Re: Hotdog Fingers Mafia [Day 5]
Posted: Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:08 pm
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
And I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pmWant it noted that...DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:40 pmNeon, TSP, Mac.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:05 pmJust worded it like it's a goofy idea doesn't mean it's a goofy idea. Who were the voters on Dennis yesterday? Was neon one of them ?DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:32 pmSo... We are implying that in the face of 'wacky fun power roles' there is also a vote manipulator in the game, or a mechanic that changes vote weight, that I didn't carry that vote weight because I wasn't on Dennis, and that we are actually at mylo due to your proposed world of there being a W with weight of 2 and somehow me as W vs 3 town next cycle?Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:28 pmAlso possible. Also risky. But impossible? No.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:25 pm
Or the votes were normal votes and Wilgy literally nearly killed himself at EOD for no reason.
So, one of these is my teammate who had 2x vote power in the world where you think I wasn't at risk of being yeeted? For your thinking to be true, that has to be absolutely correct.
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Why is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pmWant it noted that...DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:40 pmNeon, TSP, Mac.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:05 pmJust worded it like it's a goofy idea doesn't mean it's a goofy idea. Who were the voters on Dennis yesterday? Was neon one of them ?DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:32 pmSo... We are implying that in the face of 'wacky fun power roles' there is also a vote manipulator in the game, or a mechanic that changes vote weight, that I didn't carry that vote weight because I wasn't on Dennis, and that we are actually at mylo due to your proposed world of there being a W with weight of 2 and somehow me as W vs 3 town next cycle?
So, one of these is my teammate who had 2x vote power in the world where you think I wasn't at risk of being yeeted? For your thinking to be true, that has to be absolutely correct.
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
My initial vote on Pyxxy was kinda fear based on how they slanked pretty hard last game as wolf and got away with it forever basically. Pyxxy was alive in FX I think. Iirc I snap vote pyxxy and than lost the 1 v 1 and town lostMacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:58 pmWhy did you vote Pyxxy in the first place? Why did you vote Dennis yesterday?Neon wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:52 pmI bus yes. I've acknowledged this multiple times this game I think. I bus only if it provides me something and is necessary. It's really up to you to decide if that's true here.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:42 pm @Porscha since you're here.
Neon voted Pyxxy day 2 and day 3.
I want to just lose to them for it. Plus Pyxxy pushed Neon pretty badly.
Kate said Neon is a filthy busser. Are they? I didn't think they were in my experience.
@Neon are you a filthy busser?
This bussing reputation is an annoying double edged sword because while it works and I can and have abused it by hard defending teammates in games and getting town read for it. It also means that like especially on MU where I've rolled wolf a ton lately even if I am playing well as town I will just get killed by misexe anyways because of it.
That reputation hasn't permeated here yet which is nice... but it appears it might be starting to lol
What is your present solve?
Because if you were t/t you both wouldn't be alive. And certainly the three of us wouldn't be alive with TSP dead. If you two are town the wolves went into night with us 3 all townreading each other and chose to shoot TSP (whose top suspicion was you two mafia btw).Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:13 pmWhy is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pmWant it noted that...DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:40 pmNeon, TSP, Mac.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:05 pmJust worded it like it's a goofy idea doesn't mean it's a goofy idea. Who were the voters on Dennis yesterday? Was neon one of them ?DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:32 pm
So... We are implying that in the face of 'wacky fun power roles' there is also a vote manipulator in the game, or a mechanic that changes vote weight, that I didn't carry that vote weight because I wasn't on Dennis, and that we are actually at mylo due to your proposed world of there being a W with weight of 2 and somehow me as W vs 3 town next cycle?
So, one of these is my teammate who had 2x vote power in the world where you think I wasn't at risk of being yeeted? For your thinking to be true, that has to be absolutely correct.
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Ok. Let me ask you this. If wilgy is bad is an svs/wilgy/pyxxy team possible in your estimation?
