Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021
Posted: Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:29 pm
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
@Urist where?
im not claiming specifically rolecop or anything. my role is more complicated and i wouldn't claim it that precisely with soup. i'm claiming i have details on nutella's role and that's itLinearPoint wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:29 pmTo be honest, Neeko doesn't follow what you are saying right now as it doesn't makes sense to her.Seanzie wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:23 pm
I think you're being overly generous if you assume early posts aren't serious.
LinearPoint's post about why it might be s/s was full of bad logic IMO. I thought about writing a post pointing out how none of the alignment conclusions actually follow from the things stated before them, but decided against it (but don't remember why I decided against it).
I did not piggyback off Urist's post. I did ask him if he saw the same thing as me, but he didn't answer me. You literally said the post that I voted LinearPoint over was bad, so are you piggybacking?
Nothing wrong with the logic imo. Mafia would have chosen N0 rolecop if given the option.
Alexa is claiming N0 rolecop.
Rolecop is very useful to Mafia. So Alexa is probably just Mafia.
Mafia if given N0 rolecop wouldn't just post their result ergo Alexa's check is probably fake.
Ergo Nutella is probably also Mafia. They both also seemed to drop the whole thunderdome extremely quickly and town read each other.
Logic for it being SvS seems pretty damn solid.
ugh, fine, I'll go rip the post to pieces. Gimme a minute.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:29 pmTo be honest, Neeko doesn't follow what you are saying right now as it doesn't makes sense to her.Seanzie wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:23 pm
I think you're being overly generous if you assume early posts aren't serious.
LinearPoint's post about why it might be s/s was full of bad logic IMO. I thought about writing a post pointing out how none of the alignment conclusions actually follow from the things stated before them, but decided against it (but don't remember why I decided against it).
I did not piggyback off Urist's post. I did ask him if he saw the same thing as me, but he didn't answer me. You literally said the post that I voted LinearPoint over was bad, so are you piggybacking?
Nothing wrong with the logic imo. Mafia would have chosen N0 rolecop if given the option.
Alexa is claiming N0 rolecop.
Rolecop is very useful to Mafia. So Alexa is probably just Mafia.
Mafia if given N0 rolecop wouldn't just post their result ergo Alexa's check is probably fake.
Ergo Nutella is probably also Mafia. They both also seemed to drop the whole thunderdome extremely quickly and town read each other.
Logic for it being SvS seems pretty damn solid.
Thanks, I really appreciate all the things you do for me.
I really don't feel I've done all that much for you, either negatively or positively
This is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
Mafia Rolecop is just good role? Neeko would pick Mafia Rolecop over other roles.alexa wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm @LinearPoint please explain to me why nook gives mafia a rolecop + a soup kill? and why i as mafia would out that information right away if i'm literally their role cop? that makes no sense and the role makes way more sense as town (even if i'm not claiming that specific role i really don't get your logic)
Wait I thought you didn't even know me. Did wolfchat just inform you about that?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
In the case that Mafia chose players, I don't see how you are concluding Alexa and Nutella are both town. Mafia chosing players doesn't seem to actually have any connection with the conclusion you're drawing here. Are you saying that Alexa and Nutella would not be chosen? Considering that Alexa was literally a wolf in a wolf-win champs finale, I think Alexa is a very natural candidate for wolves to choose, and while I think Nutella has a stronger town game than wolf game, they aren't a bad wolf, so they also could be wolf here. This t/t case makes no sense IMO.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:06 pm OK, so Neeko's current theory.
Neeko's role makes her agree with Nutella roles and alignments might not be tied down.
If Mafia chose roles why not take N0 rolecop? So Mafia either chose players and forwent N0 rolecop meaning Alexa and Nutella are both Town.
