Re: Phenon Mafia: Day 3 - Karma
Posted: Sun Feb 19, 2017 12:56 am
Is this what it feels like to post too much? I have more posts than JaggedJimmyJay.
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
I want you to tell me in three sentences or less why Dizzy is mafia-aligned.Quin wrote:Dizzy and marmot, I mean.
Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
Looks like we've got our opinions of which makes more sense switched up. I see a bus before all else.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:"I have an answer right in front of me which makes sense. I also have an answer in front of me which makes considerably less sense, but under certain conditions it sure would be brilliant."Quin wrote:I don't know what Occam's Razor is.
Occam's Razor is the former (generally it's sensible to favor the simpler explanation). Tinfoil is the latter.
Sorsha stuff. You were a pretty null read prior to today. Lotsa questions but nothing pro or con in my book.Sloonei wrote:Why was I suspicious prior to the marmot vote?Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Do people around here stop caring about progression just because a mafia player got lynched? Is bussing a thing that never happens?JaggedJimmyJay wrote:My face when people still try to lynch Dizzy, who I think would not be near the conversation minus SlipGate:
My face when Sloonei doesn't give a shit about his prior stances and places a vote:
My face when Sloonei's vote helps kill a bad guy:///
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My face when Quin goes straight to Tinfoil Town to the point of self-parody:![]()
My face when Sloonei had the necessary content in his post history to justify a Dizzy vote but instead voted for a confirmed baddie and people act like that's scummy:![]()
My face when Sloonei is a town read:
My face when Jack for some reason cares about which scum teammate nutella assigns to him:
My face when posts like this are in my ISO:
If I read Quin as town and Sloonei as null as of a few pages before the end of yesterday and then Sloonei does a thing that makes me suspect him.
I know I'm town. If you pair me with someone I think is town as w/w suspects, either I or said townie can convince you and I don't have to worry about getting mislynched.
If you pair me with someone I think may be scum as w/w suspects, every scummy thing and an eventual mafia flip from that other guy just increases my chance of getting mislynched.
Saying I was on the wrong side of it isn't a fair statement, because Dys's alignment is still up in the air. I still believe in it, but as I just said, I need to read into it.Sloonei wrote:Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
I'd also still like for you to answer to the obvious questions that come with supporting a case that was directly opposed to the lynch of a scum player in such a contested lynch as yesterday. Let's not forget that you were the one on the wrong side yesterday.
I might. You pushed it very hard yesterday and, in light of metalmarsh's flip, I have to be skeptical.Quin wrote:Saying I was on the wrong side of it isn't a fair statement, because Dys's alignment is still up in the air. I still believe in it, but as I just said, I need to read into it.Sloonei wrote:Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
I'd also still like for you to answer to the obvious questions that come with supporting a case that was directly opposed to the lynch of a scum player in such a contested lynch as yesterday. Let's not forget that you were the one on the wrong side yesterday.
Did you find my Dizzy suspicion disingenuous?
It's ironic, but this is essentially the core of my argument against you. If you're town, it looks like we just have a different opinion on what that means.Sloonei wrote:Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
I'd also still like for you to answer to the obvious questions that come with supporting a case that was directly opposed to the lynch of a scum player in such a contested lynch as yesterday. Let's not forget that you were the one on the wrong side yesterday.
I insist we talk about it the instant this ban is lifted.Quin wrote:It's ironic, but this is essentially the core of my argument against you. If you're town, it looks like we just have a different opinion on what that means.Sloonei wrote:Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
I'd also still like for you to answer to the obvious questions that come with supporting a case that was directly opposed to the lynch of a scum player in such a contested lynch as yesterday. Let's not forget that you were the one on the wrong side yesterday.
We can talk about it later though. I'm banning you from talking to me about this.
Yeah, do it! I sure as hell won't.Sloonei wrote:Marmot interactive reads are critical today. We should all do our homework there.
