Re: Recruitment Mafia IV: Dawn of the Clans (Day 1)
Posted: Fri Aug 21, 2015 7:12 pm
Oh yeah, LoRab: "JJJ" is perfectly fine.
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
I subbed in for baddie BWT in Death & Taxes, and so had to become very familiar with his posts in that game. For me, this current BWT reminds me of being on-meta for his baddie self.Metalmarsh89 wrote:The only game I have played with BWT that stands out in my memory is Monopoly Mafia. He and I were two utilities, and the only two members of our baddie team in that game. I just looked back at that game though, and apparently I misrememberd how BWT behaved in that game, so I will rescind my statement that BWT is acting off-meta.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:A quick scan revealed nothing striking to me, what should I be looking for? The only curious thing I saw was, if I am interpreting correctly, MM stating his unwillingness to vote BWT because BWT is off-meta. That'd be interesting and MM should talk about that.Golden wrote:@JJ - what do you think, specifically, of MM's posts in relation to BWT?
Here is a case that Epignosis made on BWT in that game that got him lynched. It's worth a read if you're interested. I still will not vote for birdwithteeth11 today though.
I'm generally more chaotic, don't have the time for that now.Typhoony wrote:Is DrWilgy always like this?
Oh, and DH had voted elsewher earlier? Fair enough, then, thanks TH!Turnip Head wrote:The monkey said he would vote for the next person to change their vote.timmer wrote:Skimming at work. Before I vote, aapje, could you explain your vote for DH? Scotty's post does seem to smell like bullshit?
Apparently there is no compelling reason.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Is there a compelling reason beyond the potential that he won't ever be on Golden's team?Golden wrote:I think people would have been wise to vote epi, but oh well. Never mind.
LoRab wrote:Even accounting for timing, that list is not at all accurate. The current (or when I pressed the count button) list of lowest posters (ding next to the ones BWT named):birdwithteeth11 wrote:Alright. I've reached a verdict.
First though, I want to go back to the 8 lowest posters:
Boomslang
DFaraday
DrWilgy
LoRab
nutella
TinyBubbles
Tranq
Typhoony
I had narrowed this list down to 3 people last time: DFaraday, DrWilgy, and either Tranq or Typh (I forget now). Tranq and Typh have both contributed during Day 1, so cross them off. DrWilgy made me suspicious with his vote at first, but he offered up a reasonable explanation so he's off the list. Which leaves us with the one person I honestly do not remember posting at all during Day 1 (and didn't last time I checked)...
Votes DFaraday
Sorsha (3)
DF (3) -
Bass (4)
DP (5)
Wiggly (7) -
Russ (8)
LoRab (9) -
Boomslang (9) -
Tiny Bubbles (10) -
Typh (11) -
Tranq (11) -
Devin (11)
Knuk (12)
SD (13)
LA (13) -
Scotty (14)
So...uh...why not all the names. Even if someone has made a few posts since you checked, the lowest portion of the list certainly wouldn't have changed. I think you just earned my vote.
Why? Whats the baddie motive?reywaS wrote:might could beGolden wrote:You and I clearly have a different view of well established. If it was well established, as you say, why would that comment make you ponder anyway? Would it make me bad to have said it?reywaS wrote: you certainly don't think you two will end up on the same side? How can you possibly be certain of this when it has been well established that recruiters do not get to pick that way. The recruiters are not picking names directly and will not know exactly who they are recruiting until it is done. This is the first thing you've said in this game so far that makes me
I don't mean he will permanently not be civ. I mean I do not believe his mindset is one of a civ right now.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:If I was a civilian recruiter I would be very willing to recruit Epignosis.Golden wrote:Exactly. That's why I am saying that voting epi is a perfectly good strategy for me. Because I think he is probably neutral, and even if not he will be bad, not civ.Canucklehead wrote:My best case scenario for today (and luckily, the statistically most likely one) is that we lynch a neutral.
I don't know. But the only way your idea about never being on Epig's team in this game makes any sense is if you are a recruiter. It still doesn't make sense for you to say this, but it's the only way it makes sense for you to think it...that you had some sort of control over the event. I dunno. Why do you keep saying you are so sure you will not be on his team?Golden wrote:Why? Whats the baddie motive?reywaS wrote:might could beGolden wrote:You and I clearly have a different view of well established. If it was well established, as you say, why would that comment make you ponder anyway? Would it make me bad to have said it?reywaS wrote: you certainly don't think you two will end up on the same side? How can you possibly be certain of this when it has been well established that recruiters do not get to pick that way. The recruiters are not picking names directly and will not know exactly who they are recruiting until it is done. This is the first thing you've said in this game so far that makes me
Sure I did. You sounded like you were looking to justify a vote for Unfurl. You brought her up a few times. Other than flirting with the BWT wagon, she was the extent of the baddie hunting you did, yet you proposed to vote for her for, essentially, her lack of baddie hunting. Meanwhile, several people have basically said, "I'm neutral, meh with alienating potential teammates."Bullzeye wrote:SVS hasn't exactly explained her beef with my post, but I'd already decided to give Unfurl the BOTD for now as I couldn't find any other reason to suspect her further than the one initial ping I had. Instead I shall vote for someone who hasn't contributed very much, if anything, to the game so far.
