Re: MAD MAX: Night 1
Posted: Tue Oct 18, 2016 4:50 pm
I mean, hopping off/on a wagon at best last moment is always fishy
Phone please stop messing up my sentencessprityo wrote:I mean, hopping off/on a wagon at best [the] last moment is always fishy
I still think that what you said was disingenuous, but the rest of your content looks town enough for me to overlook it for now.MovingPictures07 wrote:zebra, why did you go from thinking something I said was disingenuous to town reading me? Can you elaborate?
Could you elaborate on this if there's any concrete reasoning behind it? Particularly why it was less than twenty minutes before the lynch?Epignosis wrote:I changed my vote to sanmateo, by the way.
To me there's no point in not being confident with a Day 1 vote. I don't do Day 1 policy lynches so I try to find whatever I can find. Confidence in my opinion helps me evaluate my decision and it sometimes helps back my suspect into a corner. I'd rather everyone be uber-confident with little to go on with their Day 1 votes than be waffly and on the fence so there's still not much to go on the following phase.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: Zebra exhibited more confidence than I'd expect to see for a Day 1 vote.
This is weak yo.Ricochet wrote:I see that Mac is still alive...
I second this.insertnamehere wrote:The two people who came out of Day 1 looking worse for me are Elo and Epi, those two lovebirds.
Elo's Scotty vote and "self-preservation" was weird to me. Same thing with Epi's ultimately useless last second switcheroo where he jumped off of the Scotty train mere seconds before it crashed into a wall. I'd really like to see his explanation for his vote because right now it just rings as hollowly opportunistic.
The opportunity would be to deny responsibility for a mislynch by not having your final vote as a contribution to it.Epignosis wrote:What's the opportunity?insertnamehere wrote:The two people who came out of Day 1 looking worse for me are Elo and Epi, those two lovebirds.
Elo's Scotty vote and "self-preservation" was weird to me. Same thing with Epi's ultimately useless last second switcheroo where he jumped off of the Scotty train mere seconds before it crashed into a wall. I'd really like to see his explanation for his vote because right now it just rings as hollowly opportunistic.
Why?a2thezebra wrote:I thought I would have more to offer but most of that territory that I caught up with is well-covered. The only update for me as far as reads go (besides Scotty of course) is Epignosis. I don't read him as a baddie yet but removing his vote from Scotty near the end bumped him down from my civ reads.
The answer is literally one post above the one you're quoting. You won't have to dig too deep.Epignosis wrote:Why?a2thezebra wrote:I thought I would have more to offer but most of that territory that I caught up with is well-covered. The only update for me as far as reads go (besides Scotty of course) is Epignosis. I don't read him as a baddie yet but removing his vote from Scotty near the end bumped him down from my civ reads.
Less than two, really.a2thezebra wrote:Could you elaborate on this if there's any concrete reasoning behind it? Particularly why it was less than twenty minutes before the lynch?Epignosis wrote:I changed my vote to sanmateo, by the way.
I don't see the opportunity gained there.a2thezebra wrote:The opportunity would be to deny responsibility for a mislynch by not having your final vote as a contribution to it.Epignosis wrote:What's the opportunity?insertnamehere wrote:The two people who came out of Day 1 looking worse for me are Elo and Epi, those two lovebirds.
Elo's Scotty vote and "self-preservation" was weird to me. Same thing with Epi's ultimately useless last second switcheroo where he jumped off of the Scotty train mere seconds before it crashed into a wall. I'd really like to see his explanation for his vote because right now it just rings as hollowly opportunistic.
Epignosis wrote:Correct.S~V~S wrote:You were on Scotty, right?
So...I must have never anticipated anybody jumping on the fact that I jumped off Scotty at the last minute.a2thezebra wrote:It's also in the post you are quoting actually. Jumping off a mislynch right before it happens is suspicious. No mental gymnastics can deny that.
