Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 2]
Posted: Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:21 pm
I'm reaching, I know. But if no one misdirected me, I don't see what the explanation is unless the host made a mistake.
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
Worth noting.dunya wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:18 pm who else found Iron_Dwarf's answer about who Jay is making cases about with ping worthy for the fact Dr. White was not mentioned? Possible w/w if we take into consideration Dr. White's random drafting of Iron_Dwarf at the wrong time, then backing off him to Marmot in the end, when I_D was still available?
Ok, so I can't be bothered to go back and look this up, but I've seen it referenced a few times. Did Dr. White try to draft Iron Dwarf at a random time when it was not his turn to choose, and then a long time later draft a different player? Cuz if that's the case I don't see there actually being much to it cuz the rest of us were just picking based off who was active at the time anyway. Am I missing something?dunya wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:18 pm who else found Iron_Dwarf's answer about who Jay is making cases about with ping worthy for the fact Dr. White was not mentioned? Possible w/w if we take into consideration Dr. White's random drafting of Iron_Dwarf at the wrong time, then backing off him to Marmot in the end, when I_D was still available?
hmmmm if my power really didn't hit it's intended target then it's possible it got redirected by long con to hit you instead? I'm not actually sure if that would cause you to just get a wrong result or if TonyStarkanine would get a thief read of your nationality instead? It's not always clear what "reverse" means.
Yeah I get that, but what I'm asking is: was anyone actually attached to their draft choice or just doing it because they were there and they asked for something? Why assume that he was set on picking I_D?ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:23 pm Iron_Dwarf was still available by the time he made his actual pick iirc.
I didn't target TSP.gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:24 pm If someone misdirected dunya it would have to be one of the Pegasus Knights, who have both already claimed their misdirect. Because Jay bodyguarded dunya and he is cavlary.
gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:24 pm If someone misdirected dunya it would have to be one of the Pegasus Knights, who have both already claimed their misdirect. Because Jay bodyguarded dunya and he is cavlary.
So with these two combined, dunya cannot have been misdirected unless Jay is lying. Meaning TonyStark's Goodguyia ID should be genuine.
Oh god.Marmot wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:26 pmI didn't target TSP.gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:24 pm If someone misdirected dunya it would have to be one of the Pegasus Knights, who have both already claimed their misdirect. Because Jay bodyguarded dunya and he is cavlary.
But I could have targeted TSP. That would have been a misdirect to me.
I don't think I'm from Goodguyia though? Or now that I've been drafted into Rico's army I am?Kylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:25 pmhmmmm if my power really didn't hit it's intended target then it's possible it got redirected by long con to hit you instead? I'm not actually sure if that would cause you to just get a wrong result or if TonyStarkanine would get a thief read of your nationality instead? It's not always clear what "reverse" means.
Actually, now both of the cavaliers who can do that have claimed not to have, so unless either your or rdw are lying, dunya cannot have been misdirected. Am I still missing something?gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:28 pmOh god.Marmot wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:26 pmI didn't target TSP.gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:24 pm If someone misdirected dunya it would have to be one of the Pegasus Knights, who have both already claimed their misdirect. Because Jay bodyguarded dunya and he is cavlary.
But I could have targeted TSP. That would have been a misdirect to me.
The first time he gave I_D a role it was random; I don't believe I_D was in the thread asking for a role, even.gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:26 pmYeah I get that, but what I'm asking is: was anyone actually attached to their draft choice or just doing it because they were there and they asked for something? Why assume that he was set on picking I_D?ColinIsCool wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:23 pm Iron_Dwarf was still available by the time he made his actual pick iirc.
I agree with jay in this exchange, why did he mention those players' styles/MOs if he doesn't believe they're alignment-indicative?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 7:47 pmThis was just banter because I was reminiscing about the good old days of playing mafia on RYM.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun Feb 11, 2018 1:53 pmDwarf loses a point for saying things just to say things.Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Sun Feb 11, 2018 3:04 amThere was no particular judgment made here. It's their M.O. every game basically.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun Feb 11, 2018 1:44 amHey Dwarf, what do these observations mean to you as it pertains to those two players' alignments?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Sat Feb 10, 2018 8:17 am Just like on RYM, rundontwalk is posting like a madman aka #ballstothewall. And dunya can't wait to start digging around in everyone's post histories.
Also, this will be my last post for Sunday probably.
Ah yes this is the post I called out as salad. Like, what the hell is this messIron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:00 pm Random tidbits about people. If people want me to elaborate on some, please say so.
MacDougall - Feels shady, but he had the problem of being away on vacation so may not have the time to properly explain himself
Dragon D Luffy - Feels shady, like throwing bits around and see what sticks
rabbit 8 - He is quiet and didn't have a valid excuse to be so
epignosis - His behavior feels a bit off
Long Con - Feels like he's flipflopping a bit on his reads
rundontwalk - #ballstothewall
As much as day 1 is the traditional crapshoot, I will go with voting Dragon D Luffy for now.
