Re: Bread Mafia [Day 2]
Posted: Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:47 pm
i was looking for an activity overview button cuz this forum is v similar to MS but cheers
at the time, i didn't have any specific "towntells" in mind that michelle would need to drop - that was my drunken way of expressing that i felt that ~if~ michelle was town, then it was likely that she would organically reconsider and rethink the perspectives that she was outingAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 12:22 pm Okay, well, that was the only ping, all my other notifications were just people quoting posts I made.
So my issue here is that Michelle is doing an awful lot of work/solving despite having a lot of pressure on her. I don't remember trying this hard to save herself in Champs finale when she was caught as scum, she just let her teammates bus her and maximize their cred. The situations are different and she might have felt pressured to do more here if her team is weak (eg. if it's Made/Michelle/Grogu), but I'm townreading this last burst of activity from her.
I agree broadly with the sentiment that DOOM's recent posts have been very good, and I am currently towncoring Esooa/nutella/tutuu/koba/nanook with fairly high confidence. I'm not scumreading SPF, but she hasn't made herself as raw town as she claimed she would be, and this particular post pinged me:
Because in this position, SPF was fairly confident Michelle was scum and making up nonsensical reasons ("you're lying about being drunk", etc.) to vote her. The "until she towntells" qualifier read to me as kinda hedgy, like she was leaving herself an out to get out of the wagon without too much scrutiny if she suddenly realizes Michelle is PR or that she'd look bad off Michelle's flip. @staypositivefriend can you elaborate a little about what sort of towntells Michelle could drop that would change your mind about her alignment at this point in time?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:55 am i'm going to bed but i'm probably parking my vote on michelle until she towntells. gnight
bruh u were on fucking wagon what the fuckstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 12:28 am i was pretty sad about LC being a mischop, but there's no direction to go but forward. my confidence is a little bit shook, so my plan for today is simply this:
find between 3-5 townreads that i can 100% confidently put into the "never re-evaluate until LYLO category"
i feel good about the "towncore" that we assembled yesterday, but the flip + the kill makes me want to re-evaluate some things and make sure that my foundation for this game is coming from the correct place. if i can just craft a game winning towncore, then i don't even need to focus my energy on sorting within the broadly scummy players
this is nothing new, but i just wanted to share where my head is at. i expect that ellie and esooa are going to thunderdome today, and if so, that's fine. i'm probably going to disengage from that thunderdome in favor of searching for solid townreads outside
Mich could be town, like she's trying really REALLY hard for from my perspective looks like a failed mafia game. I'll still vote for her but I had taken it off earlier to avoid a hammer and am more comfortable having it go back on Made since he's 100% scum. Im not gonna get into why he is because ive already done a write up today but its all in my iso.DaughterOfOmega wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:40 pmExplain this in good detail.EllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:25 pm im changing my vote to made, i think the likelihood of him being scum is higher than Mich
You and Michelle could easily be teammates, and if Ellie can't genuinely give an explanation we just kill them both.
Sure. I wanted to play the same way. Old instincts eventually take hold though.NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:40 pmPossibly in part because I don’t actually feel super strongly about most of my reads
I’m pretty much just taking a backseat and seeing if the current leaders push us to scum, if they don’t then I’ll try to course correct when it’s needed. Idk if that’s the correct way to play this game but it’s how I’m playing it anyways
i am v aware of that factDkKoba wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pmbruh u were on fucking wagon what the fuckstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 12:28 am i was pretty sad about LC being a mischop, but there's no direction to go but forward. my confidence is a little bit shook, so my plan for today is simply this:
find between 3-5 townreads that i can 100% confidently put into the "never re-evaluate until LYLO category"
i feel good about the "towncore" that we assembled yesterday, but the flip + the kill makes me want to re-evaluate some things and make sure that my foundation for this game is coming from the correct place. if i can just craft a game winning towncore, then i don't even need to focus my energy on sorting within the broadly scummy players
this is nothing new, but i just wanted to share where my head is at. i expect that ellie and esooa are going to thunderdome today, and if so, that's fine. i'm probably going to disengage from that thunderdome in favor of searching for solid townreads outside
relatableAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm Everything with Made/Michelle/Ellie feels weird as shit honestly. Completely nonsensical reads, intentional wifoming/scumclaiming for no reason other than to mess with people's heads, hard shielding and deathtunnelling each other, AtE, I'm kind of done with it all. It's probably just some weird attempt to anti-spew/generate chaos because it's the only way they can win so I'm going to just kill them and let Marmot sort them out for me.
okay, but can i be the last one to be killed pleaseAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm Everything with Made/Michelle/Ellie feels weird as shit honestly. Completely nonsensical reads, intentional wifoming/scumclaiming for no reason other than to mess with people's heads, hard shielding and deathtunnelling each other, AtE, I'm kind of done with it all. It's probably just some weird attempt to anti-spew/generate chaos because it's the only way they can win so I'm going to just kill them and let Marmot sort them out for me.
