Re: [DAY 8] Talking Heads Mafia (RYM #90)
Posted: Fri Oct 23, 2015 12:34 am
MetalMarsh
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
No problem, I figured not anyway. Just trying to start a civvie link fence with a few players (right now I have Elohcin and I guess Choutas as civvies, and bcornett as anti-Mafia), but it's all good.Russtifinko wrote:I don't catch what you're implying with the underlined. I am very bad at hinting at things and catching hints, as others can attest. I also have a personal policy of not hinting at non-thread info in the thread. So whatever you think you see probably isn't there, sorry.
Actually, I want to lynch motel room, 3J, Strawhenge, and Floyd (in that order until the order changes in about 5 minutes haha). However, I will explain myself. Straw came into the thread claiming some wild stuff about MetalMarsh (who I had G2H as part of a Mafia team anyway), pretty much guaranteeing a good result if lynched. I figure since I suspected Metal Marsh anyway, why not? And if it didn't take, if MM came out civvie, then that would be just one more reason why Strawhenge is bad. If anything, though, I see Metalmarsh as a neutral read leaning Mafia, definitely not a civvie read currently, so I don't see how that's the same as "just lynching civs just to do it". If you'll recall, I was very unhappy with Golden's gambit back on Day 3, I think?, when he invited everyone to waste a lynch day to lynch him and he claimed being civvie all the while.Russtifinko wrote:I also don't love your rationale for wanting to lynch MM. It reads to me as uncomfortably close to the idea of lynching civs just to do it, which I am currently ripping motel room for. Please explain yourself.
You know sometimes when you hit "submit" on a post, but it doesn't post right away, and instead it shows you other comments that have appeared since you originally started writing out your post?bcornett24 wrote:What does linki mean, Ive seen this all over the place, an precise definition would be appreciated. There is a ton of lingo in this game and I often check mafia wiki first, I didn't see this.
I will copy the first part of my post into my final case for DrWilgy when it is done so it is a complete post.
Epi and Marsh's conversations with each other are fascinating to observe.Russtifinko wrote:Floyd, I see you're in thread. Any thoughts on the events of recent days? You nearly got lynched but didn't; what do you think of your voters? JJJ? The last-minute seaside lynch?
Bumping for complete post.bcornett24 wrote:DrWilgy Analysis
I am looking for anything that I find to be suspicious or that I may need to reply to; hopefully something juicy.
Content is snipped slightly, I will not be pulling anything out of context, DrWilgy replies in blocks to multiple people and it is very hard to make this readable without some snipping. If you have concerns about the content please ask.
Day 0
Role playing
Day 1
Comments on a few posts, apologizes for being mostly inactive.
Day 2
Diiny wrote:Out of all the BWT votes I think Wilgy's is one of the worst. Guy's a scum lean for me, now. Basing a vote on day 0 shit and sticking with it and not grappling with anything else for the rest of the day is bad stuff in my book.I Think he makes a fair point here it is kind of hard to base votes on anything if you haven't been around, based on the content. or lack-there-of for days 1 and 2 I think this is fine even if not the best.DrWilgy wrote:Sounds pretty normal to me. I wasn't here. I specifically addressed how I play earlier, and those who I played recruitment with at least know a little bit about how I play. If you would like a recap of that game from my perspective I'd gladly give one.
Makes a good point highlighting some points on long cons vote for bea agreeing with others assessments.DrWilgy wrote:Step 2, work on forming more coherent thoughts about players. Especially ones that appear on my baddiedar.
Long Con
So my thoughts regarding my vote (still subject to change)
Can we please compare his accusations of bea:to his reasoning (and what I feel is a cop out)?Spoiler: showSpoiler: show
Cases Long Con, which looks pretty good for DrDrWilgy wrote:Now that I've gone and looked like a dummy...
ACTUAL Step 2, work on forming more coherent thoughts about players. Especially ones that appear on my baddiedar.
Long Con
So my thoughts regarding my vote (still subject to change)
Can we please compare his accusations of bea:to his reasoning (and what I feel is a cop out)?Spoiler: showNow, I saw that others had addressed this fact, but here are my highlights (follow the colors and underlined).Spoiler: show
I feel that this is a good example as to why I believe this is well... unbelievable. The fact that Long Con saw the Roxy + Bea (and other players) correlation and pointed them out, but somehow isn't suspicious of bea bothers me immensely. It feels like a contradiction in logic, at least civ logic. Civ logic would've meant that upon making this statement, there was some momentum to be gained towards finding the solution, regardless if it was a "false case" or not. Plus I don't understand how you can see that create a "false case" and not walk away with any suspicion towards the person unless you knew their alignment. I'm suspicious of everyone, all civ thinking players should be. Some more than others, sure, but not suspicious at all?
