Re: Pikachu Tribe - Day 4
Posted: Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:49 pm
Sorry I missed that, on phone @work.
Sorry I missed that, on phone @work.
yeah, we have over 24 hours, we don't have to choose between two people with votes NOW, well before the poll ends.colonialbob wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:48 pmI don't like this post. Why tunnel in on LC and Nutella when they both just have 1 vote and nobody else has voted yet? I see no good reason to restrict yourself. And then saying you want to lynch the guy who's conveniently not an option, instead of the person you just talked about not being in a good place?speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:17 pm I'd currently lynch Long Con over Nutella, and those are the only two votes on the board.
Why do you want Nutella kicked out of the tribe, DH?
Darn it I wanna vote Dom today.![]()
That first statement was a lead-in to my second statement.colonialbob wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:48 pmI don't like this post. Why tunnel in on LC and Nutella when they both just have 1 vote and nobody else has voted yet? I see no good reason to restrict yourself. And then saying you want to lynch the guy who's conveniently not an option, instead of the person you just talked about not being in a good place?speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:17 pm I'd currently lynch Long Con over Nutella, and those are the only two votes on the board.
Why do you want Nutella kicked out of the tribe, DH?
Darn it I wanna vote Dom today.![]()
Even though it will kick Nutella out of the tribe?DharmaHelper wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:54 pm Oh wait I was confused I thought the lynch (Day 4) ended early and Nutella bit the dust.
My dream said I had to lynch nutella, so I am still committed to that vote.
I mean my dream was obviously trying to tell me something. Nutella being the actual Day 3 lynch makes me wonder if nutella is bad now and it'd be wise to get rid of herspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:58 pmEven though it will kick Nutella out of the tribe?DharmaHelper wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:54 pm Oh wait I was confused I thought the lynch (Day 4) ended early and Nutella bit the dust.
My dream said I had to lynch nutella, so I am still committed to that vote.
My OG question still stands.
DharmaHelper wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 3:01 pmI mean my dream was obviously trying to tell me something. Nutella being the actual Day 3 lynch makes me wonder if nutella is bad now and it'd be wise to get rid of herspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:58 pmEven though it will kick Nutella out of the tribe?DharmaHelper wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:54 pm Oh wait I was confused I thought the lynch (Day 4) ended early and Nutella bit the dust.
My dream said I had to lynch nutella, so I am still committed to that vote.
My OG question still stands.![]()
Or was my dream telling me that the hosts messed up and Nutella should have been lynched Day 3![]()
I didn't dream about voting for anyone else recently so I don't know where my vote would go otherwise![]()
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:19 pmMy counter-argumentspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:17 pm
Perhaps.
With DDL, let's think objectively of the facts for a moment.
DDL is tied with me one day. I am lynched, flip as a doctor.
DDL is lynched the next day. Flips as a vote manipulator.
Vote manipulator is more statistically likely to be scum than doctor, I think. Based on game balance and synergy.
Then the death gets retconned somehow, and a BTSC role dies, leaving DDL with two lives.
BTSC role, as has been discussed, is likely town for mechanical/balance reasons.
...
DDL does not look to be in a good place.
Town in this game (myself included) has been shit all game and scum is blending well.
Well if you tell me the only way we have give more than one vote in a day to any baddie in 3 day phases is if i'm bad, then that's the only possibility, knowing for a fact that I'm not bad.sprityo wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:47 pmDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:19 pmMy counter-argumentspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:17 pm
Perhaps.
With DDL, let's think objectively of the facts for a moment.
DDL is tied with me one day. I am lynched, flip as a doctor.
DDL is lynched the next day. Flips as a vote manipulator.
Vote manipulator is more statistically likely to be scum than doctor, I think. Based on game balance and synergy.
Then the death gets retconned somehow, and a BTSC role dies, leaving DDL with two lives.
BTSC role, as has been discussed, is likely town for mechanical/balance reasons.
...
DDL does not look to be in a good place.
Town in this game (myself included) has been shit all game and scum is blending well.this doesnt sit right with me. for whatever reason. I personally have felt myself not playing as with much vigor as i had in the first day or two, but to say we are all playing subpar is a plausible statement. so to say we as a collective are doing even worse than subpar is untrue. I think we've been playing to the best of the hand we've been given, we are handicapped in terms of what we know and the double lives system really messes with the normal algorithm of hunting. its day 4 and typically in a small setting like this we can for the most part have figured out at least one scum player by now through POE. Even without role powers and infodumping.