Made wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:23 ampost like this, and your "ewww grosss made" only making me more confident that ur town. i see why that's problematic, but like it's gonna work out dwEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:21 ammade is 1000% scum, i have done nothing in this game for him to bend over backwards. i couldnt tell you anyone else, michelle looked scum to me d1 but idk what to say now. probably scum if shes helping made though.Esooa wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:17 amcan you give a general reads listEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:16 amyou're going to kill another town and mafia are going to use that to get you killed like what's happening RIGHT NOW. i wish i was scum so you wouldn't look so evil but im not
nook, spf, nutter are lock town.
idk where to put you since i thought you were scum so bad yesterday but now im confused.
grogu is a passing thought and i dont care either way since he's inactive.
Made wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:11 amRelatable. Sleep is a mythEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:02 ami am constantly in thread witbout speaking at night since i cant sleep. i thought it was obvious since it shows who's online.
I'll vote for Mich tho, i think Made is scummier but Mich is definitely worth a bake.
We’re not actually going to bake Michelle are we? That literally makes no sense.
Like even from my POV I make more sense than Michelle, or Ellie. Michelle that’s some wacko type.
What if instead of baking esooa after Michelle we bake esooa first?
We’re 3 votes from hammer. Y’all really think mafia would let us get this close to hammering???
Why do we think esooa is civvie??? This is so silly
these are a couple of posts from made that give me the impression that they are focused on anti-spew above all else. the thoughts here feel performativeMade wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:12 amNanook is more town than like anyone this game in the towncore sense.Esooa wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:09 am another thing to note
soon after I made my case basically saying why made and Michelle were scum, nanook called himself confirmed town
this felt off to me
I can get easily see scum! nanook realizing his partners are about to go down and expecting he needs to go deep, thus feeling the need to emphasize his town reads
worth looking into if Nanook has called himself confirmed town before that point, or if it was a notable increase
I'm wondering why though, if this would be the case, that nanook continues to defend Michelle. It's not too unlikely tbh, considering the distant way he chose to defend her, and I suppose it would be maybe weird if he flipped his read on her. But it should be looked into. Obviously other things to look into are how hard nanook bussed made and how likely scum!nanook is to do this
awe u included me twice <3Esooa wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 1:40 am cool, really enjoy playing a game where I get based on if my reads are anything but 100% correct while u get to just sound towny day 0 and get lock cleared by everyone and don't have to care at all about if you have a single incorrect reads with players you barely even know they're all gonna apply some kinda insane meta where my reads are always correct or I get hard pushed for entire day phases at a time
I'm not checking this thread for the next 24 hours wtv
Ellie+made+1
+1 in koba/grogu/DOOM/spf/koba (maybe forgetting one)
most likely doom
What does anti spew mean?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:53 pmMade wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:23 ampost like this, and your "ewww grosss made" only making me more confident that ur town. i see why that's problematic, but like it's gonna work out dwEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:21 ammade is 1000% scum, i have done nothing in this game for him to bend over backwards. i couldnt tell you anyone else, michelle looked scum to me d1 but idk what to say now. probably scum if shes helping made though.Esooa wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:17 amcan you give a general reads listEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:16 amyou're going to kill another town and mafia are going to use that to get you killed like what's happening RIGHT NOW. i wish i was scum so you wouldn't look so evil but im not
nook, spf, nutter are lock town.
idk where to put you since i thought you were scum so bad yesterday but now im confused.
grogu is a passing thought and i dont care either way since he's inactive.Made wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:11 amRelatable. Sleep is a mythEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:02 ami am constantly in thread witbout speaking at night since i cant sleep. i thought it was obvious since it shows who's online.
I'll vote for Mich tho, i think Made is scummier but Mich is definitely worth a bake.
We’re not actually going to bake Michelle are we? That literally makes no sense.
Like even from my POV I make more sense than Michelle, or Ellie. Michelle that’s some wacko type.
What if instead of baking esooa after Michelle we bake esooa first?
We’re 3 votes from hammer. Y’all really think mafia would let us get this close to hammering???