It was literally rand so like... why does the rand result change the fact that no wolf puts themself into a randKate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:08 pmUes he took a risk and nearly died. He nearly died. He did not die.Neon wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:05 pmI... literally don't understand what you are trying to actually say here xDKate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:02 pmNearly, but didn't.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:25 pmOr the votes were normal votes and Wilgy literally nearly killed himself at EOD for no reason.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:21 pmMaybe unlikely but not outlandish.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 4:17 pmI was just browsing Pyxxy's ISO and he pushed Neon relatively firmly. Don't want to go there.
As if the host is going to answer you. Read the eod post. It was 3/3 at eod.
Of course I'm not sure about Vote manipulation? Should I just not make the read because of an outlandish possibility?
Maybe Pyxxy's flip was janitored. We better not read their spew in case it's wrong.
This just solidifies my town read even more.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:19 pm It was worse than rand. Because I voted Wilgy he actually ended up 3-2 briefly due to me switching my vote from Dennis to Wilgy. He nearly outright killed himself.
So just because again you think it's unlikely you deemed it impossible? You don't see people adjusting their wolf games? Nk choices can mean anything.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:17 pmBecause if you were t/t you both wouldn't be alive. And certainly the three of us wouldn't be alive with TSP dead. If you two are town the wolves went into night with us 3 all townreading each other and chose to shoot TSP (whose top suspicion was you two mafia btw).Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:13 pmWhy is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pmWant it noted that...
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Ok. Let me ask you this. If wilgy is bad is an svs/wilgy/pyxxy team possible in your estimation?
Yes, again he NEARLY DID, BUT he did not. He didn't know you were going to move if youre town. And how is killing oneself townie anyway when he claimed he though Dennis was bad?? Please tell me how that makes any sense.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:19 pm It was worse than rand. Because I voted Wilgy he actually ended up 3-2 briefly due to me switching my vote from Dennis to Wilgy. He nearly outright killed himself.
Yes that is my hypothetical question. I don't believe she is wolf.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
Why cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
Unlikely is an understatement. You two have been thread masons since day 1 and are both competent players. If anything one of you should have died over Lily n1, then Nutella n2, and especially TSP n4. The only world in which mafia don't do that is if one of you is pocketing the other.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:20 pmSo just because again you think it's unlikely you deemed it impossible? You don't see people adjusting their wolf games? Nk choices can mean anything.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:17 pmBecause if you were t/t you both wouldn't be alive. And certainly the three of us wouldn't be alive with TSP dead. If you two are town the wolves went into night with us 3 all townreading each other and chose to shoot TSP (whose top suspicion was you two mafia btw).Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:13 pmWhy is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pmWant it noted that...
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Ok. Let me ask you this. If wilgy is bad is an svs/wilgy/pyxxy team possible in your estimation?
Tsp was not a huge presence in the game and I know for certain his "top suspicion " was wrong so I'm not putting much weight on that.
BecauseS~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmWhy cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
In a world where...Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:24 pmYes that is my hypothetical question. I don't believe she is wolf.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
Is there a world where it's pyx/scotty/wilgy?
Btw the bolded is outing wolf mindset. It demonstrates you know I'm town and believe my perspective.S~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmWhy cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
I quite literally said that Dennis was much more townie than you/SVS/Scotty.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:23 pmYes, again he NEARLY DID, BUT he did not. He didn't know you were going to move if youre town. And how is killing oneself townie anyway when he claimed he though Dennis was bad?? Please tell me how that makes any sense.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:19 pm It was worse than rand. Because I voted Wilgy he actually ended up 3-2 briefly due to me switching my vote from Dennis to Wilgy. He nearly outright killed himself.
Dennis was more townie than I am? In this game??DrWilgy wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:51 pmI quite literally said that Dennis was much more townie than you/SVS/Scotty.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:23 pmYes, again he NEARLY DID, BUT he did not. He didn't know you were going to move if youre town. And how is killing oneself townie anyway when he claimed he though Dennis was bad?? Please tell me how that makes any sense.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:19 pm It was worse than rand. Because I voted Wilgy he actually ended up 3-2 briefly due to me switching my vote from Dennis to Wilgy. He nearly outright killed himself.
