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Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:10 pm
by Scotty
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:11 pm
Scotty wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 3:35 pm Let it be known that although I don’t think JJJ is a good D1 pick right now, I don’t exactly town read him- he’s like an Arnica gel. Could be effective, if you just believe hard enough.

Parse that, detectives.

Insert ninjakick.jpg

What is Arnica gel?






Don't make be Ask Jeeves yo






Also, JJJ is prolly town right now
Arnica is a money-sink placebo-like supplement of essential oil stuff that my mom won’t stop buying and gifting me to help control weight loss/stop cancer/brush teeth/enrich life.

I’m still not sold on JJJ being town. He will sort himself

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:11 pm
by falcon45ca
Wait, how many kids does Epi have and how many are in this game?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:12 pm
by Scotty
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:54 pm Ok I’m gonna say it — feels likely that Moto has BTSC as far as I can tell. Yes I’m aware that outing this information could be seen as anti-town and that anyone choosing to act on it in thread may reveal more information than is prudent to reveal. Yes I’m aware that at a level 1 reading this phrasing would be an implication that I do not have BTSC with Moto and thus would reveal percentage points of valuable information. I don’t care, I’m better than that.
:ponder:

I see

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:13 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
3 in game

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:14 pm
by Scotty
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:06 pm isn’t(?) being sated?
Is

Princess Abbi (not Sophia) is hitting some notes. Not quite as bouncy and post-county as I associate with town, but almost there.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:15 pm
by Scotty
TSP pushing against voting the counter wagon to himself is a choice. Definitely something I would do as wolf to appear town, but is that something he would do?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:16 pm
by falcon45ca
Scotty wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:11 pm
Scotty wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 3:35 pm Let it be known that although I don’t think JJJ is a good D1 pick right now, I don’t exactly town read him- he’s like an Arnica gel. Could be effective, if you just believe hard enough.

Parse that, detectives.

Insert ninjakick.jpg

What is Arnica gel?






Don't make be Ask Jeeves yo






Also, JJJ is prolly town right now
Arnica is a money-sink placebo-like supplement of essential oil stuff that my mom won’t stop buying and gifting me to help control weight loss/stop cancer/brush teeth/enrich life.

I’m still not sold on JJJ being town. He will sort himself

Send me some, my teeth are getting chubby

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:16 pm
by Scotty
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:11 pm Wait, how many kids does Epi have and how many are in this game?
oh…falcon, I’m sorry, you didn’t know?

You’re his 22nd eldest child. I’m his 27th.

We are all his children

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:18 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
Scotty wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:15 pm TSP pushing against voting the counter wagon to himself is a choice. Definitely something I would do as wolf to appear town, but is that something he would do?
Well now I’m pushing it as a wagon but I hear what you’re saying about it.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:19 pm
by Scotty
@Abigail Sophia i saw you don’t usually respond unless spoken directly to- I have no desire to vote you today.

But I am curious how you usually approach mafia- do you tend to follow people that have conviction of other people’s guilt, or make your own personal cases against people?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:19 pm
by falcon45ca
Scotty wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:16 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:11 pm Wait, how many kids does Epi have and how many are in this game?
oh…falcon, I’m sorry, you didn’t know?

You’re his 22nd eldest child. I’m his 27th.

We are all his children

So this is what the Red Pill tastes like

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:22 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:14 pm Oh, it's meta

I've noticed several meta reads from you thus far. How reliable do you feel meta is in general?
I would say meta is "fine" as a tool, and it's especially necessary in a game where face value judgments are hard to come by (for lack of content). It's flawed and only as useful as its wielder's Mafia memory is accurate.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:26 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:08 pm now time to out the Jay scumread probably but like I’ve been lampshading it and I also think he has probably the right read on the game so it’s hard to complain too much
What is my read on the game?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:30 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
I'm going to be straight:

I have no clue about this game. My reads do come from my brain, but they feel barely better than arbitrary. I am not even close to finding comfortable footing or knowing what I am doing in this thread. While that is attributable to some degree to the state of the thread itself, I am probably also tired, old, and out of practice.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm
by falcon45ca
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:30 pm I'm going to be straight:

I have no clue about this game. My reads do come from my brain, but they feel barely better than arbitrary. I am not even close to finding comfortable footing or knowing what I am doing in this thread. While that is attributable to some degree to the state of the thread itself, I am probably also tired, old, and out of practice.