Why do we think esooa is civvie??? This is so sillythese are a couple of posts from made that give me the impression that they are focused on anti-spew above all else. the thoughts here feel performativeMade wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:12 amNanook is more town than like anyone this game in the towncore sense.Esooa wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 7:09 am another thing to note
soon after I made my case basically saying why made and Michelle were scum, nanook called himself confirmed town
this felt off to me
I can get easily see scum! nanook realizing his partners are about to go down and expecting he needs to go deep, thus feeling the need to emphasize his town reads
worth looking into if Nanook has called himself confirmed town before that point, or if it was a notable increase
I'm wondering why though, if this would be the case, that nanook continues to defend Michelle. It's not too unlikely tbh, considering the distant way he chose to defend her, and I suppose it would be maybe weird if he flipped his read on her. But it should be looked into. Obviously other things to look into are how hard nanook bussed made and how likely scum!nanook is to do this
Mmm, I can relate to this view of Michelle, and I think it's townie in that we both analyzed Michelle's play similarly (I was talking about how I expected her reads to be fluid if she was town and rigid if she was scum earlier). You have on multiple occasions expressed a stated intent to clear yourself through pure effort/townieness. Most people have you as consensus "just outside the towncore" or "upper POE but not clear" level. How do you feel about this? Do you think your play this game is off, or do you think they're just taking time to get there?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm at the time, i didn't have any specific "towntells" in mind that michelle would need to drop - that was my drunken way of expressing that i felt that ~if~ michelle was town, then it was likely that she would organically reconsider and rethink the perspectives that she was outing
i could see a plausible world where michelle, as town, gets worked up about people voting her and concludes in the heat of the moment that anyone voting her is coming from a mafia POV. however, i found the world where michelle outed those reads and then ~continued~ to hold them for hours on end significantly less likely
the main thing that i was (and am) looking for was genuine reconsideration of the reads that she outed, or even a further analysis into why me/esooa/michelle made sense as a team. the main concern i have about michelle is that her gamesolving has not felt authentic to me, and i am searching for those moments of authenticity
What happened to "I accept death but just kill Made after me"?EllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:50 pmokay, but can i be the last one to be killed pleaseAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm Everything with Made/Michelle/Ellie feels weird as shit honestly. Completely nonsensical reads, intentional wifoming/scumclaiming for no reason other than to mess with people's heads, hard shielding and deathtunnelling each other, AtE, I'm kind of done with it all. It's probably just some weird attempt to anti-spew/generate chaos because it's the only way they can win so I'm going to just kill them and let Marmot sort them out for me.
I’m better at maintaining it than youJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:49 pmSure. I wanted to play the same way. Old instincts eventually take hold though.NANOOKTHEGREATANDFEARSOME wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:40 pmPossibly in part because I don’t actually feel super strongly about most of my reads
I’m pretty much just taking a backseat and seeing if the current leaders push us to scum, if they don’t then I’ll try to course correct when it’s needed. Idk if that’s the correct way to play this game but it’s how I’m playing it anyways![]()
what things are those that are inconsequential to you?nutella wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 3:22 am Michelle is really nitpicking at things that are inconsequential, which like I think she does as town but in a better balance with actual real reads and productive pushes tbh.
Really feeling she's mafia here, and I think Made is more likely town in comparison.
i was about to die lol. i just wanted to make aure yall would take a mafia too. Now that its evenly between me and my two mafia reads if there's a chance I could outlive them i want to try. Anyways, it shouldnt matter what order we're baked unless you read me as 10× scummierAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:58 pmWhat happened to "I accept death but just kill Made after me"?EllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:50 pmokay, but can i be the last one to be killed pleaseAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm Everything with Made/Michelle/Ellie feels weird as shit honestly. Completely nonsensical reads, intentional wifoming/scumclaiming for no reason other than to mess with people's heads, hard shielding and deathtunnelling each other, AtE, I'm kind of done with it all. It's probably just some weird attempt to anti-spew/generate chaos because it's the only way they can win so I'm going to just kill them and let Marmot sort them out for me.