I thought metalmarsh was town. Then I didn't.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Sorsha stuff. You were a pretty null read prior to today. Lotsa questions but nothing pro or con in my book.Sloonei wrote:Why was I suspicious prior to the marmot vote?
I suspected you a bit based on your "MM is town" post when you voted MM. Suspected you more when you answered my question by accusing me of being scum.
Then or now, I'd rather be paired with Quin cause I think he has a greater chance of being town.
I plan to do some of this work tomorrow evening, stay tuned. Or don't, Toledo sounds important.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Yeah, do it! I sure as hell won't.Sloonei wrote:Marmot interactive reads are critical today. We should all do our homework there.![]()
I did a quick skim of Marmot's post while I could in the night phase and thought Long Con was a standout as questionable (Marmot mentioned him in a couple off-hand ways that didn't lead anywhere or were chummy), and there was at least one waffle on jack that caught my eye. I am about to leave so I can't be bothered to find them. I'd like to see someone else do the work anyway.![]()
Someone should check those out and report back. And check out the rest too. Do all the checking you can muster.
I'll be in Toledo through Monday night. That's Toledo, Ohio. I went to Toledo, Spain last year. I bet Toledo, Spain was a much better Toledo.
Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I dislike DrWilgy because he was a relative inactive Day 1.Dyslexicon wrote:@Marmot - Do you still think it was a legit slip? In which case, you should be voting me I guess? That theory is pretty much totally out of the question and I would've expected you to gain info about that also without looking at the other game. It's also not a matter of reading an entire game, it's one post in that game.
The other thing, alrlight *shrug*
Do you have more reads in this game? I know you're busy, but it would be very helpful to know where your head is at.
I have no read on Elohcin, because there's just no content to judge. I will add a meta caveat, she tends to get more invested in a game when she is mafia. The most invested I've ever seen her was in Series of Unfortunate Events, in which we were mafia teammates.
From the more active participants, I like Golden. I also like Fredwood. I like your posts except for that one post. But I'm going to choose to read you as civilian for now. Nutella I also like.
I don't have much of an impression on the other players.
I had already forgotten that juliets is here now. This is exciting news.Quin wrote:A belated greetings to juliets, please be town.
Ding dong.Sloonei wrote:Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I dislike DrWilgy because he was a relative inactive Day 1.Dyslexicon wrote:@Marmot - Do you still think it was a legit slip? In which case, you should be voting me I guess? That theory is pretty much totally out of the question and I would've expected you to gain info about that also without looking at the other game. It's also not a matter of reading an entire game, it's one post in that game.
The other thing, alrlight *shrug*
Do you have more reads in this game? I know you're busy, but it would be very helpful to know where your head is at.
I have no read on Elohcin, because there's just no content to judge. I will add a meta caveat, she tends to get more invested in a game when she is mafia. The most invested I've ever seen her was in Series of Unfortunate Events, in which we were mafia teammates.
From the more active participants, I like Golden. I also like Fredwood. I like your posts except for that one post. But I'm going to choose to read you as civilian for now. Nutella I also like.
I don't have much of an impression on the other players.
Anyone have thoughts on Golden or Fredwood, or that Eloh waffle right there?
wtf indeed.insertnamehere wrote:dude wtfSloonei wrote:YEAH WELL... uhMetalmarsh89 wrote:Sorry Sloonei, that question was directed towards nutella. I didn't catch that portion of her post until you highlighted it.
Linki: I haven't been around the last 5 hours, so I missed that.
Unvote
Vote Lynch Dizzy
I don't actually want to lynch Sloonei.
is that the believable theory?Quin wrote:Ding dong.Sloonei wrote:Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I dislike DrWilgy because he was a relative inactive Day 1.Dyslexicon wrote:@Marmot - Do you still think it was a legit slip? In which case, you should be voting me I guess? That theory is pretty much totally out of the question and I would've expected you to gain info about that also without looking at the other game. It's also not a matter of reading an entire game, it's one post in that game.
