Re: [DAY 2] Harry Potter Mafia
Posted: Mon Feb 17, 2014 10:36 am
I'm voting for Thebe who consorted with Zeus and had an ancient Greek City and a Jupiter moon named after her.
Likewise.Katharina Henot wrote:I have no info and I love an underdog. Not sure if I'll be around when the poll closes. so I'm going with thebe
Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:I think some people are looking at things wrong. I also think at least one of you is doing it intentionally.
The Malfoys are not good people, and while Draco is currently listed as what some may be inclined to think of as 'civvies', the header only says 'Students'. As has been pointed out, there are no win conditions posted.
Voldemort and team have the only NK, assuming the Teachers are baddies as a result is, for anyone familiar with the story, absurd (Snape being a possible exception). Those roles (and Voldemorts Army for that matter) do not have stated BTSC. I believe the VA do, but I am somewhat doubtful the teachers do.
In my opinion, it is likely Lucius is a recruiter, specifically trying to find Draco and bring him (and perhaps all, or some of, Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy) into the fold, either with VA, or as a second and related group. Alternately, I can see him being a traitor role to the VA, which is what I am hopeful of, but in a game this size with the numbers being what they are, the way I see it that is unlikely.
As for Agnes, she survived a lynch, but maintained suspicion. I am of the opinion she was not Harry Potter, because we know Voldemort has Horcruxes in play, and therefore I expect that role to survive at least a single NK. I think targeting her, with the reasonable assumption the protector would not use (important to note they are limited in this game) it on her, was to check and see if she was indeed HP. Since she died, her being Harry is unlikely, and I believe VA know it to not be the case because I think Voldemorts role includes information on the Horcruxes.
As for her actual role, there are still two roles (Justin and Cho), that I am quite confident are what we can consider to be civvie that could explain her D1 survival, she could have been a teacher (and therefore imo probably, although we have no guarantee, civvie aligned), or she could have been Draco or Crabbe, in which case, as far as I'm concerned, we might still be better off without her. Or her survival could have been a result of a prize from D0, although at this point with all the role possibilities for lynch survivals, I'm inclined to doubt that.
As for useful information, Mary, Bridget, and Entjen, based on posts since D2 started, are the candidates for my vote as of now. Between the three of them, I think there is some intentional misinformation being spread, and while I seriously doubt more than one of them is VA, I do expect I will be voting for one of them today. Hopefully further discussion (and host clarifications, I'm interested to know if we'll get explicit win conditions, but if we do I would have follow up questions) will make it more clear which of the three I should go with.
"It's very true."Märet Jonsdotter wrote: I did a quick reread and this stood out to me a lot. A lot of fear mongering. Eessentially saying that about 1/4 of the civvies could defect to the Death Eaters.
What does this mean?Mary Eastey wrote:"It's very true."Märet Jonsdotter wrote: I did a quick reread and this stood out to me a lot. A lot of fear mongering. Eessentially saying that about 1/4 of the civvies could defect to the Death Eaters.
3
She literally says that somehow, civvies are worse. If this isn't fear mongering, I don't know what is.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Those numbers don't make any sense. If every teacher recruited someone, and they are baddies, that would result in 12 baddies total. You're pushing things that aren't likely. Mafia teams have kills. You use not knowing the teachers alignment as a reason they are bad, but we don't have the alignment for any role, and there are no grounds to believe the teachers are bad (once again, I'd say Snape is a possible exception, perhaps some kind of solo baddie).Mary Eastey wrote:"So, if they are a baddie team, why don't they have an NK? And what about the fact that they are each head of houses, and all of the students are evenly divided between the houses? That has to mean something, right?"
This is speculation, but I think each of the teachers can recruit someone from their house to their team. They have to search for them every night. So yes, they may not have an NK, but I think that they could probably lower the amount of civvies drastically.
We KNOW that Lucius is searching for Draco each night. We don't know what happens if he finds him, but we do know neither he or Draco are anything that could be considered good people, and Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy are worse. You're trying to force role alignments that are consistent with a standard layout, not alignments that make real sense, and not alignments that are supported by what little we do have to go on.
