Re: [Night 4] GY!BE Mafia
Posted: Mon Dec 12, 2016 8:52 pm
I do notice that locations that win each vote have been disappearing from the polls
Has either Timmer or BWT replied to this? I might have missed it in the flurry of activitytriceratopzeuhl wrote:It doesn't follow logically at all to think that I would have to be mafia to have info on JJJ (if you are assuming that). There are 2 known info-gathering civvies and 6 civvies with secrets. There are 0 known info-gathering mafia members and 2 with secrets.birdwithteeth11 wrote: Maybe timmer made a good point. Maybe your reasoning on JJJ is the way it is because your pegging him as the SK means you know he is that role. And if that is true, then that makes me worried about you.
Has anyone considered any underlying importance about this? Spit balling; there are a lot of secret roles that these polls could have an impact on.triceratopzeuhl wrote:I do notice that locations that win each vote have been disappearing from the polls
I didn't realize you interpreted it as such. It was not my intention to be rude.triceratopzeuhl wrote:What are historical odds of civvies VS mafia having a lynch protect power?
I mean, you even linked it in your own reply to me?Dom wrote:Trice, what exactly did I start days ago?
This is 100% as curt/rude as anything I've said to you (and also you immediately ignored my correction to this patently wrong post in favour of looking for more GOTCHA! moments which was the reason I originally started suspecting you)Dom wrote: OK
But that isn't his current posting. Why are you still deeming him useless?
I thought the combination of the word "Nah" and saying there was "also" something afoot meant you were disagreeing with me, my bad, I realize now the Nah was in response to "are there any other theories"birdwithteeth11 wrote:I said that given what Rule 4 said, that there was something else going on we aren't publicly aware of. I reiterated it with adding in that it happened after a coin was flipped. How did I disagree with you, trice?
not a clue.Quin wrote:Has anyone considered any underlying importance about this? Spit balling; there are a lot of secret roles that these polls could have an impact on.triceratopzeuhl wrote:I do notice that locations that win each vote have been disappearing from the polls
I can't remember if I did or not. I am leaning towards no.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Has either Timmer or BWT replied to this? I might have missed it in the flurry of activitytriceratopzeuhl wrote:It doesn't follow logically at all to think that I would have to be mafia to have info on JJJ (if you are assuming that). There are 2 known info-gathering civvies and 6 civvies with secrets. There are 0 known info-gathering mafia members and 2 with secrets.birdwithteeth11 wrote: Maybe timmer made a good point. Maybe your reasoning on JJJ is the way it is because your pegging him as the SK means you know he is that role. And if that is true, then that makes me worried about you.
I missed it completely. I am going to start from scratch on the both of you tonight!triceratopzeuhl wrote:Has either Timmer or BWT replied to this? I might have missed it in the flurry of activitytriceratopzeuhl wrote:It doesn't follow logically at all to think that I would have to be mafia to have info on JJJ (if you are assuming that). There are 2 known info-gathering civvies and 6 civvies with secrets. There are 0 known info-gathering mafia members and 2 with secrets.birdwithteeth11 wrote: Maybe timmer made a good point. Maybe your reasoning on JJJ is the way it is because your pegging him as the SK means you know he is that role. And if that is true, then that makes me worried about you.
You said I was still criticizing epignosis for something I hadn't criticized him for in a long time at that point, because he stopped doing it. What part of that wasn't wrong?Dom wrote: Also, what I said was not patently "wrong", and I invite others to look into this. I didn't follow up because it became clear to me that you aren't interested in conversation, only dictation.
You never showed me where I had said that since day 1, because I never had. Which is why you never once answered this post.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Show me where I've said that since day 1Dom wrote:OKtriceratopzeuhl wrote:At the time I voted for him, this was 100% of his posts:Dom wrote: go through each of epi's posts and show me the useless ones.
The third one could potentially be interpreted as him saying he doesn't like MP's POE strategy, and the last one is saying he thinks BWT is good. The rest? compostSpoiler: show
But that isn't his current posting. Why are you still deeming him useless?
triceratopzeuhl wrote: At the time I voted for him,
Exactly how many bad players do you think there are in this game?triceratopzeuhl wrote:So far 2 bad players have voted for me, and the other two haven't been in the thread since I made my casenothing to do but wait it out
I can haz funeral attendance?Metalmarsh89 wrote:I would also invite Boomslang, Dom, Epignosis, Sloonei, and timmer to the funeral.