I would be with you on this if Scotty flipped bad. I sat and kept refreshing waiting for the hammer to drop & lynch someone else after Epi switched his vote. But Scotty wasn't bad. And even with Epi switching his vote at the last minute, we're all smart folk, and would remember that Epi pushed the Scotty suspish fairly strongly. Scotty flipping civ made me feel better about Epi, not worse.a2thezebra wrote:The answer is literally one post above the one you're quoting. You won't have to dig too deep.Epignosis wrote:Why?a2thezebra wrote:I thought I would have more to offer but most of that territory that I caught up with is well-covered. The only update for me as far as reads go (besides Scotty of course) is Epignosis. I don't read him as a baddie yet but removing his vote from Scotty near the end bumped him down from my civ reads.
Straight to misrepresenting my argument, classic. No, you still could and in fact would anticipate people jumping on you jumping off Scotty, and you would count on doing what you're doing now and brush it off by claiming there was nothing to gain from it, even though we all know you would be under more scrutiny for staying on the Scotty wagon because your content for the bulk of that phase pointed more towards a Rico vote. You also don't need to claim to having no responsibility for Scotty's lynch; it's just evident from your vote not being on it.Epignosis wrote:So...I must have never anticipated anybody jumping on the fact that I jumped off Scotty at the last minute.a2thezebra wrote:It's also in the post you are quoting actually. Jumping off a mislynch right before it happens is suspicious. No mental gymnastics can deny that.
All so I can claim having no responsibility for his lynch.
Even though at the deadline I made it clear I had voted Scotty.
Got it.
That's utterly bizarre to me, if Scotty flipped bad I wouldn't be nearly as suspicious of Epi if he had changed his vote last-minute.S~V~S wrote:I would be with you on this if Scotty flipped bad. I sat and kept refreshing waiting for the hammer to drop & lynch someone else after Epi switched his vote. But Scotty wasn't bad. And even with Epi switching his vote at the last minute, we're all smart folk, and would remember that Epi pushed the Scotty suspish fairly strongly. Scotty flipping civ made me feel better about Epi, not worse.a2thezebra wrote:The answer is literally one post above the one you're quoting. You won't have to dig too deep.Epignosis wrote:Why?a2thezebra wrote:I thought I would have more to offer but most of that territory that I caught up with is well-covered. The only update for me as far as reads go (besides Scotty of course) is Epignosis. I don't read him as a baddie yet but removing his vote from Scotty near the end bumped him down from my civ reads.
a2thezebra wrote:Straight to misrepresenting my argument, classic. No, you still could and in fact would anticipate people jumping on you jumping off Scotty, and you would count on doing what you're doing now and brush it off by claiming there was nothing to gain from it, even though we all know you would be under more scrutiny for staying on the Scotty wagon because your content for the bulk of that phase pointed more towards a Rico vote. You also don't need to claim to having no responsibility for Scotty's lynch; it's just evident from your vote not being on it.Epignosis wrote:So...I must have never anticipated anybody jumping on the fact that I jumped off Scotty at the last minute.a2thezebra wrote:It's also in the post you are quoting actually. Jumping off a mislynch right before it happens is suspicious. No mental gymnastics can deny that.
All so I can claim having no responsibility for his lynch.
Even though at the deadline I made it clear I had voted Scotty.
Got it.
As much of a captivating counter-argument as that is, I don't think you're really helping your case here.Epignosis wrote:a2thezebra wrote:Straight to misrepresenting my argument, classic. No, you still could and in fact would anticipate people jumping on you jumping off Scotty, and you would count on doing what you're doing now and brush it off by claiming there was nothing to gain from it, even though we all know you would be under more scrutiny for staying on the Scotty wagon because your content for the bulk of that phase pointed more towards a Rico vote. You also don't need to claim to having no responsibility for Scotty's lynch; it's just evident from your vote not being on it.Epignosis wrote:So...I must have never anticipated anybody jumping on the fact that I jumped off Scotty at the last minute.a2thezebra wrote:It's also in the post you are quoting actually. Jumping off a mislynch right before it happens is suspicious. No mental gymnastics can deny that.
All so I can claim having no responsibility for his lynch.
Even though at the deadline I made it clear I had voted Scotty.
Got it.
