Re: Fargo Mafia [DAY 1]
Posted: Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:10 pm
Ahhh say less
Ahhh say less
well that's what u get when your reasoning is "idk" for a lot of your actions.
Ahhh say less
Ahhh say less
well that's what u get when your reasoning is "idk" for a lot of your actions.
Well that sounds like a good enough reason to keep me in your PoEJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:10 pm I think KZA's recent play has seemed decent. I want to keep the standards high here so I'm still thinking on that read.
I don't think I am comfortable with BoKnows, and post count doesn't move me much.
Who would you remove out of that list to condense to nine ( to fit your aim) & why?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:08 pmI just asked myself "which 9 do I feel least comfortable calling town?" and ended up with 10:falcon45ca wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:00 pmWho's in your group of 9?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:59 pm This is why I am working with a POE pool of 9 players:
Spoiler: show
AL_sama
BoKnows
Dom
JPIC
KZA
Long Con
Marmot
Michelle
tedxtr
Tony
This reflects most previous lists. Michelle returns after being out briefly just for lack of content. I am presently working through my mental conception of the game to determine if/where any swaps are necessary. Next one in is probably SPF.
high standards seems subjective unless u define it in a way im not thinking ofJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:10 pm I think KZA's recent play has seemed decent. I want to keep the standards high here so I'm still thinking on that read.
I don't think I am comfortable with BoKnows, and post count doesn't move me much.
If I had to do it immediately, Michelle. I have no convincing evidence off-hand or intuitions suggesting ted is a civilian.Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:14 pm Who would you remove out of that list to condense to nine ( to fit your aim) & why?
Why is ted on ur list?
Did u have any thoughts on the read i provided in regards to ted?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:15 pmIf I had to do it immediately, Michelle. I have no convincing evidence off-hand or intuitions suggesting ted is a civilian.Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:14 pm Who would you remove out of that list to condense to nine ( to fit your aim) & why?
Why is ted on ur list?
"quality of post" isn't really what I mean, but rather "actual interpretations of posts that aren't more generous than they should be under the circumstances". I try to avoid snapping from one extreme to another unless I am really moved by something, and I don't feel that yet in this case.tutuu wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:15 pmhigh standards seems subjective unless u define it in a way im not thinking ofJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:10 pm I think KZA's recent play has seemed decent. I want to keep the standards high here so I'm still thinking on that read.
I don't think I am comfortable with BoKnows, and post count doesn't move me much.
i dont think kza playing the way he played is low quality
i dont think making big "analytical" posts is inherently better, at the end i find the only objective meter of success accuracy. if ur accurate and/or people find u as town is what i think the metric for high standard is, how u get there is irrelevant unless its making people really unhappy which i wouldnt attribute to this case
Let me refresh myself.Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:17 pmDid u have any thoughts on the read i provided in regards to ted?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:15 pmIf I had to do it immediately, Michelle. I have no convincing evidence off-hand or intuitions suggesting ted is a civilian.Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:14 pm Who would you remove out of that list to condense to nine ( to fit your aim) & why?
Why is ted on ur list?
I never voted for SPFEsooa wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:04 pm @staypositivefriend
what do you think about the way your earlier voters moved off you
honestly there's way too much random posting rn that's so tangential I can't actually work through it atm and my current opinion is just lynch into them so I'm starting with tsp like mac suggested
plus he's been scummy
Your Mileage May Varyfingersplints wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 11:05 amWhat does “ymmv” mean?NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 2:39 am Jay is definitely try harding, whether you think that's mafia or not...ymmv
I’m around; kid 1 is asleep now so just relaxing before bed.
I'm known for being flippantStrawhenge wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 1:48 pm General notes and observations:
Reads on vote leaders:Spoiler: show
- @Oddmerta is for sure casting scumreads without much backup, if any at all. I'm not sure which JPIC post he says he didn't like, nor am I sure that this post in question is his reason for voting JPIC. That said, I learned early on in my mafia days that lack of elaboration ≠ necessarily being anti-town. I'm interested in what Oddmerta has to say, but I'm not convinced of the scumreads on him yet.
Current (mostly gut) reads (each tier is roughly in order, reasons for the scum-leans are in the notes/observations above)
- @KZA is also a case I can understand, but it's another that I don't really buy. I myself have been very self-defensive in past games as a power-roled town, because I saw myself as valuable. I still don't like KZA's take/vote on tutuu, but everything else reads as pretty earnest.
