Re: Death Note Mafia [DAY 5]
Posted: Sun Mar 01, 2015 7:40 pm
And yet you are pursuing none of those players.
I am?Turnip Head wrote:And yet you are pursuing none of those players.
Why is that?Turnip Head wrote:My thoughts on Light are that I think you know who he is.
Then I will explain to you why. (I also have not voted llama).Turnip Head wrote:Because you just mentioned a profile for Light, and a bunch of players who you think fit that profile, but I haven't seen any detective work from you to pursue any of those sorts of leads. The three players you have voted for this game are Llama, Epi, and myself. None of whom fit your supposed profile for Kira.
Of course I am. What is the point in asking such a pointless question, who would answer "no"? Are you trying to change the subject so I don't keep asking relevant questions?Metalmarsh89 wrote:Are you interested in lynching Light, TH? Or any Kiras?
It would depend on who the player was and how they have been playing so far. But I understand you all are in hard place. We both are.Bass_the_Clever wrote:Elo my question to you is, if the message said someone besides you were bad, would you vote for that person to see if L was telliing the truth?
How does it support that and why is that a "plus side"?DharmaHelper wrote:On the bright side, This supports the idea that Higuchi is the killer now.
The first two kills and this kill vary wildly in their methodology. Therefore I can confidently assert that Light has surrendered his death note to Higuchi. Higuchi is now killable. Also, I like to be right about things. Bright side.thellama73 wrote:How does it support that and why is that a "plus side"?DharmaHelper wrote:On the bright side, This supports the idea that Higuchi is the killer now.
I have been monitoring a number of key factors of each kill, in order to profile Kira. The first kill (LC) occured 48 hours and 18 minutes after the night post. The second kill, (SVS) occured 42 hours and 46 minutes after the night post. This third kill occured a mere 24 hours and 7 minutes after the night post. While I had accounted for this in my profile and assumed a mounting time table, the difference is much more than I anticipated and points to another killer.juliets wrote:RIP Aces! I really enjoyed playing with you this game and hope you're in the next. I can't understand why you would be the one to be killed.
DH what is the different methodology you are talking about?
That remains to be seen.thellama73 wrote:Okay, well, I think that's a ridiculous claim to make, but it doesn't really matter, so have fun.
What do you think of the idea that that's what Light wants us to think?bea wrote:What do you think of the idea that light passed the note on because he was under thread pressure and being in danger of being caught?
Unfortunately, now the Kira knows to mix up their times, but as I said, I have other evidence that I am looking into.juliets wrote:Thanks DH, good catch about the timing.
It's an interesting idea. Who would you say fits that description best?bea wrote:Rip aces.I think I see.what you are saying dh. I was just kinda Hopi.g for different reaosns for the kill. What do you think of the idea that light passed the note on because he was under thread pressure and being in danger of being caught?
DharmaHelper wrote:I have been monitoring a number of key factors of each kill, in order to profile Kira. The first kill (LC) occured 48 hours and 18 minutes after the night post. The second kill, (SVS) occured 42 hours and 46 minutes after the night post. This third kill occured a mere 24 hours and 7 minutes after the night post. While I had accounted for this in my profile and assumed a mounting time table, the difference is much more than I anticipated and points to another killer.juliets wrote:RIP Aces! I really enjoyed playing with you this game and hope you're in the next. I can't understand why you would be the one to be killed.
DH what is the different methodology you are talking about?
The first two victims were also likely leaders and case builders. Personalities that would make them difficult to lynch and troublesome for mafia. Typically, Ace just does not fit this profile. He is much more laid back than the previous two victims, not likely to kick up a stink, and definitely not a leader that would amount to any credible threat.
I have other notes, which for the sake of preserving my investigation I will not share.
I know this doesn't help my case. But....looks like if Higuchi is the new kira, he may be using L's own theories against him. I bet Russ is next.Epignosis wrote:These are the L posts:
"I do not currently suspect AceofSpaces."MovingPictures07 wrote:This is L.
I have determined that the likelihood of AceofSpaces as Kira is right around 4%.
Despite a poorly considered Day 1 lynch, I do not currently suspect AceofSpaces. Maybe don't let him lead any more lynches, though.
"Maybe don't let him lead any more lynches though."