I even advised that Dennis's reaction to my y/n was kinda townie.
Quoting this for posterity and vindication when this is over.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:28 pmBecauseS~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmWhy cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
You
Or
Kate
Would
Be
Dead
By
Now
In
All
World's
If
You
Were
Both
Correct
Town
Especially
When
I
Stopped
Pushing
You
Yesterday
Quoting it twice cause it’s astonishing how much time, effort and tbh fun we’ve wasted on this bullshit.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:09 pmQuoting this for posterity and vindication when this is over.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:28 pmBecauseS~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmWhy cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
You
Or
Kate
Would
Be
Dead
By
Now
In
All
World's
If
You
Were
Both
Correct
Town
Especially
When
I
Stopped
Pushing
You
Yesterday
Neither of you have even tried to answer my fair questions. I'm being more than reasonable. So spare me the ate please.S~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:27 pmQuoting it twice cause it’s astonishing how much time, effort and tbh fun we’ve wasted on this bullshit.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:09 pmQuoting this for posterity and vindication when this is over.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:28 pmBecauseS~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmWhy cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
You
Or
Kate
Would
Be
Dead
By
Now
In
All
World's
If
You
Were
Both
Correct
Town
Especially
When
I
Stopped
Pushing
You
Yesterday
Draft me a coherent explanation for the above and I will absolutely hear you out.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmUnlikely is an understatement. You two have been thread masons since day 1 and are both competent players. If anything one of you should have died over Lily n1, then Nutella n2, and especially TSP n4. The only world in which mafia don't do that is if one of you is pocketing the other.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:20 pmSo just because again you think it's unlikely you deemed it impossible? You don't see people adjusting their wolf games? Nk choices can mean anything.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:17 pmBecause if you were t/t you both wouldn't be alive. And certainly the three of us wouldn't be alive with TSP dead. If you two are town the wolves went into night with us 3 all townreading each other and chose to shoot TSP (whose top suspicion was you two mafia btw).Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:13 pmWhy is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pm
Want it noted that...
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Ok. Let me ask you this. If wilgy is bad is an svs/wilgy/pyxxy team possible in your estimation?
Tsp was not a huge presence in the game and I know for certain his "top suspicion " was wrong so I'm not putting much weight on that.
You need to convince me that a team of 2 as per the below chooses to leave us 3 alive heading into f7.
Porscha/Neon
Porscha/Wilgy
Neon/Wilgy
Scotty/Wilgy
Scotty/Porscha
Scotty/Neon
Firstly, which of these duos kills TSP over me?
Why do they kill TSP over me and then not push me (which SVS is doing thus explaining why I'm still alive over TSP cuz she thinks she can get me chopped).
Which of these duos considers me a patsy/non threat so as to be left alive the whole game?
Which of these duos views you and SVS masoning a non factor to a degree where they kill Lily, Nutella and TSP instead of breaking you up?
If you are town, please take my question seriously and don't hand wave it away appealing to me to implicitly trust you. Actually think about it.
I also don't think this is at all a real appraisal of the game. I have hardly pushed you two since the first time Nutella and I vocalised it.S~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:27 pmQuoting it twice cause it’s astonishing how much time, effort and tbh fun we’ve wasted on this bullshit.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 8:09 pmQuoting this for posterity and vindication when this is over.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:28 pmBecauseS~V~S wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmWhy cant you accept that we have multiple tells on each other? The thing that’s holding this game up is the inability to accept this. We’ve spent this whole game on this topic.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:21 pm If Wilgy is bad, can SVS be his partner? That's your question Kate?
If you are town, I think SVS is basically outed and her partner is most likely to be Scotty of the remaining options but without further due diligence I have no reason to eliminate the possibility that Wilgy is with SVS beyond the reason I'm townreading Wilgy independently.