Alison
JaggedJimmyJay
falcon
MacDougall
Sloonei
tutuu
SPF
Oddmerta
Michelle
fingersplints
Dom
TSP
tedxtr
Long Con
nanook
JPIC
KZA
Esooa
Marmot
BoKnows
Off TopicHold the fuck up. There's a 'siren' button. Did...did I inspire this? If you say yes, I will cry.
Luckyfingersplints wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:26 pmI’m around; kid 1 is asleep now so just relaxing before bed.
This isn't a kind of read where I would want to rely on meta. "What happened between exactly tedxtr and exactly JPIC in other games?" is a bit too specific to be relied on when assessing the present game I think. Still, that doesn't mean you're at the wrong conclusion. Let me pull up ted's treatment of you. I don't remember it well.Justplayingitcool wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 1:28 pm ted - defended me in thread so it could be a bad read by me and he has pocketed me. However, i contrast his two games of his from my memory. In GoC, he tried to take charge and and wasn’t really suspected all game only for mech to out him. In MtG, he was heavily sussed all game and was a misyeet pretty early. I feel like it’s the same here
Well now I'm just gonna keep omgus tunnelingKZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:03 pmNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:47 am Kza overreacted to nothing burger votes on him and went straight to "guess ill die" mode, he's probably mafiaLook if that quote doesn't lock him as Mafia I don't know what to sayfalcon45ca wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:00 pmGet over it, I scum read lots of people.KZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:59 pmwell you scumread me so you should be okay with my suggestionfalcon45ca wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:57 pmCut it out.
We've already got 1 NIK running around, we don't need another one.
What's your take on Nanook? I've got my own thoughts, I'm curious how they line up with yours
excellent it's mutual!NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:29 pmWell now I'm just gonna keep omgus tunnelingKZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:03 pmNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:47 am Kza overreacted to nothing burger votes on him and went straight to "guess ill die" mode, he's probably mafiaLook if that quote doesn't lock him as Mafia I don't know what to sayfalcon45ca wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:00 pmGet over it, I scum read lots of people.KZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:59 pmwell you scumread me so you should be okay with my suggestionfalcon45ca wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:57 pmCut it out.
We've already got 1 NIK running around, we don't need another one.
What's your take on Nanook? I've got my own thoughts, I'm curious how they line up with yours
I really don’t like post count arguments. Especially in a game with high spam content.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:10 pm I think KZA's recent play has seemed decent. I want to keep the standards high here so I'm still thinking on that read.
I don't think I am comfortable with BoKnows, and post count doesn't move me much.
1. I am death tunnelling him
Your read on Oddmerta felt fake. I don't super love pushing new people or people who appear to be easy chops d1 tho.AL_sama wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 2:52 pmcan you expand on this??MacDougall wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:09 amI think Al_sama is probably mafia but they are not who I want to be killing day 1.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 4:07 am [VOTE: AL_sama] aubergine
Just seems like a decent candidate when I stare at my POE. Their reads on tutuu and Oddmerta look a bit cooked.
Scrotal seamKZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
I was in the right ballparkMacDougall wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:36 pmScrotal seamKZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
@NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME what’s his mafia motivation?KZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
HehKZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:36 pmI was in the right ballparkMacDougall wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:36 pmScrotal seamKZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
Thanks, I appreciate it.falcon45ca wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:30 am If you guys wanna see 2 beautiful players talking about themselves and how great they are, please look no further than Mac & JJJ.
They are strikingly handsome, watching their banter is like staring at an Adonis smothered hot, steaming fabulous.
*twitches*JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:37 am My first instinct is that Long Con is doing that incredulous town thing where you dismiss an idea that sounds unlikely on the surface even if it really isn't farfetched. I probably won't take that read anywhere though, because it's tiny and weak. Long Con told me not to force it.![]()
Generally speaking LC is correct. More often than not, particularly early in the game Mafia teammates are compelled to not be voting side by side naked. It's a common enough trope that in the absence of anything overwhelmingly pointing to the contrary it would be ok to view the pair as likely unaligned. I think him reaching for it as a defense in the way he did came off a little pleading for LC. It kinda TMI'd Oddmerta. His pleading was too earnest.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:41 am To be fair I tend to think wagon formations and "wagonomics" and those sorts of things are not nearly as useful as they'd need to be to justify how often they are assessed. I just don't care much about that kind of stuff.