This is a contridiction, unless something between these two posts convinced you that she wasn't suspicious.
This doesn't make sense either. If you were looking for a scumslip why did you let up pressure? Also, why list so many routes? why list so many goals? why look for Civvie accolades? It was simple, you were looking for day one intel (if you are civ). These goals feel forced.
This line bothers me. It feels like LC is saying, If I look scum, it's because I'm totally not scum, I just look scum because I like to. Also, doesn't this contradict the "most of the conversation was about me instead, which was less helpful" line? It continues the question why let the pressure off of bea
A proper sum of my thoughts on LC can be described in one word: "Why" There's too much senselessness in this whole charade, and I don't see what was gained out of it by the time of the "teehee it was all fake" reveal.
Now, I'm not done with LC yet, but I wanted to get this part to you so you can at least see my efforts.
Day 3
Backs off of voting for sorhsa, I am not sure if hi vote actually followed this as Dr does not highlight has vote in the forum, or has not thus far.DrWilgy wrote:Wilgy scratches his head... papers are thrown everywere... "I don't get it!" he exclaims... there's too much info to process... It may be impossible...
I've been looking over the final vote tally, taking into account everyone this time. In doing so, I realized that Long Con was not put into a state of possible death UNTIL Russ's vote. I'm no longer feeling the Sorsha vote, and will post my work and change my vote as soon as it's compiled correctly.
also strictly based on my grand analysis, the most civvie players are russ and golden. The only situations where this is wrong are:
- 1. Bcornett is not Civ.
2. Next level mind games, like 10 steps ahead mind games.
It is obvious that floyd has been going through stuff based on several of the comments he has made. Sorry bro, hope everything gets better. This also looks good for Dr he is already looking at Mac with suspicion for his non explained sorsha vote (he explains later, but considering he is mafia...).DrWilgy wrote:What and Why?MacDougall wrote:Defensive when no need to be.Matt F wrote:So you believe I should let him be?MacDougall wrote:Floyd has been going through some shit. Let him figure out the game and learn how to play before you make him regret playing dude.
Oh shit, I just came out from the clouds again. Sorry bro.![]()
Anyway, I'm out for a few hours. I may check the thread out when I get home, if not, see ya all tomorrow!
He's barely played on the first four days and making votes is about the easiest thing to imitate. He might be scum, but it'd be impossible to tell. Your reasons for thinking so are based on your own meta.
We should lynch sorsha today based on the fact that sorsha got unlynched yesterday and golden (who is basically confirmed town) was the other candidate along with rico who is apparently unlynchable today.
Sorsha is my vote.
Lol @ the roleplayingDrWilgy wrote:What does this even mean?MacDougall wrote:Nothing has happened to unmake her a scum but all other candidates from yesterday look town ergo I am inclined to believe she was saved by le scum making her mega scum like a megazord.
If I recall correctly, you disagreed with some of the reasons people wanted a Sorsha lynch.
Here:So you think that the case is wrong? But you vote for her immediately today?Spoiler: show
But:looks like a Sorsha defense to me.Spoiler: show
Doesn't these highlights contradict each other? You say you want more information for your read of Matt F, but you previously stated that the only thing you would get out of it was a Matt F clear. Is that your goal for voting Sorsha today? A Matt F clear?
Don't make no sense, no no no...
Wilgy runs over to Fuzz. Tackles him and shows him affection of all sorts. "It's not gay if we have a good laugh." Fuzz thinks to himself. What he doesn't expect, is that Wilgy is harvesting his DNA behind his back!
Fuzz, you read me better than anyone else here. What do you think of me currently. I noticed your intrigue in Bcornett's suspicion.
Finally addressing some of the stuff you were previously talking about, most of this is just because I didn't catch everything when skimming I've had to skim several times and the quantity of content in this thread is difficult to deal with as you yourself have stated.DrWilgy wrote:Thought you would say that. Regardless of your alignment, you know I play better with you pushing me. Don't let me miss those techs and punishes Fuzz.RadicalFuzz wrote:I'm not sure, myself. You play strangely on Syndicate, I'm only used to your JTM (and Avalon) antics.
bcornett, can you elaborate on why you put Wilgy in "probably scum"?