You
Or
Kate
Would
Be
Dead
By
Now
In
All
World's
If
You
Were
Both
Correct
Town
Especially
When
I
Stopped
Pushing
You
Yesterday
Just give me the cliffnotes if you don't want to write it again.
I'm thinking so hard my goofy brain is getting frazzled. I'm expecting anyone to just trust my reads. but the baddies have been crazy in games lately. Bussing, distancing, even leading lynches against each other to deep wolf. Look back to GOC mafia game has evolved. Im not one bit suprised by Wilgy's stunt yesterday.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmUnlikely is an understatement. You two have been thread masons since day 1 and are both competent players. If anything one of you should have died over Lily n1, then Nutella n2, and especially TSP n4. The only world in which mafia don't do that is if one of you is pocketing the other.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:20 pmSo just because again you think it's unlikely you deemed it impossible? You don't see people adjusting their wolf games? Nk choices can mean anything.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:17 pmBecause if you were t/t you both wouldn't be alive. And certainly the three of us wouldn't be alive with TSP dead. If you two are town the wolves went into night with us 3 all townreading each other and chose to shoot TSP (whose top suspicion was you two mafia btw).Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:13 pmWhy is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pmWell if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 6:57 pm
Want it noted that...
a) I did due diligence on Dennis and found his play wanting in a big way and pushed him
b) SVS and Kate both had a very weird series of interactions with Dennis where they kept directly pinging him when Nutella and I started pushing them. As if to dog whistle him to come push us or shield them or something, but done in a way where it would come across like they were suspect of him. c) Literally 1 minute before EOD I came in and realised that Dennis was being quite towny, and tried to hammer Wilgy over him, but observed Wilgy literally UNVOTE Dennis, which simultaneously to me moving from Dennis to wilgy changed the VC from 4-3 Dennis lead to 3-2 Wilgy lead. So I quickly put my Dennis vote back because CLEARLY mafia Wilgy has absolutely no benefit whatsoever to taking that risk.
So on point c. I really don't see how Wilgy is ever mafia. Everything else just further confbiases my Kate/SVS solve I'm afraid.
I am never getting to Porscha if it's them. And Neon feels fine.
The only other possibility is the one in which Kate/SVS are pocketed town/wolf with Scotty.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Ok. Let me ask you this. If wilgy is bad is an svs/wilgy/pyxxy team possible in your estimation?
Tsp was not a huge presence in the game and I know for certain his "top suspicion " was wrong so I'm not putting much weight on that.
You need to convince me that a team of 2 as per the below chooses to leave us 3 alive heading into f7.
Porscha/Neon
Porscha/Wilgy
Neon/Wilgy
Scotty/Wilgy
Scotty/Porscha
Scotty/Neon
Firstly, which of these duos kills TSP over me?
One of the 3 I highlighted.
Why do they kill TSP over me and then not push me (which SVS is doing thus explaining why I'm still alive over TSP cuz she thinks she can get me chopped).
Again I don't think the kill was about you. I think they knew if they killed me it would make wilgy obvious wolf (goofy), and TSP having me as his number 1 sus, he was a good choice if they were in fact trying to set me up.
Which of these duos considers me a patsy/non threat so as to be left alive the whole game?
Which of these duos views you and SVS masoning a non factor to a degree where they kill Lily, Nutella and TSP instead of breaking you up?
There are lots of reasons why teams pick their NK. I dont think anyone had to think you are a pasty to keep you alive, shit I haven't lived past n2 in ages, yet here I am.
If you are town, please take my question seriously and don't hand wave it away appealing to me to implicitly trust you. Actually think about it.