Except it's been confirmed that teachers are independents, not baddies. So unless you want to tell me you think a game with 20 non baddies vs. 4 baddies makes sense, then more have to have that potential, and Slytherin has a history of being evil (Point in case: all 4 baddies were).Märet Jonsdotter wrote:She literally says that somehow, civvies are worse. If this isn't fear mongering, I don't know what is.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Those numbers don't make any sense. If every teacher recruited someone, and they are baddies, that would result in 12 baddies total. You're pushing things that aren't likely. Mafia teams have kills. You use not knowing the teachers alignment as a reason they are bad, but we don't have the alignment for any role, and there are no grounds to believe the teachers are bad (once again, I'd say Snape is a possible exception, perhaps some kind of solo baddie).Mary Eastey wrote:"So, if they are a baddie team, why don't they have an NK? And what about the fact that they are each head of houses, and all of the students are evenly divided between the houses? That has to mean something, right?"
This is speculation, but I think each of the teachers can recruit someone from their house to their team. They have to search for them every night. So yes, they may not have an NK, but I think that they could probably lower the amount of civvies drastically.
We KNOW that Lucius is searching for Draco each night. We don't know what happens if he finds him, but we do know neither he or Draco are anything that could be considered good people, and Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy are worse. You're trying to force role alignments that are consistent with a standard layout, not alignments that make real sense, and not alignments that are supported by what little we do have to go on.
Big time.
....you literally said that Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy-- roles to which we have zero confirmed indication that are recruitable (we have that indication on Draco) are worse than Lucius.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Except it's been confirmed that teachers are independents, not baddies. So unless you want to tell me you think a game with 20 non baddies vs. 4 baddies makes sense, then more have to have that potential, and Slytherin has a history of being evil (Point in case: all 4 baddies were).Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:
We KNOW that Lucius is searching for Draco each night. We don't know what happens if he finds him, but we do know neither he or Draco are anything that could be considered good people, and Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy are worse.
That's not fear-mongering, that's the reality of the situation, if you don't want to accept it, than that's on you.
Hey now! That wasn't nice.A Person wrote:Night 2
While the actual post will be posted later, Katharina Henot has survived a kill attempt by Voldemort and the death eaters.
it's now Day 3, you have 48 hours to lynch someone.
"Rebecca MOM!"Rebecca Nurse wrote:Yeah, sister Mary. Do give a well-detailed, elaborate explanation
"I completely agree, maybe things will vote accordingly."Märet Jonsdotter wrote:....you literally said that Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy-- roles to which we have zero confirmed indication that are recruitable (we have that indication on Draco) are worse than Lucius.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Except it's been confirmed that teachers are independents, not baddies. So unless you want to tell me you think a game with 20 non baddies vs. 4 baddies makes sense, then more have to have that potential, and Slytherin has a history of being evil (Point in case: all 4 baddies were).Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:
We KNOW that Lucius is searching for Draco each night. We don't know what happens if he finds him, but we do know neither he or Draco are anything that could be considered good people, and Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy are worse.
That's not fear-mongering, that's the reality of the situation, if you don't want to accept it, than that's on you.
Go read the books and tell me they aren't.Märet Jonsdotter wrote:....you literally said that Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy-- roles to which we have zero confirmed indication that are recruitable (we have that indication on Draco) are worse than Lucius.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Except it's been confirmed that teachers are independents, not baddies. So unless you want to tell me you think a game with 20 non baddies vs. 4 baddies makes sense, then more have to have that potential, and Slytherin has a history of being evil (Point in case: all 4 baddies were).Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:
We KNOW that Lucius is searching for Draco each night. We don't know what happens if he finds him, but we do know neither he or Draco are anything that could be considered good people, and Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy are worse.
That's not fear-mongering, that's the reality of the situation, if you don't want to accept it, than that's on you.
Maybe in the thread you should differentiate what you're getting from the books versus what are you deducing from the thread. Not all of us have read all the books so can't tell where you're getting you're info unless you specify.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Go read the books and tell me they aren't.Märet Jonsdotter wrote: ....you literally said that Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy-- roles to which we have zero confirmed indication that are recruitable (we have that indication on Draco) are worse than Lucius.
