Re: GAME OF CHAMPIONS 2021 D2
Posted: Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:13 pm
Murder, Mayhem, and Mafia
https://www.mafiathesyndicate.com/
i really just struggle to see, based on everything i know of dizzy, that he makes this comment so early about sloon if sloon is his partner. like, i'd think he'd want to make sloon look good and not force this type of attention on him prior to it being a thing? i think sloon just has to be a villager here, or at least not mafiaDyslexicon wrote: ↑Sat Jan 29, 2022 9:18 am I don't really have any scum reads, but I would straight up yeet Sloonei here. He probably doesn't want to play because he's mafia.
Neeko just didn't really find much of a reason to look into Dizzy D1 as nothing stood out and they were just kinda not there.
Finally gonna properly cover this thing.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 4:18 pm I promised to talk some more about my c4 suspicion. It seems he has gained sufficient momentum since last night anyway, but I will still dump my thoughts into the thread.
Something that I feel is sometimes true about mafia members is that they struggle to actively pursue suspicions. It is one thing to name suspects and place votes, but it is another to flesh out reads and have them develop in real time. Making up fake arguments about a person about why they are lying when you know that they are not can be a difficult thing to do, especially when the person you are targeting is capable of being more vocal than you about it. The result is a bunch of stagnant suspicions that fail to take off, with more energy spent arguing (truthfully) about why certain players are town instead of mafia.
I think I see this trend playing out in c4's posts. Observe:C4's most substantive Day 1 posts are an exchange with Porscha that lists reasons to suspect her, but never develops in any meaningful way. The rest of c4's Day 1 feels like aimless prodding and asking for direction on who to shoot. I am lacking the full context leading up to his decision to shoot Bo, but based on c4's posts alone I do not find his process to be all that convincing.Spoiler: show
The suspects c4 does prod for most of Day 1 are easy options. He starts with Creature, whose playstyle invites suspicion, especially early on. Then he shifts to Porscha, an unfamiliar face with light activity. Then he spends a few posts prodding me with no direction because of my absence/lack of spark. But c4 never actually put real pressure on me. He demanded that I post and then didn't have anything to say to me when I did.
Compare all of this to the amount of time and energy c4 puts into townreading people on Day 1. I am having trouble finding any evidence that he is making a sincere effort to uncover suspects. He steps in to declare town reads every once in a while, and then gropes around listlessly at potential suspects. I'm uninspired by all of this. If c4 is town, I need to see him demonstrate that he is actually trying to develop reads on players.
This post sticks out in particular. Dizzy (along with C4) gets tacked onto the end as a salad appendage after Linear has spent a lot of words talking about why a bunch of people not named Dyslexicon deserve to be suspected.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Mon Jan 31, 2022 7:40 pm Seanzie: Paopan, Belzy, TonyStarkPrime, DrWilgy, nutella
Wiggly voted self preservation, TSP lead the wagon, need more on the other 3 as to why they voted it. Probably 2 Mafia exactly.
DrWilgy: sabie, dyachei, radishes, c4
Dya shot Marmot so not them, the other 3 maybe 1 Mafia as a counterwagon if Wiggly is not Mafia.
NotAnAxehole: Guillotine, alexa, Phil and Gloria, ilario
This wagon is a bit sus so probably 1-2 Mafia in it, but it kind of ended up being a vanity wagon so if Wiggly is Mafia, Mafia being on this wagon makes little sense.
EnderWiggin: dyslexicon, jpic, falcon
One wagon that was in the CFDS. Possibly 1 Maf, not guarenteed.
Not voting/pure vanity: Sloonei, 112, hollowkatt, Creature, sig, porscha, and Linearpoint (Neeko)
1 to 2 Mafia in this list based on other analysis.
Neeko thinks we should focus on 2 of these groups of people for the vote of 8 OR choose a handful of suspicious from each.
Neekos proposal based on this would be: Paopan, Belzy, TonyStarkPrime, nutella/Wiggly, Guillotine, alexa, Phil and Gloria, ilario as the logical solving mechanically.
One can argue instead of "Guillotine, alexa, Phil and Gloria, ilario" putting 'sabie, dyachei, radishes, c4" also is logical to solve mechanically.
IF neeko were to suggest scummiest of all groups the list would look closer to this:
Belzy, TonyStarkPrime, Guillotine, Phil and Gloria, Sabie, radishes, jpic, falcon with possibly substituting one for c4 or Dizzy.
Phil and Gloria wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:17 pm GET OUTTA MY WAY I GOT TEAMMATES TO CRUSH. VROOM VROOM.