The invitations will not be extended to JaggedJimmyJay, trice.
Others may or may not be permitted. I'm still stricken with grief.
This makes a big assumption about how both the SK and the Mafia are strategizing their kill. I wonder if you actually know how one of those 2 chose their target.triceratopzeuhl wrote:MP, the important part is that vompatti was moya
triceratopzeuhl wrote: List of other people Golden voiced suspicions of within a day or two of his death: A Person, Dom, Lorab, MM, Sig
List of people Sloonei voiced suspicions of before getting silenced by Sleep: Lorab, Scotty, Dom, INH, DrWilgytriceratopzeuhl wrote: List of people dom has defended or said he thinks are good: Timmer, JJJ, Scotty, BWT, Boomslang, MP, epi
He also defended BWT from JJJ accusations, so you can cross the latter off that list (you can anyway since he's SK not mafia).
Of the above he also leveled accusations of varying degrees at BWT, boomslang and MP on different occasions
Cross referencing with the other two lists I posted, Dom, Lorab, and scotty are the only ones who appear more than onceAfter I die this is the info the remaining civs need to capitalize ontriceratopzeuhl wrote:Confident civ: the late Golden, Sloonei, you, meMovingPictures07 wrote:Hey BWT, are you able to produce some summarized/quick reads for me (whether rainbow or not)? I'm curious where your head is at right now.
Linki: Same question to Trice.
tentative/probably civ: epignosis, Timmer, MM, sig
Mafia 1: was vompatti
Mafia 2: Dom
Serial Killer: JJJ
Iffy shortlist for Mafia 3: Lorab, scotty, BWT, boomslang
(more info needed): ninja blooper
Also, this last post, coupled with the one before it totally read like the set up for a player who has a seemer role (or at least an aspect of their role that is a seemer).triceratopzeuhl wrote:if poll trickery kills me anyway, and I don't have the opportunity, somebody please check voting patterns of my mafia 3 shortlist, as posted earlier
I have been civ reading scotty most of the game but he could just be a good liar... he's one of the 3 people who appear multiple times in my lead lists
Wait...how do you know how often the SK kills? I didn't see that in the roles.triceratopzeuhl wrote:beats me, I can't read your mindJaggedJimmyJay wrote:Quick question, trice:triceratopzeuhl wrote:5. town trice v. serial killer JJJ
You've said repeatedly today that I'm the SK, and you've also repeatedly questioned the sincerity of my reads (suggesting I am deliberately misrepresenting or OMGUSing or what have you). If I am specifically the SK and not mafia, I don't know who the bad guys are and thus have the ability to provide real scum hunting effort. What is the motive to fake my reads in this scenario you've painted?
even if you can provide scum hunting effort, you also have another night kill tonight, unless we have another secret role blocker (hint hint if we do there's a foolproof way to prove JJJ is the sk, just saying)
We can assume Vomps is bad because Sleep made the kill, not because no one posted. Sleep killed last night, therefore Sleep could not silence anyone last night. But because Sleep killed, we can assume that Moya is no longer in the game.birdwithteeth11 wrote:Actually, that reminds me. Can we pretty much confirm that Vomps is bad now? Because unless I'm mistaken, everyone posted during this phase.timmer wrote:And has Sloonei been around? They are the only vote missing.
Thank you! It was driving me crazy that people were talking about the SK without talking about what could have triggered the SK. Any other thoughts on this from anyone?Quin wrote:By the looks of it, Alfothad may have been triggered to begin killing either Night 2 (just because of the mass role block) or Night 3. Motherfucker=Redeemer could very well have been responsible given role descriptions. If that's you, I'd look back at those you checked for both your BTSC connections and your living checks before Night 3.
Yes, yes I think you deserve it.LoRab wrote:Before I respond to anything else, a word of ambiguous thanks. If you don't know what I'm talking about, please don't ask--I will not elaborate.
And, no information from the lynch, without knowing who won (or, I guess lost) the coin toss, and therefore which had some sort of power which enabled them to survive the lynch. So, I'm looking forward to another round of the same, personally. I don't know about anyone else.
