Re: Fire Emblem Draft Mafia [Day 3]
Posted: Tue Feb 20, 2018 9:03 am
Marmot, Kenway, Iron Dwarf, rundontwalk, Long Con.
These are my guesses for scum.
These are my guesses for scum.
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
If you want to elaborate on any/all of those I'd be interested in reading it.gwilikers6 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 9:03 am Marmot, Kenway, Iron Dwarf, rundontwalk, Long Con.
These are my guesses for scum.
Hello fellow Oregonian!
True.
i made a case on your votes on Day 2. You have some awful-looking votes from Day 1.colonialbob wrote: ↑Sun Feb 18, 2018 5:56 pm Still waiting for somebody to make an actual case on me.
I find it strange that you of all people would make this assertion when you asked everyone to make a list of players they would select for mafia.
Noooo Kenyway, that's not true!! Stay with us, you're like my top townread.
Hell no.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:58 pmOkay.
Y'all tell me who you want me to kill next night phase, and then tell me if you think it's worth using that kill if it roleblocks and level-blocks every other civilian.
Funny because the last time we had scum JJJ and were about to lynch him, he spewed like fifty posts into the thread as WIFOM. When JJJ was Bravo, he talked as much as possible while going down, and scraped his way to victory. "Going mum?"Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:06 am A civilian JJJ does not have to burn himself out. He would still not lie down and take this.
He is bad. He is going mum. He is a big voice until someone challenges him. People give JJJ free reign over the civscape (ooh, did I just make a word?), but they never challenge him until it is too late.
How many scum do you think there are? Does it say anywhere?Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 7:52 amThere is a point where town still has a positive ratio but mafia's numbers are good enough they can shut down every civ power and maybe add a few points of vote power to themselves.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:20 pmIn a game this big?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:08 pm I feel like we are in a pseudo lylo. No dead mafia by day 3 means its time for a different approach.
Good luck lynching mafia now unless you can pull major feats in scumhunting.
Where I come from, faking day activations got you modkilled.
I was thinking 5?speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:32 pmHow many scum do you think there are? Does it say anywhere?Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 7:52 amThere is a point where town still has a positive ratio but mafia's numbers are good enough they can shut down every civ power and maybe add a few points of vote power to themselves.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:20 pmIn a game this big?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:08 pm I feel like we are in a pseudo lylo. No dead mafia by day 3 means its time for a different approach.
Good luck lynching mafia now unless you can pull major feats in scumhunting.
No, I'll let you read naturally. If you don't make it closer to EoD I'll link.
There's 5 generals, so I'm assuming 5.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:32 pmHow many scum do you think there are? Does it say anywhere?Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 7:52 amThere is a point where town still has a positive ratio but mafia's numbers are good enough they can shut down every civ power and maybe add a few points of vote power to themselves.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:20 pmIn a game this big?MacDougall wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 6:08 pm I feel like we are in a pseudo lylo. No dead mafia by day 3 means its time for a different approach.
Good luck lynching mafia now unless you can pull major feats in scumhunting.
In this post, I toneread Quin as town, in a game where a lot of people were against him. I did the same in Phenon, which I reference. I don't remember any other times.Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:56 pmI'll believe in your Quindar when you support the claim with evidence.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:53 pmI'll do more tomorrow, but you know how I read you as town every time that you're town, and quickly? From Phenon to... Mountain mafia was it?Quin wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:10 pmelaborate on me plsspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:58 am speedchuck
JaggedJimmyJay
sig
rundontwalk
Kenway
nutella
Dragon D. Luffy
Long Con
Kylemii
Kites
DrWilgy
Epignosis
gwilikers6
colonialbob
Marmot
Iron_Dwarf
sprityo
lapluie
MacDougall
Quin
Urgh, I keep cycling the bottom 6 of this list in random order. More confident in the top of the list.
I don't have a whole lot of time today, thus the readlist, but I can elaborate on a few of these.
I'm not seeing that genuine town-tone Quin... that genuQuin.
Tree MafiaDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:35 pm Has civ Jay ever been mislynched in this site? Do we have data about how he reacts to it?
Ding ding ding.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:28 pmFunny because the last time we had scum JJJ and were about to lynch him, he spewed like fifty posts into the thread as WIFOM. When JJJ was Bravo, he talked as much as possible while going down, and scraped his way to victory. "Going mum?"Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:06 am A civilian JJJ does not have to burn himself out. He would still not lie down and take this.
He is bad. He is going mum. He is a big voice until someone challenges him. People give JJJ free reign over the civscape (ooh, did I just make a word?), but they never challenge him until it is too late.
