Re: [NIGHT 6] Turf Wars: Battle of the Hosts
Posted: Tue Mar 22, 2016 10:38 am
Quin!Sloonei wrote:Boomslang!Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
Quin!Sloonei wrote:Boomslang!Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?
What about Epi? We lynched two of the three major people for day 2. All three people who voted for him were civs.thellama73 wrote:I don't. I thought the almost-lynch of Chaindeath early in the game was a clear case of scapegoating.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?
Do you think I am manipulating indiglo?Quin wrote:Prisoner aside, unless you have BTSC together then the person you trust the most could be manipulating you. If you don't scum read me, what makes you trust me less than the others? Because they lynched more people? Are you still suspicious of me? To answer both points, lynching ika would help you answer those questions.indiglo wrote:No, I don't. I am not reading you as scum either. However some people I trust have been seeing you in that light for quite some time. So I'm led to consider why they think that, because I don't think their suspicion of you is faked either. Do they have info? Are they just incorrect?Quin wrote:Do you think my suspicion of ika is faked?indiglo wrote:Turnip Head wrote:In that case we should lynch him and sort out the rest when we get there.indiglo wrote:Turnip Head wrote:I really want to take a leap of faith and trust Silver about ika.
Here's what my paranoia is doing to me - what if ika is scum and several scum team members are voting ika (a member of their team) for civ cred? (While they let a bunch of civs follow another mislynch.)
Well, I do think SW is town. Even with continued issues with miscommunication. Prisoner50 said we know who we trust, it's time to take a leap of faith. Ergo, I leap with her.
On the flip side, the past few times I have changed my vote close to EoD (even for what seemed like good reasons) it has not gone well for the lynch.
I know I am overthinking this, but then I overthink that too - which direction am I overthinking in? And that type of shit.
I am in a pickle over the whole thing. And I feel like a dolt because of it, but I also have to congratulate all the cops on confusing me so well.
Interesting. I never really noticed that phase of the game. I'll take a look before I continue to cry for the death of chaindeath.thellama73 wrote:I don't. I thought the almost-lynch of Chaindeath early in the game was a clear case of scapegoating.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?
Will you help to turn us around? Who are your suspects now that ika is gone?Silverwolf wrote:Like, everyone just wants to say I was wrong and I should accept that and not consider I might have reasons for thinking ika was the seemer. Like, not only dismissing it outright but making snide remarks to me about being wrong and yet ANOTHER assumption I don't know ika.
Town is gonna lose this game. It makes me sad.
Then I guess it would be in everyone's best interest if I followed up my last post with an additional "Why?"Silverwolf wrote:Too bad. I don't cater to scum. I hope town wises up soon.Epignosis wrote:I also asked "Why?"Silverwolf wrote:Epi, You fucking asked me for my God damn reads so fuck off again!!
See?
When you do not answer why, it makes it seem as though what you are saying is black or white. If you want to answer why, I'm still receptive, though you are more interested in telling me to fuck off.Epignosis wrote:Silverwolf wrote:No he's not. He's arrested. I still think there's a chance he's the seemer.Epignosis wrote:ika is dead now. Who is bad? And why?Silverwolf wrote:Like, everyone just wants to say I was wrong and I should accept that and not consider I might have reasons for thinking ika was the seemer. Like, not only dismissing it outright but making snide remarks to me about being wrong and yet ANOTHER assumption I don't know ika.
Town is gonna lose this game. It makes me sad.
Scum is in the group of Soneji, Draconus, Serge, you, Boomslang, Chaindeath, Nerolunar. Black
Everyone else is town. WhiteSilverwolf wrote:Discounting this possibility outright is foolish. And just because ika didn't play how you'd expect the seemer to play, doesn't mean he isn't. Like I've said over and over, making everything black and white is how town loses.indiglo wrote:Ok, but how does it make sense that the scum team would bus their Seemer when most of the obvious civs are NOT on board with said lynch? It is illogical. The Seemer's strength (as I see it) is that when all the civs get real suspish of him, and decide to lynch him, he throws a wrench in their thinking by Seeming civ. That was not the case here.