You could also be Maf

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
I don't think Tony is a good vote.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:38 pm
by falcon45ca
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm I don't think Tony is a good vote.

Did you feel he used to be, once upon a thread?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:38 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm You could also be Maf
I could be a sentient Fig Newton with three butts.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:39 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:38 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm I don't think Tony is a good vote.
Did you feel he used to be, once upon a thread?
Way back in the page one era, sure. Those were the days.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:41 pm
by falcon45ca
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:38 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm You could also be Maf
I could be a sentient Fig Newton with three butts.

OK, just cuz you've got a PhD doesn't mean I'm gonna believe everything you say

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:48 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
A more courageous set of reads, still one-two town reads short of a locked game if it's correct. The reads here are basically just "yes" and "no" binary with no further nuance.

Epignosis
DrWilgy
Scotty
TonyStarkPrime
motobot


falcon45ca
Princess Abigail
LoRab
Long Con
sig
Abigail Sophia
Simon

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:56 pm
by falcon45ca
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:48 pm A more courageous set of reads, still one-two town reads short of a locked game if it's correct. The reads here are basically just "yes" and "no" binary with no further nuance.

Epignosis
DrWilgy
Scotty
TonyStarkPrime
motobot


falcon45ca
Princess Abigail
LoRab
Long Con
sig
Abigail Sophia
Simon

Are you declaring war on Epi's kids? I'm pretty sure you've got 7 of them in your scum reads




Talk to me about Simon & Abi Sophie plz

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:59 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:56 pm Talk to me about Simon & Abi Sophie plz
Simon made one post I found suspicious: Click here

AS isn't "suspicious". I have no read whatsoever. She gets a "no" in a POE solve.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:15 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
@falcon45ca, I only see one concrete read among your 28 posts (suspicion of motobot). You've asked many questions, so where are you landing at this point?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:19 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:26 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:08 pm now time to out the Jay scumread probably but like I’ve been lampshading it and I also think he has probably the right read on the game so it’s hard to complain too much
What is my read on the game?
Going by your no/yeses and also your general statements of coherent game relevant information, even if I think you shouldn’t be saying them (including the phrasing of the recent post about falcon and questions)

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:20 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
I think I’ve got long con reading down lemme read his sevenish posts

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:21 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
Got concerned that Leetic was 3-posting for a second there

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:28 pm
by falcon45ca
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:15 pm @falcon45ca, I only see one concrete read among your 28 posts (suspicion of motobot). You've asked many questions, so where are you landing at this point?

I feel fine to call you town, TSP, scotty for now






I'm fine to vote Abby, enough folks find her sus that it can't be just wolves pushing that narrative






Simon is also a fine option

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:59 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
We have two hours.

Remember per the rules that ties are not randomized. They’re probably best avoided.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:00 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
@LoRab reminder that each day phase has a five post minimum per player.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:06 pm
by DrWilgy
Fascinating.

No one has broken my tie split and we are down to the last booblibops of day.
Spoiler: show
Who is plotting against the Takeda Clan
Poll runs till Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:00 pm
Please note that if you vote, your vote will be visible.

You may select 1 option


falcon45ca
0
No votes
Voters: None
Epignosis
0
No votes
Voters: None
☆Princess Abigail☆
3
30%
Voters: motobot, Epignosis, JaggedJimmyJay
DrWilgy
0
No votes
Voters: None
LoRab
0
No votes
Voters: None
Scotty
0
No votes
Voters: None
TonyStarkPrime
3
30%
Voters: DrWilgy, Simon, Scotty
Long Con
0
No votes
Voters: None
sig
0
No votes
Voters: None
JaggedJimmyJay
0
No votes
Voters: None
Abigail Sophia
0
No votes
Voters: None
motobot
1
10%
Voters: falcon45ca
Simon
1
10%
Voters: TonyStarkPrime
Imagawa Yoshimoto (host/spec)
2
20%
Voters: leetic, S~V~S
Total votes: 10
Spoiler: show
*thpppt"

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:07 pm
by DrWilgy
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:34 pm Ok update I’ve read P_Abi posts and I now think she’s a fine vote
Pabi