This case also doesn't really make sense IMO. First off, there is exactly one soup kill and the wolves need to sacrifice a wolf in order to use it, so it will likely only be used late game. There may be many very strong roles, so a single N0 rolecop that can't be used until late game. Vig shots, strong investigatives, strong protectives and random other roles I think all make more sense than a N0 rolecop. Perhaps if there are only 6 other strong roles out there, then sure, but from what I've seen of Alexa's role, I don't see it as so powerful that Mafia would have definitely taken it. So, that part doesn't really work out...OR
Mafia chose roles and took N0 rolecop using it to find roles quicker. Mafia probably wouldn't say they have a N0 rolecop on who they actually checked meaning Nutella and Alexa are probably both Mafia pretending with a gambit.
Nutella suggesting roles are not tied to alignment to Neeko makes it more likely option B was what happened and Nutella knew roles were not randomly assigned alignments.
N0? with a soup? if they have anything and it's more than 1 shot that's extremely overpowered.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:40 pmMafia Rolecop is just good role? Neeko would pick Mafia Rolecop over other roles.alexa wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm @LinearPoint please explain to me why nook gives mafia a rolecop + a soup kill? and why i as mafia would out that information right away if i'm literally their role cop? that makes no sense and the role makes way more sense as town (even if i'm not claiming that specific role i really don't get your logic)
Not sure what else you want?
Lmfao (derogatory)Creature wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:40 pmWait I thought you didn't even know me. Did wolfchat just inform you about that?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
I mean you did just do exactly what I asked you to do?falcon45ca wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:32 pmI really don't feel I've done all that much for you, either negatively or positively
honestly that whole alison post reads as scum casing townc4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
Are the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
why?Guillotine wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 7:54 pmThis is scum
[VOTE: Falcon45ca] aubergine
Why does it read that way to you?112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmhonestly that whole alison post reads as scum casing townc4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
I thought you were trying to sort me so I just shrugged off and waited for you to get to the correct conclusion. Instead you just bring up posts that aren't mafia-indicative at all and hide its bullshit between a lot of text.
Nah. Alison being guns blazing like this is townie and maybe this is the weakest point in the case but the rest is on the nose. Like the whole guilty conscience and 3p comment thing is pretty solid slam dunking imo.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmhonestly that whole alison post reads as scum casing townc4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
I think it's way too early to write such a monster of a post--if you have so much to write against him/his slot right now, it's probably coming from a place of wolfy over-eagerness to project town or otherwise control the game.Alison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
I have explained why the posts are mafia indicative. Now it is your turn to explain why they aren't.Creature wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:46 pmI thought you were trying to sort me so I just shrugged off and waited for you to get to the correct conclusion. Instead you just bring up posts that aren't mafia-indicative at all and hide its bullshit between a lot of text.
I am eager to project town and control the game as both alignments. I have also been known to initiate giant pushes on players I think are suspicious very early on in the game. All of these things are staples of my town play, and most of the players here can corroborate this. Does that change your mind?112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:47 pmI think it's way too early to write such a monster of a post--if you have so much to write against him/his slot right now, it's probably coming from a place of wolfy over-eagerness to project town or otherwise control the game.Alison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
The T/T case was from the assumption that roles are not tied to alignments. If Mafia didn't pick N0 rolecop then Alexa can't be Mafia meaning Nutella is probably Town from their reaction.Seanzie wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:41 pmIn the case that Mafia chose players, I don't see how you are concluding Alexa and Nutella are both town. Mafia chosing players doesn't seem to actually have any connection with the conclusion you're drawing here. Are you saying that Alexa and Nutella would not be chosen? Considering that Alexa was literally a wolf in a wolf-win champs finale, I think Alexa is a very natural candidate for wolves to choose, and while I think Nutella has a stronger town game than wolf game, they aren't a bad wolf, so they also could be wolf here. This t/t case makes no sense IMO.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 9:06 pm OK, so Neeko's current theory.
Neeko's role makes her agree with Nutella roles and alignments might not be tied down.
If Mafia chose roles why not take N0 rolecop? So Mafia either chose players and forwent N0 rolecop meaning Alexa and Nutella are both Town.