The Inglorious Civsters (pardon me for using that, even though it hasn't been voted on or notorized) were not on board with the ika vote. It makes zero sense to me that ika was the Seemer. ZERO.
Also, I don't agree with you about your boyfriend. Get over it.
I don“t see how you can think Im a teammate of Chaindeath. I have been advocating his lynch for a very long time nowsig wrote:Actually wow, okay I just read up on things. I regret not being here at EOD. The fact anyone voted for Ika after chaindeath is very off putting to me. His post reeks. Also I dislike Th last minute vote. I think y'all might have been right about Enrique/Bloom. I could see Chain, TH, and maybe llama as there teammate. Possibly Nero also. Both have tunneled on players who arent major lynch trains. I also can't even recall Llama giving reads outside of who he thought was scum DDL and Quin.
Sure, Chaindeath is a great lynch, and so is Boomslang. It should have been one of them this day, though it does make it easier to work with SW as she is not as entangled with Ika anymore.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?
Mr. 509, chaindeath would like to disagree with you since he is, in fact part of everyone. He would not be a good lynch since it would only trouble his family more. He is a civi.sig wrote:What about Epi? We lynched two of the three major people for day 2. All three people who voted for him were civs.thellama73 wrote:I don't. I thought the almost-lynch of Chaindeath early in the game was a clear case of scapegoating.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?![]()
I'd rather lynch Bloom or nero, not really seeing the chaindeath thing.
Sloonei wrote:Exactly three?Black Rock wrote:I think there is three for sure.Prisoner 509378 wrote:I'm still here, just getting ready to board a plane.
I think the ika wagon is loaded with cops.
oh wait, I was speaking Cheryl here. For sure means at least. If that wasn't clear. I think you thought I meant for sure = exactly.Black Rock wrote:Sloonei wrote:Exactly three?Black Rock wrote:I think there is three for sure.Prisoner 509378 wrote:I'm still here, just getting ready to board a plane.
I think the ika wagon is loaded with cops.
If I meant exactly three I would say there are three.... not for sure.
Black Rock wrote:oh wait, I was speaking Cheryl here. For sure means at least. If that wasn't clear. I think you thought I meant for sure = exactly.Black Rock wrote:Sloonei wrote:Exactly three?Black Rock wrote:I think there is three for sure.Prisoner 509378 wrote:I'm still here, just getting ready to board a plane.
I think the ika wagon is loaded with cops.
If I meant exactly three I would say there are three.... not for sure.
I'm willing to take chaindeath's word on his own meta in this case. Let's believe for a moment that, when bad, he avoids calling attention to any sort of link between himself and his teammates.chaindeath wrote:Mr. 509, chaindeath would like to disagree with you since he is, in fact part of everyone. He would not be a good lynch since it would only trouble his family more. He is a civi.sig wrote:What about Epi? We lynched two of the three major people for day 2. All three people who voted for him were civs.thellama73 wrote:I don't. I thought the almost-lynch of Chaindeath early in the game was a clear case of scapegoating.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Let's lynch chaindeath tomorrow. I think everyone agrees with that one, yes?![]()
I'd rather lynch Bloom or nero, not really seeing the chaindeath thing.Nero and chaindeath, he would like to point out, are not friendmates in the slightest. They have been trying to get the town to lynch one another for a large part of the game. If chaindeath had teammates he would avoid them like the plague.
Yes, I am not going to assume that ika was the seemer. It's a possibility, but I have no way of knowing right now, so I'm not going to leap to that conclusion. I thought he was town before he was arrested and that's still true.Black Rock wrote:Just caught up on the last couple of pages. Not fun to read.
I know it's nice to think Ika is the seemer, could be. We can't know for sure. At this point I don't think he was but I could be wrong. I don't think it's worth the argument.
The fresher the reads the better. I will appreciate any cases you can share. I am also inclined to agree with your general assessment of the game. I am getting genuinely positive vibes from most of the players driving the discussion in this game, though I'm not going to be surprised if one or two of them are bad. I think we're dealing with some quieter scums in this game.Silverwolf wrote:Well, I'm not gonna keep going on and on about ika being the seemer although I'm pretty sure he is. We will find out soon enough and any further speculation is pointless.