Doesn't sound consistent with my meta-JJJ read.
Well, there ain't no Indys in this game! (right? I think I read that)speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:51 pmIn this post, I toneread Quin as town, in a game where a lot of people were against him. I did the same in Phenon, which I reference. I don't remember any other times.Long Con wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:56 pmI'll believe in your Quindar when you support the claim with evidence.speedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 11:53 pmI'll do more tomorrow, but you know how I read you as town every time that you're town, and quickly? From Phenon to... Mountain mafia was it?Quin wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:10 pmelaborate on me plsspeedchuck wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 10:58 am speedchuck
JaggedJimmyJay
sig
rundontwalk
Kenway
nutella
Dragon D. Luffy
Long Con
Kylemii
Kites
DrWilgy
Epignosis
gwilikers6
colonialbob
Marmot
Iron_Dwarf
sprityo
lapluie
MacDougall
Quin
Urgh, I keep cycling the bottom 6 of this list in random order. More confident in the top of the list.
I don't have a whole lot of time today, thus the readlist, but I can elaborate on a few of these.
I'm not seeing that genuine town-tone Quin... that genuQuin.
I guess I can only accurately read Quin when I'm an indy.
But if you want to look at games where Quin underwent a lot of suspicion and I defended him, those are the two to go to.
Looking back, and wow, my play in Phenon was really good. Feel like I've gone downhill as a player lol.
no i disagreeDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:56 amThe mafia gets fake backstores to claim. He doesn't need to fake anything.Kylemii wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:41 amThis probably isn't exactly what you're asking but... Kites' comment about a long long lost brother prompted me to google "archer, long lost brother" and it brought me to the wiki page for Rebecca, an archer from Blazing Blade. She leaves home to search for her long lost brother, the only pirate is Dart, a dude who suffered amnesia and joined up with some pirates because thats how life is sometimes. Dart is highly hinted at being Rebecca's lost brother.Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:37 am Okay. I scrapped my original idea.
Instead:
Who is the long-lost brother people?Kylemii wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 1:48 pmif everything you're saying is true, and it would be weird if it wasn't since you alluded to this way back on day 0, wilgy probably really is your brother. I'm like 95% sure actually.Kites wrote: ↑Mon Feb 19, 2018 7:38 amtargeted sig last night, giving him a +15% chance to kill the target, so he had a 90% chance to succeed. Anyways there’s a passive effect on my powers that will cause the person I targeted to be misdirected. But the only way that could have happened is if Colin was my long lost brother and Wilgy targeted him with a harmful action, but the chances it really happened are small.
So far every role has been from "sacred stones" or "the blazing blade", and kite's made a cryptic post about a lost brother much earlier in the game... Idk. It makes sense.
Whether or not this confirms Kite's as civ I guess depends on how much fire emblem knowledge he has, because this would take an impressive amount of forethought to setup if fake, and the fact that sig was apparently redirected from targeting Wilgy despite none of the known redirectors being responsible for it seems to confirm Kite's thing.
does this mean you think his bhavior is a sign of bad or goodspeedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:28 pmFunny because the last time we had scum JJJ and were about to lynch him, he spewed like fifty posts into the thread as WIFOM. When JJJ was Bravo, he talked as much as possible while going down, and scraped his way to victory. "Going mum?"Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:06 am A civilian JJJ does not have to burn himself out. He would still not lie down and take this.
He is bad. He is going mum. He is a big voice until someone challenges him. People give JJJ free reign over the civscape (ooh, did I just make a word?), but they never challenge him until it is too late.
Doesn't sound consistent with my meta-JJJ read.
Answering your statements and questions in order.Long Con wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 1:27 pm Well, there ain't no Indys in this game! (right? I think I read that)
Your resume is Quinpressive. I'm Quinspired to lower Quin on my rainbow, and to Quinclude you in a touch greener shade. I also like your apt appraisal of the very recent and memorable evil-JJJ meta. Was JJJ the prolific as a baddie all the way through those games, or more toward the end?
Me too.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:34 pmWhere I come from, faking day activations got you modkilled.
As such, I get a miniature heart attack whenever I see someone use one.
Stop it.
Dragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:38 pmYou were killed Night 1 by the mafia, so that's probably good.
Mafia: A World Asunder will be revealing most roles in an open list, but no alignments... just a map of how many of each alignment oneach team kinda thing. Open claiming.speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:24 pm BTW between this game and Fellowship of the Ring, I like the way that the games on this site are allowing claims with open setups, by inventively including secrets and giving the baddies ways around it.