Exactly how many bad players do you think there are in this game?triceratopzeuhl wrote:So far 2 bad players have voted for me, and the other two haven't been in the thread since I made my casenothing to do but wait it out
I can haz funeral attendance?Metalmarsh89 wrote:I would also invite Boomslang, Dom, Epignosis, Sloonei, and timmer to the funeral.
The invitations will not be extended to JaggedJimmyJay, trice.
Others may or may not be permitted. I'm still stricken with grief.
What is baddie-minded info?birdwithteeth11 wrote:I can't remember if I did or not. I am leaning towards no.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Has either Timmer or BWT replied to this? I might have missed it in the flurry of activitytriceratopzeuhl wrote:It doesn't follow logically at all to think that I would have to be mafia to have info on JJJ (if you are assuming that). There are 2 known info-gathering civvies and 6 civvies with secrets. There are 0 known info-gathering mafia members and 2 with secrets.birdwithteeth11 wrote: Maybe timmer made a good point. Maybe your reasoning on JJJ is the way it is because your pegging him as the SK means you know he is that role. And if that is true, then that makes me worried about you.
At the time, I thought you felt so strongly about JJJ because you had info on him, and I did not think it was civilian-minded info. Honestly, given the lynch result, I'm not sure my feelings have changed much yet.
That being said, that's also the same reason MM is still my primary suspect.
I didn't know I was arguing that.triceratopzeuhl wrote:You said I was still criticizing epignosis for something I hadn't criticized him for in a long time at that point, because he stopped doing it. What part of that wasn't wrong?Dom wrote: Also, what I said was not patently "wrong", and I invite others to look into this. I didn't follow up because it became clear to me that you aren't interested in conversation, only dictation.
You never showed me where I had said that since day 1, because I never had. Which is why you never once answered this post.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Show me where I've said that since day 1Dom wrote:OKtriceratopzeuhl wrote:At the time I voted for him, this was 100% of his posts:Dom wrote: go through each of epi's posts and show me the useless ones.
The third one could potentially be interpreted as him saying he doesn't like MP's POE strategy, and the last one is saying he thinks BWT is good. The rest? compostSpoiler: show
But that isn't his current posting. Why are you still deeming him useless?
triceratopzeuhl wrote: At the time I voted for him,
Trice, why are you so sure here that mafia has the insanifier ability?triceratopzeuhl wrote:Sig: rico was brought over from progarchives (not a mafia website) a few years ago by MP, same as me, epignosis, BWT, and A Person
Golden targeted by mafia twice in 3 nights, seems they didn't like what he's been saying. Recent noteworthy posts from Golden:I could see him being NK'd once as a possible misdirect kill, but both mafia and SK trying to kill him implies they were uncomfortable with his readsSpoiler: show
Also as per my earlier theory, if one of the insanifiers is civ then that player at least thinks JJJ is bad. I wonder if the role also has an info-getting element? As me and MP have both said this game, civ insanifier use could be reckless if you end up removing teammates' ability to communicate
<3Metalmarsh89 wrote:Yes, yes I think you deserve it.LoRab wrote:Before I respond to anything else, a word of ambiguous thanks. If you don't know what I'm talking about, please don't ask--I will not elaborate.
And, no information from the lynch, without knowing who won (or, I guess lost) the coin toss, and therefore which had some sort of power which enabled them to survive the lynch. So, I'm looking forward to another round of the same, personally. I don't know about anyone else.
Exactly how many bad players do you think there are in this game?triceratopzeuhl wrote:So far 2 bad players have voted for me, and the other two haven't been in the thread since I made my casenothing to do but wait it out
I can haz funeral attendance?Metalmarsh89 wrote:I would also invite Boomslang, Dom, Epignosis, Sloonei, and timmer to the funeral.
The invitations will not be extended to JaggedJimmyJay, trice.
Others may or may not be permitted. I'm still stricken with grief.
Thank you for your care!
Why wouldn't the mafia have that ability? On a mafia of only 3 there is often a survives the first attempt on one's life kind of thing on one of the roles.Metalmarsh89 wrote:At this point, I'm willing to accept that trice is civilian and Jay is bad.