Sloonei-I did give reasons for many of those reads throughout my ISO but I can do it again if needed.
Bottom line is many of them are laying low and trying to blend in without doing any actual scumhunting or game solving. I feel like scum is doing this, this game and that a lot of the active players are town. There could be an active scum or two but there is scum in the lurkers, I have no doubt about it. Nero and chaindeath were mostly because they game me the most pause when I did GTH reads. I realized I didn't have a good read on either of them and that made me suspicious. They need further ISO's from me. Next day, I'm most likely gonna support a Draconus or Boomslang lynch. I still think Draconus is scum.
I've seen many players over the years who have shown this level of frustration when they feel their reads/contributions aren't being given the time of day (whether that's accurate or not). Nearly all of them have been town. I also think her current perspective of ika shows a healthy amount of town paranoia, and I don't think she'd have become quite so animated if she were attempting to pull wool over our eyes. Finding sincerity in her posts is perhaps the single easiest thing to do in this game.Scotty wrote:This might also be controversial, and I've been avoiding it because I don't feel like I want to attract her ire, but why is Silver considered civ again?
Okay, but...Turnip Head wrote:Silverwolf's confidence and ika's subsequent reaction to that. I put a lot of stock into SO's being able to read each other's baddie games. I think I explained all this already...Sloonei wrote:What has changed about ika? He was one of the players you were actively trying to not lynch earlier.
Prisoner 509378 wrote:I almost forgot my three asterisks:
TH goes after Long Con.***
*** Apart from the points being made above, Turnip Head's reasons for suspecting Long Con were absolutely silly. He essentially accused Long Con of tunneling, implied that tunneling is what baddies do, and then gave him crap for failing to focus on more names when in the process of writing a case against someone specific. That makes no sense, I don't believe for a minute that Turnip Head bought into his own case, it was a smearjob and he's bad.
Die cop die.
Epi being fooled by his spouse is evidence that his civilian read on her was faked? He was wrong. He was fooled. He didn't fake anything.Turnip Head wrote:There is no inconsistency. I specifically said I take it seriously when partners call each other out as baddies, civ reads between partners can be faked (see Epi getting fooled by Elo in Harry Potter for playing up her civ tells).
You obviously took responsibility for the LC lynch as its undeniable leader. You gave all of the credit for the ika lynch to Silverwolf. I don't think you took any responsibility -- it's easy to say you did, but nah.Turnip Head wrote:I thought LC was bad, I thought ika was bad, I take responsibility for both of those votes, so don't act like I'm not taking responsibility for them.
Wait, what's that? You think Prisoner 509378 is smearing you? The guy/gal who is seemingly mechanically immune to suspicion? Go on.Turnip Head wrote:LC focusing on Nero while being ambivalent about sig and Quin was like, the crux of my suspicion, but you seem to have missed that. Talk about smear campaigns
That's not at all what I meant, I meant that Elo faked her civ tells to get a civ read from Epi. Faking scum tells is counterproductive. Sorry if you don't understand thisPrisoner 509378 wrote:Epi being fooled by his spouse is evidence that his civilian read on her was faked? He was wrong. He was fooled. He didn't fake anything.Turnip Head wrote:There is no inconsistency. I specifically said I take it seriously when partners call each other out as baddies, civ reads between partners can be faked (see Epi getting fooled by Elo in Harry Potter for playing up her civ tells).
I understand it perfectly. You just changed your story. Elo faked her civ tells, but she did not fake a civ read. Epi did not fake a civ read. A read is not a tell.Turnip Head wrote:That's not at all what I meant, I meant that Elo faked her civ tells to get a civ read from Epi. Faking scum tells is counterproductive. Sorry if you don't understand thisPrisoner 509378 wrote:Epi being fooled by his spouse is evidence that his civilian read on her was faked? He was wrong. He was fooled. He didn't fake anything.Turnip Head wrote:There is no inconsistency. I specifically said I take it seriously when partners call each other out as baddies, civ reads between partners can be faked (see Epi getting fooled by Elo in Harry Potter for playing up her civ tells).