What are your thoughts today, Jennet?Jennet Bierley wrote:Quiet day so far. Where is everyone?
Yes, because every Mafia game bases itself purely on the books. By this logic, Snape-- along with the rest of the professors-- are secret civvies.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Go read the books and tell me they aren't.Märet Jonsdotter wrote:....you literally said that Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy-- roles to which we have zero confirmed indication that are recruitable (we have that indication on Draco) are worse than Lucius.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Except it's been confirmed that teachers are independents, not baddies. So unless you want to tell me you think a game with 20 non baddies vs. 4 baddies makes sense, then more have to have that potential, and Slytherin has a history of being evil (Point in case: all 4 baddies were).Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:
We KNOW that Lucius is searching for Draco each night. We don't know what happens if he finds him, but we do know neither he or Draco are anything that could be considered good people, and Crabbe, Goyle, and Pansy are worse.
That's not fear-mongering, that's the reality of the situation, if you don't want to accept it, than that's on you.
Jane Southworth wrote:Katharina, who do you think might have tried to kill you last night?
Krystyna, do you believe that Draco and the other Slytherin students are baddies, or do you just want us to be wary of the possibility they could be? What do you think of your vote for Bridget yesterday, now that we know her role? Do you stand by your reasoning?
What are your thoughts today, Jennet?Jennet Bierley wrote:Quiet day so far. Where is everyone?
I think that Draco, at least, is recruitable, and I think the other 3 are more likely to have the potential of being anti-civvie than any of the professors (once again, with Snape being a possible exception).Jane Southworth wrote:Katharina, who do you think might have tried to kill you last night?
Krystyna, do you believe that Draco and the other Slytherin students are baddies, or do you just want us to be wary of the possibility they could be? What do you think of your vote for Bridget yesterday, now that we know her role? Do you stand by your reasoning?
What are your thoughts today, Jennet?Jennet Bierley wrote:Quiet day so far. Where is everyone?
To clarify, that wasn't he point I made. I made the point that the professors would essentially be civvies by your reasoning. In addition, Goyle and Pansy both do not have secrets. Draco and Crabbe do. Why the insistence that they are all the same? What do you "know"? I would imagine roles with secrets would have more potential to be bad than roles without, however, you say that two roles without secrets are worse than a confirmed, full out, baddie. Riddle me that.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:I think that Draco, at least, is recruitable, and I think the other 3 are more likely to have the potential of being anti-civvie than any of the professors (once again, with Snape being a possible exception).Jane Southworth wrote:Katharina, who do you think might have tried to kill you last night?
Krystyna, do you believe that Draco and the other Slytherin students are baddies, or do you just want us to be wary of the possibility they could be? What do you think of your vote for Bridget yesterday, now that we know her role? Do you stand by your reasoning?
What are your thoughts today, Jennet?Jennet Bierley wrote:Quiet day so far. Where is everyone?
Because sometimes people who are likable or ultimately good need to be bad for the sake of balance. I do not personally advocate such speculation, but I find it far less suspicious than speculation that Pansy and Goyle (especially) are "worse" than a team of baddies.Rebecca Nurse wrote:Question about big book/movie spoiler for anyone that has read/seen them all:
Why do people keep saying Snape could be bad? I thought he was a shifty-acting guy that ended up being good and saving the day in the last book? I'm expecting him to be a very powerful good guy in this game.
Dumbledore isn't a role, so things there could play out differently.Rebecca Nurse wrote:Question about big book/movie spoiler for anyone that has read/seen them all:
Why do people keep saying Snape could be bad? I thought he was a shifty-acting guy that ended up being good and saving the day in the last book? I'm expecting him to be a very powerful good guy in this game.
