Re: X-Men [Night 9]
Posted: Sun May 04, 2014 7:10 pm
T-minus 20 minutes and counting.
They provide The Danger Room with critical information that may or may not be used against you.Havok wrote:Since our awesome host was willing to be helpful with the night poll....
Epignosis: What is the significance of the Danger Room IDs?
Any ideas on where to start it then? There don't seem to be many role-related reasons to survive a lynch. Did Shaw win any of the night polls? I don't recall.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:We did not! Great discussion to have, imo.
I don't trust Shaw one bit. He refuses to contribute to the game and does not participate in any discussions about anyone-- unless that discussion is about himself. I don't know why he survived, but I know that no one is clamoring on him for being apocalypse.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:We did not! Great discussion to have, imo.
Hawkeye did survive a night kill and he was the Sentinels. So there is an example of somebody surviving without a known cause.Spiral wrote:I don't trust Shaw one bit. He refuses to contribute to the game and does not participate in any discussions about anyone-- unless that discussion is about himself. I don't know why he survived, but I know that no one is clamoring on him for being apocalypse.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:We did not! Great discussion to have, imo.
In addition, White Queen, I am sure that the secrets must have a lynch stop in there. That would tend towards civvie. I am feeling a bit lost. :/
The Sentinels do have secrets, but I do not feel good about Mr. Shaw. Nor do I feel good about Deadpool.Polaris wrote:Hawkeye did survive a night kill and he was the Sentinels. So there is an example of somebody surviving without a known cause.Spiral wrote:I don't trust Shaw one bit. He refuses to contribute to the game and does not participate in any discussions about anyone-- unless that discussion is about himself. I don't know why he survived, but I know that no one is clamoring on him for being apocalypse.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:We did not! Great discussion to have, imo.
In addition, White Queen, I am sure that the secrets must have a lynch stop in there. That would tend towards civvie. I am feeling a bit lost. :/
Shaw is votable, so idk what this means.White Queen wrote:There is a civ reason, and an Apocalypse reason. But then there are the same two reasons for surviving an NK, and we have had four (I think, that was where I stopped counting) NK survivors. So non role related stuff is happening.
But if I recall, the day after his survival, he was not votable (Off the poll? Silenced?) and we moved on.
He won't because there isn't one to be made, tbh.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Shaw is votable, so idk what this means.White Queen wrote:There is a civ reason, and an Apocalypse reason. But then there are the same two reasons for surviving an NK, and we have had four (I think, that was where I stopped counting) NK survivors. So non role related stuff is happening.
But if I recall, the day after his survival, he was not votable (Off the poll? Silenced?) and we moved on.
The Sentinels do have secrets, like Spiral said. I personally think Shaw is almost assuredly civ. Sure, he's been unhelpful, and he's clearly one of the "avant-garde" mafia players, as I've heard them referred to, but the way the lynch post read to me and the survival itself jive with the civ explanation. I will absolutely not vote Shaw today, and I'll be kinda suspicious of people who do. That's just me, though.
I do think Deadpool could be bad, but I'm still undecided on him. I do really still wanna hear his case on Spiral, so I hope he actually posts one.
No Marrow's came up on the previous phase, but I think that was the first one from a dead player. And Epi did provide us with a very vague clue.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Oh! And I know we all still don't know what Danger Room IDs do, but does anyone think it's weird that a deadie got one? And is this the first time that's happened?
Epignosis wrote:They provide The Danger Room with critical information that may or may not be used against you.Havok wrote:Since our awesome host was willing to be helpful with the night poll....
Epignosis: What is the significance of the Danger Room IDs?
You don't want to end up on Mikhail's suspect list, so you're defaulting to me as a suspect?Spiral wrote:He won't because there isn't one to be made, tbh.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Shaw is votable, so idk what this means.White Queen wrote:There is a civ reason, and an Apocalypse reason. But then there are the same two reasons for surviving an NK, and we have had four (I think, that was where I stopped counting) NK survivors. So non role related stuff is happening.
But if I recall, the day after his survival, he was not votable (Off the poll? Silenced?) and we moved on.