So back to what you said DDL, why is town "been playing like shit all game?"
I thought Refrigerator was someone with a sense of humor, who targeted me for the lulz; I felt I was targeted becasue I bitched about the people voluntarily Haiku-ing. I specifically said something like, "if these people keep haiku-ing, how will we know when someone is haikued?" And the next day I was haikued, lol. I thought it was that more than to shut me up. But I could be wrong.sprityo wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:52 pm on different note: we know at least three roles are in play for people who havent died. well 2 at the least since cecil can only be confirmed that he is alive the night prior to dying.
Refrigerator
Cecil
Charlie Pace
i'd like to assume refrigerator cannot target themselves. but that's more an @Golden deal since it isnt specified in the role reveal on the front page.
but if so the targets have been SVS, Cbob, and Epi in that order.
We know that Speedchuck, DDL, and Nutella, are not any of the above three
Charlie Pace is obviously Cbob
Refrigerator must be one of these people, since i know for a fact i am not Refrigerator
Dharmahelper
dom
Long Con
Quin
(again assuming the underlined above)
Why did i spend that time making a hypothetical find for the haiku man? WELL: It could just as easily be used as a saving mechanism for mafia teammates or reduce a town player's influence. But on the flipside, confirming a town player closes more gaps the mafia can fit in as Epi- or was it DH?- put it earlier. (still the Cbob choice is questionable and likely the result of a random toss)
Which would mean, of these people; who couldve forgotten to choose someone Night 1 or alternatively, want to stifle the content of the players in yellow?
So me and nutella are confirmed town? Good to know.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:56 pmWell if you tell me the only way we have give more than one vote in a day to any baddie in 3 day phases is if i'm bad, then that's the only possibility, knowing for a fact that I'm not bad.sprityo wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:47 pmDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:19 pmMy counter-argumentspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:17 pm
Perhaps.
With DDL, let's think objectively of the facts for a moment.
DDL is tied with me one day. I am lynched, flip as a doctor.
DDL is lynched the next day. Flips as a vote manipulator.
Vote manipulator is more statistically likely to be scum than doctor, I think. Based on game balance and synergy.
Then the death gets retconned somehow, and a BTSC role dies, leaving DDL with two lives.
BTSC role, as has been discussed, is likely town for mechanical/balance reasons.
...
DDL does not look to be in a good place.
Town in this game (myself included) has been shit all game and scum is blending well.this doesnt sit right with me. for whatever reason. I personally have felt myself not playing as with much vigor as i had in the first day or two, but to say we are all playing subpar is a plausible statement. so to say we as a collective are doing even worse than subpar is untrue. I think we've been playing to the best of the hand we've been given, we are handicapped in terms of what we know and the double lives system really messes with the normal algorithm of hunting. its day 4 and typically in a small setting like this we can for the most part have figured out at least one scum player by now through POE. Even without role powers and infodumping.
So back to what you said DDL, why is town "been playing like shit all game?"
You may not like the word usage, and maybe I should have said "not being succesful" instead of "playing like shit", but th fact is, if all these people we have built cases on so far are civs, then yeah, we have been playing a very subpar game.
And I'm not about to complain about a setup from a game that's not over, even if the setup may have problems. It's futile since I have a deficit of information.
That was a response to something sprityo said. Not me.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:07 pmSo me and nutella are confirmed town? Good to know.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:56 pmWell if you tell me the only way we have give more than one vote in a day to any baddie in 3 day phases is if i'm bad, then that's the only possibility, knowing for a fact that I'm not bad.sprityo wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 6:47 pmDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:19 pmMy counter-argumentspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:17 pm
Perhaps.
With DDL, let's think objectively of the facts for a moment.
DDL is tied with me one day. I am lynched, flip as a doctor.
DDL is lynched the next day. Flips as a vote manipulator.
Vote manipulator is more statistically likely to be scum than doctor, I think. Based on game balance and synergy.
Then the death gets retconned somehow, and a BTSC role dies, leaving DDL with two lives.
BTSC role, as has been discussed, is likely town for mechanical/balance reasons.