This case also doesn't really make sense IMO. First off, there is exactly one soup kill and the wolves need to sacrifice a wolf in order to use it, so it will likely only be used late game. There may be many very strong roles, so a single N0 rolecop that can't be used until late game. Vig shots, strong investigatives, strong protectives and random other roles I think all make more sense than a N0 rolecop. Perhaps if there are only 6 other strong roles out there, then sure, but from what I've seen of Alexa's role, I don't see it as so powerful that Mafia would have definitely taken it. So, that part doesn't really work out...OR
Mafia chose roles and took N0 rolecop using it to find roles quicker. Mafia probably wouldn't say they have a N0 rolecop on who they actually checked meaning Nutella and Alexa are probably both Mafia pretending with a gambit.
Nutella suggesting roles are not tied to alignment to Neeko makes it more likely option B was what happened and Nutella knew roles were not randomly assigned alignments.
Now, I don't see how Nutella saying roles are not tied to alignment makes it likely that it was option B. If town!Nutella got a scummy-looking role, then they would know that scummy-looking roles can be given to town, no? So this is at best a confbias read you're pushing on Nutella and at worst a chance for you to flame fans onto a spat.
Yeah probably, likely at least 1 3P too
Fluff posts are NAIAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
FluffAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
Not too early for a wolf to make themself that obvious. I think alison is right and justified by how glaringly bad creature's content has been.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:47 pmI think it's way too early to write such a monster of a post--if you have so much to write against him/his slot right now, it's probably coming from a place of wolfy over-eagerness to project town or otherwise control the game.Alison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
hmm will considernutella wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:46 pmNah. Alison being guns blazing like this is townie and maybe this is the weakest point in the case but the rest is on the nose. Like the whole guilty conscience and 3p comment thing is pretty solid slam dunking imo.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmhonestly that whole alison post reads as scum casing townc4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
okay i townread this
The guilty was like half-serious. It was the best thing to push on at the time. It was that or wait for a magical case on someone.nutella wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:46 pmNah. Alison being guns blazing like this is townie and maybe this is the weakest point in the case but the rest is on the nose. Like the whole guilty conscience and 3p comment thing is pretty solid slam dunking imo.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmhonestly that whole alison post reads as scum casing townc4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
It's true, I don't need to put stock in the derptells. But I think you're the kind of player who would be a lot more likely to try to derpclear yourself as scum than as town.Creature wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:49 pmFluff posts are NAIAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
Whatever the derp thing you mean is NAI because you don't need to put stock on them
The flame fanning or whatever could just be town trying to push something
fair enough and i haven't read pages 2-5ish yetnutella wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:49 pmNot too early for a wolf to make themself that obvious. I think alison is right and justified by how glaringly bad creature's content has been.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:47 pmI think it's way too early to write such a monster of a post--if you have so much to write against him/his slot right now, it's probably coming from a place of wolfy over-eagerness to project town or otherwise control the game.Alison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
"Could" be but isn't ehCreature wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:49 pmFluff posts are NAIAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmAre the other parts of my case NAI for him, too?c4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
Whatever the derp thing you mean is NAI because you don't need to put stock on them
The flame fanning or whatever could just be town trying to push something
A rigid adherence to cause-and-effect is a good way to summarize my town play.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:50 pmhmm will considernutella wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:46 pmNah. Alison being guns blazing like this is townie and maybe this is the weakest point in the case but the rest is on the nose. Like the whole guilty conscience and 3p comment thing is pretty solid slam dunking imo.112 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:44 pmhonestly that whole alison post reads as scum casing townc4e5g3d5 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:39 pmThis is extremely NAI for CreatureAlison wrote: ↑Fri Jan 28, 2022 10:37 pm At no point does he contribute to the conversation. He does not add evidence to support any narrative. He does not refute the evidence or points that others have brought up. He does not, in fact, engage with the theories and accusations that have been thrown around the thread. He merely fuels the fire with provocative one-liners and moves on without explaining them.
to me: i read the post first of all paying attention to its form more-so than the contents, and it really seemed like alison was trying /hard/ to follow a process and more than that appear to be following a process. maybe i am being anti-intellectual here and there is towny merit in casing people like that, but i honestly get the feeling she's trying too hard to slam dunk creature through a rigid adherence to cause-and-effect writing.
idk if that makes sense but ye