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c4 and I do not have significant experience with one another.alexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:25 pm btw another reason i felt like c4/sloonei were unaligned was i wolfed against both of them as Vs and one of the things that frustrated me was how quickly they found each other with such confidence (particularly c4's read on sloonei) so the different dynamic here makes me feel like they're not v/v, but like, considering my individual reads on them are villager it is purely a dynamic read
Neeko was meaning to say substitute Radish/PIC/Flacon with c4/Dizzy as she wasn't sure which two of those 4 would be best to put into the list.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:22 pmThis post sticks out in particular. Dizzy (along with C4) gets tacked onto the end as a salad appendage after Linear has spent a lot of words talking about why a bunch of people not named Dyslexicon deserve to be suspected.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Mon Jan 31, 2022 7:40 pm Seanzie: Paopan, Belzy, TonyStarkPrime, DrWilgy, nutella
Wiggly voted self preservation, TSP lead the wagon, need more on the other 3 as to why they voted it. Probably 2 Mafia exactly.
DrWilgy: sabie, dyachei, radishes, c4
Dya shot Marmot so not them, the other 3 maybe 1 Mafia as a counterwagon if Wiggly is not Mafia.
NotAnAxehole: Guillotine, alexa, Phil and Gloria, ilario
This wagon is a bit sus so probably 1-2 Mafia in it, but it kind of ended up being a vanity wagon so if Wiggly is Mafia, Mafia being on this wagon makes little sense.
EnderWiggin: dyslexicon, jpic, falcon
One wagon that was in the CFDS. Possibly 1 Maf, not guarenteed.
Not voting/pure vanity: Sloonei, 112, hollowkatt, Creature, sig, porscha, and Linearpoint (Neeko)
1 to 2 Mafia in this list based on other analysis.
Neeko thinks we should focus on 2 of these groups of people for the vote of 8 OR choose a handful of suspicious from each.
Neekos proposal based on this would be: Paopan, Belzy, TonyStarkPrime, nutella/Wiggly, Guillotine, alexa, Phil and Gloria, ilario as the logical solving mechanically.
One can argue instead of "Guillotine, alexa, Phil and Gloria, ilario" putting 'sabie, dyachei, radishes, c4" also is logical to solve mechanically.
IF neeko were to suggest scummiest of all groups the list would look closer to this:
Belzy, TonyStarkPrime, Guillotine, Phil and Gloria, Sabie, radishes, jpic, falcon with possibly substituting one for c4 or Dizzy.
notedSloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pmc4 and I do not have significant experience with one another.alexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:25 pm btw another reason i felt like c4/sloonei were unaligned was i wolfed against both of them as Vs and one of the things that frustrated me was how quickly they found each other with such confidence (particularly c4's read on sloonei) so the different dynamic here makes me feel like they're not v/v, but like, considering my individual reads on them are villager it is purely a dynamic read
I do not feel that this addresses my concern.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pm Neeko was meaning to say substitute Radish/PIC/Flacon with c4/Dizzy as she wasn't sure which two of those 4 would be best to put into the list.
If you look at the Dr Wiggly and Ender wagons Neeko took Radish, JPIC, and Falcon as the main PoE targets, but was trying to say c$ and Dizzy were also possible PoE targets.
Comma usage could have been a bit better in that post, but it was long and Neeko was probably getting tired typing near the end.
TSPPhil and Gloria wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:25 pm i dont actually feel all that confident about linearpoint flipping mafia given they've felt like one of the hardest working slots on day 2 and the uplift in effort d1 to d2 is usually a pretty reliable tell.
@LinearPoint if u had a gun to fire with right now who do u shoot?
Then neeko fails to understand your concerns.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:29 pmI do not feel that this addresses my concern.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pm Neeko was meaning to say substitute Radish/PIC/Flacon with c4/Dizzy as she wasn't sure which two of those 4 would be best to put into the list.
If you look at the Dr Wiggly and Ender wagons Neeko took Radish, JPIC, and Falcon as the main PoE targets, but was trying to say c$ and Dizzy were also possible PoE targets.
Comma usage could have been a bit better in that post, but it was long and Neeko was probably getting tired typing near the end.
I assume you are referring to the RYM game on MU which I have only faint memories of. Other than that, we have only played 1-2 games together.alexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:28 pmnotedSloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pmc4 and I do not have significant experience with one another.alexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:25 pm btw another reason i felt like c4/sloonei were unaligned was i wolfed against both of them as Vs and one of the things that frustrated me was how quickly they found each other with such confidence (particularly c4's read on sloonei) so the different dynamic here makes me feel like they're not v/v, but like, considering my individual reads on them are villager it is purely a dynamic read
i was not aware of this/assumed you had
I am taking it into consideration along with the rest of your posts. Just continue to play the game and my read will develop.
It felt as though you only included Dizzy's name out of a sense of obligation so as to not be called out for omitting him.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:30 pmThen neeko fails to understand your concerns.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:29 pmI do not feel that this addresses my concern.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pm Neeko was meaning to say substitute Radish/PIC/Flacon with c4/Dizzy as she wasn't sure which two of those 4 would be best to put into the list.
If you look at the Dr Wiggly and Ender wagons Neeko took Radish, JPIC, and Falcon as the main PoE targets, but was trying to say c$ and Dizzy were also possible PoE targets.