I like fish.insertnamehere wrote:Epi, blink twice if your vote was forced. Otherwise, I'm gonna have to agree with Zebra that your pithy evasive non-answers are only making this one small thing into something more and more fishy.
Yes, yes, the sun's not yellow, it's chicken.Epignosis wrote:I like fish.insertnamehere wrote:Epi, blink twice if your vote was forced. Otherwise, I'm gonna have to agree with Zebra that your pithy evasive non-answers are only making this one small thing into something more and more fishy.
Glad to hear that my break hasn't made me lose my edge. I would be worried if you did not think me utterly bizarrea2thezebra wrote:That's utterly bizarre to me, if Scotty flipped bad I wouldn't be nearly as suspicious of Epi if he had changed his vote last-minute.S~V~S wrote:I would be with you on this if Scotty flipped bad. I sat and kept refreshing waiting for the hammer to drop & lynch someone else after Epi switched his vote. But Scotty wasn't bad. And even with Epi switching his vote at the last minute, we're all smart folk, and would remember that Epi pushed the Scotty suspish fairly strongly. Scotty flipping civ made me feel better about Epi, not worse.a2thezebra wrote:The answer is literally one post above the one you're quoting. You won't have to dig too deep.Epignosis wrote:Why?a2thezebra wrote:I thought I would have more to offer but most of that territory that I caught up with is well-covered. The only update for me as far as reads go (besides Scotty of course) is Epignosis. I don't read him as a baddie yet but removing his vote from Scotty near the end bumped him down from my civ reads.
What do you mean by forced? On Day 1? With no public coercer role?insertnamehere wrote:Epi, blink twice if your vote was forced. Otherwise, I'm gonna have to agree with Zebra that your pithy evasive non-answers are only making this one small thing into something more and more fishy.
Who are you most weary of at the moment?S~V~S wrote:Glad to hear that my break hasn't made me lose my edge. I would be worried if you did not think me utterly bizarrea2thezebra wrote:That's utterly bizarre to me, if Scotty flipped bad I wouldn't be nearly as suspicious of Epi if he had changed his vote last-minute.S~V~S wrote:I would be with you on this if Scotty flipped bad. I sat and kept refreshing waiting for the hammer to drop & lynch someone else after Epi switched his vote. But Scotty wasn't bad. And even with Epi switching his vote at the last minute, we're all smart folk, and would remember that Epi pushed the Scotty suspish fairly strongly. Scotty flipping civ made me feel better about Epi, not worse.a2thezebra wrote:The answer is literally one post above the one you're quoting. You won't have to dig too deep.Epignosis wrote:Why?a2thezebra wrote:I thought I would have more to offer but most of that territory that I caught up with is well-covered. The only update for me as far as reads go (besides Scotty of course) is Epignosis. I don't read him as a baddie yet but removing his vote from Scotty near the end bumped him down from my civ reads.
Yeah, I highly doubt that vote was forced.Ricochet wrote:What do you mean by forced? On Day 1? With no public coercer role?insertnamehere wrote:Epi, blink twice if your vote was forced. Otherwise, I'm gonna have to agree with Zebra that your pithy evasive non-answers are only making this one small thing into something more and more fishy.
my thoughts exactlyRicochet wrote:What do you mean by forced? On Day 1? With no public coercer role?insertnamehere wrote:Epi, blink twice if your vote was forced. Otherwise, I'm gonna have to agree with Zebra that your pithy evasive non-answers are only making this one small thing into something more and more fishy.
I'm just trying to think of a possible reason why Epi would switch and vote for sanmateo, and I was considering some possible outside influence that'd explain why Epi doesn't want to even begin to give a concrete reason for his Day 1 vote.Dom wrote:my thoughts exactlyRicochet wrote:What do you mean by forced? On Day 1? With no public coercer role?insertnamehere wrote:Epi, blink twice if your vote was forced. Otherwise, I'm gonna have to agree with Zebra that your pithy evasive non-answers are only making this one small thing into something more and more fishy.
insertnamehere wrote:Maybe my definition of a "policy lynch" is different than yours, but just voting Mac because "Fuck Mac" is less of a policy and more cattiness.Ricochet wrote:I didn't express any "outrage" at first. I expressed a policy lynch. Of course, I had to explain context, when inquired afterwards.insertnamehere wrote:
A baddie Rico going after Mac seems way more likely to me. Manufacturing outrage over a previous game, while starting a bus against a civ in a way that'd be hard to backfire. Purely emotional plays are hard for civilians to dispute, even when they lynch a civ.![]()
And how can this so-called "outrage" be manufactured, if it's certified to stem from a past game?