An opinion and a suggestion.
"Hmm, the strong silent type. I'm not sure how I feel about that."MovingPictures07 wrote:Hello again. This is L.
I have determined that the likelihood of Russtifinko as Kira is right around 5%.
Hmm, the strong silent type. I'm not sure how I feel about that.
Another subjective claim, followed by indecisiveness.
"Elohcin has a 0% chance of being Kira, because she is a confirmed Kira sympathizer."MovingPictures07 wrote:This is L.
Elohcin has a 0% chance of being Kira, because she is a confirmed Kira sympathizer. She should be eliminated as soon as possible.
That's pure objectivity containing an assertiveness that was absent in the previous two posts. This is another reason to maintain the opinion that L is not dropping facts into the thread, but his opinion.
I deduce that L is a someone who is learning how to use this role effectively over time, rather than L gaining definitive info on people that he or she can dump in a gossip post.
Do with this analysis what you wish.
There's evidence that disagrees with your thinking.DharmaHelper wrote:I have been monitoring a number of key factors of each kill, in order to profile Kira. The first kill (LC) occured 48 hours and 18 minutes after the night post. The second kill, (SVS) occured 42 hours and 46 minutes after the night post. This third kill occured a mere 24 hours and 7 minutes after the night post. While I had accounted for this in my profile and assumed a mounting time table, the difference is much more than I anticipated and points to another killer.juliets wrote:RIP Aces! I really enjoyed playing with you this game and hope you're in the next. I can't understand why you would be the one to be killed.
DH what is the different methodology you are talking about?
The first two victims were also likely leaders and case builders. Personalities that would make them difficult to lynch and troublesome for mafia. Typically, Ace just does not fit this profile. He is much more laid back than the previous two victims, not likely to kick up a stink, and definitely not a leader that would amount to any credible threat.
I have other notes, which for the sake of preserving my investigation I will not share.
S~V~S, by her own admission, is not a case builder.S~V~S wrote:I am also surprised you say that re Booms case~ becasue what MM did is EXACTLT what I do. I read and I watch & I remember, and form my opinion. I don't generally bother with a case. I say how I feel and I vote. If someone pushes me I will pull quotes, but MM has voted Epi a few times iirc.bea wrote:Svs - he's done it too - but that Blaime can be spread far and wide amongst the what did you call it like day one "alpha male syndrome "?
Bullz was pretty reasonable in his point about mm's case being pate and post vote in an unchangeable vote game.
Dh's posts to Epi read very pot and kettle to me ATM. Between the two I'm reading Epi as more genuine.
i have been a bit pinged by MM in various places, and tbh, that case is the thing that has gone furthest towards settling my mind a bit about him. He but it together pretty fast it seemed to me; he knew what he was thinking, and knew what he was looking for.
Perhaps I should have said I considere LC and SVS to have different playstyles than Aces, and that informs my theory. And regardless of the thread, people (and particularly killers) are creatures of habit. It's only natural that a subconscious pattern would emerge.Epignosis wrote:There's evidence that disagrees with your thinking.DharmaHelper wrote:I have been monitoring a number of key factors of each kill, in order to profile Kira. The first kill (LC) occured 48 hours and 18 minutes after the night post. The second kill, (SVS) occured 42 hours and 46 minutes after the night post. This third kill occured a mere 24 hours and 7 minutes after the night post. While I had accounted for this in my profile and assumed a mounting time table, the difference is much more than I anticipated and points to another killer.juliets wrote:RIP Aces! I really enjoyed playing with you this game and hope you're in the next. I can't understand why you would be the one to be killed.
DH what is the different methodology you are talking about?
The first two victims were also likely leaders and case builders. Personalities that would make them difficult to lynch and troublesome for mafia. Typically, Ace just does not fit this profile. He is much more laid back than the previous two victims, not likely to kick up a stink, and definitely not a leader that would amount to any credible threat.
I have other notes, which for the sake of preserving my investigation I will not share.
S~V~S, by her own admission, is not a case builder.S~V~S wrote:I am also surprised you say that re Booms case~ becasue what MM did is EXACTLT what I do. I read and I watch & I remember, and form my opinion. I don't generally bother with a case. I say how I feel and I vote. If someone pushes me I will pull quotes, but MM has voted Epi a few times iirc.bea wrote:Svs - he's done it too - but that Blaime can be spread far and wide amongst the what did you call it like day one "alpha male syndrome "?
