but why?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:15 amspf apologies but I think you are scum for this poststaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:57 pmporscha's sentiment that she had secret reasons to scumread robyn that she didn't feel like posting because she knew they would be ignored and invalidated felt like a real perspective to me - i think that wolves usually like their pushes to come off as more clean and logical, and so her push being based on something secret and her digging her heels in when she got pressured made it feel like a real povLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:47 pmWhat makes you think that? I think Porscha's town as well.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:45 pm kinda think that porscha's convicftion about robyn being mafia on page 4 was coming from a real place
Battle of the Bands Mafia [ENDGAME]
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
i can atest to killing nutella night 1 as wolf for being townypyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 2:47 pmyes and ty for letting me sleep I got a wonderful 9 hoursstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:34 am can you tell me why u think nutella and long con are town?
Nutella is acting strange and so I might be overthinking it. I'm even willing to call you two a personal difference check for how I'm reading the game. I think of Nutella as more active, more "towny" although that's not super helpful, and often getting N1'd for being obv town from the wolves' perspective. I don't see that here.
However, the general willingness from the thread to scumread Nutella feels less like town being correct and more conf bias + wolves being fine with chopping town Nutella. Enough that I'm think I'm willing to try to yank the wagons off Nutella and.....
Long Con! LC is just scumreading townies again. Doesn't feel like when I wolfed with him and he had awkward TMI problems.
This + the entire thread being happy with these two wagons tells me they are both town wagons.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
this is very overexplained and i don't like itLoRab wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 4:29 pmI'm not entirely convinced that they both could be bad. That said, I'm not seeing bad Nutella, personally, but I realize others are and I guess the reasons--especially as they are from people who have played with her more recently. However, one flipping bad doesn't mean that the other one isn't also bad.
Did that make any sense outside of my brain?
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
That supposes a knowledge of other players' music preferences, but I have no clue about anyone, so from my perspective, there's no possibility of musical deception.Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:13 pmYou know, that is the problem I have with the setup though, it encourages play like this instead of what I imagine the intention is which is... you know, an actual fair battle of the bands thing going on, like we aren't incentivized to be honest with our votes when the time comesstaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 10:12 pm quick thought about mechanics: i think the optimal way to play this setup is to treat it like a normal mafia game, and simply do your best to figure out which person u want to vote out picked which song
this incentivizes t he wolfteam to choose songs that would be really hard to identify as coming from them, which is something im keeping in mind

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
slightly bothered by this and the Abi segment in generalDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 8:28 pmAye, so it is in fact risky for a wolf to say. Wolves, who are too wrong too often, inevitably run the course of 'why are they wrong so much? Oh, its because they are a wolf' by enabling being wrong, for seemingly no reward, all it does is add content to the thread that help us explore LoRab's headspace. I don't think a W actively needs to do that, so why would W LoRab do this?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:24 pm Wilgy's posts on Abi and LoRab don't make sense to me.
It's not "risky" for a Wolf to say, after it's a done deal, that they would have voted for Robyn, and that she thought Robyn's play was wolfy. For you to "townfirm" LoRab over something that would basically be an easy throwaway post of "look I have no TMI" doesn't sit well at all.Spoiler: show
Further, there's no credit to be had if LoRab was right, and Robyn had been a Wolf. LoRab didn't help find the Wolf, and trying to get credit being right while not voting for her is the thing that's more "risky", because that would expose some level of TMI.
That your presented logic is so backward makes me think that LoRab might actually be town, and you are less than subtly trying to pocket her.
There definitely is a sense of 'credit' when a flip hasn't happened yet. It goes back to the 'correct vs incorrect' at the very least, LoRab would've obtained the argument 'BUT I WAS CORRECT ABOUT W ROBYN' vote placed or not.