Further down your phrase:
a) how would this lynch be against a civ? Do you know Mac to be a civ? Do you think that, at any point, I said lynch Mac no matter what he is?
b) how can one "bus" a civilian?
c) how would this be "hard" to backfire? Isn't it already backfiring?
a) Mac has done absolutely nothing to form any impression one way or the other in my mind. To me, a Mac vote would be as productive as a BWT vote. Just throwing a dart and hoping it lands. Seeing as you started your case against Mac before you could even possibly get an actual legitimate read on him, I took that to mean that you wanted to lynch Mac just on the 4/19 chance that he's a baddie which automatically means that he'll NK you, because you know Mac well enough to predict his exact baddie game in every single instance. Apparently.
b) Maybe "bus" was the wrong term; sometimes all the insider lingo and jargon of mafia gets a bit screwy in my head. I meant starting a lynch train/wagon/party/turducken against a person you know is a civilian, but doing so in a way where it won't backfire against you once his alignment is revealed.
c) By backfire, I mean that in the scenario in which Rico = Bad, and Mac = Civ, after Rico lynches Mac, Rico can point to his personal motive for targeting him and shift the blame on other more ostensibly opportunistic parties. Making completely "personal" game moves is a good smokescreen and a nice way to avoid culpability.
I'll expand.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I didn't care about Epi's vote at the time or after Scotty's flip. I agree though that he could be handling this criticism better.
Nobody is an ideal vote Day 1.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I'll expand.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I didn't care about Epi's vote at the time or after Scotty's flip. I agree though that he could be handling this criticism better.
His responses to INH and Zebra have been focused on whether or not his vote change was suspicious. He is contesting that it was suspicious. This strikes me as useless dialogue, because there are few scenarios which would facilitate Epignosis calling his own content suspicious. A more substantive and useful response would be to explain why he changed the vote. Elohcin asked him that question directly, and his answer was that he didn't know why he changed it; it just felt good.
I'd assert that even whimsical decisions in Mafia are motivated by something tangible. Epi: did you feel sanmateo specifically was an ideal vote? Was it more about getting off the Scotty wagon? Something else? Please explain your answer.
It's worth discussing. Scotty was the lynch, we know his alignment, and so anything relevant to Scotty is worth discussing.Epignosis wrote:Nobody is an ideal vote Day 1.
Do you believe my last minute switch is an important topic going into Day 2?
Do the two topics need to be related? Is pointing out something in real time not admissable, unless I've covered everything in the past?insertnamehere wrote:Also,@ Rico showing up in the thread, after ignoring my criticism of his Mac-centered hurlyburly, to criticize me for not making sense.
No.JaggedJimmyJay wrote:It's worth discussing. Scotty was the lynch, we know his alignment, and so anything relevant to Scotty is worth discussing.Epignosis wrote:Nobody is an ideal vote Day 1.
Do you believe my last minute switch is an important topic going into Day 2?
You've still not answered the question. Your posts on this page have no function. You specifically elected to take your vote off of Scotty and then you placed it on sanmateo. You must have thus felt that sanmateo was "closer" to ideal than Scotty was as a voting option. Describe the thought process that took you there.
Yes, I would.Ricochet wrote:Do the two topics need to be related? Is pointing out something in real time not admissable, unless I've covered everything in the past?insertnamehere wrote:Also,@ Rico showing up in the thread, after ignoring my criticism of his Mac-centered hurlyburly, to criticize me for not making sense.
As for your reply pointed out, given its lateness in my time zone, I might have very well missed it indeed. Do you still want rebuttals on it?
