Re: Everyone's JOATED: Guillo's Roles (Day 3)
Posted: Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:30 pm
I’m debating if it’s worth using because soup kill exists but basically, I can select a post and if the person is lying they die
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
The town TH I know is usually a lot more active and trying to solve than this I feel like.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:30 pmI don’t feel great about TH in general, but what are you seeing to differentiate town vs mafia TH? I have no context for metalisto95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:20 pmOh I literally do not sheep that at all. I fully believe Nanook is a wolf. My current other quick reads would be:Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:15 pmI mean you’re right there. That sounds like nanook this game.listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:10 pmOkay so let me get this right. His town meta is to pretty much do nothing and just sheep a strong voice? Where I come from that is literally wolf play. If I'm misunderstanding what you say his meta is then I'm sorry. Also let me just explain my unable to give reasons for cases. It is more being unable to find reasons more being unable to articulate why someone has been wolfy.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Genuinely I feel like he has done almost nothing this entire game except sheep voices and give that confusing start to D2 with Michelle.
If you sheep Alison and Mac’s read of town nook meta, what other reads ya got?
Creature - Wolf
Ender - Null (I do agree his spot needs to be resolved to get better D1 reads)
Scotty - Town
Alison - Town
TH - Honestly this does not feel like town TH to me so Wolf Lean
I think as of now those are my strongest reads besides the Nanook wolf.
He used to have a meta of posting like five words a day when he's scum so I'm not going to clear him for apathy.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:08 pmHis apathy just came off as town to me. But I can see it either way. He’s a slanker and can get shot down the line if it comes to it. Would like to see more contributionsAlison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:50 pm What's with your Creature town lean? I had him as town early on for bellyaching about the soup kill but he has contributed next to nothing since then and Mac calling him out was one of the last few posts he made before he got silenced so that read has withered.
Both his scum and town meta involve doing very little and sheeping a strong voice. That is just the way nanook plays, he likes to pick someone who he thinks has good reads and follow them. When he is scum he will select a loud but wrong townie to sheep and allow them to self destruct (in fact he just finished a scum game where he did this to great success), and when he is town he will try to identify people with a high percentage chance of being town and good reads early and just follow them for the rest of the game. In this case I am leaning more towards the town side of that equation because the people he has chosen to attach his banner to are me and Mac, and I don't think we get kidnapped/time looped if we are leading town down the wrong path.listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:10 pmOkay so let me get this right. His town meta is to pretty much do nothing and just sheep a strong voice? Where I come from that is literally wolf play. If I'm misunderstanding what you say his meta is then I'm sorry. Also let me just explain my unable to give reasons for cases. It is more being unable to find reasons more being unable to articulate why someone has been wolfy.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Genuinely I feel like he has done almost nothing this entire game except sheep voices and give that confusing start to D2 with Michelle.
I'm saying if nanook is town he is probably town, not that he is town for tunnelling nanook.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:11 pmHis reads early on melded with mine and is the main reason I was tRing him.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Simultaneously, I don’t town read him much for having a constant tunnel on nook. That’s pretty easy to fake as mafia.
Like I've said before I've seen the dude do much more in a 50 person game...I don't get what's going on with him that he's done nothing for 2 days with lesser people. He's floated through the air with whatever the game winds have taken him.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:37 pmHe used to have a meta of posting like five words a day when he's scum so I'm not going to clear him for apathy.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:08 pmHis apathy just came off as town to me. But I can see it either way. He’s a slanker and can get shot down the line if it comes to it. Would like to see more contributionsAlison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:50 pm What's with your Creature town lean? I had him as town early on for bellyaching about the soup kill but he has contributed next to nothing since then and Mac calling him out was one of the last few posts he made before he got silenced so that read has withered.
I now use to have a meta of posting like five words a day when I'm extremely busy and can't find time and motivation to engage anywhere.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:37 pmHe used to have a meta of posting like five words a day when he's scum so I'm not going to clear him for apathy.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:08 pmHis apathy just came off as town to me. But I can see it either way. He’s a slanker and can get shot down the line if it comes to it. Would like to see more contributionsAlison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:50 pm What's with your Creature town lean? I had him as town early on for bellyaching about the soup kill but he has contributed next to nothing since then and Mac calling him out was one of the last few posts he made before he got silenced so that read has withered.