Pretty sure SPF saw the same thing and said specifically, if LoRab was a wolf, that the post is clever, and I agree with that completely. If LoRab is a wolf and made that post, it very effectively broke down a sense of TMI in town observers and also put them on the incorrect side of the flip, trading that cushion for a firm appearance as town. I really don't think wolves inherently do that, if W LoRab did it was in fact very lv3 wolf play, and thus it's just more likely a town play.Abi as a player makes very good town reads regardless of alignment. They either utilize TMI OR they are just good at town reading the correct players. When Abi is correct too often or incorrect too often, can you find the reason as to why they were incorrect? That's how you find Abi's alignment. If Abi gives an unearned tr that is incorrect, you probably found their partner. When Abi doesn't give a tr that should be more obvious, that's where you've found their push. It's very much a meta call on this behavior, but it's observable and I've seen it several times now. Abi is hard to read d1 and easier to read late game because of this and thus the read on Abi becomes 'inevitable.'Why did you say we'd be able to tell that Abi is Wolf by judging her townreads. How would they "inevitably" show as TMI? Are you saying she never townreads a Wolf partner? If so, then surely you have noted who she didn't townread, if it's an inevitablity? How does this statement hold any credibility if you give it away this early in the game?? You're... not worried at all that she clearly has the ability to read, and could EXTREMELY EASILY confound this so-called inevitability?Spoiler: show
Several statements about her here, but the only thing close to an attempt to read her is the sketchy and dubious statement that I criticized above.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
What kind of chaos is Long Con spreading? Usually when I think of mafia spreading things to cause confusion it's with like... PR claims and throwing as much at the wall as possible to disorientate town from the actual solve. Like Long Con seems fairly set in suspecting DrWilgy/nutella and really has not strayed from that
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:19 ambut see likestaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 9:23 pm to be clear im not ~that confident about nutella/LC being unaligned but the way nutella has kinda anchored herself into the game by constantly pushing on LC and calling him wolfy kinda reads to me as a wolf who is trying to get him miseliminated more than partners doing a distancing play
I don't like you hedging here
your world view is Nutella scum, Long Con town. own it
hedging like this just feels like what you're arguing Nutella is doing, setting up a Long Con mischop, except in your case it's after a Nutella mischop
I do agree that Nutella and Long Con seem weirdly committed to being the two wagons of the day, I would even interpret it in your world view, if I didn't think that you're helping create TvT wagons
I also never said "wolves are sitting back" and that whole bit, I explicitly said that you feel like you're setting up TvT wagons...and look, here are you hedging on TvT wagons
part of me tinfoils this as scummy, The other part thinks it's really towny.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
if the easy and overthinking game both have Long Con as town, what does that mean for voters of Long Con then? Right now, they are DrWilgy/LoRab/nutella. If you ask me, I find 2 of these names to be very probable mafia, and the other... unlikely.pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:33 am @Porscha I agree that there are two worlds here
game "easy", weird Nutella is scum, Long Con is town, you're town, SPF town, more solving to come
game "overthinking", weird Nutella is truly suffering from lack of content (note: who is Nutella using this argument with the most? need to re-read), Long Con is town, you're town, SPF is scum, and I want to kill Sheep just cuz
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
hmm, I honestly haven't been wolfreading you as of late, but I have caught 2 wolves in a row for their usage of TMI and ever since then, i tinfoil that dang wordLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:03 amJesus Christ, all I said was it could be TMI. I don't understand why that's so wrong to say.pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:01 am"people townreading me are sus, because I know I'm town, which if you follow the logic means that anyone who thinks I'm scum are not sus, and thus town, because they are trying to chop a town"Porscha wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:53 amso you think you've been really wolfy in so that everybody should be scum reading you? lolLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:52 amThe fact that he's right.Porscha wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:49 amwhat about his read on you specifically makes you think it's tmiLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:46 am And pyxxy's confidence that I'm civ... is pyxxy the only one with that perspective? I thought there might have been one more player that at least gave me the benefit of the doubt. Maybe not.
Anyway, I'm saying that could be TMI from Wolf pyxxy. And it makes me a little sad to say it, because I love the things pyxxy says about me.

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Then you should have several wolf reads off that tell already this game. Why single me out?Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:51 pmhmm, I honestly haven't been wolfreading you as of late, but I have caught 2 wolves in a row for their usage of TMI and ever since then, i tinfoil that dang wordLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:03 amJesus Christ, all I said was it could be TMI. I don't understand why that's so wrong to say.pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:01 am"people townreading me are sus, because I know I'm town, which if you follow the logic means that anyone who thinks I'm scum are not sus, and thus town, because they are trying to chop a town"Porscha wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:53 amso you think you've been really wolfy in so that everybody should be scum reading you? lolLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:52 amThe fact that he's right.Porscha wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:49 amwhat about his read on you specifically makes you think it's tmiLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 12:46 am And pyxxy's confidence that I'm civ... is pyxxy the only one with that perspective? I thought there might have been one more player that at least gave me the benefit of the doubt. Maybe not.
Anyway, I'm saying that could be TMI from Wolf pyxxy. And it makes me a little sad to say it, because I love the things pyxxy says about me.![]()

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Why?Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:31 pmslightly bothered by this and the Abi segment in generalDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 8:28 pmAye, so it is in fact risky for a wolf to say. Wolves, who are too wrong too often, inevitably run the course of 'why are they wrong so much? Oh, its because they are a wolf' by enabling being wrong, for seemingly no reward, all it does is add content to the thread that help us explore LoRab's headspace. I don't think a W actively needs to do that, so why would W LoRab do this?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:24 pm Wilgy's posts on Abi and LoRab don't make sense to me.