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:08 pm
by DrWilgy
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:54 pm Ok I’m gonna say it — feels likely that Moto has BTSC as far as I can tell. Yes I’m aware that outing this information could be seen as anti-town and that anyone choosing to act on it in thread may reveal more information than is prudent to reveal. Yes I’m aware that at a level 1 reading this phrasing would be an implication that I do not have BTSC with Moto and thus would reveal percentage points of valuable information. I don’t care, I’m better than that.
Why though

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:10 pm
by DrWilgy
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:30 pm I'm going to be straight:

I have no clue about this game. My reads do come from my brain, but they feel barely better than arbitrary. I am not even close to finding comfortable footing or knowing what I am doing in this thread. While that is attributable to some degree to the state of the thread itself, I am probably also tired, old, and out of practice.

You could also be Maf
Unless activity level changes do you think we ever catch W Jay this game?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:10 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
DrWilgy wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:08 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 5:54 pm Ok I’m gonna say it — feels likely that Moto has BTSC as far as I can tell. Yes I’m aware that outing this information could be seen as anti-town and that anyone choosing to act on it in thread may reveal more information than is prudent to reveal. Yes I’m aware that at a level 1 reading this phrasing would be an implication that I do not have BTSC with Moto and thus would reveal percentage points of valuable information. I don’t care, I’m better than that.
Why though
Don’t really want to talk about it too much at this stage.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:11 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
As Daniel Negreanu says, everything you do at the mafia table conveys information. Can’t be loosey goosey eating a sandwich

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:12 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
DrWilgy wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:30 pm I'm going to be straight:

I have no clue about this game. My reads do come from my brain, but they feel barely better than arbitrary. I am not even close to finding comfortable footing or knowing what I am doing in this thread. While that is attributable to some degree to the state of the thread itself, I am probably also tired, old, and out of practice.

You could also be Maf
Unless activity level changes do you think we ever catch W Jay this game?
At this rate he’s the most likely chop tomorrow tbh

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:12 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
Not that that’s a good thing

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:23 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
I wonder how many posts this thread would have right now if I was mafia. Or if I wasn't in it. :goofp:

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:24 pm
by Long Con
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 7:20 pm I think I’ve got long con reading down lemme read his sevenish posts
Hope it was a thrill ride!

Keep the tie, I'll break it in the last minute and shine like the sun.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:25 pm
by falcon45ca
DrWilgy wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:10 pm
falcon45ca wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:35 pm
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 6:30 pm I'm going to be straight:

I have no clue about this game. My reads do come from my brain, but they feel barely better than arbitrary. I am not even close to finding comfortable footing or knowing what I am doing in this thread. While that is attributable to some degree to the state of the thread itself, I am probably also tired, old, and out of practice.

You could also be Maf
Unless activity level changes do you think we ever catch W Jay this game?

Most def. Why do you doubt?

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:25 pm
by falcon45ca
[VOTE: simon] aubergine

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:26 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
If there are three mafia, a random vote would have a 23% chance of killing mafia.

My mental model of the game arbitrarily estimates a 35% chance of PA flipping mafia. Everyone else would be less. Poopy, but there you go.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:23 pm I wonder how many posts this thread would have right now if I was mafia. Or if I wasn't in it. :goofp:
god do I hate posts like this

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
by Long Con
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town
Why not? It's intended to shame-inspire the rest of us.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:26 pm If there are three mafia, a random vote would have a 23% chance of killing mafia.

My mental model of the game arbitrarily estimates a 35% chance of PA flipping mafia. Everyone else would be less. Poopy, but there you go.
yeah sounds about right

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
by JaggedJimmyJay
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town
I don't care. I have posted things like that so many times as town. I don't even know if it's true. It's narcissism.

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:29 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
Long Con wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town
Why not? It's intended to shame-inspire the rest of us.
yeah maybe good point

Re: Kagemusha (D1)

Posted: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:29 pm
by TonyStarkPrime
JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:28 pm
TonyStarkPrime wrote: Fri Mar 22, 2024 8:27 pm yeah, it's true, it's a towny thought, you'd think it if you were town, but I don't really imagine you posting it if you were town
I don't care. I have posted things like that so many times as town. I don't even know if it's true. It's narcissism.
it's about the wording a bit more than the idea