...
DDL does not look to be in a good place.
Town in this game (myself included) has been shit all game and scum is blending well.this doesnt sit right with me. for whatever reason. I personally have felt myself not playing as with much vigor as i had in the first day or two, but to say we are all playing subpar is a plausible statement. so to say we as a collective are doing even worse than subpar is untrue. I think we've been playing to the best of the hand we've been given, we are handicapped in terms of what we know and the double lives system really messes with the normal algorithm of hunting. its day 4 and typically in a small setting like this we can for the most part have figured out at least one scum player by now through POE. Even without role powers and infodumping.
So back to what you said DDL, why is town "been playing like shit all game?"
You may not like the word usage, and maybe I should have said "not being succesful" instead of "playing like shit", but th fact is, if all these people we have built cases on so far are civs, then yeah, we have been playing a very subpar game.
And I'm not about to complain about a setup from a game that's not over, even if the setup may have problems. It's futile since I have a deficit of information.
#TMI #Scumslip
He made a post where he deduced you and Nutella were good and I was bad. Because my role was worse than theirs. The assumption being that the former would influence the later. Which is gambler's fallacy.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:18 pm I'm not being entirely serious because what you said was worded strangely, but what exactly did Sprit say that you were replying to. Where did he "tell you" that we were town, or whatever you're saying he told you?
yeah i was about to say lolspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:38 pm Oh, I get it.
DDL is mistaking my post at the top of that chain for your post, Sprit.
Quin cared less aboutLong Con wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 1:43 amIf you happen to give a damn what I want, one thing on my list is that you explain this. The logic is not apparent to me. Is that intentional? Are you being coy?Epignosis wrote: ↑Sat Mar 03, 2018 9:30 pmQuin wrote: ↑Sat Mar 03, 2018 9:25 pm FTAO Sloonei
I'll make some cliffnotes about some of the key things that have happened so far on our side, just in case you don't get around to reading the whole thing.
Day 1: Everyone who submitted a haiku on their entry PM got lynch immunity for that day. SVS, supported by DH, were in favour of doing a round-robin vote so that there was a higher chance of getting a role to flip for information. sprityo admitted to not submitting which drew a few votes. speedchuck drew a few votes as well, but I don't remember why. I also drew a few votes both for the round-robin and actual suspicion. There was a last minute hot potato on me by Epi and speedchuck who have explained their reasons in their ISO. I submitted so I didn't get lynched. colonailbob is untouchable until he draws the lynch on Day 6.
Day 2: Ended in a tie between DDL and speedchuck. speedchuck lynched as a doctor but we don't know his alignment. sprityo's current role is (maybe) sorted as civ.
Day 3: Wasn't here for a lot of it, but we just lynched DDL, a vote manipulator.
As well as all that, we aren't sure about how the night kills work in this game. We're not learning who you lynch during the day, but we're learning who was killed on your side every night. We haven't had any kills on this side that we know of. If you're getting the same sort of thing, you can take it to your side that there's 2 lynches and 2 night kills.
If there's stuff I missed or didn't think "key" then hopefully others will add stuff.Quin just got shuffled into the good deck.
if you just stop caring about everything you become the ultimate towny
Hey...
But... it's anonymous... so... they wouldn't know they were the btsc partner.Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:04 am Finished nutella read up to Day 2... no indications I could see of otherthread info dips.![]()
This is a good point. Could also be an opportunity for a baddie to BTSC-buddy a Civ, and the role's text - You have BTSC with Proton. You will be sent a chat link for BTSC and must log in as "Electron" - supports that by allowing anonymity.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:52 am Nutella having cross-tribe BTSC actually sounds like a civ role. Why does mafia need it if they already have BTSC (assuming they do)?
Now that I think about it though, nijuu was nightkilled. I don't really see how a Mafia team would choose to kill their own team member's Civ BTSC partner. Then again, misdirects happen, there could be two Mafias, etc![]()
I didn't like that speedchuck did not give a reason for suspecting me, proceeded to back off, and then said I was bad when I didn't think that made him civ.Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:03 pmspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:54 amDo you think we should?I don't know. I'm trying to have a look at Dom's posts to see if he lines up as a possible baddie. So far in my read he has mostly just focused on you, and also that thing I'm not acknowledging. He really hammered hard on you, basically over you putting him on the baddie side of your reads. Some call that OMGUS / No U, but it might be a regular Dom thing as well.