It's not "risky" for a Wolf to say, after it's a done deal, that they would have voted for Robyn, and that she thought Robyn's play was wolfy. For you to "townfirm" LoRab over something that would basically be an easy throwaway post of "look I have no TMI" doesn't sit well at all.Spoiler: show
Further, there's no credit to be had if LoRab was right, and Robyn had been a Wolf. LoRab didn't help find the Wolf, and trying to get credit being right while not voting for her is the thing that's more "risky", because that would expose some level of TMI.
That your presented logic is so backward makes me think that LoRab might actually be town, and you are less than subtly trying to pocket her.
There definitely is a sense of 'credit' when a flip hasn't happened yet. It goes back to the 'correct vs incorrect' at the very least, LoRab would've obtained the argument 'BUT I WAS CORRECT ABOUT W ROBYN' vote placed or not.
Pretty sure SPF saw the same thing and said specifically, if LoRab was a wolf, that the post is clever, and I agree with that completely. If LoRab is a wolf and made that post, it very effectively broke down a sense of TMI in town observers and also put them on the incorrect side of the flip, trading that cushion for a firm appearance as town. I really don't think wolves inherently do that, if W LoRab did it was in fact very lv3 wolf play, and thus it's just more likely a town play.Abi as a player makes very good town reads regardless of alignment. They either utilize TMI OR they are just good at town reading the correct players. When Abi is correct too often or incorrect too often, can you find the reason as to why they were incorrect? That's how you find Abi's alignment. If Abi gives an unearned tr that is incorrect, you probably found their partner. When Abi doesn't give a tr that should be more obvious, that's where you've found their push. It's very much a meta call on this behavior, but it's observable and I've seen it several times now. Abi is hard to read d1 and easier to read late game because of this and thus the read on Abi becomes 'inevitable.'Why did you say we'd be able to tell that Abi is Wolf by judging her townreads. How would they "inevitably" show as TMI? Are you saying she never townreads a Wolf partner? If so, then surely you have noted who she didn't townread, if it's an inevitablity? How does this statement hold any credibility if you give it away this early in the game?? You're... not worried at all that she clearly has the ability to read, and could EXTREMELY EASILY confound this so-called inevitability?Spoiler: show
Several statements about her here, but the only thing close to an attempt to read her is the sketchy and dubious statement that I criticized above.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
*writes meta explanation on how Abi utilizes trs and how to read between the lines on it with examples and explanation.
Cape: no
Cape: no
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Like, that was a 7 sentence paragraph detailing on how I think to solve Abi, I shouldn't have or need to respond to a disagreement on it with a blanket "why."
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Neat, the 2 person wagon that kept you and sheep potentially out of elimination as if that's somehow insignificant?
Solving Nutella/LC is only slightly less important than solving Pyx at this junction.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Almost EoD and I'm actually short on time this cycle.
LC has significantly more resistance than Nutella, but the phase has felt pretty wagon stagnant. Oh well, with dueling wagons this game, I'm not sure if I'd be able to tell.
I feel like a teammate would be pushing for a 3rd option if one of these two were bad and I don't see that happening.
LC has significantly more resistance than Nutella, but the phase has felt pretty wagon stagnant. Oh well, with dueling wagons this game, I'm not sure if I'd be able to tell.
I feel like a teammate would be pushing for a 3rd option if one of these two were bad and I don't see that happening.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Eeeeeeeh... Idk wagononics are weird this game. It's entirely possible that stagnation is caused by "safer" bussing as the wagons effectively cause a coin flip anyways.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Maybe my Wolf team just believes in the power of my song.DrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:17 pm Almost EoD and I'm actually short on time this cycle.
LC has significantly more resistance than Nutella, but the phase has felt pretty wagon stagnant. Oh well, with dueling wagons this game, I'm not sure if I'd be able to tell.
I feel like a teammate would be pushing for a 3rd option if one of these two were bad and I don't see that happening.

A Wolf has a significant advantage in a musical duel against a Townie, because they are automatically up two votes, assuming a team of three.

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Ew, I didn't think about that. I don't like that and the fact that we had a Muslim with no vote feels even worse in hindsight now.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:20 pmMaybe my Wolf team just believes in the power of my song.DrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:17 pm Almost EoD and I'm actually short on time this cycle.
LC has significantly more resistance than Nutella, but the phase has felt pretty wagon stagnant. Oh well, with dueling wagons this game, I'm not sure if I'd be able to tell.