I mean you are misinterpreting my actions to make me look bad. That doesn't make you bad, it just gives you false confidence, because at the end of the day I'm not bad and all my reads have been genuine so your case is wrong. The fact that you are possibly confirmed town doesn't make you infallible.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Wait, what's that? You think Prisoner 509378 is smearing you? The guy/gal who is seemingly mechanically immune to suspicion? Go on.Turnip Head wrote:LC focusing on Nero while being ambivalent about sig and Quin was like, the crux of my suspicion, but you seem to have missed that. Talk about smear campaigns
Prisoner 509378 wrote:I understand it perfectly. You just changed your story. Elo faked her civ tells, but she did not fake a civ read. Epi did not fake a civ read. A read is not a tell.Turnip Head wrote:That's not at all what I meant, I meant that Elo faked her civ tells to get a civ read from Epi. Faking scum tells is counterproductive. Sorry if you don't understand thisPrisoner 509378 wrote:Epi being fooled by his spouse is evidence that his civilian read on her was faked? He was wrong. He was fooled. He didn't fake anything.Turnip Head wrote:There is no inconsistency. I specifically said I take it seriously when partners call each other out as baddies, civ reads between partners can be faked (see Epi getting fooled by Elo in Harry Potter for playing up her civ tells).
Of course I'm not infallible. But I am invincible. To imply a smear campaign exists in my case against you is to imply that my motives aren't genuine.Turnip Head wrote:I mean you are misinterpreting my actions to make me look bad. That doesn't make you bad, it just gives you false confidence, because at the end of the day I'm not bad and all my reads have been genuine so your case is wrong. The fact that you are possibly confirmed town doesn't make you infallible.Prisoner 509378 wrote:Wait, what's that? You think Prisoner 509378 is smearing you? The guy/gal who is seemingly mechanically immune to suspicion? Go on.Turnip Head wrote:LC focusing on Nero while being ambivalent about sig and Quin was like, the crux of my suspicion, but you seem to have missed that. Talk about smear campaigns
Why would I build a smear campaign against you if I don't want to maliciously turn the tide against you for any reason not town-favored? Why would I smear campaign you if my read is sincere?Turnip Head wrote:No it doesn't, you just chose to read it that way.
I don't know, why did you?Prisoner 509378 wrote:Why would I build a smear campaign against you if I don't want to maliciously turn the tide against you for any reason not town-favored? Why would I smear campaign you if my read is sincere?Turnip Head wrote:No it doesn't, you just chose to read it that way.
No, I won't be needing any of that sir, but thank you.Turnip Head wrote:I don't know, why did you?Prisoner 509378 wrote:Why would I build a smear campaign against you if I don't want to maliciously turn the tide against you for any reason not town-favored? Why would I smear campaign you if my read is sincere?Turnip Head wrote:No it doesn't, you just chose to read it that way.
Scotty wrote:I like this dude. I think he is town, mostly because we have similar philosophies.Serge wrote:Hullo Sloonei, I have just arrived at your post. Thanks to you and that other person that explained linki.Sloonei wrote:Hello again Serge, "linki" refers to when a new post pops up during the time you are typing your own new post.Serge wrote:Hello everyone, sorry for missing out on the last day. I've read up until page 15, hopefully I'll catch up tomorrow.
I'm quite surprised at the number of new players in this specific game. The thread is going so fast and references on other games flash by here and there. Let us be civil(no pun intended), it seems some sparks are flying.
Who/what is a linki? When I catch up hopefully I'll be able to form a clearer picture. If it doesn't come in that form, I'll make that investigation board instead. No matter what happens, I'll cast a vote this day phase.
What would you say is your general strategy on Days 1 & 2 of a Mafia game? Has this game been busier than what you are accustomed to?
I don't like 0s and 1s as they usually revolve around random guessing and nitpicking the tiniest bits of text that may be construed as scummy. An example would be llama saying that Luffy complaining that the game is hard for cops is scummy is an example.
For Day 2, I generally put who got lynched and nightkilled front and center, using the posts from the previous day to try and find any links as to how both these things transpire.