It's nice to be able to rolespec or claim instead of tiptoeing around everything. Heck, in this game, the claims are in the open from the start.
That's a highly specific request. I don't know if both of those factors held true, but I recall experiencing a lot of burnout in these two:
nutella in a nut(ella?)shell this gameDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:52 amIf you don't believe it say you don't believe it and vote against it. Your waffling doesn't look good.nutella wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:52 am I'm trying to convince myself you guys are right about Jay but it's not easy. I'm not really feeling it. Maybe I'll work up the patience to skim his iso tomorrow and make up my mind from there, but at the moment if it's gonna be between him and I_D I'm probably going with the latter![]()
You've been calling her opportunistic the whole game. She is both opportunistic and waffly?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:13 pmnutella in a nut(ella?)shell this gameDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:52 amIf you don't believe it say you don't believe it and vote against it. Your waffling doesn't look good.nutella wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:52 am I'm trying to convince myself you guys are right about Jay but it's not easy. I'm not really feeling it. Maybe I'll work up the patience to skim his iso tomorrow and make up my mind from there, but at the moment if it's gonna be between him and I_D I'm probably going with the latter![]()
That from the perspective of this game it feels easy if you would have made 1 post only and then voted. That could be a scum trying to be incognito. But you've posted more since.Marmot wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:03 pmTrue.
It's the kind of post one makes when they're checking in, haven't posted in a hot second, and won't post for a hot second.
What's your point?
Yes?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:14 pmYou've been calling her opportunistic the whole game. She is both opportunistic and waffly?Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:13 pmnutella in a nut(ella?)shell this gameDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:52 amIf you don't believe it say you don't believe it and vote against it. Your waffling doesn't look good.nutella wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:52 am I'm trying to convince myself you guys are right about Jay but it's not easy. I'm not really feeling it. Maybe I'll work up the patience to skim his iso tomorrow and make up my mind from there, but at the moment if it's gonna be between him and I_D I'm probably going with the latter![]()
Name some other waffles you have observed from nutella apart from the post about me DDL was discussing.Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:15 pmYes?JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:14 pmYou've been calling her opportunistic the whole game. She is both opportunistic and waffly?
Okay that makes more sense.Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:16 pm I was referring to nutella holding off, probably waiting to see which bandwagon wins out.
waffling is what I do man, I have trouble deciding if I think your case on him is enough to override my gut townread on himDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:52 amIf you don't believe it say you don't believe it and vote against it. Your waffling doesn't look good.nutella wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:52 am I'm trying to convince myself you guys are right about Jay but it's not easy. I'm not really feeling it. Maybe I'll work up the patience to skim his iso tomorrow and make up my mind from there, but at the moment if it's gonna be between him and I_D I'm probably going with the latter![]()
Yeah you can cut off the words "this game" there. I'm waffly. It's how I play. Deal with itIron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:13 pmnutella in a nut(ella?)shell this gameDragon D. Luffy wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 8:52 amIf you don't believe it say you don't believe it and vote against it. Your waffling doesn't look good.nutella wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:52 am I'm trying to convince myself you guys are right about Jay but it's not easy. I'm not really feeling it. Maybe I'll work up the patience to skim his iso tomorrow and make up my mind from there, but at the moment if it's gonna be between him and I_D I'm probably going with the latter![]()
I'm just... not feeling confident about this day phase at all. Maybe I'll join your Wilgy vote. I could try to push a Lap lynch again but it sounds like most people aren't having it.JaggedJimmyJay wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:19 pmOkay that makes more sense.Iron_Dwarf wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 3:16 pm I was referring to nutella holding off, probably waiting to see which bandwagon wins out.
I read nutella as a civilian at face value. I am concerned though that after having handed her the supatown scepter her effort seems to have decreased.
speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:28 pmFunny because the last time we had scum JJJ and were about to lynch him, he spewed like fifty posts into the thread as WIFOM. When JJJ was Bravo, he talked as much as possible while going down, and scraped his way to victory. "Going mum?"Epignosis wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 2:06 am A civilian JJJ does not have to burn himself out. He would still not lie down and take this.
He is bad. He is going mum. He is a big voice until someone challenges him. People give JJJ free reign over the civscape (ooh, did I just make a word?), but they never challenge him until it is too late.
Doesn't sound consistent with my meta-JJJ read.
Pretty sure there are 20 players alive?speedchuck wrote: ↑Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:40 pm Alright, so 5 scum
24 players alive
guys I don't think this is MYLO/LYLO, under any circumstances.