The Sentinels do have secrets, like Spiral said. I personally think Shaw is almost assuredly civ. Sure, he's been unhelpful, and he's clearly one of the "avant-garde" mafia players, as I've heard them referred to, but the way the lynch post read to me and the survival itself jive with the civ explanation. I will absolutely not vote Shaw today, and I'll be kinda suspicious of people who do. That's just me, though.
I do think Deadpool could be bad, but I'm still undecided on him. I do really still wanna hear his case on Spiral, so I hope he actually posts one.
Then, I am at a loss. In the past I have suspected Polaris?
If you're just joking, then I'm not going to lynch you.Spiral wrote:I don't trust Shaw one bit. He refuses to contribute to the game and does not participate in any discussions about anyone-- unless that discussion is about himself. I don't know why he survived, but I know that no one is clamoring on him for being apocalypse.
No?Polaris wrote:You don't want to end up on Mikhail's suspect list, so you're defaulting to me as a suspect?Spiral wrote:He won't because there isn't one to be made, tbh.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Shaw is votable, so idk what this means.White Queen wrote:There is a civ reason, and an Apocalypse reason. But then there are the same two reasons for surviving an NK, and we have had four (I think, that was where I stopped counting) NK survivors. So non role related stuff is happening.
But if I recall, the day after his survival, he was not votable (Off the poll? Silenced?) and we moved on.
The Sentinels do have secrets, like Spiral said. I personally think Shaw is almost assuredly civ. Sure, he's been unhelpful, and he's clearly one of the "avant-garde" mafia players, as I've heard them referred to, but the way the lynch post read to me and the survival itself jive with the civ explanation. I will absolutely not vote Shaw today, and I'll be kinda suspicious of people who do. That's just me, though.
I do think Deadpool could be bad, but I'm still undecided on him. I do really still wanna hear his case on Spiral, so I hope he actually posts one.
Then, I am at a loss. In the past I have suspected Polaris?
80% kididing.Sebastian Shaw wrote:I'm sorry for missing the last vote. It was my mistake. I went to my brother's birthday party.![]()
If you're just joking, then I'm not going to lynch you.Spiral wrote:I don't trust Shaw one bit. He refuses to contribute to the game and does not participate in any discussions about anyone-- unless that discussion is about himself. I don't know why he survived, but I know that no one is clamoring on him for being apocalypse.![]()
I'm going to wait till tomorrow to vote.
Really? Is this based on anything over than the lynch survival?Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Shaw is votable, so idk what this means.White Queen wrote:There is a civ reason, and an Apocalypse reason. But then there are the same two reasons for surviving an NK, and we have had four (I think, that was where I stopped counting) NK survivors. So non role related stuff is happening.
But if I recall, the day after his survival, he was not votable (Off the poll? Silenced?) and we moved on.
The Sentinels do have secrets, like Spiral said. I personally think Shaw is almost assuredly civ. Sure, he's been unhelpful, and he's clearly one of the "avant-garde" mafia players, as I've heard them referred to, but the way the lynch post read to me and the survival itself jive with the civ explanation. I will absolutely not vote Shaw today, and I'll be kinda suspicious of people who do. That's just me, though.
I do think Deadpool could be bad, but I'm still undecided on him. I do really still wanna hear his case on Spiral, so I hope he actually posts one.
it does seem strange, but it's hard to know if it means anything without knowing what they mean in general :0Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Oh! And I know we all still don't know what Danger Room IDs do, but does anyone think it's weird that a deadie got one? And is this the first time that's happened?
Why?Spiral wrote:I am placing a vote on Polaris for now. I do not want to miss the poll. It seems like no one wants to talk today.
It seems like we're at a standstill today. Mikhail thinks Shaw is good and doesn't want people voting for him. I can understand the explanation he offered (which you should check out too), but I still don't like what Shaw has to offer.Longshot wrote:Hi all, I'm now in a place with internet and just skimmed over the last couple of posts where people were talking about Shaw and Polaris. I need to go back and find the place where I left off and at least skim through the posts that I missed. Is there anything in particular I should be looking for or anything in particular I should pay very careful attention to?
