Ok, so I literally have two hours time this afternoon [EDIT: one hour left at the time of submitting this] (because of some bullshit back-and-forth trips to the school where I teach, for board meetings and other irrelevant shit, both before and three hours from now on) and will have two-ish more in the evening after I come back from German course and have dinner. My day and game time is pretty toast, till EoD, but what can I do?
First, I'm going to take b24's and Epig's idea about scrutinizing the tally and make a monster out of it, same as I ever do, by expanding it to a list of all the tallies, marked with colors on flipped statuses, so far. It won't be up to the standards of G-Man's technicolor lists, then again I am not G-Man. Red means confirmed mafia, green means civilian. Every mafia kill will be also green. For the sake of not putting too much interpretation into this list-making, the SK kills (except for Golden) will be orange - although, personally, except HamburgerBoy, I am fairly convinced those victims were also civilians. Also for the same sake, I will leave myself uncoloured, although y'all should really put in me in green, k.
Day 1
bea 1 -- Ricochet (37) 3%
birdwithteeth11 7 -- DrWilgy (12), bcornett24 (14), Matt F (23), HamburgerBoy (25), Sorsha (27), Diiny (28), sig (31) 18%
Choutas 1 -- rundontwalk (7) 3%
Diiny 3 -- thellama73 (6), Devin the Omniscient (19), Elohcin (24) 8%
DrWilgy 1 -- Choutas (17) 3%
Epignosis 2 -- FZ. (20), kneel4justice (22) 5%
Long Con 1 -- Rbzmncaeaei (15) 3%
MacDougall 1 -- seaside (13) 3%
Matt F 2 -- Roxy (35), Russtifinko (36) 5%
reywaS 2 -- MacDougall (29), Golden (33) 5%
Russtifinko 4 -- Metalmarsh89 (18), AceofSpaces (30), espers (34), Epignosis (38) 11%
sig 4 -- motel room (11), JaggedJimmyJay (16), Long Con (21), birdwithteeth11 (26) 11%
Strawhenge 1 -- TheFloyd73 (3) 3%
I also have written down tempvotes from JJJ on LC (early on, switched it) and Choutas on Mac.
Questions out of this:
BWT was lynched. LC distanced from BWT wagon. Could teammates have gone there?
If not, did LC's teammates spread? Maybe Floyd, maybe Choutas, maybe on the Russ wagon?
How can we interpret seaside's vote for MacBaddie?
LC - MacBaddie forced antagonism was just proven, could LC - sig be the same? Could sig be bad?
Regardless of sig's alignment, LC still made a "real" case on sig, could teammates have also nested there?
Day 2
AceofSpaces 1 -- TheFloyd73 (4) 3%
bcornett24 6 -- FZ. (19), Sorsha (21), Epignosis (26), bea (27), Golden (36), Long Con (38) 16%
Devin the Omniscient 1 -- rundontwalk (7) 3%
Diiny 2 -- Devin the Omniscient (6), thellama73 (24) 5%
DrWilgy 1 -- Ricochet (23) 3%
JaggedJimmyJay 1 -- Rbzmncaeaei (37) 3%
Long Con 8 -- Choutas (12), sig (16), seaside (17), DrWilgy (18), motel room (31), bcornett24 (32), JaggedJimmyJay (34), Russtifinko (35) 21%
Matt F 1 -- Roxy (15) 3%
Metalmarsh89 1 -- Bullzeye (20) 3%
seaside 2 -- Metalmarsh89 (2), Strawhenge (10) 5%
Sorsha 2 -- Matt F (25), Elohcin (33) 5%
thellama73 3 -- MacDougall (13), Diiny (28), espers (30) 8%
Temp votes on scum: motel room early on LC (back afterwards), Sorsha on Mac (irrelevant), LC on Mac (confirmed distancing), Zebra on LC (irrelevant)
I think this is still a very important day to analyse. Apart from Epig, b24 is almost confirmed to have had
no LC teammates on. If anyone is of the opinion that
bussing LC (whether planned or not) was
not what teammates did on that Day, then you seriously need to come with some names from other directions.
Questions from this:
LC mid-wave includes sig, sea, wilg. Too early to judge either of these as bussers or just the right time for any teammate to have done so?
LC final-wave includes Diiny, motel, b24, JJJ, Russ? Bussers here?
Llama wagon got real serious, until Zebra, JJJ and Golden backed away. Did JJJ switch to LC to buss him or to send him to hell as a civ?
Day 3
bea 1 -- TheFloyd73 (9) 3%
Epignosis 1 -- motel room (3) 3%
Golden 7 -- bcornett24 (10), MacDougall (11), Devin the Omniscient (14), DrWilgy (28), sig (30), Sorsha (31), Ricochet (33) 21%
Matt F 1 -- Roxy (17) 3%
Rbzmncaeaei 1 -- Elohcin (7) 3%
Ricochet 6 -- JaggedJimmyJay (21), Rbzmncaeaei (22), Diiny (24), Golden (26), seaside (27), espers (34) 18%
Russtifinko 4 -- FZ. (16), Epignosis (18), Bullzeye (19), thellama73 (20) 12%
Sorsha 4 -- Matt F (4), Strawhenge (12), Choutas (13), Russtifinko (29) 12%
thellama73 1 -- bea (23) 3%
No temp votes on confirmed MacBaddie.