And I think a good question to ask in response to this here in a what if scenario. What if Nanook flips wolf? What does that do to your read of me?Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:40 pmI'm saying if nanook is town he is probably town, not that he is town for tunnelling nanook.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:11 pmHis reads early on melded with mine and is the main reason I was tRing him.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Simultaneously, I don’t town read him much for having a constant tunnel on nook. That’s pretty easy to fake as mafia.
If nanook is wolf I would kinda suspect you of being his partner because you seem very sure that nanook is wolf based on a gut read (= TMI) but have expressed your read in a way that (self-admittedly) makes it hard to get other people on board (= distancing from a partner you don't actually want dead).listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:43 pmAnd I think a good question to ask in response to this here in a what if scenario. What if Nanook flips wolf? What does that do to your read of me?Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:40 pmI'm saying if nanook is town he is probably town, not that he is town for tunnelling nanook.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:11 pmHis reads early on melded with mine and is the main reason I was tRing him.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Simultaneously, I don’t town read him much for having a constant tunnel on nook. That’s pretty easy to fake as mafia.
It is time's like this I wish people here knew my wolf vs town meta -.-Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:45 pmIf nanook is wolf I would kinda suspect you of being his partner because you seem very sure that nanook is wolf based on a gut read (= TMI) but have expressed your read in a way that (self-admittedly) makes it hard to get other people on board (= distancing from a partner you don't actually want dead).listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:43 pmAnd I think a good question to ask in response to this here in a what if scenario. What if Nanook flips wolf? What does that do to your read of me?Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:40 pmI'm saying if nanook is town he is probably town, not that he is town for tunnelling nanook.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:11 pmHis reads early on melded with mine and is the main reason I was tRing him.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Simultaneously, I don’t town read him much for having a constant tunnel on nook. That’s pretty easy to fake as mafia.
I am mostly town leaning you now and believe in a T/T world way more than that world though.
It’s statements like this that make me want to grind my teeth when it comes to the topic of metas.listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:53 pmIt is time's like this I wish people here knew my wolf vs town meta -.-Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:45 pmIf nanook is wolf I would kinda suspect you of being his partner because you seem very sure that nanook is wolf based on a gut read (= TMI) but have expressed your read in a way that (self-admittedly) makes it hard to get other people on board (= distancing from a partner you don't actually want dead).listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:43 pmAnd I think a good question to ask in response to this here in a what if scenario. What if Nanook flips wolf? What does that do to your read of me?Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:40 pmI'm saying if nanook is town he is probably town, not that he is town for tunnelling nanook.Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:11 pmHis reads early on melded with mine and is the main reason I was tRing him.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:53 pm If listo was scum I'd expect his read on nanook to be TMI, not an attempt to misexe a townie. This is especially true given the self-deprecating "ah I'm really bad at giving logical reasons for my cases all I have is gut" which is very poor if you're trying to get other players to vote an innocent townie but very effective if you want to distance from your partner without risking real momentum against them. So if nanook is town then I think the chances of listo being town actually increase.
Simultaneously, I don’t town read him much for having a constant tunnel on nook. That’s pretty easy to fake as mafia.
I am mostly town leaning you now and believe in a T/T world way more than that world though.
1 thing I guess I can say is I become convinced by my reads even if it comes from a gut feel. As in I will need either his flip or something that proves my feeling wrong to take him out of wolf. Honestly even if this is his town meta I see 0 town from him which would make this even worse.
NANOOKTHEGREATCHAMBERMAIDNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:37 pm I'm pretty lackluster this game but I don't think I really need to do much driving yet cause I'm pretty sure mac and Alison are both town, when they're presumably dead in a couple days ill pick it up if the game isn't just solved already
I was told when I used my ability I would have to wait until I'd used all other abilities before I could use the first again. That implies Kidnapper pops up earliest on N4.
Or maybe Mac, you, and me were aggressively pinging people to participate?Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 12:01 pm3) Ender has to go. Three wagons at D1 were mansnicks/HK/Ender, and two of those have flipped town. The ferocity and volume of vote movement suggests that scum cared which of them died. Ender has done nothing really unfakeable as scum other than write a few walls and I suspect his D1 wagon may have been entirely clear.