Okay post it up.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 9:08 pmI'm thinking so hard my goofy brain is getting frazzled. I'm expecting anyone to just trust my reads. but the baddies have been crazy in games lately. Bussing, distancing, even leading lynches against each other to deep wolf. Look back to GOC mafia game has evolved. Im not one bit suprised by Wilgy's stunt yesterday.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:26 pmUnlikely is an understatement. You two have been thread masons since day 1 and are both competent players. If anything one of you should have died over Lily n1, then Nutella n2, and especially TSP n4. The only world in which mafia don't do that is if one of you is pocketing the other.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:20 pmSo just because again you think it's unlikely you deemed it impossible? You don't see people adjusting their wolf games? Nk choices can mean anything.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:17 pmBecause if you were t/t you both wouldn't be alive. And certainly the three of us wouldn't be alive with TSP dead. If you two are town the wolves went into night with us 3 all townreading each other and chose to shoot TSP (whose top suspicion was you two mafia btw).Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:13 pmWhy is there no world?MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:10 pmAnd I am telling you in no uncertain terms there is no world where that is true where SVS is not mafia. None. If you are civ, stop shielding a wolf.Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:07 pm
Well if that's your solve, you should be afraid because we are going to lose. I do think you're town, but I implore you to think outside the box. This team has been distancing and dancing around around each other like crazy. I just watched it happen in Meta and I've seen neon do it several times. Look at the baddie team in GOC, did crazy goofy shit to bus each other. I'm not asking you to side with my opinion but just that you keep an open mind and keep looking.
I SWEAR to you I am a vanilla civ.
Ok. Let me ask you this. If wilgy is bad is an svs/wilgy/pyxxy team possible in your estimation?
Tsp was not a huge presence in the game and I know for certain his "top suspicion " was wrong so I'm not putting much weight on that.
You need to convince me that a team of 2 as per the below chooses to leave us 3 alive heading into f7.
Porscha/Neon
Porscha/Wilgy
Neon/Wilgy
Scotty/Wilgy
Scotty/Porscha
Scotty/Neon
Firstly, which of these duos kills TSP over me?
One of the 3 I highlighted.
Why do they kill TSP over me and then not push me (which SVS is doing thus explaining why I'm still alive over TSP cuz she thinks she can get me chopped).
Again I don't think the kill was about you. I think they knew if they killed me it would make wilgy obvious wolf (goofy), and TSP having me as his number 1 sus, he was a good choice if they were in fact trying to set me up.
Which of these duos considers me a patsy/non threat so as to be left alive the whole game?
Which of these duos views you and SVS masoning a non factor to a degree where they kill Lily, Nutella and TSP instead of breaking you up?
There are lots of reasons why teams pick their NK. I dont think anyone had to think you are a pasty to keep you alive, shit I haven't lived past n2 in ages, yet here I am.
If you are town, please take my question seriously and don't hand wave it away appealing to me to implicitly trust you. Actually think about it.
When i found the draft, only half was saved so i had to rewrite part. Im not certain I didn't repeat myself from another post either. sigh.
But like…how does it make sense for a wolf Wilgy to do that?Kate wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:23 pmYes, again he NEARLY DID, BUT he did not. He didn't know you were going to move if youre town. And how is killing oneself townie anyway when he claimed he though Dennis was bad?? Please tell me how that makes any sense.MacDougall wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 7:19 pm It was worse than rand. Because I voted Wilgy he actually ended up 3-2 briefly due to me switching my vote from Dennis to Wilgy. He nearly outright killed himself.
we know we’re not in lylo or votes would be locked
Playing the ‘you should remember how we’ve played before’ card doesn’t work on me, David Blaine.
Interesting. that's part of why I voted like I did today. And I don't know about your memory, you always seem pretty on the ball that way to meScotty wrote: ↑Wed Apr 19, 2023 11:42 pmPlaying the ‘you should remember how we’ve played before’ card doesn’t work on me, David Blaine.
My detailic memory is shit and I’m spacing on that.
Regardless, I’m looking at vote sampling and my vote sampling tells me one of you or mac is bad from the D1, unless all mafia were Mia.
I'm not going to do that because you'll be killing a town either way and probably losing the game. You can look back on my posts and decide if you think I've been honest and solving. Or if I've just been goofy. I can't keep up this level of try hard for people who aren't listening to me. It's kind of exhausting and it's starting to not be fun or goofy.