"To clarify, that wasn't he point I made. I made the point that the professors would essentially be civvies by your reasoning. In addition, Goyle and Pansy both do not have secrets. Draco and Crabbe do. Why the insistence that they are all the same? What do you "know"? I would imagine roles with secrets would have more potential to be bad than roles without, however, you say that two roles without secrets are worse than a confirmed, full out, baddie. Riddle me that. "Märet Jonsdotter wrote:To clarify, that wasn't he point I made. I made the point that the professors would essentially be civvies by your reasoning. In addition, Goyle and Pansy both do not have secrets. Draco and Crabbe do. Why the insistence that they are all the same? What do you "know"? I would imagine roles with secrets would have more potential to be bad than roles without, however, you say that two roles without secrets are worse than a confirmed, full out, baddie. Riddle me that.Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:I think that Draco, at least, is recruitable, and I think the other 3 are more likely to have the potential of being anti-civvie than any of the professors (once again, with Snape being a possible exception).Jane Southworth wrote:Katharina, who do you think might have tried to kill you last night?
Krystyna, do you believe that Draco and the other Slytherin students are baddies, or do you just want us to be wary of the possibility they could be? What do you think of your vote for Bridget yesterday, now that we know her role? Do you stand by your reasoning?
What are your thoughts today, Jennet?Jennet Bierley wrote:Quiet day so far. Where is everyone?Because sometimes people who are likable or ultimately good need to be bad for the sake of balance. I do not personally advocate such speculation, but I find it far less suspicious than speculation that Pansy and Goyle (especially) are "worse" than a team of baddies.Rebecca Nurse wrote:Question about big book/movie spoiler for anyone that has read/seen them all:
Why do people keep saying Snape could be bad? I thought he was a shifty-acting guy that ended up being good and saving the day in the last book? I'm expecting him to be a very powerful good guy in this game.
Actually, during the Battle for Hogwarts, Slytherin students are not brought in to fight with the rest of the school, and put with the young students, because they are not trusted. During that entire year, they also help the Death Eater's that were put in charge of the school torture other students.Malin Matsdotter wrote:I think it is reckless and irresponsible to assume evil on the part of the Slytherin students. It is not the Hogwarts spirit. The sorting hat and the professors never assumed that Slytherins were automatically bad in the books. It would be unfair for us to do so now.
This is racism of the Slytherin people! Dumbledore is always for us, he is an asshole!Krystyna Ceynowa wrote:Actually, during the Battle for Hogwarts, Slytherin students are not brought in to fight with the rest of the school, and put with the young students, because they are not trusted. During that entire year, they also help the Death Eater's that were put in charge of the school torture other students.Malin Matsdotter wrote:I think it is reckless and irresponsible to assume evil on the part of the Slytherin students. It is not the Hogwarts spirit. The sorting hat and the professors never assumed that Slytherins were automatically bad in the books. It would be unfair for us to do so now.
I'm not sure why there is still this much debate going on?A Person wrote:Also, the only group that had btsc initially was the baddie team. Whether anything has changed, who can say?
The second part of her response bothers me. So much of what she says tends towards being direct, but this isn't. I suppose it seems to me like a way to avoid talking about Bridget or any other player specifically, and keeping things in broad strokes.Entjen Gillis wrote:I'm not sure why I should trust you when you say you won't be lynched. I don't know your role, and what am I supposed to do anyways... Just let myself get lynched instead? I know I am a civvie, I can't say the same for you.Agnes Sampson wrote:Your responses leave something to be desired as well. Plus you are not reading when I say I WILL NOT BE LYNCHED:Entjen Gillis wrote:I voted Agnes. Had to vote now :/ sorry. I'm far from confident about her, but i don't like some of her responses this past day
and better you then me![]()
I guess you thought nothing of lets say Bridget for jumping on your post and voting me? I ill guess not.
I plan on looking at everyone who jumped on all sides of this discussion. And the ones who didn't contribute for that matter. There is more than one baddie to find.
I really don't like that. Not only are you shrugging off responsibility for missing the vote, you aren't even adding to the discussion (which you previously complained about) to say where your vote would have gone had you bothered to vote. That's Strike 3.Entjen Gillis wrote:damn everyone I am really sorry for missing the vote. I don't even know who I would have voted for in the end. I don't know why I thought I had more time then I had