I feel like a teammate would be pushing for a 3rd option if one of these two were bad and I don't see that happening.![]()
A Wolf has a significant advantage in a musical duel against a Townie, because they are automatically up two votes, assuming a team of three.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Yeah, that ugly factor just occurred to me. Town needs to get better bonuses for surviving a Battle.

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I'm sitting here thinking about the stifled wagons and Cape is really pinging my tinfoil.
Some items I saw during the catch-up seem gross.
The vote on Nutella is effectively pointless putting LC and Nutella still battling.
I'm realizing that Abigail never gave cape a tr this game. (Doesn't Abigail normally read Cape well or is that misinformation? Putting in parentheses as I don't know for sure.)
Cape's TR of sheep (that I still disagree with) felt the most inorganic of the sheep readers.
Some items I saw during the catch-up seem gross.
The vote on Nutella is effectively pointless putting LC and Nutella still battling.
I'm realizing that Abigail never gave cape a tr this game. (Doesn't Abigail normally read Cape well or is that misinformation? Putting in parentheses as I don't know for sure.)
Cape's TR of sheep (that I still disagree with) felt the most inorganic of the sheep readers.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Dammit lol,
I kinda wanna swap from LC to Cape, but should reread both wagons first. I didn't trust my gut enough during Wolfwalkers and it's making me desire to be more impulsive, in spite of rationally thinking figuring out the wolf between LC and Nutella would be super valuable.
I kinda wanna swap from LC to Cape, but should reread both wagons first. I didn't trust my gut enough during Wolfwalkers and it's making me desire to be more impulsive, in spite of rationally thinking figuring out the wolf between LC and Nutella would be super valuable.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
No, don't. I'm looking forward to playing my song.DrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:33 pm Dammit lol,
I kinda wanna swap from LC to Cape, but should reread both wagons first. I didn't trust my gut enough during Wolfwalkers and it's making me desire to be more impulsive, in spite of rationally thinking figuring out the wolf between LC and Nutella would be super valuable.

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I will respect your wishes.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:45 pmNo, don't. I'm looking forward to playing my song.DrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:33 pm Dammit lol,
I kinda wanna swap from LC to Cape, but should reread both wagons first. I didn't trust my gut enough during Wolfwalkers and it's making me desire to be more impulsive, in spite of rationally thinking figuring out the wolf between LC and Nutella would be super valuable.
I do wish I had time to iso Cape before EoD. If one of you beautiful people could do that for me and lmk what you think Idt appreciate it.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
He has mentioned me a few times. And has just been posting ridiculousness. He’s trying to distract us.Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:34 pmWhat kind of chaos is Long Con spreading? Usually when I think of mafia spreading things to cause confusion it's with like... PR claims and throwing as much at the wall as possible to disorientate town from the actual solve. Like Long Con seems fairly set in suspecting DrWilgy/nutella and really has not strayed from that
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
the only other person in the context of the read bothering me by is kinda SPF (as im talking more about how it's used versus it being used in general). So there isn't a lot of others to point outLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:58 pmThen you should have several wolf reads off that tell already this game. Why single me out?Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:51 pmhmm, I honestly haven't been wolfreading you as of late, but I have caught 2 wolves in a row for their usage of TMI and ever since then, i tinfoil that dang wordLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:03 amJesus Christ, all I said was it could be TMI. I don't understand why that's so wrong to say.pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:01 am"people townreading me are sus, because I know I'm town, which if you follow the logic means that anyone who thinks I'm scum are not sus, and thus town, because they are trying to chop a town"![]()
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I wouldn't put too much stock in it. It's probably just me spreading chaos.Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:54 pmthe only other person in the context of the read bothering me by is kinda SPF (as im talking more about how it's used versus it being used in general). So there isn't a lot of others to point outLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:58 pmThen you should have several wolf reads off that tell already this game. Why single me out?Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:51 pmhmm, I honestly haven't been wolfreading you as of late, but I have caught 2 wolves in a row for their usage of TMI and ever since then, i tinfoil that dang wordLong Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:03 amJesus Christ, all I said was it could be TMI. I don't understand why that's so wrong to say.![]()

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Seemed like a good way to leverage weight into Princess Abigail's reads. Especially since, I really am not sure I agree with themDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:06 pmWhy?Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:31 pmslightly bothered by this and the Abi segment in generalDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 8:28 pmAye, so it is in fact risky for a wolf to say. Wolves, who are too wrong too often, inevitably run the course of 'why are they wrong so much? Oh, its because they are a wolf' by enabling being wrong, for seemingly no reward, all it does is add content to the thread that help us explore LoRab's headspace. I don't think a W actively needs to do that, so why would W LoRab do this?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:24 pm Wilgy's posts on Abi and LoRab don't make sense to me.