I doubt the mafia would have the ability to survive a lynch. Also, Jay is a clever person who I think would target me on Night 3.
Good point.LoRab wrote:Why wouldn't the mafia have that ability? On a mafia of only 3 there is often a survives the first attempt on one's life kind of thing on one of the roles.Metalmarsh89 wrote:At this point, I'm willing to accept that trice is civilian and Jay is bad.
I doubt the mafia would have the ability to survive a lynch. Also, Jay is a clever person who I think would target me on Night 3.
Also, didn't you argue in the post before this about certainty of insanifiers being necessarily bad? How does this make jjj bad?
I is confused.
You just might be onto something.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Night 1, Vompatti was killed by an unknown cause. The most likely cause (based on Sleep making the most recent kill) is that he was Moya and the kill rebounded. It is also possible another player has an ability to "borrow" a power from another player, and Vompatti's kill on himself.
Night 3, it appears that more players were cursed than Night 1. Again, this points to the potential that somebody out there can "borrow" a power. This is compounded by the fact that LoRab's curse was a oft-used one on the Syndicate (run your text through an insanifier), so the power-borrower didn't get to choose it (Rico chose a simple one).
He pointed out at T-1.5 hours a reason he didn't vote for me. He eventually voted for me, because of posts like this:birdwithteeth11 wrote:Keep reading. It's why I didn't vote for MM.MovingPictures07 wrote:Tentatively I'd still consider MM, but I'm in pure catchup and then re-assess mode right now.
BWT had just gave trice his vote with fairly strong conviction. He then gives trice the chance to talk himself out of lynch, and me into a lynch. That's taking advantage of trice's situation.birdwithteeth11 wrote:Like I stated before, if you can give me a good enough reason to vote MM, then I would be willing to move my vote there.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Even if you lynch me today, remaining civvies can still easily win if they listen to me. I'm sort of resigned to the fact that I die every game I ever play (it's why all my victories are as mafia or indy, being alive isn't typically a win condition for them) and even if you don't lynch me, Dom or JJJ will nightkill me before the game is over.
Or a good enough reason to vote for anyone other than you at all. I have time to go back and re-read stuff right now.
This is by far the most compelling thing you've said all game. I'm mulling over it.Metalmarsh89 wrote:BWT seemed far too eager to play a big part in this EoD without committing one way or the other (another reason I'm starting to think that trice is civ).
He pointed out at T-1.5 hours a reason he didn't vote for me. He eventually voted for me, because of posts like this:birdwithteeth11 wrote:Keep reading. It's why I didn't vote for MM.MovingPictures07 wrote:Tentatively I'd still consider MM, but I'm in pure catchup and then re-assess mode right now.
BWT had just gave trice his vote with fairly strong conviction. He then gives trice the chance to talk himself out of lynch, and me into a lynch. That's taking advantage of trice's situation.birdwithteeth11 wrote:Like I stated before, if you can give me a good enough reason to vote MM, then I would be willing to move my vote there.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Even if you lynch me today, remaining civvies can still easily win if they listen to me. I'm sort of resigned to the fact that I die every game I ever play (it's why all my victories are as mafia or indy, being alive isn't typically a win condition for them) and even if you don't lynch me, Dom or JJJ will nightkill me before the game is over.
Or a good enough reason to vote for anyone other than you at all. I have time to go back and re-read stuff right now.
Trice never even gave a reason to vote for me, except that I might have faked a curse or something. Yet, bwt changed his vote to me because timmer did. I see this as buddying with timmer, because bwt had just stated why he hadn't voted for me.
Let's chat now!MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm tired of lynching civilians. Between this game and Lost Again, I'm feeling emotionally taxed.
I'll see what ISO digging I can do tomorrow.
We can talk now, sure, but my brain hurts, I'm pissed at lynching townies in two games, and I'm uninformed, but yeah, OK.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Let's chat now!MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm tired of lynching civilians. Between this game and Lost Again, I'm feeling emotionally taxed.
I'll see what ISO digging I can do tomorrow.
Talk to me about nijuu. She made a single post during EoD, and that was a drive-by vote of me.