....creating a false dilemma here.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:17 pm I'd currently lynch Long Con over Nutella, and those are the only two votes on the board.
Why do you want Nutella kicked out of the tribe, DH?
Darn it I wanna vote Dom today.
Dom wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:47 amHey...
How do you know what the other tribe's name is?
Did i miss something?
HOLY MOTHER OD GOD DOM U CRACKED THE CASE
I’m curious about what Dom said to LC. I didn’t catch that earlierDom wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 12:47 amHey...
How do you know what the other tribe's name is?
Did i miss something?
But... it's anonymous... so... they wouldn't know they were the btsc partner.Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:04 am Finished nutella read up to Day 2... no indications I could see of otherthread info dips.![]()
This is a good point. Could also be an opportunity for a baddie to BTSC-buddy a Civ, and the role's text - You have BTSC with Proton. You will be sent a chat link for BTSC and must log in as "Electron" - supports that by allowing anonymity.Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 9:52 am Nutella having cross-tribe BTSC actually sounds like a civ role. Why does mafia need it if they already have BTSC (assuming they do)?
Now that I think about it though, nijuu was nightkilled. I don't really see how a Mafia team would choose to kill their own team member's Civ BTSC partner. Then again, misdirects happen, there could be two Mafias, etc![]()
I didn't like that speedchuck did not give a reason for suspecting me, proceeded to back off, and then said I was bad when I didn't think that made him civ.Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 12:03 pmspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 11:54 amDo you think we should?I don't know. I'm trying to have a look at Dom's posts to see if he lines up as a possible baddie. So far in my read he has mostly just focused on you, and also that thing I'm not acknowledging. He really hammered hard on you, basically over you putting him on the baddie side of your reads. Some call that OMGUS / No U, but it might be a regular Dom thing as well.
....creating a false dilemma here.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 2:17 pm I'd currently lynch Long Con over Nutella, and those are the only two votes on the board.
Why do you want Nutella kicked out of the tribe, DH?
Darn it I wanna vote Dom today.
You don't have to pick between Long Con and Nutella.
I... what?speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Mar 05, 2018 7:38 pm Oh, I get it.
DDL is mistaking my post at the top of that chain for your post, Sprit.
Long Con wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:00 am I didn't realize that wasn't public knowledge. Golden and Juliets bounced ideas off me when they were putting together the Champions game, and those are the two tribe names we came up with. I actually thought of it, and they were happy to include it for me as a double entendre (since I was Cerberus before I was Long Con, waaaaay back on Lostpedia.Dark times.
They do sometimes.S~V~S wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 7:05 am It's the kind of thing I could see him doing, LC can be self referential at times, but yeah. Even that, when I think about it, he would probably be more likely to insert the name of a ROLE or team in one of his prior games than his own for that purpose.
I guess I am somewhat reluctant to believe people slip in that way, but they do, don't they?
Golden and juliets bounced ideas together with a player?Long Con wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:00 am I didn't realize that wasn't public knowledge. Golden and Juliets bounced ideas off me when they were putting together the Champions game, and those are the two tribe names we came up with. I actually thought of it, and they were happy to include it for me as a double entendre (since I was Cerberus before I was Long Con, waaaaay back on Lostpedia.Dark times.
I know both of these hosts pretty well. I think both of them have enough of a sense of fair play to clarify that if it were so, especially if you start taking votes. Because it would be very unfair if this were the case.Long Con wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:00 am I didn't realize that wasn't public knowledge. Golden and Juliets bounced ideas off me when they were putting together the Champions game, and those are the two tribe names we came up with. I actually thought of it, and they were happy to include it for me as a double entendre (since I was Cerberus before I was Long Con, waaaaay back on Lostpedia.Dark times.
Smooth cover. But I'm not buying.Long Con wrote: ↑Tue Mar 06, 2018 9:00 am I didn't realize that wasn't public knowledge. Golden and Juliets bounced ideas off me when they were putting together the Champions game, and those are the two tribe names we came up with. I actually thought of it, and they were happy to include it for me as a double entendre (since I was Cerberus before I was Long Con, waaaaay back on Lostpedia.Dark times.