It's not "risky" for a Wolf to say, after it's a done deal, that they would have voted for Robyn, and that she thought Robyn's play was wolfy. For you to "townfirm" LoRab over something that would basically be an easy throwaway post of "look I have no TMI" doesn't sit well at all.Spoiler: show
Further, there's no credit to be had if LoRab was right, and Robyn had been a Wolf. LoRab didn't help find the Wolf, and trying to get credit being right while not voting for her is the thing that's more "risky", because that would expose some level of TMI.
That your presented logic is so backward makes me think that LoRab might actually be town, and you are less than subtly trying to pocket her.
There definitely is a sense of 'credit' when a flip hasn't happened yet. It goes back to the 'correct vs incorrect' at the very least, LoRab would've obtained the argument 'BUT I WAS CORRECT ABOUT W ROBYN' vote placed or not.
Pretty sure SPF saw the same thing and said specifically, if LoRab was a wolf, that the post is clever, and I agree with that completely. If LoRab is a wolf and made that post, it very effectively broke down a sense of TMI in town observers and also put them on the incorrect side of the flip, trading that cushion for a firm appearance as town. I really don't think wolves inherently do that, if W LoRab did it was in fact very lv3 wolf play, and thus it's just more likely a town play.Abi as a player makes very good town reads regardless of alignment. They either utilize TMI OR they are just good at town reading the correct players. When Abi is correct too often or incorrect too often, can you find the reason as to why they were incorrect? That's how you find Abi's alignment. If Abi gives an unearned tr that is incorrect, you probably found their partner. When Abi doesn't give a tr that should be more obvious, that's where you've found their push. It's very much a meta call on this behavior, but it's observable and I've seen it several times now. Abi is hard to read d1 and easier to read late game because of this and thus the read on Abi becomes 'inevitable.'Why did you say we'd be able to tell that Abi is Wolf by judging her townreads. How would they "inevitably" show as TMI? Are you saying she never townreads a Wolf partner? If so, then surely you have noted who she didn't townread, if it's an inevitablity? How does this statement hold any credibility if you give it away this early in the game?? You're... not worried at all that she clearly has the ability to read, and could EXTREMELY EASILY confound this so-called inevitability?Spoiler: show
Several statements about her here, but the only thing close to an attempt to read her is the sketchy and dubious statement that I criticized above.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
welp
[VOTE: Nutella] aubergine
[VOTE: Nutella] aubergine
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
This is me acquiescing
I'm going after SPF again tomorrow
I'm going after SPF again tomorrow
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
it reads as extremely post-facto, which is a phrase I just made upCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:17 pmbut why?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:15 amspf apologies but I think you are scum for this poststaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:57 pmporscha's sentiment that she had secret reasons to scumread robyn that she didn't feel like posting because she knew they would be ignored and invalidated felt like a real perspective to me - i think that wolves usually like their pushes to come off as more clean and logical, and so her push being based on something secret and her digging her heels in when she got pressured made it feel like a real povLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:47 pmWhat makes you think that? I think Porscha's town as well.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:45 pm kinda think that porscha's convicftion about robyn being mafia on page 4 was coming from a real place
it's a read based entirely in the past and with little risk to the present
it looks like work, but with the thread somewhat leaving Porscha alone and thus spewing her as town, along with Porscha's obvious solving, this is a lot of words to make a read look more thoughtful and developed than it actually is
it's not solving to post "Porscha town and uhhhhh the wagons look gr8, better flip both of them to be super sure there's not a wolf in there"
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Well, nutella, at least neither of us have to be worried about being nightkilled tonight! 


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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
At this point I'm just looking forward to people hearing my song I guess
avatar art credit to chardonnay! (colors added by me tho)
http://www.last.fm/user/nutella23 ~ http://feeling-diskinserted.tumblr.com ~ https://rateyourmusic.com/~nutella23
http://www.last.fm/user/nutella23 ~ http://feeling-diskinserted.tumblr.com ~ https://rateyourmusic.com/~nutella23
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I did it last night and it's why he is merh poe for me. like it wasn't "ah yeah this guy is a wolf" kind of read for me - it was just... ... ... bland. it didn't make me think "this is def town cape" like how spf said she felt. I guess I'd say he feels relatively null. i'm kind of just not used to this style of one liner cape but nothing he has said or done is really leaning me one way or the other either. I don't really like how he recently said he didnt like your abi line and at this point like if he flipped wolf Id just be like: okDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:16 pmI will respect your wishes.Long Con wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:45 pmNo, don't. I'm looking forward to playing my song.DrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:33 pm Dammit lol,
I kinda wanna swap from LC to Cape, but should reread both wagons first. I didn't trust my gut enough during Wolfwalkers and it's making me desire to be more impulsive, in spite of rationally thinking figuring out the wolf between LC and Nutella would be super valuable.