MacBaddie made a temp vote on Roxy, then jumped on Golden.
Sorsha wagon was huge at one point. Zebra (civ), Dev (civ), Bull, Wilgy, Golden (civ) backed away from it.
Only sig backed away from my wagon, moved to Golden.
Questions:
So what ratio is more likely, between me and Golden? Is it a mix, some here, some there? MacBaddie for instance could have added to my vote, but avoided me like the plague, and attached himself to Golden very early on.
I'm not bad, so keep in mind that between Sorsha, Golden and I, the mafia didn't give a shit who'd get lynched, but they still could have sought not to make too much noise with a case on either of us, just in case they'd look bad or catch heat post-flip.
Day 4
Devin the Omniscient 9 --
bcornett24 (15), Sorsha (16), JaggedJimmyJay (22), Bullzeye (23), Black Rock (25), Ricochet (26), Golden (27), DrWilgy (31), Epignosis (33) 27%
Elohcin 1 -- TheFloyd73 (10) 3%
Golden 1 -- Diiny (32) 3%
JaggedJimmyJay 2 -- Metalmarsh89 (12), RadicalFuzz (18) 6%
Matt F 1 -- Roxy (7) 3%
Sorsha 10 -- Choutas (6), seaside (8), Devin the Omniscient (9), Strawhenge (11), motel room (17), Matt F (20), Elohcin (24), MacDougall (28), espers (29), Russtifinko (30) 30%
Only temp vote on MacBaddie from Golden (civ).
MacBaddie made a temps on Sorsha, jumped to Matt, jumped to motel, then finally going back on Sorsha.
Well this is a fat one. Again a reminder that the mafia team knew both Devin and Sorsha are civ wagons, but this time the amount of wagoning almost makes me feel they were more comfortable planting themselves anywhere.
Question:

tbh
Day 5
bcornett24 1 -- DrWilgy (7) 3%
Black Rock 1 -- fingersplints (17) 3%
Devin the Omniscient 6 -- bcornett24 (10), Choutas (15), sig (26), Bullzeye (27), Devin the Omniscient (28), Black Rock (29) 18%
Diiny 2 -- seaside (11), MacDougall (24) 6%
espers 8 -- Russtifinko (18), motel room (20), JaggedJimmyJay (22), RadicalFuzz (23), Metalmarsh89 (30), Diiny (31), Ricochet (32), Matt F (34) 24%
MacDougall 2 -- Elohcin (19), Epignosis (21) 6%
Matt F 2 -- TheFloyd73 (9), Roxy (13) 6%
Metalmarsh89 1 -- Strawhenge (8) 3%
Temp votes on MacBaddie from b24, Matt.
Looks same as it ever was, as well. Everyone on both wagons is still alive and unconfirmed.

Devin got lynched probably by being drugged and with or without extra manipulation from civs (Pulled Up? Blind?!).
Questions:
Wait a minute, Matt hounded Mac the whole day without actually voting him in the end?
Day 5
bcornett24 1 -- Bullzeye (20) 3%
Diiny 6 -- sig (22), seaside (23), MacDougall (24), motel room (26), Choutas (27), JaggedJimmyJay (28) 21%
DrWilgy 1 --RadicalFuzz (17) 3%
JaggedJimmyJay 1 -- bcornett24 (7) 3%
MacDougall 7 -- DrWilgy (4), Ricochet (10), Metalmarsh89 (11), Epignosis (15), Matt F (18), Elohcin (21), Russtifinko (25) 24%
Matt F 1 -- TheFloyd73 (13) 3%
Metalmarsh89 1 -- Strawhenge (19) 3%
Russtifinko 1 -- fingersplints (9) 3%
Bit hard for any reveals here, except MacBaddie's, at least for the time being.
Questions:
How likely was bussing Mac? How likely was trying to save him?
If you ask me, I think two factors weigh in on the latter:
a. I dropped the Mac case on Day 6, so despite Mac being under pressure before, it still must have surprised them
b. Mac was never a done deal, till the very moment, so I believe the mentality was that he could be saved rather than that he should be dropped in acid.
Most of Mac's lynchers look consistent, from previous Days, although I'd double-check how MM and Russ converted to this wagon.
Most of Diiny's voters have townreaded Mac till the very end. Combine two possible teammate tendencies - "never losing hope, until the bitter end, that Mac could be saved" with "keeping the townread on Mac, until the bitter end, or otherwise risk blowing themselves up by suddenly flipping on the Mac wagon or waffling" and I think we definitely have teammates on that Diiny wagon.
If Diiny is also bad, then everything's just fucked up.