The other thing, alrlight *shrug*
Do you have more reads in this game? I know you're busy, but it would be very helpful to know where your head is at.
I have no read on Elohcin, because there's just no content to judge. I will add a meta caveat, she tends to get more invested in a game when she is mafia. The most invested I've ever seen her was in Series of Unfortunate Events, in which we were mafia teammates.
From the more active participants, I like Golden. I also like Fredwood. I like your posts except for that one post. But I'm going to choose to read you as civilian for now. Nutella I also like.
I don't have much of an impression on the other players.
Anyone have thoughts on Golden or Fredwood, or that Eloh waffle right there?
You're about halfway there.Sloonei wrote:is that the believable theory?Quin wrote:Ding dong.Sloonei wrote:Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I dislike DrWilgy because he was a relative inactive Day 1.Dyslexicon wrote:@Marmot - Do you still think it was a legit slip? In which case, you should be voting me I guess? That theory is pretty much totally out of the question and I would've expected you to gain info about that also without looking at the other game. It's also not a matter of reading an entire game, it's one post in that game.
The other thing, alrlight *shrug*
Do you have more reads in this game? I know you're busy, but it would be very helpful to know where your head is at.
I have no read on Elohcin, because there's just no content to judge. I will add a meta caveat, she tends to get more invested in a game when she is mafia. The most invested I've ever seen her was in Series of Unfortunate Events, in which we were mafia teammates.
From the more active participants, I like Golden. I also like Fredwood. I like your posts except for that one post. But I'm going to choose to read you as civilian for now. Nutella I also like.
I don't have much of an impression on the other players.
Anyone have thoughts on Golden or Fredwood, or that Eloh waffle right there?
Since the one thing we've not discussed yet is the actual reason I decided to vote for metalmarsh: a big part of it, like I said, was Nutella. She seemed very committed to her case against metalmarsh and her posts just oozed authenticity. She was not trying to sell the case, she was just telling us who her suspect was. It felt good to me. Combined with that, metalmarsh himself was just sitting on his hands while the rest of us were scrambling around. He did nothing to help build up the town read I had been developing on him. And then Scotty wasn't going to gain any traction, and I had decided I did not want to vote for Dyslexicon after much consideration. So I was left with metalmarsh, and nutella's conviction was enough to put me over.Quin wrote:You're about halfway there.Sloonei wrote:is that the believable theory?Quin wrote:Ding dong.Sloonei wrote:Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I dislike DrWilgy because he was a relative inactive Day 1.Dyslexicon wrote:@Marmot - Do you still think it was a legit slip? In which case, you should be voting me I guess? That theory is pretty much totally out of the question and I would've expected you to gain info about that also without looking at the other game. It's also not a matter of reading an entire game, it's one post in that game.
The other thing, alrlight *shrug*
Do you have more reads in this game? I know you're busy, but it would be very helpful to know where your head is at.
I have no read on Elohcin, because there's just no content to judge. I will add a meta caveat, she tends to get more invested in a game when she is mafia. The most invested I've ever seen her was in Series of Unfortunate Events, in which we were mafia teammates.
From the more active participants, I like Golden. I also like Fredwood. I like your posts except for that one post. But I'm going to choose to read you as civilian for now. Nutella I also like.
I don't have much of an impression on the other players.
Anyone have thoughts on Golden or Fredwood, or that Eloh waffle right there?
God, I hate this post.speedchuck wrote:Some things have changes since my last rainbow.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I don't understand.speedchuck wrote:What is I think you're all three town ATMinsertnamehere wrote: What about if we just go ahead and lynch Dys, then you can figure out me and Marmot's alignment?
Your last rainbow says otherwise.
If you two are scum (yes you are lumped together), you have GIGANTIC BALLS to be pulling all of this. TBH, I almost think I'm wrong about Dizzy now. Almost. Not quite.
I can hardly keep up with the posts right now.
Scotty is my most confident read too.