Lynch survival and NK survival are two different things. I'm not sure we're all on the same page here.White Queen wrote:Once again, Rasputin, although only 2 roles show lynch survival as a role related thing, 4 (or 5?) people have survived NKs, with the same number of roles showing this possibility. So I think role related reasoning does zero to exonerate anyone. It is a possibility, but not the only one. I am also curious that, with those 4-5 NK survivors, no one has made that supposition regarding me and even tried to NK or lynch me again.
Eloh made a good point about that. Not that i want you to, but the string of suppositions in this game baffles me.
Because I don't think you are civvie. I think you have used the Sentinels lynch as a false form of civvie cred.Polaris wrote:Why?Spiral wrote:I am placing a vote on Polaris for now. I do not want to miss the poll. It seems like no one wants to talk today.
Who?Polaris wrote:It seems like we're at a standstill today. Mikhail thinks Shaw is good and doesn't want people voting for him. I can understand the explanation he offered (which you should check out too), but I still don't like what Shaw has to offer.Longshot wrote:Hi all, I'm now in a place with internet and just skimmed over the last couple of posts where people were talking about Shaw and Polaris. I need to go back and find the place where I left off and at least skim through the posts that I missed. Is there anything in particular I should be looking for or anything in particular I should pay very careful attention to?
Anywho, I think we should try to lynch someone today who has not survived a NK. Since the Sentinels are now dead, the other NK survivors are presumably civvies (possibly rescued) or indies, and my understanding of Omega Red is that he is not necessarily a threat, while Apocalypse is just an unlynchable. Thoughts on this?
Where did this happen? I found your comment interesting so I went through her posts to check but I don't really see it anywhere...Spiral wrote:Because I don't think you are civvie. I think you have used the Sentinels lynch as a false form of civvie cred.Polaris wrote:Why?Spiral wrote:I am placing a vote on Polaris for now. I do not want to miss the poll. It seems like no one wants to talk today.
Haha this is actually what I thought when I read this. I've suspected tons of people before, but I'd love to have a big ol' talk and figure out who is being suspicious today.Polaris wrote:You don't want to end up on Mikhail's suspect list, so you're defaulting to me as a suspect?Spiral wrote:He won't because there isn't one to be made, tbh.Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Shaw is votable, so idk what this means.White Queen wrote:There is a civ reason, and an Apocalypse reason. But then there are the same two reasons for surviving an NK, and we have had four (I think, that was where I stopped counting) NK survivors. So non role related stuff is happening.
But if I recall, the day after his survival, he was not votable (Off the poll? Silenced?) and we moved on.
The Sentinels do have secrets, like Spiral said. I personally think Shaw is almost assuredly civ. Sure, he's been unhelpful, and he's clearly one of the "avant-garde" mafia players, as I've heard them referred to, but the way the lynch post read to me and the survival itself jive with the civ explanation. I will absolutely not vote Shaw today, and I'll be kinda suspicious of people who do. That's just me, though.
I do think Deadpool could be bad, but I'm still undecided on him. I do really still wanna hear his case on Spiral, so I hope he actually posts one.
Then, I am at a loss. In the past I have suspected Polaris?
Not really. However, I think it bears remembering that avant-garde type players get lynched a lot, often wrongfully, and when they do it's really easy for both civs and baddies (but especially baddies) to say they brought it on themselves. I agree 100% that Shaw has been of no help to us this game. But the facts lean civ on him, so I don't think "I don't like his posting style" is a good reason to get rid of him.Havok wrote:
Really? Is [Rasputin's stance on Shaw] based on anything over than the lynch survival?
White Queen wrote:Once again, Rasputin, although only 2 roles show lynch survival as a role related thing, 4 (or 5?) people have survived NKs, with the same number of roles showing this possibility. So I think role related reasoning does zero to exonerate anyone. It is a possibility, but not the only one. I am also curious that, with those 4-5 NK survivors, no one has made that supposition regarding me and even tried to NK or lynch me again.