I do wish I had time to iso Cape before EoD. If one of you beautiful people could do that for me and lmk what you think Idt appreciate it.
so that's why he is poe for me
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
your reads. present themCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:59 pmSeemed like a good way to leverage weight into Princess Abigail's reads. Especially since, I really am not sure I agree with themDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:06 pmWhy?Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:31 pmslightly bothered by this and the Abi segment in generalDrWilgy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 8:28 pmAye, so it is in fact risky for a wolf to say. Wolves, who are too wrong too often, inevitably run the course of 'why are they wrong so much? Oh, its because they are a wolf' by enabling being wrong, for seemingly no reward, all it does is add content to the thread that help us explore LoRab's headspace. I don't think a W actively needs to do that, so why would W LoRab do this?Long Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:24 pm Wilgy's posts on Abi and LoRab don't make sense to me.
It's not "risky" for a Wolf to say, after it's a done deal, that they would have voted for Robyn, and that she thought Robyn's play was wolfy. For you to "townfirm" LoRab over something that would basically be an easy throwaway post of "look I have no TMI" doesn't sit well at all.Spoiler: show
Further, there's no credit to be had if LoRab was right, and Robyn had been a Wolf. LoRab didn't help find the Wolf, and trying to get credit being right while not voting for her is the thing that's more "risky", because that would expose some level of TMI.
That your presented logic is so backward makes me think that LoRab might actually be town, and you are less than subtly trying to pocket her.
There definitely is a sense of 'credit' when a flip hasn't happened yet. It goes back to the 'correct vs incorrect' at the very least, LoRab would've obtained the argument 'BUT I WAS CORRECT ABOUT W ROBYN' vote placed or not.
Pretty sure SPF saw the same thing and said specifically, if LoRab was a wolf, that the post is clever, and I agree with that completely. If LoRab is a wolf and made that post, it very effectively broke down a sense of TMI in town observers and also put them on the incorrect side of the flip, trading that cushion for a firm appearance as town. I really don't think wolves inherently do that, if W LoRab did it was in fact very lv3 wolf play, and thus it's just more likely a town play.Abi as a player makes very good town reads regardless of alignment. They either utilize TMI OR they are just good at town reading the correct players. When Abi is correct too often or incorrect too often, can you find the reason as to why they were incorrect? That's how you find Abi's alignment. If Abi gives an unearned tr that is incorrect, you probably found their partner. When Abi doesn't give a tr that should be more obvious, that's where you've found their push. It's very much a meta call on this behavior, but it's observable and I've seen it several times now. Abi is hard to read d1 and easier to read late game because of this and thus the read on Abi becomes 'inevitable.'Why did you say we'd be able to tell that Abi is Wolf by judging her townreads. How would they "inevitably" show as TMI? Are you saying she never townreads a Wolf partner? If so, then surely you have noted who she didn't townread, if it's an inevitablity? How does this statement hold any credibility if you give it away this early in the game?? You're... not worried at all that she clearly has the ability to read, and could EXTREMELY EASILY confound this so-called inevitability?Spoiler: show
Several statements about her here, but the only thing close to an attempt to read her is the sketchy and dubious statement that I criticized above.
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
it's also a debatable point in general lol. if I was suspected I think someone would dislike that it felt like I was hiding or making up my reasons. but nobody has at any point suspected me so that leads into pyxxy's point. why bother making the post lol (probs half just to pocket me)pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:25 pmit reads as extremely post-facto, which is a phrase I just made upCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:17 pmbut why?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:15 amspf apologies but I think you are scum for this poststaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:57 pmporscha's sentiment that she had secret reasons to scumread robyn that she didn't feel like posting because she knew they would be ignored and invalidated felt like a real perspective to me - i think that wolves usually like their pushes to come off as more clean and logical, and so her push being based on something secret and her digging her heels in when she got pressured made it feel like a real povLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:47 pmWhat makes you think that? I think Porscha's town as well.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:45 pm kinda think that porscha's convicftion about robyn being mafia on page 4 was coming from a real place
it's a read based entirely in the past and with little risk to the present
it looks like work, but with the thread somewhat leaving Porscha alone and thus spewing her as town, along with Porscha's obvious solving, this is a lot of words to make a read look more thoughtful and developed than it actually is
it's not solving to post "Porscha town and uhhhhh the wagons look gr8, better flip both of them to be super sure there's not a wolf in there"
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I have decided to disrespect Longus Conguses wishes.