SL, I believe you now because of the reveal that you have more vigs. Falsifiable and unbalanced as scum. Good for my read, bad for your survivability. Protectives take note. Wish you hadn't said that.
*waves hand dismissively*Sloonei wrote:vote Jackofhearts for the time being. I need to go do something else. I'll probably continue popping in and out for a couple hours, but I won't be fully here.
What were you doing at the end of the day yesterday? You voted for Scotty and then just kinda stuck around the thread not doing much.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:*waves hand dismissively*Sloonei wrote:vote Jackofhearts for the time being. I need to go do something else. I'll probably continue popping in and out for a couple hours, but I won't be fully here.
3J, what is your opinion on my Dizzy case where I didn't include content about the Sliperoo?JaggedJimmyJay wrote:My face when people still try to lynch Dizzy, who I think would not be near the conversation minus SlipGate:
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I want you to tell me in three sentences or less why Dizzy is mafia-aligned.Quin wrote:Dizzy and marmot, I mean.
insertnamehere wrote:His "slip" gambit failed to produce anything of real value, making it a pointless anti-civilian bit of frippery.Sloonei wrote:What do you think is the single most compelling point against Dyslexicon?
2nd most compelling point: His aggressive pursuit of people with neutral demeanors.
3rd most compelling point: His inconsistent reads on people.
4th most compelling point: His buddying up with percieved civ "power-players" like Golden.
Sloonei wrote:insertnamehere provided a really interesting point as evidence against Dyslexicon at the end of the day. But I took interest in it not as evidence against Dyslexicon at all. Where INH sees Dyslexicon buddying with Golden, I see grounds for suspicion of Golden:If it's accurate that Golden is "assuming" Dyslexicon to be town, it could be because Golden knows Dyslexicon is town and so is not treating them with the same skepticism as everybody else. Scum Golden does not wish to push a fake case against town Dyslexicon and so is content with his town read and is not jumping on the things that all the paranoid townies are jumping on.insertnamehere wrote:Dyslexicon wrote:It's not for how you interact with me (actually thinking about it, I don't think we've interacted much? Hi.), but more so in your analysis of votes and wagons and how people are treating me, it seems like you assume that I'm town. Both with the reactions to my fakeslip and in regards to the wagon on me. I don't know what this means, it's just a feeling I had and I wrote it out.Golden wrote:Not sure exactly what you're seeing or how you mean this, but I tend to act like everyone is town. Even when I suspect someone on one hand, I don't want to ignore their perspective on things on the other, in case I'm wrong. I think I'm much better at figuring out who is town than who is bad, so this also aids my hunting approach.Dyslexicon wrote:Sometimes I feel that Golden acts like I'm confirmed town.
This is something I'd need Dyslexicon to comment on before I can be sure it's a legitimate cause for suspicion. Do you see this as a possibility, Dyslexicon?
This would require the mafia to redirect their own kill.Quin wrote:Something to throw out there is that Nacho might not have been the intended kill given marmots role flip.
I recall Golden mentioning his actual Night 1 target wasn't who he had initially targeted. Was that person Nacho?
I acknowledge it as a possibility, but it doesn't really change my read on either Golden or Dys.Sloonei wrote:bumping this so INH can share his thoughts on it.Sloonei wrote:insertnamehere provided a really interesting point as evidence against Dyslexicon at the end of the day. But I took interest in it not as evidence against Dyslexicon at all. Where INH sees Dyslexicon buddying with Golden, I see grounds for suspicion of Golden:If it's accurate that Golden is "assuming" Dyslexicon to be town, it could be because Golden knows Dyslexicon is town and so is not treating them with the same skepticism as everybody else. Scum Golden does not wish to push a fake case against town Dyslexicon and so is content with his town read and is not jumping on the things that all the paranoid townies are jumping on.insertnamehere wrote:Dyslexicon wrote:It's not for how you interact with me (actually thinking about it, I don't think we've interacted much? Hi.), but more so in your analysis of votes and wagons and how people are treating me, it seems like you assume that I'm town. Both with the reactions to my fakeslip and in regards to the wagon on me. I don't know what this means, it's just a feeling I had and I wrote it out.Golden wrote:Not sure exactly what you're seeing or how you mean this, but I tend to act like everyone is town. Even when I suspect someone on one hand, I don't want to ignore their perspective on things on the other, in case I'm wrong. I think I'm much better at figuring out who is town than who is bad, so this also aids my hunting approach.Dyslexicon wrote:Sometimes I feel that Golden acts like I'm confirmed town.