I'm going to resume reading now, see you when I catch up.
Though night kills I'm starting to rely less and less on as crutches for suspicions.
I would like to know what happened between these two posts to prompt Serge being a hypothetical teammate of agleaminranks. Obviously we were wrong about gleam, but I'd like to know what your thought process was in calling Serge a potential bad guy here. And how do you feel about him now?Scotty wrote:let it be known if gleam flips bad, I'm calling Serge as a teammate.
This post stood out to me at the time because Scotty shared a lot of "if, then" suspicions that I didn't necessarily agree with and I believe I asked him to follow up on it then. It caught my eye this time around, though, because of the weird suggestion that sig could be the Don and that for some reason that implicate Golden and myself. I do not follow any of this, Scotty. Could you elaborate on this week old thought process?Scotty wrote:I'm still here, catching up. Had a long weekend.
You guys ever fiddle with proofs in Geometry class? If a=b and b=c then a=c? That's kinda where my mind is with the potential alignments I'm calling a "trust fund". It's still rather abstract and unfinished but I have a few that I'm toying with in my mind.
Here's a few off the top of my head:
If sig is bad, then Quin is bad.
If sig is good, then golden is probably bad.
If sig is good, then Sloonei is probably bad.
If sig is good, then I am an idiot.
If Silverwolf is bad, then ika is probably bad.
If llama is bad, then DDL is probably good.
If TH is good, then sig is good.
If sig is good, then Quin is probably good.
These are obviously my opinions but just so y'all know, that's where my mind is right now.
I can't shake in the back of my mind that the Don has BTSC with his associate and they would have each other's back. I get nervous in any lynch that the entire thing has been one big ploy (since the cops probably know the identify of at least one don at this point) to get the entire town to rile up a lynch on said Don. It would make sense why the last 2 kills were failed. I think they are Don hunting, and have their target. Now it's just turning the Mafia tide to lynch their own. That's my thought.
Hypothetically- If sig is to be lynched and comes back as the Don (heaven for bid, with how he's played he is the Don lolz), I would look directly at Sloonei and Golden as the perpetrators. And even I would have to answer for a few things I suppose.
The way I see it, I currently trust Golden and Sloonei's lead because it makes sense, and they're so sure of their reads that it's kind of startling.
and anyone looking to tunnel on sig at this point (and to an extent that last lynch) if he is bad, I am inherently going to be suspicious of. I feel sig is grasping at straws here, and if I'm right, this looks worse for DDL, who has gradually started to join the sig train before it gets to the station.
If sig is bad, you know at this point he knows his goose is cooked and would be welcoming any and everyone to ride him like a mechanical bull at closing time.
You're missing the context of what was happening in the thread at that point, sig and Quin were the main focus of discussion. In any case I don't care if you think my reasons were sillyPrisoner 509378 wrote:To be suspicious of Long Con wasn't silly.
To tell him his focus wasn't broad enough when he was working out a case against his preferred suspect was silly. Like right now, my focus is entirely on Turnip Head. Because he's the one I've just cased, and he's the one I'm concerned about. I am not going to sprinkle comments about Quin or sig into this conversation because they aren't my current focus.
Long Con specifically said that he wanted to check out Nerolunar because he hadn't been a main focus of discussion. That was the whole point. "You haven't been talking about the main focuses of discussion while you were busy casing someone other than the main focuses of discussion"Turnip Head wrote:You're missing the context of what was happening in the thread at that point, sig and Quin were the main focus of discussion. In any case I don't care if you think my reasons were sillyPrisoner 509378 wrote:To be suspicious of Long Con wasn't silly.
To tell him his focus wasn't broad enough when he was working out a case against his preferred suspect was silly. Like right now, my focus is entirely on Turnip Head. Because he's the one I've just cased, and he's the one I'm concerned about. I am not going to sprinkle comments about Quin or sig into this conversation because they aren't my current focus.
I dig it. I've been tinfoiling a bit on him and your ISO was solid, thank you.Sloonei wrote:I feel better about Scotty than I did before doing this ISO, and I was already leaning town on him.