ilario even posted
He also said he had two townreads then listed three, seems an easy assumption that he added illario

I don't think I said 2 townreads before? I had a couple of them.

Oh... When writing this I realized why you'd think that's 2 lol. I interchange qualifiers/wording like that. (couple/several/few/etc.)

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:41 am**

arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

You’ve seen stacked player lists choke really hard though?

Doesn’t the inverse to your logic work as well? The good town players are also good wolves and if u only have light trs on them so far that doesn’t really mean much for the game difficulty?
Well, I've seen stacked player lists choke, but that doesn't mean the win probability is already high up if that is the case. Thus having high hopes already.

And no actually, not all good town players are necessarily good mafia players. And my point is that with the light tr, it gives me a good feeling that if they are actually town, that this game will be going in the right direction.

I can have a good feeling about something and high hopes even if it ends up becoming a lose.

Let me put it in terms of a sport team. Your team has all-star players and you are projected to win a championship. You have high expections at the beginning of the season and you are feeling good. That's kind of the feeling I have rn.
Obviously, along the way there can be injuries and players are not what they were supposed to be. Like here, my reads could end up being wrong and/or town can end up tunneling each other.

Usually sports teams that are overhyped by signing too many star players end up flopping most the time

The best ones are usually when you have one or two insanely talented players and a bunch of people built to play around them

In your time in fm have you seen any stacked towns win a single game? (I’ve seen it go both ways and ig the only reason I’m pinged is that most invitational/champ games have been wolf stomps in recent times so I’m not sure why you would be optimistic here.. ig in general you are an optimistic person so rn I’m trying to figure out if this is just that or you as a wolf trying to replicate that optimism)

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:42 am**

alison
aro
nanook
milly
spf
ilario

Order of confidence in my current town read, ilario is no longer a townread

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:42 am**

Alison wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:30 am Illario is literally just a god and tilted aro into both outing that he is mafia and outing that he is tilted that Illario called out both mafia. There for Wisp is also mafia. Nanook is spewed town for saying there's one in Wisp Alison because it would spotlight his partner for no reason. Rondo is the 4th mafia for reasons described above.

Game is solved. Let's go home.

Lol... oh Alison.

You would know better than anyone else that as mafia, I love it when I get scum read and you saw this first hand in KoTH in our gc last game.

Also, I don't where you get the impression that I was tilted in our convo.

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:42 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:41 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:36 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:26 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:24 am
ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?
I believe some of the players that have entered the game so far when they are town, are really good and can help win the game.

And so far, I have a couple of leaning tr on some slots that I view as +EV for town if they are actually town. So I feel like the direction of this game will be in good hands.

You’ve seen stacked player lists choke really hard though?

Doesn’t the inverse to your logic work as well? The good town players are also good wolves and if u only have light trs on them so far that doesn’t really mean much for the game difficulty?
Well, I've seen stacked player lists choke, but that doesn't mean the win probability is already high up if that is the case. Thus having high hopes already.

And no actually, not all good town players are necessarily good mafia players. And my point is that with the light tr, it gives me a good feeling that if they are actually town, that this game will be going in the right direction.

I can have a good feeling about something and high hopes even if it ends up becoming a lose.

Let me put it in terms of a sport team. Your team has all-star players and you are projected to win a championship. You have high expections at the beginning of the season and you are feeling good. That's kind of the feeling I have rn.
Obviously, along the way there can be injuries and players are not what they were supposed to be. Like here, my reads could end up being wrong and/or town can end up tunneling each other.
Usually sports teams that are overhyped by signing too many star players end up flopping most the time

The best ones are usually when you have one or two insanely talented players and a bunch of people built to play around them

In your time in fm have you seen any stacked towns win a single game? (I’ve seen it go both ways and ig the only reason I’m pinged is that most invitational/champ games have been wolf stomps in recent times so I’m not sure why you would be optimistic here.. ig in general you are an optimistic person so rn I’m trying to figure out if this is just that or you as a wolf trying to replicate that optimism)

hey wolfy ilario welcome to Anniversary Game 3

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:44 am**

arogame's sanctimonious reaction to suspicion is towny, when aro is mafia and gets suspected he just laughs and continues trying to act townie (mostly successfully)

literally

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:44 am**

anyway we already have one outed mafia and their name is seanzie

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:45 am**

[VOTE: seanzie] aubergine

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:45 am**

ender is probably mafia too

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:46 am**

ilario wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:18 am
arogame123 wrote: ↑Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:06 am Yup yup, I already have a good feeling about this game!

Also, since pikachu has outted already… thank you!

[VOTE: staypositivefriend] aubergine
Why do you have a good feeling already?

What dont you feel good about?

Posted: **Sat Nov 05, 2022 12:46 am**

Wolfiest posters so far =

seanzie
rondo
ender
ilario

pew pew pew pew pew

The Syndicate

Anniversary Game 3 - Cindy Kate Meet Up [GAME OVER - TOWN WIN]

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