This is something I'd need Dyslexicon to comment on before I can be sure it's a legitimate cause for suspicion. Do you see this as a possibility, Dyslexicon?
I figured I was missing something.Sloonei wrote:This would require the mafia to redirect their own kill.Quin wrote:Something to throw out there is that Nacho might not have been the intended kill given marmots role flip.
I recall Golden mentioning his actual Night 1 target wasn't who he had initially targeted. Was that person Nacho?
Exactly 15 min before thread lock, after ~4 straight linki refreshes...Sloonei wrote:What were you doing at the end of the day yesterday? You voted for Scotty and then just kinda stuck around the thread not doing much.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:*waves hand dismissively*Sloonei wrote:vote Jackofhearts for the time being. I need to go do something else. I'll probably continue popping in and out for a couple hours, but I won't be fully here.
You could have weighed in more. But I just went back and looked. Your Scotty vote came much closer to the deadline than I remembered it (probably because I chucked like 50 posts into the thread in those 15 minutes. I was remembering it as if you had cast your vote a half hour or so before the day ended, and then say in silence as the rest of us tried to figure stuff out.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Exactly 15 min before thread lock, after ~4 straight linki refreshes...Sloonei wrote:What were you doing at the end of the day yesterday? You voted for Scotty and then just kinda stuck around the thread not doing much.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:*waves hand dismissively*Sloonei wrote:vote Jackofhearts for the time being. I need to go do something else. I'll probably continue popping in and out for a couple hours, but I won't be fully here.
JoH: I read Scotty scum, Diz town and I can't read Marmot or Eloh for crap. If anyone has a good argument, give it now.
Then a few people (you included) switch without providing reasoning at all and the thread is locked.
What was I supposed to do? Nothing happened that could have changed my opinion and there was no time for extra analysis.
Getting annoyed with your framing.
Playing the "I was right, you were wrong, so shut up" card, eh?Sloonei wrote:You could have weighed in more. But I just went back and looked. Your Scotty vote came much closer to the deadline than I remembered it (probably because I chucked like 50 posts into the thread in those 15 minutes. I was remembering it as if you had cast your vote a half hour or so before the day ended, and then say in silence as the rest of us tried to figure stuff out.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Exactly 15 min before thread lock, after ~4 straight linki refreshes...Sloonei wrote:What were you doing at the end of the day yesterday? You voted for Scotty and then just kinda stuck around the thread not doing much.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:*waves hand dismissively*Sloonei wrote:vote Jackofhearts for the time being. I need to go do something else. I'll probably continue popping in and out for a couple hours, but I won't be fully here.
JoH: I read Scotty scum, Diz town and I can't read Marmot or Eloh for crap. If anyone has a good argument, give it now.
Then a few people (you included) switch without providing reasoning at all and the thread is locked.
What was I supposed to do? Nothing happened that could have changed my opinion and there was no time for extra analysis.
Getting annoyed with your framing.
You still are someone who stands out for the simple fact that you are not on the metalmarsh bandwagon. That in itself is not suspicious, but it certainly warrants some attention, wouldn't you say?
And you've also come out swinging against one of the people responsible for lynching the dead scum player yesterday. Do you think we should all just overlook this reality?