VOTE DRAGON D LUFFY
Says I feel all over the place. Is that a scum read or nah?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:07 pmNutella - Feels all over the placedunya wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:03 pmI'd like your opinions on nutella and ColinIsCool in 5, 4, 3....Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:00 pm Random tidbits about people. If people want me to elaborate on some, please say so.
MacDougall - Feels shady, but he had the problem of being away on vacation so may not have the time to properly explain himself
Dragon D Luffy - Feels shady, like throwing bits around and see what sticks
rabbit 8 - He is quiet and didn't have a valid excuse to be so
epignosis - His behavior feels a bit off
Long Con - Feels like he's flipflopping a bit on his reads
rundontwalk - #ballstothewall
As much as day 1 is the traditional crapshoot, I will go with voting Dragon D Luffy for now.
VOTE DRAGON D LUFFY
Coliniscool - Seems earnest, town
Don't even know what he means here but it looks like potential buddying of MacIron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:08 pmBut if asked you would be able to come up with some more argumentation I presume?nutella wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:06 pmI don't understand this? do you want the amount of time it took me to write that post? I don't do elaborate iso analyses like some other people, I just skim it and write out general impressions, maybe with one or two quotes, so it doesn't take very longMacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:03 pmShare with us the minutes between your post declaring intent to iso Colin and your brief summary post of his iso plz?nutella wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 8:02 pmEpi is doing his "I don't care what you think" schtick, and Colin has provided a couple other original thoughts/insights and overall his iso gave me town feels.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 7:56 pmI don't agree with the former. What are the other reasons?nutella wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 7:52 pmbecause there's no baddie motive that makes sense for what either of them are doing. (and because I have town read both of them for other reasons)JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Mon Feb 12, 2018 7:48 pm nutella, why do you think Epi and Colin are both civilians?
Criticism of Epi, I think this post looks okay/town-minded even if I disagree (might be at least partially due to difference in familiarity with Epi as a player). He follows it up with a vote for Epi.Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:30 amFrom the start it seems you were mainly fishing for others to step up and talk. This makes you harder to read.
Then you went after Colin, but my read on him is that he's town. And now you've changed gear.
You also are doing this gambit with your misdirect power. If you indeed have it, why use it on day 1 when cases generally speaking are based on less solid foundations than later in the game? It feels like a waste.
You are also quite silent about nutella, who at the moment is the one most likely to be lynched.
I don't really know what your end game is with all these actions. Feels like sowing fear, uncertainty and doubt.
This was a weird post which others have already called him out on -- why is there not the same risk of Colin being scum?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 4:50 am Voted for ColinIsCool in the poll. He feels like a genuine town. Can't really point to anything suspicious in his post history. Better safe than sorry. If dunya is indeed civ, she is a valuable asset, but you still run the risk she might be scum. Leaning towards the former, but it remains risky.
his response. makes.... some sense. like I guess he's saying that dunya would more more dangerous if she was bad, and also that he feels more confident that Colin is town he goes on to say that he doesn't currently suspect dunya but he's wary of the possibility she could be scum steering the threadIron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 1:31 pmWell I believe that based on my reads I regard dunya as a riskier prospect than Colin. In rainbow terms green vs. green/orange.Kylemii wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 1:26 pmsorry, I'll clarify. don't you also run the risk that Colin is scum?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 1:22 pmDunya is quite prolific and dictating a lot of where the discussion goes.Kylemii wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 12:56 pmwouldn't the same thing be true about Colin?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 4:50 am Voted for ColinIsCool in the poll. He feels like a genuine town. Can't really point to anything suspicious in his post history. Better safe than sorry. If dunya is indeed civ, she is a valuable asset, but you still run the risk she might be scum. Leaning towards the former, but it remains risky.
And as I said, I cannot point to anything in Colins history thats really suspicious.
dunya points out that he doesn't include Dr. White here who was Jay's top suspect. that omission combined with the weird draft thing definitely makes Iron_Dwarf and Dr. White look like potential teammatesIron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 3:50 pmHomework! For instance, exchanges about Epi, analysis of Colin, and yourself.dunya wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 3:22 pmName 3 people Jay has put under a lot of scrutiny. Go.Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Wed Feb 14, 2018 3:09 pm You are very analytical and putting people under a lot of scrutiny. Town.
his thoughts on the rabbit kill, and then this is all he has to say so far about the Dr. White draft pick issue. Are you really so keen to just dismiss Dr. White's odd switch and chalk it up to a "messy phase"? Why do you think he originally wanted to draft you, but then didn't when you were still available on his actual turn?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:55 am Rabbit probably was a safe kill for the scum, as he was inactive and no one was going to protect him and all. That's the only reason I can think of at least.