[VOTE: cape] aubergine
[VOTE: cape] aubergine
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
LoRab wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 3:20 pmHe has mentioned me a few times. And has just been posting ridiculousness. He’s trying to distract us.Cape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:34 pmWhat kind of chaos is Long Con spreading? Usually when I think of mafia spreading things to cause confusion it's with like... PR claims and throwing as much at the wall as possible to disorientate town from the actual solve. Like Long Con seems fairly set in suspecting DrWilgy/nutella and really has not strayed from that
see above a post that I also considered just kind of out left field from LC that I think lorab would agree is a post of chaos seedsLong Con wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:24 pm Wilgy's posts on Abi and LoRab don't make sense to me.
It's not "risky" for a Wolf to say, after it's a done deal, that they would have voted for Robyn, and that she thought Robyn's play was wolfy. For you to "townfirm" LoRab over something that would basically be an easy throwaway post of "look I have no TMI" doesn't sit well at all.Spoiler: show
Further, there's no credit to be had if LoRab was right, and Robyn had been a Wolf. LoRab didn't help find the Wolf, and trying to get credit being right while not voting for her is the thing that's more "risky", because that would expose some level of TMI.
That your presented logic is so backward makes me think that LoRab might actually be town, and you are less than subtly trying to pocket her.
Why did you say we'd be able to tell that Abi is Wolf by judging her townreads. How would they "inevitably" show as TMI? Are you saying she never townreads a Wolf partner? If so, then surely you have noted who she didn't townread, if it's an inevitablity? How does this statement hold any credibility if you give it away this early in the game?? You're... not worried at all that she clearly has the ability to read, and could EXTREMELY EASILY confound this so-called inevitability?Spoiler: show
Several statements about her here, but the only thing close to an attempt to read her is the sketchy and dubious statement that I criticized above.
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
The truly funny thing is that LC knows that I’m not going to be able to convince this group I’m right that he’s bad. Because it’s based on meta. And I haven’t been back long enough for the new wave of players doesn’t get how I think—and certainly doesn’t know which players I can accurately read. (There is only 1 player whom I could read better than LC—and if that player ever returned, I’m pretty sure I’d still be able to read him, as I can LC). But nearly no one knows that history.
Wilgy could theoretically remember, but I don’t think we played that much together—and that he would necessarily remember. But you know who does know this? Nutella.
And thinking that through, has caused me to start suspecting her. I am starting to believe that no matter which of them wins, the mafia loses a vote in the game and gains a prize.
Wilgy could theoretically remember, but I don’t think we played that much together—and that he would necessarily remember. But you know who does know this? Nutella.
And thinking that through, has caused me to start suspecting her. I am starting to believe that no matter which of them wins, the mafia loses a vote in the game and gains a prize.
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
you know SPF hasn't been here day 1 right?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:25 pmit reads as extremely post-facto, which is a phrase I just made upCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:17 pmbut why?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:15 amspf apologies but I think you are scum for this poststaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:57 pmporscha's sentiment that she had secret reasons to scumread robyn that she didn't feel like posting because she knew they would be ignored and invalidated felt like a real perspective to me - i think that wolves usually like their pushes to come off as more clean and logical, and so her push being based on something secret and her digging her heels in when she got pressured made it feel like a real povLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:47 pmWhat makes you think that? I think Porscha's town as well.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:45 pm kinda think that porscha's convicftion about robyn being mafia on page 4 was coming from a real place
it's a read based entirely in the past and with little risk to the present
it looks like work, but with the thread somewhat leaving Porscha alone and thus spewing her as town, along with Porscha's obvious solving, this is a lot of words to make a read look more thoughtful and developed than it actually is
it's not solving to post "Porscha town and uhhhhh the wagons look gr8, better flip both of them to be super sure there's not a wolf in there"
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I think time spent talking on wilgy talking about abi post abi flip is a waste of time and doesn't actually show wilgy posting in a wolfy way about her
lorab point is ok. I dont' really agree but its ok point to make. just think if LC actually believed anybody was a wolf he'd be pushing harder there today and he doesn't seem anchored at all nor can I point where I feel like he is really trying to solve but just struggling to come up with good poe to make up for that. I have been told LC can play quite a solid wolf game so i'm not particularly sold on lorab's "weh ur just saaauurrr wolfy sauurrryy" but I don't know their relationship either so like w/e
lorab point is ok. I dont' really agree but its ok point to make. just think if LC actually believed anybody was a wolf he'd be pushing harder there today and he doesn't seem anchored at all nor can I point where I feel like he is really trying to solve but just struggling to come up with good poe to make up for that. I have been told LC can play quite a solid wolf game so i'm not particularly sold on lorab's "weh ur just saaauurrr wolfy sauurrryy" but I don't know their relationship either so like w/e