Yes. I think there's something to be said there. I won't ever take credit for having metalmarsh pegged or being even remotely confident in my vote at the time. But, in the end, I helped lynch a member of the mafia team, while Jackofhearts (and you) were positioned opposite to the scum lynch. Simple optics says that's bad for you guys.insertnamehere wrote:Playing the "I was right, you were wrong, so shut up" card, eh?Sloonei wrote:You could have weighed in more. But I just went back and looked. Your Scotty vote came much closer to the deadline than I remembered it (probably because I chucked like 50 posts into the thread in those 15 minutes. I was remembering it as if you had cast your vote a half hour or so before the day ended, and then say in silence as the rest of us tried to figure stuff out.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Exactly 15 min before thread lock, after ~4 straight linki refreshes...Sloonei wrote:What were you doing at the end of the day yesterday? You voted for Scotty and then just kinda stuck around the thread not doing much.Jackofhearts2005 wrote:*waves hand dismissively*Sloonei wrote:vote Jackofhearts for the time being. I need to go do something else. I'll probably continue popping in and out for a couple hours, but I won't be fully here.
JoH: I read Scotty scum, Diz town and I can't read Marmot or Eloh for crap. If anyone has a good argument, give it now.
Then a few people (you included) switch without providing reasoning at all and the thread is locked.
What was I supposed to do? Nothing happened that could have changed my opinion and there was no time for extra analysis.
Getting annoyed with your framing.
You still are someone who stands out for the simple fact that you are not on the metalmarsh bandwagon. That in itself is not suspicious, but it certainly warrants some attention, wouldn't you say?
And you've also come out swinging against one of the people responsible for lynching the dead scum player yesterday. Do you think we should all just overlook this reality?
No, you'll just take credit for being the last person to want to lynch metalmarsh, jumping on him literally seconds before the EoD.Sloonei wrote:Yes. I think there's something to be said there. I won't ever take credit for having metalmarsh pegged or being even remotely confident in my vote at the time. But, in the end, I helped lynch a member of the mafia team, while Jackofhearts (and you) were positioned opposite to the scum lynch. Simple optics says that's bad for you guys.
Maybe. But I have some validation here, and from my perspective I have to be wary of all the people who were working the thread toward a non-metalmarsh lynch. That is basic mafia. Do you think my actions at the end of the day were scum-motivatedinsertnamehere wrote:No, you'll just take credit for being the last person to want to lynch metalmarsh, jumping on him literally seconds before the EoD.Sloonei wrote:Yes. I think there's something to be said there. I won't ever take credit for having metalmarsh pegged or being even remotely confident in my vote at the time. But, in the end, I helped lynch a member of the mafia team, while Jackofhearts (and you) were positioned opposite to the scum lynch. Simple optics says that's bad for you guys.
You could see how doing that, and then bringing out the "holier-than-thou" routine can stink to high heaven, right?
^yeah, Quin, honestly I don't get how you don't see this. Have you reread Sloonei's last several posts before the deadline? Because he posts enough in response to my reasons against Marmot to show that he was genuinely changing his mind about him enough to justify his vote. And then he changes his vote, says "balls to the wall" and "call it gut trust in nutella." I don't know what more you wanted from him as justification. That's a legit, genuine, open-minded process of last-minute decision making that I can totally relate to as I'm sure I've been in the same boat as a civ before many times. Flip-flops happen, and sometimes they happen frantically in a nail-biting, lynch-determining way.Sloonei wrote:I do not know what to say to that, other than that Sloonei the person and Sloonei the mafia player aren't the same thing.Quin wrote: It's an interpretation of how I see you as a person. This 'personality read' has a lot to do with my beef against you right now.
I could not have shared all of my thoughts at the deadline yesterday because of time. Typing posts and submitting them takes a lot of time, especially when everyone else is flooding the thread with linkitis. As you have noted, I had ~5 minutes to make a decision and a brain that was overloaded with information. I was processing, but I wasn't posting everything because that would be a) impossible and b) a waste of time. In the end I decided to go with the marmot for reasons that could not have been articulated in the thread by any means.