Bullz was pretty reasonable in his point about mm's case being pate and post vote in an unchangeable vote game.
Dh's posts to Epi read very pot and kettle to me ATM. Between the two I'm reading Epi as more genuine.
i have been a bit pinged by MM in various places, and tbh, that case is the thing that has gone furthest towards settling my mind a bit about him. He but it together pretty fast it seemed to me; he knew what he was thinking, and knew what he was looking for.
Furthermore, Kira is privy to the commentary regarding his kills. Therefore, he can change his methods at a whim. This isn't Kira acting alone in a secluded bedroom. This is Kira acting with full knowledge of what everyone has said about him and his victims.
DharmaHelper wrote:I have been monitoring a number of key factors of each kill, in order to profile Kira. The first kill (LC) occured 48 hours and 18 minutes after the night post..The second kill, (SVS) occured 42 hours and 46 minutes after the night post. This third kill occured a mere 24 hours and 7 minutes after the night post. While I had accounted for this in my profile and assumed a mounting time table, the difference is much more than I anticipated and points to another killer.juliets wrote:RIP Aces! I really enjoyed playing with you this game and hope you're in the next. I can't understand why you would be the one to be killed.
DH what is the different methodology you are talking about?
The first two victims were also likely leaders and case builders. Personalities that would make them difficult to lynch and troublesome for mafia. Typically, Ace just does not fit this profile. He is much more laid back than the previous two victims, not likely to kick up a stink, and definitely not a leader that would amount to any credible threat.
I have other notes, which for the sake of preserving my investigation I will not share.
LC's kill happened immediately after we lynched BWT and the Night started.MovingPictures07 wrote:Night 2: So Long Con
LONG CON: Well, that was an interesting and illuminating lynch period!
At that moment, Long Con suffered a heart attack, and collapsed to the ground.
S~V~S: What the....??
BLACK ROCK: Kira, you sick bastard!!!!!!!
Long Con has been killed by Kira.
It is still Night 2.
You still have 24 hours to send in your night actions.
LC's kill was the Night 1 kill.Ricochet wrote:DharmaHelper wrote:I have been monitoring a number of key factors of each kill, in order to profile Kira. The first kill (LC) occured 48 hours and 18 minutes after the night post..The second kill, (SVS) occured 42 hours and 46 minutes after the night post. This third kill occured a mere 24 hours and 7 minutes after the night post. While I had accounted for this in my profile and assumed a mounting time table, the difference is much more than I anticipated and points to another killer.juliets wrote:RIP Aces! I really enjoyed playing with you this game and hope you're in the next. I can't understand why you would be the one to be killed.
DH what is the different methodology you are talking about?
The first two victims were also likely leaders and case builders. Personalities that would make them difficult to lynch and troublesome for mafia. Typically, Ace just does not fit this profile. He is much more laid back than the previous two victims, not likely to kick up a stink, and definitely not a leader that would amount to any credible threat.
I have other notes, which for the sake of preserving my investigation I will not share.![]()
Didn't you ask me to clarify this?LC's kill happened immediately after we lynched BWT and the Night started.MovingPictures07 wrote:Night 2: So Long Con
LONG CON: Well, that was an interesting and illuminating lynch period!
At that moment, Long Con suffered a heart attack, and collapsed to the ground.
S~V~S: What the....??
BLACK ROCK: Kira, you sick bastard!!!!!!!
Long Con has been killed by Kira.
It is still Night 2.
You still have 24 hours to send in your night actions.
RIP Aces.![]()
No time to address anything else, have a plane to catch.
Factually inaccurate.Epignosis wrote:There was no Night 1 kill.
That's when he died, yes. The kill was sent in the previous night.Ricochet wrote:You're gonna really have to explain how do you assume that when the host post is clear - Night 2. He also made a post that "No one was killed by Kira" on Night 1.
I'm not sure how it isn't obvious how the kills work.Ricochet wrote:By your logic, we are now Day 5 and have received Night 3's kill.
linki: again, how can we possibly assume that? What info do *you* have on that?