Nothing weird in my realm.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:53 pmI was told when I used my ability I would have to wait until I'd used all other abilities before I could use the first again. That implies Kidnapper pops up earliest on N4.
Also let me know if anything weird happened to you.
Sheeping people with better reads is just good playScotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:41 pmNANOOKTHEGREATCHAMBERMAIDNANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:37 pm I'm pretty lackluster this game but I don't think I really need to do much driving yet cause I'm pretty sure mac and Alison are both town, when they're presumably dead in a couple days ill pick it up if the game isn't just solved already
I used an ability on you that literally says "Does something random".Scotty wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:58 pmNothing weird in my realm.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 9:53 pmI was told when I used my ability I would have to wait until I'd used all other abilities before I could use the first again. That implies Kidnapper pops up earliest on N4.
Also let me know if anything weird happened to you.
Why?
He did stay inside Creature meta.
Interesting that you are sure it's by mafia.
Why GG over Scotty? Or is that just following a wagon?Lime Coke wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:40 pm Honey dying might have pointed out to me something that was mentioned earlier. She scumread both Garden Gnome and Scotty, and I feel like if she was killed over certain others that's the reason why and I need to carry out what she was doing before she died.
[VOTE: Garden Gnome] aubergine
Wow, wonder if I was trying to call out Mafia all day yesterday but kept getting ignored.Alison wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 7:50 pm What's with your Creature town lean? I had him as town early on for bellyaching about the soup kill but he has contributed next to nothing since then and Mac calling him out was one of the last few posts he made before he got silenced so that read has withered.
"Strongest reads"listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:20 pm
Oh I literally do not sheep that at all. I fully believe Nanook is a wolf. My current other quick reads would be:
Creature - Wolf
Ender - Null (I do agree his spot needs to be resolved to get better D1 reads)
Scotty - Town
Alison - Town
TH - Honestly this does not feel like town TH to me so Wolf Lean
I think as of now those are my strongest reads besides the Nanook wolf.
That portion was less for the null and more for the fact that you do need to be resolved for the most info gain imo.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 10:15 pm"Strongest reads"listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:20 pm
Oh I literally do not sheep that at all. I fully believe Nanook is a wolf. My current other quick reads would be:
Creature - Wolf
Ender - Null (I do agree his spot needs to be resolved to get better D1 reads)
Scotty - Town
Alison - Town
TH - Honestly this does not feel like town TH to me so Wolf Lean
I think as of now those are my strongest reads besides the Nanook wolf.
"Null"
Alright.
Why? Because you can't read my posts so you need to POE me?listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 10:16 pmThat portion was less for the null and more for the fact that you do need to be resolved for the most info gain imo.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 10:15 pm"Strongest reads"listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:20 pm
Oh I literally do not sheep that at all. I fully believe Nanook is a wolf. My current other quick reads would be:
Creature - Wolf
Ender - Null (I do agree his spot needs to be resolved to get better D1 reads)
Scotty - Town
Alison - Town
TH - Honestly this does not feel like town TH to me so Wolf Lean
I think as of now those are my strongest reads besides the Nanook wolf.
"Null"
Alright.
Well that and I do truly believe you will give a lot of info with your elimination.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 10:18 pmWhy? Because you can't read my posts so you need to POE me?listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 10:16 pmThat portion was less for the null and more for the fact that you do need to be resolved for the most info gain imo.EnderWiggin wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 10:15 pm"Strongest reads"listo95 wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 8:20 pm
Oh I literally do not sheep that at all. I fully believe Nanook is a wolf. My current other quick reads would be:
Creature - Wolf
Ender - Null (I do agree his spot needs to be resolved to get better D1 reads)
Scotty - Town
Alison - Town
TH - Honestly this does not feel like town TH to me so Wolf Lean
I think as of now those are my strongest reads besides the Nanook wolf.
"Null"
Alright.
you posted this four times.MacDougall wrote: ↑Sun Jul 18, 2021 6:03 pm as opposed to just leaving her alive and letting her push the same reads for me?
[VOTE: Garden Gnome] aubergine