Yep. Exactly this. JJJ knows what's up.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Of course I care about progression and of course bussing exists. I think the argument being promoted here is ass-backwards though. Sloonei is fielding suspicion because he didn't vote for the wagon more supported in his post history (between Dizzy and Marmot). Is it an effective or sensible time to bus when a different lynch is readily available which can be explained away by one's posts? The only way this makes sense to me is if Dizzy is on Marmot's team and Sloonei's decision didn't matter (and in this scenario suspecting Sloonei requires assembling a two-piece team dynamic right now).Jackofhearts2005 wrote:Do people around here stop caring about progression just because a mafia player got lynched? Is bussing a thing that never happens?
This is another one of those situations where the accusers seem to ignore Occam's Razor entirely and jump straight to the evil mastermind attack. That's not a good look to me.
...Yeah.... part of me really really thinks Quin is bad right now (as you did, I found him highly suspect over the night especially when I looked at his ISO and a few others, and his jump on you really strengthened that suspicion right off the bat), but part of me does read his suspicion of you as genuine and civ-like in its persistence. Idk. But yeah, he definitely has a very net-negative look coming out of that lynch.Sloonei wrote:Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
I'd also still like for you to answer to the obvious questions that come with supporting a case that was directly opposed to the lynch of a scum player in such a contested lynch as yesterday. Let's not forget that you were the one on the wrong side yesterday.
What?? I really don't understand what you could mean about that open mind thing.Quin wrote:It's ironic, but this is essentially the core of my argument against you. If you're town, it looks like we just have a different opinion on what that means.Sloonei wrote:Indeed. And you'll be happy to know that you were my top suspect all throughout the night, but after this whole episode you've climbed up closer to the green side of my rainbow. I feel like you believe your argument against me, and that is fair. I just hope that you'll re-examine my posts from the mindset that I am town and that my strategy always involves keeping a very open mind.Quin wrote:Sloonei, If we understand each other now, I'd rather break from this for a bit. We've taken three pages almost just between the two of us.
I'd also still like for you to answer to the obvious questions that come with supporting a case that was directly opposed to the lynch of a scum player in such a contested lynch as yesterday. Let's not forget that you were the one on the wrong side yesterday.
We can talk about it later though. I'm banning you from talking to me about this.
This lines up with my findings from the other sides of each of those interactions -- I looked through LC's and Jack's ISOs and I think they are likely candidates to be marmot's teamies.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:Yeah, do it! I sure as hell won't.Sloonei wrote:Marmot interactive reads are critical today. We should all do our homework there.![]()
I did a quick skim of Marmot's post while I could in the night phase and thought Long Con was a standout as questionable (Marmot mentioned him in a couple off-hand ways that didn't lead anywhere or were chummy), and there was at least one waffle on jack that caught my eye. I am about to leave so I can't be bothered to find them. I'd like to see someone else do the work anyway.![]()
Someone should check those out and report back. And check out the rest too. Do all the checking you can muster.
I'll be in Toledo through Monday night. That's Toledo, Ohio. I went to Toledo, Spain last year. I bet Toledo, Spain was a much better Toledo.
This is interesting as well. I think Golden and Fredwood are also both possible candidates for marmot teamies. As is Elohcin I guess.Sloonei wrote:Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.Metalmarsh89 wrote:I dislike DrWilgy because he was a relative inactive Day 1.Dyslexicon wrote:@Marmot - Do you still think it was a legit slip? In which case, you should be voting me I guess? That theory is pretty much totally out of the question and I would've expected you to gain info about that also without looking at the other game. It's also not a matter of reading an entire game, it's one post in that game.
The other thing, alrlight *shrug*
Do you have more reads in this game? I know you're busy, but it would be very helpful to know where your head is at.
I have no read on Elohcin, because there's just no content to judge. I will add a meta caveat, she tends to get more invested in a game when she is mafia. The most invested I've ever seen her was in Series of Unfortunate Events, in which we were mafia teammates.