You are telling me that is is 'well established' that recruiters don't have control over the recruits. If that is true, what sense does it make that me being a recruiter would make any odds to my certainty?reywaS wrote:I don't know. But the only way your idea about never being on Epig's team in this game makes any sense is if you are a recruiter. It still doesn't make sense for you to say this, but it's the only way it makes sense for you to think it...that you had some sort of control over the event. I dunno. Why do you keep saying you are so sure you will not be on his team?Golden wrote:Why? Whats the baddie motive?reywaS wrote:might could beGolden wrote:You and I clearly have a different view of well established. If it was well established, as you say, why would that comment make you ponder anyway? Would it make me bad to have said it?reywaS wrote: you certainly don't think you two will end up on the same side? How can you possibly be certain of this when it has been well established that recruiters do not get to pick that way. The recruiters are not picking names directly and will not know exactly who they are recruiting until it is done. This is the first thing you've said in this game so far that makes me
Why not? I didn't vote for him because he was absent on day one. I voted for him because he is a good choice for a baddie recruit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I really think we can do better than defaulting to a vote for a player simply because he hasn't been present on Day 1. I don't like the DFaraday option.
You could always vote Bass to re-instate the tie I just broke? I'm not overly familiar with the case against him though. I don't think you're really being discussed all that much and I think everyone appreciates your circumstances - I can say I'd ruled you out as my low poster vote once you explained the situation. Dunno if it's wise to miss the vote, our lovely benevolent hosts might not take kindly to it!Sorsha wrote:I see my name being mentioned for a vote and that's fine, I know I haven't been posting a lot but I was hoping I'd get the botd since I'm out of state for a funeral. After tomorrow I should be able to participate more.
I really don't feel comfortable voting today. If you guys want I can throw out a random but I'm really not informed as well as I'd like to be to make an informed vote. I don't think it would be fair for me to be a tie breaker either.
Do you think BWT intentially left people off his low-poster list because he either already has BTSC with them/plans to recruit them later? Is this why you voted for BWT?LoRab wrote:EBWOP: Screwed up the ticking off who he had named. I think I started ticking off the ones he didn't name and then changed part way through. It is fixed below.![]()
I don't agree with that, especially not when he has been fielded in discussion as a good choice for a baddie recruit. More importantly, I perceive that as a huge guess and not as meaningful as actual suspicious behavior.Golden wrote:Why not? I didn't vote for him because he was absent on day one. I voted for him because he is a good choice for a baddie recruit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I really think we can do better than defaulting to a vote for a player simply because he hasn't been present on Day 1. I don't like the DFaraday option.
It HAS been established that recruiters don't get to pick a name to recruit every time because of the host post saying as much. That alone should tell you that you can't 100% guarantee that the two of you won't end up on a team. Are you really going to ignore this? You are smarter than that. You know very well that you can't make that guarantee but you continue to pretend like it is a legit perspective.Golden wrote:You are telling me that is is 'well established' that recruiters don't have control over the recruits. If that is true, what sense does it make that me being a recruiter would make any odds to my certainty?reywaS wrote:I don't know. But the only way your idea about never being on Epig's team in this game makes any sense is if you are a recruiter. It still doesn't make sense for you to say this, but it's the only way it makes sense for you to think it...that you had some sort of control over the event. I dunno. Why do you keep saying you are so sure you will not be on his team?Golden wrote:Why? Whats the baddie motive?reywaS wrote:might could beGolden wrote:You and I clearly have a different view of well established. If it was well established, as you say, why would that comment make you ponder anyway? Would it make me bad to have said it?reywaS wrote: you certainly don't think you two will end up on the same side? How can you possibly be certain of this when it has been well established that recruiters do not get to pick that way. The recruiters are not picking names directly and will not know exactly who they are recruiting until it is done. This is the first thing you've said in this game so far that makes me
I'd rather kill a neutral than end the day in a no lynch. We'd learn nothing.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
Well, no one wants to vote epi, who I think has had the most actual suspicious behaviour.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I don't agree with that, especially not when he has been fielded in discussion as a good choice for a baddie recruit. More importantly, I perceive that as a huge guess and not as meaningful as actual suspicious behavior.Golden wrote:Why not? I didn't vote for him because he was absent on day one. I voted for him because he is a good choice for a baddie recruit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I really think we can do better than defaulting to a vote for a player simply because he hasn't been present on Day 1. I don't like the DFaraday option.