Eloh made a good point about that. Not that i want you to, but the string of suppositions in this game baffles me.
My thoughts on this mirror Polaris'. Only two roles can survive lynches. We KNOW Shaw took the lynch attempt from the host post; that is, it was not redirected. Lynch manipulation that doesn't deal with votes seems a much bigger supposition to me than that Shaw is a role that survives lynches. I get that weird things happen at night, sure. And if you'll notice, I haven't made any suppositions that involve only NK survivals.Polaris wrote:Lynch survival and NK survival are two different things. I'm not sure we're all on the same page here.
I think this is decent reasoning. I won't immediately remove an NK survivor from vote consideration, personally, because there are baddie role blockers and such.Polaris wrote: Anywho, I think we should try to lynch someone today who has not survived a NK. Since the Sentinels are now dead, the other NK survivors are presumably civvies (possibly rescued) or indies, and my understanding of Omega Red is that he is not necessarily a threat, while Apocalypse is just an unlynchable. Thoughts on this?
He isn't someone who we 'must defeat' in the role list, so I would assume we can win with him (that said, so can the baddies). I view him as netural and have no immediate issue with him. As for your second point, I agree. If Shaw were Omega, the next highest vote-getter would die in his place assuming they had more votes than his real amount. Makes sense to me.Mikhail Rasputin wrote: And I think Omega Red is a threat. He has NKs, anyway, and given how few times he's killed, he'd basically be unlynchable by now. Judging by his picture he seems bad-ish. Idk if he can win with us, but I doubt it.
(WORTH NOTING: Omega Red should survive lynches by getting negative votes, so I would think if Shaw were him, for example, the lynch post would not have read as Shaw escaping, but as an attempt on the person with the next-most votes.) This is pure conjecture; what do others think of it?
Ok. I was just making sure that I hadn't missed something. I agree that he shouldn't be lynched just based on his play style, but at the same time I don't think he should be given a pass just because he appeared to survive a lynch. Having said that, I think you are quite possibly correct about Shaw when you combine the two things (play style and lynch survival).Mikhail Rasputin wrote:Not really. However, I think it bears remembering that avant-garde type players get lynched a lot, often wrongfully, and when they do it's really easy for both civs and baddies (but especially baddies) to say they brought it on themselves. I agree 100% that Shaw has been of no help to us this game. But the facts lean civ on him, so I don't think "I don't like his posting style" is a good reason to get rid of him.Havok wrote:
Really? Is [Rasputin's stance on Shaw] based on anything over than the lynch survival?
Avalanche wrote:I guess I'd better vote, huh? I choose Polaris because I think she would have been killed by now if she weren't bad.
Because she's been assumed to be civvie for a long time, making unlikely to steal lynch votes from actual baddies. Killing her is what I would have done a long time ago if I were bad, and I assume everyone thinks like me because I am so average.Havok wrote:Avalanche wrote:I guess I'd better vote, huh? I choose Polaris because I think she would have been killed by now if she weren't bad.
Say wha? I've had suspicion of Polaris for a while, but I'm not sure I understand what you mean here. Why would Polaris be killed if she were civvie?
Interesting. This conflicts with my waffly opinion of her.Avalanche wrote:Because she's been assumed to be civvie for a long time, making unlikely to steal lynch votes from actual baddies. Killing her is what I would have done a long time ago if I were bad, and I assume everyone thinks like me because I am so average.Havok wrote:Avalanche wrote:I guess I'd better vote, huh? I choose Polaris because I think she would have been killed by now if she weren't bad.
Say wha? I've had suspicion of Polaris for a while, but I'm not sure I understand what you mean here. Why would Polaris be killed if she were civvie?
Please do post your thoughts, I'm eager to hear what you have to say. Keep in mind Deadpool is off the poll though, so you'll need a second self-preservation option.Polaris wrote:That's two votes with kind of half-assed reasoning. I don't like the looks of it. I'll probably end up voting for Deadpool for self-preservation.
In the meantime, I'll do a little more research and post my thoughts just in case I am lynched. I just realized we are getting very close to the deadline and there are only two votes.