it's a mix of both. i feel that this is one of the weaker town games i've had recently, in the sense that i misvoted on d1 and in the sense that i've been having a harder time grabbing ahold of solid, concrete scumreads like i usually do. (no need to be hard on myself tho - this game is still fun). i also feel that if we live in a michelle/made/x scumworld like i suspect that we might, then my town equity is going to increase day by day, and the game will hopefully be over before anyone has a chance to meaningfully tinfoil meAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:57 pmMmm, I can relate to this view of Michelle, and I think it's townie in that we both analyzed Michelle's play similarly (I was talking about how I expected her reads to be fluid if she was town and rigid if she was scum earlier). You have on multiple occasions expressed a stated intent to clear yourself through pure effort/townieness. Most people have you as consensus "just outside the towncore" or "upper POE but not clear" level. How do you feel about this? Do you think your play this game is off, or do you think they're just taking time to get there?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm at the time, i didn't have any specific "towntells" in mind that michelle would need to drop - that was my drunken way of expressing that i felt that ~if~ michelle was town, then it was likely that she would organically reconsider and rethink the perspectives that she was outing
i could see a plausible world where michelle, as town, gets worked up about people voting her and concludes in the heat of the moment that anyone voting her is coming from a mafia POV. however, i found the world where michelle outed those reads and then ~continued~ to hold them for hours on end significantly less likely
the main thing that i was (and am) looking for was genuine reconsideration of the reads that she outed, or even a further analysis into why me/esooa/michelle made sense as a team. the main concern i have about michelle is that her gamesolving has not felt authentic to me, and i am searching for those moments of authenticity
Noted. My play is a bit everywhere, but I’m trying a bit more of a player interaction focused to find mafia which is requiring me to interact directly with players a lot, but I get how that can be confusing.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:59 pm @Made - by "anti-spew", i mean posts that are intended to confuse/mislead people into the incorrect conclusions when you flip mafia and they re-read your posts for partner interactions
Well currently I have you as last to go out of the three :PEllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:02 pmi was about to die lol. i just wanted to make aure yall would take a mafia too. Now that its evenly between me and my two mafia reads if there's a chance I could outlive them i want to try. Anyways, it shouldnt matter what order we're baked unless you read me as 10× scummierAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:58 pmWhat happened to "I accept death but just kill Made after me"?EllieDelight wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:50 pmokay, but can i be the last one to be killed pleaseAlison wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:48 pm Everything with Made/Michelle/Ellie feels weird as shit honestly. Completely nonsensical reads, intentional wifoming/scumclaiming for no reason other than to mess with people's heads, hard shielding and deathtunnelling each other, AtE, I'm kind of done with it all. It's probably just some weird attempt to anti-spew/generate chaos because it's the only way they can win so I'm going to just kill them and let Marmot sort them out for me.
lol, it helped me to see you orient yourself around similar positions as me when i was catching up with the thread earlier. i think our perspective has mostly been in lockstep with a couple of minor differences/bumps along the wayJaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:01 pm My view of SPF is like a diet version of my view of Alison.
I've been seeing almost the exact same game as Alison the whole time, and I think that means we're the same alignment. I've been seeing the same game as SPF most of the time, and I think that means we
re probably the same alignment. When we're both town, SPF and I have in previous games been pretty close in our reads. So I am mostly pleased by that.![]()
Isn't this implying a preflip asociation for Made who is not prooved yet? How do you know how Made flips?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:59 pm @Made - by "anti-spew", i mean posts that are intended to confuse/mislead people into the incorrect conclusions when you flip mafia and they re-read your posts for partner interactions
Me either tbh, but don’t say it again, it hurts my feelings.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:06 pm When I ask myself if I would rather chop Made, Ellie, or Michelle, my answer is "I literally don't give a crap"
i don't - i'm saying that a couple of the posts that made has posted feel as though they are intended to mislead/confuse people, and that makes me suspicious of his intentMichelle wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:06 pmIsn't this implying a preflip asociation for Made who is not prooved yet? How do you know how Made flips?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:59 pm @Made - by "anti-spew", i mean posts that are intended to confuse/mislead people into the incorrect conclusions when you flip mafia and they re-read your posts for partner interactions
Both these, the above idea plus the wallies about me are highly performative and fitting a general scum behaviour.
Alright, that answer satisfies me. I think if we live in, say, Michelle/Made/SPF world, you'd be a lot more desperate to get into the towncore and go deep (see: Grasslands where you realized your two partners were POE'd out of the game early and focused all your efforts on getting to endgame). I don't see desperation or panic here wrt to your status in the towncore or lack thereof, which moves you higher in my eyes, since forcing your way into the towncore is your path to victory as mafia.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:03 pm it's a mix of both. i feel that this is one of the weaker town games i've had recently, in the sense that i misvoted on d1 and in the sense that i've been having a harder time grabbing ahold of solid, concrete scumreads like i usually do. (no need to be hard on myself tho - this game is still fun). i also feel that if we live in a michelle/made/x scumworld like i suspect that we might, then my town equity is going to increase day by day, and the game will hopefully be over before anyone has a chance to meaningfully tinfoil me
I mean no offense nor callousness, Michelle. This game wears me out much faster than it used to. Part of my apathy is my fatigue.Michelle wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:07 pmMe either tbh, but don’t say it again, it hurts my feelings.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:06 pm When I ask myself if I would rather chop Made, Ellie, or Michelle, my answer is "I literally don't give a crap"
Just don't say it with other words, i understand your narrative and why are you doing itstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:07 pmi don't - i'm saying that a couple of the posts that made has posted feel as though they are intended to mislead/confuse people, and that makes me suspicious of his intentMichelle wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:06 pmIsn't this implying a preflip asociation for Made who is not prooved yet? How do you know how Made flips?staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 5:59 pm @Made - by "anti-spew", i mean posts that are intended to confuse/mislead people into the incorrect conclusions when you flip mafia and they re-read your posts for partner interactions
Both these, the above idea plus the wallies about me are highly performative and fitting a general scum behaviour.