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Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:08 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Alternatively if 4 of the 5 players who want to lynch maf today are voting for Jules tonight mafia chooses a counter and builds a case or doesn’t because their strategy is more or less “just sit there”

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:09 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am Owner voting Juliets probably means something.
Town
Or
gg we lose
Lol or sk.

Basically I think it’s Juliets, Sprityo, Michelle.

But you townread Michelle. 🤔

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:10 am
by TonyStarkPrime
I mean I think it’s Jules, sprit, and Dizzy but you townread Dizzy.

are we just guessing here

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:11 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am Owner voting Juliets probably means something.
Town
Or
gg we lose
Today is only one day though. We still have to make it through the rest if we somehow even make it through today.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:12 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Also Buckets theory suggests Owner is scum

just sayin

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:13 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:11 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am Owner voting Juliets probably means something.
Town
Or
gg we lose
Today is only one day though. We still have to make it through the rest if we somehow even make it through today.
hmm let’s analyze the mindframe of this post

scum knows that they all but win with a town lynch here
alternatively town doesn’t care about days that aren’t today

which of those has this as their first thought

SK?

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:13 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:05 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 12:59 am What if we all vote for ourselves
I generally don't self vote, even when I had a negative and could have saved myself by doing it. (Then again, that was my first forum. I was lynched day 1 as the mafia godfather.) I have to have a very good reason to do so.
I’m trying to break the game here I’m desperate

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:14 am
by Jackofhearts2005
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 12:44 am You know who else didn't vote Day 1 aside from Michelle? Jack didn't vote day 1.

Jack's early posts seemed a bit frozen. He wasn't as engaged with the thread. His first few posts were nothing substantial.

--
Day 1 Sloonei asked juliets to share their one town read that she was holding back. I felt that was a town motivation to make sure she's not pretending or skimming bye by just saying something that looks townie on the surface. Sig grouped both Sloonei and Drag as mafia together as one of his reads. Those two things I feel are at least enough to give some credit to Dizzy having a good shot at being town here.
No lie I was way behind in both games and playing Fire Emblem. I choose to catch up in the other game first cause it was light.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:16 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
I think Michelle is not with Julliets.

Epi was putting juliets in the bad pile if timmer was bad, but timmer wasn't bad.

I guess juliets could be the sk here, with how jack is okay to vote that way.

i'm still freaking out if I'm making the right call or not.

Like this hard

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:17 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:10 am I mean I think it’s Jules, sprit, and Dizzy but you townread Dizzy.

are we just guessing here
My Dizzy read is pure metabased.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:18 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:12 am Also Buckets theory suggests Owner is scum

just sayin
Okay so what about Juliets then? :haha:

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:18 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:14 am
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 12:44 am You know who else didn't vote Day 1 aside from Michelle? Jack didn't vote day 1.

Jack's early posts seemed a bit frozen. He wasn't as engaged with the thread. His first few posts were nothing substantial.

--
Day 1 Sloonei asked juliets to share their one town read that she was holding back. I felt that was a town motivation to make sure she's not pretending or skimming bye by just saying something that looks townie on the surface. Sig grouped both Sloonei and Drag as mafia together as one of his reads. Those two things I feel are at least enough to give some credit to Dizzy having a good shot at being town here.
No lie I was way behind in both games and playing Fire Emblem. I choose to catch up in the other game first cause it was light.
mindset analysis here:

If I were townJack the excuse is not “cause it was light” but “cause I was scum”

Jack takes a slight point towards the potential serial killers category I guess

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:19 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:18 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:12 am Also Buckets theory suggests Owner is scum

just sayin
Okay so what about Juliets then? :haha:
least likely I’d say to be the serial killer so probably still scum

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:19 am
by TonyStarkPrime
If Owner is town that means LC picked up a random wagon of three votes, all from townies, and not a single scum latched on

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:20 am
by TonyStarkPrime
that happens I guess if the other wagons are also town

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:20 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
It would be amazing if the team is just juliets, dizzy and michelle.

But I think both dizzy and juliets were voting michelle; then again tony talking about the scum powers thing would mean they (the mafia) could potentially sway the vote if need be if tied.

But michelle derped on the setup. That could be faked though. Dizzy and myself were taking that into account.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:21 am
by TonyStarkPrime
It was an easy to fake setup derp and it’s legitimately possible that if Michelle hasn’t been quite tracking everything that could be lost even if Michelle is scum

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:22 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:13 am
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:11 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am Owner voting Juliets probably means something.
Town
Or
gg we lose
Today is only one day though. We still have to make it through the rest if we somehow even make it through today.
hmm let’s analyze the mindframe of this post

scum knows that they all but win with a town lynch here
alternatively town doesn’t care about days that aren’t today

which of those has this as their first thought

SK?
Gth yeah.