There is nothing wrong to be friendly to people, Im not a very agressive player myself, but if I suspect someone of being bad, then I will vote for them even if they are among the people I get along the most overallDrWilgy wrote:Just wondering.
Is there anything wrong with me wanting friends? Nothing more nothing less. Unfurl, I want to be friends with you due to me voting for you so quickly. I'm sorry about that. Players have vouched for you and I may have made a mistake. MM86 and I have played together already, and I can see us becoming good friends as well. That's why I chose them!
What would we learn from a neutral lynch?JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I'd rather kill a neutral than end the day in a no lynch. We'd learn nothing.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
Not counting the posts I've made in the past hour, exactly one of my now 43 posts is about Unfurl. In the other two that mention her, I say I'm undecided and then say that people who know her better than me think what I'm seeing is nothing special.S~V~S wrote:Sure I did. You sounded like you were looking to justify a vote for Unfurl. You brought her up a few times. Other than flirting with the BWT wagon, she was the extent of the baddie hunting you did, yet you proposed to vote for her for, essentially, her lack of baddie hunting. Meanwhile, several people have basically said, "I'm neutral, meh with alienating potential teammates."Bullzeye wrote:SVS hasn't exactly explained her beef with my post, but I'd already decided to give Unfurl the BOTD for now as I couldn't find any other reason to suspect her further than the one initial ping I had. Instead I shall vote for someone who hasn't contributed very much, if anything, to the game so far.
Although not sure if Wilgy really just wants to be friends with Unfurl, or what
That the player was not civilian or baddie. Players involved and not involved could be examined for their involvement and non-involvement. It's not that different from any lynch in a normal game.Typhoony wrote:What would we learn from a neutral lynch?JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I'd rather kill a neutral than end the day in a no lynch. We'd learn nothing.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
Rey - read this conversation back. You are contradicting yourself all over. Why does my original statement make me bad?reywaS wrote:It HAS been established that recruiters don't get to pick a name to recruit every time because of the host post saying as much. That alone should tell you that you can't 100% guarantee that the two of you won't end up on a team. Are you really going to ignore this? You are smarter than that. You know very well that you can't make that guarantee but you continue to pretend like it is a legit perspective.Golden wrote:You are telling me that is is 'well established' that recruiters don't have control over the recruits. If that is true, what sense does it make that me being a recruiter would make any odds to my certainty?reywaS wrote:I don't know. But the only way your idea about never being on Epig's team in this game makes any sense is if you are a recruiter. It still doesn't make sense for you to say this, but it's the only way it makes sense for you to think it...that you had some sort of control over the event. I dunno. Why do you keep saying you are so sure you will not be on his team?Golden wrote:Why? Whats the baddie motive?reywaS wrote:might could beGolden wrote:You and I clearly have a different view of well established. If it was well established, as you say, why would that comment make you ponder anyway? Would it make me bad to have said it?reywaS wrote: you certainly don't think you two will end up on the same side? How can you possibly be certain of this when it has been well established that recruiters do not get to pick that way. The recruiters are not picking names directly and will not know exactly who they are recruiting until it is done. This is the first thing you've said in this game so far that makes me
golden wrote:If it was well established, as you say, why would that comment make you ponder anyway? Would it make me bad to have said it?
So which is it - that it's well established recruiters don't have control over the event....reywaS wrote:the only way it makes sense for you to think it...that you had some sort of control over the event
What do you think of Bass's proposed theory re: MP and llama in his most recent post?Golden wrote:Well, no one wants to vote epi, who I think has had the most actual suspicious behaviour.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I don't agree with that, especially not when he has been fielded in discussion as a good choice for a baddie recruit. More importantly, I perceive that as a huge guess and not as meaningful as actual suspicious behavior.Golden wrote:Why not? I didn't vote for him because he was absent on day one. I voted for him because he is a good choice for a baddie recruit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I really think we can do better than defaulting to a vote for a player simply because he hasn't been present on Day 1. I don't like the DFaraday option.
The other votes are mostly on bass, who I think is exactly the same as DFaraday.
I'm not opposed to a BWT vote.
This.Turnip Head wrote:The monkey said he would vote for the next person to change their vote.timmer wrote:Skimming at work. Before I vote, aapje, could you explain your vote for DH? Scotty's post does seem to smell like bullshit?
S~V~S wrote:I wonder if aapje is going to change his vote to the next person who changes their vote, thus forcing him to self vote?