No I am not scum, when you linked this first time it confused me as the structuring and location was weird and I thought this was directed at Mac. Generally speaking, when I create a rainbow, they consist of two types of reads, gut reads based on content glimpse and interactions I have specifically noticed, these are my gut reads. Rainbow reads that are not gut reads tend to have a reason next to them within the rainbow. I tend to not have a preemptive vote ready, I prefer to look at all of the information collectively before I place a vote.DrWilgy wrote:MacDougall wrote:I think we really have to lynch sorsha. I feel like it's the key to breaking the game open today. She either flips scum and leaves behind a tasty breadcrumb trail, or flips town and leaves behind a tasty breadcrumb trail. Trusting Golden again seems like a nice way to get another townie killed. We've got a scum dead inside the first four days in a large game. We can afford a tactical lynch. Sorsha is a good lynch candidate for up front scum play as well as being the best possible lynch from a tactical perspective. Short of someone saying "I am scum" my vote won't be changing today.
Sorsha's play being scum is well documented, you only have to look at her recent posts to get a sense of posting nervously as scum playing poorly with a lynch on them tend to do.
DrWilgy... Are you tunneling me because I said you were scum in that Jimmy's game? Oh my God, u suck brah.
Not tunneling, just asking and pointing out things of importance. Luv ya bruh <3
Ok then, lets set up a chain of events, based on Sorsha crumbs.
When Sorsha flips baddie, who would you vote the following day?
When Sorsha flips civ, who would you vote the following day?
Generating rainbow lists for both if Sorsha is bad or civ would be a good thing as well... Maybe abit much to ask for though.
Bcornett are you bad?
DrWilgy wrote:
bcornett24 wrote:Browsing over posts right now, I have a bit to do after I complete my second job today.
Mafia to do list:If I missed anything or somebody has some questions please let me know.
- In-depth analysis of devin the omniscient
- In-depth analysis of Mac
- Bullzeye post review
- Elo post review
- Espers post review
AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAGGGGHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!!
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I just lost my shit. I actually screamed when I read this.
Someone cool me down! Im seeing red!!
Arbitrary number much?DrWilgy wrote:JJJ is probably scum. Only 55% sure though.
I these feels like a taunt by Mac, or some expression of frustration that Epi was the target of the night kill that kill was blocked.DrWilgy wrote:Mac, how sure of this are you?MacDougall wrote:How did missing your night kill make you feel?
Floyd, Fuzz, or Matt, did epi miss a night kill?
Who else has been obsessing you being scummy? Could you link me anything in particular I would like to take a further look at this.DrWilgy wrote:Lol explain this responsibility Fuzz. Obviously I'm incorrect somewhere.RadicalFuzz wrote:I think Wilgy is dirtier than Mac. My preference would be to lynch the player I am most confident in being scum. In addition, Mac is a strange individual that I am unfamiliar with, while I've known Wilgy for years. Speaking for myself, I'd rather lynch Wilgy, because he's aware of the responsibility to play correctly that all civilians have. He hasn't been contributing what he should be contributing as a townie if he is one, and that leads me to believe that he's not. The Mac lynch is more complex, both the case and the player (to me), so I'd rather take the action that I believe to be more correct with the information I have available to me.
Also, you seem to be obsessing with me, while only looking at my interactions with you. Do you have anything to say about my interactions with, bcornett, or mac?
Below is the entire argument between myself and DrWilgyMetalmarsh89 wrote:
My orginal beef with DrWilgy was I felt his participation was lacking and his content was fluffy, after a 3 hour analysis reviewing his content I feel much better about him.bcornett24 wrote:Who said somebody else is leading it i already have a draft saved I am on mobile right now. I will continue when I get home in an hour or so. I can't manage the copy paste work from mobile.DrWilgy wrote:By all means, let's talk about me! Why does someone else need to lead the discussion though?bcornett24 wrote:Let's talk about Dr. Wilgy then.
And your refusal to answer questions excuse is pucky, my question was asked 1 week ago, and you didnt answer till yesterday. I made it very clear for about 3 days that you missed it, and gave you multiple chances to go back and answer it.
When I quoted my own question, you stated something on the lines of "why are we back at sorsha?" If we are "back" at sorsha, how can catching up be relevant? It's clear you had already read through when the question was asked, yet you still blame the size and speed of this game for not responding.
Quote me a place in which I have refused to answer questions. I would love to see this.