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
yeah but it was still a pretty pointless post to makeCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:50 pmyou know SPF hasn't been here day 1 right?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:25 pmit reads as extremely post-facto, which is a phrase I just made upCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:17 pmbut why?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:15 amspf apologies but I think you are scum for this poststaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:57 pmporscha's sentiment that she had secret reasons to scumread robyn that she didn't feel like posting because she knew they would be ignored and invalidated felt like a real perspective to me - i think that wolves usually like their pushes to come off as more clean and logical, and so her push being based on something secret and her digging her heels in when she got pressured made it feel like a real povLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:47 pmWhat makes you think that? I think Porscha's town as well.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:45 pm kinda think that porscha's convicftion about robyn being mafia on page 4 was coming from a real place
it's a read based entirely in the past and with little risk to the present
it looks like work, but with the thread somewhat leaving Porscha alone and thus spewing her as town, along with Porscha's obvious solving, this is a lot of words to make a read look more thoughtful and developed than it actually is
it's not solving to post "Porscha town and uhhhhh the wagons look gr8, better flip both of them to be super sure there's not a wolf in there"
just stacking a tr onto a universally tr'd player post town flip with the other person in mention (robyn) is like. what's the point really
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
Long Con
pyxxy
Cape90
Porscha
staypositivefriend
falcon45ca
Sheep
DrWilgy
LoRab
nutella
TonyStarkPrime
I mean... my reads are usually notoriously wrong, but this is kind of a generalization of where I think I stand.
After I flip, I hope everyone goes back through LoRab's posts, which I think are the posts of a Wolf that needed to choose a stance. She thought going anti-LC was a good route, but please notice that for all the accusations of "sowing seeds of chaos" and "chaos posting ridiculousness to distract us", she has not been able to identify a single post of mine that fits that description.
pyxxy
Cape90
Porscha
staypositivefriend
falcon45ca
Sheep
DrWilgy
LoRab
nutella
TonyStarkPrime
I mean... my reads are usually notoriously wrong, but this is kind of a generalization of where I think I stand.
After I flip, I hope everyone goes back through LoRab's posts, which I think are the posts of a Wolf that needed to choose a stance. She thought going anti-LC was a good route, but please notice that for all the accusations of "sowing seeds of chaos" and "chaos posting ridiculousness to distract us", she has not been able to identify a single post of mine that fits that description.

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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
yesCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:50 pmyou know SPF hasn't been here day 1 right?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:25 pmit reads as extremely post-facto, which is a phrase I just made upCape90 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 1:17 pmbut why?pyxxy wrote: ↑Sat Jan 06, 2024 3:15 amspf apologies but I think you are scum for this poststaypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:57 pmporscha's sentiment that she had secret reasons to scumread robyn that she didn't feel like posting because she knew they would be ignored and invalidated felt like a real perspective to me - i think that wolves usually like their pushes to come off as more clean and logical, and so her push being based on something secret and her digging her heels in when she got pressured made it feel like a real povLong Con wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:47 pmWhat makes you think that? I think Porscha's town as well.staypositivefriend wrote: ↑Fri Jan 05, 2024 9:45 pm kinda think that porscha's convicftion about robyn being mafia on page 4 was coming from a real place
it's a read based entirely in the past and with little risk to the present
it looks like work, but with the thread somewhat leaving Porscha alone and thus spewing her as town, along with Porscha's obvious solving, this is a lot of words to make a read look more thoughtful and developed than it actually is
it's not solving to post "Porscha town and uhhhhh the wagons look gr8, better flip both of them to be super sure there's not a wolf in there"
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Re: Battle of the Bands Mafia [Day 2]
I been saying that's a possibility but I also am unsure exactly why a wolf would bus here but also I had mentally been including wilgy's point where it almost feels like a form of soft bus or not caring so much if a wolf gets put up cuz there is a chance they don't go over anywayLoRab wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 4:50 pm The truly funny thing is that LC knows that I’m not going to be able to convince this group I’m right that he’s bad. Because it’s based on meta. And I haven’t been back long enough for the new wave of players doesn’t get how I think—and certainly doesn’t know which players I can accurately read. (There is only 1 player whom I could read better than LC—and if that player ever returned, I’m pretty sure I’d still be able to read him, as I can LC). But nearly no one knows that history.
Wilgy could theoretically remember, but I don’t think we played that much together—and that he would necessarily remember. But you know who does know this? Nutella.
And thinking that through, has caused me to start suspecting her. I am starting to believe that no matter which of them wins, the mafia loses a vote in the game and gains a prize.
You're being an unacceptable level of stupid, with zero sexy, and no sense of humor.
Spoiler: show