Re: [DAY 6] Turf Wars: Battle of the Hosts
Posted: Mon Mar 21, 2016 1:54 pm
In the interests of keeping it tight, I moved to Boomrique .
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
Prisoner 509378 wrote:The current ratio in this game is 13 vs 5. That's not a nightmare with so much information available, but it is definitely not in town's favor either. Any mislynch from this point on will significantly decrease town's win-probability. So show me your fire, Quin. If you're town, then your lynch would be representative of a baddie team that has poisoned the thread against you. Imagine them sipping lemonade on a hot beach somewhere, watching this thread develop on their tablets between naps. That's what would be happening right now. Are you satisfied with that? Is that okay with you?Quin wrote:As I said, trust me or lynch me, and you've made your decision.
Sloonei wrote:Are you allowed to answer these questions?
You jumped off that pretty quick.chaindeath wrote:Can someone hook up chaidneath with a tldr of the day so far? He has classwork to do and not enough time to read through 400+ posts from the time he was away. To the direct accusations at him he would like to say if you lynch him you lynch a townie. There is no way to make this clearer that he knows of. He is going to vote Nero because he still thinks he's bad. All aboard the train hes going into a tunnel (or has been in one for a while).
No one understands ika and he spent a good deal of time arguing against people who were defending him, but then he promised Silverwolf he's not bad or something, so he's probably not bad because that's just where we're at right now. Other people, however, think he's bad because just look at him, it's obvious he's bad!chaindeath wrote:Can someone hook up chaidneath with a tldr of the day so far? He has classwork to do and not enough time to read through 400+ posts from the time he was away. To the direct accusations at him he would like to say if you lynch him you lynch a townie. There is no way to make this clearer that he knows of. He is going to vote Nero because he still thinks he's bad. All aboard the train hes going into a tunnel (or has been in one for a while).
That reference to you was me thinking that if you're a cop we're never going to be able to lynch you. You were hardcore towning it up in the early game but I didn't tone read you as town if that makes sense. I've felt pretty good about you almost all game.Sloonei wrote:This post I don't like quite as much. For all his activity and prodding prior to this post, he's come up with no strong baddie reads anywhere? His little bit of shade-casting at me also feels uninspired, like he was just saying it for the sake of saying it. I don't remember him hinting at me being suspicious anywhere else, so either he dropped the thought or forgot it there. Or I overlooked/forgot something.Turnip Head wrote:I don't like that Epignosis has 3 votes. I don't like it one bit
Sloonei is supatowning, which means he's either one of our most valuable assets or an undercover copOnly time will tell I suppose. He defended his Nerolunar read really well, but I don't like that he's criticizing Epignosis for not agreeing with his read, as if Nero's civvieness is obvious.
I don't really know who I want to vote for. I'm not a fan of any of the major wagons but don't have strong baddie reads on anyone.
I don't remember why this was the case, I think I was just readingSloonei wrote:There was still a lot going on in the thread during his absence, and he made a couple of posts implying that he was following along, but made no comments.
The first post was a kneejerk reaction to sig's role in the CFD. I reread him and felt better about his intentions.Sloonei wrote:Turnip Head wrote:Oh sig. Sig sig sig, my dear boy.
I think you might be bad.I'd like to know what prompted this change of opinion.Turnip Head wrote:I think sig is town. It would have been easy for him to agree with the Fuzz suspicion if bad but he was thinking critically about the CFD and he was wrong. I don't want a witch hunt against the players who were against the CFD... but of them I think Luffy looks the worst for being against it but then jumping on it anyways, but he clearly put a lot of work into analyzing Golden's role in the events, so
Maybe it was weak but it was genuine. I couldn't understand LC's ambivalence towards a sig or Quin lynch from a townie perspective, and leading that lynch was an effort to save players I thought were town.Sloonei wrote:Here is an early post against Long Con. Days 3 and 4 are a big blur in my memory. I was not really present for most of those phases. I don't remember anything about how Long Con came to be lynched, but I do remember seeing this post at one time and feeling a vague sense of disagreement with it. I know that's meaningless now, but after Turnip has spent so much time defending many of the other main suspects in the thread, this kind of feels like a weak suspect to come up with.