From the more active participants, I like Golden. I also like Fredwood. I like your posts except for that one post. But I'm going to choose to read you as civilian for now. Nutella I also like.
I don't have much of an impression on the other players.
Anyone have thoughts on Golden or Fredwood, or that Eloh waffle right there?
Huh. So that's what you wanted to hear? Again, I don't understand how you didn't see that. I think it was pretty clear in his last few posts before the deadline.Quin wrote:Ding dong.Sloonei wrote: Here's a post where he says some things about a lot of different people. Non-committal on Elohcin. That's a chin-scratcher. Then he likes Golden, Fredwood, Dyslexicon, and nutella. I feel very confident that nutella is town based on yesterday (she was the #1 factor that pushed me to vote for metalmarsh, for the record). I also feel good about Dyslexicon due to yesterday. I have no substantial read on Fredwood, and a vague creeping suspicion of Golden that hasn't gone away for a second since I got here.
Anyone have thoughts on Golden or Fredwood, or that Eloh waffle right there?
Ok I just finished reading through Sloonei's posts up through the lynch and I come out here ^. It also seems to me that it would be stupid and careless to at the last minute bus a teammate after having called him town the whole time. Wouldn't it have made more sense just to stick with a Scotty vote? If Scotty is bad it would have been a believable bus and if he was good Sloonei had already laid plenty of groundwork to justify his belief in the vote. Maybe I will feel differently after ISO'ing Quin and some of the other people doubting Sloonei but at this point I'm sticking with my initial impression that Sloonei was coming from a good place when he made his vote.nutella wrote:^yeah, Quin, honestly I don't get how you don't see this. Have you reread Sloonei's last several posts before the deadline? Because he posts enough in response to my reasons against Marmot to show that he was genuinely changing his mind about him enough to justify his vote. And then he changes his vote, says "balls to the wall" and "call it gut trust in nutella." I don't know what more you wanted from him as justification. That's a legit, genuine, open-minded process of last-minute decision making that I can totally relate to as I'm sure I've been in the same boat as a civ before many times. Flip-flops happen, and sometimes they happen frantically in a nail-biting, lynch-determining way.Sloonei wrote:I do not know what to say to that, other than that Sloonei the person and Sloonei the mafia player aren't the same thing.Quin wrote: It's an interpretation of how I see you as a person. This 'personality read' has a lot to do with my beef against you right now.
I could not have shared all of my thoughts at the deadline yesterday because of time. Typing posts and submitting them takes a lot of time, especially when everyone else is flooding the thread with linkitis. As you have noted, I had ~5 minutes to make a decision and a brain that was overloaded with information. I was processing, but I wasn't posting everything because that would be a) impossible and b) a waste of time. In the end I decided to go with the marmot for reasons that could not have been articulated in the thread by any means.
Yeesh.Sloonei wrote:Quin gave us these very interesting GTH reads shortly before the deadline. Many of these reads should have changed, I think. I'd like to hear his thought process about why I was bad and the marmot was good in particular.Quin wrote:GTH reads after everything that's happened today, with a few exclusions.
Civ:
INH
Marmot
Long Con
Silver
Golden
speedchuck
Scotty
Bad:
3J
JOH
Sloonei
nutella
Dizzy
Fredwood
For sure.Long Con wrote:Hey, just got caught up. I think that looking at people who were non-committal, especially about MM, is the way to go. INH, I think, was way too "not MM" to reasonably be his teammate. It's the people who supported that thought in small ways that I think we'll find a teammate in. Now that I'm reasonably caught up (though I know I have not read a chunk leading up to MM's lynch, in that area anyway), I want to look for those kinds of folks.
I see that Jack of Hearts is thinking other thoughts, putting it on INH. It's an easy thumb to point, but since Silver had outed himself as a vig, it makes him a pretty big target whether you are INH or not.
I see a couple of people are connecting me to MM, so that's lame. Neither of them has quoted what they are seeing, so I'll just leave that ball in their court for now. I'm not MM's teammate, I am Civ.