Here is the question series I think you are referencing I quoted them along with my responses.
bcornett24 wrote:What was your question? Remind me please.DrWilgy wrote:Hey bcornett, feel like answerin my question now?bcornett24 wrote:Why are we back to sorsha, or is this just part of the quote and you randomly asked me if i was bad after?DrWilgy wrote:DrWilgy wrote:MacDougall wrote:I think we really have to lynch sorsha. I feel like it's the key to breaking the game open today. She either flips scum and leaves behind a tasty breadcrumb trail, or flips town and leaves behind a tasty breadcrumb trail. Trusting Golden again seems like a nice way to get another townie killed. We've got a scum dead inside the first four days in a large game. We can afford a tactical lynch. Sorsha is a good lynch candidate for up front scum play as well as being the best possible lynch from a tactical perspective. Short of someone saying "I am scum" my vote won't be changing today.
Sorsha's play being scum is well documented, you only have to look at her recent posts to get a sense of posting nervously as scum playing poorly with a lynch on them tend to do.
DrWilgy... Are you tunneling me because I said you were scum in that Jimmy's game? Oh my God, u suck brah.
Not tunneling, just asking and pointing out things of importance. Luv ya bruh <3
Ok then, lets set up a chain of events, based on Sorsha crumbs.
When Sorsha flips baddie, who would you vote the following day?
When Sorsha flips civ, who would you vote the following day?
Generating rainbow lists for both if Sorsha is bad or civ would be a good thing as well... Maybe abit much to ask for though.
Bcornett are you bad?
No I'm not bad are you?If you want a detailed answer ask a question that provokes a response that is more than one word, this is not a yes no questioare. When I asked you to quote your question that is the response you gave me. If there was something more pressing or another questions please ask. But don't give me shit about not answering questions when you asked me if I'm bad.bcornett24 wrote:Because life is exhausting and shitty at times.DrWilgy wrote:I am not. Why did it take you so long to respond even though I was listed as a sketchy sketch on your rainbow list?bcornett24 wrote:Why are we back to sorsha, or is this just part of the quote and you randomly asked me if i was bad after?
No I'm not bad are you?
What are your thoughts on what Fuzz said about me?
Once again I am way behind ~30 pages, if you want my thoughts on specific things please include them in the question otherwise Im digging through thirty pages Im already currently trying to catch up on to read an exchange.
The bit about sorta appeared to be addressed to Mac unless I'm mistaken.
How did I miss that? Haha!Russtifinko wrote:I also don't love your rationale for wanting to lynch MM. It reads to me as uncomfortably close to the idea of lynching civs just to do it, which I am currently ripping motel room for. Please explain yourself.
Welp. Looks like the luggages will have to stay put for at least another phase. Lemme see if I can reschedule those vacation flight tickets...MovingPictures07 wrote:Night 7: Mr. ?????
Night 7 has ended.
????? has survived a kill attempt by Life During Wartime AND a kill attempt by Psycho Killer.
It is now Day 8. You have 48 hours to lynch someone.
Is this a Captain Obvious moment of yours or what exactly were you trying to say with this?Metalmarsh89 wrote:Well it's guaranteed he wasn't roleblocked if his name's off the poll.Epignosis wrote:He's too busy staring at the sun. He's so high he's off the poll.Matt F wrote:What up Choutas', why the sunglasses? Hard for you to see?
Doesn't rule him out as bad of course.
Ugh, this is Watchmen all over again...Metalmarsh89 wrote:Try again.
Read my posts, maybe you can figure out who I am.
Interesting. Quite specific about who the common kill target might have been.TheFloyd73 wrote: Epi and Marsh's conversations with each other are fascinating to observe.
Who ever Life During Wartime and SK tried to kill, they most likely tried to attack Blind.
At first I thought it would make Choutas look better. Then I remembered that both killers targeted the same player.Ricochet wrote:Is this a Captain Obvious moment of yours or what exactly were you trying to say with this?Metalmarsh89 wrote:Well it's guaranteed he wasn't roleblocked if his name's off the poll.Epignosis wrote:He's too busy staring at the sun. He's so high he's off the poll.Matt F wrote:What up Choutas', why the sunglasses? Hard for you to see?
Doesn't rule him out as bad of course.![]()
It's not really that. Him being removed off the poll doesn't mean he can't be Wartime or PK.Metalmarsh89 wrote:At first I thought it would make Choutas look better. Then I remembered that both killers targeted the same player.Ricochet wrote:Is this a Captain Obvious moment of yours or what exactly were you trying to say with this?Metalmarsh89 wrote:Well it's guaranteed he wasn't roleblocked if his name's off the poll.Epignosis wrote:He's too busy staring at the sun. He's so high he's off the poll.Matt F wrote:What up Choutas', why the sunglasses? Hard for you to see?