Scum needs one lynch. Push or bus.

Town can play one day at a time. Hope scum outs. Hope kills go their way. But we need a good single lynch.

Sk needs a plan for the rest of the game.

And that thought is why I’m bothering defend myself to Owner. I don’t want to get a knife in my back meant for a wolf.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:23 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:12 am Also Buckets theory suggests Owner is scum

just sayin
What's Bucket's theory?

never heard of it or at least not by that name

I'm guessing it could be something I know or do, but idk.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:23 am
by TonyStarkPrime
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:20 am that happens I guess if the other wagons are also town
but they weren’t ! Sabie was tied ! they always could have lynched LC and seemed just as town as they do now for it

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:23 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:23 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:12 am Also Buckets theory suggests Owner is scum

just sayin
What's Bucket's theory?

never heard of it or at least not by that name

I'm guessing it could be something I know or do, but idk.
It was this stupid thing I did on day 4 I’ll find it for you

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:25 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:18 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:14 am
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 12:44 am You know who else didn't vote Day 1 aside from Michelle? Jack didn't vote day 1.

Jack's early posts seemed a bit frozen. He wasn't as engaged with the thread. His first few posts were nothing substantial.

--
Day 1 Sloonei asked juliets to share their one town read that she was holding back. I felt that was a town motivation to make sure she's not pretending or skimming bye by just saying something that looks townie on the surface. Sig grouped both Sloonei and Drag as mafia together as one of his reads. Those two things I feel are at least enough to give some credit to Dizzy having a good shot at being town here.
No lie I was way behind in both games and playing Fire Emblem. I choose to catch up in the other game first cause it was light.
mindset analysis here:

If I were townJack the excuse is not “cause it was light” but “cause I was scum”

Jack takes a slight point towards the potential serial killers category I guess
If I’m the serial killer, you’re in fucking trouble, mate. :grin:

I didn’t want to admit I care more about scummates than town mates but it’s true. Sprityo and Rej needed me.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:26 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Also if Owner is town that means that scum have had legitimate cases from townies on other townies to jump on almost half a dozen times this game and they haven’t really seemed to jump on any

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:26 am
by Dom
have we considered that it's possible the sk is inactive instead of being blocked?


omg i've been trying to post this for so long

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:27 am
by Jackofhearts2005
We all agree that Sprityo is mafia and aren’t voting there cause wishful modkill thinking right?

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:27 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:26 am Also if Owner is town that means that scum have had legitimate cases from townies on other townies to jump on almost half a dozen times this game and they haven’t really seemed to jump on any
That doesn’t jive with Juliets’s activity level.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:28 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:22 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:13 am
Owner of a Lonely Heart wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:11 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:07 am Owner voting Juliets probably means something.
Town
Or
gg we lose
Today is only one day though. We still have to make it through the rest if we somehow even make it through today.
hmm let’s analyze the mindframe of this post

scum knows that they all but win with a town lynch here
alternatively town doesn’t care about days that aren’t today

which of those has this as their first thought

SK?
Gth yeah.

Scum needs one lynch. Push or bus.

Town can play one day at a time. Hope scum outs. Hope kills go their way. But we need a good single lynch.

Sk needs a plan for the rest of the game.

And that thought is why I’m bothering defend myself to Owner. I don’t want to get a knife in my back meant for a wolf.
I do want to be optimistic, but I'm also being realistic here. Even if we do lynch scum today, us townies (I still don't think that you are town, jack) need to still all come together and lynch correctly each day with whichever of us remain.

I've seen how much scum wins here. I want to break this meta, but I know this is a long road.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:28 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:27 am We all agree that Sprityo is mafia and aren’t voting there cause wishful modkill thinking right?
unless sk

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:29 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Dom wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:26 am have we considered that it's possible the sk is inactive instead of being blocked?


omg i've been trying to post this for so long
yeah I think it’s unlikely but if you consider madness too if SK misses a night, skips a night for madness, and gets blocked once it has the same effect

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:31 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:27 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:26 am Also if Owner is town that means that scum have had legitimate cases from townies on other townies to jump on almost half a dozen times this game and they haven’t really seemed to jump on any
That doesn’t jive with Juliets’s activity level.
(!!)

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:32 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:28 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:27 am We all agree that Sprityo is mafia and aren’t voting there cause wishful modkill thinking right?
unless sk
So that’s a no.

I feel like Sprityo is playing a mafia game. You post once per day to hold on until victory.

You don’t bother to keep from getting modkilled if you won’t bother sending in targets.