The circumstances would suggest it, but I still know nothing.MovingPictures07 wrote:MM, at some point earlier in the game you seemed a bit more resigned to being lynched. Today either you or trice survived the lynch. Would you fault me for finding it more plausible that you are the player that survived?
If the curser role is civilian, I'd go with slight civilian. Otherwise, slight mafia. She made 3 posts in her catchup. Her first one was a vote and a warning that she would be playing catchup. Her second took the time to comment on the number of cursed players, and her third is below.MovingPictures07 wrote:We can talk now, sure, but my brain hurts, I'm pissed at lynching townies in two games, and I'm uninformed, but yeah, OK.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Let's chat now!MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm tired of lynching civilians. Between this game and Lost Again, I'm feeling emotionally taxed.
I'll see what ISO digging I can do tomorrow.
Talk to me about nijuu. She made a single post during EoD, and that was a drive-by vote of me.![]()
I'm not sure what to think of her. GTH I'd lean slight mafia. What do you think of her?
Obviously she trusts Boomslang for one reason or another (I'll go with another).nijuukyugou wrote:ARGHHHH so I'm all for lynching either MM or trice now, the latter a lot for this (among other reasons read, although not as compelling and beautifully tinfoil-y):
Whoa. Nice catch! I refuse to ignore stuff that stands out like that, and this smells so bad. I see the other reasons (as far as I can tell) are for general snark and not doing much baddie hunting. Similar to MM, except I feel more strongly about MM from the last time I voted because of those reasons. My only reservation is the sudden train catching on for MM (like a possible save?), but...I think, because I'm starving and do have that stronger conviction towards MM at the moment (and he appears to have a convenient curse/"curse" on him), I'll go that way today.Boomslang wrote:Fun fact: Lorab only started posting in "sad" and "sadness" acronyms after Trice used the Donald Trump syntax.
I have no idea if that means anything, but it's just funky enough that it tickles my brain.triceratopzeuhl wrote:Crooked Epignosis thinks he can keep throwing whoppers after a civvie insanified him, sad!
Linki w/MP: And my half-baked theory is that Trice triggered Lorab's curse with that post.
Linki w/MP2: Uh, starting a lynch this late? Do you really not believe in either of the big trains going right now, or are you conveniently copping out of culpability?
Linki w/Scotty: DAMMIT I TYPE SLOW
Linki - DAMN YOU AND ALL OF YOUR LINKI
It's funny what a second (or third chance) at life will do to a marmot.MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm starting to think you're genuine, MM. Am I a fool?
I'm starting to, as well. I think I did MM wrong on this day.MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm starting to think you're genuine, MM. Am I a fool?
My gut tells me that it involved a third party, tbh. Trice absolutely did not post like someone who knew he was safe, he was frantic, and oddly enough I feel like MM didn't act right either because he would have been looser than he was. He actually seemed to be hamstrung in retrospect.MovingPictures07 wrote:MM, at some point earlier in the game you seemed a bit more resigned to being lynched. Today either you or trice survived the lynch. Would you fault me for finding it more plausible that you are the player that survived?
I guess it's possible a civvie insanified Golden but I don't think anybody thought he was bad so I don't get why one would. Sometimes it really is the most obvious answer.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Trice, why are you so sure here that mafia has the insanifier ability?
I agree they likely do, but this statement has more certainty.
I didn't know I was arguing that.Dom wrote: You never showed me where I had said that since day 1, because I never had. Which is why you never once answered this post.
This is still what I believe regarding the cursestriceratopzeuhl wrote:I'm pretty sure when roles are finally revealed at the end of the game, Mladic will be rather complication mechanics for cursing people and I don't really know what to think on it. FWIW I didn't even realize Lorab was supposed to be cursed, but if he (she? sorry don't know) is, it's similar in nature to Marmot's (contrast this with random capslocks letters like JJJ/epi) and to Golden's curse earlier in the game. Leads me to believe that if there are 3 curses today, marmot and lorab both come from same source as Golden before, and epi comes from same source as JJJ did, and it's 2 separate sources.timmer wrote:Trice, we seem to have 3 people posting in some form of curse. Do you think all 3 are legit? If not, which do you think is lying, and why?