Actually, if anything Zebra turned into me during that lynch :P I really felt this was the best course of action. Obviously I was wrong.Sloonei wrote:Turnip Head wrote:Long Con is bad y'allAll that caution he's been displaying all game long has suddenly gone out the window. Turnip Head has turned into zebra and is just telling others to hop on his bandwagon.Turnip Head wrote:Sig get your butt on this LC wagon!
I don't know either, the more townies we lynch the less faith I have in any of my reads and I'm sort of just adrift right now. I made a rainbow list a while back, I'd say it mostly hasn't changed except I feel better about chaindeath and Epi now, and Matt 2.0 is dead, so my orange reads have pretty much evaporatedSloonei wrote:I am not really sure where Turnip's thoughts are now. It would be cool if he could give us a rainbow or something. In this post he suggests he might vote for ika and also maybe suggests some degree of willingness about Boomslang? I'm not sure. There's a lot of uncertainty in Turnip Head's game at this point and I'd have an easier time reading him if he was having an easier time reading the thread.
I feel myself leaning more town on Turnip after this ISO than I was before, but not overwhelmingly so.
Silverwolf's confidence and ika's subsequent reaction to that. I put a lot of stock into SO's being able to read each other's baddie games. I think I explained all this already...Sloonei wrote:What has changed about ika? He was one of the players you were actively trying to not lynch earlier.
I suppose I just expected there to be more to it. I am not so immediately trustful of Silverwolf's ability to read ika.Turnip Head wrote:Silverwolf's confidence and ika's subsequent reaction to that. I put a lot of stock into SO's being able to read each other's baddie games. I think I explained all this already...Sloonei wrote:What has changed about ika? He was one of the players you were actively trying to not lynch earlier.
I think you're interpreting my thoughts on ika to be stronger than they actually areSloonei wrote:I suppose I just expected there to be more to it. I am not so immediately trustful of Silverwolf's ability to read ika.Turnip Head wrote:Silverwolf's confidence and ika's subsequent reaction to that. I put a lot of stock into SO's being able to read each other's baddie games. I think I explained all this already...Sloonei wrote:What has changed about ika? He was one of the players you were actively trying to not lynch earlier.
Would you be willing to give a full list of GTH reads? I think they can be helpful both to you and to those of us trying to read you.Turnip Head wrote:I think you're interpreting my thoughts on ika to be stronger than they actually areSloonei wrote:I suppose I just expected there to be more to it. I am not so immediately trustful of Silverwolf's ability to read ika.Turnip Head wrote:Silverwolf's confidence and ika's subsequent reaction to that. I put a lot of stock into SO's being able to read each other's baddie games. I think I explained all this already...Sloonei wrote:What has changed about ika? He was one of the players you were actively trying to not lynch earlier.Frankly I have no idea how to read him. But if Silver thinks he's bad I think that's worth looking into.
See what I mean about being forced to explain myself lol... I don't always share my thought process unless I feel it is essential to do so. Scotty's recent posts, to me, feel like genuine attempts to solve the game. This was not a vibe I got from early game Scotty who just voted with little explanation. He's looking for connections and working through the logic of his suspicions, which makes me think he's okay.Sloonei wrote:Why is Scotty a town read? You were suspicious of him early on but I never saw anything where you mentioned your opinion of him changing.
What is this a job interview?Sloonei wrote:What, if anything, would you say has been the source or cause of your general uncertainty in this game? How are you hoping to address this moving forward?
I'm trying to synergize here, fellow employee! Cooperative work environment and such.Turnip Head wrote:What is this a job interview?Sloonei wrote:What, if anything, would you say has been the source or cause of your general uncertainty in this game? How are you hoping to address this moving forward?
You should answer with how much of a perfectionist you are.Turnip Head wrote:What is this a job interview?Sloonei wrote:What, if anything, would you say has been the source or cause of your general uncertainty in this game? How are you hoping to address this moving forward?
Turnip Head wrote:What is this a job interview?Sloonei wrote:What, if anything, would you say has been the source or cause of your general uncertainty in this game? How are you hoping to address this moving forward?
We also agreed on Boomslang.thellama73 wrote:What's going on with this Boomslang wagon? I thought we agreed on Quin?
Boom's a better choice. Maybe Quin can be his running mate. Boomrique-Quin 2016thellama73 wrote:What's going on with this Boomslang wagon? I thought we agreed on Quin?