*hed asplodes*
Bass's theory doesn't register as a ping on bass.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:What do you think of Bass's proposed theory re: MP and llama in his most recent post?Golden wrote:Well, no one wants to vote epi, who I think has had the most actual suspicious behaviour.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I don't agree with that, especially not when he has been fielded in discussion as a good choice for a baddie recruit. More importantly, I perceive that as a huge guess and not as meaningful as actual suspicious behavior.Golden wrote:Why not? I didn't vote for him because he was absent on day one. I voted for him because he is a good choice for a baddie recruit.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I really think we can do better than defaulting to a vote for a player simply because he hasn't been present on Day 1. I don't like the DFaraday option.
The other votes are mostly on bass, who I think is exactly the same as DFaraday.
I'm not opposed to a BWT vote.
I'd lynch BWT before DF.
I'm not sure why the neutral in this case needs to die in order for you to look at people's involvement in his/her lynch though.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: That the player was not civilian or baddie. Players involved and not involved could be examined for their involvement and non-involvement. It's not that different from any lynch in a normal game.
Yeah.. I'm not super worried I just saw a couple lists with my name on them.Bullzeye wrote:You could always vote Bass to re-instate the tie I just broke? I'm not overly familiar with the case against him though. I don't think you're really being discussed all that much and I think everyone appreciates your circumstances - I can say I'd ruled you out as my low poster vote once you explained the situation. Dunno if it's wise to miss the vote, our lovely benevolent hosts might not take kindly to it!Sorsha wrote:I see my name being mentioned for a vote and that's fine, I know I haven't been posting a lot but I was hoping I'd get the botd since I'm out of state for a funeral. After tomorrow I should be able to participate more.
I really don't feel comfortable voting today. If you guys want I can throw out a random but I'm really not informed as well as I'd like to be to make an informed vote. I don't think it would be fair for me to be a tie breaker either.
I agree with thisTyphoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
Essentially, that's my thought. For day 1, it's a strong enough reason. Unless he answers and convinces me otherwise, or something else happens to ping my suspiciometer.Tranq wrote:Do you think BWT intentially left people off his low-poster list because he either already has BTSC with them/plans to recruit them later? Is this why you voted for BWT?LoRab wrote:EBWOP: Screwed up the ticking off who he had named. I think I started ticking off the ones he didn't name and then changed part way through. It is fixed below.![]()
Unless the person is bad, we actually will theoretically learn nothing regardless because of the seemer being a position 1 action--at least the first time, the seemer role (which I had, so I remember it well), was able to show up as they wanted in a check and as they wanted if lynched. It was really quite fun to have--and is a pain to have if you are not on that team, lol. LC could have tweaked the ability for this game, and probably has, but we can't know ot what degree.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I'd rather kill a neutral than end the day in a no lynch. We'd learn nothing.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
I disagree entirely. Carlos should not use her pardon today; that way if someone survives a lynch we'll know it's the baddie recruiter who is immune in Position 1.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
That analysis would probably change if the alignment is non-neutral (primarily if it's a recruiter).Typhoony wrote:I'm not sure why the neutral in this case needs to die in order for you to look at people's involvement in his/her lynch though.
That is a good point.Turnip Head wrote:I disagree entirely. Carlos should not use her pardon today; that way if someone survives a lynch we'll know it's the baddie recruiter who is immune in Position 1.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
What is cob and cubs? Civvies?Russtifinko wrote: He and MP were suggesting we play the game in a way that pretty much guarantees cob defeat IMO. And plenty of baddies have tried to use odd setups as reasons to convince Cubs to work with them. I actually think MP was more militant about it, but I believe that his real life concerns are real, and timmer was all for an "everyone is LMS" game.
A role that "seems" to be another role when lynched. Like say you're a baddie with seemer power and we lynch you, you appear as the bestest but most believable civ when your role is revealed and we all cry a lot thinking we killed someone good.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:What exactly is a "seemer"? I'm unfamiliar with this role/ability.
Turnip Head wrote:I disagree entirely. Carlos should not use her pardon today; that way if someone survives a lynch we'll know it's the baddie recruiter who is immune in Position 1.Typhoony wrote:I'm not really comfortable voting anyone honestly.
And if the vote stays this close, vote manips will have a field day in fucking up the lynch result... so Caelia's lynch pardon might not be a bad idea.
I interpret him as seeing what he thinks is a logical discrepancy in your content and perceiving it to be a sign of insincerity. I don't necessarily agree with him on that front, but I can understand why he'd take that position. What has he said that has suggested to you that he might be jumbling his thought process?Golden wrote:JJ, what do you think of rey's recent posts. They read like he can't keep his thought process straight, to me.