Comma usage could have been a bit better in that post, but it was long and Neeko was probably getting tired typing near the end.
yesSloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:30 pmI assume you are referring to the RYM game on MU which I have only faint memories of. Other than that, we have only played 1-2 games together.alexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:28 pmnotedSloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pmc4 and I do not have significant experience with one another.alexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:25 pm btw another reason i felt like c4/sloonei were unaligned was i wolfed against both of them as Vs and one of the things that frustrated me was how quickly they found each other with such confidence (particularly c4's read on sloonei) so the different dynamic here makes me feel like they're not v/v, but like, considering my individual reads on them are villager it is purely a dynamic read
i was not aware of this/assumed you had
No, it was more because Dizzy was in the list of people on the Ender wagon and Neeko believed there was a chance one of those 3 were Mafia.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:32 pmIt felt as though you only included Dizzy's name out of a sense of obligation so as to not be called out for omitting him.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:30 pmThen neeko fails to understand your concerns.Sloonei wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:29 pmI do not feel that this addresses my concern.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:27 pm Neeko was meaning to say substitute Radish/PIC/Flacon with c4/Dizzy as she wasn't sure which two of those 4 would be best to put into the list.
If you look at the Dr Wiggly and Ender wagons Neeko took Radish, JPIC, and Falcon as the main PoE targets, but was trying to say c$ and Dizzy were also possible PoE targets.
Comma usage could have been a bit better in that post, but it was long and Neeko was probably getting tired typing near the end.
I don't know this game is super hurting my brain. I figure I might as well claim and you can take from it what you will. Here's why I said this post.sabie12 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:58 amI don't think it's out of the realm of possibility. Ender had more votes on him but then people switched. Mafia probably didn't kill ender so they weren't planning on him flipping town today. Like they may have been setting up to mischop. Not all the mafia would want to be seen voting seanzie. Is it likely all 3 are Mafia? No but I wouldn't say it fully town clears either falcon or jpic.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:07 am Honestly 2 Mafia on Ender at EoD when Ender had 3 votes isn't super likely so JPIC and Falcon are a bit more town off of that.
Bullshit, no one would use this info even if it was given.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:29 pmTSPPhil and Gloria wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:25 pm i dont actually feel all that confident about linearpoint flipping mafia given they've felt like one of the hardest working slots on day 2 and the uplift in effort d1 to d2 is usually a pretty reliable tell.
@LinearPoint if u had a gun to fire with right now who do u shoot?
Possibly Wiggly just cuz their flip would say a lot, but TSP is Neeko's personal choice since Neeko has been saying she's found TSP's EoD bad.
tbh i find the way sabie is talking about dizzy here townier/more unaligned than them shooting ender. because ender scumread dizzy and could easily be a maf extra shot despite POE'ness. but the way they're talking about dizzy feels not W/W to mesabie12 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:34 pmI don't know this game is super hurting my brain. I figure I might as well claim and you can take from it what you will. Here's why I said this post.sabie12 wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:58 amI don't think it's out of the realm of possibility. Ender had more votes on him but then people switched. Mafia probably didn't kill ender so they weren't planning on him flipping town today. Like they may have been setting up to mischop. Not all the mafia would want to be seen voting seanzie. Is it likely all 3 are Mafia? No but I wouldn't say it fully town clears either falcon or jpic.LinearPoint wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:07 am Honestly 2 Mafia on Ender at EoD when Ender had 3 votes isn't super likely so JPIC and Falcon are a bit more town off of that.
I was the town vig shot on ender. My thought process there was alison and Sean both thought ender was scummy. Dizzy seemed to pushing for ender. I couldn't figure out a dizzy read so If ender ended up being scum then awesome. If he flipped town then it helped sort out dizzy which it did and then someone shot him and he flipped wolf. I thought this also made jpic and maybe falcon look bad for following dizzys vote there. That's my thought process. I thought maybe it would help sort things out and maybe it did a little but we're all over the place and can't come to a consensus. I don't blame people for suspecting me as I haven't played up to par. I don't have much energy to process all this right now and there's no way I'm going to be up at like 5/6 am for eod. So adding a vote to jpic. I'll have to take a look and reevaluate where I want my votes.
His iso and some of his answers to mealexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 2:45 pm@ilario what's pinged you on JPIC?Dyslexicon wrote: ↑Sun Jan 30, 2022 6:47 pmRead the first part of his iso and scan for the energy in it. If you have the time. Also his answer to me about me having a funeral for my emotion reading or whatever, that's maybe personal to me but it hit really weird.
this interaction feels not W/W to me
im not moving from sig
Yeah I said something similaralexa wrote: ↑Tue Feb 01, 2022 9:18 pmi really just struggle to see, based on everything i know of dizzy, that he makes this comment so early about sloon if sloon is his partner. like, i'd think he'd want to make sloon look good and not force this type of attention on him prior to it being a thing? i think sloon just has to be a villager here, or at least not mafiaDyslexicon wrote: ↑Sat Jan 29, 2022 9:18 am I don't really have any scum reads, but I would straight up yeet Sloonei here. He probably doesn't want to play because he's mafia.