For the rest, some gaslighting going on. Don't know why @nutella and @dunya were going on two pages back about the last two draft picks and last minute switching between two players in what was a messy phase.
It could be explained by the fact that Marmot was active and asking for a role at the time Dr. White's actual turn came up. I'd have to go back and check if Iron_Dwarf was active at the time he tried to draft when it wasn't his turngwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:22 pmOk, so I can't be bothered to go back and look this up, but I've seen it referenced a few times. Did Dr. White try to draft Iron Dwarf at a random time when it was not his turn to choose, and then a long time later draft a different player? Cuz if that's the case I don't see there actually being much to it cuz the rest of us were just picking based off who was active at the time anyway. Am I missing something?dunya wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:18 pm who else found Iron_Dwarf's answer about who Jay is making cases about with ping worthy for the fact Dr. White was not mentioned? Possible w/w if we take into consideration Dr. White's random drafting of Iron_Dwarf at the wrong time, then backing off him to Marmot in the end, when I_D was still available?
wait you have two separate targets? I thought the "fliers can't target your target" referred to the target of your main ability. I guess I misunderstood that. Also what do you mean by pegasus "saving"? It's a misdirect, the target isn't protected but has the target of their ability changed.
hm I guess that's a possibility. getting goodguyia instead of badguyia would make sense as a reversal of the thief abilityKylemii wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:25 pmhmmmm if my power really didn't hit it's intended target then it's possible it got redirected by long con to hit you instead? I'm not actually sure if that would cause you to just get a wrong result or if TonyStarkanine would get a thief read of your nationality instead? It's not always clear what "reverse" means.
yeah misdirect is the right word, i was thinking of paladinnutella wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:57 pmwait you have two separate targets? I thought the "fliers can't target your target" referred to the target of your main ability. I guess I misunderstood that. Also what do you mean by pegasus "saving"? It's a misdirect, the target isn't protected but has the target of their ability changed.
or i was misdirected :P too many variables lolgwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:27 pmgwilikers6 wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:24 pm If someone misdirected dunya it would have to be one of the Pegasus Knights, who have both already claimed their misdirect. Because Jay bodyguarded dunya and he is cavlary.So with these two combined, dunya cannot have been misdirected unless Jay is lying. Meaning TonyStark's Goodguyia ID should be genuine.
hmm okKites wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:04 pmyeah misdirect is the right word, i was thinking of paladinnutella wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:57 pmwait you have two separate targets? I thought the "fliers can't target your target" referred to the target of your main ability. I guess I misunderstood that. Also what do you mean by pegasus "saving"? It's a misdirect, the target isn't protected but has the target of their ability changed.
it means that whoever i target, can not be targeted by fliers. having two abilities i can use both of them or just one, but i can only target one person. i didn’t use the other
another low(ish) poster you're immediately on board with. last day phase it was lap/rabbit. now it was a quick I_D vote.colonialbob wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:57 pm [VOTE: iron_dwarf ] aubergine
I'm on board this train and also probably won't be around much for the rest of the evening so I'd like to throw my aubergine down while i can.
I voted for quin!Marmot wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:11 pm AUBERGINE (ft low-posters and Triple-J)
[2] Quin - dunya, nutella
[1] colonialbob - Marmot
[2] Iron_Dwarf - JaggedJimmyJay, colonialbob
[1] JaggedJimmyJay - rundontwalk
No vote: ColinIsCool, Dr. White, Dragon D. Luffy, DrWilgy, Epignosis, gwilikers6, Iron_Dwarf, Kenway, Kites, Kylemii, lapluie, Long Con, MacDougall, Quin, sig, sprityo, TonyStarkPrime
I'm willing to give her a little slack since she survived to the end in both games, and lost in somewhat heartbreaking fashion in at least MK (don't really know about Buffy).dunya wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:12 pm Do we feel lapluie's reasons for not posting were genuine? It was a paragraph of how overwhelmed she was with this game, alongside her others. I would say she handled herself pretty well in MK, and things got rowdy over there. What do people who played longer with her in MK think?
Ok, who is an acceptable choice for me to vote for?dunya wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:07 pmanother low(ish) poster you're immediately on board with. last day phase it was lap/rabbit. now it was a quick I_D vote.colonialbob wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 5:57 pm [VOTE: iron_dwarf ] aubergine
I'm on board this train and also probably won't be around much for the rest of the evening so I'd like to throw my aubergine down while i can.
I’m curious. Why?MacDougall wrote: ↑Thu Feb 15, 2018 6:16 pmOh. I missed this the first time around but you are definitely Mafia.