Doesn't rule him out as bad of course.![]()
Ricochet is my primary guess.Choutas wrote:Question to all. Who do you think both the SK and the scum targeted?
EpiMetalmarsh89 wrote:Ricochet is my primary guess.Choutas wrote:Question to all. Who do you think both the SK and the scum targeted?
It was a gut read. Considering that is the exercise. I will need to go back and analyze BR posts.DrWilgy wrote:Bcornett, you were 1 of 2 who said BR was good in our gth. Why did you think this?
Why?Choutas wrote:Question to all. Who do you think both the SK and the scum targeted?
Do you currently have an opinion on this metalmarsh thing?motel room wrote:well I'm off to have a weekend. Russtifinko is my vote for now. If I get a chance to be back on I'll do some reassessing (wanna see what takes with this metalmarsh thing) and probably some good old defending by the looks.
Metalmarsh89 wrote:I realize this does not include everybody bcornett, but our most recent GTH reads list six players as unanimous town reads: Elohcin, Epignosis, motel room, RadicalFuzz, Ricochet, and Strawhenge.Spoiler: show
And I listed Epignosis as good because I doubt he is mafia.
sig wrote:Just popping in supposed to be doing school but Mom hasn't noticed I'm not yet :P
So Roxy and BLack Rock were modkilled but somebody killed Splints?
Why are we lynching MM what is the argument for it?
I still think JJJ is the best lynch for today. He pushed Black Rock then switched off of Black.
Two days ago the mafia almost saved Mac for the day with a counterwagon yesterday they did the same with seaside.
They're gun-to-head reads. I had seconds to decide, and decided that bad = mafia.Ricochet wrote:Metalmarsh89 wrote:I realize this does not include everybody bcornett, but our most recent GTH reads list six players as unanimous town reads: Elohcin, Epignosis, motel room, RadicalFuzz, Ricochet, and Strawhenge.Spoiler: show
And I listed Epignosis as good because I doubt he is mafia.![]()
Is that how GTH works? You label players bad only if you think they're part of the mafia team. Bad-aligned indy killers are projected also as "good"?
JaggedJimmyJay wrote:I don't care what you think of Brian. I care about being discredited in OT text.
I'm still at work.
Ricochet wrote:I didn't discredit your read.
Sig, let me bring this post up again about the Black Rock wagon, and why I think Jay was justified in moving his vote off of Black Rock.sig wrote:Just popping in supposed to be doing school but Mom hasn't noticed I'm not yet :P
So Roxy and BLack Rock were modkilled but somebody killed Splints?
Why are we lynching MM what is the argument for it?
I still think JJJ is the best lynch for today. He pushed Black Rock then switched off of Black.
Two days ago the mafia almost saved Mac for the day with a counterwagon yesterday they did the same with seaside.
Yes he was attempting to save a player who had read as town who flipped mafia, and that's certainly something to take into account, but my point is that Jay had his vote on Black Rock until almost the very end of the day, and then he put it back on her on Day 7.Metalmarsh89 wrote:Oops, let me try that again with the spoiled post quoted.
I've reconstructed the Day 6 lynch from before the wagon on Black Rock disintegrated. Two of the voters transferred their votes to MacDougall in succession (myself and Epignosis), and Jay moved his vote to the Diiny wagon that formed later.
This is for anyone interested in what the Black Rock wagon looked like and why it fell apart. Two of the voters went on to vote another mafia member who was ultimately lynched, and the other player moved on to make his vote relevant at the end of the day phase.
I don't believe the wagon fell apart to "save" Black Rock.
Spoiler: show
So SK is "good".Metalmarsh89 wrote:They're gun-to-head reads. I had seconds to decide, and decided that bad = mafia.Ricochet wrote:Metalmarsh89 wrote:I realize this does not include everybody bcornett, but our most recent GTH reads list six players as unanimous town reads: Elohcin, Epignosis, motel room, RadicalFuzz, Ricochet, and Strawhenge.Spoiler: show
And I listed Epignosis as good because I doubt he is mafia.![]()
Is that how GTH works? You label players bad only if you think they're part of the mafia team. Bad-aligned indy killers are projected also as "good"?
"Played my hand."Metalmarsh89 wrote:When we did the GTH reads, I did think Epignosis could be the PSK, but he has also acted pro-town, and so it could have gone either way. However, based on recent events, I believe he played his hand to try and get me lynched, and believe the likelihood is higher now.