Add this to the list of questions, Rico:Ricochet wrote:That's not how you spell Ricochet.
kinsertnamehere wrote:Yes, I would.
Again, we're talking a policy lynch. Not forming impressions, not making a case. I feel we're talking different languages here, just like my conversations with a few others also went, back on D1.insertnamehere wrote:Mac has done absolutely nothing to form any impression one way or the other in my mind. To me, a Mac vote would be as productive as a BWT vote. Just throwing a dart and hoping it lands. Seeing as you started your case against Mac before you could even possibly get an actual legitimate read on him...
Not so much prediction, as the motto "Imma kill everyone I hate playing/facing against" sounding like something the player in question could operate under again. Preventing this doesn't mean certainty that he would do it; it would create certainty of there being 0% chance of him doing it.insertnamehere wrote: ...I took that to mean that you wanted to lynch Mac just on the 4/19 chance that he's a baddie which automatically means that he'll NK you, because you know Mac well enough to predict his exact baddie game in every single instance. Apparently.
I don't see this as a valid perspective, because mafia-me doing this, with full knowledge, to civ-Mac would set me up for any sort of backfiring, if it'd work out. I could not reasonably expect this gambit to go smoothly for mafia-me, ergo I wouldn't do it at all.insertnamehere wrote:b) ...I meant starting a lynch train/wagon/party/turducken against a person you know is a civilian, but doing so in a way where it won't backfire against you once his alignment is revealed.
This, on the other hand, is a theory/profiling that has some logic to it, so good job finding a possible angle.insertnamehere wrote:c) By backfire, I mean that in the scenario in which Rico = Bad, and Mac = Civ, after Rico lynches Mac, Rico can point to his personal motive for targeting him and shift the blame on other more ostensibly opportunistic parties. Making completely "personal" game moves is a good smokescreen and a nice way to avoid culpability.
IIRC, you were the only who labeled me as "sure kill N1" for what I've done, so you tell me. I'm not sure how to interpret the nightkill, because I don't view things as black and white as "mafia should normally do something about the Mac-Rico relation to seed thoughts into town's head afterwards".insertnamehere wrote:Does the fact that you weren't instantly nightkilled make you slightly less gung-ho about getting Mac out?
I don't believe either me or Zebra called Epi mafia. We just wanted some kind of explanation for his D1 vote, and his pussyfooting around it was aggravating.LoRab wrote:Curious to see what Zebra and INH have to say now that Epi was killed by mafia. And highly unlikely, in a speed game, that mafia would kill one of their own night 1. So....wanting responses there.
There ya go.insertnamehere wrote:Epignosis went out like he played: frustratingly. RIP, and I wish you elected to answer a single question before you left this mortal coil. Guess it doesn't particularly matter now.
My feelings about MP had nothing to do with whether or not he agreed with me. I was just making a note that his conclusion was opposite of mine. What I was suspicious of was his very abrupt town read on Zebra. I don't think zebra did anything to earn a town read, so I don't get why MP was so eager to slap a town read on her. It didn't seem totally genuine.S~V~S wrote:Why is agreeing/disagreeing with you an indicator of alignment? I thought the same thing Zeebs did before I read Glorfindels post about his Mom. But if all the civvies agreed, there would be no point in playing this game. Why do you think someone is bad for not agreeing with you?Sloonei wrote:I have not seen a committed and engaged MP in a long long time, so I don't know quite how to read him at this time, but a few of his posts did have me scratching my chin a little.
This one, for instance:Polar opposite response to mine. I see no reason why zebra throwing minimal-effort poo at Scotty on Day is a town-tell.MovingPictures07 wrote:Oh, and I'm tentatively feeling good about zebra as well. Her willingness to throw a vote on Scotty for a perceivedmoment seemed natural and not forced.
Not feeling those bad vibes from anyone just yet, but I'm sure they will come.
So you believe they spent Night 1 accusing Epignosis and then killed him? What's the objective?LoRab wrote:You didn't explicitly accuse him, true. But you implied suspicion. And to say, yeah--i didn't really suspect him, and he was just frustrating, quite honestly, doesn't make you look all that good.