I think it was three, but I have been asking for more scrutiny on nju. I actually posted about this earlier, as well as the points you made on BWT--- trying to get people to talk about it. To no avail.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Let's chat now!MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm tired of lynching civilians. Between this game and Lost Again, I'm feeling emotionally taxed.
I'll see what ISO digging I can do tomorrow.
Talk to me about nijuu. She made a single post during EoD, and that was a drive-by vote of me.
I agree. Which is hwy I voted trice, in part. I also don't trust him at all.timmer wrote:I'm starting to, as well. I think I did MM wrong on this day.MovingPictures07 wrote:I'm starting to think you're genuine, MM. Am I a fool?
I would love to know what else "Why are you still deeming him useless?" could possibly mean in the context[/quote]triceratopzeuhl wrote:I guess it's possible a civvie insanified Golden but I don't think anybody thought he was bad so I don't get why one would. Sometimes it really is the most obvious answer.Metalmarsh89 wrote: Trice, why are you so sure here that mafia has the insanifier ability?
I agree they likely do, but this statement has more certainty.
I didn't know I was arguing that.Dom wrote: You never showed me where I had said that since day 1, because I never had. Which is why you never once answered this post.
To clarify: You believe that all of the curses come from one role/player and not from multiple sources?triceratopzeuhl wrote:This is still what I believe regarding the cursestriceratopzeuhl wrote:I'm pretty sure when roles are finally revealed at the end of the game, Mladic will be rather complication mechanics for cursing people and I don't really know what to think on it. FWIW I didn't even realize Lorab was supposed to be cursed, but if he (she? sorry don't know) is, it's similar in nature to Marmot's (contrast this with random capslocks letters like JJJ/epi) and to Golden's curse earlier in the game. Leads me to believe that if there are 3 curses today, marmot and lorab both come from same source as Golden before, and epi comes from same source as JJJ did, and it's 2 separate sources.timmer wrote:Trice, we seem to have 3 people posting in some form of curse. Do you think all 3 are legit? If not, which do you think is lying, and why?
Yours seems a little different.LoRab wrote:To clarify: You believe that all of the curses come from one role/player and not from multiple sources?triceratopzeuhl wrote:This is still what I believe regarding the cursestriceratopzeuhl wrote:I'm pretty sure when roles are finally revealed at the end of the game, Mladic will be rather complication mechanics for cursing people and I don't really know what to think on it. FWIW I didn't even realize Lorab was supposed to be cursed, but if he (she? sorry don't know) is, it's similar in nature to Marmot's (contrast this with random capslocks letters like JJJ/epi) and to Golden's curse earlier in the game. Leads me to believe that if there are 3 curses today, marmot and lorab both come from same source as Golden before, and epi comes from same source as JJJ did, and it's 2 separate sources.timmer wrote:Trice, we seem to have 3 people posting in some form of curse. Do you think all 3 are legit? If not, which do you think is lying, and why?
It seems odd to me, though, that 1 player would be able to target 2 different players at a time, though. His post also confuses me. But I might just be really tired.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Yours seems a little different.LoRab wrote:To clarify: You believe that all of the curses come from one role/player and not from multiple sources?triceratopzeuhl wrote:This is still what I believe regarding the cursestriceratopzeuhl wrote:I'm pretty sure when roles are finally revealed at the end of the game, Mladic will be rather complication mechanics for cursing people and I don't really know what to think on it. FWIW I didn't even realize Lorab was supposed to be cursed, but if he (she? sorry don't know) is, it's similar in nature to Marmot's (contrast this with random capslocks letters like JJJ/epi) and to Golden's curse earlier in the game. Leads me to believe that if there are 3 curses today, marmot and lorab both come from same source as Golden before, and epi comes from same source as JJJ did, and it's 2 separate sources.timmer wrote:Trice, we seem to have 3 people posting in some form of curse. Do you think all 3 are legit? If not, which do you think is lying, and why?
But I'd bet the other 4 do come from the same source. Golden, Jay, Epignosis, and myself have been targeted so far. Aside from Sockface (who's in a league of his own), that includes the three highest posters in the thread, plus Epignosis. There's a pattern here.
2 people seemed to be cursed in some way day 2. 3 people seemed to be cursed in some way day 3. I think.Quin wrote:How many people were insanified each day? The number of people they're able to target might be increasing periodically.