Plus sk is a fun role and I think Sprityo tries harder with it. Same with Michelle.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 4)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:33 am
by TonyStarkPrime
juliets wrote: Mon Aug 05, 2019 3:44 pm
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Sun Aug 04, 2019 10:22 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Aug 04, 2019 9:03 pm
Sloonei wrote: Sun Aug 04, 2019 6:35 pm
juliets wrote: Sun Aug 04, 2019 6:18 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Sun Aug 04, 2019 6:07 pm Freddy mechanics would be nice in a game like this.
What are Freddy mechanics?

RIP nova and quin, sad to see you both go.
I think he’s referring to a player from HCRealms, Fredwood. I’m guessing he’s known for mechanical analysis. He’s played a few games here.

Now tell me who you’ll belooking at today, juliets.
Oh that’s not it. I do miss Fred though. We played in the hydra championship on mafiauniverse and that was the least fun game I’ve ever played in my life I’ve never seen so many people go berserk.

Jack can you explain this one
Jackofhearts2005

Really not liking the immediate hop onto LC. His first post today was scummy but I’m of the opinion that it’s easy to read every single death reaction post as scummy if so inclined.
Yeah, I'm kinda trying to decide what to make of Owner and Drago.

I tend to think Drago and Creature both get flack for style and Owner looks kinda townie for the weird stream of consciousness posting.

But LC does not merit 3 votes off his entrance and him getting 3 votes is setting off alarm bells.
I have spent 45 minutes looking for things LC has done that warrant 3 votes. He played chess with Tony in the thread and Owner felt like his RIP was scummy. @Dragomir @Creature and @Owner of a Lonely Heart are there other things LC has done that I missed? I'm hearing those alarm bells that Jack is hearing.
ughhjjjjjjghxbsnqocua

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:34 am
by Jackofhearts2005
I assumed the sk kill didn’t count towards madness but actually that might explain the rarity of double kills.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:34 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Options:

Juliets: defending LC to earn townie badge
Juliets: saying a rational thing

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:34 am
by Dom
or the sk maybe

JESUS WHY WON'T YALL LET ME POST

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:35 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:32 am
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:28 am
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:27 am We all agree that Sprityo is mafia and aren’t voting there cause wishful modkill thinking right?
unless sk
So that’s a no.

I feel like Sprityo is playing a mafia game. You post once per day to hold on until victory.

You don’t bother to keep from getting modkilled if you won’t bother sending in targets.

Plus sk is a fun role and I think Sprityo tries harder with it. Same with Michelle.
I agree

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:36 am
by Dom
I tend to agree as well, but I don't thik it's something we should ignore.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:37 am
by Jackofhearts2005
So like Sprityo has made it this far. He’s probably not gonna really get modkilled.

We should probably lynch him and kick the van down the road on Michelle/Juliets/Dys, right?

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:38 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:37 am So like Sprityo has made it this far. He’s probably not gonna really get modkilled.

We should probably lynch him and kick the van down the road on Michelle/Juliets/Dys, right?
Alt: see if he says anything. If he does, lynch him. If not, don’t worry cause he’s modblocked/killed.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:38 am
by Dom
/owner?

def don't trust her over dys

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:39 am
by Jackofhearts2005
I don’t think Juliets and Owner are teamed.

For what Tony quoted and Owner voting Juliets today.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:39 am
by Jackofhearts2005
The secret to linki is to ignore linki and mash submit

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:40 am
by TonyStarkPrime
Dom wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:38 am /owner?

def don't trust her over dys
current Jack placement is Owner as SK with Dys as the townread of that bunch

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:41 am
by TonyStarkPrime
There’s been surprisingly little vote analysis going on here which is probably because everything sucks

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:42 am
by Dom
i'm not confident on dys or owner at all in any alignment.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:42 am
by Dom
i think the vote analysis looks bad for juliets

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:42 am
by Jackofhearts2005
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:41 am There’s been surprisingly little vote analysis going on here which is probably because everything sucks
Or looking at Sabie posts.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:43 am
by Jackofhearts2005
If Juliets is town, we are just super unlucky.

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:43 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:37 am So like Sprityo has made it this far. He’s probably not gonna really get modkilled.

We should probably lynch him and kick the van down the road on Michelle/Juliets/Dys, right?
Drag got modkilled so I assume we can hope for sprityo too, else *squints townie gets mod killed but the scum one doesn't get mod killed* [insert townie outrage]

Re: Girl Genius (Day 7)

Posted: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:45 am
by Owner of a Lonely Heart
Jackofhearts2005 wrote: Thu Aug 15, 2019 1:43 am If Juliets is town, we are just super unlucky.
If juliets is town, at least one scum is already voting for her.

---
Though I think the world where sprityo is town would be be way more unlucky