I know you're just trying to get a read on me, but my list is what it is. I agree it's not inspiring, but I'm town and that's what my list looks like at this point. Most of my suspects are dead (and already revealed to be town tbh), so criticizing the low scum total on my GTH reads is a bit harsh.Sloonei wrote:It's just very difficult to read you when so many of your posts are expressing a lack of conviction. I either have to press you for more answers or read you as scum. You only gave three scum reads in your GTH list and none of them were terribly inspiring. The prisoner says low scum totals on those lists has often been a sign of scumminess in the past, so I am intrigued. But I also have to leave for work now so I guess this interview is over. We'll let you know about our decision in a few days.
I encourage you to put a vote on Boomslang if you're feeling good about him. I should note that I'm definitely with you on this being a tough game to crack. Everything's kind of gone down hill since we lynched Fuzz. We've collectively been all over the place.Turnip Head wrote:I think my uncertainty stems from the fact that no one is playing a "typical baddie game" here. In a one-mafia setting I expect the mafia to have trouble blending into such a talkative game. Unless all the cops are lurkers, they're are some town-looking players who are actually bad, and hell if I know who it is at this point. I think we need another cop lynch to break the game open; the Fuzz lynch happened to quickly to draw meaningful conclusions from it, IMO.
It's possible they're all lurkers though. I feel pretty good about Boomslang being bad at this point, and Draconus is worrying me too.
I will vote when I damn well pleaseSloonei wrote:I encourage you to put a vote on Boomslang if you're feeling good about him. I should note that I'm definitely with you on this being a tough game to crack. Everything's kind of gone down hill since we lynched Fuzz. We've collectively been all over the place.Turnip Head wrote:I think my uncertainty stems from the fact that no one is playing a "typical baddie game" here. In a one-mafia setting I expect the mafia to have trouble blending into such a talkative game. Unless all the cops are lurkers, they're are some town-looking players who are actually bad, and hell if I know who it is at this point. I think we need another cop lynch to break the game open; the Fuzz lynch happened to quickly to draw meaningful conclusions from it, IMO.
It's possible they're all lurkers though. I feel pretty good about Boomslang being bad at this point, and Draconus is worrying me too.
I didn't.Sloonei wrote:We also agreed on Boomslang.thellama73 wrote:What's going on with this Boomslang wagon? I thought we agreed on Quin?
I am NOT implying that. I am just suspicion of sudden out-of-the-blue wagons.Turnip Head wrote:Okay, well now I get the feeling that Llama might have civ BTSC with Boom.
Boomslang wrote:Complete honest here: with school, I don't have time to keep up with this thread. Voting *ika* based almost purely on gut and because I feel some of his defense posts have been more passive-aggressive than honestly civ.
Those look like different reasons even if they have the same result.Boomslang wrote:Save my butt, generate intel that's more useful to a wider swath of players. *votes ika*
They happen with vote changes. Boom's been a consensus suspect for days. The wagon is still pulling teeth too with all the creepers voting ika.thellama73 wrote:I am NOT implying that. I am just suspicion of sudden out-of-the-blue wagons.Turnip Head wrote:Okay, well now I get the feeling that Llama might have civ BTSC with Boom.
I don't find it sudden or out of the blue. Enrique previously garnered a lot of talk, starting EoD 2. Then it cooled off. Now we're back to talking about him again.thellama73 wrote:I am NOT implying that. I am just suspicion of sudden out-of-the-blue wagons.Turnip Head wrote:Okay, well now I get the feeling that Llama might have civ BTSC with Boom.
This is pretty much where I'm at.Sloonei wrote:I'm off to work for the rest of the day. I emphatically endorse votes for Boomslang. I approve of votes for Quin. I shake compulsively and break out in a cold sweat at the very thought of ika.
Righto! In fact, both people who are being looked at today have jumped onto ika. Which, I mean, I understand self-preservation and what not... but still... you are saying truths. I'm feeling better and better about my Boom vote.Prisoner 509378 wrote:The people voting Boom are so much easier to trust than those voting ika. This is easy IMO.
This tally is annoying me. I need an eyeball twitch emoticon.Sloonei wrote:I've been at work for an hour and one post has been made? Shaking my head disapprovingly at everyone.