Do you think I give a single fuck about things like "mafia motivation" ??JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:37 pm@NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME what’s his mafia motivation?KZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
This post is usually made by a wolf.fingersplints wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:44 amI still got lots of pages to catch up on, but I’ll definitely try to get to it today because I think I probably have a lot of neutrals still, so looking at the list might help me.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:34 amHowdy splints, would you be willing to throw together a reads list for everyone, or at least name a top 3-5 town and top 3-5 mafia? It would help to frame your current view of business.fingersplints wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:31 amIn the last game we played, Bee Mafia, two mafia voted together for their third mafia member Day 1. This allowed them to win.
I’m not saying this is exactly the same situation, but I definitely am rethinking what “mafia wouldn’t do” after that game.
I’m very slow today. It was a horrible night for me and today has been blah
Why was KZA’s behavior suspicious to youNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:48 pmDo you think I give a single fuck about things like "mafia motivation" ??JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:37 pm@NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME what’s his mafia motivation?KZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
Its a stupid question
Could be. The reason I didn’t do anything with the post you twitched at is it’s not hard to see LC’s comments there as being caught for the wrong reasons. So sureMacDougall wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:48 pmGenerally speaking LC is correct. More often than not, particularly early in the game Mafia teammates are compelled to not be voting side by side naked. It's a common enough trope that in the absence of anything overwhelmingly pointing to the contrary it would be ok to view the pair as likely unaligned. I think him reaching for it as a defense in the way he did came off a little pleading for LC. It kinda TMI'd Oddmerta. His pleading was too earnest.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 10:41 am To be fair I tend to think wagon formations and "wagonomics" and those sorts of things are not nearly as useful as they'd need to be to justify how often they are assessed. I just don't care much about that kind of stuff.
the entire dynamic surrounding me was bizarre - there was a large concentration of pressure/suspicion built primarily off of conjecture, and then the pressure completely evaporated when i gave the slightest pushback. i don't know what to make of it, to be honestEsooa wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:04 pm @staypositivefriend
what do you think about the way your earlier voters moved off you
honestly there's way too much random posting rn that's so tangential I can't actually work through it atm and my current opinion is just lynch into them so I'm starting with tsp like mac suggested
plus he's been scummy
It wasn't really tbh, but I think his response to the barest amount of pressure looked/looks scummyJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:50 pmWhy was KZA’s behavior suspicious to youNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:48 pmDo you think I give a single fuck about things like "mafia motivation" ??JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:37 pm@NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME what’s his mafia motivation?KZA wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:35 pm1. I am death tunnelling him
2. He implies "guess I'll die" is scummy then brushed me off when I asked what my wolf motivation is there
3. He is mafia
4. He's Maf with OddMerta I decided because he randomly spit that post in to the thread after Odd got some votes
5. Mac said that post gave him ball cancer and I believe in Mac at the moment
Its a stupid question
What does this mean?TonyStarkPrime wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 11:12 amNow THERES the syndicate POEJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 3:25 amSpoiler: show
POE pool
KZA
Long Con
Dom
Marmot
Tony
JPIC
BoKnows
Al_Sama
tedxtr
~~~
Which read(s) in the spoiler am I wrong about, gang?
The only read I've expressed RE: oddmerta this game is that he is silly town.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 11:43 am Teamwork is a virtue. Sometimes when someone you think is town is giving confident support to someone else, it's prudent to honor that at least for a time in the absence of truly powerful suspicion. I don't think any point raised against Oddmerta the last couple pages is a convincing one. I don't share Alison's confidence, but for the time being I am willing to respect her read. It's also Sloonei's read and tutuu's read and Mac's read and perhaps Nanook's read I can't remember.
Jay you're Jaying a bit too hard lol. Relax buddeh.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:56 pm At face value KZA’s and Nanook’s suspicion of each other is utterly uninteresting to me.
Right I mean you’re pro-Oddmerta i.e. no voteySloonei wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:57 pmThe only read I've expressed RE: oddmerta this game is that he is silly town.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 11:43 am Teamwork is a virtue. Sometimes when someone you think is town is giving confident support to someone else, it's prudent to honor that at least for a time in the absence of truly powerful suspicion. I don't think any point raised against Oddmerta the last couple pages is a convincing one. I don't share Alison's confidence, but for the time being I am willing to respect her read. It's also Sloonei's read and tutuu's read and Mac's read and perhaps Nanook's read I can't remember.
Outside of the omgus tunnel jokes I do actually think he's >rand mafiaJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Apr 06, 2021 5:56 pm At face value KZA’s and Nanook’s suspicion of each other is utterly uninteresting to me.